UNIT 47 THE STRUCTURE OF THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS All economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world are recorded in its balance of payments Debits vs Credits Would you prefer someone to credit or debit your bank account? Credits: money received from overseas Debits: money paid overseas Money coming into the country is recorded as credit items.(exports) Money leaving the country is recorded as debit items.(imports) Sections of BOP CAPITAL AND FINANCIAL A/C CURRENT A/C Trade in goods, services, investment income & current transfers Capital A/c (relatively small amount) Financial A/c (involves a substantial sums and overshadows the Current A/c) Official Reserves (also known as Net Errors & Omissions) (involves an estimate of any mistakes made while compiling the BOP) The 4 components of the Current Account: 1) Trade in goods 2) Trade in services 3) Income 4) Current Transfers THE CURRENT ACCOUNT shows the income earned by the country and the expenditure made by it in its dealings with other countries. Imports and Exports An export is a good or service sold to overseas residents resulting in a flow of income into the exporting country An import is a good or service purchased from overseas producers resulting in a flow of money out of the importing country VISIBLE EXPORT A physical product sold overseas INVISIBLE EXPORT A service sold to overseas residents VISIBLE IMPORT A physical product bought from overseas INVISIBLE IMPORT A service purchased from overseas residents Deficits vs Surpluses Total value of Credits Total value of Credits > < Total value of Debits Total value of Debits 1. Trade in goods • Covers exports and imports of goods including cars, food and machinery. • Referred to as visible exports and imports or merchandise exports and imports. • Expenditure on imports exceed revenue from exports leads to trade in goods deficit/visible trade deficit. • Export revenue exceeds import expenditure leads to trade in goods surplus/ visible trade surplus. 2. Trade in services • Records payments and expenditure for services sold to and bought from abroad. • Referred to as invisible balance • include banking, construction services, financial services, travel & transportation of goods and passengers between countries. • Trade in service surplus means that service receipts exceed payments for services • Trade in service deficit means that service payments exceed receipts 3. Income Records 2 categories of income flow: i. compensation of employees ii. investment income ➢ Compensation of employees include wages, salaries and other benefits earned by residents working abroad minus earned by foreigners working in the home economy. ➢ Investment income covers profit, dividends and interest receipts from abroad minus profit , dividends and interest paid abroad. – Investment income is earned on direct investment, portfolio investment and loans. – MNC sends profits back to its home country ( debit item in this section) – Receipt of dividends on shares in foreign companies and interest on loans made to firms (credit items) 4. Current transfers • These are transfers of money, goods or services which are sent out of the country or come into the country, not in return for anything else. • They can include: – Donations – Tax Payments – Foreign Aid – International Subsidies – Gifts – Money sent to or received from relatives abroad • The balance of four sub-sections are summed up to give a current account balance/current balance • Current account surplus = value of credit items exceeds the value of debit items. • Current account deficit = value of debit items exceeds value of credit items World Current Account Balances The Capital and Financial Accounts THE CAPITAL ACCOUNT includes : ▪ funds bought into the country by new immigrants ▪ funds sent abroad by people emigrating ▪ transfer of funds associated with the acquisition or disposal of fixed assets and ▪ the purchase and sale of patents THE FINANCIAL ACCOUNT overshadows(dwarfs) the capital account as it records transactions in assets and liabilities which can involve substantial investment flows. Made up of 3 main components : i. direct investment (purchase of businesses or establishment of new businesses) ii. portfolio investment (purchase of shares and government bonds) and iii. other investment (trade credit and loans) • When countries citizens buy assets abroad, the transactions are recorded as debit items as they involve money leaving the country. • The interests, dividends and profits these assets generate will appear in the credit items in the current account. • When foreigners buy assets in the country - recorded in the credit items but they are liabilities as they will later generate debit items in the current account. Official reserves/Reserve assets ▪ Last part of the capital and financial accounts ▪ Items held to settle debts with other countries ▪ Include : • foreign exchange, • special drawing rights (SDR) issued by the IMF • reserve position (required quota of currency that each IMF member country must provide to the IMF, but can designate for its own use)at the IMF • Gold Note : SDR: This is a kind of reserve of foreign exchange assets comprising leading currencies globally and created by the International Monetary Fund. SDR is often regarded as a 'basket of national currencies' comprising four major currencies of the world - US dollar, Euro, British Pound and Yen (Japan). Countries can exchange SDRs for hard currency at the IMF. Net Errors and Omissions • The balance of payments is a balance sheet (statement of financial position of the financial balances of an individual or organisation) • If all items have been recorded accurately then the debit and credit items should be equal. • E.g. deficit in the current account should be matched equally to a surplus in the capital and financial accounts. • In practice, mistakes and failure to record the BOP does not balance. • Hence the balancing item/net errors and omission figure/ unrecorded transactions is included to ensure the debit and credit items are equal • Negative balancing item means that more money has left the country than recorded. CAUSES OF FINANCIAL DEFICITS • Arises when the investment abroad in the year is greater than the foreign investment which has come into the country. • Domestic firms may set up in foreign countries because of lower tax rates, lower costs of production, expanding markets, good factors of production and government subsidies. • Domestic firms and individuals may buy shares abroad if profit levels and dividends are high. • High interest rates may encourage them to buy foreign government bonds. Consequences of a Financial Account Deficit In the short run : • Firms deciding to buy business abroad and firms and individuals investing in foreign firms and lending to them may mean potential jobs and incomes are lost to a foreign economy. In the long run : • investments abroad can generate incomes at home if the businesses acquired and set up and the investments made appear to be profitable.