Math 186, Winter 2006, Prof. Tesler – March 10, 2006 “One sample” hypothesis tests for µ and σ A normal distribution has mean µ and standard deviation σ, but the value of µ (and possibly σ) is not known to us! We must determine µ (and possibly σ) experimentally. Let y1 , . . . , yn be a random sample of size n from this normal distribution. $ "#n # n 2 − ( n y )2 n 1 ! i=1 yi i=1 i 2 2 Let ȳ = (y1 + . . . + yn )/n be the sample mean and s = (yi − ȳ) = be the sample variance. n−1 n(n − 1) i=1 We want to test ȳ as an estimate of µ (is ȳ close to a constant µ0 ?) or s as an estimate of σ (is s close to a constant σ0 ?) under various circumstances. z-test: µ unknown, σ known; testing µ. See Chap. 5.3 and 6.2. Note: zα is defined so that P (Z ≥ zα ) = α in the standard normal distribution. Table A.1 gives Φ(z) = P (Z ≤ z) so solve Φ(zα ) = 1 − α. Test Statistic: Test H0 at α sig. level: 100(1 − α)% conf. int. for µ type Hypotheses Z Reject H0 when % under H0 & one-sided (right) H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ > µ0 one-sided (left) H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ < µ0 two-sided H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ &= µ0 z= ȳ − µ0 √ σ/ n z ≥ zα z ≤ −zα % z ≤ −zα/2 or z ≥ zα/2 Student’s t-test: µ unknown, σ unknown; testing µ. See Chap. 7.2–7.4 Note: tα,k is defined so that P (Tk ≥ tα,k ) = α in the t distribution with k degrees of freedom. Table A.2. Test Statistic: Test H0 at α sig. level: type Hypotheses Tn−1 Reject H0 when one-sided (right) H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ > µ0 one-sided (left) H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ < µ0 two-sided H0 : µ = µ0 vs. H1 : µ &= µ0 t= ȳ − µ0 √ s/ n t ≥ tα,n−1 t ≤ −tα,n−1 t ≤ −tα/2,n−1 or t ≥ tα/2,n−1 % −∞ , ȳ + zα √σn % & ȳ − zα √σn , ∞ ȳ − zα/2 √σn , ȳ + zα/2 √σn & 100(1 − α)% conf. int. for µ under H0 % & −∞ , ȳ + tα,n−1 √sn % & ȳ − tα,n−1 √sn , ∞ ȳ − tα/2,n−1 √sn , ȳ + tα/2,n−1 √sn χ2 -test (“chi-squared test”): µ unknown, σ unknown; testing σ 2 . See Chap. 7.5. Note: χ2α,k is defined so that P (χ2k ≤ χ2α,k ) = α in the χ2 distribution with k degrees of freedom. This is backwards from tα,k . Table A.3. Test Statistic: Test H0 at α sig. level: 100(1 − α)% conf. int. for σ 2 type Hypotheses χ2n−1 Reject H0 when ' under H0 ( 2 one-sided (right) H0 : σ 2 = σ0 2 vs. H1 : σ 2 > σ0 2 χ2 ≥ χ21−α,n−1 0 , (n−1)s χ2α,n−1 ( ' (n − 1)s2 (n−1)s2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 one-sided (left) H0 : σ = σ0 vs. H1 : σ < σ0 χ = χ ≤ χα,n−1 , ∞ χ21−α,n−1 σ02 ' ( (n−1)s2 (n−1)s2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 two-sided H0 : σ = σ0 vs. H1 : σ &= σ0 χ ≤ χα/2,n−1 or χ ≥ χ1−α/2,n−1 , 2 2 χ1−α/2,n−1 χα/2,n−1 &