University of Perugia, Perugia Presentation delivered online on 21 October 2020 The failure of development aid– The legacy of P.T. Bauer Szabolcs Pasztor habil. PhD Economist, Associate professor at University of Public Service (Budapest, Hungary) About me • Economist doing research on SubSaharan Africa • Countries already visited in Africa: South Africa, Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Seychelles • Recent research: new scramble for Africa & GDP rebasing in SubSaharan Africa Issues to be discussed… What is development and development aid? The rise and fall of Whyaid did P.T. Bauer development start challenging the basic idea of spurring development by aid? Some thoughts on legacy of P.T. Bauer Summary and Conclusions Income disparities Core Core Core Periphery Periphery Periphery Extreme poverty vs wealth Extreme poverty vs wealth Our basic question for today… billion USD Net ODA and official aid received 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Source: World Bank (2020) Development • The process of improving the quality of all human lives and capabilities by raising people’s levels of living, self-esteem, and freedom (p. 828) Foreign aid • The international transfer of public funds in the form of loans or grants either directly from one government to another (bilateral assistance) or indirectly through the vehicle of a multilateral assistance agency such as the World Bank. (p. 830) Foreign aid Types of aid • Humanitarian or emergency aid • Charity based aid • Systematic aid Foreign aid: public (official) bilateral and multilateral development assistance and private (unofficial) assistance provided by nongovernmental organisations Foreign aid • From the point of view of the donor its objective is noncommerical • It is charachterized by concessional terms • ODA (official development assistance): includes bilateral grants, concessional loans, and technical assistance, multilateral flows • ODA grew from an annual rate of under $5 billion in 1960 to $50 billion in 2000 and $128 billion in 2008 and reached $168 billion in 2018 The history of development aid • 1960s – industrialization • 1970s – shift to a poverty focus • 1980s – the lost age of development • 1990s – the question of governance • 2000s – the rise glamour of aid 1960’s the era of industrialisation • By the beginning of the 1960s – US$100 million in aid • Greater focus on large-scale industrial projects: roads and railways, airports • Longer-term pay-offs • Examples: Kariba dam What is wrong with them? • „In the less developed lands the simple goal of an expanding production … is not a satisfactory guide … Leaders have always known the importance of the concrete and visible expressions of national being. These include a decently glittering airport, suitably impressive buildings of state, one or more multi- lane highways.” Problems with these projects • Operating costs • Regional polarization • Beggar attitude • Wrongly targeted – not properly used • Dependence on the implementer ODA as a share of GNI Recipient countries List of ODA recipients and donors • List of countries • List of the largest recipients Why donors give aid? • There are political, economic and strategic self-interests • Moral duty • Many westerners are very charitable • Political motivations: helping „friendly” countries, curbing the spread of communism, geopolitical considerations Political motivations • Helping „friendly” countries • Curbing the spread of communism, radical ideas, the sphere of influence of other countries • Geopolitical considerations Economic motivations • Two-gap model: shortage of domestic saving & shortage of foreign exchange • Bridging the fiscal gap: Deficiency of government investments Why some countries accept aid? • They want to promote economic growth • Policians want to maintain their own political systems • Also, in some places they feel it is the moral duty of the West Peter Thomas Bauer • Born in Budapest in 1915 • Studied economics at Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge • Spent most of his career at the LSE • Died as Sir P.T. Bauer in 2002 • During his lifetime he strongly opposed foreign aid Bauer’s main message Bauer’s main message Some of his books What is wrong with aid? • Aid reduces savings and investment • Aid can be inflationary • Aid negatively affects the export sector • There may be problems with the absorption capacity • Aid destroys the civil society • Aid weakens the social capital • Aid can be the cause of social unrest and civil war Summary and conclusions • Foreign aid is like a kind of industry • Development aid is very far from being a success story • On the contrary, in many cases it retards development • P.T. Bauer pointed to the negative effects almost immediatly • However he is almost unheard of in development economics • We must listen to his arguments when talking about development aid Thank you for your attention! E-mail: szabolcs.pasztor@uni-nke.hu