Introduction to Marketing Sustainability The Environment Disasters we are facing Objectives • To examine the environmental crisis facing the earth • To provide the fundamental ethical and moral case for action – Issues • Climate Change • Desertification and soil degradation • Deforestation – Environmental Consequences • Water shortages • Food Shortages • Resource scarcities – Human Consequence • Poverty • Hunger/Starvation • War and conflict Reading • Martin and Schouten Ch1. • http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/#.Uo9-0yex7Tp – IPCC 5th Assessment report • https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/aggi.html • http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment42571484 • https://www.treehugger.com/science/ No longer true Discussion • 3-5 mins discussing this in pairs – Why are you studying this course? – What are you motivations? – What do you hope to learn? What is Sustainability? “Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” (Brundtland 1987) Sustaining what (Triple Bottom Line -TBL)? 1. Environmental Sustainability 2. Economic Sustainability 3. Social Sustainability Sustainability • Sustainable Consumption: • Deriving value and utility from consumption whilst ensuring natural, social and human capital are preserved or enhanced • Sustainable Marketing: – “Is the process of creating communicating and delivering value to customers in such a way that both natural and human capital are preserved or enhanced throughout” Martin and Schouten (2014: 18). Earth’s Limits “The earth is finite. Its ability to absorb waste and destructive effluents is finite. Its ability to provide food and energy is finite. Its ability to provide for growing numbers of people is finite…” • “Moreover, we are fast approaching many of earth’s limits. Current economic practices that damage the environment, in both developed and underdeveloped nations, cannot be continued without the risk that vital global systems will be damaged beyond repair” • (Unknown) The Main Environmental issue? Climate Change? 2017, 403 ppm 505= 3 degree warming Atmospheric GHG concentrations THE NOAA ANNUAL GREENHOUSE GAS INDEX (AGGI) NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, R/GMD, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305-3328 https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/aggi.html Climate Change • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 5th assessment) projects earth’s average temperature will rise .3 - 4.8°C (.5 – 8.6°F) during this century • 2017 was the 2nd hottest on record and the hottest without an El Nino, • Current trajectory is already outpacing projections • As temperatures rise, glaciers and ice sheets melt, causing sea level to rise • Extreme weather events, such as crop-withering heat waves, droughts, and powerful storms become more frequent and more intense • For every 1°C rise in temperature above the optimum during the growing season, yields of wheat, rice, and corn drop 10 percent. Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / dra_schwartz Key Messages – Human influence on the climate system is clear – The more we disrupt our climate, the more we risk severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts – We have the means to limit climate change and build a more prosperous, sustainable future AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM, AR5 WGIII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Humans are changing the climate It is extremely likely that we are the dominant cause of warming since the mid-20th century Year Globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperatures AR5 WGI SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Temperatures continue to rise Each of the past 3 decades has been successively warmer than the preceding decades since 1850 Year Globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperatures AR5 WGI SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report GHG emissions growth between 2000 and 2010 has been larger than in the previous three decades AR5 WGIII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Oceans absorb most of the heat – More than 90% of the energy accumulating in the climate system between 1971 and 2010 has accumulated in the ocean – Land temperatures remain at historic highs while ocean temperatures continue to climb IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report AR5 SYR Sources of emissions Energy production remains the primary driver of GHG emissions 35% Energy Sector 24% Agriculture, forests and other land uses 21% Industry 14% Transport 6.4% Building Sector 2010 GHG emissions AR5 WGIII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil Fuel Burning in Industrial Countries and the Rest of the World, 1751-2012 6 000 Earth Policy Institute - www.earthpolicy.org Rest of World Million Tons of Carbon 5 000 4 000 Industrial 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 1750 1800 1850 1900 Source: EPI from BP; CDIAC 1950 2000 2050 Some of the changes in extreme weather and climate events observed since about 1950 have been linked to human influence AR5 WGI SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Projected climate changes Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and changes in the climate system Oceans will continue to warm during the 21st century It is very likely that the Arctic sea ice cover will continue to shrink and thin as global mean surface temperature rises Global mean sea level will continue to rise during the 21st century Global glacier volume will further decrease AR5 WGI SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Potential impacts of Climate Change Food and water shortages Increased poverty Increased displacement of people Coastal flooding AR5 WGII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report The guilty parties ? IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Water Shortages Countries Overpumping Aquifers in 2012 Overpumping produces food bubbles that burst when water supplies dry up In the Arab Middle East, a collision between population growth and water supply is reducing regional grain harvests If multiple food bubbles burst at nearly the same time, the resulting food shortages could cause chaos Saudi Arabia’s Bursting Bubble • • • Saudi Arabia became self-sufficient in wheat by tapping a non-replenishable aquifer to irrigate the desert In early 2008, the government announced the aquifer was largely depleted The population of nearly 30 million became almost entirely dependent on imported grain in 2013 Saudi Arabia was the first country to publicly project how aquifer depletion will shrink its grain harvest. Photo Credit: NASA Food Demand Growing World Population, 1950-2010, with Projections to 2050 • • • • Dense populations and their livestock herds degrade land, undermining food production Worldwide, 215 million women who want to plan their families lack access to family planning services Large families trap people in poverty 12 11 10 9 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org • World population is increasing by 80 million annually Some 3 billion people are trying to move up the food chain and eat more grainintensive livestock products Expanding biofuel production means that cars and people compete for crops 8 Billions • 7 6 5 4 3 2 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 Source: UNPop Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand Food Supply Tightening • Growth in crop yields is slowing • Cropland is being lost to non-farm uses • Deserts are expanding • Aquifers are being overpumped • Extreme weather events and rising temperatures threaten harvests Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand Deforestation • • • • Deforestation is the elimination of forest and woodland areas on the large scale. ½ of the worlds mature forests have been destroyed 129 million hectares of forest - an area almost equivalent in size to South Africa - have been lost since 1990 Where is it occurring? everywhere!! – Amazon, South East Asia (Philippines, Vietnam Indonesia- 10 year left!) Africa, Europe (years ago…) – http://ecowatch.com/2015/01/28/deforestation-altered-earth Human Consequences of the Environmental Crises? (Brown 2010) • Poverty increasing • Food and water shortages • Hunger and starvation • Civil unrest • Resource Wars • Failed states • Civilisation collapse? Discuss!! Future reserves and scarcities • • • • • Oil 40-45 years Natural Gas 50-65 years Coal 200-300 years Conflict minerals: http://www.raisehopeforcongo.org/content/conflict-minerals MEDC’s contain 25% of the world’s population BUT consume 70% of the world’s fuels! – Most Economically Developed Countries Causes of Environmental Degradation • • • • • • • • • Population increase Affluence Technology Poverty Policy/political failure Economic growth (scale/rate) Nature of economic system (Neoliberal) Culture and values (Western and now moving east) Forces of globalization Limiting Temperature Increase to 2˚C Measures exist to achieve the substantial emissions reductions required to limit likely warming to 2°C A combination of adaptation and substantial, sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions can limit climate change risks Implementing reductions in greenhouse gas emissions poses substantial technological, economic, social, and institutional challenges But delaying mitigation will substantially increase the challenges associated with limiting warming to 2°C AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM,AR5 WGIII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Mitigation Measures More efficient use of energy Greater use of low-carbon and no-carbon energy • Many of these technologies exist today Improved carbon sinks • Reduced deforestation and improved forest management and planting of new forests • Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage Lifestyle and behavioural changes AR5 WGIII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report Ambitious Mitigation Is Affordable ➜ Economic growth reduced by ~ 0.06% (BAU growth 1.6 - 3%) ➜ This translates into delayed and not forgone growth ➜ Estimated cost does not account for the benefits of reduced climate change ➜ Unmitigated climate change would create increasing risks to economic growth AR5 WGI SPM, AR5 WGII SPM IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report From consumer abundance Resource and environmental scarcity Summary! linear thinking materialism, greed UNLIMITED GROWTH Corporate Growth throw-away economy waste illusion Economic Growth “free trade” rules FINITE PLANET Population Growth information technology Global Capitalism financial networks no ethics demographic pressure social exclusion Fossil Fuels pollution lack of family planning illiteracy social inequality energy and resource intensive Poverty massive carbon release health challenges HIV epidemic Climate Change Peak Oil floods storms increase of energy costs Rising Temperatures impact on oil intensive industries airlines automobiles industrial agriculture polar ice glaciers diversion of grain to biofuel melting of ice forest fires Depletion of Resources heat waves droughts declining rainfall crop withering economic devastation regional & internat. conflicts overgrazing farmers vs. cities habitat alterations shrinking grain harvest Impact on irrigation by large rivers falling water tables lakes disappearing rivers running dry advancing deserts Threats to Food Security Rise of Food Prices Climate Refugees food riots chaos in world grain markets terrorism habitat destruction Collapsing Fisheries dust storms degradation of land damage to coral reefs Impact on Ecosystem Services Species Extinction water purification pollination flood control, etc. Famine Failing States loss of personal security overfishing deforestation Soil Erosion Water Scarcity rising seas web of life ecological cycles failure to include social & envir. costs massive market failure excessive consumption nonlinear patterns disintegration of law and order civil conflict POTENTIAL UNRAVELING OF CIVILIZATION tears in the fabric of the web of life