Proceedings of the ASME 2016 35th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering OMAE2016 June 19-24, 2016, Busan, South Korea OMAE2016-54542 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE TO DETERMINE THE EFFECT OF HULL FORM PARAMETERS ON RESISTANCE AND SEAKEEPING PERFORMANCE FOR PSV HULLS Nicholas Boyd Memorial University of Newfoundland St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada David Molyneux Memorial University of Newfoundland St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada ABSTRACT analyzed to determine their contributions to the overall model of the data. Throughout the world many Platform Supply Vessel designs have been proposed as the optimal form for their given operating environment, but evaluating these claims has been difficult due to a poor understanding of the relationships between hull form shapes and performance for these vessels. This paper presents the results of analysis aimed at determining these relationships. The results have found the relationships between the hull design parameters and the Effective Horespower/tonne, heave, and pitch response of the vessel, indicating which factors provide the largest contribution to minimizing each response. The interaction effects between factors were also examined to allow for a generalized understanding of the resulting effect of selecting one hull parameter over another. A numerical model combining all significant factors was fitted to the data, allowing for multiple objective optimization to determine which hull forms provide the most desirable performance for each response. Results of CFD calculations to determine the Effective Horsepower/tonne for a series of PSV designs were presented in the paper A step towards an optimum PSV Hull form. This paper presents results for 16 separate hull forms, which were designed as each possible combination of four two-level hull form parameters. The hull form features considered were bow shape (vertical stem or bulbous), flat of bottom (flat or deadrise), length of parallel mid body (short or long), and stern shape (convention or integrated); resistance was calculated at two typical operating speeds (10 and 14 knots). This set of results was favourable for analysis using the statistical design of experiments technique: analysis of variance, which was used to determine the relationship between the hull and resistance performance. INTRODUCTION Offshore Support Vessels are an essential link the infrastructure required for offshore oil development. The ships have a variety of roles to play, which include delivering cargo to and from offshore oil installations, as well as anchor handling, standby and tanker assistance. Even though the majority of these ships are under 90m length, they have sophisticated requirements for powering and station keeping. The nature of the vessel’s operational profile requires the ship to have minimized power and fuel consumption at transit speeds (typically between 10 and 16 knots) and low levels of motion at zero speed for effective cargo transfer. The same hull form series was used to study the effects of the hull form parameters on motions in head waves. A 2 level factorial experiment was designed based on the hull parameters with the heave and pitch response calculated using the potential flow ship motion prediction code Shipmo3D, for each of two representative wave conditions (summer light seas and winter heavy seas) at the zero speed and 10 knot operating speed. Analysis of variance was used to analyze the heave and pitch responses measured, and was used to determine the relationship between each hull parameter and each response. In both cases a 5% F-test was used to determine the significance of each parameter studied, and the significant effects were There have been recent advances in the design of these ships, which include specialized bow shapes, such as the Sea Axe bow developed by Damen Shipyard [1] and the X bow developed by Ulstien [2], but very little specific information has been provided to help ship designers and operators select the optimal hull form proportions and design features for a particular installation and 1 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo required mission profile, based on the possible trade-offs in performance. runs required to determine a specific level of accuracy in the results. This method varies parameters in combination with others to allow for determination of the combined effects of variables and interactions. Each test run is given a treatment combination where each level of a variable is prescribed for the test run. In light of recent discoveries of oil further offshore and in harsher environments than previously developed, it is necessary to develop a design for PSVs that are optimized for these unique and new environments. [3] This paper aims to define the relationships between hull design parameters and vessel performance, to assist in determining the optimal design for this new environment. The resistance performance was evaluated by conducting ANOVA on the data presented in the paper A step towards the optimum PSV hull form. The ANOVA used an alpha value of 0.05 for significance, and model coefficients were estimated. Using the experimental design an analysis technique Design of Experiments (DOE) the effects of hull form parameters were studied on the resistance and seakeeping performance of PSV hulls. This powerful technique uses statistical analysis to perform efficient experiments which capture the nature of physical systems effectively, including the conditional effects of parameters on one another, a physical phenomenon which cannot be modeled using traditional One Factor at a Time Methods. ANOVA works by comparing the change in a measured response to the varying of 1 or more parameters. The amount of change in response is then divided by the Mean Square Error of the Data, to give a ratio, called the F-Value. This F-value is then assigned a statistical probability of occurrence due to error based on the degrees of freedom in the data. This probability is then compared to the chosen alpha value, to determine whether the change in response is statistically likely to be due to the change in the parameters. In this way, all the statistically significant parameters in an experiment can be identified. The DOE technique has been used successfully previously in the naval architecture field, first being shown to be useful when combined with dimensional analysis techniques for hydrodynamic experiments [4], and has since been used in propeller performance prediction experiments [5], as well as ship motions experiments [6]. To evaluate seakeeping performance, an optimal design 2 level factorial experiment was conducted using the 16 hull forms used in the resistance experiment, at speeds representing a normal forward speed (10 knots), and 0 speed, in wave heights representative of the expected wave height and period in summer (1.5m Hs and 8.5 s) and winter (4.5m Hs and 11.5 s) for the Flemish Pass Basin. Data was collected for heave and pitch, assuming head seas using the potential flow solving code ShipMo3D. METHODOLOGY The basis for the analysis described in this paper are numerical predictions of the performance of a series of OSV hulls forms. The hull parameter effects were evaluated first for the resistance performance and then the seakeeping performance for 16 unique hull forms, each a combination of 2 levels of 4 factors: Bow Shape (Vertical or Bulbous), Bottom Shape (Flat or Deadrise), Midbody Length (Short or Long), and Stern Shape (Conventional or Integrated). ANOVA was conducted on this data, with each response (heave and pitch) having a separate mathematical model to represent the data. Using an alpha value of 0.05, the significant parameters were found and the model coefficients were estimated. The resistance analysis was described by A step towards an optimum PSV Hull form [7] where resistance per tonne displacement was calculated using the CFD code Numeca [8]. The numerical predictions of the motions of the same series of ships in waves were calculated using Shipmo3D [9]. RESULTS The relationships between parameters and performance were evaluated by developing a mathematical model for resistance and motions data using the statistical Design of Experiments (DOE) method, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), to determine the significance of parameters and their equation coefficients. This method uses statistical analysis to determine the important parameters in an experiment, comparing the effect of varying a parameter relative to the noise of experimental error to find a probability of the effect occurring due to noise. [10] For the relationship between speed and resistance, a square root transform was required for the data to fit a model. Following this a model was developed including the significant terms, as well as those required to maintain hierarchy in the model, as summarized in Table 1 below. After conducting ANOVA on all the data, a model was fitted which represented the data statistically, these models are summarized in the tables below. Table 1, Resistance ANOVA Table Source Sum of df Mean Squares Square The DOE method is an approach to experimental design, where the variation of parameters is chosen to minimize the number of Model 2 0.91 12 0.075 F Value 5222.53 p-value Prob > F < 0.0001 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo ABottom B-Bow CMidbody D-Stern E-Speed AB AE BC BE CE DE BCE Residual Cor Total 4.264E004 1.426E003 2.291E003 4.364E004 0.89 1 7.413E005 1.818E004 5.625E004 9.317E003 3.745E005 1.445E004 4.543E004 2.745E004 0.91 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 19 4.264E004 1.426E003 2.291E003 4.364E004 0.89 7.413E005 1.818E004 5.625E004 9.317E003 3.745E005 1.445E004 4.543E004 1.445E005 29.52 ESpeed F-Sea State AB 5.13 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 0.0354 12.59 0.0021 BC 38.94 CD 2.59 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 0.1239 ABC 10.00 0.0051 ACD 31.45 < 0.0001 Residual 98.71 158.59 30.21 61607.76 644.93 AC AD AE EF Cor Total 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 26 3.28819 1 89.9928 8 0.03126 5 0.00563 6 0.00122 4 0.00888 9 0.00490 5 0.00262 9 0.26982 9 0.01581 4 0.00639 2 0.00120 9 2720.14 8 74446.3 9 25.8642 5 4.66197 9 1.01250 4 7.35364 8 4.05724 6 2.17474 4 223.215 7 13.0819 7 5.28777 9 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 0.0402 0.3236 0.0117 0.0544 0.1523 < 0.0001 0.0013 0.0298 41 Another model was fitted to represent the data for pitch found in the experiment. The significant terms and those required for hierarchy are summarized in Table 3 below. Table 3, Pitch Motion ANOVA Table Source Sum of df Mean Squares Square The relationships between parameters and heave were found and a model was fitted for the data found through experimentation. A model was fitted, using the significant terms as well as those needed for hierarchy, summarized in Table 2 below. Table 2, Heave Motion ANOVA Table Source Sum of df Mean Squares Square A-Bow Shape BBottom Shape CMidbody Length D-Stern Shape 96.0198 2 1 31 The data in the paper did not have full factorial results for Speed and Trim, trim was part of a separate model. As this paper is concerned with understanding the general relationships between factors for vessels in their normal operating condition, the effects of trim were excluded from this study. Model 3.28819 1 89.9928 8 0.03126 5 0.00563 6 0.00122 4 0.00888 9 0.00490 5 0.00262 9 0.26982 9 0.01581 4 0.00639 2 0.03143 95.9883 9 0.02864 7 0.04927 15 0.28267 7 0.01976 5 F Value p-value Prob > F < 0.0001 < 0.0001 < 0.0001 6.39922 6 0.02864 7 0.04927 5293.74 4 23.6980 2 40.7584 5 1 0.28267 7 233.844 < 0.0001 1 0.01976 5 16.3508 0.0004 1 1 3 F Value p-value Prob > F Model 89.63329 12 7.469441 5020.805 < 0.0001 A-Bow Shape BBottom Shape CMidbody Length D-Stern Shape E-Speed 0.021913 1 0.021913 14.72969 0.0006 0.008049 1 0.008049 5.410365 0.0272 0.287899 1 0.287899 193.5196 < 0.0001 0.016483 1 0.016483 11.07928 0.0024 5.391042 1 5.391042 3623.747 < 0.0001 F-Sea State AB 83.6061 1 83.6061 56198.3 < 0.0001 0.004044 1 0.004044 2.718 0.1100 AC 0.001505 1 0.001505 1.011571 0.3228 AE 0.007847 1 0.007847 5.274827 0.0290 AF 0.012758 1 0.012758 8.575596 0.0066 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo BC 0.003365 1 0.003365 2.261819 0.1434 ABC 0.008248 1 0.008248 5.543985 0.0255 Residual 0.043143 29 0.001488 Cor Total 89.67644 41 The bottom shape was also involved in a significant interaction with the speed effect. This interaction can be seen when comparing the results in Figure 2. Interaction Resistance (EHP/Te) 0.5 Once a model was fitted to the data, it was then possible to examine the effect of each parameter which was significant. The effect of choosing each parameter on the corresponding performance metric is summarized in the sections below. 14 Knots 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Flat Bottom RESISTANCE DISCUSSION Figure 2, Bottom-Speed Interaction Plot It can be seen from this figure that although the interaction between the bottom shape and speed was a weak interaction, the benefit offered by using a deadrise bottom is more evident at higher speed than at lower speed. The next significant factor was factor B, the bow shape. Bow shape was found to depend on a 3 factor interaction between bow shape, midbody length and speed. As there was a strong interaction between the bow shape and other factors, it is not possible to make a generalized statement about the effect of bow shape, without first accounting for what the other factor conditions are. These interactions are explained with their corresponding figures in Figure 3 and Figure 4 below. The factor A, Bottom was found to have significant interactions with speed, and bow shape of the vessel. When examining each of these interaction plots, we see that the nature of the bottom shape factor was that for a vessel which had a dead rise bottom shape, there was a general decrease in required power to operate at speed. This can be demonstrated in each of the interaction plots below. The specific nature of each interaction is summarized along with its interaction plot. Interaction First of all there was found to be a significant interaction between the bottom shape and the bow shape, this interaction is demonstrated by examining the interaction in Figure 1. 0.14 Short Midbody Resistance (EHP/Te) 0.12 Interaction 0.6 Vertical Bow 0.5 Deadrise Bottom Bottom Shape In the results of each ANOVA, it can be seen that each of the parameters of the experiment were found to significantly impact the predicted resistance. To gain an understanding of the relationships between choosing each parameter, it is necessary to determine what effect varying a parameter has on the predicted outcome. To best understand the outcome, it is best to examine each factor along with its interactions. Resistance (EHP/Te) 10 Knots 0.4 Bulbous Bow 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.4 0.02 0.3 0 Vertical Bow 0.2 Long Midbody 0.1 Bulbous Bow Bow Shape Figure 3, Bow-Midbody Length Interaction at Low Speed 0.1 0 Flat Bottom Deadrise Bottom Bottom Shape Figure 1, Bottom-Bow Interaction Plot In this figure we can see there is a weak interaction effect between the bottom shape and bow shape, with a deadrise bottom offering a slightly larger performance increase for vessels with a bulbous bow as opposed to vessels with a vertical bow. 4 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo Interaction Interaction 0.5 0.6 Short Midbody Long Midbody Resistance (EHP/Te) Resistance (EHP/Te) 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Vertical Bow 10 Knots 14 Knots 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Conventional Stern Bulbous Bow Bow Shape Integrated Stern Stern Shape Figure 4, Bow-Midbody Length Interaction at High Speed Figure 6, Stern-Speed Interaction Plot As can be seen from these figures, the interaction is rather complex, first of all, it can be seen that at low speed, the vertical bow shape was shown to have a lower resistance, but at higher speed, the bulbous bow offers a benefit. This effect can be explained by the fact that the bulbous bow is optimized for operating at higher speed, but adds additional frictional resistance to the vessel, creating extra resistance at low speed. There appears to be very little interaction between bow and midship length at low speed, but this interaction is quite apparent at higher speed, where the bulbous bow was seen to have a much larger effect for short mid sections as opposed to large sections. In this figure we can see that although there is a weak interaction, it is quite clear that the integrated stern offers a greater performance increase when operating at higher speed. The final factor considered in this experiment was that of speed, which as expected results in a higher resistance when operating at higher speed. Once all the factors have been accounted for, a mathematical model is fitted which can be used to predict resistance for vessels with the corresponding combinations of hull forms. For resistance, this formula is found to be: Following bow shape, the effect of the length of the midbody was examined. The results showed that in general, a longer midbody section resulted in a performance increase, the interaction between midship length and speed was determined to be significant and is presented in Figure 5. √𝑅𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 = 0.50 − 0.00365 𝐴 − 0.00676 𝐵 − 0.00846 𝐶 − 0.00369 𝐷 + 0.17 𝐸 − 0.00152 𝐴 𝐵 − 0.00238 𝐴 𝐸 + 0.00493 𝐵 𝐶 − 0.017 𝐵 𝐸 − 0.00108 𝐶 𝐸 − 0.00213 𝐷 𝐸 + 0.00377 𝐵 𝐶 𝐸 Interaction Resistance (EHP/Te) 0.5 The Parameters for coded value of factors are provided in Table 4 below: 10 Knots 14 Knots 0.4 0.3 Table 4, Resistance Equation Parameters Value A BCD - Stern Bottom Bow Midbody -1 Flat Vertical Short Conventional 0.2 0.1 0 Short Midbody Long Midbody 1 Midbody Length Deadrise Bulb Long Integrated ESpeed 10 Knots 14 Knots Figure 5, Midbody Length - Speed Interaction Plot Using this mathematical model, it is possible to predict what hull form would provide the greatest efficiency for a specific operating condition. The optimum hull forms are presented in Table 5 below. This interaction is clearly a weak interaction effect, however, the nature of this interaction is that the effect of midbody length is slightly higher at high speed. The final hull parameter to be examined was the stern shape parameter. Analysis of this factor showed that in general, using an integrated stern resulted in a performance increase. This can be observed by examining Figure 6. Table 5, Optimized Resistance Hull Forms Speed (Knots) 10 14 5 Bottom Shape Deadrise Deadrise Bow Shape Vertical Bulbous Midbody Length Long Long Stern Shape Integrated Integrated Resistance (EHP/Te) 0.096 0.399 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo HEAVE DISCUSSION The next factor, the bottom shape, showed that a deadrise bottom generally resulted in increased motions for the vessel, one significant interaction was found with the midbody length, shown in Figure 9. For heave response, Factor A was the bow shape studied. In this experiment the results showed that in general using a bulbous bow had a corresponding increase in heave motion when compared with a vertical bow. This factor has several interactions, including the Interaction with bottom shape, midbody length, stern shape, and speed. Heave (m) Interaction The first interaction is the ABC interaction, and is presented in Figure 7 and Figure 8. Heave (m) Interaction 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Vertical Bow Flat Bottom Deadrise Bottom 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Flat Bottom Long Midbody Deadrise Bottom Bottom Shape Figure 9, Bottom-Midbody Length Interaction Plot This interaction shows that the effect of midbody length on performance is greater for flat bottoms than for deadrise bottoms. Bulbous Bow The midbody length factor C was found to have a performance increase corresponding to an increase in length, this interacted significantly with the stern shape of the vessel, presented in Figure 10. Bow Shape Figure 7, Bow-Bottom Interaction Low Midbody Length Interaction Interaction 1.2 Flat Bottom 1 0.9 Deadrise Bottom Conventional Stern 0.8 0.8 Integrated Stern 0.7 0.6 0.6 Heave (m) Heave (m) Short Midbody 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0 Vertical Bow 0.1 Bulbous Bow 0 Short Midbody Bow Shape Long Midbody Midbody Length Figure 8, Bow-Bottom Interaction High Midbody Length Figure 10, Midbody Length-Stern Interaction Plot It can be seen in this graphic that for vessels with a long midbody length, the AB interaction is very weak, showing that although the bulbous bow increases the motions, it appears to have little interaction with the shape of the vessel bottom. It is clear from this interaction plot that the stern shape of the vessel has little effect on performance for short midbody vessels, but does offer an effect for long midbody vessels. However, when comparing this with vessels with a short midbody, we see that for bulbous bows, the bottom shape does not influence the motion response, however for vertical bows, the flat bottom offered a performance increase over a deadrise bottom. The effect of factor D stern shape was such that a conventional stern offered slightly better motion performance than an integrated stern in heave. All interactions with this factor are described above. The effect of vessel speed factor E was found that in general increased speed resulted in reduced vessel heave. This experienced an interaction with the sea state, as shown in Figure 11. The ACD and AE interactions, though statistically significant showed very weak interaction effects with no particularly impactful consequences on the effect of the bow shape on performance. 6 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo PITCH DISCUSSION Interaction 4.5 Similar to heave, pitch data was collected in a numerical simulation for the 16 hull forms, and analyzed, the factors for pitch are identical to those used in heave. Summer Low Seas 4 Winter High Seas 3.5 Heave (m) 3 2.5 Factor A, the bow shape, showed that in general, a vertical bow offered better motion performance in pitch, but was subject to a significant interaction effect along with bottom shape and midbody length. As well as the interaction with speed and sea state. 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 Knots 10 Knots Speed This interaction, ABC, is demonstrated in Figure 12 and Figure 13. Figure 11, Speed-Sea State Interaction Plot It is clear from this figure that the effect of speed on motion response is more significant when operating in higher sea states. The final factor, Factor F indicates that the motions in heave increase when the sea state is more severe, as expected. Interaction 1.4 Flat Bottom 1.2 Deadrise Bottom Pitch (Deg) 1 Using the significant parameters of this experiment, a equation was fitted to represent this data, this model is presented below in coded numbers: 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 𝐻𝑒𝑎𝑣𝑒 = 2.15 + 0.027 𝐴 + 0.035 𝐵 − 0.084 𝐶 + 0.022 𝐷 − 0.29 𝐸 + 1.49 𝐹 − 0.028 𝐴 𝐵 − 0.012 𝐴 𝐶 − 0.0055 𝐴 𝐷 − 0.015 𝐴 𝐸 + 0.011 𝐵 𝐶 + 0.0081 𝐶 𝐷 − 0.086 𝐸 𝐹 − 0.020 𝐴 𝐵 𝐶 − 0.013 𝐴 𝐶 𝐷 0 Vertical Bow Figure 12, Bow-Bottom Interaction Low Midbody Length Interaction Pitch (Deg) The coded numbers for each factor are provided in Table 6 Table 6, Heave Equation Parameters Value -1 A - Bow Vertical B - Bottom Flat C - Midbody Short D - Stern Conventional E - Speed 0 Knots F - Seas 1.5 m Hs at 8.5s +1 Bulbous Deadrise Long Integrated 10 Knots 4.5 m Hs at 11.5s Bottom Shape Flat Flat Midbody Length Long Long Stern Shape Conventional Conventional Flat Bottom 1.2 Deadrise Bottom 1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0 Vertical Bow Bulbous Bow Bow Shape Figure 13, Bow-Bottom Interaction High Midbody Length It can be seen in this figure that the nature of the interaction is for a long midbody, the bottom shape has no effect of performance, but for a short midbody and a vertical bow, the flat bottom has a slightly better pitch performance. Table 7, Heave Optimized Hull Form Bow Shape Vertical Vertical 1.4 0.4 Using this mathematical model, an optimum hull form can be selected which offers the lowest heave performance, assumed at the higher sea state, and is summarized in Table 7. Speed (Knots) 0 10 Bulbous Bow Bow Shape Heave (m) 3.75 3.04 The interactions with speed and sea state, though statistically significant have too small an effect to noticeably impact the motions of the vessel. Factor B the bottom shape was shown to in general offer a slightly better performance for flat bottoms as opposed to deadrise bottoms. 7 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo Factor C showed that in general an increase in midbody length resulted in a corresponding decrease in pitch motion. The hull analysis has shown that in general, using a long midbody, deadrise bottom, and integrated stern results in reduced resistance, with the effect of using a bulbous bow being dependent on the speed, with low speed favoring vertical bows and high speeds favoring bulbous bows. Conversely, the seakeeping performance of vessels is generally better for vessels with vertical bows, flat bottoms, long mid sections, and conventional sterns, suggesting there is an inverse relationship for tradeoffs between resistance and seakeeping performance. Factor D showed in general that conventional sterns offered slightly better motion characteristics than the integrated stern. Factor E showed that operating at a higher speed resulted in a great reduction in measured motions. Factor F sea state showed that motions increased with worsening sea states as expected. Further analysis is required to investigate the trade-offs in performance, between the hull shapes needed for minimum resistance and minimum motions in waves. An optimization function should be developed based on the combined responses of multiple variables. A further discussion on the selection of waves is required. The waves used were for a single height and frequency (regular waves) in head waves. Other headings could be considered, especially for the ship with forward speed, and realistic irregular sea states could be included in further analysis. Using the significant parameters of this experiment, an equation was fitted to represent this data, this model is presented below in coded numbers: 𝑃𝑖𝑡𝑐ℎ = 2.40 + 0.023 𝐴 + 0.014 𝐵 − 0.084 𝐶 + 0.020 𝐷 − 0.36 𝐸 + 1.43 𝐹 − 0.010 𝐴 𝐵 − 0.0061 𝐴 𝐶 − 0.014 𝐴 𝐸 − 0.018 𝐴 𝐹 + 0.0091 𝐵 𝐶 − 0.014 𝐴 𝐵 𝐶 All of the design of experiments methodology was based on numerical predictions of ship performance. In the case of the resistance predictions, a state of the art commercial RANS CFD code was used. In the case of the ship motions a 3-dimensional potential flow code was used. In all cases, it was assumed that there was a linear reaction between the low and high levels, and that a peak or trough did not occur between the two selected values. This assumption should be checked, with additional simulations at intermediate points between the selected levels. There are design of experiment techniques that could be used to include these additional points. Also the accuracy of the numerical predictions should be checked against model experiments, or the performance of full-scale ships. The coded numbers for each factor are provided in Table 8. Table 8, Pitch Equation Parameters Value -1 A - Bow Vertical B - Bottom Flat C - Midbody Short D - Stern Conventional E - Speed 0 Knots F - Seas 1.5 m Hs at 8.5s +1 Bulbous Deadrise Long Integrated 10 Knots 4.5 m Hs at 11.5s Using this mathematical model, an optimum hull form can be selected which offers the lowest pitch performance, assumed at the higher sea state, and is summarized in Table 9. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Table 9, Pitch Optimized Hull Form Speed (Knots) 0 10 Bow Shape Vertical Vertical Bottom Shape Flat Flat Midbody Length Long Long Stern Shape Conventional Conventional Pitch (Deg) 4.03 3.33 The authors would like to thank Peter Van Diepen and Ross Titman at Naviform Consulting and Research Ltd. who drew our attention to the work they were doing on OSV hull form design and its suitability for this type of analysis. They also generously provided us with the hull form geometry files that allowed us to carry out the motion predictions. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS REFERENCES The work presented in this paper has shown that the design of experiments methodology can be successfully applied to numerical predictions of the resistance and motion in waves for a series of Offshore Supply Vessel hull forms. The number of significant terms in each case is considerably less than the number of possible terms, and the most significant parameters in each case were successfully identified against an assumed level of statistical significance. The resulting equations can be used to determine the factors that result in the minimum resistance per tonne displacement, or the minimum motion (heave and pitch) in waves. [1] Keuning, Alexander J.A., Serge Toxopeus and Jakob Pinkster. The Effect of Bowshape on the Seakeeping Performance of a Fast Monohull. Delft, n.d. Report. [2] Ulstein. X-Bow. n.d. Website. 1 January 2016. [3] Statoil. Significant Oil Discovery Offshore Canada. 26 September 2013. News Article. 1 January 2016. 8 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo [4] Islam, M.F., Lye, L., 2008, Combined use of dimensional analysis and modern experimental design methodologies in hydrodynamics experiments, Ocean Engineering Journal (OEJ), Vol.36, pp237-247. Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering(OMAE2015), St. John’s, Canada, May 31-June 5, 2015, 13p. [7] Van Diepen, Peter M, Ross A Titman and Mark AM Belko. A step towards an optimum PSV hull form. Vancouver: NaviForm Consulting and Research Ltd., n.d. Paper. [5] Islam, M., Jahra, F., Doucet, M., 2015, Optimization of RANS solver simulation setup for propeller open water performance prediction, 34th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering(OMAE2015), St. John’s, Canada, May 31-June 5, 2015, 11p. [8] Numeca International. FINE/Marine. 2012. Brochure. 1 January 2016. [9] Dynamic Systems Analysis. ShipMo3D. 2014. Web Site. 1 January 2016. [6] Sayeed, T., Lye, L., Peng, H., 2015, Response Surface Models for Analyzing Sinkage and Trim Effects on Planing Hull Motions in a Vertical Plane, 34th International Conference on [10] Fisher, Ronald A. Statistical Methods for Research Workers. Edinburgh: Oliver and Boyd, 1925. 9 Copyright © 2016 by ASME Downloaded From: http://proceedings.asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/conferences/asmep/89849/ on 02/08/2017 Terms of Use: http://www.asme.org/abo