IDEA GENERATION AND EVALUATION Dalhia Mani nsrcel Myths Good Ideas usually involve high technology K.KUMAR & Adam Grant “Farmers get only 30% of the ultimate price of the crop sold”, Laxminarayan Srinivasaiah, co-founder of Jivabhumi CONTEXT: Banks favor a wealthy clientele, to whom they lend large sums and request guarantees to hedge their risks. Poorer population are excluded from this systems which push them further into poverty. Grameen idea: Become a bank for the poor; lend small sums to group of people enabling them to set up small businesses and use social pressure in place of guarantees. 10 Myth 2 Low cost models are less profitable CONTEXT: Poor customers with very small amounts in their bank accounts are not a profitable segment for banks. NICKEL idea: Provide a bank account at the corner store : a basic account opening, simple debit card, and no overdraft options. CONTEXT: Cut hassle, cut cost of real estate Beauty Bubble idea: Offer an inexpensive haircut (no shampoo) in convenient location. A haircut takes 10 min, costs 10 € and does not require an appointment. 22 Myth 3 External constraints kill ideas K.KUMAR & Adam Grant CONTEXT: Local food, land for farming BRIGHT FARMS idea: Fresh produce from the roof. Install hydroponic (without soil) greenhouses on roofs or near supermarkets. 26 More Myths Ideas are scarce Ideas should not be shared or they will be stolen Brilliant people create brilliant ideas, Which lead to success/fame/money If I failed my idea must be stupid So I must be stupid K.KUMAR & Adam Grant Thomas Edison’s creepy talking doll ..and his ghost busting machine Nikola Tesla’s portable earthquake maker Myths…… Good Ideas usually involve high technology External constraints kill ideas Ideas are scarce Ideas should not be shared or they will be stolen rBrilliant people create brilliant ideas Brilliant ideas lead to success/fame/money If I failed my idea must be stupid If I failed, I must be stupid K.KUMAR & Adam Grant Myth Busting….. Good Ideas often use existing technology External constraints are breeding grounds for ideas Ideas are everywhere. Ideas become better when shared. Create 100 ideas and you will hit a few brilliant ones. “Doing” leads to success/fame/money. Idea generation techniques Brainstorming: Don't put on your evaluating hat. Painstorming: Come up with a list of problems you or those around you face, and that you think are interesting to be solved. Hobbystorming: Think about your hobbies or passions and use that as the source of your business idea. Evaluating Ideas Is there a market? How big is the market? Is it likely to grow? Is it doable? For me? Will it be profitable? Is it scalable? Is it durable? Opportunity identification matrix TM Prof Ramachandran, ISB High Discontentment Good potential For success Highest potential For success High Criticality Low Criticality Not for now Challenges in innovation Low Discontentment Assessing Opportunity Doability Feasibility Is it doable? Market Personal Technical Feasibility Market Feasibility Value Is it worth doing? Financial Feasibility Can I do it? Do I want to do it? What will it take to do it? Whom else do I nee? What turns me on about it? Why do I want to do it? Opportunity Characteristics: Significant profit potential To qualify as an opportunity, a business must offer the potential for significant profit But what is significant? Person seeking a lifestyle business will look for one that can be passed on to the children Profit potential (Contd.) Ambitious entrepreneurs may want a business that is capable of turning a profit in 2-3 yrs, $10 million in sales within 5 yrs a 10-15% ROI a 20% annual revenue growth for 5 years Opportunity Characteristics: Durability/scalability Some opportunities are not durable because The demand dries up – fads? Low entry barrier lets in too much competition Some opportunities are not scalable because the model relies on skills/resources that are not easily replicable Key Learnings Ideas are everywhere Problems/constraints are a great source of ideas Ideas don’t appear in a vacuum – Ideas are “You” Ideas change (improve?) in conversation Generating ideas is not hard Evaluating ideas based on: Is there a market? How big? Doability. For me? Profitability/scalability/durability References Suresh Bhagavatula, EM course Slides K. Kumar, EM Course Slides “Knowing a winning business idea when you see one,” W. Chan Kim and Renee Mauborgne Odyssey 3.14, Laurence Lehman-Ortega and Helene Musikas