Opening Case: Information Systems Improve Business Processes at Grocery Gateway McGraw-Hill-Ryerson ©2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved DECISION-MAKING AND INFORMATION SYSTEMS McGraw-Hill-Ryerson ©2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Making Business Decisions Learning Outcome 2.1 Managerial Decision Making Challenges FIGURE 2.1 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-3 Making Business Decisions Learning Outcome Common Company Structure 2.1 Decision-making and problemsolving occur at each level in an organization FIGURE 2.2 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-4 Operational Decision-Making Learning Outcome 2.1 • Operational decision making (day-to-day) operations – Employees develop, control, and maintain core business activities required to run the day-to-day operations • Structured decisions – Situations where established processes offer potential solutions Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-5 Managerial Decision-Making Learning Outcome 2.1 • Managerial decision making – Employees evaluate company operations to identify, adapt to, and leverage change • Semi-structured decisions – Occur in situations in which a few established processes help to evaluate potential solutions, but not enough to lead to a definite recommended decision Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-6 Strategic Decision-Making Learning Outcome 2.1 • Strategic decision making – Managers develop overall strategies, goals, and objectives • Unstructured decisions – Occurs in situations in which no procedures or rules exist to guide decision makers toward the correct choice Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-7 Measuring Success Learning Outcomes 2.1 • Project – Temporary activity a company undertakes to a create a new product, service or result • Metrics – Measurements that evaluate results to determine whether a project is meeting its goals – Common Types: – KPIs – Key Performance Indicators – Critical success factors (CSFs) Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-8 Critical Success Factors Learning Outcome 2.1 • These are crucial steps companies perform to achieve their goals and objectives and implement their strategies. (CSFs for a firm that want to be best). – Create high-quality products – Retain competitive advantages – Reduce product costs – Increase customer satisfaction – Hire and retain the best professionals Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-9 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Learning Outcome 2.1 The quantifiable metrics a company uses to evaluate progress toward critical success factors – Turnover rates of employees – Number of product returns – Number of new customers – Average customer spending Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-10 Benchmarking Learning Outcome 2.1 • Benchmark – Baseline values the system seeks to attain • Benchmarking – A process of continuously measuring system results, comparing those results to benchmark values, and identifying steps and procedures to improve system performance Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-11 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-12 Measuring Success Learning Outcome 2.1 Efficiency Metrics • Throughput • Transaction Speed • System Availability • Information Accuracy • Response Time Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Effectiveness Metrics • Usability • Customer Satisfaction • Conversion Rates • Financial Goal Achievement 2-13 Benchmarking Efficiency & Effectiveness Learning Outcome Managerial Decision Making Challenges 2.1 FIGURE 2.5 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-14 Types of Information Learning Outcome 2.1 • Transactional Data – Encompasses all the raw facts within a single business process or unit of work – Supports daily operational tasks – Examples: Order size, manager’s salary, product price, stock price, shipping date • Analytical Information – Summarized transactional data – Used to support decision analysis – Examples: market trends, forecasts, sales by region, environmental scans Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-15 Types of Information Processing Learning Outcome 2.1 • Online Transactions Processing (OLTP) – Captures, stores, updates and process data according to defined rules • Online Analytical Processing (OLAP) – Summarization or aggregation of raw data from transaction systems – Data transformed into information for the managerial and strategic organizational levels • Granularity – Level of detail from raw data (granular or fine) to summarized data (coarse) Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-16 Information Levels through an Organization Learning Outcome 2.1 Information Levels Throughout an Organization FIGURE 2.6 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-17 Three Major Classes of IS Learning Outcome 2.2 Transactions Processing Systems • Handles data for the operational level • Performs OLTP for transactional data – Examples: Payroll and Order Entry Decision Support Systems • Models data and information to support managerial decisions • Performs OLAP Executive Information Systems • Highly aggregated data for strategic decisions • Usually presented in a graphical format. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-18 Quantitative DSS Models Learning Outcome 2.2 Sensitivity Analysis • Changing one factor in an analysis and observing the change in result What-if Analysis • Changing a basic assumption in the analysis and observing the impact on the result • Often used for contingency plans Goal-Seeking Analysis • Determining the optimal configuration of resources necessary to achieve a stated goal. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-19 DSS “What-if” Analysis Learning Outcome 2.2 FIGURE 2.7 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-20 DSS “Goal-Seeking” Analysis Learning Outcome 2.2 FIGURE 2.8 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-21 Interaction Between TPS & DSS Learning Outcome 2.2 FIGURE 2.9 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-22 Executive Information Systems ( Executive Decision Support) Learning Outcome 2.2 • Specialized DSS for senior managers & executives • Uses external as well as internal data • Essential results at a glance • Visualization tools display key results Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-23 Executive Information Systems Learning Outcome 2.2 FIGURE 2.10 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-24 Digital Dashboards Learning Outcome 2.2 Integrates information from multiple components and presents it in a unified display FIGURE 2.12 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-25 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Learning Outcome 2.3 Artificial intelligence (AI) • Simulates human intelligence such as the ability to reason and learn Intelligent system • Various commercial applications of artificial intelligence Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-26 Types of Artificial Intelligence Learning Outcome 2.3 FIGURE 2.14 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-27 AI--Expert Systems Learning Outcome 2.3 Software applications that imitate human reasoning in a specific subject area. 3 components of expert systems • Knowledge base – Database containing objective information and subjective experiences – Contributions from leading experts • Set of Rules – Similar to a search engine, compiles knowledge to a specific situation • User Interface – Allows non-technical individuals to more easily ask questions of the system Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-28 AI--Neural Networks Learning Outcome 2.3 Attempts to emulate the way the human brain works in • • • • Learning and adjusting to new circumstances on its own Functioning without complete information Coping with large amounts of information and many variables Analyzing non-linear patterns. Uses: • Decisions that involve patterns or image recognition • Problems where “rules” or logical pathways are unknown Fuzzy Logic: • A mathematical method of handling imprecise or subjective information Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-29 AI--Genetic Algorithm Learning Outcome 2.3 A system that evaluates thousands of options choosing the most likely to succeed. Optimization • Finds the combination of inputs product the best output. • Works faster with more possibilities than any human Uses • Which set of projects should a company invest in? • Network configuration selects the lowest cost among millions of possible connections Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-30 AI--Intelligence Agents & Multi-agent Systems Learning Outcome 2.3 Specialized applications that complete online tasks that require decision-making. Based on a programmed “set of rules” that can adapt to changing situations. Shopping Bot • Application that searches the net for products, negotiates price and executes transactions for businesses Multi-agent systems • Intelligence Agents that work independently and interact with each other. Agent-based modelling • Use of multi-agent systems to simulate and predict behavior of human organizations Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-31 AI--Virtual Reality Learning Outcome 2.3 Computer-generated environment that simulates a real world or imaginary world experience. Uses • Flight simulation for pilot training • Surgery conducted from a remote site. Visual images guide the surgeon who manipulates equipment many miles away. • Remote use of equipment to dispose of hazardous waste. • Entertainment. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-32 OPENING CASE QUESTIONS Information Systems are Central at Grocery Gateway 1. What information systems are used at Grocery Gateway to help staff make decisions? Would you classify these systems as TPS, DSS, or EIS? 2. How do these systems support operational-, managerial- or strategic-level decisions? 3. What steps could the company take to leverage the transactional data collected by the information systems outlined in the case to help make managerial and strategic decisions for the company? 4. Identify a few key metrics that a Grocery Gateway executive might want to monitor on a digital dashboard. How can these metrics be used to improve organizational decision making? Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-33 BUSINESS PROCESSES McGraw-Hill-Ryerson ©2015 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Understanding the Importance of Business Processes Learning Outcome 2.5 Business Process • Standardized set of activities that accomplish a specific task • Transform a set of inputs into a set of outputs (goods & services) Types of Business Processes • Customer check-out process, order delivery processes, invoicing process, payroll process etc., etc. Importance • Determine bottlenecks, eliminate duplication, identify and benchmark smooth running processes Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-35 Sample Business Process Learning Outcome 2.5 FIGURE 2.15 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-36 The Order-to-Delivery Process Learning Outcome 2.5 FIGURE 2.16 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-37 Customer- & Business-Facing Processes Learning Outcome 2.5 Customer-Facing Processes • Result in a product or service that is received by an organization’s external customer. Business-Facing Processes • Are invisible to the external customer but are essential to the effective management of the business. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-38 Customer- & Business-Facing Processes Learning Outcome 2.5 Examples of Customer-Facing, Industry Specific & BusinessFacing Processes FIGURE 2.17 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-39 Business Process Modelling (Mapping) Learning Outcome 2.5 The activity of creating a detailed flow chart or process map of a work process showing its inputs, tasks, and activities, in a structured sequence Business process model • A graphic description of a process, showing the sequence of process tasks, which is developed for a specific As-Is process model • Current state of the operation without improvements or changes To-Be process model • Shows the results of proposed changes to As-Is model Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-40 Process Models for Ordering a Hamburger Learning Outcomes Learning Outcome 2-5 FIGURE 2.18 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-41 Business Process Modelling Learning Outcome 2.5 FIGURE 2.18 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-42 As-Is Process Modelling for Order Fulfillment Learning Outcome 2.5 FIGURE 2.19 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-43 Business Process Improvement Learning Outcome 2.5 Attempts to understand and measure current processes and make performance improvements accordingly. Three conditions for initiating a business process change: 1. 2. 3. A pronounced shift in the market the process was designed to serve. The company is markedly below industry benchmarks on the performance of its core processes. To regain competitiveness, the company must leap-frog the competition on key dimensions. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-44 Business Process Improvement Learning Outcome 2.5 Workflow • Tasks, activities, and responsibilities required to execute each step in a business process. Critical Ingredients in Process Improvement • Understanding workflow, customer expectations and the competitive environment Steps in Business Process Improvement FIGURE 2.20 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-45 Online Order Fulfillment Process Model Learning Outcome 2.5 FIGURE 2.24 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-46 eBay Customer-Facing Business Process Models Learning Outcome 2.5 Purchasing An Item on eBay Selling An Item on eBay FIGURE 2.25 FIGURE 2.26 Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-47 OPENING CASE QUESTIONS Information Systems are Central at Grocery Gateway 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. What does Grocery Gateway’s customer order process look like? Describe how Grocery Gateway’s web site supports Grocery Gateway’s business processes Describe how Descartes’ fleet management software improved Grocery Gateway’s logistics business processes. How does the business process affect the customer experience? The company’s bottom line? What other kinds of information systems could be used by Grocery Gateway to improve its business processes? Comment on the need for integration between the various types of information systems at Grocery Gateway. What benefits do you see for the company’s various business processes? What challenges do you think will exist in facilitating such integration? Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-48 CLOSING CASE ONE Information Systems Are Critical For Take-Off in Canada’s Airline Industry 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. What advantages are there for an airline to use a revenue management system. Are revenue management systems a competitive advantage or simply a new necessity for doing business in the airline industry today? What type of decisions could a revenue management system be used to help make? Is a revenue management system a TSP, DSS, or an EIS? Would the revenue management system described in the case contain transactional data or analytical information? What types of metrics would an airline executive want to see in a digital dashboard? How could AI enhance the use of an airline’s revenue management system for decision support? Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-49 CLOSING CASE TWO Leveraging the Power and Avoiding the Pitfalls of BPM 1. How can BPM help improve global outsourcing? Records management? Supply chain management? 2. What other business activities are excellent candidates for BPM? 3. Which of the five pitfalls mentioned above do you think is the most important? Why? 4. Which of the five pitfalls mentioned above do you think is the most common pitfall that organizations face when undergoing BPM? Why? 5. What is the advantage of treating BPM as a project, as opposed to some other type of business activity? Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-50 CLOSING CASE THREE Actionly: Online Brand Management 1. Define the three primary types of decision-making systems, and explain how a customer of Actionly might use them to find business intelligence? 2. Describe the difference between transactional and analytical information, and determine which types Actionly uses to create a customer’s digital dashboard? 3. Illustrate the business process model used by a customer of Actionly following Twitter tweets? 4. Explain business process reengineering and how Actionly used it to create its unique business model? 5. Formulate different metrics Actionly uses to measure the success of a customer’s marketing campaign. Copyright © 2015 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2-51