Formulas Axiom 1 For any event A, 0 ≤ P [A]. Axiom 2 P [S] = 1. Axiom 3 For any countable collection A1 , A2 , . . . of mutually exclusive events P [A1 ∪ A2 ∪ . . .] = P [A1 ] + P [A2 ] + . . . . P [AC ] = 1 − P [A] (A ∪ B)C = AC ∩ B C (A ∩ B)C = AC ∪ B C If (A ∩ B) = φ A and B are disjoint. P [A|B] P [B] P [A ∪ B] = P [A] + P [B] − P [A ∩ B] P [A ∩ B] = P [A|B]P [B] P [B|A] = P [A] Events A and B are said to be independent iff P [A ∩ B] = P [A] P [B]. n X n! n! n n n n = = (p + q) = pk q n−k n0 n1 . . . nm−1 k k k!(n − k)! n0 !n1 ! . . . nm−1 ! k=0 Table 1. The Bernoulli family of PMF’s Name PMF 1 − p x = 0 Bernoulli PX [x] = p x=1 0 otherwise ! n pk (1 − p)n−k k = 0, 1, . . . , n Binomial PK [k] = k 0 otherwise ( y−1 p(1 − p) y = 1, 2, . . . Geometric PY [y] = 0 otherwise ( l−1 k l−k l = k, k + 1, . . . k−1 p (1 − p) Pascal PL [l] = 0 otherwise ( αn e−α /n! n = 0, 1, 2, . . . Poisson PN [n] = 0 otherwise ∞ X p=0 E[g(X)] = X 1 p = 1−p n pi g(xi ) x e = ∞ X xn n=0 n! n X k=1 n(n + 1) k= 2 E[aX1 + bX2 ] = aE[X1 ] + bE[X2 ] n X k2 = k=1 Var[X] p p(1 − p) np np(1 − p) 1/p (1 − p)/p2 k/p k(1 − p)/p2 α α n(n + 1)(2n + 1) 6 2 Var[aX] = a2 E[(X − µX )2 ] = a2 Var[X] = a2 σX i (CDF) FX [xk ] = P [X ≤ xk ] = X j≤k 1 E[X] P [xj ]