1 Intended Learning Outcomes – Understand AD – Derive AD graphically and algebraically – Analyze the slope and position of the AD curve 2 Session outline • Derivation of AD Curve • Graphical and Algebraic treatment of AD curve • Slope of AD curve 3 Aggregate Demand (AD) 4 The aggregate demand curve shows the combinations of the price level and the level of output at which the goods and money markets are simultaneously in equilibrium. The AD curve is downward sloping because higher prices reduce the value of money supply , which reduces the demand for output. 5 As a first step towards making the price level an endogenous variable, we develop a new tool called the aggregate demand, or AD curve. We are still treating the price level as exogenous, but we are allowing it to take on alternative exogenously determined values. Each value gives rise to a specific LM curve, and hence to a specific IS-LM equilibrium. 6 DERIVATION OF THE AD CURVE: A GRAPHICAL TREATMENT OF THE AD CURVE The AD curve is drawn by plotting each equilibrium level of national income, Y, against the value of the price level, P, that gave rise to it. Hence, the AD curve plots all combinations of the price level and national income that yield equilibrium in the goods and the asset markets - i.e., the IS-LM equilibrium. With the LM curve, the exogenous variables are the real money supply (M/P), and the constant money demand curve. 7 Since we are going to study how the equilibrium value of Y changes as the price level changes, we can no longer hold P constant. Instead, P will be allowed to vary while the nominal money supply is held constant at some value M0. This changes the real money supply and shifts the LM curve. Changing the price level, shifts the LM curve and produces a new equilibrium level of national income. Plotting that national income against the given price level, yields one point on the AD curve. 8 LM2 (M0/P2) LM1(M0/P1) LM0 (M0/P0) Interest Rate E2 i2 i1 E1 E0 i0 IS0 0 Y2 Price Level P2 Y1 Y0 National Income c b P1 a Po AD 0 Y2 Y1 Y0 National Income 9 DERIVATION OF THE AD CURVE: AN ALGEBRAIC TREATMENT OF THE AD CURVE • We can derive the algebraic version of the AD curve by using the equations of the IS-LM model • Y0 = γA + β(M0/P) ---------------------------(1) • Where: 1 G k G b h b G h k Gb 10 We can focus more explicitly on the price level by simply solving equation (1) for the price level. Rearranging the terms of the resulting equation we have ------------------------------ (2) We can note that, given output and exogenous spending, prices are proportionate to the money stock. Thus changes in M0 translate into proportionate changes in P. 11 The Slope of the AD Curve The slope of the AD curve reflects the extent to which a change in real balances, changes the equilibrium level of spending. – An increase in real balances leads to a larger increase in equilibrium income and spending, the smaller the interest responsiveness of money demand and the higher the interest responsiveness of investment demand. – An increase in real balances leads to a larger increase in equilibrium income and spending, the larger the multiplier and the smaller the income response of money demand. 12 – Because the slope of the AD curve is determined by the effect of a change in real balances on equilibrium spending and output, the same factors that determine the effects of a change in the stock of money on equilibrium output and spending also determine the slope of the AD curve. – The curve is flatter the smaller the interest responsiveness of the demand for money and the larger the interest responsiveness of investment demand. – The AD curve is flatter the larger the multiplier and the smaller the income responsiveness of the demand for money. 13 Price level P0 E P1 E2 E1 AD1 AD2 0 Real national income 14 Shifts in the AD Curve The position of the AD curve depends on autonomous expenditure and monetary conditions in terms of the demand for, and supply of, money. 1. A Change in Autonomous Expenditure: A rise in autonomous expenditure shifts the aggregate expenditure function upwards, and raises the equilibrium level of national income that is associated with any given interest rate and price level. 15 Interest Rate IS0 i1 LM0 (M/P0) E1 E0 i0 0 Price level IS1 Y1 Y0 z P0 Real national income x AD0 0 Y0 This would cause a rise in national income (economic growth) and lead to a fall in unemployment (and vice versa) Y1 AD 1 Real national income 16 2. A Change In Nominal Money Supply: An increase in the nominal money supply shifts the LM curve to the right. This lowers the interest rate, and increases equilibrium national income through the operation of the monetary transmission mechanism. Plotting the new equilibrium level of national income against the existing price level, shows that the aggregate demand curve has shifted rightwards. 17 Interest Rate LM0 (M0/P0) IS0 E0 i1 LM1 (M1/P0) E1 i0 0 Y0 Y1 Real national income P0 AD1 AD0 0 Y0 Y1 Real national income 18