Chapter 27 Measuring Domestic Output and National Income Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Assessing the Economy’s Performance • National income accounting measures economy’s overall performance • Bureau of Economic Analysis compiles National Income and Product Accounts • Assess health of economy • Track long-run course • Formulate policy LO1 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-2 Gross Domestic Product • Measure of aggregate output • Monetary measure • Avoid multiple counting • Market value final goods • Ignore intermediate goods • Count value added LO1 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-3 Monetary Measure LO1 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-4 Gross Domestic Product Continued (1) Stage of Production (2) Sales Value of Materials or Product $ 0 Firm A, sheep ranch 120 Firm B, wool producer 180 Firm C, coat manufacturer 220 Firm D, clothing wholesaler 270 Firm E, retail clothier 350 Total Sales Value Value Added (total income) LO1 (3) Value Added ]--------$120 (= $120 - $ 0) ]-------- 60 (= 180 - 120) ]-------- 40 (= 220 - 180) ]-------- 50 (= 270 - 220) ]-------- 80 (= 350 - 270) $1140 $350 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-5 Gross Domestic Product Concluded • Exclude financial transactions • Public transfer payments • Private transfer payments • Stock market transactions • Exclude second hand sales • Sell used car to a friend LO1 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-6 Two Approaches to GDP • Income approach • Count income derived from production • Wages, rental income, interest income, profit • Expenditure approach • Count sum of money spent buying the final goods • Who buys the goods? LO1 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-7 Two Approaches to GDP Cont’d Expenditures or Output Approach Income or Allocations Approach Consumption by Households Wages Investment by Businesses Rents + + + Government Purchases Expenditures By Foreigners LO1 G =D= P + + + + Interest Profits Statistical Adjustments Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-8 Expenditures Approach • Personal consumption expenditures (C) • Durable goods • Nondurable goods • Consumer expenditures for services • Domestic plus foreign goods produced LO2 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-9 Expenditures Approach Continued • Gross private domestic investment (Ig) • Machinery, equipment, and tools • All construction • Positive and negative changes in inventories • Creation of new capital assets • Noninvestment transactions excluded LO2 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-10 Expenditures Approach: Investment = Gross Investment Depreciation Net Investment Gross Investment Net Investment Depreciation Stock Stock of Capital LO2 January 1 Consumption, government expenditures, and net exports of Capital Year’s GDP December 31 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-11 Expenditures Approach Concluded • Government purchases (G) • Expenditures for goods and services • Expenditures for publicly owned capital • Excludes transfer payments • Net exports (Xn) • Add exported goods • Subtract imported goods • Xn= exports (X) - imports (M) GDP = C + Ig + G + Xn LO2 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-12 Accounting Statement for the U.S. Economy, 2015 LO2 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-13 Comparative GDP LO2 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-14 The Income Approach • Compensation of employees • Rents • Interest • Proprietor’s income • Corporate profits • Corporate income taxes • Dividends • Undistributed corporate profits • Taxes on production and imports LO3 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-15 The Income Approach Continued • From national income to GDP • Subtract net foreign factor income • Statistical discrepancy • Consumption of fixed capital • Other national accounts • Net domestic product (NDP) • National income (NI) • Personal income (PI) • Disposable income (DI) LO3, LO4 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-16 U.S. Income Relationships 2015 LO4 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-17 Circular Flow Revisited LO4 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-18 Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP • GDP is a dollar measure of production • Using dollar values creates problems • Nominal GDP • Based on prices that prevailed when output was produced • Real GDP • Reflect changes in the price level • Use base year price LO5 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-19 GDP Price Index • Use price index to determine real GDP Price Index In Given Year Real GDP LO5 = = Price of Market Basket in Specific Year Price of Same Basket in Base Year × 100 Nominal GDP Price Index (in hundredths) Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-20 GDP Price Index Continued • Calculating Real GDP (Base Year = Year 1) LO5 Year (1) Units of Output (2) Price of Pizza Per Unit (3) Price Index (Year 1 = 100) (4) Unadjusted, or Nominal, GDP (1) × (2) 1 5 $10 100 $ 50 $50 2 7 20 200 140 70 3 8 25 250 200 80 4 10 30 --- --- --- 5 11 28 --- --- --- (5) Adjusted, or Real, GDP Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-21 Real World Considerations 27-22 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Shortcomings of GDP • Nonmarket activities • Leisure • Improved product quality • The underground economy • GDP and the environment • Composition and distribution of output • Noneconomic sources of well-being LO6 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-23 Underground Economy LO6 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-24 Gross Output • Sum of • Resource Extraction • Production • Distribution • Final Output (GDP) • Larger than GDP • Better reflection of productive side of economy LO6 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 27-25 Sources of BEA Data • Consumption • Census Bureau’s Retail Trade Survey • Census Bureau’s Survey of Manufacturers • Census Bureau’s Service Survey • Industry trade sources 27-26 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Sources of BEA Data Continued • Investment • All consumption data sources • Census Bureau’s Housing Starts Survey and Housing Sales Survey • Retail Trade Survey • Wholesale Trade Survey • Survey of Manufacturing 27-27 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Sources of BEA Data Concluded • Government Purchases • Office of Personnel Management • Construction surveys • Census Bureau’s Survey of Government Finance • Net Exports • U.S. Customs Service • BEA surveys and analysis 27-28 Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.