International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)
Volume 4 Issue 4, June 2020 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470
Risk Analysis in Construction Project
C. Naveen1, P. Deepan2
1PG
Student, 2Assitant Professor,
1,2Mahendra College of Engineering, Tamil Nadu, India
ABSTRACT
The chance is a measurable phase of uncertainty, for which we are capable to
estimate the prevalence likelihood and the measurement of damage. The
danger is assumed as a deviation from the preferred level. It can be nice or,
which most frequently happens, it can be negative. Therefore, the dangers
evaluation is so vital for assignment decision and coordination of development
work. The chance evaluation is viewed as the evaluation of damaging
occasions even at the stage of planning and programming of a development
project. This evaluation enriches the decision-making system and presents
extra arguments, which assist to choose the choicest variant of a building task
the use of the Multi-Aspects approach. This article gives three exceptional
techniques of the chance evaluation as properly as highlighting their
disadvantages, benefits and essential areas of utility (selection or preestimation). These strategies vary in their methodology from every other. The
verification used to be began from the easiest strategies the usage of some
qualitative variables. This approach is primarily based on the sizable
subjectivity of a choice maker though it is highly easy and effortless to use. The
evaluation used to be completed on the statistical method, which determines
the kind of used information consequently it influences the quality of the
results. The areas of software and analytical ability of the listed strategies are
illustrated with the quick examples, concurrently outlining their traits from
the analysis. The lookup problems, which are the canvas of software of the
mentioned strategies are no longer collectively interrelated. They existing
extraordinary components of variations of the funding process. Risk
administration is consequently in direct relation to the profitable undertaking
completion. Project administration literature describes a specific and broadly
universal hazard administration process, which is built essentially from 4
iterative phases: threat identification, hazard estimation, chance response
planning and execution, frequently managing the danger administration
manner is blanketed.
1. INTRODUCTION
Construction initiatives are initiated in complicated and
dynamic environments ensuing in situations of excessive
uncertainty and risk, which are compounded by using
annoying time constraints. Construction enterprise has
modified considerably over the past a number of years. It is
an enterprise pushed notably by using personal investors;
the presence of securitized actual property has improved
considerably. It is inclined to the severa technical &
commercial enterprise risks that regularly signify higher
exposures than these that are traditional. Thus threat
evaluation want arises. Risk evaluation is a device to pick out
these dangers in a venture and control it therefore with
suitable treatment. Risk evaluation is described in this find
out about as a approach that ambitions to discover and
estimate dangers to personnel and property impacted upon
via a project. The customary methodology of this find out
about relied generally on the survey questionnaire which
was once accumulated from the neighborhood constructing
contractors of distinctive sizes with the aid of mail or by way
of personnel meeting. A thorough literature assessment used
to be at the beginning carried out to pick out the threat
elements that have an effect on the overall performance of
development enterprise as a whole. The survey
@ IJTSRD
|
Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD31654
|
How to cite this paper: C. Naveen | P.
Deepan "Risk Analysis in Construction
Project" Published in
International Journal
of Trend in Scientific
Research
and
Development (ijtsrd),
ISSN:
2456-6470,
Volume-4 | Issue-4,
IJTSRD31654
June 2020, pp.16301634,
URL:
www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd31654.pdf
Copyright © 2020 by author(s) and
International Journal of Trend in Scientific
Research and Development Journal. This
is an Open Access article distributed
under the terms of
the
Creative
Commons Attribution
License
(CC
BY
4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by
/4.0)
questionnaire is designed to probe the cross-sectional
behavioral sample of development risks development
industry. The questionnaire organized for the pilot survey
was once formulated through seeing the applicable
literatures in the region of building danger administration In
the context of development industry, it is the probability of
the prevalence of a exact tournament or mixture of activities
which show up at some stage in the total system of
construction. Construction includes many variables, and it is
regularly hard to decide purpose and effect, dependence and
correlations. Hence, these dangers play a full-size position in
selection making and may additionally have an effect on the
overall performance of a undertaking (wiguna and scott,
2005). Risk is publicity to the penalties of uncertainty. As a
result, subjective analytical techniques that remember on
historic facts and the experiences of humans and agencies
have been used to verify the affect of building hazard and
uncertainty. Therefore, Risk evaluation is a method that
targets to pick out and estimate dangers impacted upon via a
project. There are cases the place qualitative strategies are
greater superb than quantitative, though the latter may
additionally show up to be the most sturdy and significant
for many practitioners. Again, the proper evaluation
Volume – 4 | Issue – 4
|
May-June 2020
Page 1630
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
approach is the one succesful of safely shooting and
managing uncertainty. The reason of this paper is to evaluate
and talk about hazard evaluation methods that would be
most appropriate to building management.
2. METHODOLOGY
Clause 14 program. This is the initial software used to
discover the proper sequence of things to do to be
accompanied for execution in site.
B. In primavera the sources can be loaded to activities.
Thus It is effortless to get a higher photograph involving
the yearly, quarterly, monthly, weekly and every day
program.
C. In Huge projects, this statistics acts essential to be aware
of the sequence of things to do to forestall any prolong
in the project.
3.2.
Monitoring (done by way of web site planning
engineer)
A. Once the preliminary baseline application is set and
inalized. We can now display the challenge very easily.
B. The Baseline application can now be set in the software
and can be monitored. So this offers an true website
growth status.
C. This is comparatively very convenient in primavera
alternatively than any different softwares.
3.3. Controlling
A. In primavera the Total Float, free flow can be effortlessly
calculated at the click on of a button. Hence it is very
handy to become aware of the quintessential and sub
fundamental things to do and stop it from delay.
FIG 2.1 METHODOLOGY
3. ABOUT SOFTWARE
3.1. PRIMAVERA
Primavera was once launched in 1983 via Primavera
Systems Inc., which was once obtained by means of Oracle
Corporation in 2008. Primavera P6 is a software program
used through owned by way of Oracle. It is used through
assignment administration experts and additionally can be
linked with ERP systems. It handles a couple of initiatives
and can preserve up to 100,000 things to do with limitless
assets and an limitless range of goal plans. It's essentially MS
Project on steroids.
3.1.1. Primavera’s Project Management Consists of:
An Enterprise Structure (includes managers at absolute best
ranges to humans at the principal degree of an organization.
Multiple customers can similtaneously get right of entry to
the identical projects).
 Centralized Resource Management
 Integrated Risk Management
 Threshold Management
 Issue Management
 Tracking characteristic to allow dynamic cross-project
roll-ups of earned value, cost, and schedule
 Report Wizard
Mainly used for Planning, Monitoring, Controlling and
Reporting a project. Used by way of Planning engineers in
Construction field.
3.1. Planning
A. It is used to create a venture baseline application (set
with the aid of planning supervisor with the assist of
website planning engineer). Also acknowledged as the
@ IJTSRD
|
Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD31654
|
3.4. Reporting
a. Reporting is made handy in primavera thanks to its severa
in-built layouts and codecs which are customizable.
Used specially by
A. Planning Engineers
B. Planning Managers
C. Project Managers
4. CONCEPT OF PROJECT
4.1. RISK CONCEPTS
Risk is a multi-facet concept. In the context of building
industry, it ought to be the possibility of the incidence of a
exact event/factor or aggregate of events/factors which
happen all through the complete manner of building to the
detriment of the mission a lack of predictability about shape
effect or penalties in a choice or planning situation, the
uncertainty related with estimates of effects - there is a
hazard that consequences ought to be higher than predicted
as nicely as worse than predicted etc. In addition to the one
of a kind definitions of risk, there are more than a few
methods for categorizing chance for specific purposes too.
Some categorize dangers in development tasks greatly into
exterior dangers and inside dangers whilst others classify
hazard in extra certain classes of political risk, monetary
risk, market risk, mental property risk, social risk, security
risk, etc. The typology of the dangers appears to rely on the
whole upon whether or not the assignment is nearby
(domestic) or international.
4.2. MAJOR RISK IN CONSTRUCTION
4.2.1. Delivery/operation risk
The capability to overcome the danger of handing over and
running the task as conceived. This hazard issue includes
problems or worries related with proper engineering,
procurement, building execution, and operation of the
project, together with non-traditional processes such as a
public owner’s use of design-build contracts.
Volume – 4 | Issue – 4
|
May-June 2020
Page 1631
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
4.2.2. Technology risk
The capacity to overcome the technological dangers of the
project. This hazard aspect includes troubles or worries
related with the applied sciences worried in the execution
strategies and operational technological know-how of the
project.
5. SCHEDULE
4.2.3. Financial risk
The capacity to overcome the monetary chance of the
assignment via to last completion and operation. This threat
issue includes problems or issues related with the financing
of the project, together with the execution length and
operations or fairness financing.
4.2.4. Procurement-contractual risk
The potential to overcome the dangers related with the
procurement of, or contracting for, the execution and
operation of the project. This hazard element includes
problems or issues related with the contractual and
procurement approaches-systems-processes used for each
assignment execution and operation.
4.2.5. Political risk
The capability to overcome the political threat of the project,
which includes local, state, and countrywide political
opposition and code and regulatory impediments. This
chance issue includes troubles or concerns associated with
the local, regional, and countrywide political and regulatory
state of affairs confronting the project.
4.2.6. Environmental threat
The capacity to overcome the environmental dangers of the
project. This threat component includes troubles or worries
related with the environmental problems, concerns, and
things to do confronting the mission throughout the task
execution and the venture operation.
4.2.7. Social hazard
The capability to overcome the social dangers of the project.
This hazard thing includes troubles or worries related with
the social and cultural affects of the challenge to the
neighborhood and vicinity inside which it is to be located.
4.2.8. Economic danger
The capability to overcome the financial have an impact on
dangers of the project. This chance aspect entails problems
or issues related with the macroeconomic influence of the
mission to the neighborhood and vicinity inside which it is to
be located.
4.2.9. Reserves threat
An operations hazard component addresses the extent of
reserves and contingency to be transported, and no longer
solely the anchor field, however additionally reserve danger
related with the possibilities and discoveries in the area.
4.2.10. Credit risk
A monetary chance aspect Customer credit score danger is a
new hazard difficulty stemming from the giant influx of small
capital independents and the formation of many Limited
Liability Corporations besides any actual assets.
@ IJTSRD
|
Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD31654
|
FIG 5.1 SCHEDULE
5.1. Monitoring and controlling of chance in
development project
The purpose of chance administration is quantification of the
undesirable, earlier chosen random factors, willpower of
their have an effect on on time and fee of a building task and
the improvement of an choice variant of realization, the
movements minimizing damages or, for instance, the
emergency time time table. At the closing stage of the
manner it is developed the response techniques – the
method/procedure which should take some terrific actions,
or minimizing of the similarly outcomes of the undesirable
Volume – 4 | Issue – 4
|
May-June 2020
Page 1632
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
activities for the easy awareness of a venture i.e. avoid,
mitigation, transfer, etc.). The examples of some feasible
techniques are introduced in the terrific column of the Risk
Register.
6. QUESTIONNAIRE
Remarks: All data and information are strictly confidential and will not be disclosed, it is only for academic study purposes.
ANNEXURE 1: QUESTIONNAIRE
Please fill in the blank or tick in the box as shown
Name
:
Age
:
Gender
:
Educational qualification
:
Rank
:
Designation
:
Total work experience (years)
:
Area of work experience
:
Rating scale
:
M
F
Strongly disagree
Disagree
Average
Agree
1
2
3
4
1. SAFETY
 safety meetings are carried out in your company
 safety inspector is there for inspection
 safety bulletin board is displayed
 proper safety equipments are provided
 first aid facilities are provided
 proper safety training is provided to your employees
 Company’s safety regulation conform to OSHA standards
7. CONCLUSION
The persona and specifics of the building enterprise makes
that the evaluation of the influence of chance elements on a
development venture is greater regularly taken,
notwithstanding the predominant difficulties of their
quantification. The hassle of hazard administration is no
longer current in a concise way. The chance administration
in the development enterprise requires a complementary,
interdisciplinary, bendy strategy permitting to seize the
altering personality of hazard elements (qualitative,
quantitative) as nicely as it requires a specific description
and clarification of the mechanisms worried in the business
enterprise of development production. Therefore, in growing
of a solely modern-day however it is integral for the
environment friendly planning and awareness of a building
project. When selecting a technique of evaluation and the
remaining threat evaluation one must be guided through its
usefulness and readability and ease of decoding the acquired
results, which in this article the authors have tried to chance
evaluation mannequin in the building initiatives it need to be
emphasised on the compilation even accessible and already
identified equipment so to use a hybrid approach. The most
famous strategies (of undertaking danger analysis) are the
following: the strategies for the identification and
preliminary evaluation of chance and the strategies aiding
the decision-making procedure in the evaluation and
determination of projects. The scope of software and
diploma of issue of specific equipment are different, on the
other hand these must no longer discourage their use relying
to the established intention of analysis.
@ IJTSRD
|
Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD31654
|
Strongly agree
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
REFERENCES
[1] Adams, F. K. (2008). Risk perception and Bayesian
analysis of international construction contract risks:
The case of payment delays in a developing economy.
International Journal of Project Management, 26(2),
138–148. doi:10.1016/j.ijproman.2007.05.007.
[2] Adedokun, O. A., Ogunsemi, D. R., Aje, I. O., Awodele, O.
A., & Dairo, D. O. (2013). Evaluation of qualitative risk
analysis techniques in selected large construction
companies in Nigeria. Journal of Facilities Management,
11(2), 123–135.doi:10.1108/14725961311314615
[3] Adnan Enshassi and Jaser Abu Mos. 2008. Risk
Management in Building Projects: Owners Perspective.
The Islamic University Journal. 16(1): 95-123, ISSN
1726-6807.
[4] Akintoye A.S and MacLeod, M.J. 1997. Risk analysis and
management in construction, International Journal of
project Management. 15: 31-38.
[5] Altaher Mohamed Eida and R.K. Pandey (2015), ‘Risk
Management in Small Construction Project’,
International Journal of Scientific Engineering and
Technology Research, Vol. 4, Issue 13, Pages: 24722474, ISSN 2319-8885.
[6] Asish Ram and Pratheeba Paul (2015), ‘Study on
Construction Sequence Delay for Road Infrastructure
Projects’, IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil
Volume – 4 | Issue – 4
|
May-June 2020
Page 1633
International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD) @ www.ijtsrd.com eISSN: 2456-6470
Engineering (IOSR-JMCE), ISSN: 2320-334X, Volume
12, Issue 2, PP 15-21.
the Malaysian Construction Industry. Journal of
Construction in Developing Countries. 18(1): 19-32.
[7] D. Baccarini; R. Archer, The risk ranking of projects: a
methodology, International Journal of Project
Management, 19 3 (2001) 139-145.
[11] Chapman R. J. 2001. The Controlling Influences on
Effective Risk Identification and Assessment for
Construction Design Management, International
Journal of Project Management. 19(3): 147-160.
[8] Duda, R. O. et al Development of PROSPECTOR System
for Mineral Exploration. Final Report, SRI Projects
5821 and 6415, (Menlo Park, CA, 1979).
[9] A. Dziadosz, The influence of solutions adopted at the
stage of planning the building investment on the
accuracy of cost estimation, Procedia Engineering 54
(2013) 625–635.
[10] Cheng Siew Goh and Hamzah Abdul-Rahman1. 2013.
The Identification and Management of Major Risks in
@ IJTSRD
|
Unique Paper ID – IJTSRD31654
|
[12] Helton,, J Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in the
presence of stochastic and subjective uncertainty.
“Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation” 57:
3-76 (1997).
[13] Kinnaresh Patel. 2013. A study on risk assessment and
its management in India. American Journal of Civil
Engineering. 1(2): 64-67.
Volume – 4 | Issue – 4
|
May-June 2020
Page 1634