CAPITAL STRUCTURE Key Concepts/Questions • What is Capital Structure? • Do managers create value by leveraging? • Understand capital structure theories with and without taxes • Estimate value of a(n) levered/unlevered firm • Relevant Text Book Chapter – “Leverage and Capital Structure” More companies are issuing debt… • RIL has sought share holder approval to raise ₹ 20,000 crore through NCD (June 2018) • Bharti Airtel to raise ₹ 16,500 crore through debt, including $ 1 billion in overseas bonds and NCD (March 2018) • HDFC in talks to raise ₹ 5035 crore through external commercial borrowings Defaults also rising.. • Kingfisher airlines • Reliance communications • Aircel • Key Question – is debt good for firms/investors? Capital Structure and the pie • Value of firm = V •V=D+E • Value of the firm Capital Structure and "The Pie" • What is the firm’s ultimate goal? • Maximizing shareholder value? • Or something else? Debt Equity Imagine you’re a shareholder… There are two important questions: 1.Why should you care about maximizing firm value? Perhaps you should be interested in strategies that maximize shareholder value. 2.What is that particular ratio of debt-to-equity that maximizes the shareholder’s value? • Does such a ratio even exist? Firm Value vs Stockholder Interest Current Proposed I II III Debt 0 500 500 500 Equity 1000 250 500 750 Value 1000 750 1000 1250 Restructured Payoffs Payoffs to Shareholders I II III Capital Gains -750 -500 -250 Dividends 500 500 500 Net Gain/Loss -250 0 250 As it turns out, changes in capital structure only benefit the stockholders if the value of the firm increases. Financial Leverage, EPS and RoE Current Assets Proposed $ 20000 $ 20000 $0 $ 8000 $ 20000 $ 12000 0 0.67 Interest Rate 8% 8% Shares Outstanding 400 240 Share Price $ 50 $ 50 Debt Equity D/E Ratio EPS and RoE: Current Structure Recession EBIT Expected Expansion $ 1000 $ 2000 $ 3000 0 0 0 $ 1000 $ 2000 $ 3000 EPS $ 2.5 $5 $ 7.5 RoA 5% 10% 15% RoE 5% 10% 15% Interest Net Income Shares Outstanding 400 EPS and RoE: Proposed Structure Recession Expected Expansion EBIT $ 1000 $ 2000 $ 3000 Interest $ 640 $ 640 $ 640 Net Income $ 360 $ 1360 $ 2360 EPS $ 1.5 $ 5.67 $ 9.83 RoA 1.8% 6.8% 11.8% RoE 3% 11.3% 19.7% Shares Outstanding 240 Financial Leverage and EPS 12.00 Debt 10.00 EPS 8.00 6.00 4.00 No Debt Advantage to debt Break-even point 2.00 0.00 1,000 (2.00) Disadvantage to debt 2,000 3,000 EBIT in dollars, no taxes What does this mean? 1. The impact of financial leverage depends upon EBIT. 2. Financial leverage increases RoE and EPS when EBIT is greater than the cross-over point. 3. The variability of EPS and RoE increases with leverage. Homemade Leverage • Assume an unlevered company you’re interested to invest in has just announced that they are going levered. • Assume the company is the example described earlier. • As things stand, the EPS for existing and proposed capital structures are as follows: Capital Structure Recession Expected Expansion Current 2.5 5 7.5 Proposed 1.5 5.67 9.83 Homemade Leverage • You want to understand whether the company is really creating value for you by leveraging. • As a test, you want to invest $ 1 in the proposed capital structure i.e. invest $ 1 in the levered equity. • For investing $ 1 @ $ 50 per share your earnings are as follows: EPS 1.5 5.67 9.83 Income from 1 share 1.5 5.67 9.83 Homemade Leverage • Alternative to investing in the equity of the levered firm, you also think whether you can replicate the same dollar return by levering yourself. • Therefore, you try to invest in the unlevered firm (existing) to replicate the return of the levered firm. • As a first step, you need to lever yourself, therefore along with the $ 50 you have, you need to personally borrow $ x that matches the capital structure of the new firm. • As the D/E of new firm is 2/3, currently you have 50 as your own investment, you need to borrow $ 33.33 (at 8%) so that overall your personal portfolio has a borrowing of 33.33 and own money (equity) of 50 matching the D/E of firm. Homemade Leverage • Now, you choose to invest all the proceeds i.e. your own $ 50 and $ 33.33 borrowed, a total of $ 83.33 into the unlevered (current) firm’s equity (approx. 1.67 shares) • For borrowing 33.33, you pay interest of $ 2.67 at 8%. EPSunlevered 2.5 5 7.5 Earning for 1.67 shares 4.167 8.33 12.50 Interest paid (2.67) (2.67) (2.67) Overall gain/loss 1.5 5.67 9.83 Moral of the story • Without taking any risk, the individual investor on his own can replicate the dollar return that the firm promises to provide through change of capital structure. • If the investor can do on his own (without taking risks) what the management promise by their capital restructuring decision, what is the point of such restructuring? • In other words, is the firm adding any value to the investor (in this case shareholder)? Welcome to MM Theory: Assumptions • Homogeneous Expectations • Homogeneous Business Risk Classes • Perpetual Cash Flows • Perfect Capital Markets: • Perfect competition • Firms and investors can borrow/lend at the same rate • Equal access to all relevant information • No transaction costs • No taxes MM Theory Proposition 1 (no taxes) • An individual can create his/her own levered/unlevered position by adjusting trading in his/her own account. • This homemade leverage suggests that capital structure is irrelevant in determining the value of the firm: • VL = VU Alternative Example • Assume there are two companies, U and L, both in the same industry, having same assets worth ₹ 10,000 and both earning the same earnings of ₹ 1,000. • The only difference is, U is an unlevered company while 30% of L’s assets are funded by debt (at 20% interest). • Assume both companies pay out all the earnings to shareholders after a year and immediately get liquidated. • What is the value of both firms? The balance sheets of U and L • The balance sheet of U: Assets 10000 Equity 10000 Debt 3000 Equity 7000 • The balance sheet of L: Assets 10,000 Value created by U and L • As both firms earn ₹ 1,000 and immediately distribute the entire earnings to the shareholders, the Net Income for both firms are as follows: U L Earnings 1000 1000 Interest 0 600 Net Income 1000 400 • Recall the value of a firm is V = D+E, implying the firm creates value for bondholders/debt providers as coupon/interest payments and to equity holders as dividends/capital gains. • In this example, value of U is 1,000 as it has only equity and all earnings are disbursed as dividends. • Firm L, on the other hand provides a value of 600 as interest to debt providers and 400 as dividends to equity holders, a total value of 1000. • Therefore, we see M&M’s proposition in the absence of taxes, VU = VL M&M Proposition II (no taxes) • Proposition II • Leverage increases the risk and return to stockholders Rs = R0 + (D / EL) (R0 - RB) RB is the interest rate (cost of debt) Rs is the return on (levered) equity (cost of equity) R0 is the return on unlevered equity (cost of capital) D is the value of debt EL is the value of levered equity • Essentially, once the firm borrows, the equity holders bear more risk due to the residual nature of equity and demand more returns to compensate for the risk. Cost of capital: R (%) MM Proposition II (No Taxes) R0 RS = R0 + RW ACC = B ( R0 − RB ) SL B S RB + RS B+S B+S RB RB Debt-to-equity Ratio B S Revisiting U and L with taxes • In the previous example of U and L, assume the tax rate is 30%. How does the value of both firms change? U L EBIT 1000 1000 Interest 0 600 EAI 1000 400 Taxes (30%) 300 120 EAT 700 280 Value of firm (D+E) 700 880 • We see that value of L is slightly more than U. This is called the tax shield effect. • Effectively, Value of L = 700 + 30%×600 = 880. Due to interest payment, the tax portion of interest payment is money not paid as taxes, thus increasing the value of the levered firm. M&M Propositions I & II with taxes • Proposition I (with Corporate Taxes) • Firm value increases with leverage VL = VU + TC B • Proposition II (with Corporate Taxes) • Some of the increase in equity risk and return is offset by the interest tax shield RS = R0 + (D/EL)×(1-TC)×(R0 - RB) RB is the interest rate (cost of debt) RS is the return on equity (cost of equity) R0 is the return on unlevered equity (cost of capital) D is the value of debt EL is the value of levered equity The Effect of Financial Leverage Cost of capital: R (%) RS = R0 + RS = R0 + B ( R0 − RB ) SL B (1 − TC ) ( R0 − RB ) SL R0 RW ACC = B SL RB (1 − TC ) + RS B+SL B + SL RB Debt-to-equity ratio (B/S) All Equity Total Cash Flow to Investors EBIT Interest EBT Taxes (Tc = 35%) Levered Total Cash Flow to S/H EBIT Interest ($800 @ 8% ) EBT Taxes (Tc = 35%) Total Cash Flow (to both S/H & B/H): EBIT(1-Tc)+TCRBB Recession $1,000 0 $1,000 $350 Expected $2,000 0 $2,000 $700 Expansion $3,000 0 $3,000 $1,050 $650 $1,300 $1,950 Recession $1,000 640 $360 $126 $234+640 $874 $650+$224 $874 Expected $2,000 640 $1,360 $476 $884+$640 $1,524 $1,300+$224 $1,524 Expansion $3,000 640 $2,360 $826 $1,534+$640 $2,174 $1,950+$224 $2,174 Total Cash Flow to Investors All-equity firm S G Levered firm S G B The levered firm pays less in taxes than does the all-equity firm. Thus, the sum of the debt plus the equity of the levered firm is greater than the equity of the unlevered firm. This is how cutting the pie differently can make the pie “larger.” -the government takes a smaller slice of the pie! Summary: No Taxes • In a world of no taxes, the value of the firm is unaffected by capital structure. • This is M&M Proposition I: VL = VU • Proposition I holds because shareholders can achieve any pattern of payouts they desire with homemade leverage. • In a world of no taxes, M&M Proposition II states that leverage increases the risk and return to stockholders. Rs = R0 + (D / EL) (R0 - RB) Summary: Taxes • In a world of taxes, but no bankruptcy costs, the value of the firm increases with leverage. • This is M&M Proposition I: VL = VU + TC B • Proposition I holds because shareholders can achieve any pattern of payouts they desire with homemade leverage. • In a world of taxes, M&M Proposition II states that leverage increases the risk and return to stockholders. RS = R0 + (D/EL)×(1-TC)×(R0 - RB) THANK YOU