To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com CHAPTER 16 MANAGING COSTS AND UNCERTAINTY Learning Objectives After reading and studying Chapter 16, you should be able to answer the following questions: 1. What are the functions of a cost control system? 2. What factors cause costs to change from period to period or to deviate from expectations? 3. What are the generic approaches to cost control? 4. What are the two primary types of fixed costs, and what are the characteristics of each? 5. What are the typical approaches to controlling discretionary fixed costs? 6. What are the objectives managers strive to accomplish in managing cash? 7. How is technology reducing costs of supply chain transactions? 8. Why is uncertainty greater in dealing with future events than with past events? 9. What are the four generic approaches to managing uncertainty? ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 2 Terminology Appropriation: a predetermined maximum allowable expenditure Coefficient of determination: the portion of the variance in the dependent variable (cost) explained by the movement in the independent variable, the value of which ranges between 0 and 1 Committed costs: costs associated with plant assets and the human resources Cost avoidance: the practice of finding acceptable alternatives to high-cost items and/or not spending money for unnecessary goods and services Cost consciousness: a company-wide employee attitude toward the topics of understanding costs changes, cost containment, cost avoidance, and cost reduction Cost containment: the practice of minimizing period-by-period increases in per-unit variable and total fixed costs Cost control system: the set of formal and/or informal tools and methods designed to manage organizational costs Cost reduction: the practice of lowering current costs, especially those that may be in excess of what is necessary Discretionary cost: a cost that arises from a management decision to fund an activity at a specified amount for a specified period of time; a cost that can be reduced to zero in the short run if necessary Engineered cost: a cost that has been found to bear an observable and known relationship to a quantifiable activity base e-procurement systems: electronic B2B (business-to-business) buy-side applications controlling the requisitioning, ordering, and payment functions for inputs Forward contracts: agreements that give the holder the right to purchase a given quantity of a specific input at a specific price at a specific time Hedging: the use of options and forward contracts to manage price risk Option: (see forward contracts) Price elasticity: a numerical measure of the relationship of supply or demand to price changes Random: in the context of cost prediction and cost understanding, refers to the fact that some portion of the cost is not predictable based on the cost driver or the cost is stochastically rather than deterministically related to the cost driver Uncertainty: doubt or lack of precision in specifying future outcomes; arises from lack of complete knowledge about future events Working capital: total current assets minus total current liabilities ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 3 Lecture Outline LO.1: What are the functions of a cost control system? A. Introduction 1. This chapter explains some of the key contributions of accounting and finance to business organizations. a. Topics include cost control systems and general cost management strategies, the responsibilities and tools of the treasury function (e.g., cash management, financial risk management, and supply chain management), and methods and tools for dealing with uncertainty in budgeting and cost management. B. Cost Control Systems 1. A cost control system is a set of formal and/or informal tools and methods designed to manage organizational costs. 2. An effective cost control system must perform at three points: before an event, during an event, and after an event. (See text Exhibit 16-1.) a. As shown in the exhibit, some of the cost control methods found in practice includes budgets, variance analysis, and responsibility reports. 3. The general planning and control model in text Exhibit 16–2 emphasizes that control is part of a management cycle that begins with planning. 4. A good control system encompasses not only planning and control functions but also the idea of cost consciousness. a. Cost consciousness refers to a company-wide employee attitude toward the topics of understanding cost changes, cost containment, cost avoidance, and cost reduction (See text Exhibit 16-3). b. Managers alone cannot control costs. LO.2: What factors cause costs to change from period to period or to deviate from expectations? C. Understanding Cost Changes 1. General a. Cost control is first exercised when the budget is prepared, but budgets can be properly prepared only when the reasons for periodic cost changes are understood and cost control cannot be achieved without an understanding of why costs may differ between periods or from the budgeted amounts. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 4 2. Cost Changes Because of Volume Changes a. A flexible budget can compensate for changes in variable costs due to activity level changes by providing expected variable costs at the actual activity level. b. With a flexible budget, managers can make valid budget-to-actual cost comparisons to determine whether costs were properly controlled. c. For costs to be controlled effectively, cost drivers must be determined as accurately as possible. 3. Cost Changes Because of Inflation/Deflation a. Fluctuations in the value of money, called general price-level changes, cause the prices of goods and services to change. i. In the United States, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most often cited measure of general price-level changes. ii. Inflation and deflation indexes by industry or commodity can be examined to obtain more accurate information about inflation/deflation effects on prices of particular inputs, such as energy resources. b. Some companies include price-escalation clauses in sales contracts to cover the inflation occurring from order to delivery (especially in industries having production activities that require substantial lead times). 4. Cost Changes Because of Supply/Supplier Cost Adjustments a. The relationship between the availability of a good or service and the demand for that item affects its selling price. b. The relationship between price changes and supply and demand changes varies across products. c. i. Price elasticity is a numerical measure of the relationship of supply or demand to price changes. Price elasticities can be calculated for specific products using historical data on price changes and supply and demand changes. ii. If price elasticity is low, then a large change in price will lead to only a small change in supply or demand; alternatively, if price elasticity is high, a large change in price leads to a large change in supply or demand. Specific price-level changes are also caused by advances in technology; as a general rule, as suppliers advance the technology of producing a good or performing a service, the cost of that product or service to producing firms declines. d. Alternatively, additional production or performance costs are typically passed on by suppliers to their customers as part of specific price-level changes; such costs can be within or outside the supplier’s control. e. The number of suppliers of a product or service can also affect selling prices; as the number of suppliers increases in a competitive environment, price tends to fall. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty f. IM 5 Sometimes, cost increases are caused by higher taxes or additional regulatory requirements; complying with these regulations can increase costs. In response, companies can: i. pass along the costs to customers as price increases to maintain the same income level; ii. decrease other costs to maintain the same income level; or iii. accept a decline in net income. 5. Cost Changes Because of Quantity Purchased a. Companies may receive discounts for bulk purchases. b. Involvement in group purchasing arrangements can make quantity discounts easier to obtain. LO.3: What are the generic approaches to cost control? D. Cost Containment 1. General a. Cost containment is the practice of minimizing, to the extent possible, period-by-period increases in per-unit variable and total fixed costs. b. Cost containment is not possible for inflation adjustments, tax and regulatory changes, and supply and demand adjustments. c. Costs that rise due to reduced supplier competition, seasonality, and quantities purchased are subject to cost containment activities. d. Purchasing agents must remember that the supplier offering the lowest bid is not necessarily the best supplier to choose. Other factors such as quality, service, and reliability are important. e. A company can circumvent seasonal cost changes by postponing or advancing purchases. f. As to services, it is often possible for employees to repair rather than replace items that have seasonal cost changes. 2. Cost Avoidance and Cost Reduction a. Cost avoidance is the practice of finding alternatives to high cost items and/or not spending money for unnecessary goods or services. Managers should always be searching for ways to eliminate unnecessary expenditures. b. Cost reduction refers to the practice of lowering current costs, especially those that may be in excess of what is necessary. i. Benchmarking is especially important for identifying excessive costs. ii. Companies can reduce costs by outsourcing rather than by maintaining internal departments. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 6 iii. Sometimes money must be spent (e.g., research and development) to generate cost savings. iv. Some companies look outside the organization for guidance on how and where to cut costs. c. Managers may adopt the following five-step method of implementing a cost control system (See text Exhibit 16-4.): i. understand the types of costs incurred by the organization; ii. communicate the need for cost consciousness to all employees; iii. educate employees in cost control techniques, encourage them to suggest ways to control costs, and motivate them to embrace the concepts; iv. generate reports that indicate actual results, compare budget to actual, and calculate variances; and v. develop a view that the cost control system is a long-run process, not a short-term solution. d. A cost-benefit analysis should be performed before a commitment is made to incur a cost. LO.4: What are the two primary types of fixed costs, and what are the characteristics of each? E. Committed Fixed Costs 1. All fixed costs (and the activities that create them) can be categorized as either committed or discretionary, with the difference between the two categories being primarily the time period for which management obligates itself to the activity and the cost. 2. Committed costs are costs associated with plant assets and the human resources that an organization must have to operate. a. The amount of committed costs is dictated by long-run management decisions. b. Committed costs include depreciation, lease rentals, property taxes, and staff salaries. 3. One method of controlling committed costs is to compare expected benefits of plant assets (or human resources) with expected costs of such investments. 4. A second method of controlling committed costs involves performing a postinvestment audit of capital expenditures. 5. The benefits from committed costs generally can be predicted and commonly are compared with actual results in the future. F. Discretionary Costs 1. General ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 7 a. A discretionary cost is one that a decision maker must periodically review to determine if it continues to be in accord with ongoing policies. i. A discretionary fixed cost reflects a management decision to fund a particular activity at a specified amount for a specified period of time. ii. Discretionary costs relate to company activities that are important but whose level of funding is subject to judgment. iii. Discretionary costs are usually service-oriented and include employee travel, repairs and maintenance, advertising, research and development, and employee training and development. iv. There is no "correct" amount of these expenditures and the amount of benefit created can be determined only subjectively. v. Discretionary costs are generated by activities that vary in type and magnitude from day-to-day and whose benefits are often not measurable in monetary terms. In addition, performance quality can also vary according to the task and employee skill levels involved. Because of these two factors—varying activities and varying quality levels— discretionary costs are not usually susceptible to the precise measures available to plan and control variable production costs or the cost-benefit evaluation techniques available to control committed fixed costs. Since the benefits of discretionary cost activities cannot be assessed definitively, these activities are often among the first to be cut when profits are lagging. Thus, proper planning for discretionary activities and costs can be more important than subsequent control measures. LO.5: What are the typical approaches to controlling discretionary fixed costs? 2. Controlling Discretionary Costs a. General i. Budget appropriations, which are predetermined amounts or rates for each budget item, serve as a basis for comparison with actual costs. b. Budgeting Discretionary Costs i. Funding levels for discretionary costs should be set only after both discretionary cost activities have been prioritized and cash flow and income expectations have been reviewed. ii. Discretionary costs are typically budgeted on the basis of three factors: the related activity’s perceived significance to the achievement of objectives and goals; ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 8 the upcoming period’s expected level of operations; and managerial negotiations during the budgetary process. iii. Managers are expected to spend the full amount of their appropriations within the specified time frame for some discretionary costs, while the “less is better” credo is appropriate for other discretionary cost activities. The cost of preventive maintenance is often cited as an example of a cost where “less is not better.” iv. If revenues, profits, or cash flows are reduced, funding for discretionary expenditures should be evaluated, not simply in reference to reduced operations but also relative to activity priorities. v. c. The difference in management attitude between committed and discretionary costs has to do with the ability to measure the benefits provided. Benefits of committed fixed costs can be measured on a before and after basis through the capital budgeting and postinvestment audit processes. The benefits from discretionary fixed costs are often not distinctly measurable in monetary terms, or they may not even be identifiable. Measuring Benefits from Discretionary Costs i. Companies often assume that the benefits—and the activities—are unimportant since benefits from some activities traditionally classified as discretionary cannot be adequately measured. ii. These types of activities produce quality products and services in the long run; therefore, before reducing or eliminating expenditures in these areas, managers should attempt to recognize and measure the benefits through the use of surrogate, nonmonetary measures. Such an effort requires time and creativity (See text Exhibit 16-5.). iii. The comparison of input costs and output results can help to determine if there is a reasonable cost-benefit relationship between the two; managers can judge this costbenefit relationship by how efficiently inputs (represented by costs) were used and how effectively those resources (again represented by costs) achieved their purposes. These relationships can be seen in the following model: Inputs (Efficiency) Outputs (Effectiveness) Objectives Goals Performance ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 9 d. Efficiency i. Efficiency is the process of performing tasks to produce the best yield at the lowest cost from the resources available; the degree to which a satisfactory relationship occurs when comparing outputs to inputs. ii. Effectiveness is a measure of how well the firm’s objectives and goals are achieved; compares actual output results to desired results; the successful accomplishment of an objective. iii. Efficiency and effectiveness can be determined as follows: Actual Result Efficiency = compared to Desired Result Actual Output Planned Output Actual Input Planned Input Actual Input Planned Input Actual Output Planned Output Planned Output Preestablished Actual Output standard or alternatively Efficiency = Effectiveness = e. Effectiveness i. Determination of an activity's effectiveness is unaffected by whether the designated output measure is stated in monetary or nonmonetary terms. ii. Measurement of effectiveness does not require the consideration of inputs, but measurement of efficiency does. iii. The relationship between discretionary costs and desired results is inconclusive at best, and the effectiveness of such costs can be inferred only from the relationship of actual to desire output. f. Control Using Engineered Costs i. Some discretionary activities are repetitive enough to allow the development of standards similar to those for manufacturing costs. ii. An engineered cost is a cost that has been found to bear an observable and known relationship to a quantifiable activity base. iii. Discretionary cost activities that can be categorized as engineered costs are normally geared to a performance measure relative to work accomplished. iv. A company can compare actual cost against standard cost each period after obtaining a fairly valid estimate of what costs should be based on a particular activity level for the cost driver volume. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty v. IM 10 The generalized cost variance analysis model can then be used: AP × AQ SP × AQ Price Variance SP × SQ Efficiency Variance Total Inspection Cost Variance vi. The company may prefer the following type of fixed overhead variance analysis if quality inspection cost becomes a discretionary fixed cost: Budgeted Fixed Cost Actual Cost Spending Variance Budgeted Fixed Cost x Std Hours Allowed Volume Variance Total Inspection Cost Variance vii. The method of variance analysis and thus cost control must be appropriate to the cost category and management information needs. Managers should always consider whether the activity itself and, therefore, its cost incurrence were sufficiently justified. Postincurrence audits of discretionary costs are often important in determining an expenditure's value. g. Control Using the Budget i. Monetary control is accomplished through the use of budget-to-actual comparisons once discretionary cost budget appropriations have been made (See text Exhibits 16-6, 16-7, and 16-8 for a case study). ii. Actual results are compared to expected results and explanations should be provided for the variances. iii. To ensure variable cost variances are useful, flexible budgeting procedures must be used. iv. Explanations for variances can often be found by recognizing cost consciousness attitudes. LO.6: What are the objectives managers strive to accomplish in managing cash? G. Cash Management 1. General a. Cash is the most important and challenging resource to manage. b. The cash budget and pro forma cash flow statement provide managers information about the amounts and timing of cash flows. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty c. IM 11 An organization’s liquidity depends on having enough cash available to retire debts and other obligations as they come due. d. Firms hold cash to liquidate transactions, to cover unexpected events, and for speculation. e. Cash levels should be sufficient to cover all needs but low enough to constrain opportunity costs associated with alternative uses of the cash. 2. What Variables Influence the Optimal Level of Cash? a. The actual level of cash maintained can differ from that necessary to meet the cash flow requirements of the cash budget. b. The level of confidence that managers have in the cash budget is a nonquantitative factor that influences the desired cash balance. c. To avoid liquidity problems, managers of firms with high variability in the operating cycle must hold more cash than managers of firms with very stable, predictable operating cycles. d. Firms that would have difficulty arranging for short-term credit to cover unexpected cash shortages are forced to carry extra cash to cover contingencies. e. Also, securities ratings, particularly bond ratings, can induce firms to hold larger cash balances than is justified based on all other considerations. i. Firms with debt may be obligated by loan covenants to maintain minimum levels of cash. 3. What are the Sources of Cash? a. There are three usual sources for cash: i. sale of equity or debt securities and other shorter term instruments; ii. sale of assets no longer necessary or productive; and iii. sales of goods and services. b. Working capital is the excess of current assets over current liabilities. i. c. The normal operating cycle begins with cash, extends to the purchase of materials, and then to the exchange of those materials for receivables, and ultimately the collection of the receivables brings cash back to the firm. Thus, the normal operating cycle is a cashto-cash cycle (See text Exhibit 16-9). Effective management of the cash collection cycle can both reduce the demand for cash and increase its supply. i. Accelerating the operating cycle will increase available cash. ii. Reducing the length of the operating cycle will reduce inventory and accounts receivable and therefore increase cash. iii. Cash can be increased by slowing down payments for inputs. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 12 4. What Variables Influence the Cost of Carrying Cash? a. The costs of borrowing or issuing equity capital rise and fall with inflation, the creditworthiness of the borrower, and the availability of funds for lending. i. The higher these costs, the greater the incentive to minimize idle cash balances. b. There is an opportunity cost associated with holding cash as excess cash can be invested in productive projects or returned to investors. 5. Banking Relationships a. Accounting and cash flow information are key determinants of loan eligibility, loan limits, and credit terms. b. From the bank's perspective, credit risk is a primary concern for determining whether, and how much, a bank will lend to an entity and is a key input in determining the borrower's interest rate. To assess credit risk, banks examine the borrower's: i. credit history; ii. ability to generate cash flow; iii. quality of collateral; iv. character of senior officers; and v. c. operational plans and strategies. Accountants must monitor the firm’s compliance with loan agreement covenants. d. Trust is the important key to a good relationship between a bank and a borrower. LO.7: How is technology reducing costs of supply chain transactions? H. Supply Chain Management 1. General a. Today, competition in markets is as much between supply chains as between individual firms. i. Thus, there is greater joint dependency among firms and their suppliers than existed in earlier eras. ii. This dependency creates an incentive to share information and to manage costs across customers and suppliers. b. Text Exhibit 16–10 depicts three significant supply chain interactions and dependencies. 2. Information Technology and Purchasing a. Today, firms increasingly use electronic exchanges of information and payments to reduce purchasing transaction costs. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty i. IM 13 These exchanges can involve the acquisition of significant resources such as direct materials and indirect materials or nonoperating inputs such as office supplies. 3. Advances in Authorizing and Empowering Purchases a. Today, firms are increasingly using e-procurement systems to purchase nonoperating inputs. b. e-procurement systems are electronic B2B (business-to-business) buy-side applications that control the requisitioning, ordering, and payment functions for inputs. c. One common configuration involves a large purchaser creating an electronic marketplace in which the purchasing organization allows suppliers to make their electronic catalogs of products and materials available on-line and the purchasing organization’s authorized personnel then order inputs from those catalogs and pay for the purchases electronically. d. Future versions of these systems will facilitate the exchange of information, such as product specifications or drawings, with an expanded group of potential suppliers to increase competition for both operating and nonoperating inputs. LO. 8: Why is uncertainty greater in dealing with future events than with past events? I. Coping with Uncertainty 1. The world of management and cost accountants is split into two spheres separated by time. a. The first sphere is the historical in which the accountant is concerned with accounting accurately and fairly for events and activities that have already occurred. b. The second sphere is futuristic, in which accountants deal with events and activities yet to unfold. 2. The Nature and Causes of Uncertainty a. General i. Uncertainty in cost management may be attributed to cause and effect relationships and unforeseen events. b. Understanding Cause and Effect i. Uncertainty often arises from a lack of identification or understanding of cost drivers. ii. Some costs may be predicted with accuracy based on the relationship of the cost to the cost driver, but rarely is the cost predicted perfectly because the entire cost is not related to the cost driver. iii. In the context of cost prediction and cost understanding, random refers to the fact that some portion of the cost is not predictable based on the cost driver or that the cost is stochastically, rather than deterministically, related to the cost driver. c. Occurrence of Unforeseen Events i. For example, the events of September 11, 2001, dealt a severe economic blow to most industries in the United States but for the airline industry the impact of 9/11 was nearly ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 14 fatal as airlines lost 100 percent of their revenues for a brief period and a large portion of revenues for an extended period after that disaster. ii. When firms plan for unforeseen events, it is impossible to know the severity of all contingencies that could occur. Accordingly, no reasonable plan to deal with unforeseen events will provide solutions for all possible occurrences. LO.9: What are the four generic approaches to managing uncertainty? 3. Four strategies for dealing with uncertainty a. There are four generic strategies for dealing with cost management uncertainties: i. First, uncertainty can be explicitly factored into estimates of future costs; ii. Second, costs can be structured to automatically adjust to uncertain outcomes; iii. Third, options and forward contracts can be used to mitigate effects of uncertainty; and iv. Fourth, insurance can be purchased to reimburse the firm in the event of unexpected occurrences. b. Explicitly Considering Uncertainty When Estimating Future Costs i. In the following equation, y is the cost or other item to be predicted (dependent variable); a and b are, respectively, the intercept and slope in the prediction equation; and X is the predictor variable (independent variable). ii. The least squares method is used to develop estimates of the values for a and b in the prediction equation: y = a + bX iii. When alternative independent variables exist, least squares regression can help select the independent variable that is the best predictor of the dependent variable. iv. The coefficient of determination is the portion of the variance in the dependent variable that is explained by the variance in the independent variable. v. The value of this statistic ranges between 0 and 1. A value of 0 indicates the relationship between the predictor variable and the dependent variable is completely random (i.e., the predictor variable is of no value in predicting the dependent variable). A value of 1 signifies that the variance of the independent variable explains completely the variance of the dependent variable (i.e., the predictor variable is ideal). Text Exhibit 16–11 illustrates the hypothetical relationship of factory utility costs to two alternative predictor variables: machine hours and plant production hours. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 15 vi. Other statistical techniques such as computer simulations and more elaborate regression models, which can include multiple independent variables as well as nonlinear relationships between independent and dependent variables, can also be used to select predictor variables. c. The goal in using more elaborate models is to reduce the prediction error and thereby the effects of uncertainty on accuracy of predictions. An example using an equation to predict annual factory maintenance costs is provided in the text. Structuring Costs to Adjust to Uncertain Outcomes i. ii. Some industries are characterized by very high levels of fixed costs. In the short run, the level of costs is very insensitive to the level of customer demand. The result is that if demand spikes, profits soar, and if demand falters, profits drop rapidly and quickly turn into losses. Cost and revenue graphs are presented in text Exhibit 16–12 to illustrate two different cost structures: one that is entirely variable and one that is entirely fixed. The profits of the company with the fixed cost structure vary greatly with small changes in volume while the profits of the company with the variable cost structure change slowly as volume changes. Although fixed and variable costs are not completely substitutable, most companies have substantial opportunities to change their costs structures. d. Using Options and Forward Contracts to Mitigate Price Risk i. ii. Uncertainty of the cost of inputs arises from two sources: the quantity of the inputs consumed and the price per unit of those inputs. Although the quantity of inputs consumed is typically highly correlated with customer demand and the volume of production, the prices of inputs can be influenced by many other factors. Thus, although the uncertainty surrounding quantity of input usage may best be resolved by an improved understanding of volume drivers, other strategies will be necessary to deal with price uncertainty. Some companies operate in industries that are intensely competitive; if input prices unexpectedly increase, these companies may be unable to increase prices sufficiently to cover the increase in costs. iii. These companies in particular need effective strategies for dealing with input price uncertainty; two tools used in such strategies are options and forward contracts. Options and forward contracts are agreements that give the holder the right to purchase a given quantity of a specific input at a specific price at a specific time. Generically, the use of options and forward contracts to manage price risk is known as hedging. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 16 iv. Text Exhibit 16–13 lists items that are commonly hedged. e. Insuring Against Occurrences of Specific Events i. Insurance involves a contract in which one party (an insurer) in exchange for a payment (premium) agrees to reimburse a second party (an insured) for the costs of certain occurrences. ii. Whereas other strategies for dealing with uncertainty largely address uncertainty about costs deriving from quantity and price variability, insurance is purchased to cope with uncertainty about occurrences of specific events. iii. Events usually insured against are those that, in the absence of insurance, would dramatically increase costs such as fire, flood, loss of revenues from business interruption, etc. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 17 Multiple Choice Questions 1. (LO.1) Select the response that shows the correct order of the steps in a cost control system. a. Evaluate → Plan → Respond → Execute b. Evaluate → Plan → Execute → Respond c. Plan → Execute → Respond → Evaluate d. Plan → Execute → Evaluate →Respond 2. (LO.1) Preparing variance reports for a division is a cost control method for which of the following control points? a. After an event b. During an event c. Before an event d. All of the above 3. (LO.2) Cost changes may be attributed to which of the following factors? a. Volume changes b. Inflation c. Supply/supplier cost adjustments d. All of the above 4. (LO.3) Cost containment is not possible for: a. reduced supplier competition. b. supply and demand adjustments. c. quantities purchased. d. seasonality. 5. (LO3.) The practice of finding acceptable alternatives to high-cost items or not spending money for unnecessary goods or services is referred to as: a. cost reduction. b. cost management. c. cost avoidance. d. cost containment. 6. (LO.4) Committed costs: a. may be partially controlled by comparing actual and expected results from plant asset investments. b. include costs such as maintenance and advertising. c. are usually not measurable in monetary terms. d. are generated by activities that vary in type and magnitude from day to day. 7. (LO.4) Discretionary costs are: a. costs such as depreciation and staff salaries. b. those management decides to incur in the current period to enable the company to achieve objectives other than the filling of orders placed by customers. c. governed mainly by past decisions that established the current levels of operating and organizational capacity and that only change slowly in response to small changes in capacity. d. unaffected by current managerial decisions. 8. (LO.5) Discretionary costs are generally budgeted on the basis of all of the following factors except: a. the upcoming period’s expected level of operations. b. the previous period’s actual costs. c. the related activity’s perceived significance to achieving the organization’s goals. d. the ability of managers to effectively negotiate during the budgetary process. ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 18 9. (LO.6) Which of the following is not a reason firms hold cash? a. To cover unexpected events b. For speculation c. To liquidate transactions d. All of the above are reasons why firms hold cash. 10. (LO.6) Which of the following variables influences the cost of carrying cash? a. Cost of borrowing b. Cost of issuing equity capital c. Opportunity cost of holding cash d. All of the above 11. (LO.7) Purchases of indirect materials and nonoperating inputs such as office supplies are increasingly being accomplished using an e-procurement system. Which of the following functions is typically not included in such a system? a. Payment function b. Requisitioning function c. Forecasting function d. Ordering function 12. (LO.8) A decision maker is operating in an environment in which all the facts surrounding a decision are known exactly, and each alternative is associated with only one possible outcome. The environment is known as: a. conflict. b. risk. c. uncertainty. d. certainty. 13. (LO.9) All of the following are strategies for dealing with uncertainty except: a. explicitly considering uncertainty when estimating future costs. b. installing new information technology. c. structuring costs to adjust to uncertain outcomes. d. insuring against occurrences of specific events. 14. (LO.9) What coefficient of correlation results from the following data? X 1 2 3 4 5 Y 10 8 6 4 2 a. - 1 b. 0 c. +1 d. +100 15. (LO.9) In regression analysis, which of the following correlation coefficients represents the strongest relationship between the independent and dependent variables? a. - .50 b. .00 c. .50 d. 1.00 ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank. To download more slides, ebook, solutions and test bank, visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com Chapter 16: Managing Costs and Uncertainty IM 19 Multiple Choice Solutions 1. d 2. a 3. d 4. b 5. c 6. a 7. b (CMA Adapted) 8. b 9. d 10. d 11. c 12. d (CMA Adapted) 13. b 14. b (CMA Adapted) 15. d (CMA Adapted) ©2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. SM Cost Accounting 8th Edition by Raiborn and Kinney. Visit http://downloadslide.blogspot.com to download more slides, ebooks, solution manual, and test bank.