Power Talk June 2015 | EPECentre, University of Canterbury West Wind farm, courtesy of Michael Campbell, EPECentre Scholar Director’s Column By EPECentre Director, Allan Miller In previous newsletters we have talked about trends in enrolments in electric power engineering and some of the factors influencing enrolments, as well as the EPECentre’s outreach activities and new scholarships for school leavers. The new EPECentre scholarships have been announced to schools for the second year, with a series of five informational posters this year to promote them, posted to every secondary school in New Zealand. The EPECentre team has made an excellent job of these posters, and we invite you to view them on the EPECentre’s web site at www.epecentre.ac.nz. The purpose of the posters is not only to advertise the scholarship, but to inform and promote electric power engineering as an area of study and a career, consistent with the EPECentre’s outreach activities. A large part of our outreach activities has involved hosting secondary schools in our laboratories, to experience electric power engineering first hand. While the College of Engineering buildings are being refurbished and we are in temporary premises, we have only been able to host a limited number of local schools in the high voltage lab. However we have used it as an opportunity to develop the learning resources, to take electric power engineering at the University of Canterbury to a national audience, which has always been the aim of our promotion. I am very pleased to announce the launch of the EPECentre NCEA Electrical Systems Guide, available from the EPECentre web site at www.epecentre.ac.nz. A lot of people from the EPECentre and College of Engineering have been involved in the development of these videos, and their efforts and this result is thoroughly appreciated. Shreejan’s article in this newsletter takes a closer look at the NCEA Electrical Systems Guide and the next steps for it. In addition to developing the guide, the EPECentre has continued its GREEN Grid research, with six papers to be presented at the 2015 EEA conference. Three of those papers are summarised in this newsletter, one about the economics of EPECentre Power Talk 2015 Contents pg 1 Director’s column pg 2 Welcome to pg 2 Public lecture on EVs pg 2 Outreach pg 3 Events Research Papers pg 4 The Economics of Photovoltaic Solar Power pg 5 Environmental Aspects of Photovoltaic Power: The New Zealand Context pg 5 The Benefit of Electric Vehicles for Demand Response EPECentre Scholars pg 7 Former Scholar pg 7 Current Scholar pg 7 Undergraduate Scholars pg 8 Key dates 2015 Page Number | 1 photovoltaic solar power (PV), another about environmental aspects of PV, and a third about the use of electric vehicles for demand response. We preview one of the EPECentre’s former scholars and a current scholar, introduce the 2015 EPECentre scholars, and as always, finish with the calendar of EPECentre events for the remainder of 2015. Welcome To The EPECentre welcomes three new staff members who have recently joined. They are: Danica Nel, who has been helping with administration and will be working on the EPECentre’s web site until the end of August; Linsey Mackenzie who joins in July as PA and Administrator; and Tim Crownshaw who is on a secondment from Transpower for six months, working on the GREEN Grid project. We also welcome two new Ph.D. students: Luke Schwartfeger who started on 1 March 2015 and Michael Campbell who started on 2 June 2015. Outreach By Shreejan Pandey Electrical Systems Field Guide In 2014 we published the paper “Zen and the Art of Engineering Education”, in which we examined NCEA statistics, surveyed students, and interviewed a number of secondary school teachers. The paper identified that approximately 50% of Year 13 students enrolled in Physics are either not achieving or choosing to not participate in the electrical systems NCEA examination (NCEA 3.6, “Demonstrate understanding of electrical systems”). From the surveys we concluded that students find electricity difficult to understand, and are likely to choose alternative options in an effort to gain higher grades (achievement certificates and course endorsements). Furthermore, teachers are in need of resources and training programmes to maintain or build their knowledge of electrical systems and subsequently teach and inspire students. Public Lecture on Electric Vehicles The University of Canterbury holds a fortnightly public lecture series called the “What If” lectures. Allan Miller delivered one of these on 27 May, entitled “What if we all drove electric vehicles”. The 200 person lecture theatre was sold out, with many questions after the lecture, followed by a demonstration of a model of Michael Faraday’s rotating wire experiment - the world’s first electric motor. A video of the lecture is available through the University of Canterbury’s What if Wednesday page: www.canterbury.ac.nz/wiw/ Discovery of Electromagnetism is explained in the film “Electric Generators and Electromagnetism” Insufficient numbers of electric power engineering graduates has been a topic of discussion for over a decade in our industry. Our immediate response following our research was to launch the new UC EPECentre undergraduate scholarships programme in order to attract and support high quality school leavers to Electrical and Electronic Engineering (EEE) degree study. We are currently offering eight of these scholarships on an annual basis with financial support from members of the Power Engineering Excellence Trust. The promotional collateral for these scholarships offer educational content that aims to teach prospective EEE students about power systems, while profiling former EPECentre scholars and example careers. Our 2015 promotional posters are available on the EPECentre web site for those interested in viewing them: www.epecentre.ac.nz Allan Miller, “What if we all drove electric vehicles” lecture EPECentre Power Talk 2015 In order to provide learning and teaching resources to schools, we expanded our EPECentre Outreach Page Number | 2 Programme to develop a set of learning resources designed to complement NCEA Electrical Systems Levels 1 – 3 curriculums. We recently launched our online based “NCEA Electrical Systems Guide” (ESG) with educational films that have been specially developed to capture NCEA students’ interest and demonstrate the fundamentals of DC Electricity and Electromagnetism. Over the course of this year and beyond, we will be continuously improving the ESG by developing and adding new content such as games and experimental worksheets. The guide is available on our web site. secondary school students in the high voltage laboratory for demonstrations and careers information. These are held throughout the year and offered to Canterbury and West Coast schools that have a strong interest in Electrical Systems. The forthcoming North Island Field Trip will take 30 undergraduate students enrolled into EPE courses (or prerequisites) around the country to visit our members’ sites. The four day field trip will take students to generation plants (wind, geothermal, hydro, coal and gas), substations and switchyards (including the HVDC site), and distribution sites. The field trip will also include a formal visit to a Marae where students will learn about the importance of Maori values and partnerships in our industry. In February we invited four recent UC graduates from generation, transmission, distribution and consulting sectors to share their student and professional engineering experiences to a new cohort of Electrical and Electronic Engineering (EEE) degree students. The forthcoming Careers Convention provides an exclusive opportunity for our members to communicate opportunities in the electricity industry for EPE graduates, and promote summer and graduate recruitment opportunities directly to EPE students. Pierce Hennessy explains how electric vehicles work in the film “Electric Vehicles and DC Electricity” GREEN Grid, funded by MBIE, Transpower and the EEA, is a six year research programme that we are leading and working together with Universities of Auckland and Otago to ensure that New Zealanders have access to reliable, safe, and affordable renewable energy. The GREEN Grid conference is an opportunity for researchers to communicate findings of relevance to the electricity industry, and wider stakeholders. This year GREEN Grid conference is being held at the University of Canterbury on 25 November and is open for all to attend. Students from John Paul II, Greymouth in the UC HV laboratory Events By Shreejan Pandey We run a number of events throughout the year to promote the Electric Power Engineering (EPE) education, increase the interaction between professional engineers and our students, and communicate our research findings. Key dates and details of EPECentre events are published on the back of this newsletter. Due to the College of Engineering refurbishment works, we have only been able to host a limited number of local EPECentre Power Talk 2015 EPECentre Careers Convention 2013 Page Number | 3 The Economics of Photovoltaic Solar Power By Allan Miller A recent review of the uptake of photovoltaic solar power (PV) in New Zealand shows it continuing to rise, as indicated below. Analysis of the figures in more detail, by customer type, shows some interesting trends. Specifically: in the six months to February 2015, the rate of increase of commercial PV grew, but the rate of increase of residential PV slowed. This confirmed our suspicions, and led to more interest in our investigation of the economics of PV for residential rooftop systems and commercial systems. Out of interest we also investigated utility scale PV systems. The work was carried out from the point of view of the investor in PV systems (to ask the question: is PV a viable investment?), and to compare PV with other forms of generation. The EEA paper “Economics of Photovoltaic Solar Power PV may now be an attractive investment. However the attractiveness of PV depends on a household’s financial position and access to finance; some households may seek low risk investments, making their cost of capital lower than say a family with a mortgage, or a family who finds finance very difficult to obtain. The results also show that commercial PV is an attractive investment in some cases, although the returns are very sensitive to: (1) location in New Zealand; (2) retail variable price of the electricity supply; and (3) discount rate. The same factors also cause considerable variability in utility PV returns, which are shown to be the worst returns, mainly because the energy is sold at the spot price, the average of which is substantially lower than the retail variable price. The following graph compares the levelised cost of energy Investment Required Type Residential, 4% discount rate Residential, 7% discount rate $10,500 Commercial, 14c/kWh Retail rate $125,000 Utility $4,000,000 Location Christchurch Auckland Nelson Christchurch Otago Auckland Nelson Christchurch Otago Best NPV ($,000) 7 3 3 13 -5 -24 -719 -738 -128 -1,848 Worst NPV ($,000) -1 -3 -18 -10 -25 -40 -1,270 -1,289 -1,740 -2,209 PV returns by customer type PV cumulative capacity to February 2015 and Uptake in New Zealand” gives more information about where in New Zealand PV uptake is occurring, and by residential and commercial systems. It also gives more detail about the results of our economic investigation, which are summarised in this article. Different measures were required to (1) understand the economics from the point of view of the investor and (2) compare PV with other forms of generation. For the former we used net present value (NPV), while for the latter we used levelised cost of energy (LCOE). The results, summarised in the table in the net column, show that residential returns depend to a very large extent on the household type and their electricity use, especially during the day. This is not surprising, as using the energy generated by PV to offset a house’s load effectively earns the variable retail rate, whereas selling excess PV energy earns the much lower retailer buy-back rate. We examined a number of types of household to give a range of returns – these are shown in the full paper, which demonstrates the considerable variation in load profiles between houses. The results show that for the higher user households, EPECentre Power Talk 2015 between the different types of PV, with ranges representing differences between location and discount rates. Other forms of renewable generation are still lower cost, such as wind at around 4-11c/kWh and geothermal at around 7-14c/kWh (both from the 2014 Lazard report). Even lower in cost is energy efficiency, which would therefore be the logical place to start for residential and business customers. The analysis of PV at the utility scale gives more of an equal comparison with other forms of generation, since it sells at the spot price. It should be recognised that much of Levelised cost of energy of PV. Note that the costs used for utility scale PV were very low, which is why its LCOE is so low the individual benefit from residential and commercial PV schemes arises because of the use of variable charges to recover fixed costs of the distribution network. However, the savings made by customers who avoid that component of the variable charge, do not necessarily reflect an actual reduction in the costs of transmission, distribution, or retailing. Future work could consider the economic benefit of PV to New Zealand as a whole, based on an assessment of the true marginal cost from distributed PV in transmission, distribution and retailing. Page Number | 4 Environmental Aspects of Photovoltaic Power: The New Zealand Context By Luke Schwartfeger The attraction of photovoltaic (PV) solar power in New Zealand is manifesting as a rapid uptake of PV systems across residential and commercial rooftops. Over 2014, this uptake equated to approximately 3,760 panels installed each month. A major reason to install PV is the financial savings the owners may receive. However, solar power can also contribute to New Zealand’s renewable energy generation and our greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. Just like the economic benefits of PV, the environmental impacts are not clear. To understand this further, we researched the environmental aspects in the New Zealand context. This article briefly presents some of the findings. For the full story we encourage you to read the 2015 EEA Conference paper, “Environmental Aspects of Photovoltaic Power: The New Zealand Context,” which will be available on the EPECentre website after the conference. There are two major factors that determine the environmental impacts of PV panels: (1) the technology type and (2) the electricity generation mix of the country they were manufactured in. The two main technology types are crystalline silicon (c-Si) and thin film. Crystalline silicon is the dominant type installed around the world and accounts for around 90% of the panels produced in 2013. Although thin film only accounts for a minor proportion of the installations, it has an advantage of only requiring 23% to 40% of the energy to produce compared to crystalline silicon panels. This directly ties into the second major factor, namely the electricity generation mix that supplies the manufacturing plants. More than 80% of the electricity generation in the countries that are the major suppliers of PV panels (China, U.S.A, Japan and Europe) is thermal based. Combined with the energy intensities of the different technology types, PV panels have large embodied greenhouse gas (GHG) and acidifying emissions which results in increased climate change impacts and acidification of land and waterways, respectively. The acidification effect is only experienced in the region where the thermal generation is located; hence any PV panels installed in another country do not offset them. Although PV panels do have an overall positive impact on greenhouse gas emissions over their lifetime regardless of the installation location, the magnitude of the benefit differs greatly when considering the technology type and the electricity generation mix. The image below shows the difference in GHG emissions payback period in New Zealand between c-Si and thin film (CIGS and CdTe) technologies and being European and Chinese manufactured. EPECentre Power Talk 2015 GHG Emissions Payback Period PV panels can aid New Zealand’s goals towards its 90% renewable energy target by 2025 and our greenhouse gas emissions targets. For the latter, PV can contribute by offsetting thermal generation. The issue with this is that unlike other nations, New Zealand’s electricity grid is highly renewable and contributes less than 10% of New Zealand’s total GHG emissions (see figure below). This reduces PV’s potential benefit in this area. Although the uptake of PV is rapid, there was only 20.2 MW installed in New Zealand at the beginning of 2015 which would only contribute a minor amount of energy to New Zealand. With regard to New Zealand’s 90% renewable energy target, it is unlikely that PV will contribute much toward that in the near future. This is largely due to the low generation potential of PV in Emissions history and future targets New Zealand. However, as PV panel efficiencies improve, there is a chance that it may be installed to cater toward energy demand increases. At present, PV in New Zealand has positive, but limited, environmental benefits for the country and globally. It would be advisable for New Zealand to focus on other solutions to reach our renewable energy and emissions targets, such as encouraging the uptake of electric vehicles. The Benefit of Electric Vehicles for Demand Response By Allan Miller Plug in electric vehicles (EVs) with inbuilt battery storage enables the concept of using their batteries to supply the grid when it is in need of electricity. En masse, thousands Page Number | 5 of electric vehicles might provide a substantial amount of demand response. Indeed the concept of vehicle-togrid (V2G) has been around for some time, where an electric vehicle can charge from the grid, or supply the grid, depending on the needs of either. The idea of V1G has also been around for some time, which is controlled unidirectional charging of an EV based either on grid conditions or user preferences. What has not been clear is the economic viability of these ideas in practice, which led us to investigate the economics as part of the GREEN Grid project. We also decided to look at the economics of other demand response methods, such as simply charging the EV during the night, as well as the case of using a fixed battery to store night rate energy to power a house during the day. It was important to understand the impact on the battery life of cycling energy through the battery more frequently – the V2G case. To do this we built a model to track the charge cycle of an EV battery. In turn the model provided estimates of the cost associated with battery life degradation under different scenarios, which needed to be netted off the benefits from arbitraging energy from low prices to high prices. We used the spot price as the signal for when to charge from the grid or supply the grid (V2G), or regulate the charging rate (V1G). Since the spot price varies by location, we also looked at the benefits of V2G and V1G by major centres. Night rate and day rate tariffs also vary markedly by location, so we also examined the benefits of charging on night rate by main centre as well. For the study we assumed use of a Nissan Leaf which has a 24kWh Li-ion battery, and which travels at least 4.7km per kWh. We also modelled the average daily energy use of the EV, which was necessary to ensure the EV had sufficient charge at the end of the charging period for the daily commute. Average daily commutes vary by regional centre, between 20km and 31km per day. It was also assumed that the vehicle was unavailable for charging between 8am and 6pm (because it was in use for commuting) and that the home had a 14kW charger (practically that is unlikely, as most households are not capable of supplying this much power. More likely is 7kW, 32Amps). Charging rate depended on state of charge, and was determined from EPECentre measurements of battery charging. The results, tabulated below for a battery cost of $500/ kWh, show little benefit in V2G, some benefit in V1G, but significant benefit in night rate charging, depending on location. Full results are given in the EEA paper “Electric vehicles and demand response.” Net benefit of V2G (2012 spot prices) Net benefit of V2G (2013 spot prices) Net benefit of V1G (charging below $50/MWh) Net benefit to charge on the night rate tariff compared to the day rate Auckland 12.97 4.61 31.41 90.18 Hamilton 12.16 5.78 30.53 70.23 Wellington 13.89 4.03 29.19 169.8 Nelson 1.78 4.26 21.48 127.93 Christchurch 2.54 4.27 20.28 337.44 Dunedin 2.89 3.79 17.44 254.11 Summary of net annual benefits across different charging schemes We were initially surprised that V2G did not give more benefit. However on examining it further, V2G is constrained to trading energy within relatively short time periods (within a night) and not between them; otherwise there could be substantial loss of utility of the EV (it might not be available to drive in the morning due to low charge). Further, within this period, the theoretical maximum amount of energy that can be used from the battery is 24kWh. Even with a price spike of around $2,000/MWh in a single trading period, 24kWh of energy traded would gross only $48, and such price spikes are very uncommon (in 2012 and 2013 at least). Furthermore, this spike would need to occur when the EV is plugged in and charging, the charger would need to know about it in advance, and it would require a fast charger (capable of pulling the entire 24kWh out of the EV in the single trading period). The majority of homes will not have fast chargers installed, as supplying 48kW in a home is simply not possible. We therefore think that, at present, night rate charging is the most economical means of charging, because of the net gains, and that it can be achieved with the EV’s built in timer and charger. In the future, as EVs become more common, V1G may take on more importance, combined with smart grid charging to ensure not all vehicles charge at once. V1G may also be useful in providing ancillary services, such as frequency keeping, which could return even more benefit to the EV owner. However we think that the most important consideration to the EV owner is going to be a fully charged EV at the start of the day for the daily commute. More details are given in the EEA paper. The Nissan Leaf charging EPECentre Power Talk 2015 Page Number | 6 Former Scholar: Kelsey Keenan Kelsey completed her Bachelor of Engineering with Honours in 2013. Kelsey commenced her career with Meridian Energy as a summer student and joined the company’s three year graduate programme in 2014. She has been involved in decommissioning projects at the Benmore Hydro Dam and Local Service reviews for the Waitaki Valley Stations. Asked what motivated Kelsey to pursue a career in EPE and what she likes about her chosen profession, Kelsey said, “The EPEC power field trip was a big help in making the decision to do power engineering, and now that I am, I can’t imagine doing anything else. I enjoy the scale of the work involved, the people, and the unique challenges that the New Zealand system poses.” was awarded the GREEN Grid PhD scholarship earlier this year and hopes to study variability in the long term in the New Zealand electricity grid and identify cost-effective management methods to ensure security of supply. Luke is presenting his paper, entitled, “Environmental Aspects of Photovoltaic Solar Power”, at the EEA 2015 conference; it will be made available on our website following the conference. Kelsey also features in the “Electric Generators and Electromagnetism” film, an educational resource available for viewing in the EPECentre NCEA Electrical Systems Guide. www.epecentre.ac.nz/fieldguide Luke Schwartfeger, EPECentre PhD scholar EPECentre Undergraduate Scholars By Shreejan Pandey Kelsey Keenan, former EPECentre scholar Postgraduate Scholar: Luke Schwartfeger Luke Schwartfeger completed his Bachelor of Engineering with Honours in 2013 and was awarded a 2013 GREEN Grid research summer scholarship at the EPECentre. Luke’s research paper, “Review of Distributed Generation Interconnection Standards”, compared the national and international standards on the interconnection of distributed generation, and was well received at the EEA 2014 conference, where he received the “Best Paper Student” award. Luke then gained some entrepreneurship experience with a company he co-founded, SelfieBot. Luke EPECentre Power Talk 2015 Following the June 2014 announcement and subsequent promotion of our new UC EPECentre undergraduate scholarships scheme, we received a high quantity of applicants from high achieving students from around the country. Following careful evaluation of each applicant, we selected and awarded scholarships to our eight scholars, based on a combination of their personal statement, academic merit and character. In addition to this new scholarship scheme, we are phasing out the existing undergraduate scholarships scheme this Left to right: Joshua Barry, Kerry Clapham, Piers Landon-Lane Page Number | 7 year by offering five (previously ten) $5,000 scholarships to EEE students enrolled in Electric Power Engineering (EPE) courses. Key Dates in 2015 Date Event Detail 22 June 10 July Outreach Workshop 2 Secondary school students from various schools visit UC to participate in labratory workshops and career seminars. Secondary schools are welcome to contact us for more information and to participate in this programme. 7 - 10 July North Island Power Systems Field Trip Thirty Electrical and Electronic Engineering students visit power generation, transmission and distribution sites. 28 July Careers Convention EPECentre/PEET members promote summer and graduate opportunities to Electrical and Electronic Engineering students for recruitment purposes. 23 September R&D Expo An event where EPECentre scholarships are awarded, projects by Electrical and Electronic Engineering students, EPECentre staff and associates are presented to the industry. 25 November GREEN Grid Conference EPECentre hosts the GREEN Grid research conference at UC. Left to Right: Caitlin Wood, Jeremy Penrose, Hugh Hendrickson, Clement Yeo, Kaitlyn Ingram UC EPECentre Scholarships Up to eight scholarships are available for school leavers interested in pursuing the Electronic Engineering degree at the University of Canterbury. Each scholarship provides up to $15,000. Applications close 15 August. More information about the scholarship and application process is available via our website: www.epecentre.ac.nz Contact Us The EPECentre is currently located on the ground floor of the ICT building at the University of Canterbury, access is off University Drive, Ilam P: 3 364 3057 F: 3 364 3783 E: info@epecentre.ac.nz www.epecentre.ac.nz EPECentre Power Talk 2015 Page Number | 8