Financial Management in Global Context BMT 6131 – UNIT 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INTERNATIONAL FINANCE Global Economy The world economy is experiencing an exceptionally strong but highly uneven recovery. Global growth is set to reach 5.6 percent in 2021—its strongest post-recession pace in 80 years—in part underpinned by steady but highly unequal vaccine access. Growth is concentrated in a few major economies, with most emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) lagging behind: while about 90 percent of advanced economies are expected to regain their pre-pandemic per capita income levels by 2022, only about one-third of EMDEs are expected to do so. In low-income countries, the effects of the pandemic are reversing earlier gains in poverty reduction and compounding food insecurity and other long-standing challenges. The global outlook remains highly uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Global Economy – Challenges Controlling the pandemic at the global level will require more equitable vaccine distribution, especially for low-income countries. In addition to the necessary efforts to pursue widespread vaccination, policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery through efficiently allocated fiscal support while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. Policy makers can also help entrench a lasting recovery by undertaking growth enhancing reforms and steering their economies onto a green, resilient, and inclusive development path. Prominently among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. Global Financial Markets Major Developments1960s – Emergence of Euromarkets, which were a sort of parallel money markets, virtually free from any regulation – Result was the internationalization of the banking business 1970s – Vigorous Growth in Euromarkets resulting in a number of newer funding techniques 1980s – Unprecedented changes in financial markets around the world Financial Integration Geographical boundaries became blurred leading to the emergence of a global unified financial market. Lenders and borrowers across countries had wide choices around the globe In addition to the geographical integration across markets, functional unification across the various types of financial institutions within individual markets also was witnessed Traditional segmentation between commercial banking, investment banking, consumer finance and so on disappeared – Universal banking institutions and Bank holding companies Conflict of interest began to be addressed post financial turmoil in US and UK Financial Liberalization and Deregulation Liberalization – With regard to cross border transactions – Domestic markets opened up to non-resident investors and resident borrowers allowed to tap foreign markets Deregulation – Elimination of segmentation of the markets for financial services with specialized institutions catering exclusively to a particular segment and measures designed to foster greater competition Other was permitting foreign financial institutions to enter the national markets and compete on an equal footing with the domestic institutions, in offering financial services to borrowers and investors Result of liberalization and deregulation…. Significant increase in competition within the financial services industry Spread on loans, underwriting commissions, and fees of various kinds became rather thin Another factor responsible for this was the tendency on the part of the prime borrowers to approach the investors directly by issuing their own primary securities thus depriving the banks of their role and profits as intermediaries Emergence of SECURITIZATION and DISINTERMEDIATION Birth of Euro (Currency) The formation of European Monetary Union (EMU) and the birth of Euro, in the last part of 1990s, led to the emergence of a very large capital market within the potential to rival the US financial markets as provider of capital to firms and governments around the world Post 2000 witnessed substantial increases in currency reserves, financial account balances, foreign direct investments, portfolio investments across all developed and emerging economies Financial Innovations 1973 – Floating exchange rate system witnessed – exchange rate volatility and substantially higher interest rate volatility Demand for newer kinds of risk management products – Emergence of products like options, swaps, futures and their innumerable permutations and combinations As the traditional sources of income for banks and investment banks were subjected to a squeeze, they started offering complex, innovative deals and products, often tailored to the specific needs of a borrower or an investor (“Structured Products”) (Selling them to the clients without adequately explaining the risks associated with them) Major events…. LDC – Less developed country debt crisis 1987 stock market crash & domino effect East Asian Currency Crisis Russian debacle followed by fall of LTCM ( a giant hedge fund ) (1990) Fall of Lehman Brothers (A giant investment banking firm) Problems of AIG (an insurance firm) in 2008-09 - Need to redesign the regulatory and control apparatus Indian Economy as it stands… RBI - Annual Report 2020-21 - Macro economic and policy indicators.pdf Finance Function Importance of International Financial Management…. For a finance manager, arises from the - Emerging country’s dependence of FDI (Need to be conversant with relevant regulations) -Need for structured financial products (Need to be knowledgeable about financial engineering) -Opportunities for growth of companies through cross border M & A (Need to have a good understanding of assessment of risks in such investments and hence carry out evaluation of desirability of investment accordingly ) -Country risk and currency risk influencing all business entities more than ever before (Need to study concepts related to country credit rating and acquire a good working knowledge of currency risk management tools & techniques) - Need to deal with globally widespread investors, stakeholders and regulators (Need to have a good understanding of operations in international capital markets and related regulations of reporting and disclosure) Key concepts to be looked at… - What is “risk” and what are the various risk management strategies? -Exchange rate theories (What causes exchange rates to move?) -International monetary system : Exchange rate regime & related developments -International banking system -Specific issues in international or cross border investments – International CAPM – Distinct factors to be considered in computation of cost of capital – International Taxation issues – Transfer pricing regulations – Profit repatrition – Expropriation risk -