Section A: Short Answer Questions Ans 1) A simple daily life activity like buying groceries adds to GDP growth. The transaction involve an exchange of money, and hence increases GDP. The total consumer expenditure across all supermarkets can be summed and GDP can be calculated using the expenditure approach. One of the components of GDP using this approach, is consumer spending, and since this will increase, it will lead to a subsequent increase in GDP. Ans 2) Yes, a method certainly needs to be designed to calculate the monetary value of these freely used natural resources. This is because breathing air does not have a monetary cost attached to it, however it does increase our well-being and it is a vital component of natural capital. Since GDP is defined to be a measure of economic or social well-being, and quality of breathing air is a key aspect of economic welfare, it would be useful to use a method such as the Human Development Index. Ans 3) In my view, developing countries may benefit to a greater extent from the technological developments than developed countries. This is because high developed countries constantly face the problem of trying to invent new technologies whereas, developing countries have to make use of that technology. As long as technology remains a free good, available to all, developing countries will also benefit from it, owing to convergence theory. Therefore, due to the existence of the phenomenon of ‘advantage of backwardness’, the hypothesis is true. Ans 4) Labor force participation rate is the proportion of the population ages 15 and older that forms the labor supply. It is calculated by dividing the active workforce with the eligible working population(15 and above). The number of employed people has decreased(numerator), while number of people above 15 have increased(denominator), therefore this will lead to an overall decrease in the overall labor force participation rate. Ans 5) In order to reduce the inflation rate, the demand for labor needs to be low or the unemployment rate needs to increase slowly. Lower demand for labor would mean a fall in the overall wage rates. As wages are a significant component of company’s costs, lower wages will lead to prices of products staying the same or decreasing, which will reduce inflation rate. Therefore, as shown by Phillips Curve, an inverse relationship exists between the increase in unemployment rate versus the decrease in inflation rate. Ans 6) It should ideally include basic foods and beverages such as fruits, vegetables, milk. These are everyday products used in almost every household. Secondly, housing costs such as rent could be included in the CPI basket, since they change annually. Lastly, costs such as medical and education expenses should be included in the CPI basket, since they reflect a significant proportion of consumer spending habits. Ans 7) Natural disaster may lead to a decrease in short run equilibrium output level. For example a drought may destroy crops, which will act as negative supply shock, reducing production whilst raising prices, and hence decrease the short run output level. Ans 8) We can detect for example when there are shortages in the market. This helps show how aggregate spending is greater than the equilibrium output level. Firms are most likely to increase production, and equilibrium will be restored where planned aggregate spending is equal to the short-run equilibrium output level. Ans 9) High saving rate leads to a fall in consumption. If a high saving rate does not lead to an increase in investment, this will further lower expenditure and lead to low aggregate demand and output. According to the Keynesian view, this may lead to a recession in the short run and hurt the economic system. In the long run, high saving rate will contribute to an increased government spending on capital, which will increase output. Therefore, since in the long run savings can be channeled into investment and lead to economic prosperity. Ans 10) Bitcoin can be defined as money since it can be used as a store of value (a function of money). Bitcoin cannot be used as a best medium of exchange, as it can only be used to exchange a limited number of goods and not all companies accept payment in the form of bitcoin. It can also not be used to measure the value of goods and services, since its huge price fluctuations pose a problem for buyers and sellers. Therefore, bitcoin is unsuccessful as serving as a unit of account. In conclusion , bitcoin does have certain characteristics that allow it to function as money. However, the high volatility in its price fluctuations and the fact that it is not a legal tender, unlike money, makes one conclude that it cannot really act as usual currencies and can rather be classified as a financial investment. Ans 11) Assuming same money base and fixed money demand, if people keep all money at home, this will lead to a decrease in the bank reserves leading to a decrease in the money multiplier, which will subsequently decrease the money supply and increase interest rates, since less money is available for borrowing. Similarly, if they were to deposit the money into banks, it would increase the money multiplier and result in an increase in money supply. After the Euro became the major currency of European countries, individual countries like Greece, lost their ability to control the money supply, that authority is taken by the European Central Bank. At the height of Greek Crises in Europe, the European Central Bank refused to release more Euros to Greece, which decreased the money supply of Greece to critical levels. Assuming demand remained the same, show on a graph, how the decrease in the money supply would affect interest rate in Greece according to the Liquidity Preference Model. Ans 12) Graph Ans 13) Assuming both negative demand shock and negative supply shock, as a result of corona virus, due to a fall in demand, output and price level will fall. Fall in output, will lead to a temporary negative supply shock, and supply shifts backwards till it returns to the long run equilibrium, with inflation permanently lowered. As inflation would reduce, this would again increase the power to spend, and prove to be a self-correcting mechanism. Ans 14) Expansionary fiscal policy tools such as a decrease in taxes can be adopted to bring the economy back to long-run equilibrium faster. Cutting taxes will increase the disposable income of consumers, lead to an increase in spending, and higher economic growth. Due to increase in spending, output levels will increase, which will restore the long run equilibrium level. Ans 15) Deficit budget (government expenditure exceeds government revenue) is the best approach for a government to undertake. This is due to several reasons, such as the ability to boost demand in times of economic recession, by spending on reducing unemployment. Furthermore, with higher expenditures, the government is also encouraged to spend on public welfare. As long as a budget deficit does not lead to a serious debt trap, it is the most appropriate approach. Section B: Analytical Part Ans 1a) Assumptions: World GDP: 1 trillion dollars ( $1,000,000,000,000) Contribution to GDP: Agricultural sector: $300,000,000,000 a) b) c) d) Interest revenue: $30,000,000,000 Rent: $30,000,000,000 Labor: $150,000,000,000 (50%) Capital: $90,000,000,000 (30%) Industrial Sector: $500,000,000,000 a) b) c) d) Interest revenue: $50,000,000,000 Rent: $50,000,000,000 Labor: $150,000,000,000 (30%) Capital: $250,000,000,000 (50%) Service Sector: $200,000,000,000 a) b) c) d) Interest revenue: $20,000,000,000 Rent: $20,000,000,000 Labor: $120,000,000,000 (60%) Capital: $40,000,000,000 (20%) Final Answers Part a: Value added Aggregate wage Aggregate profit Aggregate interest Aggregate rent Agricultural $300,000,000,000 $150,000,000,000 $90,000,000,000 $30,000,000,000 $30,000,000,000 Industrial $500,000,000,000 $150,000,000,000 $250,000,000,000 $50,000,000,000 $50,000,000,000 Service $200,000,000,000 $120,000,000,000 $40,000,000,000 $20,000,000,000 $20,000,000,000 Ans 1b) Aggregate wage for global economy: $420,000,000,000 Aggregate profit for global economy: $280,000,000,000 Share of labor: 60% (420/700*100) Share of capital: 40% Workforce = 70% * 5,000,000,000 = 3,500,000,000 Average wage = 420,000,000,000/ 3,500,000,000 = $120 Profit rate = 280,000,000,000/ 1,500,000,000,000 = 0.1867 or 18.67% Ans 2a) Unemployment rate in 2019 = 4/32 * 100 = 12.5% Unemployment rate in 2020 = 4/30*100 = 13.33% Change in unemployment rate = 0.83% Labor force participation rate in 2019 = 32 / 61 * 100 = 52.46% Labor force participation rate in 2020 = 30 / 62 * 100 = 48.39% Change in labor force participation rate = 4.07% Number of employed people = 26 million Population above 15 = 62 million Labor force participation rate = 52.46% Unemployed = 52.46(62)/100 – 26 = 6.525 million Unemployment rate would be as high as 6.525/32.525*100 = 20.06% 2b) Target labor force participation rate = 75% Increase in population above 15 = 5% New population above 15 = 65.1 million Increase in the labor force = 48.825- 30 = 18.825 million Unemployment rate = 13.33% Number of new jobs needed = (100-13.33)%*18.825 = 16.31 million 3a) MPC = 3/40 = 0.075 Multiplier = 1/(1-0.075) = 1.08 Assuming decrease of 10% New planned investment level = 4.5 million New mpc = 0.0675 Initial planned aggregate spending = 3+0.0675(40) +4.5 = $10.2 million Unplanned investment level = $0.5 million 3b) New multiplier = 1/(1-0.0675) = 1.072 New short run equilibrium = AE planned = $10.2 million Graph Ans 4a) Money base = 4 million Money supply = 20 million Money multiplier = 5 Reserve ratio = 0.2 ASSETS Reserves 800,000 Loans 3200000 Ans 4b) increase in money supply = 25% Reserve ratio = 20% New reserve ratio = 24% or 0.24 Money multiplier becomes 4.167 New money base = 5.9995 Increase in money base = Approx 2 million LIABILITIES Deposits 4,000,000