Business Statistics Instructor: Ya Ding • Associate Professor at Department of Economics and Finance • Office: • Email: SME building C511 dingya@uestc.edu.cn Teaching Assistant: • Office: • Email: 1 Business Statistics Textbook: Statistics for Business and Economics, by Anderson, Sweeney and Williams, 11th edtion 2 Business Statistics Grading: Final Exam (60%) Group Assignments (20%) In-class Quizzes (20%) 3 CHAPTER 1 DATA AND STATISTICS 4 Learning Objectives Define Statistics I need help! Applications of Statistics in Business and Economics Understand Basic Concepts of Data Differentiate between Descriptive Statistics and Statistical Inference 5 “The sign of a truly educated person is to be deeply moved by statistics.” — George Bernard Shaw 6 What is Statistics Statistics is used in our daily life Chengdu Average Monthly Temperature 7 What is Statistics Statistics – numerical facts such as averages, medians, percents, and index numbers that help us understand a variety of business and economic conditions Statistics – the art and science of collecting, analyzing, presenting, and interpreting data 8 Applications in Business and Economics Accounting Economics Marketing Production ◼ Finance 9 Data and Data Sets Data are the facts and figures collected, summarized, analyzed, and interpreted. ◼ The data collected in a particular study are referred to as the data set. 10 Elements, Variables, and Observations ◼ The elements are the entities on which data are collected. ◼ A variable is a characteristic of interest for the elements. ◼ The set of measurements collected for a particular element is called an observation. ◼ The total number of data values in a complete data set is the number of elements multiplied by the number of variables. 11 Data, Data Sets, Elements, Variables, and Observations Variables Element Names Company Dataram EnergySouth Keystone LandCare Psychemedics Stock Exchange NQ N N NQ N Annual Earn/ Sales($M) Share($) 73.10 74.00 365.70 111.40 17.60 0.86 1.67 0.86 0.33 0.13 Data Set 12 Scales of Measurement Data Qualitative Numerical Nominal Ordinal Quantitative Non-numerical Nominal Ordinal Numerical Interval Ratio 25 Cross-Sectional and Time Series Data Cross-sectional data are collected at the same or approximately the same point in time. Example: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of each country in the world at 2014. 26 Time Series Data Time series data are collected over several time periods. Example: Annual GDP of China in the last ten years. 27 Data Sources Primary Data • Raw information collected by researchers for a specific purpose Secondary Data • Information obtained by studying the reports of other researchers 28 Data Acquisition Considerations Time Requirement • • Searching for information can be time consuming. Information may no longer be useful by the time it is available. Cost of Acquisition • Organizations often charge for information even when it is not their primary business activity. Data Errors • Using any data that happen to be available or were acquired with little care can lead to misleading information. 29 Statistics in Business Branches of statistics • Descriptive – using data gathered on a group to describe or reach conclusions about the group • Inferential – data gathered from a sample and used to reach conclusions about the population from which the data was gathered 30 Descriptive Statistics Descriptive statistics are the tabular, graphical, and numerical methods used to summarize and present data. 31 Example: Hudson Auto Repair The manager of Hudson Auto would like to have a better understanding of the cost of parts used in the engine tune-ups performed in the shop. She examines 50 customer invoices for tune-ups. The costs of parts, rounded to the nearest dollar, are listed on the next slide. 32 Example: Hudson Auto Repair Sample of Parts Cost ($) for 50 Tune-ups 91 71 104 85 62 78 69 74 97 82 93 72 62 88 98 57 89 68 68 101 75 66 97 83 79 52 75 105 68 105 99 79 77 71 79 80 75 65 69 69 97 72 80 67 62 62 76 109 74 73 33 Tabular Summary: Frequency and Percent Frequency Parts Cost ($) 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-109 Parts Frequency 2 13 16 7 7 5 50 Percent Frequency 4 26 (2/50)100 32 14 14 10 100 34 Graphical Summary: Histogram Tune-up Parts Cost 18 16 Frequency 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Parts 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-110 Cost ($) 35 Numerical Descriptive Statistics ◼ The most common numerical descriptive statistic is the average (or mean). ◼ Hudson’s average cost of parts, based on the 50 tune-ups studied, is $79 (found by summing the 50 cost values and then dividing by 50). 36 Statistical Inference Population - the set of all elements of interest in a particular study Sample - a subset of the population Statistical inference - the process of using data obtained from a sample to make estimates and test hypotheses about the characteristics of a population Census - collecting data for a population Sample survey - collecting data for a sample 37 Process of Statistical Inference 1. Population consists of all tuneups. Average cost of parts is unknown. 4. The sample average is used to estimate the population average. 2. A sample of 50 engine tune-ups is examined. 3. The sample data provide a sample average parts cost of $79 per tune-up. 38 End of Chapter 1 40