MAPÚA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Department of Mathematics VISION Mapua shall be among the best universities in the world. MISSION a. The Institute shall provide a learning environment in order for its students to acquire the attributes that will make them globally competitive. b. The Institute shall engage in publishable and/or economically viable research, development, and innovation. c. The Institute shall provide state-of-the-art solutions to problems of industries and communities PROGRAM EDUCATIONAL OBJECTIVES a MISSION b c Within the five years after graduation, the graduates of the Civil Engineering program shall have: 1 2 3 4 Undertaken, singly or in teams, projects that show ability to solve complex engineering problems. Had substantial involvement in projects that take into consideration safety, health, environmental concerns and the public welfare, partly through adherence to required codes and laws. Demonstrated professional success via promotions and/or positions of increasing responsibility. Demonstrated life-long learning via progress toward completion of an advanced degree, professional development/continuing education courses, or industrial training courses. 5 Exhibited professional behavior and attitude in engineering practice. 6 Initiated and implemented actions toward the improvement of engineering practice. COURSE SYLLABUS 1. Course Code: MATH30-5 2. Course Title: 3. Pre-requisite: MATH23, MATH23-1 4. Co-requisite: None 5. Credit: 3 units 6. Course Description: The course covers topics in Probability and Counting Rules, Nature of Statistics and Frequency Distribution, Measures of Central Tendency, Measures of Variation and Position, Normal Distribution, Confidence Interval, Hypotheses Testing, Testing the Difference, Correlation and Regression, Chi Square Tests, and Analysis of Variance. It is also designed to provide a working knowledge of understanding and interpreting statistical results of experimental designs applied to Civil Engineering, Construction Engineering and Management, Environmental and Sanitary Engineering, and Geological Engineering. Course Title: Probability and Statistics PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Date Revised: January 2017 Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) Page 1 of 6 7. Student Outcomes and Relationship to Program Educational Objectives STUDENT OUTCOMES a b c d e f g h i J k l 1 an ability to apply knowledge of mathematics, science, and engineering an ability to design and conduct experiments, as well as to analyze and interpret from data an ability to design a system, component, or process to meet desired needs within realistic constraints such as economic, environmental, social, political, ethical, health and safety, manufacturability, and sustainability, in accordance with standards an ability to function on multidisciplinary teams an ability to identify, formulate, and solve engineering problems an understanding of professional and ethical responsibility an ability to communicate effectively the broad education necessary to understand the impact of engineering solutions in the global, economic, environmental and societal context a recognition of the need for, and an ability to engage in life-long learning a knowledge of contemporary issues an ability to use the techniques, skills, and modern engineering tools necessary for engineering practice Knowledge and understanding of engineering and management principles as a member and leader in a team, to manage projects and in multidisciplinary environment PROGRAM EDUCATIONAL OBJECTIVES 2 3 4 5 6 8. Course Outcomes (COs) and Relationship to Student Outcomes Course Outcomes After completing the course, the student must be able to: a 1. Compute the probability of events; and understand basic I concepts and measures of variability in statistics. 2. Understand estimation and test hypotheses concerning means and proportions. 3. Develop a paper to showcase various statistical tests learned in the course, and interpret the statistical results of D experimental designs as applied to the student’s program. * Level: I- Introduced, R- Reinforced, D- Demonstrated Course Title: Probability and Statistics Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Date Revised: January 2017 b c Student Outcomes* d e f g h i j k I I R I Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) I R Page 2 of 6 l 1. CO Course Coverage WEEK 1 2 1 3 4 5 2 6 7 TOPICS TLA Orientation Chapter 1 – Probability and Counting Rules 1-1 Sample Spaces and Probability 1-2 Addition Rules for Probability 1-3 Multiplication Rules & Conditional Probability 1-4 Counting Rules 1-5 Probability and Counting Rules Chapter 2 – Nature of Statistics and Frequency Distribution 2.1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics 2.2 Types of Data 2.3 Sampling Techniques 2.4 Organizing Data 2.5 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, Ogives 2.6 Other Types of Graphs Chapter 3 - Measures of Central Tendency 3.1 Mean 3.2 Median 3.3 Mode 3.4 Midrange 3.5 Weighted Mean Chapter 4 - Measures of Variation and Position 4.1 Range 4.2 Variance 4.3 Standard Deviation 4.4 z- Score 4.5 Percentile 4.6 Decile 4.7 Quartile QUIZ 1 Chapter 5 – Normal Distribution 5-1 Normal Distributions 5-2 Normal Distribution Properties 5-3 Standard Normal Distribution (Z value) 5-4 Applications of the Normal Distribution 5-5 Checking of Normality. Chapter 6 – Confidence Intervals 6-1 Confidence Intervals for the Mean when is known and sample size 6-2 Confidence Intervals for the Mean when is unknown 6-3 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size for Variances and Standard Deviations Chapter 7 – Hypotheses Testing 7-1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing 7-2 z Test for a Mean 7-3 Hypothesis Testing – P value method 7-4 t Test for a Mean 7-5 z Test for a Proportion 7-6 x2 Test for a Variance or Standard Deviation QUIZ 2 Chapter 8 – Testing the Difference 8-1 Testing the Difference Between Two Independent Means: Using the z Test 8-2 Testing the Difference Between Two Means of Independent Samples: Using the t Test 8-3 Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Dependent Samples Course Title: Probability and Statistics Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Date Revised: January 2017 AT Classroom Discussion Group Discussion Collaborative Learning On-Line Assignment’s Seatwork’s & Exercises Q1 Classroom Discussion Group Discussion Differentiated Learning On-Line Assignment’s Seatwork’s & Exercises Q2 Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) Page 3 of 6 3 8 9 10 11 2. 8-4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions 8-5 Testing the Difference Between Two Variances Chapter 9 – Correlation and Regression 9-1 Scatter Plots and Correlation Classroom 9-2 Regression Discussion 9-3 Coefficient of Determination and Standard Error of the Group Estimate Discussion 9-4 Multiple Regression Collaborative Chapter 10 – Chi Square Tests Learning using 10-1 Test for Goodness of Fit MatLab 10-2 Tests Using Contingency Tables QUIZ 3 Chapter 11 – Analysis of Variance 11-1 One-Way Analysis of Variance 11-2 The Scheffé Test and the Tukey Test 11-3 Two-Way Analysis of Variance Paper Presentation Final Exams On-Line Assignment’s Seatwork’s & Exercises Q3 Paper Presentation Final Exams Opportunities to Develop Lifelong Learning Skill Through the various concepts and applications of statistics and probability, students will develop their logical thinking through analysis of the problems encountered in these areas of mathematics. Moreover, students will be introduced to statistical research that will help them realize the usefulness of statistics in their chosen field of studies. 3. Contribution of Course to Meeting the Professional Component Engineering Topics General Education Basic Sciences and Mathematics : : : 0% 0% 100% 12. Textbook: Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers. Montgomery, Douglas and Runger, George. John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd© 2014 13. Course Evaluation Student performance will be rated based on the following: Assessment Tasks Weight Quiz 1 (Q1) Seatwork’s (SWCO1) On-Line Assignments (CPRCO1) Quiz 2 (Q2) CO2 Seatwork’s (SWCO2) On-Line Assignments (CPRCO2) Quiz 3 (Q3) Seatwork’s (SWCO3) CO3 On-Line Assignments (CPRCO3) Research Paper (RP) Summative Assessment: Final Examination (CO1 8%, CO2 8%, CO3 9%) TOTAL 15% 3% 4% CO1 CO 1 Course Title: Probability and Statistics Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Minimum Average for Satisfactory Performance 15.4% 15% 3% 32. 4% 15.4% 15% 3% 4% 21.7% 9% 25% 17.5% 100% Date Revised: January 2017 70.0% Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) Page 4 of 6 The final grade swill correspond to the weighted average scores shown below: Average Grade Average Grade 100 - 96 1.00 82.99 - 80 2.25 95.99 - 93 1.25 79.99 - 76 2.50 92.99 - 90 1.50 75.99 - 73 2.75 89.99 - 86 1.75 72.99 - 70 3.00 85.99 - 83 2.00 Below 70 5.00 Other Course Policies a. Attendance According to CHED policy, total number of absences by the students should not be more than 20% of the total number of meetings or 9 hrs for a three-unit-course. Students incurring more than 9 hours of unexcused absences automatically gets a failing grade regardless of class standing. b. Submission of Assessment Tasks (Student Outputs) should be on time; late submittal of courseworks will not be accepted. c. Written Major Examination (Long Quiz and Final Exams) will be administered as scheduled. No special exam will be given unless with a valid reason subject to approval by the Chairman of the Mathematics Department. d. Course Portfolio will be collected at the end of the quarter. e. Language of Instruction Lectures, discussion, and documentation will be in English. Written and spoken work may receive a lower mark if it is, in the opinion of the instructor, deficient in English. f. Honor, Dress and Grooming Codes All of us have been instructed on the Dress and Grooming Codes of the Institute. We have all committed to obey and sustain these codes. It will be expected in this class that each of us will honor the commitments that we have made. For this course the Honor Code is that there will be no plagiarizing on written work and no cheating on exams. Proper citation must be given to authors whose works were used in the process of developing instructional materials and learning in this course. If a student is caught cheating on an exam, he or she will be given zero mark for the exam. If a student is caught cheating twice, the student will be referred to the Prefect of Student Affairs and be given a failing grade. g. Consultation Schedule Consultation schedules with the Professor are posted outside the faculty room and in the Department’s web-page (http://math.mapua.edu.ph). It is recommended that the student first set an appointment to confirm the instructor’s availability. 14. Other References 14.1 Books a. Introduction to Probability and Statistics. Mendenhall, Beaver and Beaver. Duxbury press, 1999. b. Modern Elementary Statistics, 9th ed. Freund and Simon. Prentice Hall International, Inc., Singapore, 1997. c. Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 8thEd. Walpole, Myers, Myers and Ye. Prentice Hall International, Inc., Philippines, 2005. Course Title: Probability and Statistics Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Date Revised: January 2017 Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) Page 5 of 6 d. Probability and Statistics for Engineering Students, Philippine Ed. Scheaffer, Mulekar, McClave. Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Asia Pte. Ltd., 2012 14.2 Websites http://www.wileyplus.com 15. Course Materials Made Available Course schedules for lectures and quizzes Samples of assignment/Problem sets of students Samples of written examinations of students End-of-course self-assessment Samples of Submitted Statistical Papers 16. Committee Members: Course Cluster Chair CQI Cluster Chair Members Course Title: Probability and Statistics : Richard T. Earnhart : Robert Dadigan : Santos Joseph Dan Andrew H. Magcuyao Date Effective: 4th Quarter SY 2016-2017 Date Revised: January 2017 Prepared by: Approved by: Cluster IV LD Sabino (Subject Chair) Page 6 of 6