International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) Planning of the Electric Power Distribution Systems Securing Maximum Reliability at Constrained Budget Prof.Dr.Ahmed R. Abul'Wafa1, Shazly Nasser Fahmy2, Dr. Aboul’Fotouh El’Garably 3 1 Electric Power and Machines Dept.Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt Electric Power and Machines Dept. El’Shorouk Academy, Cairo, Egypt 2,3 Abstract— It is evident that electric utilities all over world are facing an increasing number of complaints about distribution systems reliability. High levels of continuity and quality are the two characteristics that customers expect and demand. Therefore distribution systems reliability increase constitutes one of the most important issues in the studies of the power distribution systems. The purpose of this paper is to study the distribution systems reliability increase using a decision making process based on both incremental cost and incremental benefits criteria. This paper uses A Mathematical Programming Language (AMPL) software to build an algorithm to optimize the customer oriented reliability indices, which is measured by System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI). The objective function of AMPL is to minimize SAIDI for a distribution system through several alternatives corresponding to different system configurations. Five alternatives for minimizing of SAIDI will be applied to the test system. Investments for proposed alternatives are constrained by a limited budget. Reliability parameters of the system components are obtained through simulation of the different system configuration on NEPLAN software. These parameters values are introduced in the AMPL data file. Minimal cut sets technique (MCs) is used to explore the path from each load point to the supply source. These MCs are used to build the objective function and the constraints in AMPL optimization model file. The procedure is illustrated by application on Feeder 4 of Bus 6 of RBTS as test system. Net Present Value (NPV) will be used to capitalize the cost of energy interruption (ECOST), used with capital budgeting to calculate the net cost for the optimal investment. Investment cost for each alternative. Maximum budget available for the utility. The number of investment alternatives. The annual outage time of main feeder corresponding to each load point. The annual outage time of lateral distribution feeder connecting to its load point. The number of main feeder component sections corresponding to each load. The failure rate of main feeder component sections corresponding to each load point. The repair time of main feeder component sections corresponding to each load point. The decrease of failure rate for main feeder component sections corresponding to each load point at available investment alternatives x z. The decrease of repair time for main feeder component sections corresponding to each load point at available investment alternatives x z. The failure rate for lateral distribution feeder connecting to its load point. The repair time for lateral distribution feeder connecting to its load point. Annual expected interruption cost over the time period of project ($/yr). Keywords— AMPL, Cut Set, NEPLAN, NPV, SAIDI. Nomenclature Optimal investment cost. Failure rate for component i in a cut set. Repair time for component i in a cut set. Number of components in a cut set. Average failure rate of load point j. SAIDI Repair time of load point j. Annual outage time of load point j. EENS ECOST TCC RBTS Number of customers of each load point j. Number of load point in the system. Binary decision variable for each alternative. 280 Number of time periods which is equal to 15 year. Discount rate which is equal to 10%. System Average Interruption Duration Index (hr/cust.yr ). Expected energy not supplied (Kwh/yr). Annual expected interruption cost ($/yr). Total Capital Cost ($). Roy Billinton Test System. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) MFSs SF5Ss SF6Ss MCs D.S MTS ATS TR LD OHL UGC “Ref. [8]” addresses the problem of resource allocation on multiple cloud platforms formulated as a mixed integer non-linear programming problem (MINLP). The paper optimizes scheduling of bag of tasks applications and workflows under the deadline constraint. The optimization models implemented in AMPL modelling language allow us to apply leading solvers such as Cbc and CPLEX. “Ref. [9]” deals in a unique combination with the aspects of model-building and solving real world-optimization problems. It treats in a systematic way all major modelling languages and model language software used to solve mathematical optimization problems. In the midst 1980s, when, for instance, AMPL or XPress-MP appeared, the software developers were already trying to improve on previous designs, by taking advantage of faster computers and better computing environments. “Ref. [10]” provides a framework for quantifying the reliability impacts of different projects as measured by Customer-Minutes of Interruption (CMI) avoided ($/CMI). The changes in expected reliability and associated benefit-cost analyses were quantified for all of the project options. These are assembled and ranked according to increasing dollars spent per CMI purchased. The most cost-effective option is to automate the switches on Feeders. Minimal cut sets technique (MCs) [11] is used to explore the path from each load point to the supply source. These MCs are used to build the objective function and the constraints in AMPL optimization Model file. However, since we are using student edition of AMPL only allowing up to 300 constraints, this paper make use of the Reliability-network-equivalent approach [2] to handle the test system in two steps. In the first step, each sub-feeder is transferred into an equivalent lateral distribution section with its reliability equivalent [2]. Secondly, load points on the sub-feeder are attached to its equivalent lateral section allowing calculation of load points and system reliability indices SAIDI [1]. Net Present Value (NPV) [12] will be used to capitalize the cost of energy interruption (ECOST), used with capital budgeting to calculate the net cost for the optimal investment. Main feeder sections of Feeder 4. Main sections of a sub-feeder F5. Main sections of a sub-feeder F6. Minimal cut sets technique. Disconnects switching. Mechanical transfer switch. Automatic transfer switch. A step-down transformer. Lateral distributor. Overhead lines. Underground cables. I. INTRODUCTION The electrical power distribution system is the final stage in electricity delivery to end users. The most important function of a modern electric power system is to provide electric power to its customer at the lowest possible cost and with an acceptable level of reliability. Also, reliability is one of the major factors for planning, designing, operating and maintaining electric power system [1]. Since distribution systems account for up to 80 % of all customer reliability problems, improving distribution reliability is the key to improve customer reliability [2]. The System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) was used to predict the system reliability [3]. The reliability of power distribution networks can be improved by reducing the power supply outage duration. In order to achieve these improvements, in this paper a number of investment alternatives corresponding to different system configurations is applied to a test Feeders 4 of Bus6 of RBTS distribution system [4]. The paper uses the mathematical programming language (AMPL) software [5] to reach optimal expected value of SAIDI under budget constraint. AMPL is used extensively in many fields of power system optimization. “Ref. [6]” uses Mixed-integer quadratic, quadratically constrained, a solver in AMPL as a second-order cone programming models of distribution system reconfiguration. Each model can be reliably and efficiently solved to optimality using AMPL commercial software. In the course of deriving each model, original quadratically constrained and second-order cone approximations were obtain to power flow in radial networks. “Ref. [7]” presents a complete, quadratic programming formulation of the standard thermal unit commitment problem in power generation planning, together with a novel iterative optimization algorithm, based on AMPL software for its solution. II. DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM RELIABILITY EVALUATION The reliability of a distribution system can be described using two sets of reliability parameters. These are the load point reliability indices and the system reliability indices [1]. 281 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) A. Load point reliability indices The component reliability data of failure rate (λ), outage time (r) can be used to determine the reliability indices for the load points [13]. The average failure rate indicates the number of failures a load point will experience during a given period of time. The average outage time is the average duration of failure at the load point. The average annual outage time (u) is the average total duration of outage in a year experienced at the load point. These reliability indices are expected values and represent the long-run average value. The solver actually finds an optimal solution to the problem by reading in the intermediate file produced by AMPL and applying an appropriate algorithm. B. System Reliability Indices Additional reliability indices will be calculated in order to obtain an overall representation of the systems performance and their reliability. This paper will concentrate on SAIDI to measure the reliability improvements. The mathematical equation for SAIDI is shown in Eq. (4). Optimization of The customer oriented index was considered in [1; 13]. SAIDI = Fig. (1) Function diagram of AMPL modeling language. III. AMPL MODELING LANGUAGE B. Mathematical Programming Solvers By default the AMPL student edition uses, as solver, MINOS 5.5, but if the users want to use CPLEX as solver, they should define CPLEX as their solver using (option solver cplex ;). CPLEX Solver is used in this paper as– it is used for solving linear optimization programs (LP’s) and integer optimization programs (IP’s). It will not solve nonlinear optimization programs (NLP’s). The AMPL is an algebraic modeling language for describing and solving high-complexity problems for largescale mathematical computation and large-scale problems [5]. It is also, a powerful modeling language for linear, non-linear, and mixed integer non-linear optimization problems in discrete or continuous variables. A. Function Operation of AMPL A function diagram of how AMPL is operating is shown in Fig. 1 [14]. To start, AMPL needs a model file, which describes many of variables, objectives, constraints and relationships without referring to specific data. AMPL also, needs a data file for the mathematical model. The model and data files are fed into the AMPL program, which put them into an intermediate form that can be read by a solver. C. AMPL Advantages One particular advantage of AMPL is the symmetry of its syntax to the mathematical registration of optimization problems. An algebraic modelling language allows one to easily specify and understand objective functions, constraints and logical relationships among variables. 282 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) Familiarity is one of the major advantages of algebraic modelling languages (i.e. the input format for a math program in AMPL is more suitable with the way that we express it on paper). Another advantage is their applicability to a particularly wide variety of linear, nonlinear and integer programming models. A modelling language is designed to express the modeller’s form in a way that can serve as direct input to a computer system. Then the translation to the algorithm’s form can be performed entirely by computer. IV. Minimize Subject to The objective function can be expressed mathematically as: SAIDI = The constraint can be expressed mathematically as shown in Eq. (6). The annual outage time of load point can be expressed mathematically for AMPL software in constraint part as following: MINIMAL CUT SET METHOD In many complex systems, the reliability of the system can be computed through the reliability of the components along with the system’s structure function. If the exact reliability is too difficult to compute explicitly, reliability bounds might be achievable based on Minimal Cut Sets technique (MCs). MCs are the collections of the smallest component sets that are required to fail in order to fail the system. MCs can be applied to systems with simple as well as complex configurations and is a very suitable technique for the reliability analysis of power distribution systems [11]. MCs are used to explore the path from each load point to the supply source. Main sections of a sub-feeder (ex. SF5Ss) are common part of MCs of any load point on that feeder. The lateral and distribution transformer of that load point is to be shunted to SF5Ss or SF6Ss as appropriate. These MCs are used to build the objective function and the constraints in AMPL optimization Model file. V. SAIDI VI. CASE STUDY The proposed algorithm is illustrated by application on Feeder 4 of Bus 6 of RBTS as test system. Fig. 2 [2] represents Bus 6 of RBTS system. The transformers reliability, customer data, and lines reliability data of feeder four are extracted from [4, 15]. MCs are used to explore the path from each load point to the supply source. Main sections of a sub-feeder (ex. SF5Ss) are common part of MCs of any load point on that feeder. The lateral and distribution transformer of that load point is to be shunted to SF5Ss or SF6Ss as appropriate. These MCs are used to build the objective function and the constraints in AMPL optimization Model file. As the student edition of AMPL is limited to 300 constraints, the test system of RBTS is truncated to main feeder F4 with two sub feeders F5, and F6. The main sections of the sub-feeders F5, and F6 (SF5Ss, and SF6Ss) respectively, are given in Table 1. MATHEMATICAL ALGORITHM The objective function of AMPL is to minimize SAIDI for a distribution system given a limited budget and a number of investment alternatives corresponding to different system configurations. The constraint for the objective function is that the cost for all introduced investment alternatives must be choosing between equal to or below the maximum budget. In addition to, the annual outage time of load point can be used for AMPL software in constraint part. The role of AMPL technique comes to select the optimum alternative system configurations which achieve the minimization of SAIDI. The optimization of SAIDI is expressed mathematically as: 283 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) TABLE I. MINIMUM CUT SETS OF SUB FEEDER Sub feeder F5 F6 Main sections of a sub-feeder {L53},{L54},{L56},{L57},{L58} {L50},{L51},{L52} The reliability parameters of the sub feeders are given in Table 2, the new system (Feeder 4 of Bus 6 of RBTS, with F7 excluded) is shown in Fig. 3. Fig. (2) Practical Distribution of Bus 6 of RBTS. Fig. (3) Practical Distribution of Bus 6 of RBTS. 284 International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) A. Introduction of one manual D.S on Each Main Feeder Segment: A first alternative or improvement scheme is the provision of twelve disconnects switching (D.S) at judicious points along the main OHL feeder. The total isolation and switching time are designed to be 1 hour. B. Introduction of two manual D.S on Each Main Feeder Segment: A second alternative or improvement scheme is the provision of a dual D.S on each main feeder segment provided with an alternative power supply. The radial structure of the standby power is developed on the basis of the radial structure of the single-loop in order to improve reliability [4]. The total isolation and switching time are designed to be 1 hour. C. Using two Mechanical Transfer Switch (MTS) for OHL Feeder: The second alternative (2) is used with a replacement of a manual disconnecting switch to MTS with a specific value of switching time. The total isolation and switching time of MTS is 9 minute. D. Using two Automatic Transfer Switch (ATS) for OHL Feeder: The second alternative (2) is used with a replacement of a manual disconnecting switch to ATS which has a more suitable value of switching time. The total isolation and switching time of ATS is 5 second. E. Using two Automatic Transfer Switch (ATS) for UGC Feeder: The fourth alternative (4) of ATS is used with a replacement of an overhead line to an underground cable with a failure rate of 0.04 f/yr. and a repair time of 30 hour. Suggested alternatives, corresponding investment and associated action are given in Table 4. TABLE II. DISTRIBUTION SUB FEEDER’S RELIABILITY DATA Sub feeder F5/ SF5Ss F6/ SF6Ss Reliability data of main sections of sub-feeder λ (f/yr) r (hr) u (hr/yr) 0.8645 5 4.3225 0.5525 5 2.7625 Now, final MCs are given in Table III. Main feeder (F4) sections (MFSs) include L35, L36, L37, L38, L39, L40, L42, L44, L45, L46, L48, and L49 and load point branches may be either connected to it either with a lateral distributor (LD) and a step-down transformer (TR) or with a step down transformer (TR) only as detailed in Table 3. TABLE III. MINIMUM CUT SETS FOR EACH LOAD POINT Number of load point 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 VII. Minimum cut set {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR}, {LD41} {MFSs}, {TR}, {LD43} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR}, {LD47} {MFSs}, {TR} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF6Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF6Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF6Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF5Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF5Ss}, {LD55} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF5Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF5Ss} {MFSs}, {TR}, {SF5Ss} TABLE IV. THE INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES NUMBERS, COST, AND ACTION Investment alternatives, Ninv A INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES During an operating and a planning period, the distribution system operator (DSO) may face some identified alternatives to improve supply reliability to customers (decrease the expected SAIDI or other indices of reliability as much as possible). Each alternative is requires certain investment to realize. However the total allocated budget is limited and defined. The objective function of reliability improvement alternatives in an optimization problem (minimization of SAIDI) subjected to the constraint: The investment in any alternatives must be equal to or below the maximum budget of $6000000. The alternatives to be implemented in this work are as following: 285 Investment, ($) 550,000 B 1,150,000 C 1,725,000 D 2,300,000 E 6,500,000 Associated action Introduction one manual D.S on each main feeder segment. Introduction two manual D.S on each main feeder Segment. Introduction two (MTS) for OHL feeder. Introduction two (ATS) for OHL feeder. Introduction two (ATS) for UGC feeder. International Journal of Emerging Technology and Advanced Engineering Website: www.ijetae.com (ISSN 2250-2459, ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal, Volume 5, Issue 10, October 2015) VIII. This paper uses AMPL software to build an algorithm to optimize SAIDI for a distribution system given a limited budget and a number of investment alternatives corresponding to different system configurations. Five alternatives for optimizing of SAIDI were applied to the test system. The procedure is illustrated by application on Feeder 4 of Bus 6 of RBTS test system. Reliability parameters of the system components needed for the AMPL Data file are obtained through simulation of the different system configuration on NEPLAN software. INVESTMENT NET PRESENT VALUE Net present value (NPV) approach is used to capitalize the annual expected interruption cost over a time period T of project [11]. Adding investment to capitalized ECOST to get total capital cost (TCC) of the project alternative given by Eq. (11). REFERENCES IX. [1] RESULTS The objective function of AMPL is to minimize SAIDI for a distribution system given a limited budget and a number of investment alternatives corresponding to different system configurations. AMPL selects the best configurations from the available alternatives having minimum SAIDI and satisfying constraints. AMPL outputs include the corresponding SAIDI, EENS, ECOST, and TCC as shown in Table 5. The binary variable =1 (output of AMPL), indicates acceptance of project alternative and =0, means rejection of project alternative. [2] [3] [4] [5] TABLE V. INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES DECISION, EENS, ECOST, TCC, AND SAIDI Alter EENS (Kwh/yr) ECOST ($/yr) TCC ($) SAIDI (hr/cust.yr) [6] SAIDI (NEPLAN) (hr/cust.yr) A 1 36096.1 360,961 3,295,500 8.73942 8.73457 B 1 21894.8 175,159 2,482,270 5.2952 5.29447 C 1 16262.8 97,577 2,467,180 3.7846 3.787365 D 1 15285.3 45,830.1 2,648,590 3.5182 3.523868 E 0 26550.2 265,502 8,519,430 4.9152 4.95929 [7] [8] [9] [10] AMPL chooses project alternative 4) as the optimum one to implement. However it is left to DSO to choose another project alternative for implementation from the accepted ones, since alternative 3) for example, produce only 7.57% increase of in SAIDI but with a reduction of 6.85% in the total capital cost. X. [11] [12] [13] CONCLUSION [14] This paper studies planning of electric power distribution systems securing maximum reliability to customers at constrained budget allocated to the utility. [15] 286 R. Billinton, and R. N. 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