SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT AND COMMERCE MAT 2203 Management Mathematics I Date:16th July 1013 INSTRUCTION: Answer Question 1 and any other 2 Questions Time: 2 Hours Question 1 (30 Marks) (a) Differentiate between the following (i) Feasible and optimal solution (ii) Recurrent and transient states of Markov chains (b) Explain two differences between transportation and assignment models (2 Marks) (2 Marks) (2 Marks) CONTACTOR (c) A project consists of four major jobs for which four contractors have submitted tenders. The tender amounts quoted in millions Kenya shillings are given in the matrix below. JOBS I II III IV A 16 10 14 11 B 14 11 15 15 C 15 15 13 12 D 13 12 14 15 Find the assignment which minimizes the total cost of the project. Each contactor has to be assigned at least one job. (6 Marks) (d) On January 1st this year, Company A had 60% of its local market share while the other two companies B and C had 30% and 10% respectively of the market share. Based upon a study by a marketing research firm, the following facts were compiled: Company A retains 90% of its customers while gaining 5% of B’s customers and 10% of C customers. Company B retains 85% of its customers while gaining 5% of A’s customers and 7% of C’s customers. Company C retains 83% of its customers and gains 5% of A’s customers and 10% of B’s customers. (i) Develop the state transition matrix (3 Marks) (ii) What will each firm’s share be in two time period (5 Marks) Page 1 of 5 (c)The management of an oil refinery wants to decide on the optimal mix of two possible blending processes 1 and 2. The table below gives the inputs and outputs in production Input (units) Output (units) Process Crude Crude B Gasoline X Gasoline Y A 1 5 3 5 8 2 4 5 4 4 (e) The maximum amounts available of crudes A and B are 200 units and 150 units respectively. At least 100 units of Gasoline X and 80 units of Y are required. The profit per production run from process 1 and 2 are $300 and $400 respectively. (i) Formulate the above as a linear programming problem (5Marks) (ii) Use a graphical method to solve the model in (e) (i) above (5 Marks) QUESTION 2 (20 Marks) (a) The director of data processing for a consulting firm wants to assign four programming tasks to four of her programmers. She has estimated the total number of days each programmer would take if assigned each of the programs. The table below summarizes these estimates. Estimated days per programming task Programming task Programmer 1 2 3 4 Peres Patrick Paul Phoebe 14 16 18 20 13 15 14 13 17 16 20 15 14 15 17 18 If the objective is to assign one programmer per task in such a way as to minimize the total number of days required to complete the task: (i) Formulate the objective function and constraints (5 marks) (ii)Solve using the Hungarian method for the appropriate assignments (5 Marks) (b) A Company has 3 plants and 4 warehouses. The supply and demand in units and the corresponding transportation costs are given in the table below Page 2 of 5 Warehouses I II III 11 13 17 16 18 14 21 24 13 200 225 275 plants A B C Demand IV 14 10 10 250 supply 250 300 400 Required: (i) Determine an initial basic feasible solution for the above model using the North West corner cell method (7 Marks) (ii) Test for the optimality using the stepping stone method (3 Marks) Question 3 (20 marks) (a) An NGO has commissioned a research to establish the level of addiction to common drugs by street children undergoing day care rehabilitation. It was found out by their survey that the mobility of the street children , in percent in the three classifications of their addition states; Severe (S), Mild(M) and Recovered (R) states were in the following percentages. S S M R M R 50 30 20 10 70 20 10 40 50 If the present population in states S, M and R are in proportions of 0.7, 0.2, and 0.1 respectively determine the proportions of the children in the three states (i) after two years (4 Marks) (ii) in the long run (6 Marks) (b) A technological matrix for a three-industry input-output model is given by: 0.3 0.3 0.2 B 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 Page 3 of 5 If the non-industry demand for the output of these industries is d1 Kshs 50 Million, d 2 Kshs 30 Million, d 3 Kshs 60 Million, determine the equilibrium output levels for three industries ( 10 Marks) Question 4 (20 Marks) (a) Suppose a certain activity has a total float of 12 weeks and the head event slack is 3 weeks. Compute the free float for this activity. (2 Marks) (b) Explain the difference between the term Critical path analysis and the PERT analysis for a project network. (3 Marks) (c) A student entrepreneur has opened a snack bar in a University student centre. She wishes to launch a new product to increase variety of foods she sells. The following table gives various activities that are scheduled to be undertaken by the entrepreneur before launching a new product in a market. Description Required Predecessor (None) (None) A A A C D B, E H F, G, I Duration (Months) 5 1 2 3 2 3 4 2 1 1 (i) Activity A Product design B Market research C Production analysis D Product model E Sales brochure F Cost analysis G Product testing H Sales training I Pricing J Project report Draw the project network (ii) Determine the critical path (8 marks) (iii) Hence, find the project completion time (2 marks) Page 4 of 5 (5 marks) Question 5(20 Marks) The following is a Linear Programming, (LP) problem Maximize Z=10X1+15X2+20X3 Subject to 2X1+4X2+6X3 24 3X1+9X2+6X3 30 X1, X2 and X3 0 Required: (i) Develop the dual of the problem above. (5 Marks) (ii) Write the standard form for the above primal Linear Programming model (5 Marks) (iii) Solve for the optimum values of solution from the primal Linear Programming problem using the simplex method. (10 Marks) Page 5 of 5