Course no. MF9130E Introductory Course in Statistics 6. – 9. and 20. – 23. September 2010 Literature: It is recommended to buy one of the following two books: • B. R. Kirkwood and J. A. C. Sterne: Essential medical statistics, 2nd ed. Blackwell, 2003. • In Norwegian: O. O. Aalen et al: Statistiske metoder i medisin og helsefag. Gyldendal, 2006. Teaching facilities: Rooms are either in Domus Medica (DM) or Domus Odontologica (DO), Sognsvannveien 9. Two PC-labs are used, one in the basement (underetasje), and one next to the bookstore Akademika. Teachers: Professor Odd O. Aalen, Department of Biostatistics, IMB (Course leader) Associate professor Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio, Department of Biostatistics, IMB Associate professor Bettina Kulle Andreassen, Epi-gen, Ahus, UiO Research fellow Jon Michael Gran, Department of Biostatistics, IMB Research fellow Nina Gunnes, Norwegian Institute of Public Health Postdoc Kjetil Røysland, Department of Biostatistics, IMB Monday 6. September: 08.30-09.00: Registration. (Outside Lille Auditorium in Domus Medica) 09.00-11.45: Data and descriptive statistics. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 1 og 2, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 3 and 4 11.45-12.30: Lunch break 12.30-13.45: Exercises: Introduction to SPSS. (PC-lab basement DM). Exercises: 1 and 2 in the exercise booklet (Røysland, Aalen) 14.00-15.45: Basic concepts of probability. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Røysland). Literature: Aalen chap. 3.1-3.7. Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 14 Tuesday 7. September: 08.30-09.15: Bayes law. Sensitivity, specificity. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 3.9 and 3.10, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 36.2 09.30-11.00: Binomial distribution. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 4, Kirkwood and Sterne section 15.1 and 15.2 11.15-12.15: Exercises: 9 and 12 in the exercise booklet. (A1.1001 DO). (Aalen) 12.15-13.15: Lunch break 13.15-14.00: The normal distribution. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Røysland). Literature: Aalen chap. 5, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 5 14.15-15.00: Exercises. Exercise 14 in the exercise booklet. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Røysland) 15.15-15.45: Joint discussion of exercises. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Røysland) Wednesday 8. September: 08.30-10.45: Introduction to hypothesis testing and confidence intervals. One-sample Student’s test and conf. interval. (Lille auditorium DM). (Andreassen). Literature: Aalen chap. 8.1-8.5, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 4, 6 and 7 11.00-12.00: Exercises. Exercise 13 in the exercise booklet. (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Andreassen) 12.00-12.45: Lunch break 12.45-14.15: Two-sample Student’s test and confidence interval. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Andreassen). Literature: Aalen chap. 8.6 og 8.7, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 7 14.15-15.45: Exercises. Exercise 15 in the exercise booklet. (PC-lab basement DM). (Andreassen). Thursday 9. September: 08.30-11.15: Transformations. Non-parametric methods. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 8.8, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 13 and 30.2 11.15-12.15: Exercises. Altman 9.2 and 9.4 and exercise 4 (all in the booklet). (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Gran, Aalen) 12.15-13.00: Lunch break 13.00-14.30: Regression analysis, correlation. (Auditorium A1.1001 DO). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 11.1-11.3, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 10 14.45-15.45: Exercises. (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Gran, Aalen). 3 and 7 in the exercise booklet _________________ Exercises for the intervening period: You should read through the material from the first period and do the following exercises: 8, 10 and 11 in the exercise booklet We shall go through the exercises at the beginning of the next period. _________________ Monday 20. September: 08.30-09.30: Discussion of the exercises from the intervening period. (Seminarrom 1128 DM). (Aalen) 09.45-11.15: Regression analysis cont., multiple regression. (Seminarrom 1128 DM). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 11.4-11.6, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 11 and 12 11.30-12.30: Exercises. (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Gran, Aalen). Exercises: Altman 11.2 + 18 in exercise booklet. 12.30-13.15: Lunch break 13.15-15.00: Some more about regression. Confounding. Interaction. (Lille auditorium DM). (Aalen). Literature: Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 38 Tuesday 21. September: 08.30-10.15: Statistical analysis of proportions. Odds ratio, relative risk etc. (Seminarrom 1128 DM). (Gunnes). Literature: Aalen chap. 6.1-6.4, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 15 and 16 10.30-11.30: Exercises. (Lille auditorium DM). (Gunnes). Exercises 16 and 17 in the booklet 11.30-12.00: Discussion of exercises 12.00-12.45: Lunch break 12.45-14.15: Analyzing tables (chi squared, exact and Monte Carlo tests). (Lille auditorium DM). (Gunnes). Literature: Aalen chap. 6.5, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 17 14.30-15.30: Exercises. (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Gunnes) Exercises: Altman 10.1a, 10.3, 10.7 (see Exercise booklet). Wednesday 22. September: 08.30-09.30: Epidemiologic design and basic concepts. (Lille auditorium DM). (Aalen) 09.45-11.30: Principles for organizing clinical trials. (Lille auditorium DM). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 9 og 10, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 32 and 34 11.30-12.15: Lunch break 12.15-14.00: Sample size and power. (Lille auditorium DM). (de Blasio). Literature: Aalen chap. 9.6, Kirkwood and Sterne kap. 35 14.15-15.45: Exercises. (Lille auditorium DM). (de Blasio, Aalen) Exercise 19, 20 and/or 21 from booklet Group rooms: 2227b, 2228c, 2239, 2141 DM Thursday 23. September: 08.30-10.45: Event history analysis. (Seminarrom 1128 DM). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 13, Kirkwood and Sterne chap. 26 11.00-12.15: Exercises. (PC-lab 2nd floor DM). (Gran, Aalen) Exercises 5 and 6 from booklet 12.15-13.00: Lunch break 13.00-14.00: Limitations of statistics. Causality. (Lille auditorium DM). (Aalen). Literature: Aalen chap. 14. 14.00-14.45: Summary. (Lille auditorium DM). (Aalen) Course exam: A take home exam will be handed out at the end of the course. This should be solved at home and then returned within a specified deadline.