Space Weather Effects on Power Systems D. H. Boteler Geomagnetic Laboratory, Geological Survey of Canada, Ottawa, Canada Space weather disturbances cause geomagnetic field variations that induce electric currents into power transmission systems on the ground. These geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) flow to ground through the windings of power transformers where they produce extra magnetic flux that can saturate the transformer core. This leads to transformer heating, increased power demand, and ac harmonic generation, which can interfere with power system operation. This paper examines the magnetic disturbances on March 24, 1940, February 11, 1958, August 4, 1972, and March 13, 1989 that were responsible for the most significant power system effects. The blackout of the Hydro-Quebec system on March 13, 1989 was due to an enhancement of a westward substorm electrojet resulting from loading and unloading of energy in the magnetosphere. Power system effects, including transformer overheating, later on March 13 can be attributed to an eastward convection electrojet caused by the 'directlydriven' flow of energy from the solar wind. Power system problems during the earlier disturbances are also shown to be caused by rapid changes of the convection electrojets. This shows that the convection current systems, as well as substorm currents, need to be included when predicting space weather effects on power systems. 1. INTRODUCTION The first magnetic storm that had a noticeable effect on power systems occurred on March 24,1940 (Davidson, 1940). Power systems were again affected during the magnetic storm of February 10, 1958; however, it was not until 1967 that detailed investigations began (Slothower and Albertson, 1967). In the following years an extensive investigation was made by Alberston and co-workers who showed how widespread was the occurrence of geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) and the range of effects they could have on power systems (Albertson et al, 1973,1974). Some of their recording systems were still deployed during the major magnetic disturbance on August 4, 1972 and this became one of the best documented GIC events (Albertson and Thorson, 1974). Space Weather Geophysical Monograph 125 Copyright 2001 by the American Geophysical Union 347 During solar cycle 21 there were no major effects on power systems due to magnetic disturbances. However, a number of studies gathered more information about the processes involved and how to model them. In Finland, Pirjola and co-workers made a long series of GIC recordings and developed techniques for calculating the electric fields and GIC produced in a power system during geomagnetic disturbances (Pirjola, 1985; Lehtinen and Pirjola, 1985; Pirjola and Lehtinen, 1985). In North America, Bolduc and Aubin (1978) showed how to calculate the transformer saturation produced by GIC, Boteler et al (1989) reported observations of the increased ac harmonics that result from saturation, and Albertson et al (1981) and Kappenman et al (1981) studied how these geomagnetic effects influenced power system operation. In spite of the aforementioned studies, the arrival of the magnetic storm on March 13, 1989, during the up-swing of solar cycle 22, and its effects on power systems came as a surprise. The storm was one of the largest recorded since observations began in the 1840s and produced widespread technological effects (Allen et al, 1989). Power systems in 348 SPACE WEATHER EFFECTS ON POWER SYSTEMS 18300 •v r 18200 18100 18000 17900 17800 17700 00 06 00 12 18 06 12 | l—| I / 00 06 12 111111111111111 18 00 06 18 12 00UT 18EST Widespread transformer trips Power surges and voltage dips 1 Effects on land line services Figure 1. The March 24, 1940 magnetic disturbance (as shown by hourly means from Cheltenham) plus the .times of power system problems. North America and Europe experienced relay trips, voltage drops, and transformer heating. The most significant effect was a blackout of the Hydro-Quebec power system. Space weather affects power systems because geomagnetic field variations induce electric currents into the power transmission lines. These GIC flow to and from ground through the windings of power transformers and cause partial saturation of the transformer core. This disrupts the ac operation of the transformer causing extra heating that can damage winding insulation, increased reactive power demand leading to a drop in system voltage, and higher levels of ac harmonics which can trigger tripping of protective relays. In extreme cases, the combination of all these things can have serious effects on system stability and lead to a power blackout such as occurred on the Hydro-Quebec system. There are a number of possibilities for preventing these space weather effects. Some transformers (3-phase 3-legged core type) are less susceptible to saturation from GIC. However changing existing transformers to this type is uneconomic and for handling high power levels a 3-phase transformer in one unit becomes impractically large and sets of 3 single-phase transformers are used instead. An alternative approach involves blocking the flow of GIC. Hydro-Quebec have placed blocking capacitors in their power transmission lines, and Kappenman et al (1991) have developed a suitable device for insertion in transformer neutral-ground connections. These remedies are not considered economic for all systems and many power system operators rely on advance warning of magnetic storms to implement operating strategies designed to reduce system vulnerability. Several studies have been made to assess the geomagnetic hazard to particular power systems (Makinen, 1993; Boteler et al, 1997). Such work can determine, in general statistical terms, the size of GIC that can be expected during different levels of geomagnetic activity. However, in real-time forecasting we are trying to predict the GIC and power system response that will be produced by specific events. To help in this endeavour it is worth looking at exactly what characteristics of past disturbances produced significant effects on power systems. This paper presents a summary of the power system effects and examines their cause for the four magnetic disturbances that have had the biggest impact on power systems: March 24,1940; February 10, 1958; August 4, 1972; and March 13, 1989. Identifying the magnetospheric and ionospheric current systems responsible for the critical geomagnetic field variations should help in forecasting future space weather effects on power systems. 2. MARCH 24, 1940 On Easter Sunday 1940 a magnetic storm produced wide­ spread effects on power systems and communication systems. Germaine (1940) reports that effects on land line services occurred between 10.00 and 16.00 Eastern standard time (EST). Davidson (1940) provides detailed accounts of the power system problems, including the following items: Minneapolis area: 10.45 am to 1.45 pm EST power system disturbances 11.50 am EST most severe power surges Central Maine: 10.50 am to 2.00 pm EST numerous voltage dips 11.48 am EST two transformer banks tripped out Eastern Pennsylvania: 11.48 am EST reactive power surges of 20% and two 75,000 KVA transformer banks tripped Chats Falls, Ontario: 11.48 am EST four transformers tripped out These reports show that the peak of the disturbance occurred just before local noon in eastern North America. The original magnetic observatory recordings of the March 24, 1940 magnetic storm have been lost or were off scale. However some information about the disturbance can still be obtained from the archived hourly mean values. Figure 1 shows the hourly mean values from Cheltenham magnetic observatory (Geograph. Lat. 38.7 Long. 283.2) on the east coast of the United States. This shows that the power system problems occurred at the time of large negative change in the northward magnetic field. Such a change would be produced by enhancement of an overhead westward electric current. 3. FEBRUARY 10-11,1958 A major magnetic storm occurred on February 10-11,1958 and produced effects on a number of power systems in North America. Slothower and Albertson (1967) report large reactive BOTELER 349 .,4 Deastl si]»l / V, • * _ , <\ —1—1—t— -4- Keactive Fower JJ 02 1 | Ji . Real Power — T l Magi letic Field at ginco urt, Canat la "i * ^ | FT-—(• owe rFlow s in Milinesot a lit 1 inj *»*-^ 03 ! ^3T * 04 Time in U.T. Hours Figure 2. Magnetogram from Agincourt and reactive power flow in Minnesota showing the increase in reactive power flow at 02.00 UT concides with an increase in magnetic activity. power flows seen on the Northern States Power Company lines at Minnesota. In Ontario transformers at Port Arthur and Raynor Generating Station were simultaneously tripped by differential relay operation (Acres, 1975). Figure 2 shows that the start of increased reactive power flow and the transformer trips coincided with a sudden increase in magnetic activity at 02.00 UT recorded at the Agincourt Magnetic Observatory near Toronto. A sudden jump in the magnetic field was also recorded on the rapid-run magnetogram at Fredericksburg (Winckler et al, 1959). The Fredericksburg magnetogram shows a positive excursion in H at the time of the power system problems. Agincourt magnetic recordings were off scale for the worst part of the storm, however notes of the daily extremes made by the observatory operators (Ross and Evans, 1962) record that a maximum positive excursion of 949 nT occurred at 02.53 UT on February 11. Both the Fredericksburg and Agincourt magnetic excursions indicate that an eastward electrojet was responsible for the magnetic disturbance that caused the power system effects in Minnesota and Ontario. began at 22.42 UT. At this time there was also an outage of the L4 communication cable system in the mid-western United States. An investigation by Anderson et al (1974) found that the system outage coincided with a particularly rapid change of the magnetic field. The disturbance was centred over western Canada with a peak rate of change of magnetic field intensity of 2200nT/min. The disturbance extended down over the midwestern United States, and the rate of change of the magnetic field at the cable location was estimated to be 700 nT/min. Satellite observations showed that at the time of the power system and cable disturbances there was a severe compression of the magnetopause and Anderson et al (1974) concluded that currents on the magnetopause were responsible for the magnetic field variations that caused the problems. However, recent model calculations by Boteler and Jansen van Beek (1999) have shown that the observed magnetic disturbance was too localised to have been caused by magnetopause currents. Contour plots of the disturbance are instead consistent with an ionospheric current as the source. Equivalent current plots (Figure 3) derived from the observed magnetic field variations show that a rapid intensification of an eastward electrojet was responsible for the magnetic disturbance and the power system and cable problems. 5. MARCH 13, 1989 On March 13,1989 power systems experienced one of the largest magnetic storms ever recorded. The resulting geomagnetically induced currents caused widespread problems. 4. AUGUST 4,1972 On August 4,1972 a magnetic storm produced widespread effects on power systems in the United States and Canada (Albertson and Thorson, 1974; Acres, 1975). These included tripping of transformers and capacitor banks, increased reactive power demand and voltage drops. The most pronounced effects Figure 3. Equivalent current vectors derived from ground magnetic field hourly mean values centred at 22.30 UT, Aug 4, 1972. The length of the vectors indicates the size of the currents. 350 SPACE WEATHER EFFECTS ON POWER SYSTEMS found of heating on the phase B transformer of Salem unit 2 and this transformer was removed from service and had to be replaced (Balma, 1992). Because the transformer damage was only discovered after the storm it is not possible to unequivocally identify which phase of the disturbance was the cause. However, data from the Fredericksburg magnetic observatory, near the Allegheny and PJM systems, can be used to show when these systems experienced the largest disturbance. Figure 6 shows the largest disturbance was a positive excursion in B at approximately 22.00 UT (17.00 EST) which coincides with the power system problems mentioned earlier. This suggests the transformer damage on the Allegheny and PJM systems was caused by the eastward electrojet that occurred in the evening sector on March 13. x 00 06 13 March 1989 12 18 U.T. 00 06 12 14 March 1989 Figure 4. Magnetic variations on March 13, 1989 at Ottawa and the times of power system problems. In North America these effects occurred at six times during the storm as shown in Figure 4 (Boteler and Jansen van Beek, 1993). In addition, damage due to transformer heating was detected after the storm. The most significant effect produced by the March 13, disturbance was the Hydro-Quebec blackout. Technical descriptions of the power system problems are given by Czech et al (1992) and Blais and Metsa (1993). The system collapse at 07.45 UT coincided with the onset of a magnetic substorm associated with the rapid increase of a westward electrojet. Widespread power system problems also occurred later in the storm at 21.58 UT. Equivalent current plots derived from the magnetic observatory recordings show that there was a strong eastward electrojet extending across North America at this time (Figure 5). On March 14 the Meadow Brook 500/138 kV power transformer on the Allegheny power system was removed from service because of evidence of heating (Gattens et al, 1989). Inspection found 4 areas of discolored paint on Phases 1 and 2 coils on both HV and LV sides. Calculations showed that total saturation of the core would produce a temperature of400°C in part of the transformer tank. Gattens et al estimated that GIC of 80 A would have been necessary to produce the damage that was found. Seven days after the storm, routine tests on the Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland (PJM) system found indications of transformer overheating at the Salem nuclear power station (Balma, 1992). Further tests later in March confirmed this evidence and the transformers were removed from service. Subsequent inspection showed damage in the A phase and C phase transformers of Salem unit 1 and the transformers had to be replaced. In phase B, the damage was not as severe. However, in September 1989 evidence was 6. DISCUSSION The ionospheric currents responsible for the magnetic disturbances that affect power systems at mid to high latitudes are associated with two different processes in the magnetosphere (see Rostoker, 1991; McPherron, 1995). Eastward and westward convection electrojets in the evening and morning sectors are part of a two cell current circulation in the polar cap and auroral zone. This results from convection of magnetic field lines within the magnetosphere which is directly driven by coupling of energy from the solar wind. In the midnight sector a westward substorm electrojet occurs as a result of disruption of a cross-tail current and its diversion Figure 5. Equivalent current vectors derived from ground magnetic field observations at 21.58 UT, March 13, 1989. BOTELER 351 1200 r I • . i • . i . . i . . i • . t . . i . . i . . i . . i . . i . . i . • i . . i . . i . . i . . i 00 06 12 18 March 13 00 U T 06 12 18 March 14 00 Figure 6. Magnetic variations on March 13, 1989 recorded at Fredericksburg, showing the disturbance at 22.00 UT experienced by the Allegheny and PJM systems. through field-aligned currents into the ionosphere. This is part of a sequence involving loading of energy into the tail of the magnetosphere and its subsequent unloading into the auroral ionosphere. It has generally been thought that the directlydriven convection electrojets vary slowly, and that only the loading and unloading of energy leading to the substorm electrojet would cause the rapid magnetic field variations that produce power system problems. Reviewing the disturbances considered in this paper can give a guide to the current systems responsible for major power system effects. The Hydro-Quebec blackout on March 13, 1989, was caused by the rapid intensification of a nightside westward electrojet and represents a good example of problems due to the substorm process of loading and unloading of energy in the magnetosphere. However, power system effects later in the day were caused by an eastward electrojet which is part of the directly-driven convection current system. This indicates that the convection current system, as well as the substorm current system, can vary fast enough to cause power system problems. Of the earlier disturbances, both the power system effects and the L4 cable outage on August 4, 1972 and the power system effects on February 10, 1958 have been shown to coincide with eastward electrojets. The eastward electrojet is unambiguously identified with the convection current system so the cause of the disturbances in these two cases is clear. The power system problems in eastern North America on March 24, 1940 are associated with a westward ionospheric current which can be produced by either the substorm or convection systems. In this case the location of the disturbance near local noon excludes the substorm current system as the cause. If the disturbance is due to the convection current system there should be a simultaneous increase in the eastward electrojet in the evening sector. At the time of the disturbance observatories in Europe were in the evening sector and show a positive change in the northwards magnetic field indicative of a strong eastward electrojet. These observations are consistent with the two-cell convection current system with an eastward electrojet in the evening sector over Europe and a westward electrojet in the morning and extending round to noon over North America. The events presented here are not claimed to be a complete list of space weather disturbances affecting power systems. Also, this analysis has concentrated on effects to power systems in North America and a similar analysis needs to be done to trace the cause of power system effects in Europe and other regions. No conclusions can therefore be drawn about the relative importance of the substorm or convection current systems in causing GIC problems. However the results presented here show that the convection current system can vary fast enough to cause significant GIC effects. Thus both the substorm and convection current systems need to be considered when trying to predict space weather effects on power systems. 7. CONCLUSIONS Space weather effects on power systems have been reported for the last sixty years. Particularly significant effects were observed in North America during major disturbances on March 24, 1940, February 10, 1958, August 4, 1972, and March 13,1989. The effects range from relay trips and voltage dips to a widespread blackout and transformer damage. The March 13,1989 power system effects can be linked to two different ionospheric current systems. The Hydro-Quebec blackout and effects on other power systems at 07.45 UT were caused by the sudden enhancement of a westward substorm electrojet. In contrast, power system effects at 21.58 UT were produced by an eastward convection electrojet. Transformer damage, discovered later, was likely also caused by this eastward electrojet. Power system effects during the August 4, 1972 and February 10, 1958 disturbances were produced by rapid changes of an eastward electrojet produced by a sudden increase in magnetospheric convection. On March 24, 1940 power system problems in North America occurred just before local noon and were associated with a westward ionospheric current. This coincided with an eastward electrojet in the evening sector which is indicative of an enhanced convection current system. Both the loading and unloading substorm process and the directly driven convection process can produce sudden changes of the ionospheric currents and the large magnetic field changes that cause power system problems. 352 SPACE WEATHER EFFECTS ON POWER SYSTEMS Acknowledgements. This work was funded by the Geological Survey of Canada and Ontario Hydro. I am grateful to Dr L. Trichtchenko, G. Jansen van Beek, and R. Libbey for help with the preparation of this paper. system blackout of 13 March 1989: System response to geomagnetic disturbance, Proc. Geomagnetically Induced Currents Conference, Nov 8-10,1989, Millbrae, California, EPRI Report TR-100450,1992. 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