www.netflix.com Case Study BUS 550 The Contemporary Firm Aaron Contreras CSUCI Agenda Company History Company Financials Five Influencing Forces CineMatch Netflix’s Quantum Theory Challenges Conclusion Who is Netflix Netflix is a internet TV company providing online streaming content as well as DVD/Blu Ray rentals direct to home CEO Reed Hastings Main headquarters located in Los Gatos, California 2,022 Employees at end of 2013 Company Timeline 1997 - NetFlix.com founded to offer online movie rentals 1999 - Launches subscription and selling service 1999 – Secures $30M in investment capital from Group Arnault 2000 - Launches personalized movie recommendation service CineMatch 2002 - IPO with ~850,000 members 2006 – Announces Netflix Prize $1M for 10% improvement in recommendation accuracy www.netflix.com Company Timeline, cont. 2007 – Netflix introduces streaming 2008 – Partners with consumer electronic companies to incorporate Netflix streaming on their devices 2010 – Launches in Canada 2011 – Launches in Latin America and Caribbean 2011 – Announces Qwikster a separation of online streaming services and DVD rentals 2013 – Original programing is started with “House of Cards” www.netflix.com Company Financials • • • • • Company is traded under NFLX:NYSE currently valued $322.08 (4/26/14) Had $4.3B in Revenues in 2013 Spent over $3.04B in content in 2013 As of Q1 2014 48M worldwide subscribers Announcement of Qwikster results in a 60% devaluation of Netflix stock Announcement of Qwikster www.yahoo.finance.com Netflix evolved a progressive view on culture and talent management • Personal Management – Hire the right people • Have them use their logic • If they hire the wrong person they part ways quickly • Performance Reviews – Elimination of Formal Performance Reviews • Implemented peer reviews • Team Rapport – Strategy is understood by the team • Company Culture – Knowledgeable employees • Understand the drivers of the business • Human Resource – Innovative approach • Vacation and Absences are not tracked Five Competitive Forces on Netflix Bargaining Power of Suppliers - Film industry - Original Content Developers Threat of Substitute Products - Pirated On-line Content - Gaming Threat of new entrants - Cost of entry is low Rivalry of competitors - Amazon Prime - Hulu Plus - Redbox Bargaining Power of new buyers - Services for competitors is relatively similar Is Netflix threaten by new entrants Supply side Economies of Scale ◦ Cost relatively equal, lack of net neutrality may make it easier for smaller firms Demand-side benefits of Scale • Netflix large content library and extensive deals allows them to leverage deals across the industry Customer Switching Cost ◦ Relatively Low Collaborative Filtering and Profiles increases consumer switching cost Capital Requirements ◦ Large content libraries and original content drives up capital investment Incumbency Advantages ◦ Collaborative Filtering – Netflix has more history of collecting this data on viewers Unequal access to distribution channels ◦ Not highly impactful Restrictive government policy ◦ Changes in policy on net neutrality could increase or decrease entrants Power of suppliers Netflix has leverage content from suppliers that otherwise would not provide profit By Expanding their offering in the tail end of demand increase Netflix profitability Netflix also obtains independent films which are not picked up by large film companies. Licensing and windows play a large role in content availability Rivalry of Competitors Netflix ◦ Offers Original Content ◦ Subscriptions - $119.88/yr10 www.netflix.com ◦ Highly Personalized via CineMatch, Collaborative Filtering and Profiles Amazon Prime ◦ Offers Original Content ◦ Subscription - $99/yr10 ◦ Some content available to purchase www.amazon.com Hulu Plus ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Subscription - $95.88/yr10 Original Content Ad supported Personalized via Recommendation Algorithms Associated with Networks www.hulu.com Video On-Demand (VOD) ◦ Offers Original Content ◦ Cost is variable www.comcast.com www.timewarner.com Threat of Substitute Products Netflix is on the benefiting side of substitution ◦ On-line streaming is the substitute product for in home DVD/Blu Rays as these devices become commodities Increased access to content through Piracy could be an influence for Netflix Increase in gaming communities could detract viewers of traditional format into more interactive content Recommendations – CineMatch DVD recommendations delivered based on ratings ◦ Initially launched as part of the DVD delivery service Basic Principle ◦ Captured likes and dislikes of categories – Romance, Action, Foreign, etc. ◦ Based on viewers ratings it would suggest movies ◦ Linked to distribution center and availability ◦ Claimed a 60% accuracy on selected options from recommendations ◦ Netflix Prize ($1M) was for the first to obtain a 10% increase in accuracy ◦ Final algorithm was not implemented Collaborative Filtering Netflix’s Quantum Theory Current algorithms process petabytes of information This has led to over 76,000 alt-genres ◦ Alt-genres are compilations of several larger genres sliced into more specific targeted audiences and tastes Micro-tagging is done by individuals trained on Netflix’s Quantum Theory document (34 pages) on how to micro-tag for consistency ◦ Includes for all content measuring such things as “social acceptability” of lead characters Ending Type Romance A reverse engineered version of Netflix’s alt-genres categories http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2014/01/how-netflix-reverse-engineered-hollywood/282679/ Profiles have enhanced the ability to personalize content Allowing profiles allows for more specific viewing which allow for less mash up of preferences www.netflix.com Urge you to develop different profiles for different timeframes ◦ Daytime viewing ◦ Weekend viewing Linking these profiles to Facebook® allows for further personalization as increased viewing experiences also fostering a expanding network Netflix faces a big challenge against it’s future profitability and expansion Obvious position for Netflix is net neutrality Netflix’s monitors and publishes the ISP providers with the best primetime delivery Netflix entered into a peering deal with Comcast for an undisclosed amount Potential impact to customer satisfaction Conclusions Netflix knows your viewing habits better than you do Competitors are developing with slightly different business models ◦ Firms will need to rely on original content and licensing agreements to edge out the competitors Without net neutrality larger streaming firms may need a long term strategy on profitability impact due to peering fees Questions 1. What business decision resulted in a 60% stock devaluation in Netflix’s history? a. b. c. 2. What are potential substitutes for Netflix services/products? a. b. c. d. 3. Amazon Prime Launch Qwikster Annoucement Blockbuster On-line Launch Amazon Prime Hulu Plus Gaming Pirated Content How can peering with ISP’s affect Netflix customer service experiences? a. b. c. Slow internet speeds Increase cost of subscriptions Increase streaming performance References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. www.netflix.com Netflix broke the rules and won according to stanford business school research. (2008, Apr 16). Business Wire. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/444648479?accountid=10043 Mccord, P. (2014, Jan 20). How netflix reinvented HR. Businessline. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/1490574625?accountid=10043 Seitz, P. (2013, Mar 13). Netflix feature will test limits of facebook sharing. Investor's Business Daily. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/1324599727?accountid=10043 Shalvey, K. (2013, Apr 12). Netflix files to disclose key data via social media some investors may object follows up fast on SEC report saying facebook, twitter 'perfectly suitable'. Investor's Business Daily. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/docview/1325836202?accountid=10043 The Pragmatic Theory solution to the Netflix Grand Prize, Martin Piotte, Martin Chabbert, August 2009 http://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-prime-versus-netflix-versus-hulu-plus-2014-4 Netflix Case Study: David Becomes Goliath, www.gallaugher.com, Copyright 1997-2008, John M. Gallaugher, Ph.D. The Five Competitive Forces that Shape Strategy, Michael E. Porter, Harvard Business Review How Netflix Reverse Engineered Hollywood, The Atlantic, Alexis C. Madrigal, Jan 02 2014, http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2014/01/how-netflix-reverse-engineeredhollywood/282679/