The Trading System Chapter 2 GATT • General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was established in Geneva in 1947. • Objectives – The objective was to create a framework that would regulate international trade and stimulate international commerce. – To establish an orderly and transparent framework within which barriers to trade could be gradually reduced, and international trade thereby expanded. Objectives of GATT • The most important elements of the Agreement included those of: • non-discrimination: the Most Favored Nation (MFN) principle • reciprocity • transparency • tariff reduction. Exception and Waivers • developing countries were given special status. • countries that offer each other more favorable treatment within a custom's union were allowed to waive full adherence to the MFN clause. • agricultural trade was given special treatment, especially with regard to non-tariff barriers. Uruguay Round • The Uruguay round was launched at a meeting of trade ministers in Punte del Este, Uruguay, in October 1986. • It was expected to last for four to five years and instead took around eight years (until December 1993). • What made the Uruguay round so contentious? Uruguay round GATT Negotiations vs Old GATT • The old GATT was often criticized because it lacked an enforcement mechanism • One of the most sustentative achievement of the Uruguay round was the creation of a new international institutions, the WTO. • The WTO is responsible for enforcing existing international trade agreements and serve as a host for new talks to liberalize trade. INTRODUCTION • The World Trade Organization (WTO) deals with the rules of trade between nations at a global or nearglobal level. • • • • It’s an organization for liberalizing trade. Above all, it’s a negotiating forum It’s a set of rules And it helps to settle disputes • As of now, 159 countries are members of WTO Time Line WTO Structure Ministerial conference Trade Policy Review Body Committe es/workin g Parties Council for trade in goods General council Council for TRIPS Council for Trade in services Dispute Settlement Body(DSB) Plurilaterals Trade Negotiation s Committee Objectives of WTO To raise the standard of living in member countries by ensuring full employment and by expanding production and trade in goods and services. To develop an integrated, viable and durable multilateral trading system. To promote sustainable development in member countries by the optimal use of resources. To help the developing countries to get a share in the growth in the international trade. To reduce tariffs and other trade barriers among member countries and to eliminate discriminatory treatment in international trade relations. To insure linkages between trade policies, environmental policies and sustainable development. Function of WTO 1) It facilitates the implementation, administration and operation of the trade agreements. 2) It provides the forum for further negotiations among member countries on matters covered by the agreement as well as the new issues falling within its mandate. 3) It is responsible for the settlement of the differences and dispute among its member countries. 4) It is responsible for carrying out periodic reviews of the trade policies of its member countries. 5) It assists developing countries in trade policies issues through technical assistance and training programme. 6) It encourages co-operation within international organizations. Core Principles of WTO Non - Discrimination Reciprocity of Trade Concessions MFN - Any trade concession a nation offers to one member, it must offer to all Trade Liberalization Transparency and predictability in import and export rules and regulations. Favorable treatment to less developed countries. National Treatment. This means that imported products must be treated the same as domestic goods. WTO vs GATT: Main differences • Nature • GATT: applied on a provisional basis with no institutional framework • WTO: permanent framework with a permanent organization • Scope • GATT: trade in goods • WTO: trade in goods and services and TRIPS • Approach • GATT: à la carte (many agreements selective) • WTO: single undertaking • Dispute settlement Trade Blocs Definition • A trade bloc can be defined as a ‘preferential trade agreement’ (PTA) between a subset of countries, designed to significantly reduce or remove trade barriers within member countries. • When a trade bloc comprises neighboring or geographically close countries, it is referred to as a ‘regional trade (or integration) agreement’. • It is sometimes also referred to as a ‘natural’ trade bloc to underline that the preferential trade is between countries that have presumably low transport costs or trade intensively with one another. Characteristics • The two principal characteristics of a trade bloc are that: – (1) it implies a reduction or elimination of barriers to trade, and – (2) this trade liberalization is discriminatory, in the sense that it applies only to the member countries of the trade bloc, outside countries being discriminated against in their trade relations with trade bloc members. • Though few, there exist as well regional integration agreements in which co-operation rather than preferential market access is emphasized. Characteristics • Trade blocs can also entail deeper forms of integration, for instance of international competition, investment, labor and capital markets (including movements of factors of production), monetary policy, etc. Why Blocs are Good or Bad • Blocs are Good: – Forming a free trade area must be good because it is a move towards free trade – Free trade should improve welfare in these countries • Blocs are Bad: – Blocs may encourage people to buy from a high cost partner supplier – Trade regulations are still a problem – Countries create friction with those that are left outside of the bloc Other Gains from a Trade Bloc • Increase in Competition can reduce prices • An increase in competition can lower production costs • Firms can lower costs by expanding their scales of production • Forming the trade bloc increases opportunities for business investments Types of Economic Blocs Four stages (types) of economic integration • FTA (free trade area): • no internal tariffs among members, but each country imposes its own external tariffs to the third country. • NAFTA (North America Free Trade Agreement • AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area) • EFTA (European Free Trade Area) • Customs union: • • • • no internal tariffs and common external tariffs Mercosur (Southern Common Market), CACM (Central American Common Market) CARICOM (Caribbean Community and Common Market) Four stages (types) of economic integration • Common market: • free movement of products and factors (resources), which is customs union plus factor mobility • EU (European Union – previously EEC) • Economic union: • common market plus common currency • coordination of fiscal and monetary policy • EMU (Economic and Monetary Union) Levels of economic integration • Free trade area • Customs union • Common market • Economic union • Political union 8-25 Levels of economic integration Fig 8.1 8-26 Types of Economic Blocs Features of Bloc Type of Bloc Free Trade Among Members Common External Tariffs Free Movement of Factors of Production Free-trade Area Customs Union Common Market Economic Union Harmonization of All Economic Policies Economic case for integration • Stimulates economic growth in countries • Increases FDI and world production • Countries specialize in those goods and services efficiently produce. • Additional gains from free trade beyond the international agreements such as GATT and WTO • Because they may be easier to negotiate outside of the GATT and WTO 8-28 The political case for integration • Economic interdependence creates incentives for political cooperation • This reduces potential for violent confrontation. • Together, the countries have more economic clout to enhance trade with other countries or trading blocs 8-29 Impediments to integration • Integration is hard to achieve and sustain • Nation may benefit but groups within countries may be hurt • Potential loss of sovereignty and control over domestic issues 8-30 Major Trade Blocs • NAFTA • EU • OECD • OPEC • SAAR • ASEAN Reasons for BLOCs • Several reasons explain the recent emergence of trade blocs. • The so-called ‘old regionalism’ was motivated by the desire to pursue in developing countries importsubstitution development at a regional level, to insulate a region from the world economy and to stabilize and foster the economy at a regional level. Political and economic considerations also played a major role. Reasons for BLOCs • The recent emergence of trade blocs (the so-called ‘new regionalism’) has been explained by various factors. • Recognizing the gains from liberalization, it is often argued that concluding a PTA is politically easier than pursuing multilateral trade liberalization agreements. It is easier to negotiate with few partners than with a large number of participants in the multilateral process as envisaged under the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT)/World Trade Organization (WTO). • Not only concessions can be more easily exchanged among a small number of countries, but effective enforcement mechanisms can also be agreed upon at a lower cost. • The length and difficulties encountered during the Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations (1986-1994) is usually considered to have contributed to increase the attractiveness of the regional (i.e. preferential) path to trade liberalization. Reasons for BLOCs • PTAs also allow trading partners to go deeper and faster in their liberalization process, addressing modern trade barriers which are more varied, more complex and less transparent than standard tariffs and quotas traditionally considered under GATT Rounds. • Preferential integration agreements can also entail elements beyond standard trade policy concerns, such as competition, investments, labour and capital market considerations. • In other words, the fewer the number of participants to trade negotiations, the larger the number of issues on which it is possible to reach an agreement. Reasons for BLOCs • Finally, trade blocs may serve to pursue noneconomic objectives, or objectives beyond the immediate economic concerns of a PTA, such as political stability, democratic development or security issues (either domestic security, or as a response to third-country security threats, or security threats between partner countries) Economic effects of economic integration • Static effects: Short-term effects (shift of production) • Trade creation: production shifts to more efficient member countries from inefficient domestic or outside countries. • Trade diversion: production shift to inefficient member countries from more efficient outsiders. • Dynamic effects: Long-term effects • Cost reduction due to economies of scale • Cost reduction due to increased competition. European Union Regional economic integration in Europe • Europe has two trade blocks • European Union • Seen as the emerging power with almost 27 members • European Free Trade Association • Has only four members 8-38 Evolution of the European Union • Product of two political factors: • Devastation of WWI and WWII and desire for peace • Desire for European nations to hold their own, politically and economically, on the world stage • 1951 - European Coal and Steel Community. • 1957- Treaty of Rome establishes the European Community • 1994 - Treaty of Maastricht changes name to the European Union 8-39 8-40 Political structure of the European Union • European Commission – 27 Commissioners appointed by members for 5 year terms – A president of the commission is chosen by member states, the president then chooses other members in consultation with the states. – Entire commission has to be approved by European parliament before it can begin work. – Proposing, implementing and monitoring legislation – set objectives and priorities for action – propose legislation to Parliament and Council – manage and implement EU policies and the budget – enforce European Law (jointly with the Court of Justice) – represent the EU outside Europe (negotiating trade agreements between the EU and other countries, etc.). Political structure of the European Union • European council • Heads of state and commission • President resolves policy issues and sets policy direction • Defines "the general political directions and priorities" of the Union. It is thus the Union's strategic (and crisis solving) body, acting as the collective presidency of the EU. • Votes that a country gets in the council are related to the size of the country 8-42 Political structure of the European Union • European parliament • 766 directly elected members • Propose amendments to legislation, veto power over budget and single-market legislation, appoint commissioners • Court of justice • Council of ministers 8-43 Political structure of the European Union • Court of justice – The Court of Justice interprets EU law to make sure it is applied in the same way in all EU countries. It also settles legal disputes between EU governments and EU institutions. Individuals, companies or organisations can also bring cases before the Court if they feel their rights have been infringed by an EU institution. – One judge from each country – Hears appeals of EU laws • Council of ministers – One representative from each member country – Ultimate controlling authority – No EU laws without approval 8-44 EURO – Currency of the World?? • Maastricht Treaty in 1991 committed to adopting a common currency by 1999. • 18 of the 28 nations in Europe use this currency. • The name euro was officially adopted on 16 December 1995. The euro was introduced to world financial markets as an accounting currency on 1 January 1999, replacing the former European Currency Unit (ECU) at a ratio of 1:1 (US$1.1743). Euro coins and bank notes entered circulation on 1 January 2002 8-46 The Euro: Benefits and costs • Benefits: • • • • • Savings from using only one currency Easy to compare prices, resulting in lower prices Forces efficiency and slashing costs. Creates liquid pan-Europe capital market. Increases range of investments for individuals and institutions 8-47 The Euro: Costs and benefits • Costs: • Countries lose monetary policy control. • European Central Bank controls policy for the “Euro zone” • EU is not an” optimal currency area”. • Country economies are different • Euro puts the economic cart before the political horse Enlargement of the EU • EU in 2014 is the single largest market with a population greater than the US. • Accounts for 1/6th of the worlds trade. – Population of EU is about 504 million, 7.4 % of the world. – Create European barriers to trade from the outside? – Might effect EU bureaucracy and decision making process • More countries are set to join the EU. 8-48 • The EU is the world’s largest trading bloc, and second largest economy, after the USA. In 2014 the value of the EU's output totalled $18.5 trillion • . The five largest Economies, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy and Spain, account for around 70% of the 28-country trading bloc. Members • Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom • On 23 June 2016, the United Kingdom voted in a referendum to leave the European Union after 43 years as a member state. The process was officially initiated on 29 March 2017, indicating that the UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019 • Population estimated at 515 million (July 2016); • GDP (PPP) estimated at US$19.18 trillion (2016); and Total Trade US$4.503 trillion (2014 est.) NAFTA NAFTA The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • Agreement signed on 1 January 1994. • Members: Canada, Mexico, and the United States of America. • Goals: Eliminate trade barriers among member states, promote conditions for free trade, increase investment opportunities, and protect intellectual property rights. • Population of over 478 million (July 2015 est.,) • GDP (PPP) US$21.818 trillion (2015 est.,) Purpose • Grant the signatories most favored nation status. • Eliminate barriers to trade and facilitate the cross-border movement of goods and services. • Promote conditions of fair competition. • Increase investment opportunities. • Provide protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights. • Create procedures for the resolution of trade disputes. • Establish a framework for further trilateral, regional, and multilateral cooperation to expand the trade agreement's benefits. Provisions of NAFTA • Elimination of tariffs • Elimination of nontariff barriers • Harmonization of trade rules (subsidies, antidumping, safety standards) • Liberalization of capital movement (FDI) • Protection of intellectual properties • Dispute settlement • Provisions on labor and environmental standards Economic Effects of NAFTA • Trade • Trade among members increased faster than trade with the rest of world • Investment • Mexico is the main beneficiary (FDI not only from the U.S. and Canada, but also from other countries) • Employment • Difficult to measure because of too many confounding variables • Overall employment effect in the area including the U.S. has been positive Issues related to NAFTA • Rule of origin and local content – Rule of origin: products must originate from North America to get preferential treatment. – Local content: the percentage of value of a product that must be from North America to be considered as North American origin – Currently 50% for most products and 62.5% for autos. Political pressure to increase this percentage Regional economic integration of the Americas • Regional economic integration is on the rise in the Map 8.3 Americas • NAFTA • MERCOSUR • Plans for FTAA 8-60 PROS NAFTA • Enlarged and productive regional base • Labor-intensive industries move to Mexico • Mexico gets investment and employment • Increased Mexican income to buy US/Canada goods • Demand for goods increases jobs • Consumers get lower prices 8-61 CONS • Loss of jobs to Mexico • Mexican firms have to compete against efficient US/Canada firms • Mexican firms become more efficient • Environmental degradation • Loss of national sovereignty U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) • The Agreement between the United States of America, the United Mexican States, and Canada (USMCA) is a free trade agreement between Canada, Mexico, and the United States that has been ratified by each country except Canada. • Rather than a wholly new agreement, it has been characterized as "NAFTA 2.0 Provisions • Canada will curb some of the ways it protects its dairy industry, such as allowing more American milk, butter, cheese and other dairy products to enter Canada dutyfree, with reciprocal treatment for Canadian dairy exports to the U.S. • Starting as early as 2020, to qualify for zero tariffs when crossing borders, a car or truck must have 75% of its components manufactured in Canada, the U.S. or Mexico, up from 62.5% currently. • Stronger protections for patents and trademarks in areas such as biotech, financial services and domain names MERCOSUR MERCOSUR • Goals: Integration of member states for acceleration of sustained economic development based on social justice, environmental protection, and combating poverty. • Population: 295 million people (2014 est.); • GDP (PPP): US$3.2 trillion • Official site is available only in Spanish and Portuguese. • Established on 26 March 1991 with the Treaty of Assunción. • Full members include Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Venezuela. Associate members include Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru. • Associate members have access to preferential trade but not to tariff benefits of full members. Guyana and Suriname signed Framework Agreements in 2013. • Mexico, interested in becoming a member of the region, has an observer status. ASEAN Association of South East Asian Nations • Established on August 8, 1967, in Bangkok/Thailand. • Member States: Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. • Goals: (1) Accelerate economic growth, social progress and cultural development in the region and (2) Promote regional peace and stability and adhere to United Nations Charter. • Important Indicators for 2014: Population 622 million; GDP US$2.6 trillion; and Total Trade US$1 trillion. Association of South East Asian Nations ASEAN • The most important elements of economic cooperation are trade liberalization, industrial development, banking and finance, and investment. • Trade liberalization was intensified in 1992 with the establishment of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) over a period of ten years. • Also, various schemes of industrial cooperation were established during the 1970s and 1980s and there was cooperation in the fields of tourism, services, and intellectual property. • Although AFTA will not lead to complete free trade and its trade liberalization process has been modest, it has grown into an important regional arrangement. SAARC South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation • Its member states include Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, the Maldives, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. • SAARC comprises 3% of the world's area, 21% of the world's population and 3.8% (US$ 2.9 trillion) of the global economy, as of 2015. • SAARC was founded in Dhaka on 8th December, 1985. Its secretariat is based in Kathmandu, Nepal • The organization promotes development of economic and regional integration. • SAARC maintains permanent diplomatic relations at the United Nations as an observer and has developed links with multilateral entities, including the European Union. South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation - SAARC • The SAARC was set up in 1985 with seven members: Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. This arrangement mostly involves functional cooperation in the areas of agriculture, poverty alleviation, transport, and telecommunications. • Trade and economic cooperation was initiated through the South Asian Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA) with the aim of encouraging the removal of tariff and nontariff barriers and of working toward the creation of a free-trade area (SAFTA) by 2005. • The SAARC has no institutional arrangements and its goals are very modest, the main reason being divergent views among members and territorial conflicts especially between India and Pakistan. Impact on business • Opportunities: Creation of single markets • Protected markets, now open • Lower costs doing business in single market • Threats: • Differences in culture and competitive practices make realizing economies of scale difficult • More price competition • Outside firms shut out of market • EU intervention in mergers and acquisitions 8-72 • The emergence of Asia from the underdevelopment that persisted until the middle of the last century is the great economic achievement of our time. • This has created a new model for economic growth built on globalization and the patient accumulation of human and nonhuman capital over decades. • The new growth paradigm places a premium on skillful management by public and private authorities. • The performance of the leading countries in developing this paradigm – Japan, then the Asian Tigers, and now China and India – has changed the course of economic development in Asia and around the world. OECD • The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) is an international organisation that works to build better policies for better lives. • Its goal is to shape policies that foster prosperity, equality, opportunity and well-being for all. Member countries span the globe, from North and South America to Europe and Asia-Pacific • the OECD brings around its table 39 countries that account for 80% of world trade and investment, giving it a pivotal role in addressing the challenges facing the world economy • 36 Member countries span the globe, from North and South America to Europe and Asia-Pacific. • They are represented by ambassadors at the OECD Council, which defines and oversees our work, as set out in the OECD Convention. • Member countries engage with the experts, use the data and analysis to inform policy decisions, and play a key role in our country reviews, which are designed to encourage better performances. • The European Commission participates in the work, but it does not have the right to vote. • Members • • • • • • • • • • • • Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany New Zealand • • • • • • • • • • • • • Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Latvia Lithuania Luxemburg Mexico Netherlands Members • • • • • • • • • • • Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United kingdom United states OPEC Threats to Open Trading System Issues raised by WTO during the Millennium round of trade negotiations • Simplification of customs procedures. • Increasing transparency in government procurement of goods and services. • Granting duty-free access to ADC markets for the poorest countries. • Extension ofthe interim agreement not to impose customs duties on Internet transactions or e-commerce. • Further reduction of trade barriers on industrial products. • Reductions of barriers, particularly high tariffs in less developed countries, to trade in services, including information technology, financial services, and telecommunications. • Reduction offishing subsidies that promote over-fishing. • Reviewing WTO antidumping and antisubsidy rules to curb abuse ofthese otherwise legitimate trade rules. • Paving the way for agreement on foreign investment and competition Policy • Reviewing problems in implementing existing (“builtin”) agreements on textiles, intellectual property protection, and investment rules. • Establishing a forum involving the World Trade Organization, • International Labor Organization, and United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), as well as other organizations to discuss links among trade, economic development, and labor questions Major Threats “issues of fair labor standards, human rights, and environmental protection center” Threats • Protectionist measures • Competition from products of other countries in the home country lead to such measures. • Regionalism • Formation of custom unions and free trade agreements are examples of such challenges. • Non tariff barriers • Sector specific barriers • To protect agriculture in the home country, products from other economies are discouraged. Other topics for Discussion • Developments in Open Trade Theory • Bilateral Agreements • Multilateral Agreements