ECONOMICS – deal w/ how to satisfy the unlimited want and needs of human w/ limited or scarce resources we have. Responsibilities of the Management 1. Proactively solving business problems a. Macroeconomics – is a branch of economics that studies how an overall economy—the market or other systems that operate on a large scale— behaves. (inflation; GDP&GNP; unemployment) Microeconomics - is a branch of economics that studies the behavior of individuals and firms in making decisions regarding the allocation of scarce resources and the interactions among these individuals and firms. (demand and supply) Managerial economics - mixture between mgt and economics - extracts from microeconomic theory those concepts and techniques that enable managers to select strategic direction, to allocate resources efficiently – optimization and respond effectively to tactical (short term) issues. 2. Should focus on teamwork and motivation a. - is the application of microeconomic to problems faced by decision makers. b. Scope of Managerial Economics Resource allocation Inventory and queuing problem Pricing problems Investment problems GOAL of Managerial economics: Economic benefits/profits 1. Identify the alternatives 2. Select the choice that accomplishes the objectives in the most efficient manner 3. Taking into account the constraints (limitations) 4. And the likely actions and reactions of rival decision maker The ability to make good decisions is the key to successful managerial performance. Moral hazard happens when an agent is given an implicit guarantee of support in the event of making a loss. This prompts firm to take on more risk than is optimal. 3. Selecting strategies 4. Creating org structure and culture based org’s mission 5. Coordinate the integration of different dep’t - can be applied to any organizations regardless of motive. 1. 2. 3. 4. Issues of mgt failure i. Mismanagement ii. Defeatism (against the objective) iii. Overplanning iv. Productivity shortfall v. Underplanning vi. Risk mismanagement vii. Change mgt failure viii. Defense of the status quo ix. Failure to lead x. Lack of control xi. Authoritarianism (only truth is me) xii. Perverse incentive xiii. Rent seeking (dawat sweldo lang) xiv. Neglect of culture xv. Bozo explosion (deteriorating competence) xvi. Optimization myopia xvii. Corporate narcissism (feeling invincible) returns to the owners of the business. Difference between total sales revenue and total economic cost. Economic cost – highest valued alternative opportunity that is forgone; opportunity cost. Economic Profit Revenue-opportunity costs (explicit & implicit) When negative profit doesn’t mean it is experiencing loss; it means it can be more efficiently done Acctg Profit Revenue-expenses When negative literally experiencing a loss Role of Profits The Decision-Making Model 1. 2. 3. 4. Establish the objectives Identify the problem Examine possible alternative solutions Analyze alternatives and select the best (consider societal constraints & consider organization and input constraints) 5. Perform a sensitivity analysis – analysis of the best alternative; is a technique w/ch allows the analysis of changes in assumption used in forecasts; “what if” analysis. 6. Implementation and monitor the decision Profits – residual amount of cost and sales. 1. Determines the type and quantity of goods and services that are produced and sold 2. Determine the resulting derived demand for resources Why economic profits exist? Risk-bearing Theory of Profit By taking risk you should be rewarded. Economic profits arise in part to compensate the owners of the firm for the risk they assume when making their investments. Profit relative to risk Temporary Disequilibrium Theory of Profit The Hypermarket Model – shopee The Experience Model – unique cars The Service Ecosystem Model – facebook w/ch has gaming… Objective of the Firm - SHAREHOLDER WEALTH MAXIMIZATION Temporary dislocations (imbalances) in various sectors of the economy. (pandemic) A point in time where firms might earn a rate of return above or below the long-run normal return level. Monopoly Theory of Profit One firm is effectively able to dominate (monopolize) the market and persistently earn above-normal rates of return. (coz of economies of scale, control of essential natural resources) To maximize the value of the firm, managers should maximize shareholder wealth. Shareholder’s wealth – is measured by the market value of a firm’s common stock, which is equal to the present value of all expected future cash flows to equity owners discounted at the shareholder’s required rate of return plus (+) a value for the firm’s embedded real options: The lower the rate of return the higher the valuation. Innovation Theory of Profit above-normal profits are reward for successful innovations. Managerial Efficiency Theory of Profit V0 = stock price t = economic profits expected in each of the future period (dividends) above-normal profits can arise because of the exceptional managerial skills of well-managed firms. No single theory of profit can explain the observe profit rates in each industry. Profit performance is in-variably the result of many factors. Ke = required rate of return Real option value = cost savings or revenue expansions that arise from preserving flexibility in the business plans the managers adopt. Abnormal profits & unicorns Unicorns – term used in the venture capital industry to describe a start-up company w/ a value $1 billion; wa pa ni reach to the public. EVA = economic value added (estimate of firm’s economic profit) Hyperdisruptive (innovative) Business Models: WACC = weighted average cost of capital Barriers to entry – high start-up costs Substitutes – deserve same purpose Bargaining power of suppliers – pressure that suppliers can put on companies Bargaining power of buyer – pressure that customers can put on businesses The Subscription Model – Netflix The Free Model – Facebook; Instagram (info) The Freemium Model – Spotify The Digital Platform Model – phone The Access-Over-Ownership Model – grab NOPAT = Net operating profit after tax o Competition among competitors – pressure caused by other competitors Cost advantage – gained by reducing production cost so that it can offer cheaper prices Differentiation advantage – having products unique from others Constrains (Frictions) on the Operations of the Firm Limited availability of inputs Amount of investments Contractual agreements Level of output Legal restrictions Governmental rules Technological issues Financial issues Some CRITICISMS of the Shareholder model: Firms are not homogenous unit. Owners may want profit maxi, but managers have different objectives. Other objectives to profit maximization. Profit maximization is not the only goal of a firm. Marginal approach to firms is not replicated in the real world. Imperfect information. Behavioral economics. Separation of Ownership and Control: The Principal-Agent Problem o o 1. Grants of restricted stock or deferred stock options to structure executive compensation in such a way as to align the incentives for mgt w/ shareholder interests. 2. Internal audits and acctg oversight boards to monitor mgt’s actions (monitoring cost) 3. Bonding expenditures and fraud liability insurance 4. Lost profits (economic damages) arising from complex internal approval processes designed to limit managerial discretion (authority), but w/ch prevent timely responses to opportunities. Implications of Shareholder Wealth Maximization The goal of shareholder wealth maximization requires a long-term focus. o All individuals will act in their own selfinterest. Agents are in a position of power. rationale of corporate governance where alternatives are harder to identify, the goals of owners and managers are seldom aligned Divergent Objectives and Agency Conflict Manager often seek acceptable level of profit and wealth because they have much less to lose and pursue their self-interests – agency conflict. Agency Problems Agency costs – costs associated in resolving conflicts of interest among shareholders, managers, and lenders. o o Monitoring costs – incurred by principal; annual reporting, external auditing Bonding costs – incurred by agent to demo that they are goal congruent Types of investors: Traders (sells the asset & Passive (considers long-term appreciation) SWM reflects dynamic changes in the info available to the public about a company’s expected future cash flows and foreseeable risks. Additional sources of equity value are referred to as “embedded real options.” What are real options? gives a firm's management the right, but not the obligation to undertake certain business opportunities or investments. o Facilitate follow-on projects thru growth options o Exiting early w/out penalty thru abandonment options o Staging investment over a learning period until better info is available thru deferral options (halting operations) 2 key assumptions under this theory: o Info asymmetry (mgt has more info) Poor communication Poor understanding Innocent & unintended self-interested behavior by agents Deliberate legal self-interested behavior Illegal self-interested behavior by agents Ways to mitigate the Agency Problem BOD o Excessive non-financial benefits Empire bldg. (act of increasing power) Risk avoidance Differing time horizons (mgt – short term) These costs can arise as a result of: o o o o Cost relating to residual loss – incurred by principal; agent will inevitably make decisions that are not consistent w/ the principal’s interest. Value-maximizing manager commit himself or herself to continuous incremental improvement unlike satisficers who merely strive to “hit the targets.” Factors affecting share price o The Market Place o Demand and Supply o Interest rates o Dividends o Management o Economy o Political climate CAVEATS to Maximizing Shareholder Value The Efficiency Objective in NFP Org Managers should concentrate on maximizing shareholder value alone only if three conditions are met. These conditions require: (1) complete markets, (2) no significant asymmetric info, (3) known recontracting costs. Complete Markets All info flowing; all known to public To directly influence a company’s cash flows, forward or futures markets as well as spot markets must be available for the firm’s inputs, output, and by-products. Know the price of asset in every possible state Completeness of the markets allows a reduction in the cost-covering prices of gasoline and cappuccino. Cost-benefit analysis – a resource-allocation model that can be used by public sector and notfor-profit organizations to evaluate programs or investments on the basis of the magnitude of the discounted costs and benefits. Goals: 1. Maximize the benefits for given costs. 2. Minimize the costs while achieving a fixed level of benefits. 3. Maximize the net benefits (benefits minus costs) No Asymmetric Information This often leads to misunderstandings Info should be the same within sellers and buyers. Not made possible because of fake news Different sources of info SUMMARY Managers are responsible for proactively solving problems in the current business model, for setting stretch goals, establishing the vision, and setting strategy for future business, for monitoring teamwork, and integrating the operations, marketing, and finance functions. Economic profit is defined as the difference between total revenues and total economic costs. Economic costs include a normal rate of return on the capital contributed by the firm’s owners. Economic profits exist to compensate investors for the risk they assume, because of temporary disequilibrium conditions that may occur in a market, because of the existence of monopoly power, and as a reward to firms that are especially innovative or highly efficient. As an overall objective of the firm, the shareholder wealth-maximization model is flexible enough to account for differential levels of risk and timing differences in the receipt of benefits and the incurring of future costs. Shareholder wealth captures the net present value of future cash flows to owners from positive NPV projects plus the value of embedded real options. Managers may not always behave in a manner consistent with the shareholder wealthmaximization objective. The agency costs associated with preventing or at least mitigating Known Recontracting Costs Anticipate and mitigate recontracting problems. Recontracting cost – cost possibly incurred if there are renewal/change of contracts. RESIDUAL CLAIMANTS Shareholders have a residual claim on the firm’s net cash flows after all expected contractual returns have been paid. Goals in the Public Sector and Not-for-Profit Business Characteristics of NFP Org 1. No one possesses a right to receive profit or surpluses in an NFP enterprise. 2. Exempt from taxes on corporate income 3. Donations to NFP are tax deductible Objective of NFP 1. Maximizing the quantity and quality of output subject to a break-even budget constraint 2. Maximizing the outcomes preferred by the NFP’s contributors 3. Maximizing the longevity of the NFP’s administrators Public goods – goods that may be consumed by more than one person at the same time w/ little or no extra cost, and for which it is expensive or impossible to exclude those who do not pay (e.g. national defense and flood control). these deviations from the owner-principal’s objective are substantial. Changes in the firm’s performance, perhaps unrelated to a manager’s effort, combined with the unobservable nature of their creative ingenuity presents a difficult principal-agent problem to resolve. This combination makes it difficult for ownerprincipals to know when to blame manageragents for weak performances versus giving them credit for strong performances. Shareholder wealth maximization implies forward-looking, long-run-oriented, dynamic strategies that anticipate change in a risky market environment. Managers can focus on maximizing the discounted present value of the firm’s cash flows if three conditions hold: complete markets, no asymmetric information, and known recontracting costs. Otherwise, they must attend to these complications as well. Governance mechanisms (including internal monitoring by subcommittees appointed by boards of directors and large creditors, internal/external monitoring by large block shareholders, auditing and variance analysis) can be used to mitigate agency problems by limiting managerial discretion. Shareholder wealth maximization implies a firm should be forward-looking, dynamic, and have a long-term outlook; anticipate and manage change; acquire strategic investment opportunities; and maximize the present value of expected cash flows to owners within the boundaries of the statutory law, administrative law, and ethical standards of conduct. Shareholder wealth maximization will be difficult to achieve when firms suffer from problems related to incomplete markets, asymmetric information, and unknown recontracting costs. In the absence of these complications, managers should maximize the present value of the discounted future net cash flows to residual claimants—namely, equity owners. If any of the complicating factors is present, managers must first attend to those issues before attempting to maximize shareholder wealth. Not-for-profit enterprises exist to supply a good or service desired by their primary contributors. Public sector organizations often provide services having significant public-good characteristics. Public goods are goods that can be consumed by more than one person at a time with little additional cost, and for which excluding those who do not pay for the goods is exceptionally difficult or prohibitively expensive. Regardless of their specific objectives, both public and private institutions should seek to furnish their goods or services in the most efficient way, that is, at the least cost possible.