UN GATHERING | Page 3 GT EXCLUSIVE | Page 6 Oil CEOs push carbon-capture efforts at meet Uptrend for Islamic finance in Pakistan Tuesday, September 24, 2019 Muharram 25, 1441 AH WORLD’S OLDEST TRAVEL FIRM : Page 16 GULF TIMES Hundreds of thousands stranded as the UK’s Thomas Cook collapses BUSINESS Qatar’s mandatory IR regime from October to boost investment appeal By Santhosh V Perumal Business Reporter Q atar, which will have a mandatory rule-based investor relations (IR) regime from October, is keen to promote the adoption of international best practice in IR among its listed companies as part of efforts to enhance its attractiveness to global investors, a top official of the Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE) said yesterday. “As QSE is Qatar’s national stock exchange, we seek to support the sustainability of our listed companies in the years and decades ahead, especially in light of the current geopolitical instability in the region,” QSE chief executive Rashid bin Ali al-Mansoori told the 10th annual IR conference. Highlighting that the bourse is actively working on promoting sound IR practices among its listed firms in order to maintain investor confidence and enhance their investment attractiveness; he said since transparency and effective IR communications are the hallmark of a successful capital market, the development of IR practices would definitely enhance the sustainability of listed companies. “Effective from October 1, 2019, Qatar will be introducing a mandatory rulesbased framework for IR; the rules reflect best-practice and should in any case be standard for listed companies in today’s regulatory capital markets’ environment,” he said. The QSE has held over the last few years many conferences and training programmes, the latest of which was held last Al-Mansoori outlines the QSE’s efforts to enhance its attractiveness yesterday. week and aimed to enable participants to earn an internationally recognised IR certification. Abdul Aziz al-Emadi, listings director of the QSE, said that the IR annual conference, the excellence programme, and frequent training programmes reflect the Barwa Bank appoints Abdulaziz al-Naema as acting GM to head retail banking Barwa Bank has announced the appointment of Abdulaziz al-Naema as acting general manager-head of Retail Banking, which is under its strategic vision to grow, support, and empower Qatari talents towards executive and managerial leadership. Having joined Barwa Bank in 2009, al-Naema steadily rose through the ranks throughout his career with the group. He started with Barwa Bank as a business and branch operations manager and served as the bank’s head of branches prior to his appointment in his current role. With over 20 years of experience in the banking sector, alNaema obtained his bachelor’s degree from Qatar University. In a decade of his journey with the group, al-Naema has made considerable contributions to the development and growth of Barwa Bank’s retail banking portfolio. His promotion recognises his longstanding expertise and competence in the banking and financial services field. Commenting on al-Naema’s appointment, Khalid al-Subeai, Group CEO at Barwa Bank, said, “Mr Abdulaziz al-Naema’s appointment comes in line with Barwa Bank’s commitment to its strategy in empowering and stock exchange’s desire to achieve best international practice among its listed companies for a transparent investment environment. “The issuance of the IR Rules, which will be effective as of October 1, 2019, is a testament to the exchange’s commitment encouraging Qatari talents, guided by the State of Qatar’s vision to invest in its national human capital and develop local professionals. “It is also a well-earned recognition of his integral role and contributions to Barwa Bank since he joined our group. On behalf of all at Barwa Bank, I would like to wish him the best of luck and many more successes and strides towards achieving the bank’s goals and ambitions, today and in the future.” By Santhosh V Perumal Business Reporter Qatar’s listed banks have seen a solid performance during the first half (H1) of this year with healthy aggregated profitability and total assets expanding 3% on a yearly basis to touch QR1.53tn, according to PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC). Total profit of the listed commercial banks grew 4.6% year-onyear to QR12.6bn during January-June 2019, PwC said in a report. The aggregated profits of the eight listed banks in H1 2019 witnessed continuous improvements, increasing by 17.5% from H1 2016 (a compound annual growth rate or CAGR of 5.5%). “In particular, the growth in profits was driven by the increase of the aggregate net income, which increased since H1 2016,” it said. Highlighting that Qatari banks, in general, have produced “solid” results over the quarter, as demonstrated by the interim (consolidated) reports published in H1 2019 by the eight listed commercial banks; it said whether through an increase of assets, total loans and advances and/or profits, most of the listed banks played a key role in contributing to the favourable results over the second quarter of 2019. “Disruptive technologies are reshaping financial services the world-over. Collaboration between traditional banks and fintechs must be a priority for the industry and will require stakeholders to develop solid infrastructure, regulations, procedures and human capital. The Qatar financial industry is undergoing rapid transformation, with all the stakeholders in the industry working together in synergy to ensure long-term economic prosperity,” said Burak Zatiturk, PwC Qatar financial services leader. Total assets of the listed commercial banks reached QR1.53tn, of which Islamic banks’ market share was QR0.31tn (20.3%) and that of the conventional lenders’ at QR1.22tn (79.7%), according to the report. In the last three years (H1 2019 vs H1 2016), total loans and advances grew a total of 19.8% (CAGR of 6.2%), proving that the banking industry in Qatar has been expanding at a rapid pace, and to have fully overcome the temporary volatility of 2017, it said, adding building additional momentum, loans and advances grew by 2.8% in the first half of 2019 (H1 2019 vs. FY 2018). Total loans and advances of the listed banks totalled QR1.05tn, of which Islamic banks’ market share stood at QR0.21tn (20%) and QR0.84tn (80%) at the end of June 30, 2019. The aggregate total loans and advances to total assets ratio stood at 68.62% as on June 30, 2019, increasing by 0.37 percentage points over the second quarter of 2019, according to the report. The total customer deposits balance amounted to QR1.04tn (an increase of QR44.2bn or 4.45% over H1 2019 and an increase of QR7.4bn or 0.72% since March 31, 2019). The listed commercial banks’ aggregate loans and advances to customer deposits ratio stood at 101.4% at the end of this June, increasing by 0.4 percentage points from its corresponding value as at March 31, 2019, and partially recovering from 103.1% at the end of December 2018, according to the report. Meeza holds meetings on RECaaS and business resilience solutions M Al-Naema: Well-earned recognition. towards achieving quality investor relations to improve market accessibility and support the development of successful capital markets,” he said. As the new IR regime takes effect, it will be mandatory for all listed companies to have IR officer and a dedicated section on IR on their website. As part of the QSE’s commitment to create effective communication channels and improve the ongoing communication between the listed companies and the investors’ community, the Qatar Financial Markets Authority (QFMA) has approved a set of minimum requirements for the IR Rules that will become part of QSE’s Rulebook. The QSE, QFMA and the listed companies have been working together over many years to ensure that disclosure and transparency are developed through an increasing focus on IR, especially after the inclusion of Qatar in the MSCI, Standard & Poor’s and FTSE emerging markets indices, which has served to increase attention on Qatar’s stock market and all its listed companies. “With the recent changes in MiFID II, traditional corporate access is expected to change significantly. The role of the sell side is expected to shrink and the role for the buy side is expected to rise and the numbers of independent service providers will increase,” al-Mansoori had said earlier. MiF iID IIs a legislative framework instituted by the European Union to regulate financial markets in the bloc and improve protections for investors with the aim of restoring confidence in the industry after the financial crisis exposed weaknesses in the system. Qatar banks post solid performance in H1: PwC eeza held a series of roundtable meetings for its existing clients over the last two weeks to introduce the Recovery as a Service (RECaaS) solution, and the role it plays in supporting business critical technology and infrastructure. The meetings brought together participants from the oil and gas, education, healthcare, media, banking and finance, and government sectors, who were presented with information and case studies about the importance of adopting recovery solutions and integrating it into their business continuity plans. In addition, clients learnt about how RECaaS can ensure the integrity of their digital assets and help avoid business interruptions that affect companies without such measures in place. “Clients learned how our RECaaS solutions offer real-time data replication, continuous data protection, and ensure the integrity of their digital assets. With multiple recovery point and time objectives available, we provide true flexibility for any disaster recovery requirement either on premise or within hybrid public cloud workloads,” said Meeza chief sales and marketing officer, Ahmad al-Muslemani. David Wilds, expansion operations executive, Meeza Expansion, said, “Business continuity is the most important priority for any organisation that cares about its future. Last May, we launched RECaaS to provide a range of services that are scalable, secure, and cost effective delivering ever increasing value to our clients. “Our recent series of roundtables helped familiarise clients with Opexbased cloud recovery services to help prevent data loss and downtime in the event of a man-made or natural catastrophe. We will provide full support for our clients to successfully implement and leverage backup and disaster recovery solutions.” Meeza’s unique, centralised, and unified business cloud platform is hosted across multiple Tier III data centres based in Qatar. The main recovery service is Disaster Recovery as a Service (DRaaS) offering continuous real time, byte-level replication, automated full or partial failover, Meeza’s meetings brought together participants from the oil and gas, education, healthcare, media, banking and finance, and government sectors. hardware agnostic, snapshot and CDP Features with multiple recovery point and time objectives. Backup as a Service (BaaS) provides an extremely cost-effective backup and archiving solution hosted within the Meeza local cloud. Meeza is a fast-growing player in cloud computing services, both in regional and international markets. It continues to innovate and offer cost effective IT solutions and services to help its clients focus on their core business. 2 Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 BUSINESS Tunisia sets up crisis cell to handle Thomas Cook fallout AFP, Reuters Tunis T unisia set up a crisis cell to deal with the fallout of British tour operator Thomas Cook’s collapse yesterday, which has left around 4,500 mostly British tourists stranded in the North African country, officials said. Tunisian authorities said officials and tourism industry representatives from both countries were to meet today with Tunisia’s central bank. Thomas Cook, which had suspended trips to Tunisia after the deadly militant attacks in 2015, returned in force last year and in 2019 with around 100,000 bookings a year, mostly from Britons. “We currently have about 4,500 British tourists in the hotels who will finish their stay as scheduled, and their repatriation will be paid for by London,” Tourism Minister Rene Trabelsi said on Mosaique FM radio. Managers of a hotel in the coastal resort of Hammamet briefly delayed the departure of a group of tourists until they could verify that payments owed by Thomas Cook had been made, an interior ministry spokesman told AFP. The resort managers requested additional payments even though the group had already paid the costs of their stay in full, one tourist said. “After an hour they left the hotel and are currently at the airport,” said the government spokesman. “There are other Thomas Cook groups in Hammamet, Sousse, Mahdia and Djerba — all payment procedures have been settled.” Thomas Cook owes Tunisian hotels €60mn ($66mn) for stays in July and August, Tourism Minister Trabelsi told Reuters yesterday, adding that British tourists, flying with Thomas Cook, queue at the Enfidha International airport, on the outskirts of Sousse south of Tunis yesterday. Thomas Cook owes Tunisian hotels €60mn for stays in July and August, Tourism Minister Rene Trabelsi told Reuters yesterday. 4,500 British Thomas Cook customers are still in the country. Tourism is a vital sector for Tunisia’s economy and a key source of foreign currency, and the government had expected another 50,000 Thomas Cook custom- ers to visit this year, he added. “I will have a meeting on Tuesday with the British Embassy in Tunisia and the hotel owners to see how debt could be redeemed,” Trabelsi said. The collapse of Thomas Cook, one of Britain’s oldest companies, has stranded more than half a million tourists around the world. It ran hotels, resorts and airlines for 19mn people a year in 16 countries. Britain’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) said the government had a fleet of planes ready to bring home British customers over the next two weeks and they should not go to the airport until they had been informed they were due on a return flight. Turkey to back businesses hit by Thomas Cook collapse AFP Ankara Turkey said yesterday it would support local businesses impacted by the collapse of British tour operator Thomas Cook, adding that 21,033 of its customers were currently in the country. “The tourism and finance ministries are working on a ‘credit support package’ to be put in place as soon as possible to help (affected) businesses,” the tourism ministry said on Twitter. Tourism Minister Mehmet Nuri Ersoy later told reporters in Ankara that the package could be worth €50mn ($55mn). Antalya in southern Turkey was one of Thomas Cook’s top destinations, along with Bodrum and Dalaman. The 178-year-old British operator failed to get a last-ditch rescue deal over the weekend and declared bankruptcy Monday, leaving 600,000 tourists stranded worldwide. Some 150,000 of those passengers are Britons seeking help from London to return home. Ersoy said around 21,000 British passengers would be repatriated from Turkey in the coming weeks. He warned a further 60,000 holidaymakers in Turkey could be impacted if the German, Russian and Nordic subsidiaries of Thomas Cook were dragged into the mess. The German airline subsidiary, Condor, has said it will continue flying, though it has requested financial aid from Berlin. “Our priority is for the foreign guests here to go back home without experiencing too much discomfort,” Ersoy said. He warned hotels they would face legal action if they sought money from British tourists since the passengers were protected by a scheme based on a European Union directive. Ersoy said he was confident other firms would step in to fill the gap left by Thomas Cook. QSE extends bear run as foreign funds book profit By Santhosh V Perumal Business Reporter F oreign funds’ increased profit booking pressure yesterday further dragged the Qatar Stock Exchange below 10,400 levels and capitalisation eroded by about QR4bn. The insurance and industrials counters witnessed higher than average selling pressure as the 20-stock Qatar Index fell 0.81% or 84 points for the third straight session to 10,362.85 points. However, domestic and Gulf institutions were increasingly net buyers in the market, whose key benchmark was up 0.62% year-to-date. Market capitalisation saw 0.63% decline to QR573.93bn mainly owing to small and microcap segments. Islamic equities were seen declining slower than the main index in the market, where local retail investors’ net profit booking weakened. Trade turnover and volumes were on the increase in the bourse, where the real estate, banking and industrials sectors together accounted for about 79% of the total volume. The Total Return Index declined 0.81% to 19,068.52 points, the Al Rayan Islamic Index (Price) by 0.77% to 2,334.22 points and the All Share Index by 0.61% to 3,045.2 points. The insurance index plunged 3.83%, industrials (1.26%), realty (0.4%), consumer goods (0.38%), banks and financial services (0.34%) and telecom (0.06%); while transport gained 0.24%. More than 58% of the traded constituents were in the red with major losers being Qatar Insurance, Al Khaleej Takaful, Nakilat, Industries Qatar, Mesaieed Petrochemical Holding, Qatar Islamic Bank, Medicare Group and Vodafone Qatar; even as Qatari German Company for Medical Devices, Qatar Industrial Manufacturing, Milaha, Doha Insurance and Ooredoo were among the gainers. Non-Qatari institutions’ net profit booking increased significantly to QR30.29mn against QR1.05mn on September 22. Non-Qatari individuals’ net buying weakened marginally to QR0.91mn compared to QR1.15mn the previous day. However, domestic institutions’ net buying expanded substantially to QR27.7mn against QR8.72mn on Sunday. Gulf institutions’ net buying also grew perceptibly to QR9.41mn compared to QR2.7mn on September 22. Gulf individuals’ net buying strengthened notably to QR1.51mn against QR0.59mn the previous day. Local retail investors’ net profit booking declined considerably to QR2.07mn compared to QR12.12mn on Sunday. Total trade volume rose 5% to 72.49mn shares, value by 23% to QR206.74mn and transactions by 56% to 5,775. The real estate sector’s trade volume more than doubled to 25.18mn equities and value more than doubled to QR20.8mn on more-than-tripled deals to 1,183. The banks and financial services sector saw a 17% surge in trade volume to 19.36mn stocks, 91% in value to QR102.26mn and 60% in transactions to 1,630. The consumer goods sector’s trade volume was up 3% to 9.48mn shares, whereas value tumbled 17% to QR13.88mn despite 46% higher deals at 557. However, the insurance sector reported a 63% plunge in trade volume to 0.83mn equities and 67% in value to QR2.12mn but on a 45% growth in transactions to 106. The telecom sector’s trade volume plummeted 55% to 1.59mn stocks and value by 39% to QR8.17mn, while deals were up 6% to 523. There was a 44% contraction in the industrials sector’s trade volume to 12.48mn shares and 17% in value to QR13.88mn but on 46% increase in transactions to 1,513. The transport sector’s trade volume tanked 19% to 3.57mn equities, value by 6% to QR19.67mn and deals by 11% to 263. In the debt market, there was no trading of treasury bills and sovereign bonds. ‘Saudi to restore full oil output by next week’ Saudi Arabia has restored more than 75% of crude output lost after attacks on its facilities and will return to full volumes by early next week, a source briefed on the latest developments told Reuters yesterday. Saudi’s oil production from its Khurais plant is now at more than 1.3mn barrels per day, while current production from its Abqaiq plant is at about 3mn bpd, the source said. The September 14 attacks on the Abqaiq and Khurais plants, some of the kingdom’s biggest, caused raging fires and significant damage that halved the crude output of the world’s top oil exporter, by shutting down 5.7mn barrels per day of production. Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and the chief executive of state oil company Aramco, Amin Nasser, have said the output will be fully back online by the end of September. The kingdom has managed to recover supplies to customers to the levels they were at prior to the attacks by drawing from its huge oil inventories and offering other crude grades from other fields, Saudi officials said. No casualties were reported at the sites even though thousands of workers and contractors work and live in the area. Saudi said it would ensure full oil supply commitments to its customers. The kingdom ships more than 7mn bpd to global destinations every day. Saudi Arabia’s ability to quickly restore oil production after the attacks, which hit at the heart of the Saudi energy industry and intensified a decades-long struggle with arch-rival Iran, would demonstrate an important degree of resilience to potentially very damaging shocks, Moody’s said last week. Aramco is getting ready for an initial public offering possibly later this year. Aramco has a meeting with analysts scheduled for Wednesday at the company’s headquarters in Dhahran, two sources said. Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 3 BUSINESS Oil CEOs push carbon-capture efforts ahead of climate talks Reuters New York A group of 13 major oil companies charted out a plan yesterday to promote investments in carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS), ahead of a gathering in New York. Oil chiefs grappling with growing demand for action to fight climate change have looked to invest in carbon-capture and sequestration techniques that some executives, including Occidental Petroleum Corp CEO Vicki Hollub, say could make drilling carbon neutral. With fossil fuel development growing worldwide, the oil and gas industry faces growing criticism from activists concerned about accelerating climate impacts from melting ice caps to sea-level rise and extreme weather. Scientists say the world needs to halve greenhouse gas emissions over the next decade to avoid catastrophic warming. Carbon sequestration technology traps carbon in caverns or porous spaces underground. A number of oil and gas CEOs say the technology will be crucial to meeting goals set in the 2016 Paris agreement on climate change to reduce global emissions. “A lot of people don’t even know what CCUS is. I think the world is going to hear more and more and more about it,” BP plc CEO Bob Dudley said. “I don’t think we can meet the Paris goals without CCUS.” The group, known as the Oil and Gas Climate Initiative (OGCI), said it aims to double the amount of carbon dioxide stored globally by 2030. The group is also taking steps to reduce methane emissions. The group formed in 2014 to support efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Its gathering will be held on the sidelines of a climate summit, where United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres says he is banking on new pledges from governments and businesses to abandon fossil fuels. Last Friday, millions of young people A bird flies away over the East River from the UN Headquarters during the 2019 United Nations Climate Action Summit at the UN headquarters in New York yesterday. A group of 13 major oil companies charted out a plan yesterday to promote investments in carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS), ahead of the gathering. flooded the streets of cities around the world to demand urgent steps to stop climate change. Many, including 16-year-old Swedish activist Greta Thunberg, have criticised governments and industries for not doing enough. The OGCI group said in a statement that carbon-capture technologies could be expanded to more efficiently trap large amounts of carbon released by facilities such as power plants, which could then be used in oil recovery and, ultimately stored — thus, removing it from the atmosphere. The group plans to work with others to put carbon-capture techniques into operation in the US, UK, Norway, the Netherlands, and China. Later yesterday, , it was set to sign a declaration of collaboration with certain energy ministers and other stakeholders, to commit to efforts to expand carbon storage. Coal may outlive climate change but can’t survive the drought Bloomberg Vienna Asia’s prolonged binge on coal is making the grids that transmit power to a third of the world’s people brittle and prone to failure. That’s the conclusion of new research in the peer-reviewed journal Energy & Environmental Science. More than 400 gigawatts of new coal-fired capacity in Asia are at risk as climate change dries out water sources necessary to cool those plants, according to the study. “Coal power development can expect reduced reliability in many locations across Asia,” Edward Byers, one of the report’s authors, said by e-mail. “This is further evidence of coal power’s increasingly recognised incompatibility with current international and national climate and sustainable development policy.” Summer heatwaves and reduced rainfall have been closing water-cooled power plants across the world as the impact of climate change exacerbates the nexus between water and energy supply. Asian utilities building coal plans could find themselves increasingly competing with industry and consumers for scarce water resources. A smokestack of the shut coal-fired NTPC Ltd Badarpur Thermal Power Station stands in Badarpur, New Delhi (file). Asia’s prolonged binge on coal is making the grids that transmit power to a third of the world’s people brittle and prone to failure. “This planned capacity adds 30% more to the existing coal-fired generation capacity, and will engender substantial water requirements and amounts of pollutants that can exacerbate global climate change and regional air pollution,” the researchers wrote. Thermal power generation could fall as much as 16% globally in the next three decades because of water shortages, they concluded. Researchers used hydrological and climate models as well as data from the Global Coal Plant Tracker to reach their conclusions. Different warming scenarios ranging to as high as 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 Fahrenheit) were considered. The world is currently on a warming trajectory that may hit 5 degree Celsius by the end of the century. Pension funds in Denmark pledge $52bn in green investments Denmark’s $450bn pension industry plans to invest over a tenth of its wealth in sustainable energy over the next decade, according to Bloomberg. Danish pension firms, ranked among the world’s best performing, will make more than 350bn kroner ($52bn) in new investments by 2030, according to a joint statement. The programme will target both green financial assets and direct holdings in energy generation and energy-efficient construction. According to Torben Pedersen, deputy chairman of the industry’s umbrella group Insurance & Pension Denmark, experience shows that such investments are profitable. The companies, which include Exxon Mobil Corp, Chevron Corp and BP, account for 32% of global oil and gas production. They have agreed to cooperate to accelerate reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Separately, almost 90 big companies in sectors from food to cement to telecommunications are pledging to slash greenhouse gas emissions, organisers said. Pension funds and insurers pledge climate action at UN summit Reuters United Nations Insurers and pension funds managing $2.3tn pledged yesterday to shift their portfolios away from carbon-heavy industries in the hope of triggering snowballing climate commitments from other big investors. German insurer Allianz, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS), and Swedish pension fund Alecta were among the founders of the new “Net Zero Asset Owner Alliance” launched at a United Nations climate summit. “Mitigating climate change is the challenge of our lifetime. Politics, business and societies across the globe need to act as one to rapidly reduce climate emissions,” Oliver Baete, chief executive of Allianz, said in a statement. As accelerating climate impacts become increasingly apparent via heatwaves, wildfires and receding coastlines, the financial sector is under growing pressure from activists, shareholders and regulators to respond. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who organised Monday’s summit to try to boost stalling international efforts to control emissions, sees insurers and pensions funds as a crucial lever to transition the global economy off fossil fuels. These types of companies — called “asset owners” because they are the principal holders of retirement savings, or are investing customers’ insurance premiums — represent some of the world’s largest pools of capital. Members of the new grouping pledged to align their portfolios with a goal enshrined in the 2015 Paris Agreement to combat global warming to limit the increase in average temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius. The importance of this target was underscored late last year when a report by the UN-backed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change spelled out the catastrophic consequences for people and nature if the world is allowed to get much hotter. Under current emissions pledges by governments, the Earth is on track for well over 3 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of the century — an outcome that scientists say could put the survival of modern industrial societies at risk. “CalPERS recognises that climate change poses urgent and systemic risk given our responsibility to protect our members’ financial assets and provide the long-term returns that can pay pensions for this and coming generations,” said Marcie Frost, chief executive of CalPERS. The pension funds and insurers said they would rebalance their portfolios to ensure their investments were carbon neutral by 2050, with intermediate targets set for 2025, 2030 and 2040. They also pledged to make regular public progress reports. The nucleus of founding members hope they will influence an ever-growing proportion of the world’s other big pension funds and insurers to push high-carbon companies towards more sustainable economic activities. 4 Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 BUSINESS Google bracing for the global ‘right-to-be-forgotten’ ruling Bloomberg Brussels Google is bracing for another landmark privacy decision at the European Union’s top court, five years after a “right-to-be-forgotten” ruling forced it to delete links to personal information on request. The EU Court of Justice will rule today on the US giant’s follow-up fight with a French data-protection regulator over whether the right should apply globally and where to draw the line between privacy and freedom of speech. The Alphabet Inc unit is challenging the French authority’s order to remove, on demand, links on all of its platforms across the world if they lead to websites that contain out of date or false information that could unfairly harm a person’s reputation. Judges may also clarify what links can stay online in the public interest. For Google, the fate of the Internet is at stake. The 2014 ruling already forces it to offer up different search results in Europe than the rest of the world. France’s CNIL says Google should purge those results globally. Google’s backers in the case, which include press freedom groups, warn this could allow authoritarian regimes to censor the entire Internet by extending to the world their decision on what can be made public. Creating a global right to be forgotten “would create a serious clash with US concepts of freedom of speech” and it could also be used by other states to “suppress search results on a global basis,” according to Richard Cumbley, a lawyer at Linklaters in London. The EU court is hard to second-guess. The initial ruling shocked Google by rejecting its arguments that the search-engine was merely a neutral pathway for serving up information. The decision effectively left it to Google to decide if a link that someone asked to be deleted contained something that was “no longer relevant.” Since 2014, Google has had to weigh nearly 850,000 separate requests to remove links to some 3.3mn websites. Its staff have taken on a semi-regulatory role to strike a balance between what information should stay public and what should now be removed. The court now will have to spell out how widely Google should remove the links. Should it pull links viewed in one country or across Europe? Must it strip them from local sites such as France’s google.fr or also on the global google. com domain – and what should it do if they’re accessed from France, Europe or elsewhere? Since 2016 the company has used so- An illuminated Google logo sits on a reception desk inside the tech giant’s office in Berlin. Google is bracing for another landmark privacy decision at the European Union’s top court, five years after a “right-to-be-forgotten” ruling forced it to delete links to personal information on request. called “geoblocking” to filter all Google site results to Europeans so they won’t see information a person in their country wants to limit. The EU court will also have to weigh whether Google can refuse to remove some information that might be in the public interest. It will advise French courts over a dispute on deleting links over a personal relationship with a public office holder and an article mentioning the name of a Church of Scientology public relations manager. Judges in London and Paris have been sympathetic to efforts to suppress unflattering information. Last year a London court told Google to remove news reports about businessmen’s criminal convictions, in line with an English law that aims to aid people to put past crimes behind them. Paris judges also told Google to reduce the visibility of stories about a former chief financial officer fined for civil insidertrading violations. Mountain View, California-based Google and France’s privacy authority CNIL declined to comment ahead of the ruling. Privacy has become a battleground for Internet giants in Europe. Google has faced numerous privacy probes across the region, including scrutiny of contractors listening to audio from its digital home devices and data processing or ads. The company was fined €50mn ($55mn) by France’s CNIL earlier this year over lack of transparency for its privacy policy and for failing to correctly processing user data for ads. It was one of the first penalties levied under powerful new data-protection rules. Google’s importance as the leading search engine in Europe has led to an EU declaration that it dominates the European market. The company is separately challenging billions of euros in anti-trust fines at the same EU courts in Luxembourg. Bloomberg QuickTake Q&A You’re home alone with Alexa; are your secrets safe? By Matt Day Seattle Privacy at home is something most people take for granted. But the home has become the latest frontier in data harvesting for big tech companies. Smart speakers and their voice assistants, app-activated thermostats and internet-connected everything else are scooping up information that could prove valuable to product designers, advertisers, governments and law enforcement. A range of Interest groups, from civil liberties organisations to consumer advocates and children’s privacy watchdogs, worry about an erosion of privacy. 1. Who’s collecting data inside your home? Amazon’s Echo, animated by the voice assistant Alexa, and Google’s Home, with its Assistant, keep track of the questions people ask and store recordings of them. Many appliances and other gizmos are marketed as “smart home” devices, a catchall term that typically means they’re able to communicate with a smartphone or a central hub (like Echo or Home) and take instructions by voice commands, remote controls or a touchscreen. Such smart devices include ceiling fans made by Hunter Fan; thermostats made by Ecobee, Emerson and Nest; Kwikset and Schlage branded door locks; and self-steering vacuums from iRobot. Manufacturers of these and other smart devices can develop a catalogue of information about how people use them. 2. What gets collected? In addition to voice recordings by Echo and Google Home, data that can be collected include maps of homes (in the case of automated vacuums) or a record of every time a smart light bulb or stove is turned on. Such information can seem mundane. But especially when paired with other information about you, it helps fill out a record of your behaviour in the home. A good rule of thumb is if a device is able to transmit data wirelessly, it is probably gathering, and may well be sharing, information about how it gets used. 3. How does that information get used? Amazon and Google say the knowledge gained from use of smart devices could lead to helpful personalised tips, like a reminder to lock the door at night. Or a smart stove might tell its owner about a maintenance issue, or suggest a recipe. The companies benefit as well. They can sift through the accumulated data for ideas about new features or products that might be welcomed by consumers. They also can – and do – use their trove of recorded customer voices to refine the algorithms trained to interpret and respond to human speech. Sometimes, that process entails teams of humans charged with reviewing voice recordings and other data. 4. Can law enforcement use this data? Police in the US have sought records captured by Amazon Echo speakers, and security camera and thermostat maker Nest, owned by Google parent Alphabet, says it has received hundreds of requests for information about its users from governments around the world. Typically, tech companies pledge that they won’t turn over data without a valid court or government order. Amazon, citing First Amendment speech protections, initially resisted a police request for user data in a 2017 Arkansas murder case that ultimately was dropped. (Amazon has been ordered to turn over Echo recordings in another such case, involving a double murder in New Hampshire.) The Fourth Amendment also gets cited, since it sets limits on searches of homes. But police access to smart home data remains a gray area, as the legal code in most cases didn’t contemplate corporateowned microphones on the kitchen table or microwaves capable of communicating with the internet. 5. Where is this headed? The next frontier, observers say, is likely monetising the cache of personal data through advertising. Google, for instance, could use its awareness of a newly purchased smart television to suggest a set of speakers to go with it. Or the maker of a freshly activated smart pressure cooker could sell information on the buyer to local grocers, who in turn could pepper the buyer with ads. Google, the biggest player in online ads, says it doesn’t use some smart home data, like readings on a Nest thermostat, to inform targeted advertising. But it does use what people tell the Google Assistant An Amazon Echo Show smart speaker with screen sits on display at the Amazon.com Spheres headquarters during an unveiling event in Seattle, Washington (file). Privacy at home is something most people take for granted. But the home has become the latest frontier in data harvesting for big tech companies. Smart speakers and their voice assistants, app-activated thermostats and Iinternet-connected everything else are scooping up information that could prove valuable to product designers, advertisers, governments and law enforcement. to personalise the ads that it shows alongside smartphone apps and websites. (Amazon says it doesn’t use data gleaned from Alexa commands for advertising purposes.) 6. What can people do? Virtually all makers of smart devices put the onus on customers to wade through lengthy privacy policies to learn how their information is being used and what options they have to control that. Users of Amazon Echo and Google Home can delete their accumulated voice recordings or opt out of some data collection. Other smart devices generally don’t allow such clear-cut options. Often the only way to stop an appliance from gathering and transmitting information on its use is to disconnect it from the Internet. That, of course, eliminates much or all of the functionality promised by the “smart” label in the first place. 7. Is anybody cracking down on this? In the European Union, governed by the expansive General Data Protection Regulation, people have the right to compel companies to stop using their personal information and to delete the information. In the US, laws vary by state but generally don’t give people anywhere near that much control. A California law set to take effect in 2020 will give residents the right to know how their data is being collected and shared and allow them to deny companies the right to sell it. Several other states including Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts and New York have considered legislation giving customers more control over their data or limiting what smart speakers can scoop up. In the US Congress, which is increasing scrutiny of big technology companies, a slate of competing bills – some with stronger consumer protections than California, others with weaker ones – could override state actions if passed and signed into law. Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 5 BUSINESS Bearish signal for crude as China closes in on filling oil storage By Clyde Russell Launceston, Australia One of the fascinating tidbits to come to light in the wake of the attacks on Saudi Arabia’s crude facilities was China’s disclosure that it has enough oil inventories to last 80 days. There isn’t too much short-term significance in this, other than to confirm that China probably won’t be frantic to find replacements for any loss of imports from Saudi Arabia. But the information is vitally important from a medium to longer term view of the crude oil markets. China’s strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) is largely shrouded in mystery, with no official disclosure of the actual level of inventories in the world’s largest crude importer. It likely surprised the market, however, that Beijing is quite close to the 90 days of import cover recommended by the International Energy Agency (IEA) as the level of reserves that importing nations should hold. Earlier this year it was estimated by some analysts that China had around 40 to 50 days of import cover. The figure of 80 days of crude oil in both commercial and strategic storage was released on September 20 by Li Fulong, the head of development and planning at the National Energy Administration. While Li didn’t disclose the exact amount of stored crude, it is likely to be around 788mn barrels, based on taking the average daily imports of 9.85mn barrels per day (bpd) for the first eight months of 2019. The last time inventories were officially acknowledged was in December 2017, when it was disclosed that reserves as of end-June 2017 were 277mn barrels. This implies that from July 2017 to September 20 this year, China added 511mn barrels of crude, about 630,000 bpd. It would also seem that the rate of stock building has been accelerating in 2019, if the difference between the total crude processed at China’s refineries and the amount of crude available from both imports and domestic output is calculated. Domestic output in the first eight months of 2019 was 3.83mn bpd and imports were 9.85mn bpd, giving a combined total of 13.68mn bpd. Refinery throughput for the same period was 12.74mn bpd, implying that about 940,000 bpd went into either commercial or strategic stocks. If China does conclude its stockpiling at 90 days of import cover, the implication is that it has about 98.5mn barrels still to go. At a 940,000 bpd rate, this further implies that the filling of China’s storage could be finished in about 105 days. There is no guarantee, of course, that China will continue to build inventories at the same clip it has been, or indeed that it will stop at 90 days worth of import cover. But the risk for the global crude market is that sometime in the next six months, and possibly earlier, China may dial back the amount of crude it is buying for storage. This is important as most analysts believed China still had some way to go to complete filling its SPR and building sufficient commercial inventories. If China does ease purchases of crude for storage, it will put a sizeable dent in global crude demand growth. For the first eight months of 2019, China’s crude imports have been about 859,000 bpd higher than they were for the same period in 2018. This means China is responsible for about two-thirds of the global demand growth for crude, going by an IEA forecast for world oil demand to rise by 1.2mn bpd in 2019. If China does reduce the oil volumes being purchased for strategic storage in 2020, it would most likely be a bearish surprise for crude markets. Clyde Russell is a columnist for Reuters. The opinions expressed here are those of the author. India’s corporate tax cut to boost smartphone industry Hyundai Motor, Aptiv to set up $4bn JV Reuters Mumbai Reuters Seoul I ndia’s lower corporate tax rate will help its smartphone industry expand, fuel research and development (R&D) investment and attract higher-value component makers to the world’s second-biggest smartphone market, four top industry executives said. India slashed its headline corporate tax rate to 22% from 30% on Friday in a surprise gambit aimed at wooing manufacturers and boosting investment in Asia’s third-biggest economy, where unemployment has surged as growth sinks to six-year lows. The country is currently vying with rivals like Vietnam to attract global firms such as Apple and encourage contract manufacturers like Foxconn and Wistron to step up their presence. China’s trade tussle with the United States, which is pushing smartphone makers to seek alternative markets, is giving that fight an additional edge. “This is a clear signal from the government to boost investors’ confidence in India’s economy,” said Vikas Agarwal, India head of China’s OnePlus, which makes its smartphones locally and rivals Apple for a share of India’s premium device segment. “It will directly affect a company’s profitability, help fuel consumption – but more importantly it also reflects India’s ambitions.” The trade war between Beijing and Washington has led to higher tariffs on goods worth tens of billions of dollars and disrupted global supply chains, pushing companies to look at newer markets to escape higher tariffs. And India has already begun stepping up efforts to attract investment, especially in labour-intensive electronics manufacturing. New Delhi last week scrapped a tax on imports of open cell TV panels, used to make television displays, in a move likely to boost television manufacturing in the country. The arrival of global players has made India the world’s No 2 mobile phone maker and the smartphone industry is central to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ambitious “Make in India” drive. Friday’s announcement also cut taxes for any manufacturing firm incorporated on or after October 1 and beginning production by March 2023 to an even H An attendee holds a Xiaomi Mi A1 dual camera device during the smartphone’s launch in New Delhi (file). China’s Xiaomi said India’s lower corporate tax rate would help it generate more employment and step up investments in local R&D. lower rate of 17% – less than rival countries. That should help charm contract manufacturers that do not already have a presence in the South Asian country, such as Taiwan’s Pegatron and other firms which make higher-end electronics components. The four senior smartphone industry executives said it was too early to speculate about how much more money their companies would commit to investing following the tax cut. But Indian smartphone maker Lava and China’s Xiaomi said the cut would help them generate more employment and step up investments in local R&D. “We are hopeful that we will be able to bring more of our component suppliers to India and help boost the local manufacturing industry further,” said a spokeswoman for Beijing-based Xiaomi, India’s top smartphone player. It makes 99% % of its devices locally through contract manufacturers and recently helped its supplier Holitech – a maker of camera modules and other parts – to set up a plant in northern India. The tax cut will help draw makers of components like phone display panels, lithium cells and camera modules, industry ex- ecutives and analysts said, also citing a jump for India in a global index that ranks countries by ease of doing business. “Earlier, India’s corporate tax rate was among the highest in the world. The new tax rate brings it at par with other leading manufacturing economies such as the US and China,” said one of the smartphone industry executives, who asked not to be named due to company policy. “The central bank now needs to cut lending rates by 75-100 basis points to fuel growth.” While it is hard to calculate the benefits for individual companies, the lower tax rate will mean better profit margins for companies such as Apple and OnePlus which sell highvalue phones, Rushabh Doshi of technology research firm Canalys said. Executives warn, however, that investors remain wary of India’s policy flip-flops, red tape, poor logistics infrastructure and cumbersome landacquisition procedures. “Right now is the window of opportunity for India to come up with as many incentives as possible to draw attention,” ShihChung Liu, vice chairman of Taiwan’s External Trade Development Council, told Reuters. China boosts govt presence at Alibaba, private giants Bloomberg Beijing Alibaba Group Holdings signage is displayed outside the company’s offices in Beijing. Alibaba is hosting its annual investors’ conference this week in Hangzhou against the backdrop of a worsening outlook for the country. The government of one of China’s top technology hubs is dispatching officials to 100 local corporations including e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, the latest effort to exert greater influence over the country’s massive private sector. Hangzhou, in the eastern province of Zhejiang, is assigning government affairs representatives to facilitate communication and expedite projects, the city government said on its website. Chinese beverage giant Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co and automaker Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co are among the other companies based in the prosperous region that have been singled out, according to reports in state media. The Hangzhou government said the initiative was aimed at smoothing work flow between officials and China’s high-tech companies and manufacturers. But the move could be perceived also as an effort to keep tabs on a non state-owned sector that’s gaining clout as a prime driver of the world’s No 2 economy. Representatives of the country’s public security system are already embedded within China’s largest internet companies, responsible for crime prevention and stamping out false rumours. Government agencies may also be heightening their monitoring of the vast private sector at a time China’s economy is decelerating – raising the prospect of destabiliziing job cuts as enterprises try to protect bottom lines. Alibaba is hosting its annual investors’ conference this week in Hangzhou against the backdrop of a worsening outlook for the country. “They might be checking whether the Communist party units are working effectively within the companies,” said Paul Gillis, a professor at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management. “While China legitimised capitalism, the level of government influence was never intended to disappear. Occasionally private entrepreneurs forget about this and are reminded of it.” The Communist Party accepted so-called “red capitalists” or private entrepreneurs into the Party in 2001, allowing them to become part of the country’s legislature a year later. Still, the relationship between Beijing and wellknown business people remains sensitive. The government has been seen to try and step up an official presence within non-state firms, by among other things mandating that private companies of scale set up and maintain a Party branch. It wasn’t clear whether the 100 Zhejiang-based companies included foreign enterprises. “We understand this initiative from the Hangzhou city government aims to foster a better business environment in support of Hangzhou-based enterprises. The government representative will function as a bridge to the private sector, and will not interfere with the company’s operations,” Alibaba said in a text statement. Representatives for Wahaha and Geely didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. yundai Motor Group will invest $1.6bn in a joint venture to develop selfdriving vehicle technologies with Aptiv, the biggest overseas investment by the South Korean carmaker to catch up to rivals in the autonomous car market. Global carmakers and their suppliers are forging alliances to develop autonomous car technologies partly due to the need to share the huge financial and technical burdens. Hyundai has lagged global rivals who have invested heavily into developing new technologies for electrified an autonomous vehicles. For example, BMW and Daimler announced earlier this year that they would join forces on automated driving technology. Hyundai Motor, Kia Motors and Hyundai Mobis will collectively contribute $1.6bn in cash and $400mn in research and development resources and others, valuing the joint venture $4bn, Hyundai Group and Aptiv said in a joint statement. Dublin-headquarterd Aptiv, which will own 50% of the joint venture, will contribute its autonomous driving technology, intellectual property, and approximately 700 employees focused on the development of scalable autonomous driving solutions. The new firm will begin testing fully driverless systems in 2020 and have a productionready autonomous driving platform available for robotaxi providers, fleet operators and automakers in 2022. Aptiv, which manufactures vehicle components and provides technology for self-driving cars, was formerly known as Delphi Automotive, which was split into Aptiv and Delphi Technologies in 2017. Market research firm Navigant Research Aptiv put Aptiv at No 4 among automated driving system companies, following Waymo, General Motors and Ford. Hyundai is not among the top 10 vendors, according to Navigant Research. Aptiv said in its 2018 annual report that Hyundai Mobis was one of its competitors in advanced safety and user experience segment, along with Bosch Group and Denso Corp. Its major customers include GM, Volkswagen and Fiat, according to the annual report. Hyundai Motor is also one of its customers, a Hyundai spokesman said. The latest investment is another sign that Hyundai has abandoned its strategy of developing technology in-house, a strategy which previously raised investor concerns that it may be left behind in the race for future mobility. Hyundai, along with affiliate Kia Motors ranks fifth in global sales, have joined rivals in making a series of investments in technology firms, including selfdriving car tech startup Aurora, especially after heir apparent Euisun Chung was promoted a year ago. Hyundai Motor said in February that it will invest 14.7tn won ($12.3bn) in future technologies such as self-driving, connectivity and car sharing areas by 2023. Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 6 BUSINESS Steady uptrend for Islamic finance in Pakistan: SBP By Arno Maierbrugger Gulf Times Correspondent London Internews Islamabad The Islamic banking and finance sector in Pakistan continues to be on an upward trajectory, with assets, deposits and the number of branches of Islamic banks all showing solid growth. According to the latest Islamic Banking Bulletin issued by the State Bank of Pakistan on September 13, assets of Pakistan’s Islamic banking industry stood at Rs2,992bn ($19.8bn) by June-end, 2019, a growth of 20.6% as compared to June-end, 2018. Similarly, overall deposits of Islamic banking customers witnessed growth of 18.8% in the period and reached Rs2,415bn ($15.4bn). This translates into a market share of Islamic banking assets and client deposits in the overall banking industry of 14.4% and 15.9%, respectively, by the end of June, 2019, as compared to 12.9% and 14.8%, respectively, a year ago. On a half-year basis, Islamic deposits have grown 21% through June 2019, outpacing the 11% compound annual growth rate of all other deposit types in the banking sector. Gulf Times Exclusive According to the bulletin, the network of Islamic banks currently consists of 22 institutions, including five fully-fledged Islamic banks and 17 conventional banks with standalone Islamic banking branches. Among the Islamic banks, the largest is Meezan Bank with 678 branches, followed by Bank Islami Pakistan with 218 branches, Dubai Islamic Bank Pakistan with 200 branches, AlBaraka Bank (Pakistan) with 183 branches and MCB Islamic Bank with 177 branches. The largest banks with standalone branches, so-called Islamic windows, are Faysal Bank, National Bank of Pakistan, Bank Alfalah, Allied Bank and United Bank. The entire branch network of Pakistan’s Islamic banking industry stood at 2,913 spread across 113 districts by June-end, 2019, as compared to 2,685 a year ago. More than 77% of the branches were concentrated in Punjab and Sindh provinces. The number of Islamic banking windows stood at 1,348. Pedestrians pass in front of a branch of the Meezan Bank in Karachi. According to the latest Islamic Banking Bulletin issued by the State Bank of Pakistan on September 13, the network of Islamic banks in Pakistan currently consists of 22 institutions, including five fully-fledged Islamic banks and 17 conventional banks with standalone Islamic banking branches. Among the Islamic banks, the largest is Meezan Bank with 678 branches. But it is not only the sheer size of the industry which is an important measurement, but clearly also the profitability of the banks. Profit before tax of Islamic banks in Pakistan was recorded at slightly more than Rs32bn ($204mn) in the quarter ended June, 2019 compared to Rs15bn ($95.6mn) in the same quarter last year. Profitability ratios such as return-onassets and return-on-equity before tax stood at 2.3% and 35.3%, respectively, by June-end, 2019, comparing favourably to industry figures of 1.6% and 21.3%, respectively. During the period under review, operating expense to gross income ratio witnessed further improvement and was recorded at 52.6%, compared to 54.7% in the previous quarter and lower than the industry total of 57.1%. In terms of financing, the corporate sector accounted for a 73.5%-share in overall financing of Pakistan’s Islamic banking industry, followed by commodity financing with a share of 10.6% and consumer financing with 10.4%. The shares of small and medium enterprises financing and agriculture financing in overall financing stood at 3.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Sectorwise, production and transmission of energy retained the leading position at a share in overall Islamic financing of 17.9%, followed by the textile and individual financing sectors, both having had a respective share of 11.6% by June-end, 2019. The most popular financing types were diminishing musharaka, followed by musharaka and murabaha. The report also noted that much of the growth in Pakistan’s Islamic banking industry came from new retail customers on a market were 79% of a 197mn-population are still unbanked. “The potential for Islamic banking penetration (in Pakistan) is substantial,” Moody’s Investors Service said in a separate report, adding that “Islamic banking products are attracting previously unbanked customers, creating new business opportunities for banks to grow their deposit base and benefit from stronger profitability.” The State Bank of Pakistan has now set a goal to increase Islamic assets to 20% from the current 14.4%, helped by lifting structural and regulatory barriers, increasing awareness for Shariah-compliant banking and regular sukuk issuances. Chinese homebuying in US to hit 8-year low Reuters Shanghai U S home sales to Chinese buyers are likely to drop to an eight-year low in the year ending next March as a prolonged Sino-US trade war hits demand, according to estimates from Chinese real estate website Juwai.com. Analogous to US portals like Realtor. com and Trulia, Juwai is China’s largest international property website, hosting some 2.8mn listings on both sides of China’s Internet censorship mechanism known as the Great Firewall. Based on its enquiry and buyer data, as well as feedback from industry partners, the site estimated US home sales to Chinese buyers would fall to between $10bn and $12bn in the year to March 2020. While that represents just a fraction of 1% of the $1.6tn worth of US homes sold annually, it is down from the $13.4bn reported for the year ended in March by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and from more than $30bn in both 2017 and 2018. The site’s executive chairman, Malaysian-based German tech entrepreneur Georg Chmiel, said worries over US visas, the weakening yuan and the desire to diversify investments had spurred a collapse in sales to Chinese buyers after a five-year surge. “The Trump administration’s tariffs, aggressive rhetoric, targeting of Chinese graduate students at US universities, and new visa red tape have all hurt Chinese demand,” he told Reuters. After a decade of gains against the dollar, China’s yuan currency has fallen 11% in the past 18 months, capped by a devaluation in August which was widely seen as a political move in the trade war and which added to buyers’ concerns. Chmiel said for Chinese customers US properties served as both financial investments and potential homes for them or for offspring, who they hoped one day would study and work in the United States. “With the trade war going on, it’s easy to imagine a scenario in which you might be forced to sell or your investment might Islamabad residents face 200% hike in property tax Property owners in Pakistan’s capital Islamabad have seen an unprecedented 200% hike in property tax with little time to pay the charges. The Metropolitan Corp Islamabad (MCI) approved the increase in property tax last December, making it applicable from July 1, but tensions between the MCI and Capital Development Authority (CDA) over who would control the revenue directorate responsible for collecting property tax meant that the distribution of property tax bills was delayed. Bills that should have reached people in the first week of August were distributed last week, with September 30 listed as the due date. The revenue directorate used to be a part of the CDA and was devolved to the MCI after the local government was forced in 2016. The MCI revised property and water taxes, both of which were being deposited into CDA accounts because the bills were to be paid to the “directorate of revenue CDA”. Sources said that both civic organisations have claimed their right to the directorate, because of which the concerned officials are uncertain about whether tax bills should be issued with the MCI’s logo or the CDA’s. After a considerable delay, they decided to go ahead with a CDA logo. When it approved the revised property tax rate, the MCI said property taxes had not been revised for more than 18 years and an increase was therefore imperative. However, residents said it was the authority’s fault if tax rates were not revised on time and not the fault of property owners now facing the 200% increase. A resident of F-6 said: “This is ridiculous and nonsense. There is no justification for a hike of more than 200pc whatever the reason. There should be a 10% to 20% increase.” The situation has been exacerbated by the fact that tax notices were not delivered on time in August. Citizens said they were delivered a few days ago, directing citizens to pay their taxes no later than September 30. “It seems the inner tussle between the CDA and the MCI to grab the civic powers of the capital territory resulted in the delay in the distribution of property tax bills. Bills that would otherwise have reached their destinations in August were distributed on September 21-22, leaving residents shocked at the raise on one hand and fearful of the deadline on the other,” a CDA official said. Property owners demanded that the MCI or CDA revise the rate and extend the deadline. “This is totally unjust. We do not know who has the powers to decide the tax increase, but it is nothing less than a bombshell for residents who have to pay 200 times what they paid in property tax last year. “I am surprised at the criteria being followed by the MCI. Such a significant increase in one go has left our budgets reeling. We are the salaried class, and have to maintain our monthly budgets accordingly. Now we have to look to our savings to pay the bills,” a G-10 resident said. Rejecting the argument that the taxes were raised after 2001, he said: “This is not my fault. The MCI should have a system to follow when it comes to imposing or increasing such property taxes. Sadly they don’t have any. A sudden increase, and that too by a huge proportion, means the city is being run by amateur officials.” He added that property owners who were previously paying Rs8,000 per year will now have to pay around Rs30,000. An MCI official said the rates were revised after 18 years, which is “justified”. The official added that the tax is being collected by the CDA and not by the MCI. CDA spokesperson Syed Safdar Ali said the federal government would decide how the taxes would be shared between the MCI and CDA. Asked why the rate was increased by 200% and why notices were not distributed on time, he said: “The revision in rate was made by the MCI house so the CDA has nothing to do with it. As far as the late distribution is concerned with little time for payment, we will look into it.” Asia refining margins highest in two years Reuters Singapore otherwise lose value,” he said. The trend has shown up at US housebuilders this year, with luxury homebuilder Toll Brothers Inc flagging sluggish sales in California, which makes up as much as 30% of its business and is the main target market for Chinese buyers. The country’s number two builder, Lennar Corp also recently put the blame for soft sales in the state and a western region which accounts for 42% of sales, on fading Chinese demand. Gay Cororaton, a senior economist at the NAR, did not provide detailed forecasts, but said a slowing Chinese economy and the dollar’s strength were likely to keep pushing down Chinese buying, particularly in prime markets such as Cali- fornia. “Chinese buyers form a significant portion of international home sales in California, where home prices have been increasing steadily, and that has been one of the factors acting as a deterrent for home purchases, when the yuan has declined,” she said. “They might look for properties in areas that are less expensive than California, such as Texas and Seattle. And this could put downward pressure on prices in California,” Cororaton said. Dean Jones, principal and owner at Seattle-based brokerage Realogics Sotheby’s International Realty, said the focus was shifting to “secondary gateway markets” such as Seattle, because of their strong economies and relative affordabil- ity. Jones said Seattle was wooing international buyers with properties selling for a third or half the price of real estate in San Francisco or Los Angeles. One 41-year old businessman from Tianjin in China, who is looking for properties with a US broker and asked not to be named, told Reuters he hoped the trade war would be resolved soon and that he was considering waiting it out before buying. “The United States is a liveable country where the natural environment, climate, education, medical care, commodity prices are all satisfying,” he said. “(But) if the trade war keeps intense, it may affect my income and I will probably reduce (my investment).” Asia’s oil refining margins for September reached their monthly highest in two years, Refinitiv data showed, as attacks on Saudi oil facilities came at a time when demand for fuel oil and gasoil was strong ahead of new shipping regulations. Singapore’s refining margins between September 1 and 23 averaged at more than $7.50 a barrel, making this the highest monthly average since September 2017. The margins are derived from profits for gasoline, naphtha, diesel, jet fuel and high-sulphur fuel oil, also known as cracks. The attacks on Saudi Aramco’s oil facilities at Abqaiq and Khurais on September 14 prompted the country to buy up supplies, helping to soak up excess cargoes of naptha. “The recent diesel crack movement is a double impact from IMO (International Maritime Organisation) and Saudi,” said an industry source based in North Asia who tracks petroleum products. Cracks for gasoil in September were at their highest in six years as mandatory reductions in sulphur levels by the IMO for ships in 2020 is expected to lift gasoil demand by 1.4mn to 2mn barrels per day (bpd). Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 7 BUSINESS Fund prefers mid-cap picking over timing India’s volatile market Bloomberg Mumbai Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co has loaded up on shares of Indian mid- and small-sized businesses based on its primary investment rule to pick stocks rather than try to time the market. It’s been a volatile year for Indian stocks, however, with the Sensex’s 12% climb through early June nearly wiped out as of Thursday’s close. The benchmark gauge surged 5.3% Friday after the country cut its corporate tax rate, putting it back in the green for the year. “For investors it’s very difficult to time market phases,” Harsha Upadhyaya, chief investment officer-equity at India’s sixth-largest fund manager, said in an interview at his office in Mumbai last week. “If you can take a little bit of more risk, you should tilt towards mid- and small-cap as this basket can give higher returns when the market stabilises.” India’s smaller stocks have been hit by a slowing economy and a severe dent in consumption. The Nifty Midcap 100 Index has slumped 25% from its peak in January 2018 and now trades 14.3 times its estimated 12-month earnings, lower than the Nifty 50 Index’s 17.5 times. Kotak sees this as a good opportunity to enter this segment of the market, as it expects Indian lenders to pass interest-rate reductions by the central bank to their customers. “If it happens, it will improve consumer and corporate demand, and that will be one of the bigger triggers,” Upadhyaya said. The money manager prefers non-consumer companies and will continue to add shares of businesses such as industrial-equipment suppliers, chemicals, cement and gas utilities. Consumer stocks constitute nearly 12% of its holdings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg as of August 31. About 40% of the firm’s holdings are financial stocks. Around 55% of its stock holdings are larger companies, while mid- and small-sized names constitute a total 39%. Kotak Standard Multicap Fund, the company’s biggest fund with about $3.6bn of assets, has returned an average of about 11% over the past five years, topping 82% of its rivals, according to Bloomberg data. That compares with a 7.4% annual return generated by the Nifty 200 Cut in corporate tax boosts India shares B I Traders monitor share prices at the Bombay Stock Exchange. The Sensex jumped 2.8% to 39,909.03 points yesterday. lysts including Sarthak Mukherjee wrote in a note on Friday. Foreign investors will probably shift their negative stance on Indian equities, he said. Thirteen of 19 sector sub-indexes com- piled by BSE Ltd rose, led by gains of more than 5% in gauges of capital goods, financial and industrial stocks. Sixteen of the 31 Sensex members and 32 of the 50 Nifty companies advanced. Bajaj Finance Ltd was the top gainer after surging as much as 9.8% to a record high. Technology stocks including Infosys Ltd were among the top decliners. Trade anxiety, growth worries keep EM stocks in check Reuters London E merging market shares fell yesterday as uncertainty over the United States and China reaching a trade deal anytime soon and dismal growth data from major economies kept investors on the sidelines. Although Washington and Beijing labelled their two-day talks last week as “productive” and “constructive”, a deal appeared elusive Eurozone bond yields slide as weak PMI rattles markets Reuters London Bloomberg Mumbai ndian stocks rose for a second day on expectations that the government’s surprise $20bn company tax cut will revive economic growth and boost company earnings. The S&P BSE Sensex jumped 2.8% to 39,909.03 at the 3:30pm close in Mumbai, while the NSE Nifty 50 Index advanced 2.9%. Both gauges surged 5.3% on Friday, marking their biggest gain since May 2009, after the corporate tax rate was lowered to 22% from 30%. Analysts increased earnings estimates for both measures by as much as 10% to factor in the lower tax burden. The government’s move follows a series of other measures unveiled over the past month aimed at boosting consumer demand and attracting investment. The tax cuts have “significant positive implications for corporates’ profitability, broader economy and market valuations,” Nomura Holdings Inc strategists including Saion Mukherjee wrote in a note. “We expect the strong monetary stimulus in the near-term to result in a cyclical recovery followed by investment/exports-led growth in the medium term.” The reduction has led to “earnings upgrades, hence we believe that Nifty, Sensex are set for a higher trajectory, and a rally up to 12,500 and 42,000 respectively is likely in the next 3-6 months,” Stewart & Mackertich Wealth Management Ltd ana- over the same period. Here are some more comments from Upadhyaya: Although interest rates have fallen and are expected to drop further, the initial leg of revival will likely be among companies with strong balance sheets India has been a beneficiary of abundant global liquidity and low interest rates, and if anything changes with that it will impact local investors If oil prices rise, that would add to the problems that local investors are already facing. after Chinese officials unexpectedly cancelled a visit to farms in the US on Friday. Focus now turns to high-level talks planned for October. “We are indeed in a wait-and-see mode ahead of those talks, maybe an interim deal will be discussed, maybe not, it’s still too close to call,” said Jakob Christensen, head of EM research at Danske Bank. MSCI’s index for emerging market stocks fell 0.3% led by mainland Chinese shares. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was 0.8% weaker after a weekend of sometimes violent protests, while South Korea’s Kospi ended flat after data showed a slump in exports. Indian shares, up nearly 3%, outperformed, extending their rally from Friday after the government announced a surprise cut in corporate taxes to revive flagging growth in Asia’s third-largest economy. Developing world currencies were more mixed, with Russia’s rouble and Turkey’s lira making nominal gains against the dollar, but much of the reaction came from emerging European ones after dire growth data from the eurozone. The Hungarian forint and the Polish zloty fell 0.4% each against the euro, after data showed German private sector activity had shrunk for the first time in 6-1/2 years in September as a manufacturing recession deepened. Manufacturing activity in the eurozone contracted at its steepest rate since late 2012 as demand sank, puncturing sentiment among factory managers. ond yields across the euro area tumbled yesterday after weaker-than-expected business activity data from the bloc’s biggest economies deepened investors’ recession fears. German private sector activity shrank for the first time in 6-1/2 years in September as a manufacturing recession worsened and growth in the service sector lost momentum. Markit’s flash composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors that together account for more than two-thirds of Germany’s economy, fell to 49.1 from 51.7 in the previous month. French business activity also slowed unexpectedly and Markit’s eurozone composite flash PMI sank to 50.4 in September from 51.9 in August. The data sparked a rally in government bond markets, where yields slid. The euro and regional stocks tumbled. “The bit that will worry markets is that services that have been largely immune now show signs of substantial contagion effect from the slowdown in manufacturing,” said Marc Ostwald, global strategist at ADM Investor Services. Across the eurozone, 10-year bond yields were down 6-8 basis points on the day. Germany’s benchmark 10-year bond yield fell to -0.59% – its lowest level since the September 12 European Central Bank meeting that concluded with rate cuts and fresh asset purchases to boost weak growth. It was on track for its biggest one-day fall since June 18, when a speech by ECB chief Mario Draghi in Portugal flagged the need for stimulus and set bond yields tumbling. Rishi Mishra, interest rates strategist at Futures First Info Services, said he would not be surprised if the German Bund yield now returned to all-time lows around -0.70%. A long-term measure of the market’s eurozone inflation expectations meanwhile fell to around 1.21% – its lowest since early September. Spanish bond yields received an additional boost from a credit ratings upgrade after Friday’s market close. Spain’s 10-year bond yield fell 8 bps to just 0.154%, outperforming eurozone peers. S&P Global Ratings lifted Spain to A from A-, citing economic resilience and an improving budgetary position and changed the rating outlook to stable from positive. Rival ratings agency DBRS also changed the outlook on Spain’s rating to positive from stable, which suggests the next move could be an upgrade. It rates Spain at A Jim McCormick, global head of desk strategy at NatWest Markets, said Spain’s average ratings score is now the highest in seven years. “Spain’s fundamentals already look more semi-core than peripheral,” he said. “Importantly, this is slowly bringing Japanese investors into the market in bigger size.” Outgoing ECB chief Draghi speaks to the European Parliament later in the day. His comments are likely to be scrutinised closely after the weak PMI data. Asian stock markets drop; oil rallies on Middle East tensions AFP Hong Kong Pedestrians walk past an electronic ticker board displaying stock figures outside the Exchange Square complex, which houses the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (file). The Hang Seng index fell 0.8% to 26,228.74 points yesterday. Oil prices rallied yesterday after Iran warned the presence of US forces in the Gulf was causing instability in the region, while equities were mixed as Donald Trump said he did not want a partial trade deal with China. While a loosening of monetary policy by central banks is providing support to investors, they remain on edge following last week’s attack on Saudi oil facilities that was claimed by Houthi rebels in Yemen but blamed by the US on Iran. President Hassan Rouhani on Sunday hit out at a US move to increase troop numbers in Saudi Arabia, saying: “Foreign forces can cause problems and insecurity for our people and for our region.” He called on outside powers to “stay away” from the region and added that Tehran would present a peace plan to the United Nations within days. Investors are concerned about a possible conflict in the oil-rich Middle East after last week’s attacks – which hammered Saudi Arabia’s biggest crude plant – though both sides have said they do not want a war. The US has ramped up sanctions on Tehran, targeting its central bank. Both main oil contracts saw prices rise more than 1% yesterday and traders are keeping tabs on Riyadh’s progress in repairing the facilities. “You can never say never, but with an Iranian delegation apparently due to attend the UN session opening week in New York, it is hard to imagine too many fireworks in the Gulf this week,” said OANDA senior markets analyst Jeffrey Halley. Equity markets were struggling for traction with investors tracking comments from Trump saying he wanted to strike a full trade deal with Beijing, knocking hopes for a piecemeal agreement between the economic superpowers. “I’m not looking for a partial deal. I’m looking for a complete deal,” he told reporters at the White House. He added that he did not see the need for an agreement before the 2020 presidential election. The remarks tempered recent optimism on the talks, though came as China hailed progress in preparatory discussions ahead of a planned high-level meeting next month. “The hot and then cold and then hot and cold again US-China trade vibes continue to rattle markets,” said Rodrigo Catril at National Australia Bank. “Hopes of a potential interim trade deal had boosted sentiment ahead of last week’s China’s trade delegation visit to the US, but in the end it seems that the inability to find common ground in key contentious issues such as intellectual property rights resulted yet again in an increase in tensions.” Hong Kong fell 0.8% to 26,228.74 with China’s Fosun International losing more than 1% after British travel giant Thomas Cook – in which it is the top shareholder – collapsed. The 178-year-old firm went under after failing to secure £200mn ($250mn) from private investors to keep it afloat. Shanghai shed 1% to 2,977.08, while Singapore dropped 0.3%, with Taipei, Manila and Bangkok also lower, though there were gains in Seoul, Sydney, Wellington and Jakarta Tokyo was closed for a holiday. Mumbai rallied 3.3%, extending last week’s more than 5% surge that was fuelled by the government’s decision to slash corporation tax by almost a third. 8 Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 BUSINESS KUWAIT Company Name QATAR Company Name Zad Holding Co Widam Food Co Vodafone Qatar United Development Co Salam International Investme Qatar & Oman Investment Co Qatar Navigation Qatar National Cement Co Qatar National Bank Qatar Islamic Insurance Qatar Industrial Manufactur Qatar International Islamic Qatari Investors Group Qatar Islamic Bank Qatar Gas Transport(Nakilat) Qatar General Insurance & Re Qatar German Co For Medical Qatar Fuel Qsc Qatar First Bank Qatar Electricity & Water Co Qatar Exchange Index Etf Qatar Cinema & Film Distrib Al Rayan Qatar Etf Qatar Insurance Co Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing Ooredoo Qpsc National Leasing Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev Mesaieed Petrochemical Holdi Al Meera Consumer Goods Co Medicare Group Mannai Corporation Qsc Masraf Al Rayan Al Khalij Commercial Bank Industries Qatar Islamic Holding Group Investment Holding Group Gulf Warehousing Company Gulf International Services Ezdan Holding Group Doha Insurance Co Doha Bank Qpsc Dlala Holding Commercial Bank Psqc Barwa Real Estate Co Al Khaleej Takaful Group Al Ahli Bank Lt Price % Chg Volume 13.65 6.08 1.22 1.33 0.40 0.52 6.25 6.04 19.35 6.05 3.69 8.64 1.91 15.82 2.34 3.87 0.65 23.27 0.31 15.25 10.26 2.20 2.36 3.39 0.85 7.22 0.69 0.71 2.98 15.17 7.31 3.37 3.54 1.18 11.03 1.91 0.51 4.71 1.73 0.66 1.09 2.53 0.69 4.50 3.36 1.81 0.71 0.37 0.83 -0.81 -0.75 0.50 -0.19 4.34 -0.98 0.00 0.00 6.34 -0.69 0.00 -1.13 -1.68 -0.26 2.05 -0.56 -0.63 -1.68 0.11 0.00 0.00 -4.51 0.00 0.28 0.29 -0.14 -3.25 0.80 -1.75 -0.30 -0.28 0.00 -1.08 1.06 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.62 1.87 -0.39 -0.14 -0.66 0.00 -1.09 -0.14 1,000 51,977 557,806 868,998 636,652 1,010,118 2,913,592 715,100 2,258,684 312,237 791,434 340,126 954,973 659,516 3,500 8,259,436 221,109 4,626,531 144,167 7,300 20,000 402,435 2,154,934 1,030,829 406,448 275,074 4,474,303 76,828 210,138 4,911 5,834,665 220,702 1,230,007 149,242 240,923 523,839 22,534,314 49,312 325,071 63,100 2,722,811 1,498,210 372,154 2,341,732 Lt Price % Chg Volume 43.80 460.00 92.00 130.00 50.00 172.00 27.00 43.80 742.00 306.00 322.00 964.00 500.00 273.00 283.00 36.90 25.30 24.40 840.00 63.50 9.10 53.00 4.29 8.75 -0.54 0.00 7.53 0.00 0.00 -0.23 -1.07 0.66 1.90 1.90 0.00 -0.36 0.71 0.00 -0.78 1.67 0.00 -0.78 1.11 -1.30 225,312 21,295 148,531 2,920,258 207,224 514,564 124,442 758,555 7,720,869 5,345,045 18,500,682 285,100 27,130 38,000 1,176,032 469,754 KUWAIT Company Name Sultan Center Food Products Kuwait Foundry Co Sak Kuwait Financial Centre Sak Ajial Real Estate Entmt Kuwait Finance & Investment National Industries Co Ksc Kuwait Real Estate Holding C Securities House/The Boubyan Petrochemicals Co Al Ahli Bank Of Kuwait Ahli United Bank (Almutahed) National Bank Of Kuwait Commercial Bank Of Kuwait Kuwait International Bank Gulf Bank Al-Massaleh Real Estate Co Al Arabiya Real Estate Co Kuwait Remal Real Estate Co Alkout Industrial Projects C A’ayan Real Estate Co Sak Investors Holding Group Co.K Al-Mazaya Holding Co Al-Madar Finance & Invt Co Gulf Petroleum Investment Mabanee Co Sakc Inovest Co Bsc Al-Deera Holding Co Mena Real Estate Co Amar Finance & Leasing Co United Projects For Aviation National Consumer Holding Co Amwal International Investme Equipment Holding Co K.S.C.C Arkan Al Kuwait Real Estate Gfh Financial Group Bsc Energy House Holding Co Kscp Kuwait Co For Process Plant Al Maidan Dental Clinic Co K National Shooting Company Al-Ahleia Insurance Co Sakp Wethaq Takaful Insurance Co Salbookh Trading Co Kscp Aqar Real Estate Investments Hayat Communications Soor Fuel Marketing Co Ksc Tamkeen Holding Co Alargan International Real Burgan Co For Well Drilling Kuwait Resorts Co Kscc Oula Fuel Marketing Co Palms Agro Production Co Mubarrad Holding Co Ksc Shuaiba Industrial Co Aan Digital Services Co First Takaful Insurance Co Kuwaiti Syrian Holding Co National Cleaning Company United Real Estate Company Agility Kuwait & Middle East Fin Inv Fujairah Cement Industries Livestock Transport & Tradng International Resorts Co National Industries Grp Hold Warba Insurance Co First Dubai Real Estate Deve Al Arabi Group Holding Co Kuwait Hotels Sak Mobile Telecommunications Co Effect Real Estate Co Tamdeen Real Estate Co Ksc Al Mudon Intl Real Estate Co Kuwait Cement Co Ksc Sharjah Cement & Indus Devel Kuwait Portland Cement Co Educational Holding Group Bahrain Kuwait Insurance Asiya Capital Investments Co Kuwait Investment Co Burgan Bank Kuwait Projects Co Holdings Al Madina For Finance And In Kuwait Insurance Co Al Masaken Intl Real Estate Intl Financial Advisors First Investment Co Kscc Al Mal Investment Company Bayan Investment Co Kscc Egypt Kuwait Holding Co Sae Coast Investment Development Privatization Holding Compan Injazzat Real State Company Kuwait Cable Vision Sak Sanam Real Estate Co Kscc Ithmaar Holding Bsc Aviation Lease And Finance C Arzan Financial Group For Fi Ajwan Gulf Real Estate Co Kuwait Business Town Real Es Future Kid Entertainment And Specialities Group Holding C Abyaar Real Eastate Developm Dar Al Thuraya Real Estate C Kgl Logistics Company Kscc Combined Group Contracting Jiyad Holding Co Ksc Warba Capital Holding Co Gulf Investment House Ksc Boubyan Bank K.S.C Ahli United Bank B.S.C Osos Holding Group Co KUWAIT Lt Price 110.00 22.00 760.00 64.00 12.30 37.80 40.10 440.00 55.00 55.00 17.60 77.70 72.60 19.00 210.00 1,240.00 10.30 421.00 27.00 40.00 65.50 50.00 117.00 5.20 141.00 98.10 57.00 117.00 59.00 58.50 160.00 16.90 42.50 34.00 58.60 62.00 736.00 96.50 49.50 189.00 12.90 227.00 69.00 34.00 79.00 100.00 550.00 20.50 280.00 16.80 260.00 64.00 1,200.00 315.00 200.00 36.50 137.00 316.00 220.00 16.10 330.00 74.00 52.20 32.00 12.40 39.10 438.00 31.10 53.50 80.00 23.00 37.50 22.30 268.00 25.70 12.80 40.00 86.10 72.50 12.60 162.00 38.60 223.00 43.70 75.00 47.80 570.00 274.00 100.00 % Chg 1.85 0.00 0.80 0.00 2.50 -0.53 -0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 -5.88 0.00 1.26 0.00 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.91 0.77 56.25 0.86 0.00 0.00 4.92 1.79 0.86 0.00 1.74 0.00 -0.59 0.00 6.25 2.81 0.00 0.14 2.01 0.00 3.85 0.00 1.34 5.83 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.00 -6.67 -0.59 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.95 0.74 -0.32 0.00 1.90 0.00 0.00 -0.38 -0.31 -0.80 -2.25 6.83 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52 -1.15 -3.03 0.00 0.00 0.69 -3.08 0.00 -1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.42 3.83 0.74 -3.85 Company Name Volume 546,643 2,076,757 522,553 274,396 2,310,842 100,010 158,004 2,222 40 10,232 80,201 686,550 17,415 100 21,464 2,500 44,052 34,978 495,864 248,510 763,349 34,719 1,984,170 1,172,574 84,240 11,392,106 500 41,050 38,750 4,770,936 11,350 3,250 60,053 10,001 618,090 158,350 5,429,717 1,621,362 222,100 547,608 1,484,109 2,849,194 55,042 100 685,000 45,105 902,186 9,053,080 597,215 50,005 8,302 3,085,010 330,784 1,268,648 25,577 1,829,669 40,209,600 29,170 OMAN Al-Eid Food Ksc Qurain Petrochemical Industr Advanced Technology Co Ekttitab Holding Co Sak Real Estate Trade Centers Co Acico Industries Co Kscc Kipco Asset Management Co National Petroleum Services Alimtiaz Investment Group Ras Al Khaimah White Cement Kuwait Reinsurance Co Ksc Kuwait & Gulf Link Transport Humansoft Holding Co Ksc Automated Systems Co Kscc Metal & Recycling Co Gulf Franchising Holding Co Al-Enma’a Real Estate Co National Mobile Telecommuni Sanad Holding Co Kscc Unicap Investment And Financ Al Salam Group Holding Co Al Aman Investment Company Mashaer Holding Co Ksc Manazel Holding Tijara And Real Estate Inves Jazeera Airways Co Ksc Commercial Real Estate Co National International Co Taameer Real Estate Invest C Gulf Cement Co Heavy Engineering And Ship B National Real Estate Co Al Safat Energy Holding Comp Kuwait National Cinema Co Danah Alsafat Foodstuff Co Independent Petroleum Group Kuwait Real Estate Co Ksc Salhia Real Estate Co Ksc Gulf Cable & Electrical Ind Kuwait Finance House Gulf North Africa Holding Co Hilal Cement Co Osoul Investment Kscc Gulf Insurance Group Ksc Umm Al Qaiwain General Inves Aayan Leasing & Investment Alrai Media Group Co Ksc National Investments Co Commercial Facilities Co Yiaco Medical Co. K.S.C.C Dulaqan Real Estate Co Real Estate Asset Management Lt Price 52.90 310.00 900.00 16.70 24.70 138.00 81.00 1,100.00 126.00 61.00 158.00 75.00 3,091.00 71.00 25.00 160.00 43.80 718.00 0.00 43.50 30.60 56.40 69.70 28.50 40.00 972.00 92.50 62.00 18.40 54.50 392.00 79.60 19.50 770.00 24.70 435.00 79.50 332.00 445.00 678.00 58.80 90.00 70.00 680.00 71.90 55.10 37.60 131.00 195.00 66.50 350.00 95.40 % Chg 0.00 -0.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 -10.00 0.00 -0.79 -1.45 0.00 0.67 0.52 0.00 4.17 0.00 -4.78 0.42 0.00 -1.14 -2.86 2.55 1.75 -1.72 0.00 0.41 -0.54 1.64 5.14 -11.95 -1.26 -2.57 0.00 0.00 1.65 0.00 -0.63 -0.90 5.20 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 -4.81 0.77 -2.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Volume 845,322 48,500 7,581 2,899,963 14,305 26,610 189,405 2,053 508,024 10,166 744,555 7,733,677 50,235 2,053,045 31,000 429,174 50,000 200 14,011 19,010 825,979 662,334 501,841 719,430 65,300 2,905,644 28,147,793 6,397,890 5,001 2,071,850 52,000 - OMAN Company Name Voltamp Energy Saog Vision Insurance Saoc United Power/Energy Co- Pref United Power Co Saog United Finance Co Ubar Hotels & Resorts Takaful Oman Taageer Finance Sweets Of Oman Sohar Power Co Sohar International Bank Smn Power Holding Saog Shell Oman Marketing - Pref Shell Oman Marketing Sharqiyah Desalination Co Sa Sembcorp Salalah Power & Wat Salalah Port Services Salalah Mills Co Salalah Beach Resort Saog Sahara Hospitality Renaissance Services Saog Raysut Cement Co Phoenix Power Co Saoc Packaging Co Ltd Ooredoo Ominvest Oman United Insurance Co Oman Telecommunications Co Oman Refreshment Co Oman Qatar Insurance Co Lt Price 0.17 0.12 1.00 2.40 0.08 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.55 0.10 0.11 0.08 1.05 1.11 0.29 0.13 0.60 0.50 1.38 3.15 0.29 0.35 0.09 2.21 0.52 0.35 0.22 0.58 1.30 0.09 % Chg -0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 -1.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 2.94 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.00 3.24 3.93 0.00 0.00 Volume 25,565 116,449 12,000 118,829 44,649 100,000 11,700 211,410 853,146 166,255 5,000 Emerging markets defy risks as central bank rate cuts beckon Bloomberg Singapore F or all the obvious negatives – think surging oil prices, trade tensions and the US Federal Reserve having possibly reached the limits of its dovishness – emerging markets are keeping their heads above water. While developing-nation currencies just weakened for the first time in three weeks, their implied volatility, at around 8.25%, remains below the past year’s average. The yield on emerging-market local-currency debt is within 10 basis points of the alltime low of 4.12% reached in August. And the MSCI Index of stocks isn’t far off its highest level in seven weeks. “We maintain an optimistic outlook for emerging markets going into the next few months as global central bank accommodation overshadows concerns of slower global economic growth,” said Anders Faergemann, a senior portfolio manager at Pinebridge Investments in London. “The overall market has taken the oil shock, the Fed meeting and the repo market confusion in its stride, suggesting it would have to take an even bigger flare up in risk to unsettle financial markets.” Some $933mn flowed into emergingmarket debt-dedicated funds in the week through September 18, compared with $443mn the previous week, according to Morgan Stanley. Central banks in Egypt, the Philippines and Mexico will probably cut interest rates this week as policy makers around the world look to boost their economies. US-China trade tensions appear to be on the mend for now after China’s Ministry of Commerce signalled that both sides held “constructive” talks in Washington last week, though not everyone is buying into that narrative. Sentiment was also buoyed after Chinese officials emphasised that the cancellation of a planned visit to farms in the US had nothing to do with trade talks. Oil prices may continue to be volatile too, after the US sent more troops and weapons to Saudi Arabia and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif refused to rule out a military conflict. Oil importers with current-account and fiscal deficits – including India and South Africa – remain vulnerable to a further jump in energy prices. More easing Just days before Egypt’s central bank is expected to slash its benchmark rate, concern that rare protests against President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi’s government may escalate sent the nation’s dollar bonds sliding. Egypt has attracted bond investors with some of the highest real interest rates in the world; inflation slowed to 7.5% in August, the lowest level since early 2013. The central bank has already cut rates twice this year, reducing its benchmark by a total of 250 basis points. “Should political uncertainties rise, the negative impact on Egyptian risk assets could be more sustained,” Farouk Soussa, an economist at Goldman Sachs in London, says in a note. “In such an environment, we believe the CBE may see cause to hold rates on Thursday.” Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the central bank of Philippines to cut rates by 25 basis points Thursday. This is based partly on comments last week from Governor Benjamin Diokno. The rise in oil prices following the attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities is “not yet a worry” he said, despite the Philippines being a net oil importer. Mexican TIIE swap rates are pricing in 60 basis points of rate cuts for the rest of 2019 as the central bank prepares for its next meeting on Thursday. Economists expect authorities to lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points as inflation slows and the economy stalls. The Bank of Thailand is expected to maintain its policy rate on Wednesday, according to a majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, following a surprise 25-basis-point cut at its August meeting. Hungary’s central bank will set its monetary-policy stance for the next three months today, with most analysts expecting no change to the unconventional toolkit. The ECB’s easing measures will weigh against still-high core price pressures in Hungary and the forint trading at a record low. Czech policymakers will probably leave policy unchanged for a third consecutive meeting, even as a debate about the need for further tightening continues among officials Colombia and Kenya will probably keep their benchmark rates unchanged; Morocco will also decide on policy today. Brazil’s central bank may provide more hints about the extent of its easing cycle when minutes of its latest meeting are released today. Traders have priced in more aggressive rates cuts, dragging down the real, after policy makers announced their latest reduction last week. Investors are debating how much more the currency can weaken before the central bank turns more hawkish. Index decisions FTSE Russell will announce the results of an annual review of its World Government Bond Index, with investors likely to focus on the possible inclusion of China and Israel, as well as on the potential exclusion of Malaysia. An exclusion announcement could possibly trigger outflows of $5bn to $6bn from the ringgit bond market, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs Group. Economic pulse Malaysia inflation data is due tomorrow, with price levels having picked-up considerably since January. Company Name Oman Packaging Oman Oil Marketing Company Oman National Engineering An Oman Investment & Finance Oman Intl Marketing Oman Flour Mills Oman Fisheries Co Oman Europe Foods Industries Oman Education & Training In Oman Chromite Oman Chlorine Oman Ceramic Company Oman Cement Co Oman Cables Industry Oman & Emirates Inv(Om)50% Natl Aluminium Products National Real Estate Develop National Mineral Water National Life & General Insu National Gas Co National Finance Co National Detergent Co Saog National Biscuit Industries National Bank Of Oman Saog Muscat Thread Mills Co Muscat Insurance Co Saog Muscat Gases Company Saog Muscat Finance Muscat City Desalination Co Majan Glass Company Majan College Hsbc Bank Oman Hotels Management Co Interna Gulf Stone Gulf Mushroom Company Gulf Investments Services Gulf Invest. Serv. Pref-Shar Gulf International Chemicals Gulf Hotels (Oman) Co Ltd Global Fin Investment Galfar Engineering&Contract Galfar Engineering -Prefer Financial Services Co. Financial Corp/The Dhofar Tourism Dhofar Poultry Dhofar Intl Development Dhofar Insurance Dhofar Generating Co Saoc Dhofar Fisheries & Food Indu Dhofar Cattlefeed Dhofar Beverages Co Construction Materials Ind Computer Stationery Inds Bankmuscat Saog Bank Nizwa Bank Dhofar Saog Arabia Falcon Insurance Co Aloula Co Al-Omaniya Financial Service Al-Hassan Engineering Co Al-Fajar Al-Alamia Co Al-Anwar Ceramic Tiles Co Al Suwadi Power Al Sharqiya Invest Holding Al Maha Petroleum Products M Al Maha Ceramics Co Saoc Al Madina Takaful Co Saoc Al Madina Investment Co Al Kamil Power Co Al Jazerah Services -Pfd Al Jazeera Steel Products Co Al Jazeera Services Al Izz Islamic Bank Al Buraimi Hotel Al Batinah Power Al Batinah Hotels Al Batinah Dev & Inv Al Anwar Holdings Saog Al Ahlia Insurance Co Saoc Ahli Bank Acwa Power Barka Saog Abrasives Manufacturing Co S A’saffa Foods Saog 0Man Oil Marketing Co-Pref #N/A Invalid Security #N/A Invalid Security Lt Price % Chg Volume 0.27 1.07 0.14 0.12 0.52 0.68 0.08 1.00 0.23 3.64 0.36 0.42 0.22 0.81 0.07 0.18 5.00 0.09 0.32 0.21 0.14 0.70 3.92 0.18 0.08 0.78 0.19 0.07 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.13 1.25 0.12 0.31 0.07 0.11 0.14 9.50 0.07 0.08 0.39 0.06 0.10 0.49 0.18 0.30 0.18 0.19 1.28 0.14 0.26 0.04 0.26 0.44 0.09 0.14 0.10 0.53 0.09 0.02 0.75 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.80 0.17 0.08 0.02 0.38 0.55 0.21 0.12 0.07 0.88 0.07 1.13 0.08 0.09 0.32 0.12 0.66 0.05 0.60 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 -4.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.50 0.00 0.45 1.09 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.04 -1.35 -3.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,933,500 13,000 76,189 398,623 23,300 1,028,245 325,000 48,000 2,535,006 717,751 50,000 281,312 415,509 30,000 26,810 491,569 10,500 20,224 609,829 25,000 1,000 949,000 11,962 20,000 2,000,000 - LATEST MARKET CLOSING FIGURES Yield mania is back as new bond sales revive in EMs Bloomberg London E merging-market sovereign borrowers are returning to international debt markets as stimulus from central banks cuts borrowing costs and as investors chase yields again. South Africa’s decision to sell Eurobonds for the first time since May last year follows Kazakhstan, Pakistan and Abu Dhabi announcing new issues. That has revived action in a market that saw a seven-week lull amid a resurgence in US Treasury yields and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s monetary path. The clouds seem to have lifted. The premium dollar-bond issuers are asked to pay over Treasuries has dropped as much as 28 basis points from an eight-month high three weeks ago as the Fed cut rates and the European Central Bank announced bond purchases to support the continent’s slowing economies. “We are in this kind of sweet spot in which spreads are still relatively high to make it attractive to investors but yields are relatively low for issuers,” said Jean-Charles Sambor, the deputy of head of emerging-market fixed income at BNP Paribas Asset Management in London. “We would not be surprised to see even more sovereigns and corporates attempting to issue in the foreseeable future.” South Africa plans a two-part deal comprising 10-year and 30-year notes in the 5.25% area and 6.125% area, respectively. Abu Dhabi is offering a three-part deal with the longest note maturing in 2049. Kazakhstan holds investor meetings for benchmark-sized notes maturing in 7 years and/or 15 years. Pakistan seeks bidders to advise on sale of Eurobonds and sukuk in the international capital markets. Investors put $900mn in emerging-market bond funds in the week through September 19 amid an ”yield mania,” according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch note. Buyers of dollar bonds are having a good year, pocketing an 11% return, a Bloomberg Barclays index tracking developingnation debt showed. The first half of September saw no borrowing by developing-nation governments apart from a $815mn long-bond tap by Jamaica. “It is just cheap to borrow now,” said Paul McNamara, a London-based fund manager who helps oversee $9.4bn in assets at GAM UK. “This is the result of an epic rally we have seen in emerging-market bonds after the decline in core rates.” Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 9 BUSINESS DJIA WORLD INDICES Company Name Apple Inc American Express Co Boeing Co/The Caterpillar Inc Cisco Systems Inc Chevron Corp Walt Disney Co/The Dow Inc Goldman Sachs Group Inc Home Depot Inc Intl Business Machines Corp Intel Corp Johnson & Johnson Jpmorgan Chase & Co Coca-Cola Co/The Mcdonald’s Corp 3M Co Merck & Co. Inc. Microsoft Corp Nike Inc -Cl B Pfizer Inc Procter & Gamble Co/The Travelers Cos Inc/The Unitedhealth Group Inc United Technologies Corp Visa Inc-Class A Shares Verizon Communications Inc Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc Walmart Inc Exxon Mobil Corp Lt Price 218.88 117.14 377.66 127.82 49.69 124.33 132.36 47.93 212.83 226.37 141.79 50.81 131.00 118.52 54.10 212.15 165.76 84.73 139.48 87.76 36.45 123.62 147.07 230.43 135.71 174.77 60.45 54.16 118.09 72.08 % Chg 0.53 0.29 -0.46 -0.27 0.18 0.01 0.07 -0.58 -0.43 0.76 -0.06 0.18 -0.49 -0.32 0.35 1.32 -0.60 -0.50 0.03 1.25 -0.65 1.13 0.54 -1.06 0.10 0.41 0.27 -1.53 0.95 0.00 2,319,825 156,643 173,540 231,934 1,402,893 253,991 426,456 288,464 109,856 264,872 128,547 1,927,905 354,064 576,566 526,336 215,786 103,890 538,320 1,813,563 430,283 1,014,858 376,420 46,782 220,852 133,255 353,592 454,717 341,600 372,829 705,576 FTSE 100 Company Name Anglo American Plc Associated British Foods Plc Admiral Group Plc Ashtead Group Plc Antofagasta Plc Auto Trader Group Plc Aviva Plc Astrazeneca Plc Bae Systems Plc Barclays Plc British American Tobacco Plc Barratt Developments Plc Bhp Group Plc Berkeley Group Holdings/The British Land Co Plc Bunzl Plc Bp Plc Burberry Group Plc Bt Group Plc Coca-Cola Hbc Ag-Di Carnival Plc Centrica Plc Compass Group Plc Croda International Plc Crh Plc Dcc Plc Diageo Plc Direct Line Insurance Group Evraz Plc Experian Plc Easyjet Plc Ferguson Plc Fresnillo Plc Glencore Plc Glaxosmithkline Plc Gvc Holdings Plc Hikma Pharmaceuticals Plc Hargreaves Lansdown Plc Halma Plc Hsbc Holdings Plc Hiscox Ltd Intl Consolidated Airline-Di Intercontinental Hotels Grou 3I Group Plc Imperial Brands Plc Informa Plc Intertek Group Plc Itv Plc Johnson Matthey Plc Kingfisher Plc Land Securities Group Plc Legal & General Group Plc Lloyds Banking Group Plc London Stock Exchange Group Micro Focus International Marks & Spencer Group Plc Mondi Plc Melrose Industries Plc Wm Morrison Supermarkets National Grid Plc Nmc Health Plc Next Plc Ocado Group Plc Paddy Power Betfair Plc Prudential Plc Persimmon Plc Pearson Plc Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc Royal Bank Of Scotland Group Royal Dutch Shell Plc-A Shs Royal Dutch Shell Plc-B Shs Relx Plc Rio Tinto Plc Rightmove Plc Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc Rsa Insurance Group Plc Rentokil Initial Plc Sainsbury (J) Plc Schroders Plc Sage Group Plc/The Segro Plc Smurfit Kappa Group Plc Standard Life Aberdeen Plc Ds Smith Plc Smiths Group Plc Scottish Mortgage Inv Tr Plc Smith & Nephew Plc Spirax-Sarco Engineering Plc Sse Plc Standard Chartered Plc St James’s Place Plc Severn Trent Plc Tesco Plc Tui Ag-Di Taylor Wimpey Plc Unilever Plc United Utilities Group Plc Vodafone Group Plc John Wood Group Plc Wpp Plc Whitbread Plc Lt Price 1,870.80 2,314.00 2,135.00 2,240.00 884.20 517.80 388.10 7,170.00 576.00 149.26 2,884.00 646.60 1,761.20 4,154.00 564.60 2,072.00 518.90 2,184.00 176.28 2,600.00 3,618.00 71.76 2,030.00 4,844.00 2,710.00 7,004.00 3,247.50 302.90 487.00 2,548.00 1,106.50 5,936.00 742.40 249.05 1,685.80 727.80 2,090.00 2,028.00 1,951.00 612.90 1,625.00 471.30 4,990.00 1,117.00 2,094.00 828.20 5,400.00 126.30 3,029.00 201.10 840.00 250.60 54.30 7,306.00 1,119.80 189.50 1,558.00 203.10 202.10 860.30 2,702.00 5,902.00 1,312.00 0.00 1,442.50 2,115.00 853.20 6,293.00 208.90 2,353.50 2,357.50 1,879.50 4,245.00 535.80 775.00 524.40 452.90 216.50 3,042.00 673.40 790.60 2,400.00 274.50 341.90 1,559.00 511.50 1,922.50 8,005.00 1,221.50 685.00 962.40 2,079.00 240.40 901.40 163.10 4,867.50 789.20 159.96 419.00 995.20 4,424.00 % Chg -1.35 -0.17 -0.56 -1.54 -2.56 -0.50 -0.33 0.04 0.77 -1.50 -1.15 0.09 -1.54 -0.55 -0.07 -0.43 -0.40 -0.86 -1.39 -1.22 -1.92 -2.18 1.30 -0.53 -0.66 0.43 0.79 0.66 -0.81 0.39 4.63 -0.07 3.48 -2.92 0.85 0.05 0.97 -0.10 -1.09 -0.44 -1.10 -1.36 -0.02 0.63 -2.08 -1.52 -0.74 -1.56 -2.29 -0.45 -0.80 -0.87 -2.18 0.77 -4.36 -3.24 -1.52 -1.17 -0.88 1.03 -7.15 -1.44 0.46 0.00 -1.60 -0.24 0.16 0.51 -2.15 0.43 0.99 1.18 0.28 -0.69 -2.25 -2.71 0.13 0.28 -2.72 -1.72 0.74 -2.36 -0.33 -0.93 -4.82 -0.39 0.23 0.00 -1.17 -0.46 -0.82 0.53 -0.46 7.23 -1.48 1.51 -0.35 0.28 -2.87 -1.27 -1.47 Volume 3,935,692 483,776 469,163 728,915 1,771,102 1,896,527 5,982,388 1,183,491 3,748,082 20,682,647 2,190,995 2,442,532 4,317,065 288,853 3,867,681 334,687 18,832,467 979,340 17,926,128 403,804 596,715 17,868,972 1,933,723 263,202 1,438,797 149,917 3,284,997 3,694,704 2,017,276 1,301,898 3,029,436 437,841 2,254,319 26,059,049 5,701,874 1,754,806 544,697 463,778 616,010 15,557,238 470,002 7,503,923 232,092 1,062,086 1,418,376 1,381,537 188,033 8,276,557 435,390 6,458,008 1,902,115 11,121,492 101,690,760 336,567 2,471,229 10,901,323 2,013,619 10,002,055 7,491,213 3,731,175 512,281 312,583 1,010,288 2,697,286 1,155,992 1,682,185 453,339 12,047,339 4,173,913 4,074,971 2,909,346 2,135,856 1,185,438 2,120,640 2,378,906 2,348,158 4,865,267 465,678 1,444,494 1,539,629 182,788 6,430,334 3,527,428 1,151,576 1,861,846 1,231,994 123,441 3,528,190 5,124,305 1,472,522 683,783 12,040,284 4,223,559 9,088,001 1,639,891 1,714,556 30,767,995 2,478,000 1,946,840 241,483 TOKYO Company Name Japan Airlines Co Ltd Recruit Holdings Co Ltd Softbank Corp Kyocera Corp Nissan Motor Co Ltd T&D Holdings Inc Toyota Motor Corp Kddi Corp Nitto Denko Corp Hitachi Ltd Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Jfe Holdings Inc Sumitomo Corp Canon Inc Eisai Co Ltd Nintendo Co Ltd Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd Mitsubishi Corp Smc Corp Lt Price 3,379.00 3,372.00 1,549.00 6,804.00 709.30 1,147.00 7,403.00 2,863.50 5,345.00 3,985.00 3,798.00 1,299.50 1,781.50 2,934.50 5,426.00 42,830.00 11,825.00 2,760.00 44,630.00 % Chg -0.82 -1.46 1.24 0.28 -0.62 -0.48 0.53 -0.12 -0.35 -1.97 1.09 -1.44 1.48 0.20 0.26 0.87 0.04 -0.83 -1.87 Indices Volume Volume 3,255,700 11,742,500 21,892,200 1,624,600 13,879,500 3,375,500 7,687,000 7,420,300 1,358,000 5,068,000 7,566,900 4,923,300 4,935,000 4,449,900 1,397,500 1,504,500 1,472,400 10,435,200 449,600 Dow Jones Indus. Avg S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index S&P/Tsx Composite Index Mexico Bolsa Index Brazil Bovespa Stock Idx Ftse 100 Index Cac 40 Index Dax Index Ibex 35 Tr Nikkei 225 Japan Topix Hang Seng Index All Ordinaries Indx Nzx All Index Bse Sensex 30 Index Nse S&P Cnx Nifty Index Straits Times Index Karachi All Share Index Jakarta Composite Index Lt Price 26,947.47 2,993.80 8,118.65 16,880.14 43,376.73 104,568.90 7,326.08 5,630.76 12,342.33 9,093.60 22,079.09 1,616.23 26,222.40 6,861.06 1,827.31 39,090.03 11,600.20 3,143.24 23,145.92 6,206.20 Change +12.40 +1.73 +0.98 -19.55 -182.72 -248.50 -18.84 -60.02 -125.68 -85.40 +34.64 +0.57 -213.27 +22.10 +5.96 +1,075.41 +326.00 -16.44 -237.99 -25.27 TOKYO Company Name Nidec Corp Isuzu Motors Ltd Unicharm Corp Nomura Holdings Inc Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd Subaru Corp Sumitomo Realty & Developmen Ntt Docomo Inc Sumitomo Metal Mining Co Ltd Orix Corp Asahi Group Holdings Ltd Keyence Corp Mizuho Financial Group Inc Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdin Japan Tobacco Inc Sumitomo Electric Industries Daiwa Securities Group Inc Softbank Group Corp Panasonic Corp Fujitsu Ltd Central Japan Railway Co Nitori Holdings Co Ltd Ajinomoto Co Inc Daikin Industries Ltd Mitsui Fudosan Co Ltd Ono Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Toray Industries Inc Bridgestone Corp Sony Corp Astellas Pharma Inc Hoya Corp Nippon Steel Corp Suzuki Motor Corp Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Jxtg Holdings Inc Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd Kansai Electric Power Co Inc Denso Corp Sompo Holdings Inc Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd Dai-Ichi Life Holdings Inc Mazda Motor Corp Komatsu Ltd West Japan Railway Co Kao Corp Mitsui & Co Ltd Daito Trust Construct Co Ltd Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd Oriental Land Co Ltd Sekisui House Ltd Secom Co Ltd Tokio Marine Holdings Inc Aeon Co Ltd Asahi Kasei Corp Kirin Holdings Co Ltd Marubeni Corp Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Gro Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings Fanuc Corp Fast Retailing Co Ltd Ms&Ad Insurance Group Holdin Kubota Corp Seven & I Holdings Co Ltd Inpex Corp Resona Holdings Inc Fujifilm Holdings Corp Yamato Holdings Co Ltd Chubu Electric Power Co Inc Mitsubishi Estate Co Ltd Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Sysmex Corp Shiseido Co Ltd Shionogi & Co Ltd Terumo Corp Tokyo Gas Co Ltd Tokyo Electron Ltd East Japan Railway Co Itochu Corp Ana Holdings Inc Mitsubishi Electric Corp Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Gr Lt Price 15,180.00 1,229.50 3,329.00 478.10 7,152.00 3,035.00 4,148.00 2,794.00 3,444.00 1,735.50 5,306.00 66,310.00 170.10 3,986.00 2,320.50 1,401.50 508.20 4,624.00 894.70 8,762.00 22,285.00 16,075.00 2,052.00 14,380.00 2,715.50 1,991.50 820.60 4,308.00 6,411.00 1,530.00 8,800.00 1,505.00 4,465.00 5,209.00 501.10 5,082.00 1,373.50 4,828.00 4,573.00 3,578.00 1,617.00 976.50 2,515.50 9,415.00 7,995.00 1,855.50 14,430.00 4,732.00 15,930.00 2,102.50 9,813.00 5,900.00 1,993.00 1,110.00 2,250.50 754.00 566.80 811.20 20,005.00 65,740.00 3,535.00 1,691.50 4,142.00 1,060.00 480.80 4,836.00 1,740.00 1,660.50 2,113.50 4,395.00 7,295.00 8,737.00 5,821.00 3,393.00 2,800.00 20,770.00 10,470.00 2,359.50 3,745.00 1,448.00 3,801.00 % Chg -0.98 -1.36 -0.54 0.72 0.36 -0.91 0.19 0.18 0.58 0.14 -0.45 -0.87 0.95 -0.75 0.98 0.29 -0.06 0.17 0.24 -0.67 -0.96 0.88 0.59 -0.66 -0.91 -3.07 -2.04 0.07 0.56 0.53 -0.56 -1.28 3.72 -1.18 0.40 0.71 -1.12 -0.54 -1.42 -0.11 -0.68 -0.49 1.35 -0.25 0.73 0.92 -0.17 -0.32 0.66 0.69 0.53 0.02 -0.03 0.68 -1.34 0.11 0.30 0.26 -2.15 0.80 -1.81 -0.50 -0.86 -0.52 0.80 0.77 -8.37 0.21 1.32 0.18 -0.50 0.17 -0.50 2.35 -0.97 -0.05 -0.76 2.50 0.38 -0.99 0.40 Volume 1,144,800 2,677,200 1,282,100 19,995,900 1,909,000 3,288,300 1,463,600 6,251,000 1,723,100 5,618,100 1,508,300 429,100 111,436,900 2,872,400 6,120,600 3,095,900 8,297,300 16,525,300 7,661,200 1,276,400 660,800 297,800 2,519,300 995,900 5,832,200 3,160,500 6,720,900 2,505,100 5,285,500 8,797,700 2,121,800 4,414,700 4,143,000 4,990,700 21,396,400 3,234,300 3,524,800 1,502,400 2,918,600 1,994,200 5,012,200 5,789,700 5,155,000 801,100 1,618,900 6,744,600 444,500 1,448,900 950,200 4,952,700 854,500 2,820,700 2,165,100 3,753,200 3,819,700 9,219,000 41,470,800 6,996,900 1,464,900 430,600 2,715,600 3,819,200 3,319,200 5,168,300 11,394,400 2,002,800 12,928,600 2,377,400 6,724,600 1,578,000 610,800 1,409,600 1,005,700 2,194,700 2,075,800 1,246,100 1,326,700 10,354,500 1,139,600 5,747,900 5,790,800 SENSEX Company Name Adani Ports And Special Econ Asian Paints Ltd Axis Bank Ltd Bajaj Finance Ltd Bharti Airtel Ltd Bharti Infratel Ltd Bajaj Auto Ltd Bajaj Finserv Ltd Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd Cipla Ltd Coal India Ltd Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Eicher Motors Ltd Gail India Ltd Grasim Industries Ltd Hcl Technologies Ltd Housing Development Finance Hdfc Bank Limited Hero Motocorp Ltd Hindalco Industries Ltd Hindustan Petroleum Corp Hindustan Unilever Ltd Icici Bank Ltd Indiabulls Housing Finance L Indusind Bank Ltd Infosys Ltd Indian Oil Corp Ltd Itc Ltd Jsw Steel Ltd Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd Larsen & Toubro Ltd Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd Maruti Suzuki India Ltd Ntpc Ltd Oil & Natural Gas Corp Ltd Power Grid Corp Of India Ltd Reliance Industries Ltd State Bank Of India Sun Pharmaceutical Indus Tata Steel Ltd Tata Consultancy Svcs Ltd Tech Mahindra Ltd Titan Co Ltd Tata Motors Ltd Upl Ltd Ultratech Cement Ltd Vedanta Ltd Wipro Ltd Yes Bank Ltd Zee Entertainment Enterprise Lt Price 410.95 1,802.75 725.50 4,023.75 348.00 263.80 2,995.15 8,297.75 450.85 448.90 202.70 2,767.25 19,239.35 141.30 759.30 1,032.90 2,162.00 1,257.25 2,820.35 200.00 288.45 2,039.75 446.30 437.70 1,511.55 764.35 142.65 254.85 243.70 1,640.60 1,528.50 565.00 6,897.85 116.05 136.30 188.30 1,239.20 313.75 409.45 377.35 2,015.80 682.80 1,311.80 127.90 580.85 4,391.10 157.90 239.35 55.45 271.60 % Chg 7.95 7.88 6.64 8.69 -2.36 1.79 2.25 7.85 11.64 -3.11 1.32 -2.49 7.72 4.90 1.11 -1.54 5.50 4.81 -1.49 -1.06 4.04 3.55 6.90 2.17 6.48 -5.05 7.62 7.06 2.35 6.61 8.29 -0.69 4.64 -3.17 2.02 -4.03 -1.21 3.99 -1.03 2.39 -2.40 -2.58 3.82 -4.02 3.34 2.84 -0.66 -2.68 -0.09 -9.89 Volume 6,695,717 4,253,004 31,417,887 4,011,002 5,746,894 4,244,471 807,027 806,321 31,006,317 2,819,792 9,396,444 929,038 330,720 19,474,860 3,077,990 2,366,746 9,653,408 20,960,205 1,380,382 7,366,155 8,908,295 3,783,357 57,490,445 12,681,025 8,634,884 17,279,260 22,725,150 52,040,316 13,040,988 6,854,029 12,082,820 9,599,883 3,140,286 33,355,557 17,685,955 13,829,833 9,879,751 54,178,171 7,342,291 16,393,164 6,323,401 2,256,769 5,902,008 51,032,391 3,697,264 975,156 14,441,035 6,776,981 221,169,297 29,747,305 The German share price index DAX graph is seen at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The DAX 30 lost 1% to 12,300 points yesterday. Europe markets slide on dismal economic data AFP London E uropean stock markets fell yesterday after a key survey pointed to weakness in the eurozone economy while some travel and tourism stocks benefited from the collapse of British giant Thomas Cook. London’s FTSE 100 was down 0.3% to 7,326.08 points, Frankfurt’s DAX 30 lost 1% to 12,300 and Paris’s CAC 40 dived 1.1% at 5,630.76 close yesterday after data from a closely watched survey showed that Brexit and trade war fears drove eurozone business growth to its lowest level in six years in September. IHS Markit’s composite eurozone PMI, seen as a key indicator of business confidence, fell to 50.4 in September, down from 51.9 in August – the lowest reading since June 2013. It warned that the single currency area’s economy was “close to stalling”. Market analyst David Madden at CMC Markets UK said “disappointing manufacturing and services reports from France, in addition to Germany, has weighed on European stock markets.” Investors now need to weigh “German recession odds against central bank support”, added Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com. The euro also slid lower. Some rivals of British travel giant Thomas Cook, which declared bankruptcy after last-ditch re-financing attempts failed, saw their shares rise sharply. TUI shares, listed in London, shot six percent higher. Ryanair gained 1.4% and easyJet 4.5%, but British Airways parent IAG shed 1.3%. In Hong Kong, China’s Fosun International lost 1.5% after the collapse of Thomas Cook, in which it is the top shareholder. The price of oil rose after Iran warned the presence of US forces in the Gulf was causing instability in the region. Meanwhile the pound sank against the dollar at the start of a crucial week for Britain with the Supreme Court to decide whether Prime Minister Boris Johnson acted legally in suspending parliament for an extended period as he pushes for Brexit on October 31. Stock markets were also buffeted after President Donald Trump ruled out a partial trade deal with China, casting fresh doubt on any early agreement. “Investors remain unconvinced that a trade deal is about to see the light of day soon, and that’s likely to put a cap on any further gains in risk assets,” said Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at FXTM. “I’m not looking for a partial deal. I’m looking for a complete deal,” Trump told reporters at the White House. He added that he did not see the need for an agreement before the 2020 presidential election. The remarks tempered recent optimism on the talks and the possibility of a quick piecemeal deal, though they came as China hailed progress in preparatory discussions ahead of a planned high-level meeting next month. HONG KONG Company Name Ck Hutchison Holdings Ltd Hang Lung Properties Ltd Ck Infrastructure Holdings L Hengan Intl Group Co Ltd China Shenhua Energy Co-H Cspc Pharmaceutical Group Lt Hang Seng Bank Ltd China Resources Land Ltd Ck Asset Holdings Ltd Sino Biopharmaceutical Henderson Land Development Aia Group Ltd Ind & Comm Bk Of China-H Want Want China Holdings Ltd Sun Hung Kai Properties New World Development Geely Automobile Holdings Lt Swire Pacific Ltd - Cl A Sands China Ltd Wharf Real Estate Investment Clp Holdings Ltd Country Garden Holdings Co Aac Technologies Holdings In Shenzhou International Group Ping An Insurance Group Co-H China Mengniu Dairy Co Sunny Optical Tech Boc Hong Kong Holdings Ltd China Life Insurance Co-H Citic Ltd Galaxy Entertainment Group L Wh Group Ltd “The hot and then cold and then hot and cold again US-China trade vibes continue to rattle markets,” said Rodrigo Catril at National Australia Bank. US stocks were largely flat in late morning trading. Sterling was steady yesterday as investors looked for signs of progress in Britain’s Brexit talks and awaited a Supreme Court ruling on whether Prime Minister Boris Johnson misled Queen Elizabeth over his reasons for suspending parliament this month. Johnson meets European Union leaders at the UN General Assembly in New York. Expectations for progress were low, and the substantial volume of short positions built up on Sterling may shield the currency from any sharp declines, analysts said. “We are sceptical of much in the way of progress being made, and on top of that there is also the risk of PM Johnson having to cut his trip short to return to London if the Supreme Court decision goes against the government,” MUFG analysts said in a note to clients. Johnson suspended parliament for five weeks, until October 14, a move critics saw as an attempt to stop MPs from preventing Britain leaving the EU on October 31. Scotland’s highest court of appeal ruled the suspension unlawful, but Johnson appealed. By 1445 GMT, the pound was down 0.3% at $1.2430, having dropped earlier to a six-day low of $1.2413, mostly because of dollar strength after a solid composite purchasing managers’ survey. The dollar index was up 0.2% at 98.68 after rising earlier to a weekand-a-half high of 98.832. HONG KONG Lt Price 69.35 17.70 52.80 52.15 16.22 14.98 170.80 32.70 54.10 10.36 37.50 74.90 5.26 6.17 113.60 10.02 12.90 72.90 36.70 42.25 81.45 9.98 43.10 103.00 91.15 29.50 114.00 26.80 18.62 9.99 50.05 7.04 % Chg -0.64 0.00 -0.47 0.19 -0.12 -2.60 -0.64 -1.80 -0.64 -3.00 -1.70 -0.73 -0.38 0.82 -0.79 -0.60 -0.92 -1.69 -1.21 -1.86 -0.55 -1.58 -5.90 -0.96 -1.03 -1.50 -4.76 -0.37 -1.17 -0.30 -1.86 -0.98 Volume 2,911,529 1,753,653 598,257 1,444,638 13,187,690 26,068,800 759,273 5,991,617 4,820,059 60,467,675 4,538,101 20,117,221 120,783,517 6,894,875 2,704,397 17,153,919 38,763,584 1,592,705 3,573,895 2,286,642 2,893,299 17,390,119 14,623,225 3,589,615 21,452,405 13,355,162 12,065,809 16,230,293 20,789,281 6,287,182 6,456,445 23,674,395 Company Name Hong Kong & China Gas Bank Of Communications Co-H China Petroleum & Chemical-H Hong Kong Exchanges & Clear Bank Of China Ltd-H Hsbc Holdings Plc Power Assets Holdings Ltd Mtr Corp China Overseas Land & Invest Tencent Holdings Ltd China Unicom Hong Kong Ltd Link Reit Sino Land Co China Resources Power Holdin Petrochina Co Ltd-H Cnooc Ltd China Construction Bank-H China Mobile Ltd Lt Price 15.46 5.18 4.74 225.80 3.11 59.50 52.60 45.50 24.90 335.80 8.27 87.15 11.66 10.64 4.13 12.42 5.96 64.60 % Chg -1.02 -0.77 -0.84 -1.91 0.00 -0.83 -0.66 -0.98 -1.19 -0.53 0.12 -0.68 0.87 -0.93 -0.72 -1.27 -0.17 0.00 Volume 11,875,760 23,877,871 70,329,517 9,032,814 161,489,534 14,643,542 1,145,881 3,331,507 7,931,082 8,307,566 24,856,683 3,072,085 3,752,807 6,121,226 57,260,465 37,971,145 337,917,798 11,909,678 GCC INDICES Indices Lt Price Change Doha Securities Market 10,362.85 -84.42 Kuwait Stocks Exchange 4,703.88 +18.53 Oman Stock Market 4,006.70 +41.15 “Information contained herein is believed to be reliable and had been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This publication is for providing information only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation for a purchase or sale of any of the financial instruments mentioned. Gulf Times and Doha Bank or any of their employees shall not be held accountable and will not accept any losses or liabilities for actions based on this data.” 14 Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 BUSINESS Negative rates just got real for a record group of bank clients Bloomberg Copenhagen Apple’s new offices on Half Moon Street in southern Ireland. Apple may only need to wait until today to get early clues about its chances of success in the biggest European Union tax case in recent history. Apple’s odds in biggest European Union tax case may sway in court test Bloomberg Luxembourg A pple Inc may only need to wait until today to get early clues about its chances of success in the biggest tax case in recent history. The iPhone maker has been arguing its case at the European Union’s General Court to topple a record €13bn ($14.3bn) EU tax order. This week the same panel of judges will deliver a ruling on two smaller but related challenges by Starbucks Corp and a Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV unit. They’re the first in a series of cases to come to a decision as companies rail against EU Competition chief Margrethe Vestager’s five-year crackdown on allegedly unfair tax deals. While the facts of the various appeals differ, today’s decisions “should have a far-reaching impact, both on the other pending cases and going forward,” said Howard Liebman, a tax partner at law firm Jones Day in Brussels, who isn’t involved in the disputes. The judges’ stance will “presumably establish some precedent as to how far the court is willing to allow the commission to extend its approach of judging tax regimes – and individual tax rulings – in the context of a state-aids analysis,” he said. Appeals have been piling up at the EU courts since state-aid investigators started work in 2013 to unearth what they deem to be the most problematic examples of otherwise legal individual tax agreements doled out to companies by countries. The judges’ verdicts could empower or halt Vestager’s probes, which are now centring on fiscal deals done by Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet. Starbucks and Fiat were targeted on the same day in 2015 by a similar EU order to pay back about €30mn each over their tax arrangements in the Netherlands and Luxembourg respectively. The commission accused Luxembourg and the Netherlands of granting socalled tax rulings to the companies that backed “artificial and complex methods” to calculate their taxable profits that didn’t reflect “economic reality.” The EU said at the time the companies did this by setting prices for products and services sold between units – called transfer prices – that didn’t reflect market conditions. “As a result, most of the profits of Starbucks’ coffee roasting company are shifted abroad, where they are also not taxed, and Fiat’s financing company only paid taxes on underestimated profits,” said in a 2015 statement. Luxembourg has since also been or- Green steel needs a huge new source of electricity in Europe Bloomberg Vienna Austria may need to boost its renewable power generation by 50% to meet demand from steelmakers seeking to replace fossil fuels with hydrogen. The finding emerged at a discussion last week convened by the country’s biggest utility, which is probing the enormous consequences for electricity and carbon markets of efforts to rein in global warming. Verbund AG estimates that producing hydrogen in the volumes needed to help cut industrial emissions could take an additional 30 terrawatt-hours of renewable electricity annually – equivalent to some 20 times the output of the world’s biggest offshore wind farm. “We have the resources and technology,” Verbund AG chief executive officer Wolfgang Anzengruber said at a briefing in Fuschl, Austria. “Now, we have to come to a point where it’s cheaper to cut carbon dioxide than it is to pay a penalty for its emission. The cost of not doing so will become significantly higher.” Verbund is spearheading Austria’s drive to turn the universe’s lightest element into fuel for its heaviest industry. Clean-burning hydrogen could replace coal and coke in mills that currently release about 1.7 tonnes of carbon dioxide for every ton of steel manufactured. The sector accounts for as much as 9% of global carbon emissions, according to the World Steel Association. “What we need are power-to-fuel plants that are above all electrolysis plants,” said Katharina Beumelburg, a senior vice president at Siemens AG’s gas and power division, who was at the meeting. “The most important input is cheap, green electricity.” Siemens and Verbund are jointly developing Europe’s biggest electrolyser at Voestalpine AG’s steel plant in Linz, Austria. By the end of this year, that 6-megawatt unit is scheduled to begin feeding hydrogen into blast furnaces as a reduction agent to remove oxygen from iron ore. The steel industry could adopt hydrogen for between 10% and 50% of output by mid-century given the right carbon pricing, Bloomberg analysts wrote in a report last month. The London-based researcher sees hydrogen technology becoming competitive with high-cost, coal-based plants by 2030. “Hydrogen will continue to be a growth market,” said Timur Gul, who heads energy technology policy for the International Energy Agency and also attended the Austrian meeting. The element is already widely used by chemical and fertiliser makers and is poised to “break out” in other sectors, he said. Austrian politicians agreed on €540mn ($597mn) renewable energy package on Friday that will build out wind and solar generation, according to a statement. The country is also looking at converting excess renewable capacity into hydrogen. The underground reservoir Austria has identified could hold gas equivalent to 92 terrawatt-hours of power. Verbund’s Anzengruber said his utility probably wouldn’t need to cover all of the new electricity demands required for producing hydrogen on industrial scales. “It could be that we import hydrogen like we do with oil right now,” the CEO said. “It could be cheaper to produce elsewhere.” dered to recoup €250mn from Amazon. com and €120mn in back taxes from energy utility Engie SA, France’s former natural-gas monopoly, previously known as GDF Suez. In the Apple case, the EU said Ireland illegally slashed the iPhone maker’s tax bill between 2003-2014, a finding the company and Irish officials don’t accept. The EU alleged that “Apple paid essentially no tax on earnings in Europe” and “sought headlines by quoting tiny numbers, but this public campaign ignores the taxes Apple pays all across the world,” Apple attorney Daniel Beard said at last week’s hearing. The Dutch finance ministry said it had nothing to add to previous statements criticising the EU’s approach. Fiat Chrysler, Starbucks, Apple and the commission declined to comment, as did the Luxembourg and Irish finance ministries. EU nations ordered to claw back the allegedly illegal tax aid have accused the commission of overreaching itself by using state aid law to attack individual fiscal arrangements that dated back many years. A key question for the commission in the cases is whether its argument that these tax rulings were selective and unfair stands up in court. “The commission did not identify a single instance where a taxpayer was treated less favourably than Apple,” Paul Gallagher, a lawyer for Ireland, told the judges in the court hearings last week. Luxembourg, which has so far faced the brunt of the EU’s decisions, has attacked the “arbitrary nature” of the commission’s approach which creates “complete legal uncertainty,” their lawyer Denis Waelbroeck said in a court hearing about Fiat’s case last year. Ireland and Luxembourg have supported each other in their respective appeals. The nation was among the first EU countries to be singled out in 2014 over its tax practices, when a group of investigative reporters published thousands of pages from secret arrangements between the tiny nation and companies including Walt Disney Co, Microsoft Corp’s Skype and PepsiCo. The so-called LuxLeaks publications have been used by EU regulators in their deliberations and EU officials further expanded their probes by seeking new information to find more “outliers” among these tax deals. Still, in a first in the EU’s continued crackdown on “outliers” among these otherwise legal tax rulings, the commission last year closed its probe into the fiscal deal between McDonald’s Corp and Luxembourg, finding there was no violation of state aid laws. In the country with the longest history of negative interest rates, a commercial bank just decided to share the cost of the monetary policy with the largest group of retail clients yet. Jyske Bank, which recently made headlines by offering the first 10-year mortgage at negative coupons, said it had no choice but to drag more retail depositors into its negative-rate plight after Denmark’s central bank cut its policy rate to minus 0.75%. Analysts were quick to point out that the development will help central bank policy feed through to the broader economy. “Due to the rate reduction last week, we are losing even more money,” Jyske chief executive officer Anders Dam said in a statement. “And we need to share that bill with some of our clients.” Denmark’s second-largest listed lender said on Friday it will impose a rate of minus 0.75% on all private clients with 750,000 kroner ($111,000) or more. Jyske had already planned to pass on the cost of negative rates to some of its richest retail depositors, but had so far limited the client group it exposed to the policy to people with at least 7.5mn kroner. Shares in Jyske closed more than 5% higher marking their best performance since December 2017, as investors calculated the impact that the new policy will have on the bank’s net interest income. Jyske has “set the ball rolling,” said Per Hansen, an investment economist at broker Nordnet. The bank is “taking one for the team and the industry, but also for itself.” “Everyone’s been talking” about taking such a step, Hansen said. “But no one has dared to take the cost of being a pioneer.” Spar Nord Bank plans to update the market on its policy “by the end of next week,” according to spokesman Leif Lind Simonsen. The bank’s “considerations regarding negative interest rates are of course affected by the fact that several of our competitors have taken the initiative” with private deposits, he said. A Danske Bank spokesman said, “We cannot comment on competitors’ prices and have nothing new to add on the matter.” The bank has previously promised to protect retail depositors from negative rates. Nordea Bank spokeswoman Tenna Schoer said the Danish unit is “monitoring the situation closely.” The bank’s CEO Frank Vang-Jensen has previously said Nordea can’t rule out imposing negative rates on retail depositors. Sydbank, which has already said it will impose negative rates on retail depositors with over 7.5mn kroner, is monitoring the situation. “We have taken note of developments in the market and have seen that interest rates have fallen further,” said Jan Svarre, deputy CEO at the bank. “We’ll investigate our options and where the limit should be, and then we will return and notify our customers directly.” Rasmus Gudum, a senior economist at Handelsbanken in Copenhagen, said the decision to pass negative rates on to more retail clients “will enhance the transmission mechanism” of monetary policy. “But it’s going to be very interesting to see what the de fact effect on the economy will be. I think we’ll see some kind of effect on consumption and investment.” David Powell, a Bloomberg economist, also weighed in: “When we look at the euro as a whole, we know that in the aggregate, interest rates have not gone negative for either corporate clients or individual clients. And that is the point of negative rates policy – that it gets passed on to the real economy in order to encourage businesses and consumers to go out and spend money and save less.” Denmark’s biggest lender, Danske, is unlikely to have the freedom to follow Jyske, according to Hansen at Nordnet. He says that imposing such a policy is politically difficult for Danske, given its recent history of financial scandals. The bank is being investigated for a $220bn money-laundering affair, and has been reported to the police for a separate case in which it overcharged retail investors. Dam at Jyske has said he expects Denmark to have negative rates for another eight years, after already enduring the policy for roughly seven. Denmark, which uses monetary policy to defend the krone’s peg to the euro, was the first country to push its benchmark rate below zero back in mid-2012. A number of European banks have already opted to drag some retail clients into the fray, but have limited negative rates to only the very wealthiest of customers. Credit Suisse Group AG plans to impose charges for Swiss franc deposits after imposing a 0.4% fee on euro accounts of more than €1mn ($1.1mn), according to a person with knowledge of the matter. Swiss rival UBS Group AG has already said it will introduce negative rates for clients holding more than 2mn francs ($2mn). Dam, the Jyske CEO, said there’s no guarantee that negative retail rates won’t become more entrenched. UK firms stampede into bond market Bloomberg London U K companies are rushing into Europe’s bond market, taking advantage of what may be a last chance to lock in low-cost financing before renewed Brexit upheavals. Last week was the busiest for sales in five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, and Metro Bank Plc joined the rush yesterday. Royal Mail Plc, WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc and Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets are also readying potential deals, following sales last week by borrowers including Barclays Plc, GlaxoSmithKline Plc and broadcaster ITV Plc. UK issuers may have a potentially short window to get deals done, as earnings blackouts and the countdown to the country’s October 31 departure from the European Union may hinder deals next month, particularly if a no-deal Brexit seems likely. In the meantime, optimism that the country will reach an agreement or delay its departure is boosting the pound and helping to hold borrowing costs near record lows in both euros and sterling. “The whole Brexit situation remains in a state of flux,” said Andrey Kuznetsov, senior credit portfolio manager at Hermes Fund Managers Ltd “In this type of situation, it is normal for issuers to tap the market in periods of calm and improved sentiment.” Gains for the pound this month will also likely boost investor de- mand for sterling assets especially amid Europe’s low yields, he said. UK companies sold €7.6bn ($8.3bn) of bonds in euros and sterling last week, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Barclays demonstrated the recent pricing advantage for issuers, as the bank sold a £1bn ($1.2bn) AT1 at 6.375% last week after more than £7.5bn of orders. That compares with 7.125% for a comparable note in June. Sterling borrowing costs are about 2.1%, compared with above 3% at the start of the year, according to Bloomberg Barclays index data. Euro investment-grade yields are below 0.5%, the data show. Metro Bank is offering sterling senior non-preferred bonds. Royal Mail, the nation’s postal service, will start a roadshow on Wednesday ahead of a bond sale in either pounds or euros. “We are taking the opportunity to access finance at the current low rates,” a spokesperson for the London-based company said in an emailed reply to Bloomberg News questions. Yields in both euros and sterling have crept up this month, after fairly consistent declines this year, adding extra urgency for any borrower considering a sale. Europe’s traditionally busy September sales surpassed €100bn at a record pace this year. Brexit risks also remain for borrowers and issuers. Uncertainty about the country’s future ties to the EU contributed to the collapse of tour operator Thomas Cook Group Plc. UK non-financial companies have also only sold about $60bn pounds of bonds worldwide this year, the lowest tally since 2016, according to Bloomberg data. Domestic sterling sales are the lowest since 2015, the data show. Domestic-focused companies have taken advantage of pauses in Brexit upheavals to get deals done this year. Retailers Next Plc, Tesco Plc and Co-Operative Group Ltd all sold pound bonds in a three-week spell ending in May. Marks & Spencer Group Plc followed in early July. Morrison, the country’s fourthlargest supermarket chain, plans to offer a sterling-denominated benchmark twelve-year bond following meetings in London yesterday. The company didn’t reply to an e-mailed request for comment on the bond sale. Across Europe, “it makes sense for companies to take advantage of the current window to issue bonds, said Ryan Staszewski, senior portfolio manager, investment grade credit at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. Gulf Times Tuesday, September 24, 2019 15 BUSINESS Deutsche Bank shifts its prime brokerage to BNP Paribas Bloomberg Frankfurt D eutsche Bank AG finalised a deal transferring its business with hedge fund clients to BNP Paribas as part of the German lender’s historic retreat from investment banking. About 1,000 Deutsche Bank employees will move to the French rival through 2021, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Ashley Wilson, one of two executives at the German bank overseeing the disposal of unwanted assets, will head the business during this period and may eventually leave to run the combined unit at BNP, the people said, asking not to be identified as the matter is private. The volume of assets BNP will ultimately add remains uncertain because Deutsche Bank’s client balances slumped by about half to $80bn since it announced its intention to transfer the business. The lenders expect clients to come back now that there’s more certainty, the people said. But analysts at Citigroup Inc led by Andrew Coombs questioned whether there will be anything left to transfer by the time the deal is closed. The two firms had agreed on the move in principle in early July, as Deutsche Bank chief executive officer Christian Sewing retreats from equities trading – which houses the prime business – in the bank’s biggest restructuring in decades. But finalising the accord has been complicated by the client defections. For Sewing’s counterpart at BNP, JeanLaurent Bonnafe, the deal could bring the scale needed to compete with the bigger players. Shares of both lenders fell yesterday along with the broader market. Deutsche Bank declined 3.5% in Frankfurt, curbing gains this year to 1.3%. BNP lost 2.8% in Paris and is up 11% in 2019. The agreement, which is subject to regulatory approval, could vault BNP into the global top 4 of prime brokerages over the next 12 months, reaching $250bn to $300bn in client balances eventually, according to the people. The Deutsche Bank headquarters in Frankfurt. The German bank finalised a deal transferring its business with hedge fund clients to BNP Paribas as part of the lender’s historic retreat from investment banking. Deutsche Bank will continue to manage the platform until clients can be passed over, the two banks said yesterday. “Now that the deal has signed, we believe we have the basis to regain and expand on the business,” Deutsche Bank chief operating officer Frank Kuhnke said in a telephone interview. The deal “provides tangible real benefits for our customers and gives our staff a way forward.” The agreement comes just a few days after Deutsche Bank sold its first portfolio of equity derivatives, another key step to exit equities trading and get the associated assets off its balance sheet. The bank has said it will provide more details when it publishes third-quarter results on October 30. When the two firms first discussed the deal, Deutsche Bank’s prime brokerage business was set to move about €150bn ($165bn) of balances, people familiar with the matter have said. Yet clients put off by the uncertainty of the deal headed for the exit, pulling about $1bn of funds per day, the people said at the time. Prime-brokerage divisions cater specifically to hedge funds, lending them cash and securities and executing their trades, and the relationships can be vital for investment banks. The prime business generated about $18.3bn in fees across the industry in 2018, about the same as revenue from trading corporate debt and currencies combined, data from Coalition Development Ltd show. The deal will give BNP the technol- ogy it needs to improve trading with asset managers and hedge funds specialising in quantitative strategies, Olivier Osty, global head of markets at the Paris-based bank, said in an interview. Executives at the French lender had been planning to develop a platform themselves but had estimated it would take three to four years, he said. “The electronic platform is dedicated to managing all the big quant funds that we’re missing in our franchise,” Osty said. “So this is the opportunity to bring to BNP Paribas a product that was missing and that could allow us to grow.” Quantitative hedge funds, such as Winton Capital Management and AQR Capital Management, use computer algorithms to evaluate risk, pricing and timing in financial markets. Investors, fed up with years of lacklustre returns by other kinds of managers, have flocked to the industry. Assets under management at socalled quants have surged 88% since 2010 to $951bn, compared with a 53% gain for other funds, according to data from Hedge Fund Research. Deutsche Bank, which became a force on Wall Street in the wake of the financial crisis, has struggled to keep hedge-fund clients in recent years as it lurched from one problem to another. US rivals JPMorgan Chase & Co, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc are the top three firms in the business, while Deutsche Bank wasn’t among the top seven prime brokers in 2018, Coalition data show. Citi’s top banker in Miami has become a coveted CEO prospect Bloomberg New York J ane Fraser is not exactly a big name on Wall Street. Based in Miami, she runs Citigroup’s operations across Latin America, a region that generates less than 15% of the bank’s revenue. And yet, after chief executive officers stepped down at two of the world’s biggest banks in recent months – first, at Wells Fargo & Co in March and then HSBC Holdings Plc last month – her name has consistently popped up among potential candidates to run both companies. That talk adds to long-held speculation in some corners of Citigroup that Fraser, an executive with a rare combination of experience in strategy as well as consumer and international banking, is a potential successor to CEO Mike Corbat. It all feeds into a debate over what’s next for a rising star at the third-largest US lender. After all, HSBC’s recruiters were in contact with her in a previous CEO hunt just two years ago, according to people close to that firm. External advisers to banks on succession, speaking on the condition they not be identified discussing the company, argue competitors’ interest in Fraser, 52, raises the risk that Citigroup will lose her if she doesn’t continue to advance. Yet insiders at Citigroup and analysts covering the firm see little reason to worry. They expect Corbat to stay on for several more years, and there’s no sign Fraser is interested in leaving, giving the board little reason to intervene. The buzz is also especially notable for what it says about the potential for a woman to finally reach the top of a major bank. The industry is under mounting pressure to improve diversity of its leadership. In April, white men running seven of the largest US lenders were grilled at a congressional hearing about why their companies have never put a woman in charge. Several, including Corbat, said they can imagine one succeeding them. Just last week, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc promoted Alison Rose to CEO, making her the first woman to run one of Britain’s big four lenders. Yet at KeyCorp, the largest US regional bank run by a woman, CEO Beth Mooney announced plans to retire. Fraser doesn’t actually want so much attention on her career, according to colleagues at Citigroup. She didn’t respond to messages seeking comment. A company spokeswoman, Jennifer Lowney, declined to comment or make executives available for interviews. Indeed, Fraser has downplayed her prospects for rising to the top. In an interview with CNN last year, she said she never had the ambition to be CEO of Citigroup or any other Wall Street firm, acknowledging that her current role comes with a lot of the perks of running a large bank without the harsh limelight. “I look forward to seeing a woman being the first CEO of a Wall Street firm,” Fraser said. “Whoever that may be.” Harvard and McKinsey Born in Scotland, Fraser earned degrees at Cambridge University and Harvard Business School, and then spent a decade at McKinsey & Co advising financial firms. She joined Citigroup’s investment bank in 2004, and in three years was promoted to be global head of strategy for the company, ultimately working alongside then-CEO Vikram Pandit. As the bank teetered in the financial crisis, the two cleaved entire businesses - elimi- nating nearly 100,000 jobs.Citigroup soon threw her into other problems: She took over its private bank in 2009 and salvaged parts of the unit that had been tagged for disposal. Next came the mortgage unit, where she had to address the bank’s mishandling of home loans. That gave her regular face time with regulators and board members. At one point, she accompanied directors on a field trip to the company’s mortgage operations in O’Fallon, Missouri, where they met rankand-file employees, according to a person who attended the gathering. Head hunters hired to find talent for Citigroup’s consumer units told potential candidates as early as 2014 that Fraser was being groomed to be the bank’s next CEO. That year she became head of its US consumer and commercial bank, positioning her to potentially succeed her boss, Manuel Medina-Mora, the global head of consumer banking. Then came a pivot: Medina-Mora’s job went to Stephen Bird, who’s also long been seen as a potential CEO. He was reported to be on a short list of candidates to take the post at Royal Bank of Scotland in 2013, as well as contacted by representatives for Standard Chartered Plc in 2015. Some in the industry suggest he, too, is qualified to run Wells Fargo or HSBC. Spokesmen for both of those banks declined to comment. While Fraser was passed over for Medina-Mora’s job, Corbat simultaneously opened another door. He moved her to lead the bank’s sprawling operations in Latin America, parts of which were struggling, offering Fraser another chance to prove herself. Latam Backlash The transition to that role was tough. Fraser has recounted how the local press initially attacked her for being a foreigner and a woman. “This was seen as a bit of an insult,” she explained to CNN. “It’s not intuitively obvious to have a woman from Scotland running Latin America for an American bank.” For her first town hall with the region’s employees, she spoke in fluent Spanish, which she had learned on a trading floor in Madrid. The effort impressed her new staff. In 2016, she unveiled a new name for the firm’s retail banking operations in Mexico – Citibanamex – finally giving it a logo that incorporated Citigroup’s brand. It had been 15 years since Citigroup had acquired Banamex, but it was Fraser who finally coaxed its workforce to see it as an extension of the US bank. Coffee traders ‘dare not sell’ as Vietnam farmers hoard supplies Bloomberg Ho Chi Minh City Coffee exports from Vietnam, the world’s top robusta grower, are set to keep falling as inventories dwindle and slumping prices lead farmers to hoard supplies. Local growers and middlemen probably held onto 5% of the crop, or 85,000 tonnes, as of mid-September, according to the median estimate of eight traders surveyed by Bloomberg. Shipments are likely to continue falling through next month, said Le Tien Hung, chief executive officer at Vietnam’s No 2 exporter Simexco Daklak. Farmers have been holding onto stocks to avoid selling at a time when prices are trading near a nine-year low. Futures for robusta have slumped about 15% this year due to abundant supplies. Investors are expecting it to get worse, with hedge funds boosting bearish bets on prices to the most on record in data going back to October 2011. “We dare not to sell more at this point as we may not gather enough supplies,” said Simexco’s Hung. “Several traders have wrestled to fulfil their October contracts.” Hung expects Vietnam to ship no more than 120,000 tonnes in September and October. That would be the lowest for the two months since 2011, when exports totalled about 60,000 tonnes, according to customs data. Meanwhile, Simexco itself will see shipments fall to a low of about 85,000 tonnes in the season ending this month, down from an average 100,000 tonnes, Hung said. Exporters have already seen shipments fall this year, with sales last month dwindling to about 114,000 tonnes, the lowest for August since 2017, customs data showed. Year-to-date exports through August were down 12% from a year earlier. The amount of coffee produced in Vietnam had also been on the decline, with the ongoing lower prices encouraging farmers to switch to more profitable crops. Farmers probably reaped 1.71mn tonnes of green beans in the season that ends September 30, according to the median estimate of 10 traders in the survey, or 90,000 tonnes less than in the previous crop. The slump in futures in London has rippled through to Vietnam too, with robusta prices in the country’s coffee belt of Dak Lak province trading at 33,100 dong ($1.43) a kilogram on Friday, down about 12% from last year’s high of 37,800 dong. “Local traders currently have to offer a $200 premium over London prices,” said Do Ha Nam, chairman of top shipper Intimex Group and head of Vietnam’s top 20 coffee exporters club. “Farmers will most likely keep their remaining stocks if local prices remain unprofitable.” Stocks at warehouses nationwide were 260,000 tonnes as of end-August versus 305,000 tonnes a year earlier, according to the survey. Carry-over stocks are probably at 150,000 tonnes compared with 262,000 tonnes a year ago. Pressure mounts on WeWork CEO as board mulls coup Bloomberg San Francisco Adam Neumann has said his mission as WeWork’s chief executive is to elevate the world’s consciousness. Members of his board are now discussing a plan to elevate someone else to run the company and salvage its troubled initial public offering. The board plans to meet, people familiar with the situation said. There, some directors are expected to raise the prospect of Neumann stepping down as CEO and becoming nonexecutive chairman, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the discussions are private. With the drama of a palace coup, Neumann has found himself at odds with WeWork’s largest investor, SoftBank Group Corp. Masayoshi Son, founder of the Japanese conglomerate, is among those pushing for Neumann to resign, a person familiar with the situation said, after widespread criticisms of the company’s governance and spending. The choice is ultimately Neumann’s, though, as the 40-yearold CEO maintains effective control of management decisions. The boardroom infighting not only imperils the IPO but also a $6bn loan contingent on the deal. The unprofitable company must complete a successful stock offering before the end of the year to keep access to the credit facility. WeWork conceded last week that its plans for going public would have to wait after talks with potential investors lowered expectations for the company’s planned IPO valuation to $15bn or less, after a previous valuation of $47bn. Among the concerns they voiced: Neumann’s controversial style and control of the company. “It’s Uber-scale mess,” said Kellie McElhaney, a professor at the University Neumann: In deep trouble. of California Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, who blames both the board and Neumann for not learning from that company’s earlier mistakes. “He’s really taken a first-mover advantage that WeWork had in the space and blown it in a big way.” The WeWork story is beginning to fit squarely into the era of unicorn capitalism: A young and charismatic entrepreneur disrupts an industry, runs afoul of elders and investors, sometimes winning but sometimes failing to live up to their own hype. Institutions including Benchmark Capital, one of WeWork’s investors, pushed out Uber Technologies’ Travis Kalanick before the ride-hailing company went public. Still, even if some directors want to oust Neumann, it won’t be easy given the company’s governance structure. Based on the number of shares he controls and their unique super-voting rights, Neumann has the power to get rid of the entire board on his own, according to the prospectus. Softbank’s intervention in the WeWork saga comes as the biggest backers of the company’s gargantuan Vision Fund are reconsidering how much to commit to its next investment vehicle. Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, which contributed $45bn to the $100bn Vision Fund, is now only planning to reinvest profits from that vehicle into its successor, people familiar said last week. Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Investment Co, which invested $15bn, is considering paring its future commitment to below $10bn, the people said. The news of Neumann’s potential ouster comes after a whirlwind week of uncertainty for WeWork. Banks that provided a $500mn credit line to Neumann are looking to revise the terms as the company’s struggle to go public casts doubt on the value of his collateral, people briefed on the discussions said last week. It’s not clear what changes they may seek, or what right they may have to make demands. On Friday, Wendy Silverstein, a big name in New York commercial real estate who joined WeWork last year as head of its property investment arm, left the company. She’s spending time caring for her elderly parents. Even the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston was adding to the angst. In a speech Friday in New York, Eric Rosengren warned that the proliferation of co-working spaces might pose new risks to financial stability. “I’ve never seen a company of this size and scale generate such a consensus of negative opinion in my long, long life of following IPOs,” said Len Sherman, a Columbia Business School adjunct professor whose 30-year business career included time as a senior partner at consulting firm Accenture Plc. “There is no box that they haven’t ticked when you think of all the reasons that you might be very concerned - like blaring red lights. Like, oh my gosh, caution, danger, danger.” Tuesday, September 24, 2019 BUSINESS GULF TIMES Draghi’s highway to inflation goal risks ending in taper tantrum Bloomberg Frankfurt T he European Central Bank’s new message on how long it’ll keep interest rates low is supportive for the economy, but could prove risky for markets. President Mario Draghi raised the bar for any future policy tightening with a pledge that a new round of quantitative easing will end only “shortly before” key interest rates rise. That commitment was meant to reassure investors that the stimulus will continue until inflation is solidly back in line with the goal of just under 2%. Yet the flip side is that when price growth is looking robust, markets face the prospect of an end to bond-buying and a rate increase coming almost instantly. While such a scenario might be years away from happening, the ECB’s current guidance could mean the tightening happens too quickly. “Is this something that’s going to come back to bite them further down the line? Potentially,” said Jefferies International economist Marchel Alexandrovich. “They’re trying to deal with the problem that’s immediate.” In a contentious decision at Draghi’s penultimate policy meeting, the ECB decided to restart asset purchases, cut interest rates to minus 0.5% and ease the terms of its program of long-term loans. The Governing Council also dropped its previous guidance that rates will stay unchanged or lower at least until mid-2020. Instead it said both rates and QE will be tied exclusively to the progress of inflation. The ECB has been undershooting its goal for price growth for most of the last decade and its recent forecasts don’t see it returning to the objective until at least 2021. The promise of almost unlimited stimulus makes sense until you have to remove it. In 2013, the US Federal Reserve’s signal that it was ready to reduce the pace of its purchases caused the socalled taper tantrum, battering markets across the globe as investors panicked over the impending squeeze on liquidity. As the eurozone eventually moves closer toward its own inflation target, the ECB will also face the dilemma that the very fact that it’s reaching the goal could trigger a negative reaction from the markets. “The risk of a QE taper tantrum has gone up due to the link to the onset of the rate hiking cycle,” said Martin van Vliet, a rates strategist at Robeco. “Nothing has been set in stone. The ECB has said they expected to continue net QE until shortly before they start raising rates. Expectations can change.” The central bank’s own inflation projections currently see prices rising at an average pace of 1.5% in 2021, still clearly below the target. Chief economist Philip Lane has said he is “not going to disagree” with the estimate that the latest stimulus package should push up inflation by 20 or 30 basis points. “This was meant as a dovish reassurance: they won’t stop asset purchases until they are so sure about inflation being back at target that they could hike,” said Antoine Bouvet, a senior rates strategist at ING Group NV. “In reality, it is questionable they will manage to do both in short order Hundreds of thousands stranded as travel firm Thomas Cook collapses Reuters London T he world’s oldest travel firm Thomas Cook collapsed yesterday, stranding hundreds of thousands of holidaymakers around the globe and sparking the largest peacetime repatriation effort in British history. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson pledged to get stranded British travellers home and revealed that the government had rejected a request from Thomas Cook for a bailout of about £150mn ($187.1mn) because doing so would have set up a “moral hazard”. “It is a very difficult situation and obviously our thoughts are very much with the customers of Thomas Cook, the holiday makers who may now face difficulties getting home we will do our level best to get them home,” he told reporters on a plane as he headed to the UN General Assembly in New York. The liquidation marks the end of one of Britain’s oldest companies that started life in 1841 running local rail excursions before it survived two world wars to pioneer package holidays and mass tourism. The firm ran hotels, resorts and airlines for 19mn people a year in 16 countries. It currently has 600,000 people abroad, forcing governments and insurance companies to coordinate a huge rescue operation. Chief executive Peter Fankhauser said it was a matter of profound regret that the company had gone out of business after it failed to secure a rescue package from its lenders in frantic talks that went through the weekend. The UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) said Thomas Cook had ceased trading and the regulator and government had a fleet of planes ready to start bringing home the more than 150,000 British customers over the next two weeks. “I would like to apologise to our millions of customers, and thousands of employees, suppliers and partners who have supported us for many years,” Fankhauser said in a statement. “It is a matter of profound regret to me and the rest of the board that we were not successful.” Pictures posted on social media showed Thomas Cook planes being diverted away from the normal airport stands. Some were left deserted once passengers and staff had departed. Employees Passengers are seen at Thomas Cook check-in points at Mallorca Airport. The world’s oldest travel firm collapsed yesterday, stranding hundreds of thousands of holidaymakers around the globe and sparking the largest peacetime repatriation effort in British history. posted pictures of themselves walking from their last flights. “Love my job so much, don’t want it to end,” Kia Dawn Hayward, a member of the company’s cabin crew, said on Twitter. The government and aviation regulator said that due to the scale of the situation some disruption was inevitable. All the company’s flights are cancelled. Customers were told not to travel to airports until they have been told via a special website — thomascook.caa.co.uk — that they were due on a return flight that was being organised by the government. The British regulator is also contacting hotels hosting Thomas Cook customers to tell them that they will be paid by the government, through an insurance scheme. That was after some were briefly held in a hotel in Tunisia when staff asked for additional payments to be made. Gary Seale, a guest at the Orangers Hotel in Hammamet, Tunisia, posted on Facebook on Saturday that “security have refused to let us out of the hotel and barricaded us in”. He later posted that he had reached the airport and flew home on Sunday. British Transport Minister Grant Shapps said the government had managed to “acquire planes from across the world” to get people home, and call centres had been established to answer travellers’ queries. In Germany, a major customer market for Thomas Cook, insurance companies will coordinate the response. The corporate collapse has the potential to spark chaotic scenes around the world, with holidaymakers stuck in hotels that have not been paid in locations as far afield as Goa, Gambia and Greece. In the longer term, it could also hit the tourism sectors in the company’s biggest destinations, such as Spain and Turkey, leave fuel suppliers out of pocket and force the closure of its hundreds of travel agents across British high streets. Thomas Cook has been brought low by a £1.7bn ($2.1bn) debt pile, online competition, a changing travel market and geopolitical events that can upend its summer season. Last year’s European heatwave also hit the company hard as customers put off last-minute bookings. The group had seemed set for a rescue when it agreed the key terms of a £900mn recapitalisation plan in a deal with its biggest shareholder, China’s Fosun, and the travel firm’s banks in August. But in finalising the terms of the deal, the company was hit with a demand for another facility of £200mn in underwritten funds by its banks. Johnson said Thomas Cook’s collapse raised questions over whether directors of travel companies were “properly incentivised” to avoid bankruptcy. “We need to look at ways in which tour operators one way or another can protect themselves from such bankruptcies in future and clearly the systems that we have in place to make sure (they) don’t in the end come to the taxpayer for help,” he said. Fosun said it was disappointed by the company’s failure to strike a deal with its banks and bondholders, and noted it had remained supportive throughout. The recapitalisation plan was “no longer applicable given the compulsory liquidation” of Thomas Cook, Fosun said in a statement. because of the potential for an adverse market reaction.” For Gilles Moec, chief economist at Axa SA in London, it would be better for the ECB to have the freedom to use both instruments – rates and quantitative easing – separately. It’s possible, for example, that policymakers may want to stop buying bonds because of the improvements in the economy but still keep rates low to prevent the currency strengthening. “The market isn’t fixated on this right now, but it will end up being a problem so my guess is they will have to change their forward guidance at one point,” Moec said. “I don’t think it’s their last word.” The stocks winning and losing from Thomas Cook’s demise Bloomberg London The collapse of UK tour operator Thomas Cook Group Plc will be to the detriment of some stocks, but the benefit of many others. Shares of rival TUI AG surged as much as 11% in London, while online peer On The Beach Group Plc gained as much as 6.3%, boosted by the prospect of reduced industry capacity. Budget airlines also rose, though one decliner was Webjet, the Australian travel group which has a hotel sourcing deal with Thomas Cook. “The effects will be felt across the sector, not all bad,” Neil Wilson, chief market analyst at Markets.com, said in e-mailed commentary. “Airlines are firmer today as they should feel the benefit from the abrupt loss of shorthaul capacity.” Bernstein analyst Richard Clarke sees the potential for several other tour operators collapsing, though predicts TUI will be among those that benefit from the shakeout. Here’s a round-up of stocks affected by Thomas Cook’s collapse: Tour operators: TUI is the most significant beneficiary among tour operators, according to Citi analyst James Ainley. TUI will be the only tour firm left with “a significant captive retail store base in the UK and the only major fully integrated European tour operator,” Ainley writes in a note. TUI has an estimated market share of about 19% in the UK compared with about 8% for Thomas Cook. On The Beach is in a strong position to gain “significant market share,” according to Liberum analyst Anna Barnfather. Liberum sees potential for On The Beach to increase profit by GBP10mGBP15m over the medium term. On The Beach said it’s assisting Thomas Cook customers who are currently in resort and expects a one-off cost that will be booked in the current financial year. Australian travel group Webjet said Thomas Cook’s liquidation will impact its FY20 results, with Ebitda being reduced by up to about A$7m. Webjet previously indicated it expected to earn A$150m to A$200m in total transactional value from Thomas Cook in FY20. Airlines: The removal of Thomas Cook’s capacity should be positive for airlines’ pricing over the upcoming winter season, according to Liberum analyst Gerald Khoo. EasyJet shares gain as much as 6.6% in London, while Ryanair rises as much as 3.8% in Dublin. The budget airlines were the biggest beneficiaries when UK leisure carrier Monarch collapsed two years ago, Khoo says. Thomas Cook’s exit suggests a “more rational” winter ahead, while key is how Thomas Cook’s slots and capacity will be recycled back into market, RBC analysts led by Damian Brewer write in a note. Thomas Cook collapse could trigger a reaction similar to that after Air Berlin’s bankruptcy in 2017, when ticket prices rose significantly in some cases and Lufthansa shares surged, analyst Guido Hoymann writes in a note. Lufthansa shares advance as much as 1.8% in Frankfurt. Leeds, Englandbased Dart Group generated 94% of its FY19 revenue from its leisure airline, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Chinese conglomerate Fosun International is Thomas Cook’s biggest shareholder and had led a bailout plan. Shares of the company’s Fosun Tourism unit fell 4.7% in Hong Kong. Fosun Tourism said it’s disappointed that the UK company hadn’t been able to find a viable solution. “For certain, Fosun wasn’t prepared to pay a penny more,” said Wilson of Markets. com. The Turkish government is preparing a loan-support package for Turkish businesses which might be harmed from Thomas Cook’s collapse, according to a Twitter post by Turkey’s Culture & Tourism Ministry. Thomas Cook UK currently has 21,033 guests accommodated in Turkey. Goldman Sachs is taking another stab at serving Europe’s rich Bloomberg London G oldman Sachs Group is making another go at a business that not so long ago fell out of favour with US banks: Catering to the super wealthy, from Switzerland. The US investment bank plans over the next three years to hire more than 30 wealth advisers to cater to clients in the country, as well as in Germany and the UK. In total, the bank wants to add 100 client-facing staff from 250 currently. They would serve individuals with disposable assets of at least $30mn, according to Stefan Bollinger, who co-heads Goldman Sachs’s wealth management operation in Europe with Chris French. The plans follow Switzerland’s move years ago to abandon its notorious banking-secrecy laws on pressure from US and European authorities. Banks had to pay billions in fines for helping foreigners dodge taxes in their home countries. Since then, Switzerland’s wealth industry revamped its image by stepping up compliance procedures, signing on to global tax-information agreements and abandoning undeclared assets. The country is still the biggest centre for offshore wealth in the world, even after many US banks left the country and smaller firms disappeared due to eroding profitability. Goldman’s growth plans in Europe are focused on Switzerland, Germany and the UK. Goldman never left Switzerland and has been serving wealth clients there since the 70’s. Private-equity firms’ hunger to deploy cash for deals creates liquidity events for company owners - money they need to invest. At the same time, negative interest rates force investors to think harder about where to put their assets, and they need advice. The proposal echoes what Credit Suisse Group AG and UBS Group AG have been doing in recent years: Using The new European headquarters of Goldman Sachs Group in London. The US investment bank plans over the next three years to hire more than 30 wealth advisers to cater to clients in the country, as well as in Germany and the UK. their investment-banking know-how to provide a broader offering to wealthy clients, who often need advice on both their business and private assets. On the downside, such customers tend to squeeze margins because they’re very price-sensitive to the choices offered by different banks. “If you look at ultra-high-net-worth individuals, they often want services in addition to traditional wealth management,” Bollinger said. “With QE, the Japanification of Europe – or low to negative rates for longer – you will see clients needing more advice how to go into private markets, manage risks and sell their companies given demand from private equity.” The plans to expand the operations in Switzerland, the UK and Germany are part of a broader push by Goldman into more stable business areas. The bank plans to hire roughly 200 wealth advisers over the next three years globally. Goldman recently reopened its office in Geneva and is in the process of hiring and staffing the office there. Apart from the hiring, Goldman plans to boost its lending offering to wealth clients – which can be often asset rich but cash poor – and wants to expand its family office coverage. Bollinger said that the bank’s EMEA business recorded inflows each month this year. Wealth advisers or relationship managers establish relationships with the wealth holders. It’s common practice for banks to poach teams for whole regions or specific segments such as entrepreneurs. Once hired, relationship managers need six to 12 months to increase their assets under management. However, clients don’t always follow their relationship managers as banks offer discounts to retain them. Goldman currently has just 1% of the market for ultra-high-net-worth individuals in Europe – a $7tn business, Bollinger said. To grow from here he plans to hire teams from other banks. Bollinger said he would also screen acquisition opportunities in Europe, but any target would have to be exclusively holding wealth of ultra-highnet-worth clients. Goldman earlier this year agreed to buy wealth manager United Capital for $750mn, one of the investment bank’s biggest purchases in recent years. The company manages $250bn.