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Fearnley LNG Weekly Report

Week 5 - January 30, 2019

Market Commentary

The shipping market continues to mark time and sentiment shifts to the downside. Pacific and Atlantic rate levels have continued their downward trajectory throughout the week despite the market seeing a pickup in vessel requirements, the impact on availability? Minimal as there are plenty of open ships. Looking ahead, the market may see an upturn after the celebrations of Chinese New Year. Until then, the vessel availability list looks likely to continue to lengthen. In the Middle East, the odd requirement can be witnessed whilst in the Atlantic, portfolio players remain well serviced by vessels delivering into Europe, that said, there is interest from parties with specific needs. Turning to the Pacific, it looks mildly more optimistic for Owners, yet requirements fall short of the number of vessels sitting prompt and it’s probably fair to say idle time will mount up as requirements turn their focus to second half-Feb or even March. Second hand prices remain flat as do New Build prices as we welcome two new high spec, fuel efficient vessels scheduled for delivery in 2021.

Outstanding Carg o Bids / Offers

Start date Buyer / (Seller)

05/03 -

15/03/2019

(PNG)

08/03 -

25/03/2019

/ (DSLNG)

From

Port Moresby

Luwuk

To Comment

. 1*DES

FOB or DES, Delivery

Window 8th March and 25th March 2019

Spot Charter Rates

West of Suez 138-14 5k CBM ST

$50,000

-$2,000

Avg. YT D

$59,400

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$54,788 $27,635

East of Suez 138-14 5k CBM ST

$45,000

-$2,000

Avg. YT D

$54,600

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$52,337 $25,250

West of Suez 155-165k CBM T FDE

$65,000

-$5,000

Avg. YT D

$78,600

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$86,173 $47,135

East of Suez 155-165k cbm T DFE

$58,000

-$4,000

Avg. YT D

$73,000

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$82,615 $39,990

1 Year T erm Charter Rates

138-14 5k ST

$47,000

-$1,000

Avg. YT D

$49,800

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$39,692 $22,490

Ballast Bonus Sentiment

155-165k T DFE

$84,000

-$1,000

Avg. YT D

$87,100

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$73,721 $36,750

One Way only: Delivery at loadport and redelivery at disport – no additional payments.

Full Ballas t Bonus : Delivery at loadport and redelivery at disport with fuel and hire back to Singapore, Fujairah, Gibraltar.

Full Round Voyag e: Delivery at loadport or hub and redelivery at disport with fuel and hire back to delivery location.

Full Pos Fee + RV: Delivery at Owner's last discharge port and redelivery at Charterers' disport with fuel and hire back to loadport.

Averag e LNG Spot Charter Rates

LNG 1 Year Charter Rates

Number of Available Vessels in Spot Market

Gas Markets

NYMEX Henry Hub

2.884

-0.415

NBP

7.274

-0.408

Far East Estimate

7.395-7.745

Recent Vessel T ransactions and New Orders

XDF

Seller / Yard Buyer

SHI Celsius Shipping

Price Del. / BLT Comments

188 2021 2*180,000m3

Newbuilding Price Indicators

17 4 k CBM - MEGI/XDF

$188.0

$0

Avg. YT D

$188.0

Avg. 2018 Avg. 2017

$186.0

$184.0

Secondhand Price Indicators

Per Christian Fett

+47 958 82 120

Christian Steimler

+47 951 70 029

Alexander Nilsen

+47 952 27 208

Patrick O'Neill

+44 7586 836 731

T ristian Jones

+44 7852 919 314

Georgia Stefou

+44 7476 844 367

T atsuo 'T om' Osakabe

+81 90 1530 7679

Shinobu Nakagawa

+81 80 5652 2215

Dino Saputra

+65 9125 7888

Matthew Quek

+65 8228 6442

T uomas Maljanen

+65 9170 2009

Gao Bo

+86 13811 536170

All rates pu blis h ed in th is report do n ot n eces s arily reflect actu al tran s action s occu rrin g in th e m arket. Certain es tim ates m ay be bas ed on prevailin g m arket con dition s . In s om e circu m s tan ces , rates for certain ves s el types are bas ed on th eoretical as s u m ption s of prem iu m or dis cou n t for particu lar ves s el vers u s oth er ves s el types .

© 2019 Fearn leys AS

Ph on e: +47 22 93 60 00

E-m ail: ln gch arterin g@fearn leys .com

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