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9-11 Asset Pricing and Portfolio Analysis

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Chapter 2
Capital market- fixed income instruments
Government issues
- T-bonds and notes
- TIPS
o Principal adjusted for changes in consumer price index
o Marked with trailing “I” in quote sheets
- Municipal bonds
- Federal agency debt
Probably better to be termed debt instruments or bonds because yield isn’t always fixed
Corporate bonds
Mortgage securities
US government borrows funds by selling treasury notes and treasury bonds
t-notes issued with maturities from 10-30 years
pay coupons semiannually
prices are quotes as a % of year
Agency issues (federal government)
most are home-mortgaged related: FNMA (Fannie Mae), FHLMC (Freddie Mac), GNMA (Ginnie
Mae), FHLB (Federal Home Loan Banks)
Risk of these securities?
- Implied backing by government
- In September 2008, federal government took over FNMA and FHLMC
Municipal bonds
- Issued by state and local governments
- Similar to treasury and corporate bonds except income free from federal tax (usually
state and local too). Do pay capitalgains tax when sold
- G.O. vs. revenue
- Industrial development (revenue bond)
- Taxation (compare after tax rate of bonds) rtaxexempt=rtaxable * (1-tax rate)
R= tax rate
Compare Bonds
- Investor needs to compute the after-tax rate of return on each bond in order to
compare
o Determine interest rate on taxable bonds that would be necessary to prvide an
after-tax return equal to that of municipals
o Let t= investors tax bracket (total) and Rtaxable
o Rtaxable=Rmuni / (1-t)
o Cutoff tax bracket = 1 – (Rmuni/Rtaxable)
Muni bond can be checked through ETFs
Corporate Bonds
- Way in which private firms borrow public money
- Pay coupons semi-annually and return face value at maturity
- Vary according to risk (default)
- Secured bonds have specific collateral backing them
- Unsecured (debentures and subordinated debentures) have none
- Some issued with options attached (callable bonds and convertible bonds)
Mortgaged Back Securities
- Backed by pool of mortgages with pass through of monthly payments, most have been
comprised of conforming mortgages (loans satisfy certain underwriting guidelines)
o Traditionally all mortgages conform since 2006 Alt-A and subprime mortgages
included in pools
- Private banks purchased and sold pools of subprime mortgages
- Issuers assumed housing prices would continue to rise
2008 crisis- no doc mortgages led to the many defaults which caused the crisis
Securitization has not ceased in the credit markets
- Car loans
- Student loans
- Credit card loans
- Home equity loans
US Fixed Income market
- Treasury debt
- Federal agency
- Corporate bonds
- Tax-exempt
- Mortgage-related
- Other asset-backed
Fixed Income Indexes (Extra stuff from class)
Examples of sectors
Global- Global emerging markets, USD emerging markets sovereigns, EUR sovereigns local
currency, USD emerging markets corporate
US- USD benchmark (treasuries, sovereigns, sub-sovereigns, corporate), USD High yield- most
indexes that investors go to because higher yield though there’s more risk, USD leveraged loan
Europe- EUR benchmark ( sovereigns, sub-sovereigns, corporate)
Asia
Most Popular Aggregate Bond Index
- US aggregate index
o Most common proxy for US investment grade bond market
o Primary tracking benchmark for core bond index funds
o Represents US dollar denominated investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable bonds
- Barclays US aggregate index represents the attributes sought by core bodn investors:
intermediate duration, high-quality US fixed income
- [9100 issues, $17.6 trillion market cap, US Stock market Cap, $20 trillion]= 49% of total
US bond market
Barclays Capital US aggregate bond index
Instruments include:
- nominal treasuries
- Agency mortgage backed securities
- Investment grade corporates
Barclays Indices cover bond types:
- Investment grade
- High yield
- Inflation linked
- Hard and local currency
- Emerging markets
- Municipal
- Convertible
Barclays Global Sector Classification scheme covers 4 major classes
- Treasury
- Government-related
- Corporate
- Securitized
Bond total return calculations
- Total return included capital appreciation and security price movements, interest
payments and accruals, and principal payments in case of amortizing or sinkable bonds
o Monthly price return, monthly coupon return, monthly paydown return, monthly
currency return
- Required date to calculate
o Daily bond prices
o Accrued interest calculations
o Record of timing and amount of coupon and principal payments
o Daily spot and forward FX rates, where applicable
- Bond excess return is metric quantifying duration-neutral return of a security
Blackrock one of top ETF companies
Equity
Common stock- ownership shares in corporation
- Residual claim- last in line as claimants of assets and income
- Limited liability- most you could lose is original investment
- Can be bought or sold freely on exchange
Preferred Stock (equity and debt)
- Priority over common
- Fixed dividends: limited gains
- Nonvoting
- Tax treatment: corporate tax exclusions on 70% of dividends earned (causing them to
sell at lower yields even though they are lower on claims ranking)
Depository Receipts
- American depositary receipts (ADRs) also called American Depositary shares (ADSs)
- Certificates traded in US representing ownership in foreign security
- Nowadays you could use ETFs
- Each share represents ownership of a fraction or a foreign share, one share, or several
shares of the foreign corporation
- Provides US investors a way to invest in and trade the shares of foreign corporations
Index
- Statistical methodology used to measure changes in value of something over time
- Measure changes in value of group of securities
- Market risk and return
Benchmark
- Represent market for asset class or sub-asset class
- Broad equity market index is perfectly diversified portfolio of stocks
- Broad fixed income market index is a diversified portfolio of investment grade bonds
Role of Indexing
- When you think of US equity market, what do you use?
o Both DOW and S&P 500 because high correlation
DJIA- price weighted index,
DJIA started because Wall Street Journal needed date for finance section in 1896
Constructing Market Indexes
- Weighting schemes
o Price weighted average
 Add prices and divide by divisor
o Market value weighted
 Return = weighted average of returns of each security proportional to
market value
o Equally weighted index:
 Computed from simple average of returns
S&P not top 500. Most pension funds will use Wilshire 500 because of risk. During
implementation they’ll use Russell 3000 because of unexplained risk
Index Users and Uses
Users:
- Consultants, fund managers/trustees, exchanges, banks, RIAs, Academia, Media,
research houses, retail- individual investors
Uses:
- Gauge of public or market sentiment indicators
- Performance measurement
- Asset class benchmarks and asset allocation
- To underlie investment vehicles
- Universe for stock selection
Measuring market performance
- Important phenomenon that has shaped global investment management industry since
1970s is the rise of index investing and separation of alpha and beta
- Beta- markets returns represented by index
- Alpha- greater than market returns
Total market = # of shares outstand * price per share
Passive investing (Beta)
- Seeks to track performance of index
- Tracking error is how much they differ
- Typically involved low fees
Active investing (Alpha)
- Aims to outperform market
Indexes = way to access to market returns
- Buy underlying stocks, buy ETF, buy call and sell put, buy SWAP and earn interest, buy
futures earn interest
Derivative Markets
Derivative- security with payoff that depends on price of other securities
Option- contract that allows but doesn’t require investor to buy or sell underlying instrument
like a security, ETF or index at predetermined price at future date
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