Incidence of Indirect Taxes Inelastic Demand Elastic Demand S1 Price S1 Price S S P1 P P1 Consumer Producer P Consumer Producer D D Q1Q Q1 Quantity Q Quantity With Inelastic Demand, the producers are able to With Elastic Demand, the producers cannot increase the price of their product without much increase the price of their product without the change in the quantity demanded. This increase quantity demanded increasing a lot. Therefore in price would make the consumers pay a higher the producers must pay for the majority of the proportion of the indirect tax. tax by themselves. Key: Government Tax Per Unit Amount of Revenue Tax Inflation Inflation – a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money. Demand-Pull Inflation – occurs when aggregate demand exceeds current supply in the economy. Increased aggregate demand does not always cause inflation. If the economy is producing low levels of output and has lots of spare capacity, there will be no impact for the price level, yet output can increase. As resources begin to get used up, firms are in greater competition with each other for the use of them. Increases in aggregate demand will therefore increase the price level but also increase output. Price Level Price Level AS If the economy is at full capacity, an increase in aggregate demand will only cause an increase in the price level, and no extra output can be made. Price Level AS AS AD1 AD AD1 AD AD AD1 Real GDP Real GDP Real GDP Cost-push Inflation – occurs when the price level is pushed up by increases in the costs of production. Firms will increase their prices to maintain their profit margins. AS1 AS AD Monetary inflation – occurs when an economy increases the money supply. It can be classified as a form of demand-pull inflation. Increases in the money supply cause a decrease in interest rates. Decrease in interest rates cause an increase in aggregate demand. Quantity Theory of Money – Money Supply x Velocity of Circulation = Price Level x No. of Transactions Velocity of Circulation – how many times $1 travels around the economy Harmful Effects of Inflation The value of money decreases – in the case of hyperinflation, value of money decreases so severely and people may lose confidence in the currency Redistributes income – workers with strong bargaining power may be able to negotiate wage increase, while those with few skills may be unable to get pay rises. Borrowers pay back less in ‘real terms’ than what they borrowed. High income earners can take steps to avoid the effects of inflation. Extra costs on firms – time spent anticipating future price changes and reprinting prices Shoe leather costs – these are costs involved with moving money between financial institutions searching for interest rates above inflation rates Decreases business confidence – fluctuating inflation rates affect firm’s confidence about the future. This affects investment decisions and may stagnate long run economic growth. May harm the balance of payments position – if a country has high levels of inflation, their exports will be expensive. This makes them lee competitive and sales overseas will decrease. As imports are cheaper, consumers will want to buy these over domestic goods. Beneficial Effects of Inflation May encourage firms to expand – a low, stable level of demand-pull inflation makes firms optimistic about future sales Can prevent unemployment – workers may accept a percentage increase in their wages less than the percentage increase in the price level. This will ensure firms maintain profit margins and keep employees. Prices Price Indices – used to show the change in the general price level over time. The two main types of price indices are The Consumer Price Index and The Retail Price Index. Consumer Price Index – a measure of price inflation affecting consumers. It is calculated from the movement in the average price of a ‘basket’ of goods and services purchased by the ‘typical’ household in a country from a sample of different retail outlets. Constructing a Price Index 1. Select a ‘base year’ – this is a standard year with no ‘dramatic’ changes in price. The base year is always allocated a value of 100. 2. Find out how households spend their money – this is done by a government administrated ‘Family Expenditure Survey’. Certain goods and services are selected to make up the ‘basket’. Weights are allocated to reflect the proportion of income spent on each good or service. 3. Find out price changes – this is done by government officials gathering information from companies, outlets etc. Government then creates estimates of price changes based on this information 4. A weighted price index is constructed PRICE INDEX = 5. Calculate the rate of Inflation INFLATION RATE = Example: Year Base Year Year 2 Products Food Travel Clothing Food Travel Clothing Average Price $60 $20 $40 $70 $40 $48 Weighting 60% 10% 30% 60% 15% 25% Weighted Average Price 0.60 x $60 = $36 0.10 x $20 = $2 0.30 x $40 = $12 0.60 x $70 = $42 0.15 x $40 = $6 0.25 x $48 = $12 Price index Inflation rate Total WAP $36 + $2 + $12 = $50 $42 + $6 + $12 = $60