Overview of India’s Energy Scenario SHARAD VALVI ASSISTANT PROFESSOR DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING SARDAR PATEL COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING MUMBAI ENERGY MAP OF INDIA Courtesy: Eastern Coalfields Limited Source: http://ppac.org.in/WriteReadData/userfiles/file/IndiaRefineryMap.pdf (As on Coal Production in India 500 Production 450 Annual Production( Million Tonnes) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 Year Fig: Annual production of coal in India 2010 India - Fossil Fuel reserves Fuel Coal +Lignite (Million Tonnes) Oil (Million Tonnes) N.Gas Reserves Prodn R/P 2003-4 ratio 34000 414 ~83 (P) 140 P+I 760 33 23 (7) (117) 920 32 29 Billion m3 Uranium 61000 Tonnes PHWR ~50 10GW Coal deposits are mainly confined to eastern and south central parts of the country . The State of Jharkhand had the maximum share (26.81%) in the overall reserves of coal in the country . As on 31.03.14 the estimated reserves of coal was 301.05 billion tons. Fig: estimated reserves of coal An “Inferred Resource” is one that is based on limited sampling and is based on reasonably assumed, but limited information. An “Indicated Resource” is a Resource whose quantity, grade (quality), shape, size and continuity can be more confidently reported. A “Measured Resource” represents the highest level of geologic knowledge and confidence in a Resource. Although India's reserves of coal are large there are number of problems SUPPLY SIDE PROBLEMS a) The quality of coal is poor with high ash and moisture content. b) Coking coal is very scarce. c) Coal mining suffers from multiple obstacles like environmental clearance, tribal resistance, Left wing extremism domination etc. d) Poor technology is causing excessive wastages. DEMAND SIDE PROBLEMS a) Domestic demand is shrinking as their major buyers i.e. Power companies are suffering losses due to non recovery. b) Increase in carbon cess has increased its cost. c) With amendment to Coal act there is an oversupply of coal in the market. OIL FIG: ANNUAL OIL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF OIL IN INDIA The estimated reserves of crude oil in India as on 31.03.2014 stood at 762.74 million tons (MT). maximum reserves of crude oil 1]Western Offshore (42.91%) 2]Assam (22.69%) In 1951 the consumption of petroleum product was only 3.89Mt. Consumption was 17.59Mt in 1970, 30.90Mt in 1980, 103.44Mt in 2000. Annual consumption of petroleum product are as follows From 1951 to 1970 –8.3per cent From 1970 to 1990- 5.8 per cent From 1990 to 2000-6.5 per cent Fig: Estimated reserves of crude oil in India NATURAL GAS Fig : Annual production of natural gas in India The estimated reserves of natural gas in India as on 31.03.2014 stood at 1427.15 billion cubic meters. Proved recoverable reserves of natural gas were estimated to be 352 billion M3 in 1980 and 686billion M3 in 1990. Fig : estimated reserves of natural gas in India. Water power Fig: Installed capacity and electricity generation from water power in India. Installed capacity was only 508 MW in 1947 and 560MW at the beginning of the first five year plan in 1951. Installed capacity increased at average rate of about 6.5 per cent from 1917MW in 1960 to 31277 MW in 2005. Electricity production has increased from 2195 GWh in 1947 to 1,01,293 GWh in 2005. It is estimated that there is potential for installing capacity about 1,48,700MW. Potential of Small Hydropower Total estimated potential of 180000 MW. Total potential developed in the late 1990s was about 47000 MW with China contributing as much as one-third total potentials. 570 TWh per year from plants less than 2 MW capacity. The technical potential of micro, mini and small hydro in India is placed at 6800 MW. Small Hydro in India STATE TOTAL CAPACITY (MW) ARUNACHAL PRADESH 1059.03 HIMACHAL PRADESH 1624.78 UTTAR PRADESH & UTTARANCHAL 1472.93 JAMMU & KASHMIR 1207.27 KARNATAKA 652.51 MAHARASHTRA 599.47 Nuclear power Fig: electricity generation from nuclear power in India. The installed capacity of nuclear power plant in India is about 3900MW. Number of units are under construction. Installed capacity of nuclear power will increase to 7280MW when seven reactor under construction are completed. The highest amount 19242GWh was produced in 2002. Estimated reserves available are about 61000 t. Wind power in india Fig: installed capacity and electricity generation from wind power in India. At the end of 1990 the capacity was only 37MW and at the end of 2005 it was 5342MW. India now ranks fourth in the world in terms of wind power installed capacity. Electricity production in India Fig: total installed capacity and electricity generation in India from all commercial sources. Installed capacity has increased from 1362MW in 1947 to 16664MW in 1973 and to 124287MW in 2005. Average annual growth rate of 10.1 per cent from 1947 to 1973 and to a rate of 6.5 per cent from 1973 to 2005. Electricity produced were 4073GWh in 1947, 66689GWh in 1973 and 6,15,746GWh in 2005. Year Installed capacity Fossil fuel total Hydro Nuclear Miscellan eous 1947 MW % 854 62.7 508 37.3 0 0 0 0 1362 100.0 1973 MW % 9058 54.4 6966 41.8 640 3.8 0 0 16664 100.0 2005 MW % 82410 66.3 31277 25.2 3360 2.7 7240 5.8 124287 100.0 Fig: installed capacity for electrical power in INDIA. DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT WHAT IS DSM NEED FOR DSM IMPLEMENTATION OF DSM BENEFITS OF DSM PROBLEMS OF DSM FUTURE WHAT IS DSM “Demand Side Management” is the modification of consumer’s demand of electricity through various methods such as financial incentives and consumer education. Usually the goal of DSM is to encourage the consumers to use less energy during peak hours or to move the time of energy use to the off-peak hours. WHAT IS DSM …..(CNTD) DSM is universal and does not only apply to utilities, electricity or monopolies IN SHORTLY, DSM = Large-Scale Deployment of Energy Efficient Equipment by use of specially designed Programmes. Key features of the present power systems and the opportunities for demand side management (DSM) Generation capacity, plant utilisation and efficiency supply demand that varies daily and seasonally, and given that demand is largely uncontrollable and interruptions very costly. installed generation capacity must be able to meet maximum (peak) . demand the average utilisation of the generation capacity is below 55%. Utilisation of transmission and distribution networks After loss of a circuit due to a fault (e.g. lightning strike), the remaining circuits that take over the load of the faulty line must not become overloaded. this means that, under normal operation, during peak-load conditions, circuits in the interconnected transmission network are generally loaded below 50%. Distribution networks are operated as passive systems with real-time control problems being resolved in the planning stage. application of DSM to increase the utilisation of existing distribution network assets. Key features of demand demand is the diversity in usage of appliances. Coincidence factor is the peak of a system divided by the sum of peak loads of its individual components. It tells how likely the individual components are peaking at the same time. THE ISSUES Load level ◦ a wasteful demand requires too much supply for the specific needs Load shape ◦ high peaks, ◦ little reserve capacity, ◦ bottlenecks in transmission and distribution FROM THE GRAPH The peak demand of 225 KW is there for an average of 12 hours in a day The base demand is 125 KW, which is much less than the peak demand of 4,300 MW To meet the extra demand utility has to arrange additional installed capacity or purchase power at high rate Thus DSM will always try to encourage consumers to: ◦ Use less energy during Peak hours (Peak Clipping) ◦ Shift energy use to off peak hours (Valley Filling) NEED FOR DSM Increasing energy requirement Increasing threat of climate change and other environmental considerations Energy security Lack of other supply options Huge scope for energy efficiency measures NEED FOR DSM ….(CNTD) Saving 1 unit of electricity at consumer end avoids nearly 2.5 times of capacity addition 1 MW capacity addition of thermal power requires Rs 6 crores for installation and another Rs 3 crores for Transmission and Distribution IMPLEMETATION OF DSM There are 3 methods to implement dsm ENERGY EFFIENCY 2. DEMAND RESPONSE 3. DYNAMIC DEMAND 1. Energy Efficiency: Using less power to perform the same tasks Demand Response: Demand Response includes all intentional modifications to consumption patterns of electricity of enduser customers that are intended to alter the timing, level of instantaneous demand, or the total electricity consumption Dynamic Demand: The concept is that by monitoring the power factor of the power grid, as well as their own control parameters, individual, intermittent loads would switch on or off at optimal moments to balance the overall system load with generation, reducing critical power mismatches STEPS TO BE FOLLOWED To charge higher prices during Peak Hours Improving the efficiency of various end uses by using energy efficient appliances, better house keeping and reducing energy leakages. This is important for agriculture where energy efficiency is very low (30-50%) Promoting use of Energy Efficient Technologies and addressing Aggregate Technical and Commercial (AT&C) Losses Benefits of DSM and future opportunities 1. Reducing the generation margin by DSM the total capacity of installed generation in the system must be larger than the system maximum demand to ensure the security of supply in the face of uncertainty in available generation. shortages by installing generation that would be used very infrequently, it may be possible to identify house- holds that would be willing (for a fee) to forgo consumption relatively infrequently. the value of DSM could increase considerably above the cost of generation due to difficulties and delays in the planning process associated with building new power stations. 2. Improving transmission grid investment and operation efficiency through DSM system is prepared in advance to withstand credible outages (specified in accordance with the security standards)with no need for any immediate corrective action to be taken following the outage. preventive security is achieved by dispatching generating units out of merit in order to make sure that no credible contingency would leave the system in an untenable situation. operate the system at lower operating costs and with reduced network and generation capacity. provided that over- loads that occur after outages of circuits and generators can be effectively eliminated by carrying out appropriate corrective actions. some consumers would find it financially attractive to curtail or postpone their load to help correct an emergency situation. 3. Improving distribution network investment efficiency through DSM DSM could bring a spectrum of potential benefits in terms of I. deferring new network investment, II. increasing the amount of distributed generation that can be connected to the existing distribution network infrastructure. III. relieving voltage-constrained power transfer problems, IV. relieving congestion in distribution substations, V. simplifying outage management and enhancing the quality and security of supply to critical-load customers, and VI. providing corresponding carbon reduction. 4.DSM in managing demand–supply balance in systems with intermittent renewables. Wind power, both on- and offshore, is presently the principal commercially available and scaleable renewable energy technology deliver the majority of the required growth in renewable energy and continue to be the dominant renewable technology. when high wind conditions coincide with low demand. In this context, DSM would allow more wind energy to be absorbed and would therefore reduce the fuel burned. DSM techniques Night-time heating with load switching: night-time electricity heating has been successfully applied in a number of countries. increased domestic night-time load giving a more balanced use of the electricity generation and network across the day Direct-load control Domestic direct-load control programmes apply to appliances that can be turned off or cycled for relatively short periods of time. Receiver systems are installed to enable communications from the utility and to institute controls. The utility cycles or shuts off an appliance for a limited number of hours for a limited number of occasions. Smarter control systems have memories built in to recognise how much the equipment has been running and are programmed to cycle at different frequencies so that all participants provide. Customers who take part in direct-control schemes receive compensation through reduced electricity bills. Load limiters Load limiters limit the power that can be taken by individual consumers. The level at which the limit is set can be adjusted to reflect system conditions. This scheme offers some choice to users to decide themselves which appliances to use and what consumption to postpone. Commercial/industrial Peak-load management programmes: programmes are available to commer- cial and industrial classes of customers. interruptible load control is not exercised on a daily basis but is used to support the system following outages of generation or network facilities. Frequency regulation: System frequency is the direct measure of the balance between generation and system demand at any one instant and must be maintained continuously within narrow statutory limits of around 50 Hz. Time-of-use pricing Time-of-use (ToU) rates are designed to more closely reflect the production and investment cost structure, where rates are higher during peak periods and lower during off-peak periods. This method is widely practiced in a number of European countries, particularly for households with electric heating. Challenges for DSM Lack of understanding of the benefits of DSM solutions there has not been enough clarity regarding the business case for DSM, particularly due to a lack of methodologies for the quantification of costs and benefits. DSM-based solutions are often not competitive when compared with traditional approaches DSM-based solutions tend to increase the complexity of the system operation when compared with traditional solutions. Operating the power system with a corrective control approach will increase operational complexity. Inappropriate market structure and lack of incentives The benefits of using enabling technologies such as DSM (or storage) often accrue to different participants. This presents a challenge for the development of a business case for these technologies as disaggregation and characterisation of their multi-stream value is a complex task. Benefits of Demand Side Management Customer Benefits Utility Benefits Societal Benefits Satisfy electricity demands Reduce environmental Lower cost of service degradation Reduce / stabilize costs or electricity bill Improve operating efficiency, Flexibility Conserve resources Maintain/improve lifestyle and productivity Improve customer service Protect global environment PROBLEMS OF DSM It might result in higher utility costs for consumers and less profit for utilities. Another problem of DSM is privacy: The consumers have to provide some information about their usage of electricity to their electricity company. Dissatisfaction may arise among the consumers FINAL THOUGHT…. DSM leads to, Energy efficiency ii. Industrial development iii. Energy security i. Benefits of Renewable Energy Use Little to No Global Warming Emissions Improved Public Health and Environmental Quality A Vast and Inexhaustible Energy Supply Jobs and Other Economic Benefits Stable Energy Prices A More Reliable and Resilient Energy System Little to No Global Warming Emissions one-third of U.S. global warming emissions, with the majority generated by coal-fired power plants. natural gas-fired power plants produce 6 percent of total emissions. Compared with natural gas, which emits between 0.6 and 2 pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilowatt-hour (CO2E/kWh), coal, which emits between 1.4 and 3.6 pounds of CO2E/kWh, wind emits only 0.02 to 0.04 pounds of CO2E/kWh. solar 0.07 to 0.2, geothermal 0.1 to 0.2. hydroelectric between 0.1 and 0.5 Improved Public Health and Environmental Quality Wind, solar, and hydroelectric systems generate electricity with no associated air pollution emissions. While geothermal and biomass energy systems emit some air pollutants total air emissions are generally much lower than those of coal- and natural gas-fired power plants. wind and solar energy require essentially no water to operate and thus do not pollute water resources A Vast and Inexhaustible Energy Supply In 2012, NREL found that together, renewable energy sources have the technical potential to supply 482,247 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually. it is important to note that not all of this technical potential can be tapped due to conflicting land use needs. Jobs and Other Economic Benefits Renewable energy already supports thousands of jobs in the world. For example, in 2011, the wind energy industry directly employed 75,000 fulltime-equivalent employees in a variety of capacities, including manufacturing, project development, construction and turbine installation, operations and maintenance, transportation and logistics, and financial, legal, and consulting services. 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