ECON940 i ECON940 – Statistics for Decision Making [Student Name] [Student ID card] ECON940 ii Executive Summary In Australia, fashion has been a big business. Australian local luxury market worth’s for approximately $2bn in revenue with the annual growth of 10%. Certainly, Australian designer along with their design has turn out to be a hot export for the fashion world meccas (Clothing Retailing in Australia, 2017). Currently, Australian domestic market worth for 28.5 billion Australian dollars. With extensive progress, they decided to introduce new product line in order to further increase their market share in the Australian (The 2016 Australian Fashion Report, 2016). The primary purpose of this study is to analyse the Australian fashion market and study their characteristics of currently available clothing products so the company will be in a better position to price its proposed new line. Different brand has been selected in order to analyse the price and cloth style trend of the products. The brands that are selected for this study are Calvin Klein, Zara, Tommy Hilfiger and Ralph Lauren. These are the main leader in the current market that is preferred by the customers. Furthermore, this study will also highlights the relationship between the product prices, brands of different styles will be analysed in order to see does prices have impact on the brands and styles. For this purpose, Statistical tool has been used i.e. descriptive statistics and inferential statistical technique. ECON940 iii Table of Content EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ II INTRODUCTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Business Problem ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Statistics Problem Methods ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 ANALYSIS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 CONCLUSION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 IMPLICATIONS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 REFERENCES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 11 APPENDIX ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 Figure 1.Unit Price of The Product From Different Brands ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 Figure 2.Unit Price of The Product From different styles ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 Figure 3. Zara products stores for the three different styles ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 Figure 4 average prices across these two gender targets -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 Figure 5. Average product price of the different brands --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 Figure 6. Average prices across the three styles ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 Figure 7. ZARA’s clothes of different styles ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 ECON940 1 Introduction Business Problem Since company wants to develop new product line, they need to analyse the different characteristics of different clothing products that are currently leading in the market in order to be in a better position to price their new product line. Brand and price has become the significant factors that have made the consumer choice difficult in purchasing the clothes. Therefore, the business problem in this case study is to determine the relationship between the price, brand and style of different clothing brands in connection with the reasons and explanation. Statistics Problem Methods Different methods have been introduced in order to measure the variable and provide accurate results. The statistic problem is to compute the variables to see whether the price and brands are interrelated to each other. Hence, sample of 120 products from different brands Calvin Klein, Zara, Tommy Hilfiger and Ralph Lauren has been considered. These brands have different styles which are business, sport clothes and casual for male and female. Moreover for analysis purpose, Microsoft excel has been utilized. Addition to this, descriptive statics has been used for the unit price of the product from different brands and for different styles. Furthermore, price variability and brands has been computed and described via median, mean and mode. Variability of price has been compared via coefficient of variation. Coefficient of skewness together with Kurtosis employed for discussing distribution shape. ECON940 2 Analysis 1. Unit price of the product from different brands has been compared from the below statistics, it is clear that Zara price is the lowest with $51.1. The mean price of Calvin is 69.5m while Tommy Hilfiger and Ralph Lauren is $73.86 and 71.5 respectively. For brand, mean and median would be analysed as median is not affected by the extreme value magnitude, while, the mean does affected by the value as well as with the extreme item. Therefore, this will further assist in analysing the problem. As mean is higher than median in the case of Calvin Klein and Ralph Lauren, this states a favourable position which means that these clothing brand have positive skewness. Zara and Tommy Hilfiger mean and median are lower, they have negative skewed. Shape of distribution: Most positive skewed shape is of Ralph Lauren i.e. obvious Leptokurtic distribution, as far as Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger is concern, they have Platykurtic distributions. Calvin Klein Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Zara 69.568886 4.2682872 65.058881 #N/A 23.378372 546.54827 0.1115485 0.4011992 99.088022 29.08674 128.17476 2087.0666 30 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 51.1085 2.53228 51.8144 #N/A 13.8698 192.373 -0.7767 -0.0534 50.0214 25.0698 75.0911 1533.25 30 ECON940 3 Tommy Hilfiger Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Ralph Lauren 73.869242 5.895396 76.162827 #N/A 32.290414 1042.6708 -0.86718 -0.064825 115.81856 14.383714 130.20227 2216.0773 30 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 71.5017 5.70795 64.1227 #N/A 31.2637 977.42 -0.0779 0.60002 126.944 22.0753 149.019 2145.05 30 Variability of the data, for variability of the data, Standard deviation and mean has been computed. As per above data, the highest price is of Tommy Hilfiger with highest Standard deviation, while, Ralph Lauren has a similar situation like Tommy Hilfiger. Hence, Tommy Hilfiger price were volatile due to different style while Zara and Calvin Klein has moderate price. Hence, Zara has positive and outstanding results with lowest prices with smallest price variance as compared to others. Zara is the cheapest and steady with different style and brand (Hamburg, 2016). 2. The mean price of business is $93.75 while mean price of sport clothes is $64.85 with causal mean price of $40.9. Since mean of sport clothes is higher than median this means that they are positive skewness while, mean of business and causal is lower, they have negative Skewness. This further states that business clothes are much expensive than other sports clothes and casual clothes of these brands. Shape of distribution: Most positive skewed shape is of Business i.e. obvious Leptokurtic distribution, as far as Sport Clothes and Casual are concern, they have Platykurtic distributions. ECON940 4 Variability of the data: For variability of the data, Standard deviation and mean has been employed. As per data, the highest price is of Business clothes with highest Standard deviation. Hence, casual is the cheapest with lower standard Deviation. Business Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Sport Clothes 93.7502 3.61748 94.5542 #N/A 22.8789 523.446 -0.4202 0.26754 92.5339 56.4853 149.019 3750.01 40 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Casual 64.8589 2.19925 62.6018 #N/A 13.9093 193.469 -0.3852 0.23375 62.7152 36.2176 98.9329 2594.36 40 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 40.9271 1.93668 41.1742 #N/A 12.2487 150.03 -0.2363 -0.054 50.8754 14.3837 65.2591 1637.08 40 3. Zara business clothes has the highest price with $65.8 followed by sport clothes having second highest price $50.144 and casual with $37.3. This shows that Zara business clothes are more expensive amount the other brands. The price range of business clothes of Zara is from $56 to $75. Furthermore, casual mean is higher than median hence, it has positive skewness having obvious Leptokurtic distribution while business and sport has lower mean as compared to median, and they have negative skewness having Platykurtic distributions. Hence, Zara Business has the largest amount of prices with a second largest degree of SD with attractive results of Zara Casual with lowest price with highest price variance. Price of Zara Causal has the cheapest price but has highest volatility due to higher SD. ECON940 5 Business Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Sport Clothes 65.8587 2.16925 66.6037 #N/A 6.85978 47.0565 -1.7336 -0.0704 18.6058 56.4853 75.0911 658.587 10 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Casual 50.1448 2.2087 51.8144 #N/A 6.98453 48.7837 1.05639 -0.5681 25.4507 36.2176 61.6683 501.448 10 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 37.3218 2.6469 36.6685 #N/A 8.37025 70.061 -1.3279 0.10224 23.8008 25.0698 48.8706 373.218 10 4. In order test that there is a significant difference of average prices across these two gender targets, t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances has been employed. Following is the hypothesis, Hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 Ha: µ1 ≠ µ2 Test Statistics: Level of significance: α = 0.05 Decision Rule: Reject H0, if t-stat > tc Do not Reject H0, if t ≤ tc ECON940 6 Calculation: t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Mean Variance Observations Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Women Men 69.12926 63.89488 903.0444 604.7279 60 60 0 114 1.044175 0.298613 1.980992 Conclusion: Since t-stat < t-critical, we do not reject Ho at 5% significance level and we can conclude that there is no significance difference in the average prices across two gender targets. 5. In order to test the claim that there is no significant difference of the average product price of the different brands, ANOVA: Single Factor has been employed. Following is the hypothesis: Hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 = µ4 Ha: there is a significant difference in average prices of different brands Test Statistics: F = MSC/MSE Level of significance: α = 0.05 Decision Rule: Reject H0, if F > Fc Do not Reject H0, if F ≤ Fc Calculation: Anova: Single ECON940 7 Factor SUMMARY Groups Calvin Klein Zara Tommy Hilfiger Ralph Lauren Count 30 30 30 30 ANOVA Source of Variation Between Groups Within Groups SS 9769.178 80011.35 Total 89780.53 Sum 2087.067 1533.254 2216.077 2145.051 Average 69.56889 51.10847 73.86924 71.50168 Variance 546.5483 192.3726 1042.671 977.4204 df MS F P-value F crit 3 3256.393 4.721099 0.003811 2.682809 116 689.753 119 Conclusion: Since F > Fc, we reject Ho at 5% significance level and we can conclude that there is a significant difference in average prices of different brands. 6. In order to test there is a difference in product prices between Business, Sport and Casual clothes, due to differences in fabrics, manufacturing techniques and targeted customers, ANOVA: Single Factor has been employed has been used: Hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha: there is a significant difference of average prices across the three styles Test Statistics: F = MSC/MSE Level of significance: α = 0.05 Decision Rule: Reject H0, if F > Fc Do not Reject H0, if F ≤ Fc ECON940 8 Calculation: Anova: Single Factor SUMMARY Groups Business Sport Clothes Casual ANOVA Source of Variation Count Sum Average Variance 40 3750.009 93.75023 523.4461 40 2594.356 64.85891 193.4688 40 1637.083 40.92708 150.0299 SS df MS F Between Groups Within Groups 55969.68 33810.85 2 27984.84 96.83952 117 288.9816 Total 89780.53 119 P-value F crit 1.54E25 3.073763 Since F > Fc, we reject H0 at 5% significance level and we can conclude that there is a significant difference of average prices across the three styles. 7. In order test whether there is significant difference between average prices of ZARA’s clothes of different styles ANOVA: Single Factor has been employed has been used. This test will assist in analysing that the claim that Zara have different prices for different clothes style. Following is the Hypothesis: Hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha: there is significant difference between average prices of ZARA’s clothes of different styles Test Statistics: F = MSC/MSE Level of significance: α = 0.05 ECON940 9 Decision Rule: Reject H0, if F > Fc Do not Reject H0, if F ≤ Fc Calculation: Anova: Single Factor SUMMARY Groups Business Sport Clothes Casual ANOVA Source of Variation Count Sum Average Variance 10 658.5872 65.85872 47.05652 10 501.4484 50.14484 48.78372 10 373.2185 37.32185 70.06104 SS df MS Between Groups Within Groups 4085.695 1493.111 2 2042.847 27 55.30042 Total 5578.806 29 F 36.9409 P-value F crit 1.87E08 3.354131 Since F > Fc, we reject H0 at 5% significance level and we can conclude that there is significant difference between average prices of ZARA’s clothes of different styles. Conclusion From the above analysis it is clear that Zara has the cheapest price as compared to other brands having lowest standard deviation. Tommy Hilfiger is leading in price with negative skewness and kurtosis. Moreover, this analysis also states that different styles are priced differently. The mean price of Business style is $93.7 which means that different brand sell business clothes on higher price as compared to causal and sport clothes. Zara business clothes has highest mean with 65.85 while lowest for causal with 37.3 for both men and women. Both ECON940 10 gender clothes by Zara are priced on same average price. Analysis also states that different brand priced their clothes different; they do not have same price range. The cheapest is Zara while Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger and Ralph Lauren are on same line. Business clothes are manufactured on highest cost due to the fabrics and customer needs while, sports comes after business and hence the cheapest cost is for causal with $40.9. Hence, there is a significant difference of average prices across the three styles. To conclude, it is clear that Zara gave different average prices for its clothes of different styles. Implications The purpose of this study was to determine the Australian fashion industry and the price competition among the main competitors i.e. Zara, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger and Ralph Lauren with respect to different style and genders. This study also highlights brand preference that is being selected by the consumer. This study also take into consideration the cloth style and brand most preferred by the consumer regardless of price. The implication of this study will assist in price the new product as well in giving preference over which style they should produce more with the average price that is consider by the consumer. ECON940 11 References Clothing Retailing in Australia (2017), https://www.ibisworld.com.au/industry-trends/marketresearch-reports/retail-trade/other-store-based-retailing/clothing-retailing.html Hamburg M., (2016), Statistical Analysis for Decision Making, Harcourt Brace Jovanovich The 2016 Australian Fashion Report, (2016), https://baptistworldaid.org.au/wpcontent/uploads/2016/05/2016-Australian-Fashion-Report.pdf ECON940 12 Appendix Figure 1.Unit Price of The Product From Different Brands Calvin Klein 94.27 70.71 60.48 61.83 73.78 82.79 65.26 48.48 78.00 81.44 128.17 31.00 37.42 64.86 63.02 84.65 84.74 86.82 50.59 41.17 57.74 29.09 63.03 60.27 56.75 44.24 109.63 101.15 100.12 75.55 Zara Tommy Hilfiger Ralph Lauren 47.53 60.73 63.77 48.87 87.92 97.55 58.19 47.07 64.47 32.64 96.78 149.02 54.35 83.47 29.53 51.75 92.30 95.28 75.09 35.89 131.19 61.67 118.92 54.59 31.28 98.56 100.66 42.92 72.89 111.94 72.02 49.06 32.78 28.04 14.38 80.25 60.34 79.39 89.56 59.32 130.20 115.84 34.98 41.18 22.08 56.49 47.57 38.35 25.07 29.02 41.41 36.22 44.24 62.18 70.48 87.10 77.11 39.91 60.49 45.88 46.55 72.93 60.77 48.50 98.93 41.05 52.36 52.82 94.84 66.86 123.02 89.81 38.36 15.42 74.94 51.88 56.38 73.80 47.16 103.36 60.55 54.65 105.25 44.30 66.34 86.78 42.48 73.45 124.03 59.07 ECON940 13 Calvin Klein Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Zara 69.568886 4.2682872 65.058881 #N/A 23.378372 546.54827 0.1115485 0.4011992 99.088022 29.08674 128.17476 2087.0666 30 Tommy Hilfiger Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 51.1085 2.53228 51.8144 #N/A 13.8698 192.373 -0.7767 -0.0534 50.0214 25.0698 75.0911 1533.25 30 Ralph Lauren 73.869242 5.895396 76.162827 #N/A 32.290414 1042.6708 -0.86718 -0.064825 115.81856 14.383714 130.20227 2216.0773 30 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 71.5017 5.70795 64.1227 #N/A 31.2637 977.42 -0.0779 0.60002 126.944 22.0753 149.019 2145.05 30 ECON940 14 Figure 2.Unit Price of The Product From different styles Business Sport Clothes Casual 94.27 70.71 60.48 82.79 73.78 61.83 128.17 78.00 65.26 84.65 81.44 48.48 84.74 64.86 31.00 86.82 63.02 37.42 63.03 57.74 50.59 109.63 60.27 41.17 101.15 56.75 29.09 100.12 75.55 44.24 58.19 54.35 47.53 75.09 51.75 48.87 72.02 61.67 32.64 60.34 42.92 31.28 59.32 36.22 28.04 56.49 48.50 34.98 70.48 52.36 25.07 66.86 51.88 39.91 66.34 47.16 46.55 73.45 54.65 38.36 87.92 60.73 35.89 96.78 47.07 14.38 92.30 83.47 41.18 118.92 72.89 47.57 98.56 49.06 29.02 130.20 79.39 44.24 123.02 87.10 60.49 103.36 72.93 52.82 105.25 98.93 15.42 124.03 86.78 56.38 97.55 63.77 29.53 149.02 64.47 32.78 95.28 54.59 22.08 131.19 80.25 38.35 100.66 62.18 41.41 111.94 77.11 45.88 ECON940 15 89.56 115.84 94.84 89.81 Business Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 60.77 74.94 73.80 60.55 41.05 44.30 42.48 59.07 Sport Clothes 93.7502 3.61748 94.5542 #N/A 22.8789 523.446 -0.4202 0.26754 92.5339 56.4853 149.019 3750.01 40 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Casual 64.8589 2.19925 62.6018 #N/A 13.9093 193.469 -0.3852 0.23375 62.7152 36.2176 98.9329 2594.36 40 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 40.9271 1.93668 41.1742 #N/A 12.2487 150.03 -0.2363 -0.054 50.8754 14.3837 65.2591 1637.08 40 ECON940 16 Figure 3. Zara products stores for the three different styles ZARA Business Sport Clothes Casual 58.19 54.35 47.53 75.09 51.75 48.87 72.02 61.67 32.64 60.34 42.92 31.28 59.32 36.22 28.04 56.49 48.50 34.98 70.48 52.36 25.07 66.86 51.88 39.91 66.34 47.16 46.55 73.45 54.65 38.36 Business Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Sport Clothes 65.8587 2.16925 66.6037 #N/A 6.85978 47.0565 -1.7336 -0.0704 18.6058 56.4853 75.0911 658.587 10 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count Casual 50.1448 2.2087 51.8144 #N/A 6.98453 48.7837 1.05639 -0.5681 25.4507 36.2176 61.6683 501.448 10 Mean Standard Error Median Mode Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum Sum Count 37.3218 2.6469 36.6685 #N/A 8.37025 70.061 -1.3279 0.10224 23.8008 25.0698 48.8706 373.218 10 ECON940 17 Figure 4 average prices across these two gender targets t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Women Men 69.12926 63.89488 903.0444 604.7279 60 60 0 114 1.044175 0.298613 1.980992 Mean Variance Observations Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Figure 5. Average product price of the different brands SUMMARY Groups Calvin Klein Zara Tommy Hilfiger Ralph Lauren Count 30 30 30 30 ANOVA Source of Variation Between Groups Within Groups SS 9769.178 80011.35 Total 89780.53 Sum 2087.067 1533.254 2216.077 2145.051 df Average 69.56889 51.10847 73.86924 71.50168 Variance 546.5483 192.3726 1042.671 977.4204 MS F P-value F crit 3 3256.393 4.721099 0.003811 2.682809 116 689.753 119 ECON940 18 Figure 6. Average prices across the three styles SUMMARY Groups Business Sport Clothes Casual ANOVA Source of Variation Count Sum Average Variance 40 3750.009 93.75023 523.4461 40 2594.356 64.85891 193.4688 40 1637.083 40.92708 150.0299 SS df MS F Between Groups Within Groups 55969.68 33810.85 2 27984.84 96.83952 117 288.9816 Total 89780.53 119 P-value F crit 1.54E25 3.073763 Figure 7. ZARA’s clothes of different styles SUMMARY Groups Business Sport Clothes Casual ANOVA Source of Variation Count Sum Average Variance 10 658.5872 65.85872 47.05652 10 501.4484 50.14484 48.78372 10 373.2185 37.32185 70.06104 SS df MS Between Groups Within Groups 4085.695 1493.111 2 2042.847 27 55.30042 Total 5578.806 29 F 36.9409 P-value F crit 1.87E08 3.354131