faculty of science and engineering energy and environmental sciences | Environmental impacts of food consumption Sanderine Nonhebel, Energy and Environmental Sciences 1 | 2 | 3 Image issue | 4 | 5 Current production of our food uses: › 30 % of the land › 70 % of the fresh water › 20 % of the energy | Food production is the most important cause of: › › › › › › › › Deforesting Eutrofication Acidification Erosion Aridification Desertification Loss of biodiversity Climate change 6 | 7 Dessertification | 8 | 9 Aridification | 10 | 11 Expected soil descent 2050 Greenhouse gas emissions | 13 | 14 | 15 Dominant environmental problems are caused by food production However, stop eating is not the solution | 16 Is there a difference in the environmental pressure of different foods? | 17 Method: chain analysis Water footprint Carbon footprint | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 resource use per kg | 23 100 90 80 70 60 50 Cheese Meat Veg. oil 40 30 Rice Potatoes Bread Vegetables 20 10 0 Energy Land Water resource use vegetables resource use meat | 24 120 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 100 80 60 beef pork chicken 40 20 dried glasshouse 0 Energy open air Energy Land Water resource use drinks per liter 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 wine jenever juice milk beer coffee cola tea energy land water Land Water | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 Environmental effects and food Gerbens-Leenes & Nonhebel 2002 A western-world consumption pattern asks more land than a third-world dinner Duitsland Afrika Consumption patterns change… The growth of the world population (billions) 30% 130% 7 9 3 1960 2013 2050 | 39 The growth of food production | 40 7 3 1960 2013 FAO The growth of land usage | 41 7 3 1960 2013 | 42 Looking back over the past 50 years › › › › World population has doubled We all have more to eat Because of improving yields The agricultural area has not grown very much | 43 Looking forward › Feeding 9 billion people in 2050 shouldn’t be a problem. › Future agricultural production improvements must allow for a food production big enough to nourish the world population. | 44 However › › › › Not only the world population increases Many people start to eat differently They want higher quality food This way of eating asks more from the land Kastner et al 2012 | 45 How big is the effect? | 46 Consumptie dierlijke het GDP %A in total cons andproducten GDP per en capita (1990-2005) | 47 share of animal prod in total cons [% of total cons] 40% Slovenia France 35% Austria Ireland 30% Netherlands Australia Chile USA 25% Greece Brazil 20% Mexico China Philippines 15% Thailand So. Africa 10% Turkey India 5% Morroco Benin 0% - 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 GDP per capia [1990 US$; converted at Geary Khamis PPPs] Nonhebel & Kastner 2011 6.0 Then, now, soon 3.0 Number of people (billions) with a rich diet 1.0 0.6 7 8 9 3 1960 2013 2035 2050 Nonhebel, 2012 | 49 On a global scale changes in the consumption pattern are becoming more important than the number of people.. Kastner et al 2012 Western Europe Land use for this consumption Consumption in kcal 3.500 3.500 3.000 3.000 cereals 2.500 2.500 2.000 2.000 1.500 1.500 1.000 1.000 meat 500 500 0 1961 1971 1981 1991 | 50 2001 0 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 Vlees is 30% van de kcal en 60% van het landgebruik Source: Kastner T, Ibarrola Rivas MJ, Koch W, Nonhebel S (2012) Global changes in diets and the consequences for land requirements for food. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Available at: http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1117054109 | 51 Less meat means less environmental pressure Vegetarian is becoming more usual › Restaurants › Canteens › Stores › Policy › Receipts | 52 | 53 What is the environmental pressure of a vegetarian meal? | 54 2 menus Kale with sausage Rice, cashew nuts, spinach and cheese Environmental pressure 70 › Kale 70 60 60 50 50 | 55 › Vegetarian Spinach 40 40 cheese 30 30 sausage 20 20 10 10 0 0 water energy land nuts water energy land resource use vegetables resource use meat | 56 120 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 100 80 60 beef pork chicken 40 20 dried glasshouse 0 Energy open air Energy Land Water resource use drinks per liter 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 wine jenever juice milk beer coffee cola tea energy land water Land Water For this vegetarian meal more water, energy and land is used! | 57 These results can be found for many vegetarian diets. Vegetarian is not an easy to go solution. Eating with low environmental pressure › › › › › Less meat, diary and eggs No nuts No vegetables from the greenhouse No flown-in vegetables In October-May: cabbage, chicory, onions, carrot, frozen vegetables or tinned. › Restrict coffee, tea, beer, wine › No frying! | 58 Healthy food competes with a healthy planet › › › › › Fresh vegetables Vegetable oils Fish Low carb Nuts | 59 Changes of the consumption pattern are no solution to the environmental issues in the Netherlands | 60 | 61 Example: the cow › 70 % of the milk is being exported › For every kilo of cheese, 30 kilo of manure is stays in the Netherlands. › Diary herd produces 5% of the green gas emission. (3 times as much as all the windmills save) › Peat area mainly for diary herd, soil subsidence and loss of biodiversity. Maybe we shouldn’t be so proud on the export of our cheese | 62 | 63 › And our pork meat › And our tomatoes Thanks for your attention