E-Cookbooks: An Analysis of Profitability by LauraAlexandraDunlop B.A.,UniversityofWaterloo,2012 ProjectSubmittedinPartialFulfillmentofthe RequirementsfortheDegreeof MasterofPublishing inthe PublishingProgram FacultyofCommunications,Art,andTechnology ©LauraAlexandraDunlop2016 SIMONFRASERUNIVERSITY Spring2016 ThisworkislicensedundertheCreativeCommons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives4.0International (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) Approval Name: LauraAlexandraDunlop Degree: MasterofPublishing Title: E-Cookbooks:AnAnalysisofProfitability JuanPabloAlperin,PhD SeniorSupervisor AssistantProfessor JohnMaxwell,PhD Supervisor DirectorandAssociateProfessor RobertMcCullough IndustrySupervisor Vice-President,RandomHouseofCanada; Publisher,AppetitebyRandomHouse DateApproved: January26,2016 ii Abstract AppetitebyRandomHouseisalifestylepublishinghouseimprint,withintheparentcompanyof PenguinRandomHouse(PRH)Canada,specializinginthepublicationofcookbooks.Undercorporate policy,Appetiteproducesdigitalversionsofallofitspublishedtitles;however,cursoryanalysisof Appetite’sdigitalcookbook(e-cookbook)salesrevealslowsalesvolumecallingintoquestionthe profitabilityofthisuniversalconversionpolicy.Thisreportutilizesdatacollectedandstoredinthe PRHinternaldatabase,MyHouse,toperformaseriesofquantitativedataanalysesfocusedon Appetite’se-cookbooksalesandwiththeintentofansweringthecoreresearchquestion:isthereturn oninvestment(ROI)forconvertingtitlesintodigitalversionspositiveforallcookbooks?Results indicatethatwhileindividualsalesvolumeandROIsvaryfromtitletotitle,overallnetsales,when totaledacrossAppetite’spublishede-cookbooks,aresufficienttoyieldapositiveROI.Preliminary analysesofpossiblevariablesimpactingsalesvolumeandtherebyROIareincluded.Further, comparativeanalysesareperformedusingdatafromasampleofPRHimprintsthatalsopublish digitalcookbookswithresultsindicatingthatAppetite’sROIfordigitalcookbookproductionislower thanthesampledaverage. iii Acknowledgments Withthanksto… Juan,forchallengingmetoalwaysdothatlittlebitmore.Whoknewabookworm couldalsobeadataanalysisgeek? Robert,forbringingmeintotheAppetitefamilyandmakingmytimewithPRHan unforgettableexperience. Lindsay,forsharingallyourknowledgeandputtingyourtrustinme—evenifit meantlookingatonehundredphotosofmeat. GabiandTaryn,forbeingtherewithmeeverystepoftheway.Wouldn’thave wantedtodoitwithoutyou. Myfamily,forhelpingmegettowhereIamtoday,andfor,quitesimply,being wonderful. iv Table of Contents E-Cookbooks: An Analysis of Profitability ........................................................... i Approval................................................................................................................ ii Abstract ............................................................................................................... iii Acknowledgments ............................................................................................... iv Table of Contents ................................................................................................. v List of Tables ....................................................................................................... vi List of Figures ...................................................................................................... vi Introduction .......................................................................................................... 1 BackgroundonAppetitebyRandomHouse..................................................................................................1 InternshipRoleandProjectMotivation...........................................................................................................2 Appetite’s E-book Production Practices............................................................. 3 E-bookproductionprocessandcosts...............................................................................................................3 Universalconversionpolicy..................................................................................................................................5 E-cookbook sales and ROI .................................................................................. 6 Salesvolume................................................................................................................................................................6 Listprice.....................................................................................................................................................................11 Netrevenue...............................................................................................................................................................16 ROI.................................................................................................................................................................................23 ComparativeAnalysiswithPRHImprints...................................................................................................24 Discussion .......................................................................................................... 28 IndustryE-cookbookTrends.............................................................................................................................29 TechnologyintheKitchen..................................................................................................................................30 AestheticinDigitalVersions..............................................................................................................................30 FunctionalityinDigitalVersions......................................................................................................................31 ConclusionandRecommendations.................................................................................................................32 Bibliography........................................................................................................ 35 Sources ............................................................................................................... 36 v List of Tables Table1–AppetiteLTDsalesforbothprintanddigitalcookbookspublishedintheseasonsofSummer 2012throughSpring2014 Table2–Appetite’sYTD(first12months)netsalesforprintanddigitalcookbooksbyseason Table3–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbooklistpricesandLTDnetsales Table4–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookYTDnetrevenueafterroyalties Table5–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookLTDnetrevenueafterroyalties Table6–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookYTDnetrevenueafterroyaltiesandproductioncosts Table7–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookLTDnetrevenueafterroyaltiesandproductioncosts Table8–Averagenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIforAppetite’sdigitalcookbooks Table9–AverageYTD(first12months)netsalesofsampledPRHimprints Table10–AverageandtotalLTDnetsalesofsampledPRHimprints Table11–ROIfordigitalcookbooksalesofsampledPRHimprints Table12–Averagenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIfordigitalcookbooksalesof sampledPRHimprints Table13–Averagelistpriceandaveragenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIfordigital cookbooksalesofsampledPRHimprints List of Figures Figure1-LTDNetSales:Printvs.Digital Figure2-DigitalLTDNetSalesasaPercentageofTotalLTDNetSales Figure3-DigitalLTDNetSalesasaPercentageofTotalLTDNetSales(bySeason) Figure4-AverageDigitalCookbookYTD(First12Months)NetSalesbySeason Figure5-AppetiteE-cookbooks:SalesVolumevs.ListPrice Figure6-AppetitePrintCookbooks:SalesVolumevs.ListPrice Figure7-AppetiteE-cookbooks:Salesvolumevs.ListPriceDiscount Figure8–SampledPRHImprints:ListPricevs.NumberofWeekstoaPositiveROI vi Introduction Background on Appetite by Random House AppetitebyRandomHouseisalifestylepublishinghouseimprint,withintheparentcompanyof PenguinRandomHouseCanada,specializinginthepublicationofcookbooks.Establishedin2011 andrunundertheleadershipofaward-winningpublisher,RobertMcCullough,theimprintis extremelysmall,with(asofAugust2015)only2full-timemembersofstaffandanintern,therole assumedbytheauthorofthisreportfromMay2015throughAugust2015,workingintheir Vancouver,BritishColumbiaoffice.ThemainofficeandCanadianheadquartersforPenguinRandom HouseCanada,locatedinToronto,Ontario,providespublishingsupportintheareasofeditorial; production;design;marketingandpublicity;andlegalandadministrativeservices. Appetitepublishesbookslargelyinthreeseasons(alsoknownas“spans”):fall,spring,and summer(withrarebutoccasionaltitlesbeingreleasedinthewinter),averagingsixtitlesperseason withasteadyincreaseinlistsizesincetheirinauguralseasonofSummer2012.TheseasonofSpring 2015sawarecordreleaseof12titles,andplansforupcomingseasonsindicatecontinuedgrowthin listsize(toperhapsasmanyas20titles). Atthetimeofitslaunch,AppetitewashousedentirelyundertheumbrellaofRandomHouseof Canada,adivisionofBertelsmann—aGermanmultinationalmassmediacorporation.ButonJuly1, 2013,BertelsmannandPearsonPLC—aBritishmultinationalpublishingandeducationcompany— mergedtheirrespectivetradepublishinghouses:RandomHouseandPenguin.1Theresult,Penguin RandomHouse(PRH),istheworld’slargestEnglish-languagetradepublisher2andacompanythat employsmorethan10,000peoplearoundtheworld,ownsnearly250publishingimprints,andis responsibleforthepublicationofroughly15,000newtitleseveryyear.3 Asamultinationalpublisherwithanextensivelistoftitlespublishedunderitsumbrella,PRH usesmultipletoolsanddatabasestorecord,track,anddisseminateitstitleandsalesinformation. ThesetoolsincludeexternallymanagedPointofSale(POS)systems—suchasNielsenBookScan, 1"PenguinandRandomHousetoCombineCreatingtheWorld'sLeadingTradePublisher:Penguin RandomHouse."PenguinGroup(USA).AccessedAugust23,2015. http://www.penguin.com/static/pages/aboutus/pressrelease/penguin_random_house_102912.php. 2"OurPublishers."PenguinGroup(USA).AccessedAugust24,2015. http://www.penguinrandomhouse.biz/ourpublishers/. 3"AboutPenguinRandomHouseCanada."PenguinRandomHouseCanada.September1,2014. AccessedAugust24,2015.http://penguinrandomhouse.ca/content/about-penguin-random-housecanada. 1 whichtracksbooksalesdataintheUnitedStates,andBooknet,whichtracksbooksalesdatain Canada—aswellascorporatedatabasesbuiltandmanagedin-housethatcancaptureanexceptional levelofdetailregardingatitle’ssales. MembersofPRHstaffcanaccessallofthisinformationinmultipleways,butdosomost commonlythroughMyHouse—asearchabledatabasethatprovidesoverviewsandsummariesoftitle details,thepublishingcontract,inventory,andPOSdata—andMyReports—adatabasesimilarto MyHousebutthatprovidesrawtitledatathatcanbefiltered,sorted,andexported. Internship Role and Project Motivation OverthecourseofmyinternshipatAppetitebyRandomHouse,whichspanned14weeks betweenMayandAugust2015,Iassistedwithnumeroustitleacquisitions,supportingtheprocess alongitsvariousstagesbycompletingtherelevantadministrativetasks.Oneofthemostcommonof thesetasks,whichfollowedtheacceptanceofanofferbyanauthor,wasthedraftingandsubmission ofcontractinformationsheets(CIS)andtitleset-upforms(describedinfurtherdetailbelow),which wereusedtoenternewlyacquiredtitlesandtheiraccompanyingformatsintothePRHMyHouse databaseandtorequestthecorrespondingISBNsfromLibraryandArchivesCanada(orBowkerin theUnitedStates). Incompletingthetitleset-upforms,Iwastaskedwithrequestingtheadditionofane-book versiontothePRHdatabaseforalltitles.Itwasthistaskthatsparkedacuriosityaboutthesalesof digitalversionsofcookbooks(hereafterreferredtoase-cookbooks)andledtomyinitial investigationintothesalesfiguresforAppetite’sdigitalproducts. Dataanalysis,inanybusiness,playsacriticalroleinevaluatingsuccessandisanexcellenttoolto beusedindecision-making.Butinpublishingespecially,whereeachnewtitleisagambleandanupfrontinvestmentonthepartofapublisher,dataanalysisisinvaluable.Withawealthofdata availablethroughnumerousdatabases,retailers,andorganizations,itiscriticalthatpublishersuse thisinformationtoassessconsumertrends,informtheirproductacquisitionandproduction,and guidetheirinternalpolicies. Throughonlycursoryexaminationofsalesfigures,Iobservedthat,althoughtheexactnumbers andratiosvariedacrosstitles,thesalesvolumefore-cookbooksappearedtobesignificantlylower thanthatoftheirprintcounterparts.Theseobservationsledmetothequestionthatisattheheartof thisreport:isthereturnoninvestment(ROI)forconvertingtitlesintodigitalversionspositiveforall cookbooks?Inansweringthisquestion,thisreportseekstouncoveranycharacteristicsthatleadtoa positiveROIsothatfuturedecisionstoinvestinthecreationofe-cookbookscanbebasedonthe existingdata,ratherthanbyablanketpolicy. 2 Tounderstandsalesofe-cookbooks,itisnecessarytounderstandAppetite’se-bookproduction practices,sothatwecangleanagreaterunderstandingoftheassociatedcostsandtheproductthatis broughttomarket. Appetite’s E-book Production Practices WhileAppetitegivesgreatcareandthoughtinselectingtheoriginalformatinwhichatitleis published—drawingupproductionestimatesandprofitandloss(P&L)statements,performing break-pointanalyses,andexaminingsalesfiguresforcomparableandcompetingtitlesinthevarious formatsbeingconsidered—thedecisiontocreateadigitalversionofatitleisseeminglygivenlittleto noconsideration. Itisinsteadanautomaticprocess,suchthateverytitlepublishedbyAppetiteisreleasedbothina printandadigitalformat.Noreviewofthedigitalsalesforcomptitlesisperformed;nobreak-point analysisiscompleted;andtheproductionanddesignareneverdiscussed.Thetitle’sP&Listheonly locationwhereanynotesonthedigitalversion’spotentialsalescanbefound,withanestimateof LTDsalesofroughly300-800copiesmayappear.Noformulaorguidelinesforthisestimateis providedanddigitalproductioncosts,arealsonotlistedonatitle’sP&L;theyareinstead“covered” bytheprofitsmadethroughthesaleoftheprintversion. E-book production process and costs Thedevelopmentofadigitalversionofatitlebeginsatthesametimeasthedevelopmentofthe printversion,withthesubmissionofatitleset-upform,whichdirectlyfollowsthereceiptofabook contractacceptanceandiscompletedinconjunctionwithaCIScontainingthedetailsofthesigned contract.Thetitleset-upformindicatestheformatsinwhichthetitlewillbepublished,thedate(s)at whichtheseformatswillbereleased,andtheprices(bothCADandUSDwhenapplicable)atwhich theywillbesold,alongwithtitledetailsincludingtitleandsubtitle,authornamesandcredits,and assignedBISACcodes. Theseforms,afterbeingsubmittedtothetitleadministratorinTorontoandcross-referenced againsttheCIStoensurewehavethenecessaryrightsfortheformatsbeingrequested,areusedto generateISBNsforeachoftheformats,andtoaddthetitlesinallofitsvaryingformatstoMyHouse. Atthispoint,allproductionprocessesrelatedtothedigitalversionareplacedonholdwhiletheprint versionisdeveloped. Overthenext6-9monthstheAppetiteteamandtheirproductionanddesigncolleaguesinthe Torontoofficedevelopthetitle’soriginalprintversion.Itisonlyoncetheoriginalprintversionis fullyeditedanddesignedandthepagesarereadytobesenttotheprinterthatthee-bookproduction starts. 3 Atthesametimeasthefinalpagesaresenttotheprinter,theyarealsosenttothePRHdigital productionteam,whichpreparesthepagestobesenttoane-bookconversioncompany.4This preparationprocessincludesmakingmodificationstopagelayout,designandcolourschemes;and theremovalofunnecessarydetails,graphics,oraestheticembellishments.Forcookbooks,pagesare alsoreorderedsuchthatphotosalwaysfollowthewrittenrecipestheyaccompany.Oncethepages areupdated,thechangesaresenttothetitle’seditorforapprovalbeforebeingconverted.Theresult isanextremelypareddown,almoststripped,e-cookbookversionofthetitle,withmanyelements thatwereincludedintheprintversiontosupplyaestheticinterestandappealhavingbeenremoved. This“designstripping”processisundertakenforafewreasons,includingthereductionoffile size,whichprovidesuser(reader)benefitsintermsoffilestorageandloadtimes;consistencyof appearanceacrossplatformsanddevices,wherebysimplerdesignsposefewerrenderingandreflow issues;andreadability,whichensuresthecontentiseasytoreadacrossdigitalplatformsanddevices withoutmakingauser“work”(e.g.,zoominandout)toenjoythetitle.5 AlsofactoringintothereasonthebooksarestrippeddownisPRH’suseofEPUB2fortheirdigital products,whichcanbereadbymoredevicesthanthenewerEPUB3,andistheonlyfileformattobe universallyacceptedbye-bookretailers.Unfortunately,theuseofEPUB2filesgreatlylimitsthe abilitytoaddenhancementstothee-cookbook.6Thereisahopewithinthedigitalproductionteamto startusingtheEPUB3formatinthenearfuture,asmoreandmoreretailersandplatformsbeginto acceptandsupportthisfileformat. Unfortunately,duetoprivacyconcernsandagreementsmadebetweenPRHandtheircontracted e-bookconversioncompany,exactproductioncostscannotbereleased;however,roughestimates providedbythePRHdigitalproductionteamplacetheapproximateconversioncostane-cookbook atanywherefrom$600-$900dependingonthenumberofpages,thelevelofmodificationsrequired duringtheconversionprocess,andanyadditionalfeaturesorchangesbeingmadetothetitle. AlthoughthesefiguresareonlyroughestimatesderivedfromthepastexperienceofPRHstaff, thetop-endcostof$750pertitlewillbeconsideredabaselinefore-cookbookproductioncostsand willbeusedinallROIorcost-relatedcalculationsthroughoutthisreport. 4Forreasonsrelatedtoconfidentiality,thenameofthiscompanyhasbeenwithheld. 5Costanzo,Peter."TheRealReasonEnhancedEbooksHaven’tTakenOff(Or,EvanSchnittmanWas Right…FortheMostPart)."DigitalBookWorld.May23,2014.AccessedDecember17,2015. http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2014/the-real-reason-enhanced-ebooks-havent-taken-off-orevan-schnittman-was-right-for-the-most-part/. 6McCoy,Bill."WhyPublishersAreMakingaPushforEPUB3Now."DigitalBookWorld.July25,2013. AccessedDecember17,2015.http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2013/why-publishers-aremaking-a-push-for-epub3-now/. 4 Universal conversion policy InsearchingfortherationalebehindAppetite’sautomatice-cookbookproductionprocess,no formaldocumentationorpoliciesstipulatingtheneedforadigitalversiontoaccompanyalltitles publishedcouldbelocated;however,inspeakingwithmembersofthePRHdigitalproductionteam, itwasrevealedthatthedecisiontoconvertallprinttitles(inactualitythereareexceptions,makingit roughly98-99%ofprinttitles)intoe-booksisanunwrittenbutconsistentlyappliedoralpolicy hingedonthreefactors:titleaccessibility;PRH’scompetitionwithinadigitalmarket;andcontent archiving.Curiously,profitwasnevermentionedasadrivingfactor.Thesethreefactorsare examinedinmoredetailbelow. Intermsofaccessibility,PRHstrivestomakeitscontentaccessibletoreadersinwhichever mediumtheyprefer,beitprintordigital,andasanextensionofthat—forreadersoptingforebooks—onwhicheverdigitalplatformtheyprefer.Thisapproachdoesnottakeintoaccountthe demandfororfinancialreturnsofpublicationinvariousformats,butratherseekstoappeaseas manyreadersaspossible. Thisgoalofoptimizingtitleaccessibilityplaysnicelyintothesecondfactordrivingthedigital conversionofallPRHtitles:competitionwithinadigitalmarket.WithNorthAmericane-booksales estimatedat$7.6BUSDin2014.7PRHrecognizesthepresenceofathrivingdigitalbookmarket.By optingtoreleaseallofitstitlesase-books,PRHisstakingaclaimwithinthismarket.Whilewedonot knowifothertradepublishersassumesimilarconversionpolicies,asthelargestEnglish-language tradepublisher,byadoptingauniversalconversion,PRHguaranteesthatitisthecreatorand benefactorofthelargestportionoftraditionallypublishedEnglish-languagedigitalcontentavailable toreaderstoday.Ofcourse,itcouldbesaidthathavingsuchanextensivecollectionofdigitalcontent availableisonlyvaluableifthecontentisdesirablease-books,butregardless,basedsolelyonthe sizeoftheirlisttheystillholdthelion’sshareofthemarketintermsofproductavailability.8 ThethirdfactordrivingPRH’suniversalconversionpolicyisthebenefitsaffordedtopublishers throughthedigitalarchivingofcontent.Withheftycostsassociatedwiththestorage,distribution, andreturnofprinttitles,tradepublishersincludingPRHmustcarefullyselecttheirprintrun quantitiesandlatermakedecisionsaboutreprintsastheytrytobalancethecarryingcostsofstoring printbooksinwarehouseswithkeepingthetitlesinprintandtherebyavailabletocustomers. Withtechnologicaladvancementsmakingthestorageofanearlimitlessnumberoffilesnotonly possiblebutalsoextremelyaffordable,publishersareabletoforegoreprintsincasesmaybepresent 7"GlobalE-bookRevenuefrom2009to2016,byRegion."Statista.AccessedDecember17,2015. http://www.statista.com/statistics/280249/global-e-book-revenue-by-region/. 8Greenfield,Jeremy."EbookPublisherPowerRankings:Top10PublishersofQ12014."DigitalBook World.April22,2014.AccessedAugust30,2015.http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2014/ebookpublisher-power-rankings-top-10-publishers-of-q1-2014/. 5 butnotbesufficienttowarranttheassociatedcosts,keepingtheirtitleseternallyavailabletoreaders ine-bookformatinstead.Whilethetitlesmaynolongerbe“inprint”,becausetheyarestillavailable inadigitalformat,theyremaininvendordatabasesandcancontinuetogeneraterevenuewithout anyexpensivere-printsorcarryingcostsfromwarehousesordistributors. What’sinterestingtonoteaboutthedigitalarchivingoftitlesisthat,inmostcases,thee-book versionofatitleisanearexactcopyoftheprintversion.Withmostgenres,veryfewchangesare madetoatitleduringtheconversionprocess,asthemajorityofbooksrelymostheavilyontext,and thosethatdoincludeimagesarestructuredsothatthetextandimagesareseparate,ortheimages areflexibleintheirplacement.(Anexceptiontothiswouldbechildren’sbooks,thoughhowtheyare handledwillnotbediscussedwithinthescopeofthisreport.) Asdiscussedabove;however,cookbooksundergoasignificantpre-conversionstrippingprocess thatresultsinadigitalversionthat,whileitbearsstrongresemblance,differssignificantlyindesign andlayouttotheprintversion.Therefore,foranycookbooks,thearchiveddigitalversionwouldnot beasubstitutefortheprintversion,butratheranalternative—achangethatnegatestheabilityofa digitalversiontokeepatitle“inprint.” Wecanseethen,fromtheabovediscussion,thatwhilePRHmayhavethreefactorsguidingtheir decisiontoimplementanautomaticanduniversaldigitalconversionpolicy,thevalueofthispolicy andtherelevanceofitsguidingprinciplesremainsambiguous.Withoutinvestigatingthesalesfor eachformatinwhichatitleisavailableitisdifficulttosayifPRHisrespondingtothedesiresofmany oronlyafew;andifitisthelatter,thebusinesssenseofsuchadeontologicalapproachtoproduct developmentcouldbecalledintoquestion.Webeginthisinvestigationinthesectionbelowby examiningAppetite’sdigitalcookbooksalesfortheseasonsofSummer2012throughSpring2014. E-cookbook sales and ROI Toanswerthisquestion,thisreportwillanalyzeAppetite’snetsales(afterreturns),giventhat thisismostreflectiveofhowmanytitleswereactuallypurchasedbyconsumersandtherefore providesthemostaccurateassessmentofrevenueandprofit. WewillbeginouranalysisbylookingatthesalesvolumeofAppetite’stitles,comparingthenet salesofprintcookbooksande-cookbooks. Sales volume AveragingacrosstheLTDnetsalesforall21cookbookspublishedbyAppetiteintheseasonsof summer2012throughspring2014(Table1;Figure1),weobserveameanLTDnetsalesvolumeof 14,371printcookbookunits,andameanLTDnetsalesvolumeof256e-cookbookunits—a significantdifferenceinaveragesalesvolumeacrossformats. 6 Anonymized Title LTD Net Sales (Units) PRINT LTD Net Sales (Units) DIGITAL Total LTD Net Sales – PRINT & DIGITAL % Total LTD Net Sales PRINT % Total LTD Net Sales DIGITAL Title1 13,017 234 13,251 98.23% 1.77% Title2 30,224 602 30,826 98.05% 1.95% Title3 10,894 41 10,935 99.63% 0.37% Title4 8,261 114 8,375 98.64% 1.36% Title5 6,275 73 6,348 98.85% 1.15% Title6 12,116 200 12,316 98.38% 1.62% Title7 44,061 375 44,436 99.16% 0.84% Title8 1,149 35 1,184 97.04% 2.96% Title9 8,999 115 9,114 98.74% 1.26% Title10 6,301 142 6,443 97.80% 2.20% Title11 17,818 1260 19,078 93.40% 6.60% Title12 21,008 250 21,258 98.82% 1.18% Title13 7,582 267 7,849 96.60% 3.40% Title14 1,347 12 1,359 99.12% 0.88% Title15 3,524 111 3,635 96.95% 3.05% Title16 8,761 172 8,933 98.07% 1.93% Title17 25,712 276 25,988 98.94% 1.06% Title18 14,024 145 14,169 98.98% 1.02% Title19 42,797 631 43,428 98.55% 1.45% Title20 8,593 161 8,754 98.16% 1.84% Title21 9,333 164 9,497 98.27% 1.73% 301,796 5,380 307,176 98.25% 1.75% 98.38% 1.62% 1.32% 1.32% Total Median Standard Deviation Average 9,333 164 9,497 12,124 282 12,280 14,371 256 14,627 98.11% 1.89% Table1–Appetitesalesvolumeforbothprintanddigitalcookbookspublishedintheseasonsof Summer2012throughSpring2014 Onanindividual,title-by-titlebasis,thesalesvolumeforprintcookbooksconsistentlyexceeds thatofe-cookbooks—anobservationmadeexceptionallyclearinthegraphsbelow(Figures1and2). Acrossthetitlessample,thereisnoinstanceofdigitalsalesexceedingprintsales,withalltitles showingprintsalesvolumethatexceedsdigitalsalesbynolessthan93%andanaverageof98%. 7 45,000 42,500 40,000 37,500 35,000 32,500 30,000 27,500 25,000 22,500 20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0 LTDNetSales (Units)- PRINT LTDNetSales (Units)DIGITAL Title1 Title2 Title3 Title4 Title5 Title6 Title7 Title8 Title9 Title10 Title11 Title12 Title13 Title14 Title15 Title16 Title17 Title18 Title19 Title20 Title21 Units LTD Net Sales: Print vs. Digital Appetite Titles Figure1–LTDNetSales:Printvs.Digital Lookingatthebigpicture,whennetLTDsalesaretotaledacrossalltitles,weseethatthesaleof titlesinaprintformataccountsfor98.25%ofallsalesintheseasonsofsummer2012throughspring 2014,withthesaleoftitlesindigitalformatsmakinguponly1.75%ofnetsales.Thistranslatesinto roughlythesaleof56printcookbooksforevery1e-cookbooksold,andstrongevidencesupportinga salestrendofconsumerpreferenceforprintcookbooksovere-cookbooks. Onamoregranularlevel,titles8and14showthesmallestpercentagedifferencebetweenprint anddigitalsalesvolumes(Figure2),butarealsothetwotitleswiththelowestprintsalesvolumes, andlowestoverallsalesvolumeacrossbothformats.Eventhen,thesalesvolumesforTitles8and14 inprintstillexceedtheirrespectivedigitalsalesbymorethan95%,withthedigitalsalesvolumesfor Titles8and14fallingamongthelowestofthe21-titlesample.Therefore,thedecreaseddifference cannotbeattributedtoabumpindigitalsales,buttoadecreasedoverallpopularityofthetitlesthat resultedinadropinprintsales—theprevalentformatincookbooksales. Title11standsoutasthetitleyieldingthehighestdigitalsalesvolumeofthe21titlessampled, thoughdigitalsalesstillaccountforlessthan7%ofitstotalLTDnetsales.Whenquestioned, Appetitestaffnotedthatthisspikeinsalesmaybeduetothefactthattheauthorofthistitlewas, whencomparedtotheirotherauthors,particularlywellconnectedtovariousonlinemarketing channelsandhadanestablishedonlinepresenceandcommunityofdedicatedfollowers.Specific analysisofthistitle’ssales,withexaminationofmarketingbudgetsandotherqualitativefactors wouldbenecessarytofurtherexplainthespikeinsales. 8 Digital LTD Net Sales as a Percentage of Total LTD Net Sales 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Title1 Title2 Title3 Title4 Title5 Title6 Title7 Title8 Title9 Title10 Title11 Title12 Title13 Title14 Title15 Title16 Title17 Title18 Title19 Title20 Title21 Percentage of Total LTD Net Sales Appetite Titles Figure2–DigitalLTDNetSalesasaPercentageofTotalLTDNetSales WithamorecomprehensiveviewofAppetite’se-cookbooksalestrends,andtheapparentlackof popularityfordigitalcookbooksamongconsumers,itmaybeofbenefittoconsideranytemporal factorsinthistrend.RememberthatamongtheguidingprinciplesbehindPRH’suniversal conversionpolicywerearchivingpurposesandaccessibilityconsiderations,suchthatpublishinga digitalcookbookwasawayofensuringthetitleremainedavailableforpurchaseevenaftergoing “outofprint.”Itmightbereasonable,then,towonderifdigitalsalesincreaseasthetitle’sprint availabilitydeclines;however,furtheranalysisusingdatacollectedoveralongerperiodoftime wouldbenecessaryforanyconclusiveanswers. Examiningthepercentagesoftotalnetsalesfromthefirst12monthsfollowingatitle’srelease, brokendownbyformatacrosstheseasonsofsummer2012throughspring2014(Figure3),wesee thattheSpring2013publishingseasonsawabumpinthesalesofe-cookbooks,thoughprint cookbooksalesstillaccountedformorethan94%ofallsalesinthatseason.Thisbumpinecookbooksalesislargelyduetothedigitalsuccessoftitle11,discussedabove. Overall,examiningYTD(First12months)salesvolumebyseason(Table2)showsdigital formatsconsistentlyaccountingforlessthan6%oftotalnetsales(Figure3).Interestingly,italso showsaslightincreaseinthepopularityofe-cookbooksovertime(Figure4)withthemostrecent seasonincludedinthedatasetshowinganall-timehighfore-cookbooksales.Withoutanalyzingan expandedsetofdatacollectedoveralongerperiodoftime,it’sunclearifthisisthebeginningofa longertrendofe-cookbookpopularitygrowth,butfornow,evenwiththissmallriseine-cookbooks salesvolume,thedatapaintsaclearpictureofconsumerpreferenceforprintcookbooks. 9 10 Summer'12 Fall'12 Spring'13 Summer'13 Fall'13 Spring'14 Season/ Span 1 6 3 2 5 3 Number of Titles per Season 409 17479 3682 815 13178 12701 YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) PRINT 22 247 209 26 219 377 YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) DIGITAL 409.0 2913.2 1227.3 407.5 2635.6 4233.7 Average YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) PRINT 22.0 41.2 69.7 13.0 43.8 125.7 Average YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) DIGITAL 431 17726 3891 841 13397 13078 Total Combined YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) 0.95 0.99 0.95 0.97 0.98 0.97 % Total YTD (First 12) Net Sales - PRINT 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.03 % Total YTD (First 12) Net Sales - DIGITAL Table2–Appetite’sYTD(first12months)netsalesforprintanddigitalcookbooksbyseason % Total LTD Net Sales Digital LTD Net Sales as a Percentage of Total LTD Net Sales (by Season) 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Summer'12 Fall'12 Spring'13 Summer'13 Fall'13 Spring'14 Axis Title Figure3–DigitalLTDNetSalesasaPercentageofTotalLTDNetSales(bySeason) Average Digital Cookbook YTD (First 12 Months) Net Sales by Season Average YTD (first 12) Net Sales (Units) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Summer'12 Fall'12 Spring'13 Summer'13 Fall'13 Spring'14 Season Figure4–AverageDigitalCookbookYTD(First12Months)NetSalesbySeason List price Withsomeinsightintothesalesvolumetrendsassociatedwithprintanddigitalcookbooks,we canexpandontheapparentconsumerpreferenceforprintcookbooksbyexploringpossiblereasons 11 behindit.Oneofthemostobviousplacestobeginisbyexaminingthepricingoftitlespublishedin eachformat. Onepossiblehypothesisisthate-cookbooklistpricesaretoohigh,andthatlowerlistprices wouldleadtoincreasedsalesvolume.Totestthis,wecanbeginbylookingforpossiblerelationships betweene-cookbooklistpriceandsalesvolume. Althoughthelistprices(Table3)maynotreflecttheactualprice(orprices)atwhichthetitles weresoldthroughretailersto100%accuracy(rememberthatevenundertheagencypricingmodel, retailerscanoffersomelevelofdiscounting),giventheagencypricingmodelatplay,thelistprices foreachformatprovideasolidbasisforouranalysis. Anonymized Title Title1 List Price (CAD) PRINT $24.95 List Digital Price Price as % (CAD) of Print DIGITAL Price $14.99 60% List Price Difference (PrintDigital) $9.96 LTD Net Sales (Units) PRINT 13,017 LTD Net Sales (Units) DIGITAL 234 Title2 $35.00 $16.99 49% $18.01 30,224 602 Title3 $19.95 $12.99 65% $6.96 10,894 41 Title4 $19.95 $9.99 50% $9.96 8,261 114 Title5 $19.95 $9.99 50% $9.96 6,275 73 Title6 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 12,116 200 Title7 $39.95 $16.99 43% $22.96 44,061 375 Title8 $22.95 $14.99 65% $7.96 1,149 35 Title9 $35.00 $16.99 49% $18.01 8,999 115 Title10 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 6,301 142 Title11 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 17,818 1260 Title12 $35.00 $16.99 49% $18.01 21,008 250 Title13 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 7,582 267 Title14 $34.95 $16.99 49% $17.96 1,347 12 Title15 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 3,524 111 Title16 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 8,761 172 Title17 $35.00 $16.99 49% $18.01 25,712 276 Title18 $29.95 $14.99 50% $14.96 14,024 145 Title19 $22.95 $14.99 65% $7.96 42,797 631 Title20 $24.95 $14.99 60% $9.96 8,593 161 Title21 $35.00 $16.99 49% $18.01 9,333 164 Average $29.30 $15.09 52% $14.21 14371 256 *ListpricesshowninCAD Table3–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbooklistpricesandLTDnetsales 12 Theplotteddataforlistpriceandsalesvolumeofe-cookbooks(Figure5)showsarelationship wherebyaslistpriceincreasesotoodoesatitle’ssalesvolume. Appetite E-cookbooks: Sales Volume vs. List Price 1400 LTD Net Sales (Units) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 $0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 List Price (CAD) Figure5–AppetiteE-cookbooks:SalesVolumevs.ListPrice Interestingly,thedata(Figure6)alsoseemstoindicatethathigherlistpricesarenotadeterrent frompurchasewhenconsideringeachformatindependently.However,thisfindingappearsstrange, giventhathighe-bookpriceshavebeensubjecttocriticismoflate. Overthepastfiveyears,therehasbeenasignificantamountofcontroversyaroundthetopicof e-bookpricing,withnumerousretailersandconsumersarguingthate-bookpricesaretoohigh.9 Fromaconsumerperspective,thegeneralargumentforlowe-bookpricesistheassumedlowcostof productionandthelackofaphysicalformatrequiringmaterialsandprocesses(paper,ink,binding, shipping,storage,stocking,etc.)whichwouldneedtobecoveredbytheprice.10Despitehavingthe samecontent,thedifferenceincontainer,whichmakesane-bookasomewhat“intangible”product, causesconsumerstobeconfusedbythepricessetbypublishers,whichtheyinterpretasbeingtoo high.11 9"E-bookPricesSparkBattlebetweenPublishers,Retailers."CBCNews.December16,2011. AccessedDecember17,2015.http://www.cbc.ca/news/arts/e-book-prices-spark-battle-betweenpublishers-retailers-1.1103529. 10Greenfield,Jeremy."ConsumersUpsetandConfusedOverE-BookPricing."DigitalBookWorld. April18,2012.AccessedOctober11,2015.http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2012/consumersupset-and-confused-over-e-book-pricing/. 11Ibid. 13 Appetite Print Cookbooks: Sales Volume vs. List Price 50000 45000 LTD Net Sales (Units) 40000 35000 30000 25000 Print Cookbooks Linear(Print Cookbooks) 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 List Price (CAD) $40.00 $50.00 Figure6–AppetitePrintCookbooks:SalesVolumevs.ListPrice Ontheothersideofthings,unlikeconsumers,publisherssuchasPenguinRandomHouseare awarethattherearemanyfeesandcostsassociatedwithe-bookproduction,andtheyare,ofcourse, lookingtocoverthosecosts,paytheirauthors,andturnaprofit.Strikingabalancebetweenmeeting thesethreegoalsandalsokeepingconsumershappyandbuyinghasprovendifficult,soitcomesas nosurprisethate-bookpriceshavevariedgreatlyovertheyearssincetheiroriginalproduct release.12 Therehasbeenaparticularlyhighlevelofe-bookpricefluctuationoverthelast5yearsasmore retailersenteredthedigitalbookarenaandbecamemoreinvestedine-bookpricing.Priorto2010, e-bookswerepricedusingatraditional“wholesale”model—thesamemodelusedwithprintbooks— whichallowsapublishertosetalistprice,sellthattitletoaretaileratasetdiscount(usually4060%),andthentheretailerisfreetosellthebookatwhateverpricetheychoose.13 Atthistime,Amazonheldaroughly90%shareofthee-bookmarketandwasknownforslashing e-bookprices—eventobelowcost—todrivesales.14WhenApplereleasedtheiPadin2010,things 12Ibid. 13"WhatIs‘AgencyPricing’?"WallStreetJournal.April10,2012.AccessedOctober11,2015. http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2012/04/11/what-is-agency-pricing/. 14Ibid. 14 changed.Attemptingtowinbackashareinthee-bookmarket,Appledevelopedandthenproposed topublisherswhatisnowknownasthe“agencypricing”model. Underthismodel,publisherssetthepriceofane-bookandretailersreceiveapre-determined commission.Thesecommissionsaregenerallyaroundthe30%mark(wellbelowtheaverage minimumof50%retailersmakeinunderawholesalemodel)whilepublishersscoopupthe remaining70%.Retailersareallowedtodiscountthelistpricetoacertainextent,butagreements aremadethatrestrictthelevelofdiscountandhowmanytitlescanbediscountedatanytime. AllofAppetite’se-cookbooks,andinfactallofPRHCanada’se-books,aresoldtoretailersunder agencypricing,placingthepublishersincontrolofe-cookbooklistprices—animportantfactto rememberwhenanalyzingtherelationshipbetweene-bookpricesandsalesvolume. KnowingthatAppetiteholdsfullpoweroveritse-cookbookprices,andrecognizingthe commotionsurroundinge-bookpricingingeneral,itseemsprudenttoexplorethecontradiction foundintheanalysisabovebyconsideringanothervariable:thedifferenceinpricebetweenatitle’s printanddigitalversions.ExaminingthelistpricesforAppetite’se-cookbooks(Figure5)weseethat theyfallwithinarangeof43-65%ofthesametitle’sprintversionlistprice,withanaverageprice differenceof52%. Whilethedifferenceinlistpricebetweenane-cookbookanditsprintversionmayfluctuate,one trendisclear:e-cookbooksarestillconsistentlycheapertopurchase.Whenthedifferenceinlist pricebetweenformatsisplottedasapercentagediscount,weseeanotherinterestingrelationship appear—thistimebetweensalesvolumeandthepricedifferencebetweenformats(Figure7). Withoutstatisticallytestingforapositivecorrelation,nothingcanbesaidconclusively;however, iftherelationshipbeingobservedweretotranslateintoastatisticallysignificantpositivecorrelation, wewouldbeobservinganapparentcontradictionbetweenconsumeropinionandbehaviour.We couldhypothesizethen,thatwhenconsumerssaytheywantlowere-bookprices,whattheyreally seemtobesayingisthattheywantlowere-bookpricesrelativetoatitle’sprintversionlistprice.It isn’tthelistpriceitselfimpactingsalesvolume,butratherthepricedifference.Furtheranalysiswith alargerdatasetisnecessarytotestthishypothesis. 15 LTD Net Sales (Units) E-cookbooks: Sales volume vs. List Price Discount 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 30% E-cookbooks Linear(Ecookbooks) 40% 50% 60% Discount % (Print Cookbook List Price to E-cookbook list price) Figure7-E-cookbooks:SalesVolumevs.ListPriceDiscount Toreview,whatwehaveseenfromtheaboveanalysesisthat,despiteaverysmallincreasein digitalsalesvolumeovertime,e-cookbooksfirstyearsalesaccountforlessthan6%ofeachseason’s totalnetsales,and,to-date,e-cookbooksalesaccountforlessthan2%ofAppetite’stotalLTDsales volumefromtheseasonsofsummer2012throughspring2014.ThisNorthAmericanconsumer preferenceforprintcookbooksovere-cookbooksisconsistentacrossalllistprices;however,a reducedornarrowerpricegapbetweenthelistpricesofatitle’sprintanddigitalformatsseemsto showincreasede-cookbooksales. Net revenue Inthefaceofsuchevidencethate-cookbooksalesareexceptionallylow,indicatingalackof productpopularityamongNorthAmericanconsumers,itseemsprudenttoaskifAppetite’sdecision, andreallyPRH’spolicy,tobringdigitalversionsofallitstitlestomarketisasoundbusinessdecision andtoinvestigatethereturnoninvestmentfore-cookbookdevelopment. AsweworktowardcalculatingtheROIfore-cookbookproduction,thefirststepistolookatecookbookrevenue.WebeginbyexaminingtheLTDnetsalesrevenuefrome-cookbooksforthe seasonsofsummer2012throughspring2014. Becauseauthorroyaltiesarepaidoneverycopysoldbasedonthetitle’slistpriceforallformats, theanalysisusesYTD(first12months)netsalesrevenueafterroyalties(Table4).Noothercosts (e.g.,plantcosts,imprintoverhead,marketing,production,shipping,etc.)havebeenapplied.Without thisdatafactoredin,weseethatintheirfirstyearofsales,morethan99%ofnetrevenuecamefrom 16 thesaleoftitles’printversionsandonly0.85%ofrevenuecanbeattributedtoe-cookbooksales (Table4). YTD (First 12) Net Revenue (After Royalties) - PRINT YTD (First 12) Net Revenue (After Royalties) DIGITAL $126,356.16 $1,843.77 $128,199.93 98.56% 1.44% $185,157.00 $841.01 $185,998.01 99.55% 0.45% $10,740.08 $136.40 $10,876.48 98.75% 1.25% $147.63 $22.48 $170.11 86.79% 13.21% $3,653.84 $67.43 $3,721.28 98.19% 1.81% $32,912.06 $281.06 $33,193.12 99.15% 0.85% $319,352.31 $1,312.48 $320,664.79 99.59% 0.41% $2,674.82 $78.70 $2,753.52 97.14% 2.86% $52,447.50 $535.19 $52,982.69 98.99% 1.01% $24,961.08 $179.88 $25,140.96 99.28% 0.72% $51,556.68 $2,057.38 $53,614.06 96.16% 3.84% $133,843.50 $981.17 $134,824.67 99.27% 0.73% $82,584.88 $1,585.19 $84,170.07 98.12% 1.88% $5,661.90 $0.00 $5,661.90 100.00% 0.00% $17,591.88 $292.31 $17,884.19 98.37% 1.63% $11,330.83 $247.34 $11,578.17 97.86% 2.14% $89,554.50 $484.22 $90,038.72 99.46% 0.54% $101,478.84 $652.07 $102,130.90 99.36% 0.64% $98,522.63 $798.22 $99,320.85 99.20% 0.80% $4,708.07 $179.88 $4,887.95 96.32% 3.68% $53,392.50 $242.11 $53,634.61 99.55% 0.45% $1,501,896.37 $12,818.25 $1,514,714.62 99.15% 0.85% Total Total (First 12) YTD Net Revenue (After Royalties) % Total YTD (First 12) Net Revenue (After Royalties) PRINT % Total YTD (First 12) Net Revenue (After Royalties) DIGITAL *Anonymizedtitleshavebeenremovedanddatalistedinarandomizedordertopreservethe confidentialityofAppetite’sroyaltyratesandpreventidentificationofthetitlesbeingusedfor analysis. Table4-AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookYTDnetrevenueafterroyalties ThesameistrueofAppetite’sLTDnetrevenue(Table5)where,again,morethan99%of revenueintheseasonsofsummer2012throughspring2014camefromthesalesofprintcookbooks. Inthisextendedtimeframe,theproportionofrevenuegeneratedbye-cookbooksalesonlycontinues todroptoonly0.69%ofnetrevenue. 17 LTD Net Revenue After Royalties PRINT LTD Net Revenue After Royalties DIGITAL LTD Total Net Revenue After Royalties % Total LTD Net Revenue After Royalties PRINT % Total LTD Net Revenue After Royalties DIGITAL $24,391.83 $393.49 $24,785.32 98.41% 1.59% $42,369.89 $152.91 $42,522.80 99.64% 0.36% $97,628.02 $1,247.92 $98,875.94 98.74% 1.26% $115,797.28 $546.95 $116,344.23 99.53% 0.47% $152,446.43 $854.15 $153,300.58 99.44% 0.56% $174,561.33 $1,596.44 $176,157.77 99.09% 0.91% $198,315.70 $1,810.04 $200,125.74 99.10% 0.90% $201,035.15 $399.44 $201,434.59 99.80% 0.20% $210,049.83 $3,001.75 $213,051.58 98.59% 1.41% $242,712.55 $1,933.71 $244,646.26 99.21% 0.79% $283,468.50 $1,465.39 $284,933.89 99.49% 0.51% $293,989.50 $2,089.77 $296,079.27 99.29% 0.71% $300,416.09 $2,630.75 $303,046.84 99.13% 0.87% $335,658.64 $2,248.50 $337,907.14 99.33% 0.67% $388,517.39 $1,630.16 $390,147.55 99.58% 0.42% $493,625.42 $14,165.55 $507,790.97 97.21% 2.79% $661,752.00 $3,185.63 $664,937.63 99.52% 0.48% $809,928.00 $3,516.93 $813,444.93 99.57% 0.43% $908,526.81 $7,094.02 $915,620.83 99.23% 0.77% $952,056.00 $7,670.99 $959,726.99 99.20% 0.80% $1,584,213.26 $4,778.44 $1,588,991.70 99.70% 0.30% $8,985,657.07 $62,412.90 $9,048,069.97 99.31% 0.69% Total *AnonymizedtitleshavebeenremovedtopreservetheconfidentialityofAppetite’sroyaltyratesand preventidentificationofthetitlesbeingusedforanalysis. Table5–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookLTDnetrevenueafterroyalties Whenproduction(plant)costsarefactoredin,e-cookbooksfarebetterthantheirprint counterparts.Oneofthepointscitedearlierasakeyargumentforlowere-bookpricesisthatthecost ofdigitalproductionismuchlowerthanthatofprintconsistingofafiniteamountpaidup-frontat thetimeofproduction.Withouttheneedforphysicalmaterials,shipping,andstorage,onecould arguethat,overtimeifnomarketingordistributioncostsareaccrued,oncetheoriginalproduction costsarecovered,e-cookbookswouldgeneratepureprofitevenafterpayingoutroyalties. Meanwhileeveryprintcookbooksoldwill,duetoitsphysicality,haveproductioncoststobecovered thateatintorevenueandtherebyprofit.Factoringinthesecosts;therefore,wouldlikelyshiftthe proportionofnetrevenuegeneratedbyeachformat, 18 Thenextstepistoconsiderthecoststhatneedtobefactoredin.Duetotheirvarianceand unequalapplicationtotheprintanddigitalversionsofatitle,wecanautomaticallyexclude marketing,imprintoverhead,andadmincostsandstartouranalysisbyfocusingsolelyon production,withparticularattentiongiventoplantandpaperandbinding(PP+B)costs. Plantcostsaretheinitialcostsofpreparingforandprintingor,inthecaseofe-cookbooks, digitizingatitle.Theycanincludethingslikepressset-uporthecreationofplates,negatives,or print-readyfiles. Inthecaseofe-cookbooks,thesecostsarefixed,andoncepaidallowforunlimitedreplicationof theproduct.Withprintcookbooks,thesecostsarealsofixed,buthavethepotentialtoincreaseat higherprintruns,though,becauseprintrunsarecompletedallatoncethisisseldomthecase.Dueto therequirementofprintingplatecreationandothertechnicalset-upnecessaryforoffsetprinting— themethodmostcommonlyusedinAppetite’scookbookproductionandtheoverallcheapesthighquality,commercial-volumeprintingmethod—theplantcostsforprintcookbooksaremuchhigher thanthoseofe-cookbooks. PaperandbindingcostsforphysicaltitleformatsarenegotiatedbetweenAppetite(more specifically,PenguinRandomHouse’sproductionteam)andtheprinter.Thesecostsvaryaccording tothecomplexityandqualityofthepaperandbindingbeingused,andtheembellishmentsand detailsbeingapplied. TopreservetheconfidentialityofagreementsmadebetweenPenguinRandomHouseandits printersande-bookproducers,theexactproductioncostsforeachofthe21titlesincludedinthe datasetcannotbedisclosed.However,roughestimatesandaveragecostscanbeappliedtoprovidea roughlookatthecostsandreturnsofbothformats.Table6showstheYTD(first12)netrevenuefor all21titlespublishedbetweensummer2012andspring2014afterroyalties,plantcostsandPP+B costshavebeenapplied. Notethatthecostoflabour/staffwagesassociatedwiththestrippingprocessthathappensprior toconversion(mentionedabove)arenotincludedhere. 19 Table6–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookYTDnetrevenueafterroyaltiesandproductioncosts 20 $3,653.84 $2,674.82 $10,740.08 $4,708.07 $24,961.08 $53,392.50 $11,330.83 $32,912.06 $17,591.88 $89,554.50 $52,447.50 $101,478.84 $98,522.63 $185,157.00 $133,843.50 $319,352.31 $82,584.88 $126,356.16 $51,556.68 Total $1,501,896.37 $132,296.59 $147.63 Average $5,661.90 YTD (First 12) Net Revenue After Royalties PRINT $12,818.25 $1,165.30 $2,057.38 $1,843.77 $1,585.19 $1,312.48 $981.17 $841.01 $798.22 $652.07 $535.19 $484.22 $292.31 $281.06 $247.34 $242.11 $179.88 $179.88 $136.40 $78.70 $67.43 $22.48 $0.00 YTD (First 12) Net Revenue After Royalties DIGITAL $115,500.00 $10,500.00 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 Estimated Plant Costs – PRINT $15,750.00 $1,431.82 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 Estimated Plant Costs DIGITAL $144,792.00 $13,162.91 $5,583.00 $16,425.00 $8,943.00 $26,646.00 $12,747.00 $17,634.00 $13,923.00 $10,989.00 $4,995.00 $8,529.00 $1,905.00 $3,564.00 $1,227.00 $5,085.00 $2,703.00 $612.00 $1,746.00 $378.00 $594.00 $24.00 $540.00 Estimated PP+B Costs PRINT $1,241,604.37 $108,633.68 $40,473.68 $104,431.16 $68,141.88 $287,206.31 $115,596.50 $162,023.00 $79,099.63 $84,989.84 $41,952.50 $75,525.50 $10,186.88 $23,848.06 $4,603.83 $42,807.50 $16,758.08 ($1,403.94) $3,494.08 ($3,203.18) ($2,440.16) ($5,376.37) ($378.10) YTD (First 12) Net Revenue After Royalties and Production Costs - PRINT ($2,931.75) ($266.52) $1,307.38 $1,093.77 $835.19 $562.48 $231.17 $91.00 $48.22 ($97.94) ($214.82) ($265.79) ($457.70) ($468.94) ($502.67) ($507.89) ($570.12) ($570.12) ($613.61) ($671.30) ($682.57) ($727.52) ($750.00) YTD (First 12) Net Revenue After Royalties and Production Costs -DIGITAL Table7–AppetiteprintanddigitalcookbookLTDnetrevenueafterroyaltiesandproductioncosts 21 $335,658.64 $300,416.09 $210,049.83 $661,752.00 $809,928.00 $1,584,213.26 $908,526.81 $952,056.00 $493,625.42 $793,505.30 Average $8,985,657.07 $293,989.50 Total $242,712.55 $174,561.33 $198,315.70 $283,468.50 $97,628.02 $388,517.39 $854.15 $152,446.43 $546.95 $115,797.28 $62,412.90 $5,673.90 $14,165.55 $7,670.99 $7,094.02 $4,778.44 $3,516.93 $3,185.63 $3,001.75 $2,630.75 $2,248.50 $2,089.77 $1,933.71 $1,810.04 $1,630.16 $1,596.44 $1,465.39 $1,247.92 $399.44 $201,035.15 $115,500.00 $10,500.00 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $5,500 $24,391.83 $393.49 $42,369.89 $5,500 Estimated Plant Costs PRINT $152.91 LTD Net Revenue After Royalties DIGITAL LTD Net Revenue After Royalties PRINT $15,750.00 $1,431.82 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 $750 Estimated Plant Costs DIGITAL $905,388.00 $82,308.00 $53,454.00 $90,672.00 $128,391.00 $132,183.00 $77,136.00 $63,024.00 $22,746.00 $39,051.00 $36,348.00 $27,999.00 $26,283.00 $25,779.00 $42,072.00 $18,903.00 $26,997.00 $10,572.00 $24,783.00 $18,825.00 $32,682.00 $3,447.00 $4,041.00 Estimated PP+B Costs PRINT $7,964,769.07 $700,697.30 $434,671.42 $855,884.00 $774,635.81 $1,446,530.26 $727,292.00 $593,228.00 $181,803.83 $255,865.09 $293,810.64 $260,490.50 $210,929.55 $167,036.70 $340,945.39 $150,158.33 $250,971.50 $81,556.02 $122,163.43 $91,472.28 $162,853.15 $15,444.83 $32,828.89 LTD Net Revenue After Royalties and Production Costs PRINT $46,662.90 $4,242.08 $13,415.55 $6,920.99 $6,344.02 $4,028.44 $2,766.93 $2,435.63 $2,251.75 $1,880.75 $1,498.50 $1,339.77 $1,183.71 $1,060.04 $880.16 $846.44 $715.39 $497.92 $104.15 ($203.05) ($350.56) ($356.51) ($597.09) LTD Net Revenue After Royalties and Production Costs DIGITAL Itwouldappearthen,thatforthemajorityoftitles,e-cookbooknetrevenueislow,andmayin factrunadeficit,withinthefirstyearofpublication.Overtime;however,likelyduetothelackof PP+Bcosts,e-cookbooksstandtonotonlycovertheirproductioncosts,butalsogeneraterevenuefor Appetite.Rememberalso,thatasadigitalproduct,e-cookbookswillalsonevergo“outofprint”and thereforehavethepotentialtocontinuegeneratingrevenue—andprofit,intime—inperpetuity. Howlongthendoesittakebeforeane-cookbookbeginstoturnaprofit?Althoughquarterly salesdatawouldprovideamoreaccurateanswertothisquestion,PRHCanadareleasesitssalesdata in12-monthperiods,soforthesecalculations,anaveragenumberofcopiessoldperweekcanbe calculatedfromtheYTDsales(first12months)andplottedaccordingly. Table8showsaroughcalculationofthenumberofweeksatmarketeachtitlewouldrequireto recoverthedigitalproductioncosts($750pertitle,asestimatedabove)andbeginmakingprofit. Thesefiguresarebasedontheassumptionofasteadyaveragerateofsale,basedonthetitle’sfirst YTDnetsalesafterroyalties,andaremeanttoprovideonlyaroughprojectionofthenumberof weekstoapositiveROI.Itisacknowledgedthatasampleofsalesfromalongertimeperiodanda moresophisticatedcalculationwouldberequiredtoaccuratelyforecastthesefigures.Topreserve confidentialityofroyaltyrates,theanonymizedtitleshavebeenexcludedfromTable8,ashavethe listprices. Fromthis,wecanseethetop-performingtitletoachieveapositiveROIrequires18.69weeksor justshyof5monthsonthemarketbeforeitcoversproductioncostsandbeginstoturnprofit. Meanwhile,theworstperformingtitlewouldrequirean1112.10weeks,equivalenttomorethana staggering23yearsonthemarket.Onaverage,e-cookbooksrequire62.98weeksor16monthsto earnbackproductioncostsandachieveapositiveROI. 22 YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) DIGITAL Average Number of Units Sold Per Week - DIGITAL Average Number of Weeks to Profitability/Positive ROI 3 0.06 1112.10 42 0.81 72.68 66 1.27 60.63 77 1.48 67.66 103 1.98 50.57 141 2.70 24.71 164 3.15 18.69 183 3.51 19.01 52.38 1.00 58.87 9 0.17 392.51 7 0.13 513.28 14 0.27 218.04 16 0.31 215.25 16 0.31 189.90 19 0.36 185.35 22 0.42 158.87 25 0.48 122.65 26 0.50 133.45 38 0.73 91.41 58 1.11 60.11 71 1.36 43.29 Average 54.88 1.05 62.98 Total 1,100 21 65.81 Table8–Averagenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIforAppetite’sdigitalcookbooks ROI Wecanseethenthat,givenenoughtimeonthemarket,ane-cookbookhasthepotentialtoearn outitsproductioncostsandbegintogeneratepureprofit,butasitstands,thequestionremainsasto whetherornotAppetite’se-cookbookproductionhasalreadyachievedapositiveROI,oriftheywill continuetooperateintheredfordigitalsalesforsometimetocome. Therefore,whilethemathmayalreadybeobvious,thefinalpieceinthisinvestigationofthe returnoninvestmentforAppetite’sautomaticconversionofitstitlesintoe-cookbooksistoactually calculatethelifetimeROIforAppetite’se-cookbookLTDnetsales.Thisisdonebydividingthereturn ofaninvestment—inthiscasetheLTDnetrevenue(afterproductioncostshavebeencovered)—by theinvestmentorproductioncosts(numberspulledfromTable7). 23 ($46,662.90-$15,750.00)/$15,750.00=196% Inspiteofwhatappearstobeextremelylowdigitalsalesvolume,especiallyascomparedto Appetite’sprintsales,andasignificantnumberofAppetite’se-cookbooksrunningadeficitintheir firstyearonthemarketwithanaveragewaitingperiodforprofitsof16months,Appetite’sautomatic conversionoftitlesintodigitalformatsappearstohave,overtheimprint’slifetime,anoutstanding ROI,yieldingfullreturnsandanadditional96%profit.BarringanysharpdropsinAppetite’sdigital salesandassumingasteadyrateofsalesequaltothemonthlysalesaverage,thislifetimeROIwill onlycontinuetoincreasethelongertitlesstayonthemarket. Noteoncemorethatalloftheabovecalculationshaveamarginoferrorandusedaverages and/orestimatessoastopreserveconfidentialityandlimitthereleaseofcorporateinformation. AnanalysisthatwouldallowustobettergaugeAppetite’sperformancewouldbetoexamine Appetite’se-cookbooksalesperformanceincomparisontothatofotherimprintswithinthePRH umbrella. Comparative Analysis with PRH Imprints ToassessAppetite’se-cookbooksalesperformanceandROIrelativetothatofotherpublishers, weareabletoperformanalysis,asabove,usingsalesdatafrom317e-cookbookspublishedinthe seasonsofsummer2012throughtospring2014byfiveothere-cookbookproducingimprintswithin thePenguinRandomHouseumbrella.Althoughthereareatleast24imprintswithinthePRH umbrellathatpublishcookbooks,thefiveincludedinthesamplewereselectedonthesimilaritiesin theirmandatesandliststothatofAppetite.Further,alloftheseimprintsregardlessoftheir headquarterlocations,likeAppetite,publishanddistributetheirtitlesacrossNorthAmerica.As above,alldatausedintheanalysisbelowreflectsNorthAmericansalesinCAD. Ifwebeginourcomparativeanalysesbylookingattheaveragefirstyearsalesforallfive imprintsweseethatAppetite’sYTD(first12months)salesfarexceedthesalesofallfiveoftheother imprintssampled(Table9). Imprint Average YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) Rank Appetite 1,100 PRHAnonymousImprint1 476 PRHAnonymousImprint2 38 PRHAnonymousImprint3 641 PRHAnonymousImprint4 87 PRHAnonymousImprint5 290 Table9–AverageYTD(first12months)netsalesofsampledPRHimprints 24 1 3 6 2 5 4 WhenwescalethiscomparisonupandlookatLTD(lifetimetodate)netsalesinstead,Appetite’s performanceslipsfromthetopposition,showingthatwhileAppetiteoutperformsitscounterpartsin thefirstyearofsalesitdoesnothavethestayingpowertosupportthissalesrate,anditssales performanceissoonovertakenbythatoftheotherfiveimprints(Table10). Imprint Average LTD Net Sales (Units) Appetite Total LTD Net Sales (Units) Rank 256 5,380 6 PRHAnonymousImprint1 2,030 42,639 3 PRHAnonymousImprint2 197 5,705 5 PRHAnonymousImprint3 1,839 200,443 1 PRHAnonymousImprint4 414 8,283 4 PRHAnonymousImprint5 937 131,124 2 Average 946 65,596 N/A Table10–AverageandtotalLTDnetsalesofsampledPRHimprints ItisimportanttonotethatthefiveselectedimprintsareallbasedintheUnitedStates,and, despitethefactthatthemajorityofAppetitestitlesareexportedtotheU.S.theremaybe discrepanciesinthemarketingofnativeandimportedtitlesthatcouldimpacttheirsales.Further qualitativeinvestigationintopossiblecausesforthedifferencesinsalesvolumebetweenthe imprintsisnotpossibleatthisjuncture;however,thefactremainsthatAppetite’sLTDnetecookbooksalesfallslightlyifnotsignificantlybelowthesalesoftheotherPRHimprintssampled. Throughourunderstandingofthecostsassociatedwithe-cookbookproductioncosts,weknow that,givenadequatetimetoachieveanetrevenuegreaterthanthefixedplantcostsassociatedwith producingane-cookbook,barringacompletelackofinterestfromconsumers,imprintsstandto achieveapositiveROIonalltheirdigitaltitles.WeknowthatasofAugust2015,Appetitehas achievedalifetimeROIof196%fore-cookbookproduction. BycalculatingthelifetimeROIforeachoftheotherfiveimprintssampledandtheaverage lifetimeROIacrosstheseimprints,wearebetterabletomeasureAppetite’se-cookbooksales performancerelativetoitspublishingcounterparts. ObservingthelifetimeROIsforeachrespectiveimprintsampled(Table11)revealsAppetite’s rankashavingthesecondworstlifetimeROI.Wealsoseethatallimprintssampled,likeAppetite, have(asofAugust2015)achievedpositivelifetimeROIsandhavesincebegunaccumulatingpure profitontheirtotale-cookbooksales.TobetterunderstandthefactorsleadingtotheROIsobserved, furtherinvestigationisnecessary,andAppetitewoulddowelltoexplorethissotheymightdiscover howtoincreasetheirROIone-cookbookproduction.Onepossiblefactortoconsiderinitsimpacton ROIislistsize. 25 Imprint Appetite Number of Titles 21 LTD Net Revenue After Royalties $46,662.90 Plant Costs $15,750.00 ROI 196% PRHAnonymous 20 $506,492.69 $15,000.00 3277% Imprint1 PRHAnonymous 29 $53,426.21 $21,750.00 146% Imprint2 PRHAnonymous 109 $2,612,858.01 $81,750.00 3096% Imprint3 PRHAnonymous 20 $115,538.38 $15,000.00 670% Imprint4 PRHAnonymous 140 $1,431,557.46 $105,000.00 1263% Imprint5 Average(not 63 $943,974.55 $47,700.00 1879% includingAppetite) Average(including 57 $794,422.61 $42,375.00 1775% Appetite) Table11–ROIfordigitalcookbooksalesofsampledPRHimprints Rank 5 1 6 2 4 3 N/A N/A Knowingthatallsampledimprints,despiteconsumerpreferencesforprintcookbooks,wereable toachieveapositiveROIone-cookbookproduction,wecandigabitdeeperandexaminetheamount oftimeeachimprintrequiredtoreachitspositivelifetimeROI.Giventhehighersalesvolumes demonstratedbythefiveimprintsselected,itstandstoreasonthatiftheroyaltiesandproduction costsareconsistentwiththoseofAppetiteatanestimated$750pertitle(which,forthese calculationsandanalysesissupposed),theseimprintsstandtorecouptheirinvestmentfasterand earnmoreprofitinashorterperiodoftime. ByassumingasteadyweeklyrateofsalebasedontheYTD(first12)netsalesafterroyaltiesfor eachimprint,weareableestimatethenumberofweeksatmarketeachimprintwouldrequireto achieveapositiveROIandbeginmakingpureprofitontheirtotale-cookbooksales(Table12). Interestingly,despitewhatlookedlikeafairlynegativesalesperformanceforAppetitewhen observedonitsown,ourcomparativeanalysisshowsthatinevaluatingthetimerequiredtoachieve apositiveROIontotale-cookbooksales,Appetitesignificantlyoutperformsallfiveotherimprints sampled,recoupingitse-cookbookproductioncostsinlessthanhalfthetimeofthesecond-leading imprint.Thisapparentcontradictorypairingofweakoverallsalesvolumeandanaccelerated timelinetoapositiveROIisonethatrequiresfurtherinvestigationusingmoredetailedanalysesand expandeddata;however,oneobviousquestionthatcanbeexploredusingourcurrentdatasetis whetherornottheacceleratedtimelineforrecoupinge-cookbookproductioncostsandachievinga positiveROIforthesampledimprintscanbeattributedtohigherlistprices. Observingtheaveragelistpricesforeachimprint’se-cookbooksandtheaveragenumberof weekseachimprintrequirestoreachapositiveROIontheirtotalLTDnetsales(Table13;Figure8) weseeaninteractionindicatingthatlistpricemaybeasignificantfactoraffectinganimprint’s 26 positiveROItimeline;however,furtheranalysisisrequiredtofullyexplorethevariablesatplayin thetimerequiredtoachieveapositiveROI. Number of Titles Appetite 21 Total Plant Costs $15,750.00 Sales Volume Necessary to Cover Production Costs 1392.09 YTD (First 12) Net Sales (Units) 1,100 Estimated Average Digital Units Sold Per Week 21 Average Number of Weeks to Profitability /Positive ROI 65.81 PRH 20 $15,000.00 1291.16 476 9 141.01 Anonymous Imprint1 PRH 29 $21,750.00 3479.38 38 1 4761.25 Anonymous Imprint2 PRH 109 $81,750.00 6153.94 641 12 499.39 Anonymous Imprint3 PRH 20 $15,000.00 922.08 87 2 552.72 Anonymous Imprint4 PRH 140 $105,000.00 8453.34 290 6 1515.88 Anonymous Imprint5 Table12–Averagenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIfordigitalcookbooksales ofsampledPRHimprints Imprint Average Price Average Number of Weeks (CAD) to Profitability/Positive ROI Appetite $15.09 65.81 PRHAnonymous $15.49 141.01 Imprint1 PRHAnonymous $8.33 4761.25 Imprint2 PRHAnonymous $17.71 499.39 Imprint3 PRHAnonymous $21.69 552.72 Imprint4 PRHAnonymous $16.56 1515.88 Imprint5 Average $15.81 1256.01 Table13–Averagelistpriceandaveragenumberofweekstoprofitability/positiveROIfordigital cookbooksalesofsampledPRHimprints 27 Sampled PRH Imprints: List Price vs. Number of Weeks to a Positive ROI List Price (CAD $) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Weeks Figure8–SampledPRHImprints:ListPricevs.NumberofWeekstoaPositiveROI FromtheaboveanalysesweseethatAppetite’se-cookbooksalesperformanceintermsof volumefallstowardthelowerendofthespectrumwhencomparedtothatofotherdigitalcookbookproducingimprintsunderthePRHumbrellafortheseasonsofSummer2012throughSpring2014. Appetite’sLTDnete-cookbooksalesvolumeisthelowestofallimprintssampled,andtheCanadian imprintalsoyieldsthelowestnetrevenueone-cookbooksales.Inspiteofthispoorsales performance,analysisshowsthat(basedonassumedplant/productioncosts)Appetiteachieveda positiveROIfore-cookbooksalesproductionintheshortestnumberofweeksofanyofthesampled PRHimprints,inspiteofanaveragee-cookbookprice5%belowthesampledimprints’average.This canlikelybeattributedtoAppetite’sstrongYTD(first12months)sales,inwhichtheimprint outperformsallothersampledPRHimprints,exceedingtheaverageYTDsalesvolumeby150%. Furtherqualitativeanalysiswouldberequiredtoproperlyassessthevariablesatplay,andis recommendedtoAppetite. Discussion Havingconcludedaqualitativeanalysisofe-cookbooksalesdatamadeavailablethroughPRH’s MyHousedatabase,weareleftwithabetterunderstandingofthereturnoninvestmentforAppetite’s lineofdigitalcookbooks,andhowthisROIcomparestothoseofotherPRHimprints.Whatwelack; however,isanunderstandingofthefindingsastheyrelatetotheindustryatlarge.Byaddingthis expandedcomparativelenstoouranalysis,weareabletoassesswhetherornotAppetite’ssalesand ROIisreflectiveofindustrytrendsandconsumerpreferences,andprovidestronger recommendationsforAppetite’sfuturepublicationofe-cookbooks. 28 Industry E-cookbook Trends Unfortunately,littleconcretedataisavailableonthesubjectofe-cookbooksalestrends,witha specificdeficiencyininvestigativeoranalyticalresearchfocusedonconsumerpreferencesonand attitudestowarddigitalcookbooks;however,fromwhatlittleliteraturedoesexist,wecanglean insightsthatarerelevanttoourdiscussionofAppetite’sdigitalcookbookproductionandour quantitativeanalysisabove. AccordingtotheBookIndustryStudyGroup(BISG),in2013(whichconvenientlyfallsinthe middleofthepublishingseasonsofSummer2012throughSpring2014,thetimeforwhichthesales datausedinanalysesabovewascollected)theoveralltradepublishingmarketshowedsalesof70% printand30%digitalacrossallgenresandbookcategories.15Duringthistime,BISGaskedreadersto notetheirpreferencesforprintordigitalbookformatsacross14categories.Ofthesecategories, cookbooksshowedthestrongestreaderpreferenceforprint(approximately60%)andthelowest readerpreferencefordigital(lessthan20%).Thisconsumerpreferenceforprintcookbooksover theirdigitalcounterpartsalignswithwhatwasobservedinourearlierexaminationofAppetite’s printversusdigitalsalesvolume,where98%ofsalesweretitlesinaprintformat. WiththeAppleiPadreleaseinJanuary2010andasubsequentstreamoftabletsandhandheldebookcompatibledevicesenteringthetechnologymarketplace,onemightthinkthatdigital cookbookswouldmakefortheperfectkitchencompanion,allowingareadertobringalltheir favouritecookbooksfilledwithhundredsofrecipestotheircountertop.By2012,itwasestimated thatawhopping47.5milliontabletsownedintheUnitedStatesalone,speakingtothepopularityof portableinformation.Atthesametime,thetradepublishingindustrysawanincreaseincookbook sales.16In2010,5%growthincookbooksaleswasobservedinthetrademarket17,2011through 2013werenotedas“superstrong”yearsforsalesbyAaronWehner,publisherofTenSpeedPress (animprintunderthePRHumbrella)and,beyondthePRHumbrella,SanFranciscobasedpublisher Chroniclebooksmarked2013as“oneofitsbestyearseverforcookbooksales”.18Itseemsprudent 15Perry,JackW."BISGReport–AFewMoreEbookStats."DigitalBookWorld.November14,2013. AccessedOctober15,2015.http://www.digitalbookworld.com/2013/bisg-report-a-few-moreebook-stats/. 16Evans,Benedict."HowManyTabletsAreInTheUSA?AndDoesItMatter?"Forbes.October2, 2012.AccessedNovember22,2015. http://www.forbes.com/sites/benedictevans/2012/10/02/how-many-tablets-are-in-the-usa-anddoes-it-matter/. 17Albanese,Andrew."DigitalTrends,StrategiesontheMenuat'PW'CookbookPanel."Publishers Weekly.November12,2010.AccessedNovember22,2015. http://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/by-topic/industry-news/cooking/article/45150-digitaltrends-strategies-on-the-menu-at-pw-cookbook-panel.html. 18Brown,Corie."PublishingTrendfor2014:ANewDemandforEye-CatchingCookbooks." Entrepreneur.November19,2013.AccessedNovember23,2015. http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/229842. 29 thentoquestionwhy,inspiteofthistandemspikeinthepopularityofportabletechnologyandthe overallsalesofcookbooks,wearestillseeingsuchastrongconsumerpreferenceforthetraditional ink-on-paperformatoverdigital. Technology in the Kitchen Onefrequentlycitedpossibilityisthatthecombinationofcooking,whichmakesformessy handsandmessykitchens,andhigh-pricetechnologysimplydoesn’tmixwell,particularlysince “mostofusdonothavetheneatnessofprofessionalcooksandtendtomakeabitofmessinthe kitchen.”19AsEdwardNawotka,editor-in-chiefofpublishingnewsblogPublishingPerspectives, pointsout,thethreatofdamagetoyourdeviceinthekitchenisveryreal.“Ifyouspillsomethingon, oraccidentallysteam,orcarelesslydroponeofthosepriceydevicesyouusetoaccessdigital cookbooks,it’sgameoverforthefancymealyouplannedthatnight.Youmightaswellordercarry out.”20AndNawotkaisnotaloneinhisconcern.Manyreadersfindthatpriceytechnologysimplyisn’t conducivetotheirneedsinthekitchen.Ifareaderneedstozoominonanimageoringredientlist, theyneedtotouchthescreen,oriftheyforgottochangetheirpower-savingsettingstokeepthe screenliveandhalfwaythroughtherecipethescreengoesdark,oncemoretheyneedtotouchthe screen—achallengeandunappealingoptionifyourhandsarecoveredinfood.Asonereaderputsit, “I’mforeverjabbingatthescreenwithsquash-coveredfingers”and"havingtowashmyhandsevery fewminutestoscrolltothenextstage.”21Buttheremaybemoreatplaythanjustareader’sfearof damagingtheirdeviceinakitchenmishap. Aesthetic in Digital Versions Asecondpossibilityisthate-cookbooksarenotaestheticallyappealingenough.Aaron Wehner,publisherofTenSpeedPress—aUS-basedcookbook-publishingimprintunderthePRH umbrella—attributesthepopularityofprintcookbookstotheirpositioningas“objectsofdesire”—a labelgarneredthroughtheirrichaestheticsandart-likequality.22Wehnersaysthattheimprint’s approachisto“lavishattentiononthevisual,"notingthatin2013theywere”investingmoreinthe 19Jasilek,Nina."WhyAreCookbooksStillsoPopular?"LondonSchoolofPublishingBlog.December 2,2013.AccessedDecember9,2015.http://blog.publishing-school.co.uk/publishing/why-are-printcookbooks-still-so-popular/. 20Nawotka,Edward."WillDigitalEditionsEverReplacethePrintedCookbook?"Publishing Perspectives.February26,2012.AccessedDecember9,2015. http://publishingperspectives.com/2012/02/will-digital-editions-ever-replace-the-printedcookbook/#.Vm0yzMrk0Xk. 21Barnett,Laura."IstheIPadtheNewCookbook?"TheGuardian.February20,2012.Accessed December11,2015.http://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2012/feb/01/is-ipad-the-newcookbook. 22Brown,Corie."PublishingTrendfor2014:ANewDemandforEye-CatchingCookbooks." Entrepreneur.November19,2013.AccessedNovember23,2015. http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/229842. 30 photography,designandfinishof[their]books."23Thisapproachpairseffectivelywiththerisein popularityoverthelastthreeyearsofimage-basedsocialmediachannelssuchasInstagramand Pinterest,knownasthetopchannelsforcookeryandindicativeofthepublic’sdesireforaesthetically richfoodcontent.24 Andyet,weknowfromourabovediscussionofAppetite’se-cookbookproductionprocess, thatAppetite’se-cookbooksarestripped-downversionsoftheirprintcounterpartswithmuchofthe designalteredandpareddownforreasonsrelatedtoaccessibilityandreadability.Thisprocess wouldthenappeartobecounterintuitivetoconsumerdesireswhenpurchasingcookbooksandcould beharmingthesalesofe-cookbooks. Functionality in Digital Versions Athirdpossiblereasonforaconsumerpreferenceforprintoverdigitalcookbooksisthelack offunctionalityattributedtoe-cookbooks.Manyreaderscomplainthatdigitalcookbooksare“little morethanPDFversionsoftheprintbooktheyrepresent”and,whilesomeofferfeaturessuchas searchorgrocerylistcreation,theyarestilllackinginthefeaturesnecessarytomimictheexperience ofusingaphysicalcookbooksuchasmakingnotesandannotationsontherecipes.25 Thesefeaturesmayseemextraneous,mere“nicetohaves”inamediumthatismeanttobe largelytextandimagebased,buttheirimportancemaybegreatenoughtoimpactsalesandmay stemfromtheuniquewayinwhichreadersinteractwithcookbooks.Usingtheexampleof annotationsasanecessaryfeature,it’sinterestingtonotethatcookbooksarebyandlargethemost commonlyannotatedtypeofbooks.“Peoplewhowouldn’tdreamofwritinginotherbooksdon’t hesitatetoedit(“add½t.cayenne”),writereviews(“neveragain”)andevennotespecialoccasions (“anniversaryparty’84”)nexttorecipes”andweseethistraditioncarriedoninthedigitalrealm throughthehundredsofcommentsthataccompanyonlinerecipes,whetherpinned,posted,or shared.26Yet,e-cookbooksstilldon’tconsistentlyofferthetoolsneededforreaderstointeractwith thecontentinthesameway. Thesedeficienciesarenotunnoticedbythosewithinthepublishingindustryeither.In December2014,ScottShannon,seniorvicepresidentandpublisherofdigitalcontentforPRHnoted that“It’sdifficulttoreproducethereadingexperienceofacookbookonaniPad”andthatPRH 23Ibid. 24Mangalindan,JP."InstagramandPinterestBothDoubledUsersovertheLast3Years."Mashable. August20,2015.AccessedDecember13,2015.http://mashable.com/2015/08/20/instagrampinterest-doubled/#Qlcbm8F5cgqn. 25Kayal,Michele."InaConnectedWorld,CookbooksRemainSteadfastlyOldSchool."GlobalNews. November20,2014.AccessedDecember14,2015.http://globalnews.ca/news/1682825/in-aconnected-world-cookbooks-remain-steadfastly-old-school/). 26Murphy,Kate."BetweentheRecipes,ScribblesSpeakVolumes."TheNewYorkTimes.January29, 2013.AccessedDecember13,2015.http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/30/dining/cookbooksecho-with-the-wisdom-of-chefs-past.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0. 31 “[spends]atonoftimemakingsureit’sthebestexperienceoneverydevicethatitcanbe.ButtheebookproductionprocessiswheretheWebwasadecadeago.It’sdefinitelyimproving.Ouraccounts arespendingatremendousamountoftimeonit.Butwe’renotthereyet.”27 Throughtheaboveinsightsintoindustry-widetrendsandconsumerwants,weunderstandthat whatweobservedinthee-cookbooksalesdataofAppetiteisareflectionofwhatishappeninginthe industryat-large.Astheycurrentlystand,e-cookbooksareunabletodeliveronthewantsand needs—andconcerns—ofconsumers,andthisiscontributingtolowsalesvolume. Duetotheirrelianceonexpensivetechnologythatdoesn’tmixwellwiththemessinessof cooking,thediminishedaestheticappealofadigitalversion,andthelackoffunctionalitynecessary toallowreaderstoconnectnaturallywiththecontent,e-cookbooksmaysimplybemissingtheir markwithconsumers,andifwethinkbacktotheguidingprinciplesbehindthePRHuniversal conversionpolicy,thismightnotbesurprisingatall.RememberthatPRH’sdecisiontoproduce digitalversionsofalltitles,includingcookbooks,isfoundedonthegoalsofaccessibility,competition withinadigitalmarket,andtitlearchiving,butconsumerpreferencesordemandarenotdirectly considered.Giventhediscussionabove,itmaybeworthwhileforAppetite(andPRHasawhole)to updatetheirconversionpolicytoincludeconsiderationofthewantsandneedstoreaders. Conclusion and Recommendations Althoughtheaboveanalysesarenotcomprehensivebyanystandard,throughexaminationof Appetite’se-cookbooksalesdataonitsown,incomparisontosimilarimprints,andwithintheframe ofthee-cookbookindustryatlarge,wearebetterabletoassessAppetite’sdigitalcookbook productionpoliciesandpracticesand,byextension,theirlevelofsuccess.Indoingso,weachieve threethings,thefirstofwhichistoanswertothequestionposedattheoutsetofthisreport:Isthe returnoninvestment(ROI)forconvertingtitlesintodigitalversionspositiveforallcookbooks? Whilenoteveryindividualcookbookwillachieveasalesvolumegreaterthantheirproduction costsandtherebyyieldapositiveROI,to-date,eveninthefaceoflowtotale-cookbooksalesvolume, AppetitehasbeenabletoachieveapositiveROIwhencalculatedusingthecombinedsalesofall digitalcookbooks.OuranalysisrevealsthatthispositiveROI,evenwithfluctuationsinthesales volumeofindividualtitles,ismadepossible,atleastinpart,bythelowproductioncostsofecookbooks(particularlyascomparedtotheirprintcounterparts)compoundedwiththeextended marketlifespansofdigitalformats(which,asweremember,cannotgo“outofprint”)allowingfor protractedperiodsofconsumeraccessibilityandtherebysalesinwhichtheproductioncostscanbe recoveredandpureprofitcanbemade. 27Kayal,Michele."InaConnectedWorld,CookbooksRemainSteadfastlyOldSchool."GlobalNews. November20,2014.AccessedDecember14,2015.http://globalnews.ca/news/1682825/in-aconnected-world-cookbooks-remain-steadfastly-old-school/. 32 ThesecondthingachievedthroughtheaboveanalysesistheabilitytoprovideAppetitewith specific,data-driven,andactionableinsights,whichcanbeparlayedintorecommendationsforthe imprint’sfuturee-cookbookproduction.Amongtheserecommendationsis,firstandforemosta suggestionthatAppetiteundertakeregularanalysisoftheire-cookbooksalesdata.Asnotedinthe introductionofthisreport,dataanalysisisaninvaluabletoolforeffectivedecision-makingandthe evaluationofsuccess.Demonstratedbytheamountofdatausedinthisreport,whichrepresentsonly asmallfractionofwhatisavailabletoPRHstaffthroughtheMyHousedatabase,Appetitehasa wealthofdataattheirfingertips.Byexpandinguponthemethodsandanalysesusedabove,Appetite canbetteridentifythevariablesaffectingthesalesofeachoftheirtitlesandapplytheirfindingsto thepublicationoffuturee-cookbookswiththegoalofimprovingtheirsalesandtherebyincreasing theirrevenueandROI. AsecondrecommendationofferedtoAppetite,istocontinueapplyingbutmakeamendmentsto theiruniversalconversionpolicy(viaPRHasawhole)byaddingafourthguidingprincipleof meetingtheexperientialneedsandwantsofreaders.GiventhepositiveROIAppetiteisabletoachieve ondigitalcookbookproduction,thereisnostrongreasontorecommendtheblanketdisuseofthe automaticconversionpolicy;however,theadditionofthisconsumer-focusedguidingprinciple wouldensurethatAppetite’spublishingpoliciesandpracticesarebetterattunedtothewantsand needstoreadersandmayhelpresolvesomeoftheconsumerconcernsleadingtolowsalesvolume. InitsapplicationtodigitalcookbookpublishingthisnewguidingprinciplewouldencourageAppetite (anditsimprintcolleagues)toexploredifferentoptionsine-cookbookproductionanddesign, possiblyclosingtheaestheticgapbetweenprintanddigitalcookbooksandinspiringforaysintoecookbookenhancementsforincreasedfunctionalityandreaderexperience.Thisaddedprinciplehas thepotentialtorepositione-cookbookswithinthemarketas“objectsofdesire”liketheirprint counterparts,ratherthancheaper,pared-downversionsofatitle. BothoftheserecommendationsaremadeinthehopesthatAppetitemightbecomealeaderin thepublicationofe-cookbooks.AlthoughAppetiteisasmallandstillrelativelynewimprint,asa divisionoftheworld’slargestEnglish-languagetradepublisher,theimprintisideallyplacedtohave accesstothenecessaryinformationandresourcestoredefinethesalestrendsofdigitalcookbooks —theweakestareaofdigitalsalesinthetrademarkettoday. Third,andfinally,theanalysescompletedandtheinsightsyieldedservetomakethisreporta valuableresourceforthepublishingindustryasawhole—expandingourunderstandingoftheniche productofe-cookbooksandtheirpositionwithinthetrademarketanddemonstratingthevalueof dataanalysisinunderstandingindustrytrendsandconsumerpreferences.Althoughitispresented asacasestudy,thisreportappliesaholisticapproachtotheanalysesincludedandfocusesits attentionmoreonthegeneralformatofe-cookbooksandthedatainitsrawformthanonthe publishingimprintbeingsampledorotherqualitativeelements.Indoingso,thereportfindingsare 33 highlytransferrableandrelevanttomorepublishersthanjustAppetiteoritsfellowimprintswithin thePRHumbrella.Further,byrelyingonquantitativedataanalysis,thisreportdemonstratesthe valueofdatainunderstandingindustrytrendsandconsumerpreferences—alessonthatall publishersshouldtaketoheartastheymoveforwardintheirpublishingendeavours. 34 Bibliography "AboutPenguinRandomHouseCanada."PenguinRandomHouseCanada.September1,2014. 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