Supply, Demand, and Equilibrium Today: An Introduction to supply and demand, and how they relate to equilibrium Today: Markets Supply, demand, and equilibrium What causes shifts in supply and demand? What happens when supply and/or demand shifts? Supply and Demand Equilibrium When you think of equilibrium, think “stable” Stability comes from nobody having an incentive to change their decisions, given the decisions of others Market Equilibrium Market equilibrium is a situation in which, at the current market price, quantity supplied equals quantity demanded. When the market is in equilibrium, there is no tendency for the price to increase or decrease. Equilibrium: 4 units purchased, at a price of 6 Why is a price of 6 equilibrium? To show that 6 is the equilibrium price, we will show that prices above and below are not in equilibrium We will prove by contradiction that this price could not be equilibrium Suppose that a price (P) of 4 is equilibrium Shortage: excess quantity demanded Excess Demand (Shortage) : A situation in which consumers are willing to buy more than producers are willing to sell. It occurs when market price is lower than equilibrium price. An increase in the Price eliminates the shortage by changing both quantity demanded and quantity supplied until the original equilibrium is established At P = 4: Quantity demanded is 6, quantity supplied is 3.3 At P = 4: Quantity demanded is 6, quantity supplied is 3.33 When P is 4, people are demanding a quantity that is higher than what is supplied Is this an equilibrium? No, this is not stable Someone can increase their production slightly, and sell at a price of 5 to make more profits Surplus: excess quantity supplied Excess Supply (Surplus): A situation in which producers are willing to sell more than consumers are willing to buy. It occurs when market price is above equilibrium price. A decrease in the Price eliminates excess supply by changing both quantity demanded and quantity supplied until the original equilibrium is established Now suppose that P = 9 is an equilibrium Quantity supplied is 6 Quantity demanded is 1 This is not stable either Someone not selling their entire stock can sell for P = 7 to make more money A change in supply versus a movement along the supply curve A change in supply is a shift of the entire supply curve A movement along the supply curve can occur when the supply curve does not move Movement occurs when there is a change in price Similar ideas apply for changes in demand versus a movement along demand curves What causes shifts in demand? The main determinants of demand include: The price of the product Consumer income The price of related goods—substitutes and complements The number of consumer Consumer preferences—tastes and advertising Consumer expectations about future prices What is happening here? The demand curve shifted to the right There is a movement along the supply curve, since supply does not change What is happening here? Note that at any price, a higher quantity is demanded on curve D2 than on D1 The new equilibrium P and quantity (Q) are higher when demand shifts from D1 to D2 What causes shifts in supply? The main determinants of supply include: The price of the product The cost of inputs Anything that changes the cost of production If the cost of production decreases, supply shifts to the right If the cost of production increases, supply shifts to the left What causes shifts in supply? The state of production technology A change in number of suppliers/ producers Producer expectations about future prices Taxes or subsidies from the government What happens when both supply and demand shift? An example: Both supply and demand shift right Shift in supply… …causes Q to increase and P to decrease Movement from A to B A B Shift in demand… …causes Q to increase and P to increase Movement from B to C C B What can we conclusively say about changes in Q and P? Change in supply causes Q to increase and P to decrease Change in demand causes Q to increase and P to increase The only conclusion when both supply and demand shift right is that Q increases Summary The intersection of demand and supply curves determines equilibrium Equilibrium is stable Change in S or D causes the curve to shift A movement along the supply curve can occur when the supply curve does not move Both supply and demand can shift, but be careful of your conclusions