Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 DOI 10.1007/s11096-016-0300-y COMMENTARY Future methods in pharmacy practice research A. B. Almarsdottir2 • Z. U. D. Babar1,3 Received: 3 August 2015 / Accepted: 11 April 2016 / Published online: 21 May 2016 Springer International Publishing 2016 Abstract This article describes the current and future practice of pharmacy scenario underpinning and guiding this research and then suggests future directions and strategies for such research. First, it sets the scene by discussing the key drivers which could influence the change in pharmacy practice research. These are demographics, technology and professional standards. Second, deriving from this, it seeks to predict and forecast the future shifts in use of methodologies. Third, new research areas and availability of data impacting on future methods are discussed. These include the impact of aging information technology users on healthcare, understanding and responding to cultural and social disparities, implementing multidisciplinary initiatives to improve health care, medicines optimization and predictive risk analysis, and pharmacy as business and health care institution. Finally, implications of the trends for pharmacy practice research methods are discussed. Keywords Future Pharmacy practice Research methods & Z. U. D. Babar z.babar@auckland.ac.nz 1 School of Pharmacy, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Building 505, Park Road, Grafton, Private Bag 92019, Auckland, New Zealand 2 Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark 3 Lahore Pharmacy College (A project of Lahore Medical and Dental College), Tulspura Canal Bank, Lahore 53400, Pakistan 123 Impacts of practice • • • Demographics, technology and professional standards can influence change in pharmacy practice and it’s research. Use of technology and secondary data generation has also an impact on how pharmacy is being practiced. Researchers and practitioners need to adapt to these changes. Many factors can impact on future pharmacy practice research. Responding to all factors is vital to improve patient health outcomes. Introduction The practice of pharmacy has rapidly evolved from an initial focus on extemporaneous compounding and dispensing medications, to now focusing more on patientoriented care [27]. Pharmacists currently play a more active role in managing a patient’s drug therapy and medicines related outcomes in both hospitals and community pharmacies than before [1]. This is due mainly to the change in health care towards more efficiency which has led to several developments such as the increased use of information technology, the relatively high accessibility of pharmacies to patients, and increasing pharmacist prescribing [28]. Information technology is increasingly used to support the daily work of pharmacists such as creating medication records, dispensing, managing stock and performing medicines use reviews [2]. Pharmacy practice research has the potential to significantly influence not only pharmacists as a profession but also patients and therefore it is critical to illuminate new Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 areas that may require research and the choice of methods. We have through our work as researchers within this field observed a number of factors which may drive the change in use of methods within pharmacy practice research. The most notable are demographic changes, professional standards, and technology. In this article, we will first describe the drivers of change and then delve into pharmacy scenarios underpinning this research. Lastly, we suggest future directions and strategies for such research and their effects on the choice of research methods. Drivers of change Demographic changes Life expectancy is increasing and it is expected that by 2050 there will be approximately 19 million people worldwide who are 65 years and over [3]. Consequently an increase in chronic conditions can be expected, which will translate to a growth in prescription orders to manage the health of this sub-population [4]. Additionally, immigration is leading to an increasingly multicultural environment, whereas in some countries ethnic minorities will be making up to 50 % of the population by year 2050 [5]. These changes in population will affect the way medicines are used and there will be changes in disease states and public policies [6]. Professional standards Professional standards are becoming increasingly important as patients are more aware and less tolerant of medical mistakes [7]. Patients expect efficiency such as shorter waiting times and demand a quality service, with the spotlight remaining on the dispensing function [16]. Policy makers are increasingly aware of the patient voice in health care and pharmacy has been increasingly responding to demands on lower costs and higher productivity [24, 25]. This pressure stems from the frequent view of pharmacy as a business rather than health care profession and institution [8]. Other known challenges to professional autonomy and standards include the lack of privacy in community pharmacies, no desire on behalf of pharmacy owners to change from a pure medicines distribution model to health care services, and lack of collaboration between health professionals [9]. Technology Technology is one of the driving forces of change in practice which requires pharmacists to continuously adapt 725 and even keep ahead of in order to consistently delivering against expectations [6]. These changes relate both to rapid advances in physical processes such as robotics and information technology. Robots are currently starting to take over many of the dispensing tasks in both outpatient and inpatient pharmacies [26] which has a huge impact on the role of pharmacists. Individuals now have more access to applications (‘‘apps’’) and devices with which they can monitor various signs and symptoms related to their health, such as blood glucose levels and peak airflow monitoring. Patients are becoming more critical and aware of their health status [10]. Further developments now allow remote monitoring of a patient’s health status, allowing early detection of deterioration (or indeed improvement) of health status [11]. The increased access to information on the internet and supply of medicines online could has also lead to the development of online pharmacies providing prescription medicines, as evidenced now in USA, Germany, Sweden and the UK [3]. With access to the internet this may also allow the development of patient consultations at home, known as telecare, which is a big step to changing the pharmacy sector [2]. Not only will consumers have increased access to information, but health professionals such as doctors, nurses, pharmacists, occupational therapists and others will be able to share and utilize a lot more information about an individual [12]. This will become an essential tool to help pharmacists keep up to date with patient’s health status and aid co-ordination of health services to provide patient oriented care [13]. The integration of human genome sequencing will also allow for more personalised drug therapy which pharmacists can become more involved in, this may help target sub-populations whilst improving safety and reducing adverse effects [14]. Future practice of pharmacy With changing demographics, education, professional standards and technology landscape, the future pharmacy role has needed to change. The role of pharmacists in the future is slowly being developed so that they are more integrated in the healthcare sector both in primary and secondary care. In primary care they are increasingly involved in screening services and in monitoring of patients’ medication and adherence [15]. There is also a need for further development to ensure that patients are optimizing their medication use and that patients get a medicine that best suits the individual [7]. Services such as medication therapy management are slowing being offered by some community pharmacies which can later develop to ambulatory care [15]. Ambulatory care increasingly will involve the patient seeing the pharmacist first to obtain a full medication history which can be updated on an 123 726 electronic database. This can then be used to synthesise a pharmacotherapy plan which can be accessed and altered by other health professionals [1]. The collaboration between pharmacists in primary and secondary care will intensify as it is realised that they play an important role in patients transferring between the sectors [29]. The rapid technological advances mentioned above such as robotics highlight that if pharmacies have the technology but need to take advantage of the cognitive services they can provide [6]. It is also becoming widely realised that pharmacists, apart from supplying medicines, are also responsible for the outcome of the treatment (providing pharmaceutical care). The aim for the future is for patients to see their community pharmacists more often to discuss their health. This will be helpful in order to detect more sinister illnesses earlier, address the underlying components to health (smoking cessation, weight, sexual health) as well as checks for long term conditions (diabetes checks, blood pressure monitoring and flu vaccinations) and for treating minor illnesses [17]. In order to improve the standard of the profession, and to focus on patient-centred services, some changes need to be made in relation to the future practising model [18]. Pharmacy practice research is crucial in identifying areas where the profession can be further developed to make way for new ideas and ensure the survival of practice of pharmacy [17, 18]. Evolving pharmacy practice research The knowledge about and use of qualitative methods was particularly prominent in pharmacy practice researchers working within the realm of social pharmacy. Conversely hospital pharmacists working with patients (clinical pharmacy) have relied more on quantitative methods. Many researchers who classify themselves as pharmacy practice researchers also work in departments that define their work as part of drug utilization research (DUR), clinical pharmacy, pharmaceutical policy, health services research, or health economics. In these fields quantitative methods have dominated. Some pharmacy practice researchers can even relate to having one or more of these as areas of expertise. As pressure increases to participate in large multi-disciplinary research consortia collaboration between those working in the fields of pharmacy practice research, DUR, pharmacoepidemiology, economics, social science theories, and clinical pharmacy will be expected to intensify. Researchers with a pharmacy background who possess any of these competencies will therefore need develop a common front towards the public and ally with scientists primarily from the medical and social sciences. The choice of methods within any of these fields goes hand in hand with the precise research questions. 123 Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 Conversely, the availability of new methods to study practice of pharmacy opens up new avenues of research. Furthermore, the research questions hinge upon the political climate of practice of pharmacy, and the challenges and opportunities envisioned. An important methodologically-relevant development is the increased availability of ‘‘big data’’ in many countries around the globe. Big data in healthcare refers to electronic health data sets so large and complex that they are difficult (or impossible) to manage with traditional software and/or hardware; nor can they be easily managed with traditional or common data management tools and methods [19]. This development will increase the pressure on pharmacy practice researchers to be knowledgeable about the use of extensive data sets in evaluating practice of pharmacy related health care initiatives. This will also imply that those involved in qualitative methodologies may have to become savvier in using big secondary qualitative data that is generated i.e. by social media discourse. New research questions and availability of data impact future methods As the institution and profession of pharmacy develops within the realm of rapidly changing health care technology, health care systems, and patient populations it faces future challenges and has to respond to these. Table 1 shows five plausible areas that will be increasing in importance within pharmacy practice research, how the methods foci will change for each one of them due to availability of data, and relationships to other disciplines involved in the research. Area 1. The aging IT users and what they want from health care Patients are increasingly culturally diverse and active analysers and decision makers who use technology to their advantage. With the ‘baby boomers’ aging there will be a domineering group of people expecting healthy aging. This group will employ many approaches to prevention and life enhancement as they are more health literate, critical and information-seeking than the generations before them. This feature lends them a stronger voice in health care politics and ability to set agendas [20]. This characteristic will impact all of health care research. On the pharmacy front, this will go hand in hand with demand for evidence for practicing in a certain way. Why pharmacists do as they do will be questioned, just as for other health care professionals. This will mean that interventions need to be evaluated and founded not only in professional but in patient rationalities. Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 727 Table 1 New pharmacy practice research areas, methodological focus changes and science disciplines involved Area New research area Use of quantitative versus qualitative methods Methods focus changes Current methods focus Future methods focus Science disciplines involved in the research 1 The aging IT literate—what do they want from health care? Both quantitative and qualitative methods Interviewing, focus groups, surveys (primary data collection) ‘‘Big data’’ on internet usage frequency and content (secondary data) Sociology, education 2 The cultural and social disparities in pharmacy services—what are the needs and how should pharmacy respond? Both quantitative and qualitative methods Interviewing and focus groups Participant observation, descriptive data analysis of drug utilization (DUR) and health trends in geographic areas of diverse populations Anthropology, sociology of culture, social epidemiology, geography 3 How to implement multidisciplinary initiatives to improving health care Primarily qualitative methods Trials, intervention studies Mixed methods, participatory action research Organizational behavior, political science 4 Medicines optimization and predictive risk analysis of local populations of patients Primarily quantitative methods N/A (as this is a new area for pharmacy practice research) Content analysis of patient and professionally reported outcomes in integrated electronic health care records Pharmacoepidemiology, clinical pharmacology, health services research 5 Pharmacy as business/ information center/health care institution Primarily quantitative methods N/A (as this is a new area for pharmacy practice research) Various secondary data collected within the organization re. quality and finance Business administration, sociology, economics The public will have more (evidence based) information about health and medicines ready at their fingertips which they are able to use due to their high level of health literacy and will show little or no submissiveness to authority, rather looking at health professionals as partners in their decisions about health care and life style. This will make physicians, pharmacists and other health care professionals into ‘‘guides/ facilitators/ advocates’’ and not all-knowing experts [21]. Practicing pharmacists and their pharmacy researcher colleagues will have to adapt to this new reality by studying how lay persons use the informatics available, and how this information influences them. In terms of methods this will mean coupled with the availability of big data – that increasingly the research on the user perspective will employ content analysis of secondary data. This can for example be quantitative data on internet usage and the content analysis of qualitative data on the information and discussions on social media. Primary data will still have an important place in pharmacy practice research due to the myriad of research questions that will rise from the proliferating research using the newly available secondary data. Area 2. Cultural and social disparities— understanding needs and how to respond Cultural differences—especially within countries with significant immigration—make for a burgeoning field of research within pharmacy. This trend will be escalated as the baby boomers are primarily a phenomenon of the inhabitants of post-industrial knowledge economies. There will also be large minority groups within these countries who have recently immigrated who have been shown to need a totally different health care approach [30]. These trends coupled with increased globalization will also lead to increased social disparities which pharmacy practice research needs to understand and address. It will mean that even though methods such as interviews and focus groups will still be relevant, it will also be important to observe the social discourse and understand how pharmacy can communicate more effectively with these population segments. Geographic and epidemiological methods can also be used more to map these social disparities in light of increasing availability of data for secondary analysis. 123 728 Area 3. Implementing multidisciplinary initiatives to improve health care The challenges faced by health care systems are forcing providers and professionals to implement more complex team based health care services [22]. This is an opportunity for pharmacists to get involved and/or build on models of care that have been generated internationally. Smaller projects started by enthusiastic ‘trail blazers’ within pharmacy have often been successful since these pioneer pharmacists have high motivation and sound connections within the community they work in. Making their models transferrable to a larger scale and different settings is the challenge facing both practitioners and researchers. The researchers can play an important role, with their knowledge of pharmaceutical policy analysis and implementation research. Pharmacy sometimes gets forgotten in collaborative schemes to improve quality in health care and researchers and pharmacy professional organizations need to monitor closely developments within the wider framework of health care [23]. This leads to further pressure when undertaking program evaluation and implementation research and making it known what pharmacists can contribute to patient care within the cross-disciplinary framework. According to a recent report from the National Health Service in Britain there has been enough research carried out into effects and outcomes [17]. Although still important to an extent, less emphasis will be on trials of pharmacy specific interventions. The emphasis within health services research is shifting to implementation research and for pharmacy this will mean that studying how decision makers can be influenced to incorporate pharmacy in large scale health services planning will be essential. Future pharmacy practice research will have to shift towards studying collaborative models; identifying problem areas, and reaching consensus on systematized approaches. It will be even more important to listen to professions that pharmacists will collaborate with social and organizational scientists in order to avoid the programs’ failing due to unobserved negative attitudes [24]. Methodologically this will require a solid foundation in participatory action research and the use of mixed methods. The researchers will need to increasingly be knowledgeable about organizational behavior and political sciences in order to better work in the cross-disciplinary research groups. Area 4. Medicines optimization and predictive risk analysis Future research could focus on medicines optimisation and on improving safety and effectiveness of medicines. With 123 Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 active engagement of pharmacists in local primary care networks and their access to integrated patient records, they will be in a better position to conduct this type of research. Other uses of integrated patient records data could include pharmacists’ undertaking predictive risk analysis of local populations of patients. This could also help to identify and target patients considered at risk of developing complications in conditions like asthma or when taking high risk medicines. Area 5. Pharmacy as business and health care institution This area is rather undeveloped, but is related to Area 3. However, it is more about how pharmacy is practiced and focused within pharmacy (either in the community or hospitals). Although we have stated that pharmacy cannot practice in a vacuum, the institution/business of pharmacy still needs to understand its functions and on this foundation be able to optimize the quality and effectiveness of its work. In order to fulfil this promise, pharmacy practice researchers will increasingly use the data that is being collected as part of running the organization to understand how processes can be optimized and services improved. This may mean using data such as queries sent by email or on chat functions, documented medicines review results, monitoring the use of pharmacýs home page, waiting times, sales data, patient satisfaction, and financial information. The researchers will be leaning towards a multitude of other science disciplines, but mostly focused on business and management as subject areas. Implications of the trends for pharmacy practice research methods As the institution and profession of pharmacy develops within the realm of rapidly changing healthcare technology, it faces future challenges and has to respond to these. Due to the expansion of techniques available and challenges faced, researchers will have to be able to use a larger palette of methods and be ready to combine methods in novel ways (i.e. using mixed methods). They will have to be even more knowledgeable about various designs, methods, and theories when working in teams of researchers who do not have the same science background. Pharmacy practice researchers need to be clearer about who they are, where they sit on the epistemological spectrum and what special competences they bring to complex inter-professional projects. They need to keep an open mind of which data sources are (uniquely) available to them and utilize these in innovative ways. Int J Clin Pharm (2016) 38:724–730 Funders of research have views of what they want to achieve and how this should be evaluated. As key stakeholders they are likely to require a broad health care services focus and be less likely to fund pharmacy focused research. These projects are then often lead and administered by social science trained persons who make crucial decisions on funding. Therefore pharmacy practice researchers will have to follow closely, developments in methods and theories within the social sciences. 729 6. 7. 8. 9. Conclusion 10. The current and future scenarios in pharmacy suggest that pharmacy practice researchers will have to adapt to changing population demographics and changing expectations from health care. Technology adds another layer of complexity with impact on how pharmacy is practiced and the availability of data that is generated in the interactions between people and between patients and health care. We the authors do not possess a crystal ball, but we envision that this field is increasingly forced to step out of isolation in order to deal with the challenges of funding research and implementation research where collaborative models will be in the foreground. 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