Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 8 January 2020 Prepared by: Anson Bartrand Ted Hile Table of Contents List of Tables ............................................................................................................................ iv List of Figures............................................................................................................................ v Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. vi Section I Introduction to the Study ................................................................................................. 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 Statement of the Problem ..................................................................................... 1 Significance of the Study ..................................................................................... 1 Scope of the Study ............................................................................................... 2 Source of Data ..................................................................................................... 2 Limitations of the Study ....................................................................................... 2 Section II Analysis of Bias in the Investigative Report..................................................................... 4 Professional Conflicts of Interest .......................................................................... 4 Incorrect or Misleading Word Choice................................................................... 5 Phraseology Which Suggests Bias ........................................................................ 5 Association Fallacy .............................................................................................. 6 Unethical Scope of the Investigation .................................................................... 6 Section III Selection of Evidence Used by the Investigative Report................................................... 8 Use of Metadata ................................................................................................... 8 Failure to Contact Key Witnesses ......................................................................... 8 Use of Irrelevant Events in the Investigation ........................................................ 9 Section IV Analysis of Key Finding #1 ........................................................................................... 10 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 10 Timeline of Key Finding #1 and Analysis .......................................................... 10 Conclusion ......................................................................................................... 12 Section V Analysis of Key Finding #2 ........................................................................................... 14 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea i Introduction ....................................................................................................... 14 Timeline of Key Finding #2 and Analysis .......................................................... 14 Conclusion ......................................................................................................... 15 Section VI Analysis of Key Finding #3 ........................................................................................... 17 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 17 Timeline of Key Finding #3 and Analysis .......................................................... 17 Conclusion ......................................................................................................... 31 Section VII Analysis of the Findings Contained in Section 2 ............................................................ 32 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 32 Analysis of Finding #1 ....................................................................................... 32 Analysis of Finding #2 ....................................................................................... 32 Analysis of Finding #3 ....................................................................................... 33 Analysis of Finding #4 ....................................................................................... 33 Analysis of Finding #5 ....................................................................................... 35 Analysis of Finding #6 ....................................................................................... 37 Analysis of Finding #7 ....................................................................................... 38 Analysis of Finding #8 ....................................................................................... 39 Conclusion ......................................................................................................... 39 Section VIII Analysis of Other Sections of the Report ....................................................................... 41 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Timeline of Events ....................................... 41 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 4: Political Violence ......................... 41 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 5: Shared Strategy ............................ 44 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 6: Tactics ......................................... 45 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 7: Communications .......................... 46 Section IX Recommendations ......................................................................................................... 47 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea ii Available Choices .............................................................................................. 47 Liability Assessment of Maintenance of the Situation ........................................ 48 Liability Assessment of Expulsion from the Legislature ..................................... 49 Liability Assessment of Resumption of Previous Status ..................................... 49 Recommendations .............................................................................................. 49 References................................................................................................................................ 51 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea iii LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Phrases Used in Investigative Report Which Suggest Bias ..................................................... 10 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea iv LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Number of Representatives Necessary to Expel Rep. Shea .................................................... 48 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea v Executive Summary INTRODUCTION This study was conducted to determine the negative impact of bias on the investigation of Matt Shea and locate errors and unjustified conclusions within the investigative report. This analysis of the report is limited to an analysis of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea prepared for the Washington State House of Representatives by Rampart Group LLC and makes recommendations solely on the reasonable doubt present in this investigation. FINDINGS The findings of this analysis of the report indicate that the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea was negatively impacted by bias and unjustified conclusions are present within the report. Additionally, errors and unjustified conclusions throughout the report indicate the lack of review on the part of Rampart Group LLC. CONCLUSIONS The main conclusion drawn from this analysis of the report is that the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea does not warrant the removal of Representative Shea from the his position as Washington State District #4 Representative. The lack of evidence to confirm that Representative Shea engaged in acts of political violence or domestic terrorism demonstrates a reasonable doubt that Representative Shea participated in these actions. Furthermore, the presence of these errors suggests that the investigative report was published without sufficient review. This analysis of the report recommends, therefore, that Representative Shea be reinstated in the Washington State House Republican Caucus and returned to all committee positions received as a result of his membership in the House Republican Caucus. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea vi Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea Section I Introduction to the Study Introduction In 2018, 39,572 voters in Washington Legislative District 4 voted for Matt Shea with the expectation that he would represent and serve them in the Washington State House of Representatives.1 An unfair and unjustified removal from office would potentially disenfranchise these voters. This analysis of the report seeks to probe the report commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives and prepared by Rampart Group LLC2 for bias, errors, and unjustified conclusions. Statement of the Problem The purpose of this analysis of the report is to analyze the negative impact of bias on the investigation of Matt Shea and locate errors which may have led to unjustified conclusions within the investigative report prepared by Rampart Group LLC. Significance of the Study There are four primary parties that will benefit from this analysis of the report. The first party, Matt Shea, will be provided a copy of this analysis of the report, in which the bias, revealed through errors and unjustified conclusions of the investigative report, are pointed out. The second party that may benefit from this analysis of the report is the voters of Washington Legislative District 4 who voted for Matt Shea, feeling that he was the best candidate to represent and serve them in the Washington State legislature. The third party benefited is the Washington State House of Representatives Republican Caucus, which has enjoyed the 1 2 Washington Secretary of State, “November 6, 2018 General Election Results,” (Olympia, Elections Division, 2018). Kathy Leodler and Paul Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” (Silverdale, Rampart Group, 2019), 4. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 1 membership and efforts of Matt Shea since 2009.3 Finally, the Washington State House of Representatives as a whole will benefit from the alternative views often offered by Matt Shea. His input will continue to help formulate solutions which are equitable for people of all political philosophies. Scope of the Study This analysis of the report focuses primarily on the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea prepared on the first of December 2019 by Rampart Group LLC on behalf of the Washington State House of Representatives. 4 This analysis of the report also includes sources necessary to identify bias, errors, and unjustified conclusions found within the report prepared by Rampart Group LLC. For the purposes of this analysis of the report, the following definitions are used. Bias: A prejudice or inclination for or against a particular person, group, or thing when compared with another in a way that is considered unfair. Error: A deviation from truth or accuracy. Unjustified Conclusion: A conclusion made which cannot be demonstrably verified. Sources of Data The sources of data for this analytical study include the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives and all sources necessary to address the errors and bias present throughout the investigative report. These sources include sources cited for the investigative report which were inaccurately applied and sources which directly contradict the claims made in the report. Limitations of the Study 3 4 Washington Secretary of State, “November 4, 2008 General Election Results,” (Olympia, Elections Division, 2008). Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 2 This analysis of the report is limited to only verifiable bias, errors, and unjustified conclusions in the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea. Bias and errors present in the witness statements and other sources utilized by Rampart Group LLC were not necessarily checked for accuracy by this analysis of the report. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 3 Section II Analysis of Bias in the Investigative Report Professional Conflicts of Interest The investigative report commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives shows only two senior investigators who participated in its composition: Kathy Leodler and Paul Leodler.5 According to the investigative report prepared by Rampart Group LLC, “investigators had no past or present professional, social or otherwise relationship with any of the members of the Washington State House of Representatives, Representative Shea, witnesses or other confidential sources of information.”6 However, simply accepting a contract to investigate Matt Shea and his associates is a relationship in and of itself. Kathy Leodler, as owner and CEO of Rampart Group LLC, has a direct present, professional relationship with all members of the Washington State House of Representatives, as her firm received the Washington State House of Representatives’ contract to investigate Matt Shea and his associates.7 Similarly, Paul Leodler, as Executive Vice President of Rampart Group LLC, has a direct present professional relationship with all members of the Washington State House of Representatives.8 Furthermore, Kathy Leodler’s positions as both special agent and executive leader in the FBI jeopardize her credibility, as the FBI was involved in two of the main conflicts addressed in the investigative report and serves as one of the sources upon which the report was composed.9 5 6 7 8 9 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 1. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 5. Rampart Group, “Kathy Leodler,” Accessed December 25, 2019, http://rampartgroup.com/rampart-team-kathyleodler. Rampart Group, “Paul Leodler,” Accessed December 25, 2019, http://rampartgroup.com/rampart-team-paul-leodler. Beth Anne Steele, “FBI Surrounds Occupiers at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge,” Federal Bureau of Investigation, accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.fbi.gov/contact-us/field-offices/portland/news/pressreleases/fbi-surrounds-occupiers-at-the-malheur-national-wildlife-refuge.; Abby Ellis, Sarah Childress and Richard Rowley, “New Video Shows Undercover FBI Operation Against Bundy Family,” accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/new-video-shows-undercover-fbi-operation-against-bundy- Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 4 Incorrect or Misleading Word Choice In section A of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea, to ‘engage in’ is defined as “to take part in a particular activity; to join in or participate or be a part of or associated with a person, thing, action, or cause.”10 Rampart Group’s definition in the study appears to be incorrect and misleading; In the Oxford, Merriam-Webster’s, and American Heritage Dictionaries, to ‘engage in’ has no definitional implications concerning associations with a person, thing, action, or cause.11 Additionally, this analysis of the report acknowledges the definition of ‘promote’ in the Rampart Group’s study to be accurate: “to further the progress of an action or cause; to support or actively encourage.”12 This analysis of the report considers the accidental or unintentional advancement of the progress of an action or cause to be within the definition of the word “promote.” Phraseology Which Suggests Bias Throughout the investigative report, the frequent use of the expressions “more probable than not,” “more likely than not” and “ostensibly” indicates that the evidence obtained by the investigators does not support all of the conclusions ascertained by the investigators.13 Additionally, the investigative report twice describes an online posting made by Representative Shea as a “call to arms” while no request is made by Representative Shea in either posting for the readers to bring firearms or any form of weapon.14 This suggests that investigators had preconceived notions of Representative Shea as a legislator who encouraged violent acts against the United States government. 10 11 12 13 14 family; Rampart Group, “Kathy Leodler,” Accessed December 25, 2019, http://rampartgroup.com/rampart-teamkathy-leodler. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Oxford English Dictionary, 2nd ed. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2004), s.v. “Engage.”; Merriam-Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, 11th ed. (Springfield: Merriam Webster, 2003), s.v. “Engage.”; American Heritage Dictionary, 5th ed. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 2011), s.v. “Engage.” Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12-81. Dutchman6, “Open Letter from Rep. Matt Shea,” Sipsey Street Irregulars, accessed December 24, 2019, http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot.com/2014/04/open-letter-from-rep-matt-shea.html; Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12, 79. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 5 Phrase Location in Investigative Report Description of Use “More probable than P14¶6, P16¶3, P17¶1, P17¶5, This expression is used in the report not” P19¶1, P22¶7, P26¶2, P31¶2, to justify certain claims regarding P33¶3, P50¶9, P68¶4, P81¶5 (3) Rep. Shea. P30¶7 This expression is used to justify a “More likely than not” “Call to arms” certain claim. P12¶1 (2), P79¶6 This expression is used as a description of certain online postings. “Ostensibly” P78¶3 This word is used with a claim that Representative Shea gave confidential information to armed militants at the Malheur Refuge. Table 1: Phrases Used in Investigative Report Which Suggest Bias Association Fallacy An association fallacy occurs when an irrelevant association leads one to believe that the qualities of one person or thing are inherently qualities of another.15 Association fallacies are widely considered to be unethical and not legally recognized without supporting evidence.16 Throughout the report, frequent conclusions are drawn from Representative Shea’s associations with individuals, groups and the Patriot Movement.17 However, without corroborating evidence to justify these claims, the conclusions drawn from Representative Shea’s associations by investigators are not legally recognized and are therefore not recognized as just evidence by this analysis of the report. Unethical Scope of the Investigation The investigation of Representative Shea commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives included the following directives: 15 16 17 Legal Dictionary, “Guilt by Association,” Accessed December 25, 2019, https://legaldictionary.net/guilt-byassociation. Legal Dictionary, “Guilt by Association,” Accessed December 25, 2019, https://legaldictionary.net/guilt-byassociation. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 1-108. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 6 • “Determine whether Representative Shea was engaged in, planned, or promoted political violence against groups or individuals.” • Identify the extent of Representative Shea's involvement with groups or individuals who promote, engage in or plan political violence against group or individuals, and the nature of the activities in which these individuals or groups are engaged.” • Assess the level of threat of political violence posed by these individuals and groups.”18 The second and third directives issued by the Washington State House of Representatives both attempt to implicate Representative Shea using guilt by association (association fallacy), despite the unethical nature of association fallacies. 18 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 7 Section III Selection of Evidence Used by the Investigative Report Use of Metadata Throughout the investigative report, investigators relied extensively on the use of metadata to determine authorship of documents, dates and times of a document’s composition, etc. as evidence of Representative Shea’s involvement and support of political violence.19 However, the relative ease of altering and forging metadata of documents leads this analysis of the report to question the authenticity of evidence in the form of metadata.20 Failure to Contact Key Witnesses This analysis of the report finds that the investigators failed to contact Jack Robertson, founder and director of AmRRON.21 Both Jack Robertson and AmRRON were referenced repeatedly throughout the investigative report.22 However, according to Jack Robertson, Rampart Group failed to “simply [reach] out to us,” meaning AmRRON. Jack Robertson further describes Rampart Group’s actions as “recklessly irresponsible and grossly negligent.”23 Also, the investigators claim that Representative Shea “declined to be interviewed in [Rampart Group’s] investigation.” However, a declination is, by definition, an active response. 24 Furthermore, according to the investigative report, Mr. Lamb, attorney for Representative Shea, agreed to respond to the investigator. No mention is made of any further attempts made by either party to 19 20 21 22 23 24 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 1-108. Microsoft Office, “View or change the properties for an Office file,” Accessed December 27, 2019, https://support.office.com/en-us/article/view-or-change-the-properties-for-an-office-file-21d604c2-481e-43798e54-1dd4622c6b75. John Jacob Schmidt, “Rampart Sham – Part 1: AmRRON Attacked With Lies, Innuendos in Left Wing Driven Attack on Patriot Legislator,” AmRRON, accessed December 26, 2019, https://amrron.com/2019/12/22/rampart-shampart-1-amrron-attacked-with-lies-innuendos-in-left-wing-driven-attack-on-patriot-legislator. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 1-108. John Jacob Schmidt, “Rampart Sham – Part 1: AmRRON Attacked With Lies, Innuendos in Left Wing Driven Attack on Patriot Legislator,” AmRRON, accessed December 26, 2019, https://amrron.com/2019/12/22/rampart-shampart-1-amrron-attacked-with-lies-innuendos-in-left-wing-driven-attack-on-patriot-legislator. Merriam-Webster’s Collegiate Dictionary, 11th ed. (Springfield: Merriam Webster, 2003), s.v. “Decline.” Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 8 conduct the interview.25 This analysis of the report finds that both parties were afforded the opportunity to reach out to the other, but neither party chose to pursue the interview. Use of Irrelevant Events in the Investigation The frequent and repetitive use of irrelevant events in the investigative report released by Rampart Group distracts and confuses the reader from the scope of the investigation commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives. 26 These irrelevant events include the election of former President Obama in 2008, traffic infractions, Representative Shea’s divorce, etc.27 These events are not relevant to the investigation of Representative Shea. 25 26 27 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 6. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 1-108. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 37-39. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 9 Section IV Analysis of Key Finding #1 Introduction Key Finding #1 of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea states that “Representative Shea traveled to and engaged in the 2014 armed conflict at Bunkerville, Nevada during April 2014.”28 Timeline of Key Finding #1 and Analysis The actions taken by Representative Shea mentioned in the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea to support Key Finding #1 are as follows: April 9, 2014: Representative Matt Shea dispatched Liberty for All (LFA) – Washington Militia Leader Anthony Bosworth to the site of the conflict near Bunkerville, NV to assess the situation. On the same day, the Oath Keepers militia announced that Representative Shea was leading a group of state legislators and others to the Bundy Ranch in support of the Bundy Standoff.29 Analysis Representative Shea’s dispatchment of Anthony Bosworth to assess the situation does not reveal any malintent or desire for political violence. The only revelation that comes forth from this dispatchment is that Matt Shea wanted to learn more of what proceedings were taking place at the Bundy Ranch by assessing the situation.30 The statement made by Oath Keepers militia, announcing Representative Shea’s support is stated, but not cited in the investigative report composed by Rampart Group LLC. 31 This is simply an unverified assertion. 28 29 30 31 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 10 April 10, 2014: Representative Matt Shea posted the following statement on the Sipsey Street III% blog: "We dispatched a group of patriots from Washington State to Nevada to report directly what is happening on the ground and to be vigil of prayer for peace and freedom at the Bundy Ranch. Enough is enough. A sniper rifle is not due process and I agree with the Nevada Governor this is pure intimidation especially since the court case has not even run its course. NOW IS THE TIME TO STAND.” He goes on to ask for prayer for all traveling to the Bundy Ranch. Then, he advises the readers, “I have put out the call to legislators in 5 states to join Representative David Taylor and me in traveling to Nevada in support of State Assemblywoman Michele Fiore and the Bundy family.” He states in his open letter, this call out was in conjunction with the call out to the Constitutional Sheriffs and Peace Officers Association (CSPOA) and the Oath Keepers. He also invited all patriots in Washington and Idaho to travel to Nevada and “stand against tyranny on the range.” He concluded with, “This involves all of us. It will take all of us to restore a God honoring Constitutional Republic.”32 Analysis The investigative report claims that this message was posted by Representative Shea on the tenth of April 2014, at 1:47 p.m.33 However, this message was posted on behalf of Representative Shea by blogger Dutchman6 at 9:01 p.m.34 This post on the tenth of April in the year 2014 asks people to stand in support of the Bundys. There is no request made by Matt Shea for protesters to bring firearms or participate in an act of political violence. The wording in Matt Shea’s post does not demonstrate that Matt Shea had any other desire than for a peaceful protest. However, the report later describes this post as a “call to arms” which is unfounded according to the wording of Representative Shea’s post.35 32 33 34 35 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 11. Dutchman6, “Open Letter from Rep. Matt Shea,” Sipsey Street Irregulars, accessed December 24, 2019, http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot.com/2014/04/open-letter-from-rep-matt-shea.html. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12,79. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 11 April 10-12, 2014: Representative Shea traveled to the standoff where he spoke in support of Mr. Bundy. He joined the protest in support of Mr. Bundy at the Bundy Ranch. 36 Analysis Representative Shea’s travel to Bunkerville, NV was not a criminal act. Neither was his support of Mr. Bundy. Representative Shea remains protected by the First Amendment.37 The extent to which Representative Shea “joined the protest” is the only act in question. However, all leaders in the Bundy standoff were later acquitted.38 Furthermore, the investigative report’s statement that Representative Shea “joined in the protest” is not cited.39 Therefore, one cannot verify the truth of this statement. April 14, 2014: Representative Shea formed Coalition of Western States (COWS) to support land rights issues.40 Analysis Matt Shea performed no act of political violence or participated in any criminal activity by forming COWS. June 22, 2014: Representative Shea attended a meeting at a Spokane area Mexican Restaurant with at least four other men, including Stewart Rhodes and Elias Alias. Witness 34 overheard the men discussing militia, weapons, stockpiling ammunition, Bundy Ranch, Special Forces, and Snipers. The witness also claims to have heard the names Stewart Rhodes and Ryan Payne.41 Analysis Even if this analysis of the report assumes that Witness 34 heard everything correctly and accurately identified the men, the conversation between these men is not attributed to any 36 37 38 39 40 41 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12. U.S. Const. amend. I. Julie Turkewitz, “No Guilty Verdicts in Bundy Ranch Standoff Trial,” New York Times, accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/22/us/bundy-trial-nevada-verdict.html. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 13. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 12 specific act of political violence which followed the meeting and must therefore be dismissed as it is outside the scope of the investigation commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives. Conclusion No further actions taken by representative Shea or attributed to Representative Shea are referenced in support of Key Finding #1. However, because of the lack of evidence supporting investigators’ claims, no act of political violence or criminal activity can be attributed to Representative Shea by Key Finding #1. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 13 Section V Analysis of Key Finding #2 Introduction Key Finding #2 of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea states that “Representative Shea traveled to and engaged in the 2015 armed conflict at Priest River, Idaho.”42 Timeline of Key Finding #2 and Analysis The actions taken by Representative Shea mentioned in the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea to support Key Finding #1 are as follows: August 6, 2015: Representative Shea posted an “URGENT ACTION ALERT” on his Facebook site that stated: “The federal government is going to attempt the gun confiscation of a Vietnam War Veteran. The VA is going to conduct a check for and confiscate his guns based on nothing more than a stroke which has left him with some mild physical impairment. After evaluating the VA claims and letters and getting information from the head of the American Legion Auxiliary in Bonner County, it is clear this is not warranted. WE CANNOT LET THIS STAND. THE SEIZURE OF THE GUNS OF ONE OF US... IS THE SEIZURE OF THE GUNS OF ALL OF US. PLEASE ATTEND IF AT ALL POSSIBLE. RIGHT NOW, WE HAVE LEGISLATORS AND CITIZENS FROM WASHINGTON AND IDAHO HEADED TO THE LOCATION. REP. Heather Scott HAS ASKED US ALL FOR HELP SINCE THIS IS HER DISTRICT AND I WILL STAND BY HER. In Freedom, Matt Shea”43 42 43 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 13. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 13. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 14 Representative Shea later posted "Enroute to Idaho with a convoy of patriots…”44 Representative Shea spoke later at a rally, and then posted updates to his Facebook site again following his speech. Reports indicated that approximately 100 individuals showed up, many armed, who stood with Representative Shea, at the veteran's home to prevent the VA employee from entering. Representative Shea can be heard in a YouTube video of his speech at the rally referring to the VA’s actions as “bureaucratic terrorism” and claimed such gun seizures have been going on throughout the country and “Today it stops here in Priest River, Idaho,” he then goes on to say later in his speech, “today we are telling Federal government they are going to have to come through us to get to this veteran.” Representative Shea has spoken publicly of the incident and claimed credit for organizing the confrontation.45 Analysis Representative Shea’s “urgent action alert” is protected under the First Amendment.46 Furthermore, in this post on Facebook, he does not encourage people to bring firearms or participate in an act of political violence. Matt Shea’s later post revealing that he was travelling to Idaho similarly does not encourage political violence or indicate that Matt Shea intended to participate in an act of political violence. Matt Shea is also protected under the First Amendment for any and all remarks he made at the rally. Conclusion The confrontation was a nonviolent one;47 therefore, Matt Shea’s involvement and organization in the matter do not constitute political violence, and the incident is outside the scope of the investigative report.48 Furthermore, no evidence is used by the investigative report to demonstrate 44 45 46 47 48 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 14. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 14. U.S. Const. amend. I. AWR Hawkins, “Citizens, Sheriff, ‘Stand Guard’ To Keep VA From Confiscating Veteran’s Guns,” Breitbart, accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2015/08/07/citizens-sheriff-stand-guard-tokeep-va-from-confiscating-veterans-guns. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 15 that Representative Shea condoned political violence in his participation and planning of this event. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 16 Section VI Analysis of Key Finding #3 Introduction Key Finding #3 of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea states that “Representative Shea, along with other COWS members and Ammon Bundy engaged in phone calls and planned the 2016 takeover of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge; engaged in the conflict by directing COWS members and militias in support of the takeover, and traveled to Burns, Oregon and met with refuge armed occupiers contrary to appeals and warnings from law enforcement and Oregon state elected officials.”49 Timeline of Key Finding #3 and Analysis The actions mentioned in the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea to support Key Finding #3 are as follows: November 2015: Ammon Bundy, Ryan Payne and others began asking the Sheriff of Harney County to intercede on behalf of the Hammonds.50 Analysis There is no evidence shown in the investigative report that these people were acting on Representative Shea’s behalf, nor that Representative Shea was involved in any way.51 Although this may provide marginal context to the Malheur takeover, the events relating to the Sheriff of Harney County that took place in November 2015 do not pertain in any way to the investigation of Representative Shea. December 2015: “Burns, Oregon, the Harney County Seat, was overrun with heavily armed militia members who filled all available hotel rooms and campgrounds and then openly 49 50 51 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 15. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 16. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 16. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 17 threatened US Fish and Wildlife employees, the Sheriff, local political leaders and their families and local Burns citizens in their protest against Federal land management and treatment of the Hammonds. Militia members made threats against anyone speaking out against Bundy and Payne and began pushing their agenda at coffee meetings. They showed up at local churches to get support and handed out flyers at grocery stores. The Sheriff told investigators that militia members committed obvious traffic violations to provoke traffic stops to set up opportunities to create confrontations with law enforcement. Militia members switched license plates on their vehicles and harassed and frightened local citizens by following them in their cars.”52 Analysis The investigative report fails to establish any connection between Representative Shea and the “armed militia members” mentioned in this section of the investigative report.53 These events do not pertain in any way to the investigation of Representative Shea. December 7, 2015: “Ryan Payne returned to the Sheriff’s office and repeated his demands and threats. According to Sheriff Ward, when it became obvious that he would not support the militias and interfere with Hammond's return to prison, Bundy and Payne tried to rent a building to surveil the Sheriff's office. Intelligence received by Sheriff Ward informed him that the militias had put out calls for shooters and armed bodyguards to protect Ammon Bundy and Ryan Payne with the use of lethal force to prevent their arrest. They also posted on social media their intent to campout at the Hammond’s house and guard them from law enforcement.”54 Analysis None of the events said to have occurred on December 7 have been demonstrably attributed to Representative Shea by the report. The events of December 7 are irrelevant to the investigation of Representative Shea, except with the possible use as context to the Malheur takeover.55 52 53 54 55 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 18 December 11, 2015: “Sheriff Ward received a letter from the Hammonds Attorney stating that the Hammonds intended to turn themselves in on January 4, 2016 and that [neither] Ammon Bundy nor anyone else speaks for the Hammond family. That same day, the Bundy Family issued on their website, and Ammon Bundy and hand delivered to the Sheriff, a document entitled ‘Redress of Grievance’ from ‘We the People-United Individuals of these States United: Coalition of Western States (COWS), Pacific Patriot Network (PPN), Bundy Family and Supporters, Oregon Oath Keepers, Central Oregon Constitutional Guard, Oregon Tactical, Oregon Bearded Bastards, Liberty Watch Washington, Nevada Committee for Full Statehood, Rural Heritage Preservation Project and Liberty For All’ to Governor Kate Brown, Governor of Oregon and other Harney County Oregon officials. Metadata shows the document was authored by Ammon Bundy beginning on December 8, 2015 and finalized on December 11, 2015. The grievance accused the US Government of abusing the Federal Court system and acting outside the US Constitution in charging and convicting Dwight and Steven Hammond of Federal crimes. Based upon the legal and constitutional underpinnings of the document to include Revolutionary War era legal language as a right to petition grievances and to make a complaint, it is more probable than not that the ‘Redress of Grievance’ was co-authored with Ammon Bundy, COWS Chairman Representative Shea and COWS Legal Counsel KrisAnne Hall.”56 “On this same date, December 11, 2015, the COWS organization that was founded and is chaired by Representative Shea, issued a press release in support of the Hammonds and accused the BLM of ‘Continuing to engage in a literal, intentional conspiracy to deprive ranchers and farmers of their property rights throughout the west.’ Press release further stated, ‘This is war on rural America,’ a statement used by Representative Shea at the Bundy standoff in 2014.” 57 Analysis Metadata does not indicate that Representative Shea was an author or a contributor to the document, “Redress of Grievances.”58 The investigators claim that it is “more probable than not that the ‘Redress of Grievance’ was co-authored with Ammon Bundy, COWS Chairman 56 57 58 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 19 Representative Shea and COWS Legal Counsel KrisAnne Hall.”59 However, the investigators lack sufficient evidence to make such a claim. Attributing the issuance of the COWS press release to Representative Shea is an association fallacy. There is a reasonable doubt that the press release was not made by Representative Shea. The investigators make no attempt to attribute the other events of December 11 to Representative Shea.60 Late December 2015: “COWS members, to include Representative Shea, participated in a total of four meetings with Ammon Bundy that took place within three to five days in advance of the armed takeover. The preplanning of the armed takeover of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge is corroborated by trial testimony given by occupier Blaine Cooper who cooperated with the US Government and testified that a secret meeting was held with Ammon Bundy, and other occupiers Jason Patrick, Jon Ritzheimer, Joe O'Shaughnessy, Corey Lequieu, Ryan Payne and BJ Soper in late December 2015 to discuss the takeover of the refuge. The meeting was so secret that Bundy told those assembled to turn off their cellphones and leave laptop computers outside and away from the meeting. Cooper said he was at the meeting that took place and discussion included the Sheriff’s refusal to assist the Hammonds, the rally scheduled for January 2, 2016 and the upcoming armed takeover of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge. Representative Shea’s and COWS’ participation in the preplanning meetings with Bundy was confirmed by information provided by three witnesses.”61 Analysis The only witness identified by either name or number in the above statement is Blaine Cooper, who relates an extensive list of seven people who attended the secret meeting; the list does not include Representative Shea.62 The investigative report fails to provide any citation supporting the investigators’ claims that Representative Shea participated in these four meetings with Ammon Bundy, or the degree to which these meetings related to the Malheur armed takeover. The report claims that “Representative Shea’s and COWS’ participation in the preplanning 59 60 61 62 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 17-18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 20 meetings with Bundy was confirmed by information provided by three witnesses.” However, the report fails to give the information provided by the three witnesses and fails to cite by number which witnesses gave information to confirm Representative Shea’s supposed participation.63 The investigators’ assertion that Representative Shea participated in these four meetings and planned the Malheur takeover is considered an unjustified conclusion for the purposes of this analysis of the report. January 2, 2016: “During a planned demonstration in support of the Hammonds, a group of armed, militia members broke off from the demonstration and took over the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge. The action was portrayed as a spontaneous act, but [Rampart Group’s] investigation has obtained information that the armed takeover was meticulously planned in December 2015 by conspirators that included Representative Shea.”64 Analysis No information is given in the investigative report to suggest that the armed takeover was meticulously planned during four meetings in December 2015 by conspirators including Representative Shea.65 This is considered an unjustified conclusion for the purposes of this analysis of the report. The investigative report also mentions “additional documentary evidence” showing that Representative Shea “authored and circulated an operations plan directed for use by militias and COWS members at the standoff.”66 The investigative report does not demonstrate that this operations plan advocated or promoted any act of political violence. The investigative report further claims that Representative Shea sent LFA leader Bosworth into the occupied compound without the knowledge of law enforcement. 67 However, despite sending Bosworth into the occupied compound, no evidence demonstrates that Bosworth engaged in any acts of political violence under the direction of Representative Shea. 63 64 65 66 67 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 21 January 4, 2016: “Representative Shea sent an email to a select group of 15 private individuals… entitled ‘Warning Order-Operation Cold Reality’ [which] contained an attachment identified as ‘WarningOrder.docx.’”68 The email entitled “Warning Order-Operation Cold Reality” consisted of the following text: “Please see the Warning Order attached. Please pay attention to and abide by the classification. This is a military style planning brief. Please use this as a standard form in the future. We are receiving intel right now that arrest warrants are signed and the FBI strike team is preparing to dramatically escalate. We are waiting till tomorrow morning to evaluate the situation and make the callup. If you are not familiar with the REDCON Status, then contact me via WICKR. The call up will go out over WICKR and Proton. That's when the timer starts. Please confirm you are available to be part of the delegation and receipt of this message. P. S. The Chinese Stock Market just crashed and they are suspending trading. Pray hard tonight!”69 The investigative report found that the document attachment identified as ‘WarningOrder .docx’ to be prepared in a military format known as the SMEAC model. SMEAC refers to the order in which a document may be prepared: situation, mission, execution, administration logistics, command and control protocol.70 In the situation section, Representative Shea purportedly described the intentions of both the FBI and the former president. Representative Shea is also assumed to have said that about a “dozen ‘patriots’ occupying the wildlife refuge with the intent to continue doing so indefinitely.” He continues by saying that “members are preparing to fight locally.”71 68 69 70 71 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 19. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 19-20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 22 The investigative report shows the mission section of WarningOrder.docx to consist only of the preparation to “deploy COWS/AmRRON, LWWA, LFA negotiating teams to Burns on 2 hours notice.”72 The “intent” of the execution section only consists of “[concluding] a peaceful resolution to the situation and re-establish legitimate Patriot leadership over the movement. Force the BLM to address its utter failure as an agency and embolden people at the state and local level to reclaim ground for liberty.”73 The investigative report also shows the execution section contains an execution strategy of the operation and the five goals of the operation.74 The investigative report also states that Representative Shea gave specific instructions to recipients and to certain organizations and that the document included the following instructions: “PIRs will change and be modified as the situation dictates. They are priority traffic and if observed must be reported via a secured medium to codenames Scout, Fox519 and Verumbellator. Rules of Engagement, Messaging, Timeline, Logistics to include travel, lodging, food/water, Medevac, Command & Signal, Succession of Command and Locations, all of which are more detailed in WARNING ORDER.”75 Analysis The text of the email entitled “Warning Order-Operation Cold Reality” only shows that Representative Shea was evaluating the situation and that he had some information of the situation at hand at the Malheur Refuge. The body of the email does not contain any information to demonstrate that Representative Shea was involved in any criminal activity or that he encouraged or engaged in any act of political violence. 76 72 73 74 75 76 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20-21. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 21-22. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 19-20. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 23 In the situation section of the attachment, Representative Shea supposedly assesses the intentions of the FBI, the president (Obama) and about a dozen militia members. He does not claim any ability to control the militia members actions, nor does he claim any connection to them whatsoever.77 No information in this section suggests that Representative Shea was directly or indirectly engaged in any act of political violence. The investigative report shows no part of the mission section of the attachment which suggests that Representative Shea planned or engaged in any act of political violence. Representative Shea’s supposed preparation to deploy negotiating teams to Burns, Oregon at this time further suggests that the negotiating teams and Representative Shea operated independently of the armed militia members who performed the armed takeover of the Malheur Refuge.78 Had this not been the case, the negotiating teams would have already been prepared at the time that certain militia members took over the Malheur Refuge.79 Additionally, the deployment of negotiating teams to Burns, Oregon reaffirms Representative Shea’s desire to conclude a “peaceful resolution” to the incident.80 The execution section of the attachment contains no information which links Representative Shea to the militia members who took over the refuge. The execution section of the attachment only suggests that Representative Shea might have chosen to use the incident to address what he deemed to be a political issue.81 The remaining instructions that were in the attachment do not suggest that Representative Shea was involved in the political violence which took place at the Malheur Refuge. The mentioned instructions for individuals include obtaining a security detail for five legislators, identification of “Patriot Bondsmen” and finding lodging. Preparing a security detail for 5 legislators does not suggest that Representative Shea was involved in any acts of political violence associated with 77 78 79 80 81 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20-21. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20-21. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 24 the Malheur Takeover, but rather suggests his trepidation that the legislators could be the victims of political violence.82 His instructions to various organizations also fail to provide a connection between Representative Shea and the political violence associated with the Malheur takeover. These instructions only concern media coverage of the event. 83 The investigative report does not demonstrate any connection between the email with its attachment sent on January 4, 2016 and Representative Shea. The investigative report only demonstrates Representative Shea’s intent to use the incident to address what he considered to be a political issue.84 January 5, 2016: An email with an updated operations order consisting of four pages was sent from verumbellator@protonmail.com to several recipients. The email included the statements, “all teams are organizing and almost ready to deploy” and “we have good confirmation of the facts on the ground.” The email continues, “Ranchers are in support of us, but feel they cannot be publicly (2 of our contacts said this) … today we identified a possible State Rep in Oregon and County Commissioner that may be on board and request our help. The County Commissioner has not called me yet and I am calling the State Rep this afternoon. We cannot go in there as more outsiders.” The email continues, saying “the Feds want to draw as many rogue elements to the site as possible to destroy the patriot movement from a PR perspective to justify them calling us all domestic terrorists and cracking down. This is an intentional bait and switch and they need time for everyone to get into the trap.” The email continues by stating that it is the intent of the Federal Government “to perform a violent retaking of the refuge”, that the email’s recipients should not “be fooled into thinking they [Federal Government] want[s] no violence” and that the government will “escalate to a full blown violent retaking of the refuge.” The email also included “Action Items/FRAGO.”85 82 83 84 85 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 21. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 21. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20-21. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 22-23. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 25 Instructions included in the email include directing Former Representative Hunt to be prepared to embark via Olympia Airport, asking “COUNTYGREEN” if he/she would be available to “come up” and asking “scout” to have the advance party “ready ASAP.”86 The email concluded by “drawing attention to the GUIDELINES that included eight points: prayer coverage, research facts, get commitment from the people directly affected by the Federal Government's unlawful actions, build public support, establish a local Assembly with a Committee of Correspondence and Committee of Safety and concludes with sign off, ‘V/B Resistance to tyranny is obedience to God.’”87 The OPORD attachment to this email followed the same format as the attachment to the email released on January 4, 2016. The situation was changed from the attachment to the previous email to include the FBI’s situation and presumed intentions. The mission section of the attachment included instructions to “be prepared to deploy COWS, LWWA and LFA negotiating team to Burns, Oregon no later than 12:00 pm, 9 January 2016 in order to facilitate a peaceful resolution to the situation.” The execution section of the OPORD called for “re-establishing legitimate Patriot leadership over the movement” and to “force the BLM to address it’s utter failure as an agency and embolden people at the state and local level to reclaim ground for liberty.”88 The instructions for COWS members included in OPORD were to “Coordinate negotiation team to include elected officials, pastors, and law enforcement; deploy negotiation team to Burns, Oregon; issue press release regarding deployment; coordinate hotel for 10-12 individuals in Burns, Oregon, bring sound system and stage background, bring emergency medical supplies, food and water, conduct morning, afternoon and evening public briefs, refute all rumors, give concrete examples of aggression (government), finish with positives, conduct leaders conference 86 87 88 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23-24. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 26 all meeting no later than 2000 hr, establish uplink for real time video feeds and establish radio and TV presence with friendly hosts.”89 The attachment also instructed Representative Hunt to coordinate a flight. The email also “addressed ‘Succession in Command’ and listed ‘Team Leaders COWS, AmRRON, ADVON/MST (Main Security Team), Security Detail, QRT.”90 Analysis The teams referenced in the email which were ready to deploy most likely refer to the negotiating teams included in the previous email.91 The investigative report attempts to point to the email’s use of the word “us” in the body of the email to directly connect Representative Shea to the militia members who took control of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge.92 However, the antecedent of the word “us” in the body of the email is “rogue elements,” which may refer instead to people of a conservative political ideology, rather than the armed occupiers.93 Also, the investigative report defines the acronym “FRAGO” as “Fragmented Operation.”94 However, the definition used by the investigative report appears to be incorrect as “FRAGO” is the shortened form of “Fragmentary Order.”95 None of the instructions issued in this email demonstrate any connection to the political violence at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge or any criminal intent on the part of the sender or the email’s recipients. 96 No part of the body of the email sent on January 5, 2016 demonstrates any criminal intent or any connection between its sender and the political violence which took place during the Malheur Armed Takeover. 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 20. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 23. Army Study Guide, “FRAGMENTARY ORDER [FRAGO],” Accessed December 27, 2019, https://www.armystudyguide.com/content/the_tank/army_report_and_message_formats/fragmentary-orderfrago.shtml. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 22-23. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 27 The OPORD document that was attached to the email primarily concerns its sender’s hopes to use the Malheur armed takeover to address what he considered a political issue. In fact, OPORD demonstrates that the sender hoped for a “peaceful resolution” to the incident.97 No conclusive connection can be drawn between the sender of the email and the militia members who participated in the Malheur Armed Takeover. January 9, 2016: Representative Shea travelled to Burns, Oregon with others; Oregon State Representative Dallas Heard likewise travelled to Burns, Oregon on this date. Representative Shea met with the Harney County Judge and local and federal law enforcement officials to discuss the armed take over and occupation of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge. Representative Shea did not disclose his COWS involvement. He then proceeded to the refuge where he met with the occupiers against the direction of the judge and law enforcement officials.98 Analysis Representative Shea was not legally obligated to disclose his COWS membership to the Harney County Judge nor to the local and federal law enforcement officials. Although Representative Shea did travel to the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge against the direction of the judge and law enforcement officials, there is no other evidence shown to suggest that he engaged in any act of political violence while at the refuge or disclosed any knowledge he had about law enforcement activities.99 Furthermore, because the occupied refuge was not secured, the fact that he visited the refuge can be blamed on the lack of security surrounding the refuge which had at this point been occupied for a period of 7 days.100 Representative Shea states in his “Statement Regarding Ethics Complaint” that he was invited by “elected officials and members of the community.”101 However, the investigative report Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24. 98 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24-25. 99 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24-25. 100 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24-25. 101 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28. 97 Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 28 “determined that no one in authority from the Harney County local and state government or federal, state or local law enforcement issued an invitation to Representative Shea...”102 The investigators make an attempt here to imply that Representative Shea made an assertion that he never made; Representative Shea only stated that his invitation came from elected officials and members of the community. Furthermore, only three witness statements and one electronic document were attributed to the investigators’ claims that “no one in authority from the Harney County local [including municipal] and state government or federal, state, or local law enforcement issued an invitation to Representative Shea.”103 Many elected officials were never contacted during the investigation. Sometime after February 11, 2016: Witness 7 claimed to have “found an online posting on Representative Shea’s Facebook page that stated, ‘after much prayer, I'm afraid violence might be necessary to take our country back.’”104 Analysis Without additional evidence to support the witness’ claim, this witness’ account cannot be verified. Furthermore, this comment does not indicate Representative Shea’s participation in such acts. March 21, 2016: Representative Shea “lacked candor in a statement made to the Washington State House of Representative Legislative Ethics Board Investigator…regarding a complaint related to his travel to both Bunkerville, Nevada in April 12-14, 2014, and his travel to Burns, Oregon on January 9-10, 2016.”105 Analysis 102 103 104 105 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 27. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 27-28. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 29 The ethics investigator found a “lack of reasonable cause” and dropped the allegations made against Representative Shea.106 March 23, 2016: Representative Shea emailed “Statement Regarding Ethics Complaint” to the ethics investigator in which he detailed his involvement in the two incidents.107 Analysis None of the evidence disclosed in the investigative report conflicts with Representative Shea’s account detailed in his “Statement Regarding Ethics Complaint.”108 June 25, 2016: Representative Shea “held a private meeting to discuss the fallout from the Malheur armed takeover, the court cases of the Bundy's, persecution of Christians and the state of the economy.”109 Analysis The investigation of Representative Shea does not detail any acts done at this meeting which demonstrate that he engaged in any acts of political violence.110 September 12, 2016: “Representative Shea named LFA-Washington militia leader Anthony Bosworth “Patriot of the Year” for his role at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge armed occupation.”111 Analysis This analysis of the report does not refute that Anthony Bosworth may have committed certain illegal acts during the armed occupation. However, the title given by Representative Shea was 106 107 108 109 110 111 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 15-28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 28-29. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 15-28. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 29. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 30 not necessarily bestowed for his illegal actions but could have been bestowed for his work as a negotiator in the conflict.112 Conclusion There is no evidence given in the investigative report to demonstrate that Representative Shea condoned, planned, or engaged in the political violence which happened at the Malheur takeover. The lack of evidence indicates a reasonable doubt that the claims of Key Finding #3 are just and accurate. 112 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 24. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 31 Section V Analysis of the Findings Contained in Section 2 of the Investigative Report Introduction The other eight findings given in the investigative report are given with an analysis in this section of the report. Analysis of Finding #1 Finding #1 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea and the actions of the COWS organization during the armed takeover and standoff at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge constitute domestic terrorism.”113 Analysis By statute, however, domestic terrorism must be “dangerous to human life.”114 The evidence used in the investigative report can only suggest that Representative Shea may have contributed to planning the media coverage of the event and may support for a political ideology which advocates for the BLM to turn over federal lands to local control. No evidence demonstrates a connection between Representative Shea and the militia members who took over the refuge.115 Furthermore, Representative Shea cannot be held responsible for the actions of the COWS organization. (Please see Association Fallacy Section of this analysis of the report.) Analysis of Finding #2 Finding #2 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea engaged in intimidation tactics against a political opponent in September 2012, posted a photo of himself on his Facebook page while 113 114 115 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 29. Michael C. McGarrity, “Confronting the Rise of Domestic Terrorism in the Homeland,” Federal Bureau of Investigation, accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.fbi.gov/news/testimony/confronting-the-rise-ofdomestic-terrorism-in-the-homeland. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 18. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 32 standing in front of the opponent’s residence, and refused to remove the online photo at the request of the opponent, party affiliates and law enforcement.”116 Analysis This action on the part of Representative Shea does not constitute engaging in, planning, or promoting political violence.117 The photo taken by Representative Shea was taken from public land and the picture was legally in the public domain.118 Representative Shea’s opponent had no legal right or expectation that Representative Shea would remove the photo. Analysis of Finding #3 Finding #3 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea engaged in secure online chat using the codename ‘Verumbellator’ from October 29 through December 12, 2017 that included the identification of opposition political activists, condoned violence and intimidation, and offered to do background checks on named persons in opposition to his political ideology.”119 Analysis According to the investigative report and considering any guilt by association to be disregarded, Representative Shea’s supposed contributions to the online chat discussion include a text link to the Wikipedia page “Atomwaffen,” some comments on some undisclosed discussion points, his offer to conduct background checks on certain Antifa members, and a request to Anthony Bosworth to talk face-to-face. 120 None of these contributions violated the law. Background checks on any individual in the United States can be made by any person.121 Analysis of Finding #4 116 117 118 119 120 121 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 29. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 4. Legal Definitions, “Is it illegal to take pictures of someone’s house without them knowing?,” Accessed December 27, 2019, https://www.legaldefinitions.co/is-it-illegal-to-take-pictures-of-someones-house-without-them-knowing. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 30. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 30-31. backgroundchecks.com, “PeopleFinders - Background Check,” accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.backgroundchecks.com/solutions/peoplefinders. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 33 Finding #4 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea from 2013 through 2019 condoned intimidation by supporters of his political opposition to include activists, government officials, Muslims, and others who speak or act in opposition to his personal beliefs and his political agenda.”122 Finding #4 was reworded to be less confusing and more precise: “Representative Shea, from 2013 through 2019, condoned his supporters’ intimidation of his political opposition, including activists, government officials, Muslims, and others who speak or act in opposition to his personal beliefs and his political agenda. Analysis Six specific events are referenced by the investigative report to support Finding #4: the 2013 Marble Community Fellowship God and Country Celebration; a “Rally for America” held on September 21, 2015; the New Code of the West Conference held in Whitefish, Montana; an I594 “We Will Not Comply Rally” at both the Spokane County Courthouse and the Spokane Valley Sheriff Department location- a “Drain the Swamp Rally” held on April 29, 2017; and a Liberty State Rally at Spokane on May 23, 2019.123 At the 2013 Marble Community Fellowship God and Country Celebration, the investigative report only credits Representative Shea with saying, “If people knew what went on in the Capital, they’d blow it up.”124 In this statement, Representative Shea does not condone intimidation of his political opposition; he simply predicts the people’s actions. At the “Rally for America,” Representative Shea hires Witness 22 to provide his personal security, and requests that Anthony Bosworth also provide security. At the event, Bosworth told Witness 22 that he would profile the attendees, looking for people of Middle Eastern appearance that “might be coming to the rally to commit an act of violence against Representative Shea.” 125 122 123 124 125 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31-32. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 34 However, Bosworth’s decision to profile the attendees cannot be attributed to Representative Shea as no evidence mentioned in the investigative report suggests that Representative Shea asked Bosworth to profile attendees as he provided security.126 At the New Code of the West Conference, the investigative report only credits Representative Shea with speaking about the management of public lands and a connection between the Council of American Islamic Relations (CAIR) and Hamas. The investigative report fails to mention any comments made at this event which corroborate the investigators’ claim that Representative Shea condoned intimidation of his political opposition.127 At the “We Will Not Comply Rally,” Representative Shea was a speaker.128 The actions of Anthony Bosworth and others cannot be attributed to Representative Shea without conclusive evidence that Representative Shea directed Bosworth’s actions. At the “Drain the Swamp Rally,” Representative Shea purportedly compiled a list of certain people associated with Antifa and the group Indivisible to “ensure no person on the list was allowed into the event.129 This action is irrelevant to the claim made by investigators. Also, the action may have been taken by Representative Shea to prevent violent confrontations. The investigative report shows no actions taken by Representative Shea at the Liberty State Rally which demonstrate that he condoned any intimidation of his political opposition.130 Given the lack of evidence shown corresponding to the investigators’ claims, finding #4 is unjustified. Analysis of Finding #5 126 127 128 129 130 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 31. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 32. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 32. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 32. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 35 Finding #5 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea engaged in counterintelligence gathering and acted in opposition to the lawful efforts of federal, state and local law enforcement.”131 Analysis In support of this claim, investigators reference a document obtained by Representative Shae which detailed the command and control structure of Washington state law enforcement agencies, rosters of local FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) agents, SWAT team member lists complete with names and badge numbers and the Joint Harbor Operations Command (JHOC) building schematics, and the names and home information of FBI, DHS, and Washington State Patrol agents, photos of SWAT teams, street surveillance cameras, aircraft and communications equipment used by law enforcement in Washington.132 According to the report, Representative Shea claims to have found this information on “the web.”133 There is no evidence included in the investigative report to suggest that Representative Shea participated in the gathering of the information in this document or used the document in opposition to federal, state, or local law enforcement. The only other incident referenced by the investigative report is that “Representative Shea, writing in support of an I-594 rally that took place on the Washington State Capital, told gun rights activists the measure on background checks violates the federal and state constitution and need not be obeyed.”134 Representative Shea told gun owners, ‘An unconstitutional law is no law at all.’” The investigative report cites a blog post on the Sipsey Street blog and a Spokesman Review article in support of this claim.135 However, neither source identifies Representative Shea as having said that I-594 “need not be obeyed.” The only comment attributed to Representative Shea in either source was the comment 131 132 133 134 135 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 32. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 36 “An unconstitutional law is no law at all.”136 However, this comment is simply an aphorism in which Representative Shea addresses what he considers to be conflicting laws. However, this does not indicate that Representative Shea “acted in opposition to the lawful efforts of federal, state and local law enforcement.” Analysis of Finding #6 Finding #6 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea in 2016 engaged in and supported the training of adults and children to fight a Holy war and/or civil war.”137 Analysis Representative Shea’s actions that lead the investigators to Finding #6 include his aid and active support of Marble Community Fellowship Team Rugged training of children and young adults on combat and fighting skills, placing Patrick Caughran in contact with Jack Robertson at the request of Caughran, Shea’s participation in the training and direction of a Youth Land Navigation and Tactical Skills Assessment. 138 The investigative report also points to Representative Shea’s role as a speaker at the following events: Kickoff: Marble Kids-Going Underground, a Patriot Movement rally in Idaho. The investigators also referenced a YouTube video in which he was introduced as one of the 10 most hateful politicians on the Southern Poverty Law Center’s website.139 However, Representative Shea’s actions associated with Team Rugged were neither illegal, nor do they demonstrate that Representative Shea was involved in any act of political violence or domestic terrorism.140 No mention is made in the investigative report of Representative Shea’s 136 137 138 139 140 Jim Camden, “Shea tells gun rights activists I-594 not law,” Spokesman-Review, https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2015/jan/15/shea-tells-gun-rights-activists-i-594-not-law.; Dutchman6, “Gottlieb's rally didn't turn out quite the way he was planning,” Sipsey Street Irregulars, accessed December 26, 2019, http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot.com/2015/01/gottliebs-rally-didnt-turn-out-quite.html. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 34. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 34. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33-34. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 37 speeches at either rally and Representative Shea’s comments in the YouTube video only concern preparation for an “inevitable collapse.”141 Although Representative Shea likely did engage in the training of adults and children as finding #6 indicates, the investigative report does not demonstrate that the purpose of the training was “to fight a Holy war and/or civil war.”142 Analysis of Finding #7 Finding #7 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea wrote the “Biblical Basis for War” and advocated replacement of US democracy with a theocracy and the killing of all males who do not agree.”143 Analysis Although Representative Shea claims that the document, “Biblical Basis for War,” was written as sermon notes, the investigators claim that Representative Shea advocated many of the items included in the document including “killing all males” who disagree. However, the investigators do not explain how Representative Shea planned to obtain the Ark of the Covenant which is also listed as an item needed for a “holy army.”144 The Ark of the Covenant is an artifact which has remained missing for over 2,500 years.145 Therefore, it is concluded that Representative Shea had no intention of performing or participating in the actions mentioned in “Biblical Basis for War.” Also, the investigative report says that the metadata indicates the “document was modified (started) on July 2, 2014 and created (finalized) on January 10, 2015.”146 This statement should read that the “document was created (started) on July 2, 2014 and modified (finalized) on January 10, 2015.” According to the investigative report, the document, “Restoration,” was also 141 142 143 144 145 146 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 34. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 33. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 34. Matt Shea, “Biblical Basis for War,” accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/5026577-Biblical-Basis-for-War.html. Richard Lovett and Scot Hoffman, “Ark of the Covenant,” National Geographic, accessed December 24, 2019, https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/archaeology/ark-covenant. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 35. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 38 presented by Representative Shea during a “private symposium.” However, no claims are made in the investigative report that Representative Shea wrote or even advocated the contents of “Restoration.”147 Finding #7 lacks significant evidence to justify the investigators’ claims. Analysis of Finding #8 Finding #8 in the section entitled “Other Incidents of Engaging in, Planning and Promoting Political Violence” states that “Representative Shea engages in and promotes annual Patriot Movement militia training and readiness exercises in support of anticipated armed conflicts against federal, state and local governments and law enforcement.”148 Analysis Finding #8 relies primarily on Witness 22 and one electronic document he provided.149 However, multiple accounts contradict the testimony here given by witness 22.150 Representative Shea admittedly has engaged in and promoted militia training and readiness exercises. These exercises are designed in preparation for emergencies which may arise.151 However, the investigative report does not demonstrate that these exercises support anticipated armed conflicts against federal, state, and local governments and law enforcement.152 These militia exercises have no demonstrated connection to any acts of political violence or domestic terrorism, and the investigative report does not demonstrate that Representative Shea committed any illegal acts in these exercises. Conclusion 147 148 149 150 151 152 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 36. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 36. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 36-37. John Jacob Schmidt, “Rampart Sham – Part 1: AmRRON Attacked With Lies, Innuendos in Left Wing Driven Attack on Patriot Legislator,” AmRRON, accessed December 26, 2019, https://amrron.com/2019/12/22/rampartsham-part-1-amrron-attacked-with-lies-innuendos-in-left-wing-driven-attack-on-patriot-legislator. John Jacob Schmidt, “Rampart Sham – Part 1: AmRRON Attacked With Lies, Innuendos in Left Wing Driven Attack on Patriot Legislator,” AmRRON, accessed December 26, 2019, https://amrron.com/2019/12/22/rampartsham-part-1-amrron-attacked-with-lies-innuendos-in-left-wing-driven-attack-on-patriot-legislator. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 36-37. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 39 These eight findings of the investigative report do no demonstrate that Representative Shea condoned, planned, or engaged in any act of political violence. Furthermore, many of these findings are not supported by sufficient evidence to justify the investigators’ claims. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 40 Section VI Analysis of Other Sections of the Report Introduction An analysis of other sections used by the investigative reports to justify the investigators’ claims is given below. These sections include Section 3: Timeline of Events, Section 4: Political Violence, Section 5: Shared Strategy – Representative Shea and the Patriot Movement, Section 6: Tactics, and Section 7: Communications. Analysis of Investigative Report’s Timeline of Events Section 3 of the Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea details a timeline of events taking place from 2007 to 2019.153 However, many of the events mentioned in the report are irrelevant to the directives of the investigation commissioned by the Washington State House of Representatives regarding Representative Shea.154 No attempt is made by the investigation to connect these events to the directives of the investigation. Such irrelevant events include the election of former President Obama in 2008, work emails to associates, traffic citations, etc.155 All other pertinent events were already discussed in previous sections of this analysis of the report. Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 4: Political Violence The Patriot Movement: The investigative report seemingly considers the “Patriot Movement” to be an organization with “members,” rather than a political movement.156 The investigative report uses the term “white supremacist” to describe this movement and claims that it “mobilizes through conspiracy theories and apocalyptic narratives…” 157 However, these attributes can only 153 154 155 156 157 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 37-65. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 36-37. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 37. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 66. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 66. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 41 be ascribed to certain elements of this political movement. 158 The investigative report claims that “Varied beliefs and motivations make up the Patriot Movement but they share four common ingredients: (1) an obsessive suspicion of their government; (2) a deep-seated hatred and fear of federal authorities; (3) belief in far-reaching conspiracy theories; and (4) a feeling that Washington D.C. bureaucrats have discarded the U.S. Constitution.”159 Again, these are not attributes shared by all people who are a part of the Patriot Movement. 160 Through the investigators’ description of the Patriot Movement, this analysis of the report finds the investigation to have been partially subjective to the biases of the investigators. Patriot Movement Connections to Violence: The investigative report details certain incidents of violence which may have been inspired by the Patriot Movement.161 However, not all people who are part of this movement or associated with it have participated in acts of violence. The use of this stereotype given by Rampart Group reveals significant bias. Representative Shea’s connections to the Patriot Movement: The investigative report attempts to use guilt by association to falsely implicate Representative Shea.162 Associations with Militia Groups: The investigative report uses an indirect association with the III% militia group, an indirect association with the LFAIII% militia, an association with Citizens for Constitutional Freedom, an indirect association with Operation Mutual Defense, an indirect association with the Lightfoot Militia, and an indirect association with the Pacific Patriots Network to suggest Representative Shea’s guilt. However, association fallacies (especially indirect associations) are unethical and are not legally founded.163 Other Organizations: The investigative report’s use of Representative Shea’s associations with Coalition of Western States, Constitutional Sheriffs and Peace Officers Association, and Marble 158 159 160 161 162 163 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 66. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 66. Richard Abanes, “The Patriot Movement,” CRI, accessed December 27, 2019, https://www.equip.org/article/thepatriot-movement. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 66-67. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 67. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 67-71. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 42 Community Fellowship, as a means of implicating either party, is similarly unethical and not legally founded.164 Sagebrush Rebellion to Sagebrush Insurgency: This subsection is found under the category “Other Organizations” in the investigative report. However, this subsection does not relate to an organization, but two distinct movements.165 Therefore, it should be considered separately. The Sagebrush Rebellion was a political movement that occurred in the 1970s and 1980s.166 Given that 1974 is Representative Shea’s birth year, it is doubtful that Representative Shea was involved, and the investigative report makes no claims of his involvement in the Sagebrush Rebellion.167 Finally, all of the events related to the “Sagebrush Insurgency” in which there is suspicion of Representative Shea’s involvement are mentioned in previous sections of this analysis of the report. This analysis of the report also notes that many people associated with these political movements do not support or condone political violence. Link to Representative Shea: The investigative report attempts to use an infographic published by High Country News to link Representative Shea with groups and events associated with the Sagebrush Insurgency.168 However, the article does not describe the extent of the associations. This infographic does not provide any new information to the investigation of Representative Shea.169 Also, the investigative report incorrectly identifies “Agenda 21” as “a group of conspiracy theorists.”170 However, “Agenda 21” instead refers to an action plan of the United Nations, about which many conservative theorists speculate.171 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 71-74. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 74-75. Jonathan Thompson, “The first Sagebrush Rebellion: what sparked it and how it ended,” High Country News, accessed December 27, 2019, https://www.hcn.org/articles/a-look-back-at-the-first-sagebrush-rebellion. Wikipedia, “Matt Shea,” Accessed December 26, 2019, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matt_Shea. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 75-76. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 76. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 75. United Nations, “Agenda 21,” accessed December 27, 2019, https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/outcomedocuments/agenda21. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 43 Analysis of Investigative Report’s Section 5: Shared Strategy - Representative Shea and The Patriot Movement This section of the investigative report addresses Representative Shea’s political views. However, Representative Shea’s personal beliefs are irrelevant to the scope of the investigation. Also, in the Defense of the Constitution subsection of this analysis of the report, the investigators reveal a political bias against Representative Shea’s political views. Defense of the Constitution: The investigative report claim that Representative Shea’s political views arise from his “inaccurate interpretation” of the constitution.172 In this statement, the investigators demonstrate a clear bias against a particular political philosophy. Land Issues: This section states that a “key issue” for Representative Shea is “eliminating land ownership by the federal government.”173 This section of the report, however, does not demonstrate a connection between Representative Shea and political violence or domestic terrorism. Weapons: This section demonstrates that Representative Shea advocates a strict interpretation of the Second Amendment.174 This section, however, does not demonstrate any misuse of weapons on the part of Representative Shea. Removal of Power from the Federal Government: This subsection of the investigative report addresses Representative Shea’s belief that certain powers should be transferred from the federal government to state, local, and individual control.175 Law Enforcement at the Sheriff Level: This subsection of the investigative report outlines Representative Shea’s belief that sheriffs are the “highest law enforcement officials in the 172 173 174 175 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 77. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 77. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 77. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 77. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 44 land.”176 This analysis of the report does note, however, that no sources are referenced in this subsection to support Rampart Group’s statement. Analysis of Section 6: Tactics The investigative report uses section 6 entitled “Tactics” in an attempt to demonstrate Representative Shea employs certain methods to further his own ambitions. However, the investigative report lacks evidence to justify these claims. Political Power: This subsection of the investigation report outlines Representative Shea’s use of his position as a legislator. The investigators claim that Representative Shea engaged in a meeting with Harney County officials, and federal and local law enforcement, ostensibly to gather intelligence on law enforcement plans to share with the insurgents.”177 However, the use of the word “ostensibly” indicates the lack of evidence to demonstrate that Representative Shea held the meeting for this purpose or used the information in this manner. Fear: This subsection points to Representative Shea’s alleged use of fear to develop and grow his political support. The incidents used in the investigative report to justify this conclusion do not include any illegal acts performed by Representative Shea or any actions taken by Representative Shea to support or condone political violence.178 Radicalization: This subsection does not reveal any information not previously discussed. 179 Intimidation and Use of Force: This subsection references two events: Representative Shea’s online post encouraging people to protest BLM land Management practices; and actions taken by armed militants in the city of Burns, Oregon.180 Representative Shea’s online posting did not ask readers to use intimidation as a means of effecting change, nor does it demonstrate that 176 177 178 179 180 Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 77-78. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 78. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 78-79. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 79. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 79-80. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 45 Representative Shea wanted anything other than a peaceful protest.181 Also, the actions mentioned in this subsection related to the armed militants in the city of Burns were not performed by Representative Shea. Furthermore, the investigative report has not demonstrated that their actions were supported, condoned, or planned by Representative Shea.182 Analysis of Section 7: Communications This section of the report addresses the methods of communication used by Representative Shea.183 This analysis of the report finds that the investigators’ overuse the word “encrypted” to describe the emails sent by Representative Shea implies that Representative Shea had an above normal desire for the confidentiality of his emails.184 However, several major email hosts including Gmail, Outlook, etc. encrypt users’ emails to protect their privacy.185 Representative Shea’s use of encrypted emails suggests very little about his intentions and has very little relevance to the scope of the investigation. The investigative report also claims: “Representative Shea and his associates have also been known to use what they call ‘Red Phones’ when engaged in a conflict. Red phones are understood to be pre-paid telephones that are untraceable.”186 However, the investigative report does not discuss or cite how the investigators came to understand “Red Phones” to be untraceable pre-paid telephones. 181 182 183 184 185 186 Dutchman6, “Open Letter from Rep. Matt Shea,” Sipsey Street Irregulars, accessed December 24, 2019, http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot.com/2014/04/open-letter-from-rep-matt-shea.html.; Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 12, 79. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 79-80. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 80. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 80. Rapid Web Services, “How to Send Encrypted Email on 3 Major Email Platforms, accessed December 26, 2019, https://www.thesslstore.com/blog/how-to-send-encrypted-email-on-3-major-email-platforms. Leodler and Leodler, “Report of Investigation Regarding Representative Matt Shea Washington State House of Representatives,” 80. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 46 Section IX Recommendations Available Choices The Washington State House of Representatives and the Washington State House Republican Caucus can pursue one of multiple options regarding Representative Shea. These options each carry certain liabilities or implications if they are pursued. Maintenance of the Situation: The first option that can be pursued is the maintenance of the current situation. This option would allow Representative Shea to remain in the legislature while operating independently of both caucuses; he would also be unable to participate in committees without the support of either caucus in this scenario.187 Expulsion from the Legislature: This is the second option that can be pursued by the Washington State House of Representatives. In this option, the Washington State House of Representatives would vote on whether or not to expel Representative Shea from the House of Representatives. As per the Washington State Constitution Article II Section 9, if two-thirds of the House of Representatives vote to remove Representative Shea from office, Representative Shea would be expelled from the House of Representatives and replaced under the provisions of Amendment 52 to Article II Section 15 of the Washington State Constitution.188 This option would require at least nine House Republican Caucus members to join the House Democrats in expelling Representative Shea (There are 56 House Democrats and 97 total members of the House of Representatives at the time of this analysis of the report.)189 187 188 189 J.T. Wilcox, “Statement from House Republican Leader J.T. Wilcox on the Rep. Matt Shea investigation,” Washington State House Republicans, https://jtwilcox.houserepublicans.wa.gov/2019/12/19/statement-fromhouse-republican-leader-j-t-wilcox-on-the-rep-matt-shea-investigation. Wash. Const Art. II § 9.; Wash. Const. Amend. 52. Ballotpedia, “Washington House of Representatives,” accessed January 3, 2020, https://ballotpedia.org/Washington_House_of_Representatives. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 47 Number of Representatives Necessary to Expel Rep. Shea 11 31 56 40 9 House Democrats Vacancies Noncaucusing Republican Other House Republicans # House Republicans necessary for Expulsion Resumption of Previous Status: In this option, Representative Shea would be allowed to return to his position in the Washington State House Republican Caucus and his positions on House committees. Liability Assessment of Maintenance of the Situation Although this option would require the least initial effort on the part of the members of the Washington State House of Representatives and the Washington State House Republican Caucus, long-term challenges in this option outweigh its initial ease. Recent media coverage of the report released by the Washington State House of Representatives makes it likely that certain members of the Washington State House of Representatives will pursue measures to expel Representative Shea from the Washington State House of Representatives.190 Attempts made by legislators to maintain the situation will be criticized by both supporters of Representative Shea who desire him to return to his former role in the House Republican Caucus and by those who will advocate for his expulsion from office. Furthermore, the partisan structure of the Washington State House of Representatives will suffer the threat of Representative Shea 190 Seattle Times Editorial Board, “Expel Matt Shea from the Legislature,” Seattle Times, accessed December 26, 2019, https://www.seattletimes.com/opinion/editorials/expel-matt-shea-from-the-legislature.; Washington State Democrats, “SIGN ON: It's long past time for Washington State Republicans to Expel and Condemn Rep. Matt Shea,” accessed December 28, 2019, https://www.wa-democrats.org/form/-130460993593538816. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 48 operating as a third-party in the legislature and the potential occurrence of sympathetic legislators caucusing with Representative Shea. Liability Assessment of Expulsion from the Legislature If the legislature chooses to pursue this option, several liabilities would be incurred. Firstly, a decision to expel Representative Shea would violate trust of the voters who elected him to office. Many supporters of Representative Shea may choose to sever associations with the legislators who may vote for Representative Shea’s expulsion, and these voters may sever ties with the Washington State Republican Party if the House Republican Caucus chooses to not support Representative Shea. This would cost the Republican Party in Washington State many Republican votes in the 2020 presidential election. Additionally, a decision to expel Representative Shea would divide the House Republican Caucus between friends/allies of Representative Shea and those who choose not to support him. Also, if the investigative report is challenged for the bias, errors, and unjustified conclusions therein, legislators who voted for the expulsion of Representative Shea will suffer criticism and scrutiny for their decision. Liability Assessment of Resumption of Previous Status In this option, the House Republican Caucus leadership would have to be prepared to stand by their decision under potential media scrutiny. If the House Republican Caucus leadership pursues this option and is unprepared to defend its decision, the House Republican Caucus will be heavily criticized. If attempts are made by members of the House Democratic Caucus to expel Representative Shea, a House Republican Caucus which would remain unanimous in defense of Representative Shea could easily defeat attempts to expel him. Recommendations Based on this analysis, the following recommendations are made: 1) Representative Shea should be returned to the Washington State House Republican Caucus and resume his prior positions on committees of the Washington State House of Representatives. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 49 2) House Republican Caucus leadership should prepare themselves to justify reinstating Representative Shea to the caucus by familiarizing themselves with the investigative report and noting its bias, errors and unjustified conclusions. 3) The House Republican Caucus should encourage its members to vote against all attempts to expel Representative Shea from the House of Representatives. 4) Additional research should be done to further analyze the investigative report and locate additional errors and examples of bias therein. Analysis of Bias and Errors in the Investigation Regarding Matt Shea 50 References Abanes, Richard. “The Patriot Movement.” CRI. 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