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Assumptions Legacypdf

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Assumptions & Legacy Requirements
NextGen Surveillance Strategy
•
•
•
SBS: Surveillance Broadcast Services are the principal means of dependent surveillance
SSR: Limited Secondary Surveillance Radars are retained en route and in the terminal as SBS backup.*
LRR: DoD continues to pay FAA to operate and maintain Long Range Radar;
NEXRAD: NOAA/FAA retains ownership of Weather Surveillance Radars
NSWRC: All terminal primary radar retained for safety and security of the NAS, providing non-cooperative surveillance
and to mitigate single aircraft avionics failures*, **
•
Also deliver weather surveillance on a common platform, Including Windshear detection
•
Provides for the surveillance of Unmanned Aircraft Systems
•
Designed to mitigate affects of wind farm interferences
•
If an Federal Enterprise acquisition is realized, NSWRC may replace NWS Weather Surveillance radars
•
Long Range Radar surveillance can also be achieved with Federal Enterprise acquisition of NSWRC
* FAA Report: Surveillance/Position Backup Strategy Alternatives Analysis, 8 Jan 2007
** JPDO Report: Concepts of Operations for the Next Generation Air Transportation System Ver 3.2, 2010
2
Potential NSWRC Incremental Acquisition
CY
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
25 26
27 28
29 30
31 32
33 34
35 36
37 38
LEGEND
Development Baseline
Procurement Decision
TDWR
ASR-7/ASR-8
FID
104
NRE / Development
ISD
408
FID
FID
FID
ASR-9
ASR-11
• FAA acquires terminal radars over course of 20 years
– Single award with 5-year option periods each requiring JRC approval
– Single NRE/development cycle
• Requirements baseline must be established before 1st final
investment decision
• Partner agencies (e.g. NOAA, DoD) would fund additional
implementation requirements should they be included in the
baseline
3
FAA Radar Requirements
• Maintain equivalent performance and coverage area of
current network
– Terminal Aircraft Surveillance
• Detection Envelop of 60nmi; 360° Coverage; 28K ft. Altitude; 30° Elevation
• Output 700 aircraft target reports per scan
• Detect and track aircraft in clutter while filtering the clutter
– Terminal Weather Surveillance
• Detection Envelop of 60nmi; 360° Coverage; 70K ft. Altitude; 60° Elevation
• Detect microburst and gust fronts
• Outputs reflectivity, radial velocity, and spectral width
• Identified Legacy Shortfalls may lead to additional
performance requirements
Substantial Service Life Extension Programs, Technical Refreshes,
Operations, and Maintenance costs are the principal shortfall NSWRC
seeks to address
Technical Risks
Government Engineering Team
• Multiagency and laboratory consortium (ANG, PMO, NWS, NSSL,
OFCM, MIT/LL, GTRI) of foremost experts in individual domains
• Identify technical risks and manage reduction efforts, define
requirements for industry engagements, assess industry products,
and offer technical inputs and review of AMS products
Risk Assignment
E(5)
1
D(4)
C(3)
1
5
7
B(2)
11
7
14
A(1)
Priority Assignment
1
5 – Critical to Achieving IARD
2
4 – Beneficial to Achieving IARD
1
3 – Critical to Achieving FID
2 – Essential to Achieving FID
1 – Beneficial to Achieving FID
4
1
X
2
3
4
5
Technical Risks
Area
Score
Antenna
Details
Certainty
E
D
X
C
B
A
1
Backend
2
3
4
Impact
•
•
•
•
•
Demonstrating Affordable Technologies to achieve performance
Implementing Thermal Management to maintain performance
Scheduling In-Field Calibration to meeting scanning requirements
Implementing Linear Dual Pol to discriminate targets
Defining Calibration schemes
5
• Architecting a Modular Open Systems backend to control life
cycle costs
E
D
C
X
B
A
1
Multifunction
2
3
4
5
• Determining the trades associated with the radar design ( e.g.
beam width, agility, signal processing) to achieve a Timing and
Performance requirements
E
D
C
B
X
A
1
2
3
4
5
7
Risk Reduction Activities
Industry Engagement
Request For Information
• Announced August 3, 2012
• Closes October 4, 2012
• Purpose:
– To provide Industry an opportunity to make FAA aware of their
capabilities with the design and development of “affordable” active
electronically scanned phased array radars that meet the FAA and
Federal Enterprise requirements.
– To solicit input from Industry regarding areas of high technical risks for
active electronically scanned phased array radars meeting FAA and
Federal Enterprise requirements. Additionally, to solicit input as to
how these risks may be mitigated.
– To solicit review, comments, and input from Industry regarding “MPAR
Notional Functional Requirements.”
– To solicit from Industry, reasonable cost information (and supporting
data) for active electronically scanned phased array radars meeting
FAA and DOD/DHS/NOAA requirements.
– To solicit input from Industry on approaches to reducing active
electronically scanned phased array radar equipment costs.
Notional Functional Requirements
• Organization
–
–
–
–
Terminal Aircraft Surveillance
Terminal Weather
Enterprise Weather
En-Route Aircraft Surveillance
• Exploit Phased Array
– Adapt scanning strategies to use
radar resources to maximum efficiency
– Minimize the time spent scanning empty space
– Focus resources on targets of interest
• Employs single scalable architecture
– Short range / low resolution variant
– Longer range / high resolution variant
Engineering Studies
• Antenna Designs & Cost
Estimations
– Define system criteria based
on NFR
– Develop first order designs
based on derived system
criteria
– Produce life cycle cost
estimates based on first order
design
– Antenna Designs to be
independently modeled
Summary & Closing
Activities Roadmap
Research and Systems Analysis
Mission Analysis
Investment Analysis
Service Analysis
RFI
Refine Assumption
Dual Pol Study
CRD
Wind farm
Mitigation
Antenna Design
/ Cost
Initial Invest.
Analysis
Final Invest.
Analysis
Simulations
Demonstration Array
Windshear Studies
Prototype
Government Proof
of Concept
CY | 2011
|
2012
Backend Analysis
CRDR
|
TBD Risk Reduction
2013
|
2014
IARD
|
2015
|
2016
IID
|
2017
FID
|
Expectations
GOVERNMENT
INDUSTRY
Socialize research and progress
• Continue posting quarterly MPARWG briefings (www.ofcm.gov/wgmpar)
• Publications
• Reference materials on public FTP
Recognize we are kicking off the
beginning of our CRD period and that
a solicitation for system procurement
won’t be released for at least another 5
years
Advocate teaming of small, medium,
and large vendors
Follow NSWRC progress
Provide clear, concise, and consistent
messages
Inform the Government of existing or
emerging relevant technologies
Summary
• FAA will soon officially enter the CRD phase of AMS
– Phased Array Radar alternatives, include MPAR – which is the basis
of our collaboration with NOAA, will be explored
• FAA will continue to partner with NOAA on risk reduction
activities
• PAR business cases will likely be risk adjusted if technical
risks are sufficiently reduce and/or retired through CMTD
– FAA business case will be based on FAA requirements and unit
replacement
• The FAA will leverage outputs and lessons learned from DoD
PAR acquisitions (and industry) in pursuit of achieving
affordability
FAA’s NextGen and Program Management Office are
collaboratively moving NSWRC through the AMS process
Questions
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