Validated by: 65 Millet St. Suite 201 Richmond, VT 05477 USA Tel: 802-434-5491 Fax: 802-434-3116 www.rainforest-alliance.org Carbon Forestry Validation Audit Managed by: Mesoamerica Regional Office Rainforest Alliance/ SmartWood Program 8a Avenida 15-62, Zone 10 Guatemala, Guatemala Tel: (502) 2383 - 5757 Fax: (502) 2383 - 5788 Contact person: Adolfo Lemus Email: alemus@ra.org Validation Assessment Report for: Producción, Industrialización, Comercialización y Asesoría de Hule Natural, Sociedad Anónima (PICA) in Guatemala Date Final Report Issued: Date Draft Final Report Issued: Date Draft Report Issued: Audit Dates: Lead Auditor: Second Audit Team Member: Senior Internal Reviewer: Audit Standard: Validation Code(s): Validation Statement Issued: Project Latitude/Longitude: Project Proponent Contact: Project Proponent Address: Doc. No. C-56 May2010 26 October 2010 22 September 2010 30 June 2010 20 to 22 April, 2010 William Arreaga Jared Nunery Adam Gibbon VCS, 2007.1, Nov 2008 Voluntary Carbon Standard Program Update 21 January 2010 VCS, Tool for AFOLY Methodological Issues, Nov 2008 VCS, Guidance for AFOLU Projects, Nov 2008 VCS, Program Guidelines, Nov 2008 VCS, Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination, Nov 2008 VCS Program updates. RA-VAL-VCS-013806 26 October 2010 Lat: 14.62366 Long: -90.51681 Ing. Glenda Lee, Coordinadora de Econegocios 7a. Avenida 7-33 Zona 9 Guatemala City, Guatemala Page 1 Voluntary Carbon Standard 2007 Validation Report: Name of Verification company: Date of the issue: Rainforest Alliance 26 October 2010 Report Title: Approved by: PICA_VCS valid 10 Adam Gibbon Client: Project Title: Producción, Industrialización, Comercialización y Promoting Sustainable Development through Asesoría de Hule Natural, Sociedad Anónima (PICA) Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala Summary: This project is designed to promote sustainable development through the establishment of natural rubber tree plantations in two distinct regions of Guatemala. The proposed project activities involve certifying the proposed project areas under the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) forest management certification, in addition to the validation of the project as an Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR) project with the VCS. The project involves the reforestation of 2,366.16 hectares of degraded pastureland, with a variety of clones of Hevea brasiliensis. The Project Design Document (PDD) and supporting documents were designed to conform to the VCS 2007.1 standard, specifically as an ARR project under the AFOLU project types. The project employed an approved CDM Afforestation and Reforestation methodology, AR-ACM0001 v.3. This project aims to be the first FSC certified rubber tree plantation in Guatemala. The project intends to diversify investment opportunities for businesses in Guatemala interested in investing in sustainable rubber production. The project area includes 7 different farms, divided geographically in both the north (3 farms) and the south (4 farms) of Guatemala. Traditional rubber production currently exists in the south of Guatemala; however, this practice is less common in the north, where soils are less productive, and a longer rainy season presents additional challenges with increased impacts of a fungus that affects rubber plantations. The project intends to sequester a total of 1,739,855 t CO2e over the course of the 42 year crediting period. The project includes a financial analysis that demonstrates the impact of the sale of carbon credits associated with project activities, resulting in an increased rate of return for investors above a minimum investment threshold that decreases the financial risk of the project making investments in project activities possible. The project asserts that without the sale of carbon credits, it would not be able to meet the minimum investment return threshold. Although rubber production is common in the south with traditional rubber production, this project intends to increase the sustainability of rubber production through certification of FSC, which is not common throughout the entirety of Guatemala. The rubber plantations involved in project activities will be managed for rubber production for a minimum of 36 years (note the planted areas will be staggered, hence the 42 year crediting period), according to interviews with Project Proponents, plantation managers, and management plans. Following this rotation period, the rubber trees will be harvested, and the plantations will be re-planted as rubber tree plantations. The validation of project activities was requested of Rainforest Alliance by PICA. The audit of the PDD, supporting documentation, field visit, and interviews has provided Rainforest Alliance with the evidence to determine successful fulfillment to the VCS 2007.1 standard with reasonable assurance. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 2 Work carried out by: Rainforest Alliance Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Number of pages: 56 Page 3 Table of Contents 1 Introduction........................................................................................................................................................ 6 1.1 Objective ..................................................................................................................................................... 6 1.2 Scope and Criteria ....................................................................................................................................... 6 1.3 VCS project Description .............................................................................................................................. 6 1.4 Level of assurance ...................................................................................................................................... 7 2 Methodology ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.1 Description of the Audit Process ................................................................................................................. 8 2.2 Audit team ................................................................................................................................................... 9 2.3 Stakeholder Consultation Process .............................................................................................................. 9 2.4 Review of Documents.................................................................................................................................. 9 2.5 Follow-up Interviews .................................................................................................................................. 13 2.6 Resolution of any material discrepancy ..................................................................................................... 13 3 Validation Overview ......................................................................................................................................... 14 3.1 Validation summary ................................................................................................................................... 14 3.2 Correct Action Requests............................................................................................................................ 15 3.3 Observations ............................................................................................................................................. 24 3.4 Actions taken by the Project Proponent Prior to Report Finalisation ......................................................... 25 4 Validation Findings .......................................................................................................................................... 27 4.1 Project Design ........................................................................................................................................... 27 4.1.1 Project title, Purposes and Objectives ................................................................................................ 27 4.1.2 Type of GHG project ........................................................................................................................... 27 4.1.3 Project Location .................................................................................................................................. 27 4.1.4 Technology used................................................................................................................................. 28 4.1.5 Project duration, crediting time and project start date ......................................................................... 28 4.1.6 Ownership/Proof of Title/Right of Use ................................................................................................. 29 4.1.7 Double counting and whether the project participated in another emission trading programme ......... 30 4.1.8 Project applicability to the VCS for projects rejected under other GHG programme (if applicable) ..... 30 4.1.9 Whether the project is eligible under the VCS .................................................................................... 30 4.1.10 Chronological plan for project initiation and monitoring....................................................................... 31 4.1.11 Roles and responsibilities ................................................................................................................... 31 4.1.12 Observation of local laws and regulations ........................................................................................... 32 4.2 Baseline..................................................................................................................................................... 32 4.2.1 Conditions prior to project initiation ..................................................................................................... 32 4.2.2 Approval of the baseline methodology ................................................................................................ 33 4.2.3 Application of methodology deviations or revisions (if applicable) ...................................................... 33 4.2.4 Conformance with methodology applicability conditions ..................................................................... 34 4.2.5 Correct application and justification of selected baseline methodology .............................................. 35 4.2.6 Appropriate setting of baseline scenario ............................................................................................. 36 4.2.7 Assessment and demonstration of additionality should be summarised in this section. ..................... 37 4.3 Monitoring Plan ......................................................................................................................................... 38 4.3.1 Approval of the monitoring methodology............................................................................................. 38 4.3.2 Correct application and justification of selected monitoring methodology ........................................... 38 4.3.3 Conformance with VCS specific criterion relating to monitoring (VCS 2007.1 section 5.11 and Tool for AFOLU Methodological Issues Step 6) ........................................................................................................... 39 4.3.4 Whether the monitoring plan provides detailed information related to the collection and archiving of all relevant data.................................................................................................................................................... 40 4.4 Calculation of GHG Emissions .................................................................................................................. 40 4.4.1 The appropriateness of the source, sink and reservoir (pools) ........................................................... 40 Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 4 4.4.2 The correctness and transparency of formulas and factors used ....................................................... 41 4.4.3 Calculation of emissions in the baseline scenario (ex-ante estimate) ................................................. 44 4.4.4 Calculation of emissions from project activities (ex-ante estimate) ..................................................... 45 4.4.5 Calculation of emissions reductions or avoided emissions due to the project (ex-ante estimate) ....... 45 4.4.6 Calculation of emissions from leakage (ex-ante estimate) .................................................................. 46 4.4.7 Calculation of net VCUs to be issued (ex-ante estimate) .................................................................... 47 4.4.8 The assumptions made for estimating GHG emission reductions ...................................................... 47 4.4.9 Uncertainties ....................................................................................................................................... 48 4.5 Environmental Impact ................................................................................................................................ 48 4.5.1 Requirements for and approval of an Environmental Impact Assessment (if applicable).................... 48 4.5.2 Comments by stakeholders ................................................................................................................ 48 4.5.3 Negative environmental and socio-economic impacts of the project................................................... 49 5 VCS Risk Assessment..................................................................................................................................... 51 5.1 Risk factors applicable to all project types ................................................................................................. 51 5.2 Risk factors applicable to ARR projects..................................................................................................... 52 5.2.1 Default buffer withholding percentages for ARR projects .................................................................... 55 6 Validation Conclusion ...................................................................................................................................... 57 Appendix A: Company Details ............................................................................................................................... 58 6.1 Contacts .................................................................................................................................................... 58 6.2 On-line Certification Contact ...................................................................................................................... 58 Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 5 1 Introduction 1.1 Objective The purpose of this report is to document the conformance of the Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala project with the requirements of the Voluntary Carbon Standard (VCS) validation standards. The project was developed by Producción, Industrialización, Comercialización y Asesoría de Hule Natural, Sociedad Anónima (PICA) with assistance from Winrock International, hereafter referred to as “Project Proponent”. The report presents the findings of qualified Rainforest Alliance auditors who have evaluated the Project Proponent’s systems and performance against the applicable standard(s). Section 6 below provides the audit conclusions. The Rainforest Alliance’s SmartWood program was founded in 1989 to certify forestry practices conforming to Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) standards and now focuses on providing a variety of forest auditing services. In addition to being an ANSI ISO 14065:2007 accredited verifier and validator with VCS, Rainforest Alliance SmartWood program is also a member of the Climate, Community, and Biodiversity Alliance (CCBA) standards, and an approved verification body with a number of other forest carbon project standards. For a complete list of the services provided by Rainforest Alliance see http://www.rainforestalliance.org/climate.cfm?id=international_standards. Dispute resolution: If Rainforest Alliance clients encounter organizations or individuals having concerns or comments about Rainforest Alliance / SmartWood and our services, these parties are strongly encouraged to contact the SmartWood program headquarters directly. 1.2 Scope and Criteria Scope: The scope of the validation audit is to assess the conformance of the Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala Reforestation project in Guatemala against the VCS 2007.1 standard. The objectives of this audit included an assessment of the project’s conformance with the VCS 2007.1 requirements and any additional requirements of VCS AFOLU projects. In addition, the audit assessed the project with respect to the baseline scenarios presented in the project design document. The project covers an area of 2,366.16 ha. The land is privately owned. The forest type will be reforested to a rubber tree plantation with a variety of clones of Hevea brasiliensis. The project has a lifetime of 42 years, and estimates it will lead to an average carbon stock increase of 1,739,855 tCO2e over the project crediting period. The audit will assess the GHG assertions and baseline estimates made by the project against agreed validation criteria of the VCS. Standard criteria: Criteria from the following documents were used to assess this project: Voluntary Carbon Standard, 2007.1, Nov 2008 Voluntary Carbon Standard, Tool for AFOLU Methodological Issues, Nov 2008 Voluntary Carbon Standard, Guidance for Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use Projects, Nov 2008 Voluntary Carbon Standard, Program Guidelines, Nov 2008 Voluntary Carbon Standard, Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination, Nov 2008 Applicable Voluntary Carbon Standard Program Updates Applicable VCS Association Policy Announcements Approved VCS methodology used for project activities Materiality: All stocks and emissions equal to or greater than 5% of the total GHG assertion as defined in section 7.3.1 of the VCS 2007.1 standard. 1.3 VCS project Description The carbon project developed by the Project Proponent, intends to find new ways to promote sustainable development through natural rubber tree plantations in Guatemala. This project aims to become the first FSC certified rubber tree plantation in Guatemala. The project intends to diversify investment opportunities for businesses in Guatemala interested in investing in sustainable rubber production. The project area includes 7 different farms, divided geographically in both the north (3 farms) and the south (4 farms) of Guatemala. Traditional rubber production currently exists in the south of Guatemala; however, this practice is less common in the north, where soils are less productive, and a longer rainy season presents additional challenges with increased impacts of a fungus that affects rubber plantations. The project intends to sequester a total of 1,739,855 tCO2e over the course of the 42 year VCS crediting period. The project includes a financial analysis that demonstrates the impact of Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 6 the sale of carbon credits associated with project activities, resulting in an increased rate of return for investors above a minimum investment threshold that decreases the financial risk of the project making investments in project activities possible. Without the sale of carbon credits, the project would not be able to meet the minimum investment return threshold. Although rubber production is common in the south with traditional rubber production, this project intends to increase the sustainability of rubber production through certification of FSC, which is not common throughout the entirety of Guatemala. According to interviews with Project Proponents, plantation managers, and review of management plans the rubber plantations involved in project activities will be managed for a minimum one complete rotation with the commitment to replant rubber tree plantations following the culmination of the 36 year rotation period. Following this rotation period, the rubber trees will be harvested, and the plantations will be re-planted as rubber tree plantations. 1.4 Level of assurance The GHG assertion will be validated to a reasonable level of assurance. Based on the audit findings, a positive validation statement reasonably assures that the project GHG assertion is materially correct and is a fair representation of the GHG data and information. Additionally, the GHG assertion is prepared in accordance with the VCS 2007.1 standard. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 7 2 Methodology 2.1 Description of the Audit Process The audit was conducted in a two step process. The first step consisted of a pre-validation assessment, conducted through a remote desk audit of the Project Design Document (Doc #1), and all corresponding annexes (Docs #2 – 75). The purpose of the pre-validation assessment is to identify any major gaps within the project design document, and to determine if the project is ready for a field visit. As part of the pre-validation audit, 19 gaps were identified, and the Project Proponent was notified of these findings on April 7th, 2010 with the submission of the pre-validation report. This process offers the Project Proponent a minimum of 3 weeks to address any gaps identified in the pre-validation assessment prior to the arrival of auditors for the field audit. The field audit for the validation of the Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala project corresponded with the first assessment of project area for FSC certification. In total, 9 farms were included in the FSC and VCS scopes; however, not all farms were included in the scope of both audits. Below is a table describing the farms included in each of the audit scopes, as well as those farms that were visited during the field audit. Farm Owner Farm Name Included in the Scope of the FSC Certification Included in the Scope of the VCS Validation Visited During Field Audit Agropalmeras S.A. Palmeras Yes Yes Yes Agropalmeras S.A. Río Frío Yes Yes Yes Ingenio Magdalena, S.A. El Horizonte No Yes No Ingenio Magdalena, S.A. Asunción No Yes No Ingenio Magdalena, S.A. Los Patos No Yes Yes Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A. Bello Horizonte Yes Yes Yes Sistemas Operativos del Norte, S.A. (SONORSA) Concepción No Yes No Inversiones Agrícolas Las Animas S.A. Animas Yes No Yes Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A.. Palafox Yes No Yes The field audit consisted of a total of 8 days, visiting both of the project strata (3 days field visit in the south, 3 days field visit in the north, and 2 days in the Guatemalan City office of PICA). In total, 4 of the 7 farms included within the scope of the VCS validation were visited. In addition to those farms visited as part of the VCS validation, 2 farms were visited as part of the FSC certification. Stakeholder interviews were conducted at all farms visited, including interviews of farm managers, farm workers, and members of the neighbouring farm community. As part of the field audit, the following project areas were visited: Location/Facility Date(s) Length of Audit Auditor(s) Palafox Farm 04 May 2010 6 hours William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Environmental Ministry of Guatemala, Suchitepequez 04 May 2010 1 hour William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Labour Ministry, Suchitepequez Social Security Institute, Suchitepequez Municipal Forestry Office, Suchitepequez National Institute of Forests (INAB), Suchitepequez 04 May 2010 5 hours William Arreaga Animas Farm 05 May 2010 5 hours William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 8 Los Patos Farm 05 May 2010 5 hours William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Palmeras Farm 06 May 2010 10 hours William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Grupo Agroindustrial Occidente Headquarters, Guatemala City 07 May 2010 6 hours William Arreaga and Jared Nunery Labour Ministry; Social Security Institute; National of Protected Areas Council (CONAP), Izabal 10 May 2010 1 day William Arreaga Bello Horizonte Farm 11 May 2010 4 hours William Arreaga Río Frío Farm 11 May 2010 3 hours William Arreaga 2.2 Audit team Auditor(s) William Arreaga, Rainforest Alliance, Forester, SmartWood Central America Region Contact info: warreaga@ra.org Phone: (502) 2383-5757 Jared Nunery, Rainforest Alliance, SmartWood Program Carbon Technical Specialist Contact info: jnunery@ra.org Phone: +1(802) 434-8732 Qualifications William is a Rainforest Alliance Lead Carbon Auditor. Guatemalan; Forestry Specialist, Central American SmartWood Office. Forestry degree from the Escuela Nacional Central de Agricultura, and an engineering degree from USAC; in 2002; he received an M.Sc. in Tropical Forest Management and Biodiversity Conservation from CATIE (Costa Rica). His work has been focused in plantations and natural forests managed in Central America. He also has experience in carbon storage and carbon flows in natural forests and plantations. In 2007, he spent two months at Winrock International as a fellow. Jared has led the technical review of multiple validation assessments for the VCS. In addition he has participated in two Improved Forest Management methodological assessments for the VCS. Before joining the Rainforest Alliance, Jared worked as a member of the Carbon Dynamics Lab at the University of Vermont, where he conducted research on the effects of forest management on carbon sequestration. Jared has published multiple scientific articles on forest carbon dynamics as well as general forest ecological processes. Jared has a B.S. in Environmental Sciences from the University of Vermont and earned his M.Sc. in Forestry from the University of Vermont. Jared has extensive experience in forest stand dynamics, forest carbon dynamics, forest mensuration, GHG quantification, forest growth and yield modeling, and wildlife habitat conservation. In addition, Jared is a certified lead auditor with the Climate Action Reserve for Forest and Urban Forest projects. 2.3 Stakeholder Consultation Process During the field audit, local stakeholders affected by proposed project activities were interviewed by the audit team. Interviews included both in person conversations in the field, visits to local stakeholder offices, visits to community school, and telephone interviews with those stakeholders which were unavailable or inaccessible during the field audit. The audit team interviewed a diverse group of stakeholders (see table in section 2.5 below). All interviews were conducted without the presence of the Project Proponent team members immediately involved in project activities, in order to avoid potential biases. Additionally, stakeholder consultations were conducted by the Project Proponent (see section 4.5.2 below). These meetings were documented by video and photographs which were reviewed by the audit team during the field audit. 2.4 Review of Documents Documents were reviewed at three times during the audit process. The first review occurred during the time period of March 31st to April 2nd 2010. The first review consisted of a preliminary desk audit of the project documents (reference number 1 thru 75 below), and assessment against the VCS 2007.1 Standard. All documents were then reviewed a second time during the field audit against the VCS 2007.1 Standard, as well as to ensure consistency between project documents (e.g. ensuring the PDD followed the guidance of the selected CDM methodology). Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 9 The second review consisted of a more thorough audit where references within the PDD were cross-referenced to ensure accuracy. When greater than 20 references were cited in one section of the PDD (see for example Doc #37 – 42 where species specific wood densities from Chave et al. 2005 (Doc #43)) a sample of 10% of the total references were checked. If errors were found in the initial sample, a complete census of all references was conducted. In total 89 documents were reviewed during the audit process. The third review consisted of a review of revised documents that were originally submitted during the field validation audit. Included in the third audit was also a review of additional evidence to support the use of the Morales allometric equations (see Docs 110 – 120). The following documents were viewed in the audit process: Ref 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 Title, Author(s), Version, Date PICA VCS PDD 03/09/2010 Afforestation and reforestation on degraded land Combined tool to identify the baseline scenario and demonstrate additionality in A/R CDM project activities Memoria Tecnica Proceso definición Bosque MDL DATA, SOIL DEGRADATION Plan de Manejo Bello-Horizonte Plan de Manejo Rio Frio Plan_de_Manejo_Palmeras_V3 EIA Asuncion EIA Bello Horizonte EIA El Horizonte EIA Los Patos EIA Palmeras EIA Rio Frio Entregas MARN magdalena Resolucion MARN plan de gestion Proyectos Animas Palmeras Palafox CONCEPCION cattle sale receipts and argument PICA - Leakage Analysis Los Patos - Transfer of Grazing Animals Palmeras - Cattle Sale Receipts Ganaderia Las Vegas, SA PICA - Leakage Analysis - Tables List of participants at public meetings held at Lost Patos and Asunción CAMBIOS BELLO HORIZONTE Eligibility Analysis - Methods Remote Sensing Data utilized by Geotecnologica Asuncion Maps (5) Bello Horizonte Maps (5) Concepcion Maps (4) El Horizonte Maps (5) Los Patos Maps (5) Palmeras Maps (5) Rio Frio Maps (6) Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Electronic Filename PICA_-_VCS_PD_03_09_10 AR-ACM0001 v04 ar-am-tool-02-v1 Memoria Tecnica Proceso definición Bosque MDL DATA, SOIL DEGRADATION Plan de Manejo Bello-Horizonte Plan de Manejo Rio Frio Plan_de_Manejo_Palmeras_V3 EIA Asuncion EIA Bello Horizonte EIA El Horizonte EIA Los Patos EIA Palmeras EIA Rio Frio entregas MARN magdalena resolucion MARN plan de gestion ProyectosAnimasPalmerasPalafox[1] CONCEPCION cattle sale receipts and argument PICA - Leakage Analysis Los Patos - Transfer of Grazing Animals Palmeras - Cattle Sale Receipts Ganaderia Las Vegas, SA PICA - Leakage Analysis - Tables LISTOF~1 CAMBIOS_BELLOHORIZONTE_english Eligibility Analysis - Methods GIS_Data Asuncion Maps Bello Horizonte Maps Concepcion Maps El Horizonte Maps Los Patos Maps Palmeras Maps Rio Frio Maps Page 10 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 PICA - Baseline Report Baseline Measurements - Results Asunción 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Bello Horizonte 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results El Horizonte 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Los Patos 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Palmeras 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Rio Frío 2009 Chave_et_al-2005 Dulphy et al. 1997 Morales 2000 Palm et al 2000 Post and Mann 1990 Reyes et al 1992 FORMAT DATA COLLECTION FOR MONITORING Boleta PICA PPM PICA - Monitoring Plan Monitoring Plot Maps (6) Marupa Growth Model PICA - VCS PD - Tables Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Emissions, Net Removals PDD Final Estimation Modelo Cultivo del Hule 2009 PDD Sequestration PDD Rubber only CERs Variables Riesgo ModF Sequestration GAO Rubber plantations Sequestration PDD Rubber Total Investment Analysis Planting Records and Projections Sensitivity Analysis Statement of Intent PICA 2007 Summary - Statements of Intent GUATEMALA CATTLE HISTORY Mapa de cobertura vegetal y uso de la tierra Prospects for Change in International Investment Patterns in Performance Benchmarks 2007 Hastings Hancock International Timberland Fund Annual Report Forest and Paper Products Investment FSC Principles and Criteria Guatemala-2005-INFORME-INCENDIOS Guatemala Statistics 2002 Andres M Cuesta Perez C.V. Francisco Manuel Andiocoechea Alegria C.V. Joachim Gunther Lottmann Meinecke C.V. Ronald Pazos Estrada C.V. Pablo Ignacio Dominguez C.V. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 PICA - Baseline Report Baseline Measurements - Results Asunción 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Bello Horizonte 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results El Horizonte 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Los Patos 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Palmeras 2009 Baseline Measurements - Results Rio Frío 2009 Chave_et_al-2005 Dulphy et al. 1997 Morales 2000 Palm et al 2000 Post and Mann 1990 Reyes et al 1992 FORMAT DATA COLLECTION FOR MONITORING Boleta PICA PPM PICA - Monitoring Plan Monitoring Plot Maps Marupa Growth Model PICA - VCS PD - Tables Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Emissions, Net Remova PDD Final Estimation Modelo Cultivo del Hule 2009 PDD SequestrationPDDRubberonlyCERs Variables Riesgo ModF SequestrationGAORubberplantations SequestrationPDDRubberTotal Investment Analysis Planting Records and Projections Sensitivity Analysis Statement of Intent PICA 2007 Summary - Statements of Intent GUATEMALA CATTLE HISTORY Mapa de cobertura vegetal y uso de la tierra Prospects for Change in International Investment Patterns in Performance Benchmarks 2007 Hastings Hancock International Timberland Fund Annual Report Forest and Paper Products Investment FSC Principles and Criteria Guatemala-2005-INFORME-INCENDIOS Guatemala Statistics 2002 Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Page 11 81 82 Luis Alejandro Mejía Caniz Not Applicable Medición de Línea Base Boletas de Campo Not Applicable Estrado Norte 83 Monitoreo Año 2009 PICA, Boletas de Not Applicable campo, Medición de Fijación de Carbono 84 El Infranscrito Registrador de la Propiedad Not Applicable Certifica Que 85 Registro General de la Propiedad Referencia Not Applicable de Incripción No: 085003254 86 Central American Investment Risk Ratings http://www.fitchca.com/ratings.php?id_sector=7&id_pais=1&id_ambito=2 87 An Ecosystem-based Forestry Investment An Ecosystem-based Forestry Investment Strategy Strategy 88 Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Emissions, Net Removals, LK Emissions, Net Removals, LK 89 A/R Tool 09 Estimation of GHG emissions A-R Tool 09 Estimation of GHG emissions related to displacement of related to displacement of grazing activities grazing activities in A/R CDM project activity in A/R CDM project activity 90 PICA_Annual biomass accumulation and net PICA_Annual biomass accumulation and net GHG Removals_august GHG Removals_august 25* 25* 91 Financial Analysis Rubber* Financial Analysis Rubber 25 08 10* 92 Sensitivity Analysis* Sensitivity Analysis* 93 Proof of Title and leasing Los Patos* Proof of Title and leasing Los Patos* 94 Proof of Title Concepcion* Proof of Title Concepcion* 95 Proof of Title Rio Frio* Proof of Title Rio Frio* 96 Proof of Title and leasing Asuncion* Proof of Title and leasing Asuncion* 97 Proof of Title El Horizonte* Proof of Title El horizonte* 98 Proof of Title Bello Horizonte* Proof of Title Bello Horizonte* 99 Proof of Title Palmeras Sur* Proof of Title Palmeras Sur* 100 PICA_VCS_PD 26 08 10* PICA_VCS_PD 26 08 10* 101 PICA - Monitoring Plan_EN* PICA - Monitoring Plan_EN* 102 CONCEPCION STATEMENT* CONCEPCION STATEMENT* 103 RIO FRIO_STATEMENT* RIO FRIO_STATEMENT* 104 PALMERAS SOUTH AND BELLO PALMERAS SOUTH AND BELLO HORIZONTE HORIZONTE NORTH_STATEMENT* NORTH_STATEMENT* 105 PATOS, EL HORIZONTE AND PATOS, EL HORIZONTE AND CONCEPCION_STATEMENT* CONCEPCION_STATEMENT* 106 Glenda Lee* Glenda Lee* 107 ALLOMETRIC BROADLEVES EQUATIONS, ALLOMETRIC BROADLEVES EQUATIONS, GLEE* GLEE* 108 luis Alejandro Mejia* luis Alejandro Mejia* 109 Pablo Dominguez* Pablo Dominguez* 110 Allometric Equations Rubber Allometric Equations Rubber 111 CARs 09 10 ARGUMENT's last review CARs 09 10 ARGUMENT's last revew 112 Monitoring presampling 2009 Monitoring presampling 2009 113 Real DBH measurements at rubber trees Real DBH measurements at rubber trees 114 Apresentação 1 - Brazil Rubber Congress Apresentação 1 - Brazil Rubber Congress 110810 - 2 110810 - 2 115 Carbon seq potential of N rubber plant Carbon seq potential of N rubber plant 116 Carbon Sequestration Thailand Carbon Sequestration Tailand December2009 December2009 117 RRII Higher carbon sequestration RRII Higher carbon sequestration 118 Rubber board Rubber board 119 statement_final density statement_final density 120 Yogaratnam article 2 Yogaratnam articule 2 *Revised documents reviewed as evidence to close identified CARs Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 12 2.5 Follow-up Interviews Major stakeholders identified by the audit team, in addition to those identified in the PDD were interviewed during the field audits. Interviews were conducted in person by the audit team. During the audit, the auditors divided into two teams in order to increase sampling intensity. One team, consisting of a Guatemalan forest engineer with 6 years experience in FSC certification, focused on stakeholder interviews with community members, farm workers, farm managers, and other stakeholders identified as being potentially impacted by the project activities. In total 30 interviews were conducted as part of the field audit. Additional expert consultation was conducted following the field audit to obtain additional information on the project conformance to the VCS 2007.1 standard. The following is a list of the people interviewed as part of the audit: Audit Date Name Title 4May10 4May10 4May10 4May10 Francisco Manuel Andicoechea Alegria Luis Alejandro Mejia Caniz Glenda Lee Jose Luis Garcia Ayala 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 5May10 6May10 6May10 6May10 Lázaro Cruz Agusto De La Cruz Rosales Fernando Hernández Alvaro Mérida Waldemar Dell Elder Pérez Diana Pineda Clara Rodríguez Irma Suc Chubac Jacinto Kejnai Ramos Hosytiniano Xula Paul Victor Ramirez Caporal Pablo Ignacio Dominguez Andreas M. Cuesta Perez Marvin Noe Bernardino Carlos López 6May10 6May10 7May10 14Jun10 14Jun10 14Jun10 14Jun10 14Jun10 18Jun10 18Jun10 Jose Gelista Carla Zunun Carlos Alberto Duarte Carlos Caal Adolfo del Cid Cristopher Boy Héctor Bris Carlos Alonso Carlos Alemán Manuel Morales Manager of Agricultural Division, PICA Ecobusiness Manager, PICA Ecobusiness Coordinator, PICA Environmental Monitoring and Evaluation Director, Environmental Ministry of Guatemala, Suchitepéquez Finca Los Patos Administrator Los Patos Chief Manager Los Patos Caporal (tapper chief) Los Patos Technical Manger General Farm Manger Los Patos Assessors Animas School Director Neighbor of the Animas, community leader Neighbor of the Animas, community leader Rubber Tapper for Inversiones Agrícolas Las Animas S.A. Rubber Tapper for Inversiones Agrícolas Las Animas S.A. Rubber Tapper for Inversiones Agrícolas Las Animas S.A. Technical Sustainability and Carbon Manager, PICA Farm Manager Palmeras/Palafox Rubber Tapper Palmeras, Monitoring Team member Manager of Chemical Warehouse, Palafox, Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A. Manger of Maintenance, Palafox, Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A. Administrator of Office, Palafox, Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A. Remote Sensing Analyst, Geotecnologica National of Protected Areas Council, Alta Verapaz Neighbor Palafox and Animas Farms Neighbour Animas Farm Neighbour Palmeras Farm Neighbour Palafox Farm Neighbour Río Frío Farm Neighbour Bello Horizonte Farm 2.6 Resolution of any material discrepancy During the field audit, multiple material discrepancies were indentified. These material discrepancies are described below in section 3.2. On August 3rd, the Project Proponent submitted the revised PDD and annexes to RA as evidence to close those open CARs identified in the Draft Report. On August 23rd, a meeting was held between RA and PICA to discuss the revised documents and open CARs. Following this meeting on August 26th PICA submitted additional documents to address those CARs identified in the Draft Report. Following the review of the additional material seventeen (17) CARs were closed. Two (2) CARs remain open. In order to close the remaining two CARs, PICA submitted Docs 110 – 120 on October 7th, 2010. This material was reviewed on October 19th, and found to be sufficient to close CARs 09/10 and 10/10. The findings related to all identified CARs are discussed in section 3.2 below. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 13 3 Validation Overview Based on Project’s conformance with VCS requirements, the auditor makes the following recommendation: Final Report Conclusions Validation approved: Following the issuance of the Draft Final Report, PICA submitted additional evidence to support the use of the Morales allometric equations, and clarify the definition of the project area. As such CARs 09/10 and 10/10 have been closed. Following the closure of these two CARs, the audit team has found that with a reasonable level of assurance, the PICA project title “Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala” meets the requirements of the VCS 2007.1 Standard. No CARs issued Validation not approved: Conformance with CAR(s) required Draft Final Report Conclusions Validation approved: No CARs issued Validation not approved: Conformance with CAR(s) required The Project proponent has 7 days from the date of this report to submit any comments related to the factual accuracy of the report or the correctness of decisions reached. The auditors will not review any new material. Draft Report Conclusions Validation approved: No CARs issued The Project Proponent has 30 days from the date of this report to revise documentation and provide any additional evidence necessary to close the open corrective action request. If new material is submitted the auditor will review the material and add updated findings to this report and close CARs appropriately. If all CARs are successfully addressed, the report will be finalized and proceed towards issuance of a validation statement. If no new material is received before the 30 day deadline, or the new material was insufficient to close all open CARs this report will be finalized with the CARs open, and with validation not yet achieved. Validation not approved: Conformance with CAR(s) required 3.1 Validation summary The PICA project presents an approach to promote sustainable management of rubber tree plantations in Guatemala. Specifically, the sale of carbon credits helps to offset the increased costs of sustainably managing rubber tree plantations under FSC certification. PICA makes an argument for additionality of the project through a financial analysis. The financial analysis is based on the ex ante estimates of net climate benefits from project activities. The analysis shows that the additional revenue generated from the sale of carbon credits resulting from project activities, increases the investment return above the benchmark required rate of return for investment, hence without the carbon project, the proposed FSC certified rubber plantations would not be planted. During the field audit, it was found that an initial failure to accurately define the project crediting period led to a chain of several non-conformities within the PDD and supporting documents. In total 19 corrective action requests (CARs) were identified. CAR 01/10 was raised for the non-conformance with the defined project crediting period. This led to non-conformance with the VCS rules for ARR rotational forestry projects (see CAR 09/10). These issues were raised during the field audit, and additional clarity was sought from the VCS following the field audit. Rainforest Alliance has received clarification from the VCS that rotational forestry projects must include all harvests planned during the project lifetime, and the project crediting period shall reflect the project lifetime. In the case of this project, the project lifetime is a minimum of one complete rotation, and hence the crediting period must be a minimum of 42 years instead of 20 years. In the revised documents submitted to Rainforest Alliance, the crediting period was changed to be consistent with the project lifetime. The crediting period is now 42 years, to reflect the 36 year rotation length, as well as 6 additional years to reflect the staggered planting of rubber tree plantations. Following the field audit, additional documentation validating the estimated ex ante project scenario carbon stocks was submitted to the audit team. This additional documentation provided evidence that the ex ante carbon stock estimates were conservative relative to other known studies on rubber tree plantations globally. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 14 Below is a complete listing of the 19 corrective action requests identified during the validation audit. Included in each CAR table is a description of the evidence provided by the Project Proponent to address the non-conformance. Additionally, 8 observations were noted as potential areas of improvement in future revisions of the PDD and supporting documents. At the issuance of this final report, all 19 corrective action requests have been closed, and the audit team has determined that the PICA carbon project titles “Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala” meets the VCS 2007.1 standard with a reasonable level of assurance. 3.2 Corrective Action Requests Note: A non-conformance is defined in this report as a deficiency, discrepancy or misrepresentation that in all probability materially affects carbon credit claims. Corrective Action Request (CAR) language uses “shall” to suggest its necessity but is not prescriptive in terms of mechanisms to mitigate the CAR. Each CAR is brief and refers to a more detailed finding in the appendices. CARs identified during draft validation reports must be successfully closed by the Project Proponents before Rainforest Alliance submits the final validation report and opinion to the VCS. Any open CARs will result in a negative validation statement which lists: (a) all corrective action requests, (b) rationale for each request, and (c) impact of each material finding on GHG assertion. Qualified validation statements are not accepted by VCS. CAR: 01/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.1.5, 4.4.2 Within the PDD, PICA describes multiple crediting periods of 10 years. Additionally, the PDD describes the project lifetime as 30 years, as this represents the planned rotation length for planted rubber trees, and hence the lifetime of the project. As VCS requires that the project lifetime is equivalent to the project crediting period for rotational forestry, the current description of the project crediting period is not in conformance with VCS requirements. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall define the project crediting period following the criteria mandated by the VCS. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: PICA has revised the PDD and some of the supporting annexes to reflect a newly defined 42 year crediting period. See detailed findings in section 4.1.5 regarding the changes to the project crediting period. CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: As the crediting period is now in conformance with the VCS standard, this CAR is closed, however PICA is strongly encouraged to amend all tables within the PDD to reflect the increased crediting period to avoid any potential confusion. (see OBS 08/10) Closed. Not applicable. CAR: 02/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.1.6. During the field audit, documented evidence of the proof of ownership, and/or right to GHG emissions reductions were presented to the audit team. However, as noted in section 5.7 of the VCS 2007.1 standard, these documents are required to be submitted with the PDD. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall include documented evidence in the PDD or supporting documents that demonstrates proof of ownership of the project area lands. Timeline for 30 days conformance: Evidence to close CAR: A file named Annex G Contracts of Assignment of Rights was reviewed. This Annex consists of old contracts where it is stated that both parties (project proponent and the owner of the land) agree to work together sharing duties and responsibilities during the following 13 years. The file also consists of all the new contracts which are in summary, an Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 15 CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: amendment of the previous contracts. There was only one basic modification, from 13 years to 20 years starting on May 2007. According to this new contracts, ownership of the land and ownership of the GHG removals are clear. This closes CAR 02/10. Closed. Not applicable. CAR: 03/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.1.10 The schedule presented in the PDD appears to be based on the forest management activities. This is not in line with the project crediting period of 20 years, creating an unclear representation of the VCS project schedule. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall clearly present the project schedule in section 7 of the PDD, in conformance with the timelines outlined in section 1.6 and 3.4.1.2 of the PDD. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: PICA has revised Table 7 in section 7 of the PDD. This table now clearly illustrates the project schedule throughout the 42 year crediting period, as well as indicating the variation between staggered planting crediting periods. The revised table is now in conformance with the VCS Standard. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. CAR: 04/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.1.11, 4.3.2, 4.3.3 The PDD does not clearly explain who is responsible for each phase of the project (e.g. site preparation, planting, GHG calculations, monitoring, etc.). The table in section 1.15 includes a list of entities involved, a description of the entity, and the function; however, the responsibility of each participant as well as the relationship between entities is unclear. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall clearly explain the roles and responsibilities of project participants. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The revised PDD submitted to RA includes a new table in section 1.16 “Roles and responsibilities”. This table includes detailed descriptions of relevant project activities, and identifies the person(s) responsible for implementing identified tasks. With the addition of the table in the new section 1.16, the PDD is now in conformance with the VCS and Methodological requirements regarding the description of project roles and responsibilities. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 16 CAR: 05/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.2.5, 4.2.7 The baseline analysis identified 4 alternative land use scenarios: pastureland, cropland, FSC rubber plantation without carbon project, and reforestation with timber species. Not included in this list is a common practice on the farms where project activities are located - rubber plantations without FSC certification and without carbon projects. This was raised during the field visit, as the audit team inquired why this land use was not considered. The project proponent identified that this was not a possibility as a result of a statement of intent signed by PICA at the initiation of project activities, where it stated that new rubber plantations producing rubber for PICA must be FSC certified. This was confirmed by the review of the statement of intent (Doc #65) by the audit team. Hence this land use would not be credible as outlined in #11 of sub-step 1a. However, it is not clear why this isn’t considered as an initial alternative land use, and then tested with the barrier analysis in step 2 and 3. The field audit confirmed that non-FSC certified rubber tree plantations are a likely land use practice in the southern stratum. Although this land use may not pass the barrier analyses as a result of the PICA statement of intent, it is not transparent to dismiss this likely land use. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall include the establishment of a non-FSC rubber tree plantation without the sale of carbon credits as an alternative land use. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: Sub-step 2a identifies the barriers that prevent Non FSC certified rubber cultivation without registration as a VCS project from being a likely baseline scenario. In this section, the Project Proponent outlines why barriers exist that prevent this scenario from likely happening. The identified barriers corroborate with the findings from the May 2010 field visit, outlined in section 4.2.5 of this report. The revised additionality argument is now in conformance with the VCS 2007.1 standard. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. CAR: 06/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.3.3, 4.3.4 The Monitoring Plan included in Annex M explains the methodological procedures to be used during project activities however; it does not clearly define the management of monitoring data. Similarly this is not outlined in the PDD. During the site visit, it was apparent that PICA staff was responsible for the management of monitoring, including data retention and management; however, this was not included in the project documents. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall include specific guidance regarding the retention of monitoring data. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: A revised English version of Doc #101 was submitted as evidence to close this CAR. The revised monitoring plan includes a description of the custody of monitoring data, and is found to be in conformance with the VCS standard. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 17 CAR: 07/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.1, 4.4.3 Table 2 of the AR-ACM0001 methodology requires that CH4 is included for the burning of woody biomass. During the field visit, burn scars and charred wood from fires used during site preparation activities was apparent. Interviews with farm managers, farm workers, and PICA staff confirmed that the burning of pastureland is a common practice as part of site preparation activities. In the baseline calculations, baseline carbon stocks are conservatively considered to be instantaneously emitted, but this is not clear within project documents (see section 4.4.3 below). It is not clear how CH4 associated with the burning of woody biomass is accounted for as required by the methodology. The methodology does allow for the omission of CH4, provided project proponents have applied the most recent version of the “Tool for testing significance of GHG emissions in A/R CDM project activities”, and this leads to the conclusion that the emission source is insignificant. It is not evident that PICA applied this tool to test the significance of CH4 emissions from site preparation activities in order to justify the omission of this emission (see also 4.4.4 below). Corrective Action Request: PICA shall apply the AR-ACM0001 guidance for justifying the omission of CH4 emissions from site preparation activities. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The revised PDD now reflects the site preparation burning of some biomass on Los Patos and Palmeras farms in section 2.3 of the PDD. As additional evidence of no use of fire as part of site preparation activities on other farms, signed statements from all farm managers involved in the project were submitted (see Docs # 102-105). These documents were reviewed and found to be sufficient evidence of the use of fire as site preparation activities. CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: Furthermore, section 3.4.3.2 of the PDD describes the use of the CDM tool, “Estimation of emissions from clearing, burning and decay of existing vegetation due to implementation of an A/R CDM project activity” to estimate emissions from site preparation biomass burning on Los Patos and Palmeras farms. These emissions are quantified within Annex T Doc #90, in worksheet “ARACM1 exante Calcs” cell AC8. Recognizing that the emissions from site preparation burning are now accounted for as required by the AR-ACM00001 methodology, the project is now in conformance with the methodology, and hence the VCS standard. Closed. Not applicable. CAR: 08/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.2 The calculation of aboveground live biomass in the baseline scenario, is calculated from field measurements of dead wood in project areas (see 4.4.1 above). The project conservatively assumes that all dead wood was live prior to the initiation of site preparation activities; however, this assumption is not clearly explained in the PDD or in PICA Baseline Report (Doc #36). This assumption is not transparently described in project documents, although during the field audit the project proponents demonstrated the measurement procedures that were used to calculate aboveground live biomass from current dead wood stocks on project areas. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall clearly explain how aboveground live biomass was estimated in the baseline scenario. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: Section 9 of the PDD was revised to accurately explain the baseline measurement process. The revised description reflects the findings from the field audit from interviews with baseline measurement team members. The revised section 9 of the PDD now clearly describes the assumptions founded in the baseline carbon stock estimates, and as such is in conformance with the VCS standard. CAR Status: Closed. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 18 Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. CAR: 09/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.2 Recognizing that the project crediting period must reflect the project lifetime, when the crediting period is corrected to reflect the planned harvest (as noted in CAR 01/10), the VCS rule for ARR and IFM rotational forestry projects is required. The calculation of the maximum number of carbon credits to be assigned to the project (as defined above), exceeds the carbon stock value averaged across the proposed 30 year rotation period. This is not in conformance with the requirements outlined in Step 6 of the Guidance for AFOLU Projects. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall calculate the maximum number of carbon credits to be assigned to the project following the VCS guidance for rotational forestry ARR projects (outlined in Step 6 of the VCS Guidance for AFOLU Projects). Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: In order to address CAR 09/10, the crediting period of the project has been increased to 42 years. Additionally, PICA submitted a revised version Doc 91, which includes the calculation of the maximum number of available credits to be earned by the project, following the guidance of the VCS. In cell AL54 of worksheet “ARACM1 exante Calcs” of Doc 91, the average carbon stock over the crediting period is calculated. The average carbon stock is based on the summed values from column AL which are derived in the Doc 90 in the worksheet titled “ARACM1 exante calcs”. Ex ante carbon stock estimates are based on biomass to DBH ratios obtained from the Morales 2000 thesis (see column C in the “ARACM1 exante calcs” sheet in Doc 90). In this column, the biomass equation from p.24 of the Morales 2000 thesis is applied to the estimated diameters of the trees based on the Marupa Growth Model and field studies. However, the use of the Morales biomass equations results in extremely high biomass values. At the culmination of the rubber tree plantation cycle, the total tree (as the Morales equation estimates total tree dry weight in kilograms and this is then converted to CO2e for the entire project area) as 3,959,381 tCO2e (note this is the net carbon stock, versus the average carbon stock used for estimation of total number of credits to be issued as per VCS guidance on rotational forestry projects). As there are 2,366.16 ha in the project area, this represents a total of 1,673.4 tCO2e per ha. This would then be 456.3 tC per ha, or approximately 912.6 t.d.m per ha (assuming 0.5 tC/t.d.m). When compared to other forest type values in the IPCC 2006 Guidelines for National GHG Inventories, Chapter 4 Forestry (see Table 4.7 on p.53), the biomass levels estimated for the proposed project activities are greater than any other forest type. It should be noted that the carbon stock values cannot be compared directly to those values in Table 4.7 of the IPCC report, as these values are for aboveground biomass (tonnes t.d.m. per ha), however the comparison does serve as an indicator of the high estimated carbon stocks in this project relative to other forest types globally. Recognizing the high biomass estimates associated with the use of the Morales 2000 biomass equations, the ex ante estimates were validated against other known biomass stocks for rubber plantations in order to justify the extremely high carbon stock estimates. PICA submitted additional documentation on October 7th, where the ex ante carbon estimated in the project area were compare to 4 other known allometric equations rubber plantations globally. This comparison found that the ex ante carbon stock estimates for project activities were within the range of other values found in similar forest types. As additional evidence of validation of the use of the Morales equations, PICA compared the Morales allometric equations to 3 other known allometric equations (see Doc 110 and 111). This validation with the additional evidence found in similar rubber tree plantations Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 19 CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: around the world provides evidence to validate the high ex ante estimates within the PDD, and as such this CAR is now closed. Closed. Not Applicable. CAR: 10/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.3 Baseline carbon stock estimates were calculated on an area basis. As GHG estimates were calculated on a per area basis, the exclusion of vegetated areas within sample plots in baseline estimates is acceptable, as these areas were not included in ex ante or ex post estimates. However, these excluded areas are not articulated well within the PDD, or supporting documents. The project GHG emission estimates are based on the assumption that project area is calculated from planting density, rather than remotely sensed measurements, or field based measurements. This is not clearly articulated in the PDD or project documents. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall clearly explain how project area was calculated. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The PDD has been revised to include section 4.3.2.4 Project area calculation and GHG emission estimates. The revised PDD now clearly describes the multiple processes used to calculate project area, and as such this CAR is closed. CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: Closed. Not Applicable. CAR: 11/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.4 Field visits to project sites, as well as interviews conducted during field visits confirmed that statements within the PDD regarding site preparation activities were inaccurate. Field visits to project areas confirmed that burning was utilized as part of project site-preparation at Los Patos farm, as well as at Palmeras. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall accurately describe site-preparation activities within the PDD. Timeline for conformance: Evidence to close CAR: CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: Doc. No. C-56 May2010 30 Days. See response to CAR 07/10. The PDD is now in conformance with this requirement. Closed. Not applicable. Page 20 CAR: 12/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.5 Within the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL Removals Project Emissions Net Removals LK.xlsx (Doc #55), ∆Ct is calculated in column G of worksheet “Net GHG anthro.removals”. These values are calculated from the sum of column H in worksheet “Change SOC pool” and column C in worksheet “Sum changes in project”. Column C in worksheet “Sum changes in project” is calculated in column I in worksheet “Ex ante project removals” or spreadsheet PDD Final Estimation (Doc #56). However, the worksheet “Ex ante project removals” does not appear to separate the project area into strata, as defined in the PDD. Equation 14 of AR-ACM0001 requires that ∆Ct is calculated by summing the individual pools in each stratum, see equation 14 below: It is not clear how the two strata are summed in the ex ante calculations to estimate ex ante changes in carbon stocks. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall follow AR-ACM0001 guidance for the calculation of ex ante carbon stock changes. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: As part of the evidence submitted to RA to close the open CARs, all annexes were included. The Project Proponent included revised Doc #90, which presents a clear estimation of ex ante carbon stock changes (though please note those findings relevant to CAR 09/10). Furthermore, Doc 88 has been revised to correctly estimate the change in soil carbon in column H of the worksheet “change SOC pool”. CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: As noted above, Doc #90 presents a calculation method where identified carbon pools are summed to estimate ex ante carbon sequestration. Additional review found that the revised calculation spreadsheets are now in conformance with the methodology. Closed. Not applicable. CAR: 13/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.1. The farms are privately owned, or are leased by PICA under long-term 50 year contracts. Additionally, a 13 year GHG agreements exist with land owners. However these contracts do not exist for the full length of the project crediting period. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall increase the risk of unclear land tenure to medium to account for the lack of a GHG agreement for the full length of the project crediting period. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: Since there are now new contracts between parties (project proponent and owner of the land) where it is stated that they agree duties and responsibilities regarding GHG removals and ownership of the land, CAR 13/10 is no longer applicable. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. CAR: 14/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.1. The justification of low geologic risk in the PDD focuses on earthquakes, which may be a low risk in the region. However, risks of volcanic eruption or landslides on steep slopes during heavy rains are potential risks to project areas. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall reflect the increased risk in the region from volcanic eruptions and landslides, or provide evidence to justify the low risk rating. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 21 Timeline for 30 days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: Through independent studies, PICA demonstrated there is no need to rise from low to medium the risk rating. See more details in 5.1. Risk factors applicable to all project types. CAR Status: Closed Follow-up Actions: Not applicable CAR: 15/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.2 The VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination defines a long term commitment period as “projects with rotation periods of more than 25 years and a commitment to replant, and those with primarily a forest rotation and habitat emphasis”. Similarly, the tool describes medium-term commitment periods as “projects with rotation periods of more than 25 years, but no commitment to replant”. This project has a 30 year rotation period with a commitment to replant, however the forest restoration and habitat emphasis are not the primary focus of project activities. The primary focus of the afforestation project is the production of rubber latex. Recognizing the medium risk rating associated with project longevity does not accurately reflect the impermanence of the credits issued related to project activities. The current version of the PDD does not accurately reflect the project lifetime (see CAR 01/10) in the project crediting period. Recognizing that the current project crediting period does not include the planned harvest at year 30 (see CAR 09/10), the current version of the PDD describes a significant commitment period risk, as the effects of the planned timber harvest are not included within the carbon calculations (see CAR 09/10). Corrective Action Request: PICA shall raise the risk rating associated with project longevity to high to reflect the definitions of commitment periods in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: As the crediting period has been increased to 42 years, including a 36 year rotation within the rubber tree plantations, as well as a commitment to replant, this CAR is no longer applicable. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. CAR: 16/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.2 The project land is privately owned, however during field visits to Los Patos, auditors learned that PICA leased the land from Ingenio Magdalena S.A. The VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination states that “rented or tenantoperated land” must use a medium risk rating. As not all project areas are owned by the project proponent, the low risk rating does not reflect the VCS defined risk definitions. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall increase the risk rating associated with ownership type to medium to reflect the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination definition for rented lands. Timeline for 30 days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The updated PD was reviewed specifically in page 14, PICA increased the risk to medium. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 22 CAR: 17/10 Non-conformance: Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.2 The risk rating associated with management capacity is unclear, as different language from the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination is used. The PDD states “Substantial previous project experience (<5 projects) with on-site management team”. This is not one of the categories defined in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. PICA does have substantial experience with rubber tree plantation development; however, PICA has not demonstrated substantial previous project experience with the development of carbon projects. Recognizing that PICA has limited experience in carbon project development, it is not clear why the risk rating is not medium. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall amend the risk rating associated with management capacity of project developer to reflect the definitions used in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The revised PDD now states: “Substantial previous project experience (≥ 5 projects) with on-site management team” CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: CAR: 18/10 Non-conformance: This now reflects the categories defined in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. Furthermore, PICA has included additional evidence of the management experience with carbon measurement and quantification in Docs #106-109. With the clarified text in the PDD and additional evidence as proof of the teams carbon quantification skills, combined with the evidence of PICA’s management experience reviewed during the field audit, the audit team has obtained enough evidence to assure that PICA is in conformance with this requirement, and “low” is an appropriate risk rating for this category. Closed. Not applicable. Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.2.1 The 13April2010 VCS Program Update was released after PICA submitted their project documents to Rainforest Alliance for review. However, communications with the VCS confirmed that the 13April2010 VCS Program Update is effective immediately upon release, and hence the PICA project shall be in accordance with the program update. The VCS 13April2010 Program Update states that the greatest risk rating shall determine the overall self risk rating. The risk assessment included within the PDD is not in conformance with this requirement. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall determine the self risk rating following the guidance of the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: The revised PDD now states in Section 1.11 on p.9: “Based on both the general risk and the project specific risk analyses performed below, the project falls into the “medium” risk category. In the case of ARR projects under the VCS, the buffer requirement for a project with a “medium” risk category rating is 20-40% of issued credits. In terms of project specific risks, the majority of the risk factors have a “low” risk rating. This is also true for “general” risks that apply to all AFOLU projects. For these reasons, a 20% buffer is applied to the project.” As the highest identified risk within the self assessment is identified as medium, this is now Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 23 CAR Status: Follow-up Actions: CAR: 19/10 Non-conformance: in conformance with the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. Closed. Not applicable. Reference Standard & Requirement: 5.2.1 The 13April2010 VCS Program Update was released after PICA submitted their project documents to Rainforest Alliance for review. However, communications with the VCS confirmed that the 13April2010 VCS Program Update is effective immediately upon release, and hence the PICA project shall be in accordance with the program update. The VCS 13April2010 Program Update states that the greatest buffer contribution relative to the self assessment risk rating shall be used, unless evidence is provided to justify a lower buffer withholding. The buffer determination included within the PDD is not in conformance with this requirement. Corrective Action Request: PICA shall determine the buffer contribution following the guidance of the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. Timeline for 30 Days. conformance: Evidence to close CAR: As noted in the evidence submitted to close CAR 18/10, the PDD has been revised to conform to the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. In the revised PDD self risk assessment in section 1.11, 4 our 19 self assessment risk categories are identified as medium. Additionally, PICA has identified efforts to help mitigate these risks, and reduce the chance of their effect on the project. Recognizing this, a self assessment risk of 20% is justified, and is appropriate given the level of risk and mitigation effort identified. CAR Status: Closed. Follow-up Actions: Not applicable. Note: Observations are issued for areas that the auditor sees the potential for improvement in implementing standard requirements or in the quality system; observations may lead to direct non-conformances if not addressed 3.3 Observations OBS 01/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.2.1 The PDD describes management plans specific to the project farms, and references these plans as a source for additional information. Management plans exist for several of the farms; however, management plans were not available during the audit for all farms. In Step 3 of section 2.4 of the PDD implies that management plans exist for all farms, which supporting evidence during the field audit could not be provided. Observation: PICA should include management plans for all farms within the annexed documents. OBS 02/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.2.2 The project uses an approved CDM methodology (AR-ACM0001 V03) “Afforestation and reforestation of degraded land”. As this is an approved CDM methodology, it is accepted by the VCS. The PDD states in section 2.1 on p.20: “The project is fully applicable to methodology AR-ACM0001 V03.” It appears that the project follows the approved methodology. It is should be noted that the most current version of the methodology (version 4). In Step 2 of section 2.4 of the PDD the methodology is described as AR-ACM001 V01, rather than V03. Observation: PICA should correctly label the version of theAR-ACM0001 methodology in Step 2 of Section 2.4 of the PDD. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 24 OBS 03/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.2.7 In section 2.5 Step 1 of the PDD, PICA identifies the credible alternative land use scenarios to the proposed VCS project. Note that in the section, as well as in multiple sections prior to this the PDD uses the term CDM where it appears to mean VCS, and also the term CERs appears to be used instead of VCUs (see Step 0). Observation: PICA should correctly reference the VCS and all applicable acronyms associated with VCS project activities throughout the PDD. OBS 04/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.2 It is not clear how the all of the identified carbon SSRs are incorporated into the baseline calculations of carbon stock changes. Specifically, Table 8 on p.46 includes the stratification of the project area, however it is unclear how the additional SOC carbon pool is incorporated into the ex ante baseline GHG estimation. Furthermore, it appears that the average live tree biomass levels for the north and south strata have been switched in Table 7, as this is opposite from the values presented in the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Emissions, Net Removals, LK (Doc #88) presented to the audit team by Erin Swails of Winrock International on May 10th, 2010. Observation: PICA should correct the values presented in table 7 for average live tree biomass in the north and south strata. OBS 05/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.2 Table 15 in section 4.4, in the third column, no label of this column is included, leading to ambiguity within the table. Observation: PICA should label all column headings in Table 15 on p.54 section 4.4 of the PDD. OBS 06/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.4.7 Table 15 of section 4.4 of the PDD shows the net calculation of estimated cumulative anthropogenic GHG removals. As mentioned in the PDD, it is assumed that emissions from the baseline carbon pools are instantaneously released into the atmosphere. This is reflected in the first 7 rows of table 15 where the estimate baseline removals are accounted for. It should be noted that table 15 comes from the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL removals, Project Emissions, Net Removal (Doc #55) in Annex N. In this spreadsheet the total baseline removals are estimated in column AH as a sum of carbon stocks in the two project strata. In column AH these values are labelled as a total baseline GHG removals, however these values are labelled as “net GHG removals” in Table 15. It is not clear how these values are net values, and if in fact they do represent net values, why net values are used instead of total baseline values. Observation: PICA should clarify why net values for baseline removals are included in table 15 of section 4.4 of the PDD. OBS 07/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.5.3 The PDD does not acknowledge any negative environmental or socio-economic impacts. On the contrary the PDD notes that the project is expected to have a net positive impact on the environment and surrounding population. The PDD does not expand on what these positive impacts will be. Observation: PICA should describe the “net positive impact on the environment and on the surrounding population” described in section 5 of the PDD. New OBS 08/10 Reference Standard & Requirement: 4.1.5, 4.4.5 Multiple tables within the PDD (see Tables 6, 8, 10, and 17 as well as the worksheet “SOC Removals” in Doc # 90) do not reflect the changed crediting period. All relevant tables and supporting annexes shall be revised to reflect the changed crediting period. Observation: PICA should amend all tables within the PDD to reflect the increased crediting period to avoid any potential confusion. 3.4 Actions taken by the Project Proponent Prior to Report Finalization Following the issuance of the Draft Validation Report, the Project Proponent submitted additional evidence and a revised PDD to address the identified non-conformances found in during the field audit. This evidence was found by the audit team to be Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 25 sufficient to close all open CARs. A listing of the revised documents and additional evidence is included in section 2.4 of this report. Additionally, findings from the audit team assessment of additional documentation and revised documents are included in section 4 of this report. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 26 4 Validation Findings 4.1 Project Design The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007.1, Section 5.7 PDD requirements): project title, purpose(s) and objective(s); Type of GHG project; project location, including geographic and physical information allowing for the unique identification and delineation of the specific extent of the project; The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.1): the technology used project duration, crediting time and project start date Ownership o Proof of title o Double counting and whether the project participated in another emission trading programme Project applicability to the VCS for projects rejected under other GHG programme (if applicable) Whether the project is eligible under the VCS Any relevant findings relating to the project should be summarised in this section. 4.1.1 Project title, Purposes and Objectives Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The carbon project title: Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala, accurately reflects the proposed project. The additionality argument of this carbon project is founded in the financial analyses based on the Project Proponent’s dedication to promoting sustainable development of rubber plantations in Guatemala. This dedication is expressed in the text on page 3 of the 2007 PICA statement of intent, which declares the Project Proponents dedication to the promotion of Forest Stewardship Council Certification of rubber tree plantations. The primary argument of the project proponent is that by meeting the 10 principals of FSC certification, PICA will be able to increase the sustainability of their rubber plantations both environmentally and economically through the pursuit of new markets for the sale of Nontimber Forest Products (NTFPs). Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.2 Type of GHG project Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The PDD clearly states on page 1: “The project can be classified as an Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR) project under the VCS Standard.” Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR) projects are one of the four project types listed by the VCS 2007.1 Standard under the AFOLU project types. The project is not currently a grouped project; however, the PDD does clearly state that the Project Proponent does intend to register this project as a grouped project in the future. Additionally, interviews during the field audit with staff members of PICA indicated that the project has acquired additional degraded pasture lands, which it intends to enroll as similar reforestation of degraded pasture lands. However, the enrollment of additional project lands as a “grouped project” is not currently included in the scope of the project activities. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.3 Project Location Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 PICA employed Geotecnologica to produce numerous maps of the project area. Included in these maps (see Doc #29 – 34) are georeferenced project area boundaries. These maps are included as supplementary documents in Annex H of the PDD. Figure 1 of the PDD includes smaller scale maps identifying the location of the 7 farms involved in project activities. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 27 Furthermore, Table 1 on p.4 of the PDD provides the Lat/Long coordinates of individual farms involved in project activities. On May 6th, Geotecnologica staff responsible for the remote sensing analysis demonstrated the GIS methodology used to perform the eligibility analysis as well as the techniques used to create project area maps. This was demonstrated with the original GIS files/layers used to develop maps included in the annexed documents. Finally, the GIS maps were confirmed during field visits visually, as well as using the original hand held GPS equipment used to georeference project area boundaries, as well as project monitoring plots and sampling plot boundaries. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.4 Technology used Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 PICA has more than 50 years of rubber cultivation in Guatemala. Combined with experience, PICA uses proven plantation establishment techniques, and has established specific nurseries to provide stock for the plantings. Additionally, PICA has well established plans to mitigate mortality within plantations and maximize individual tree growth. During the field visit, PICA demonstrated technical capacity within company-owned nurseries to provide clonal seedlings used for reforestation activities. During field visit to the clonal nursery, PICA staff with the assistance of farm workers demonstrated the grafting techniques used to graft desired clones onto rubber tree seedlings. Furthermore, visits to existing rubber tree plantations owned by PICA and PICA’s business partners involved in project activities, demonstrated the technical capacity to develop rubber tree plantations in Guatemala. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.5 Project duration, crediting time and project start date Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The PICA project crediting period is 20 years, which is the minimum crediting period length for AFOLU projects under the VCS. The project start date is May 31, 2007, which is the date that the formal decision to commit financial resource to the development of a carbon project was signed by the board of directors of PICA; however, the crediting period start date is June 30th, 2007, as this is the date of the first project activity (site preparation). The PDD states on p.5: “The VCS project crediting period is ten years, which will be renewed once for a total of 20 years.” The VCS Guidance for AFOLU Projects defines the project crediting period on p.17 as: “Project crediting period: This is the period of time for which the net GHG emissions reductions or removals will be verified, which under the VCS is equivalent to the project lifetime. The project must have a robust operating plan covering this period. The project crediting period for ALM projects focusing exclusively on emissions reductions of N2O, CH4 and/or fossil-derived CO2 shall not exceed 10 years, renewable at most two times19. The project crediting period for all other AFOLU projects shall be between 20 and 100 years.” The PDD describes the use of two 10 year crediting periods; however, this is not allowed under VCS standards for AFOLU ARR projects, as noted above. Additionally, as noted in the quote above, the VCS define the project crediting period as “equivalent to the project lifetime”. Discussions with VCS staff, confirmed that the project lifetime for AFOLU ARR and IFM projects practicing rotational forestry must include a minimum of one complete rotation length, as this is included in the project lifetime. The current crediting period for this project is ambiguously described as 20 years, which is not in conformance with the rotation length that is described in the PDD as 30 years (see section 4.4.2 below). (CAR 01/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 01/10: PICA shall define the project crediting period following the criteria mandated by the VCS. CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 28 Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 PICA has revised the PDD and supporting annexes to reflect a newly defined 42 year crediting period. This crediting period reflects the planned 36 year rubber tree plantation rotation length, as well as the 6 year staggered planting of the project area. The revised 42 year crediting period is now equal to a minimum of one complete rotation length of the entire project area, and hence equal to the project lifetime. The revised crediting period is now in conformance with the VCS standard. However, it should be noted that multiple tables within the PDD (see Tables 6, 8, 10, and 17 as well as the worksheet “SOC Removals” in Doc # 90) do not reflect the changed crediting period. All relevant tables and supporting annexes shall be revised to reflect the changed crediting period. (OBS 08/10) As the crediting period is now in conformance with the VCS standard, this CAR is closed, however PICA is strongly encouraged to amend all tables within the PDD to reflect the increased crediting period to avoid any potential confusion. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 01/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS OBS 08/10: PICA should amend all tables within the PDD to reflect the increased crediting period to avoid any potential confusion. 4.1.6 Ownership/Proof of Title/Right of Use Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The project area consists of seven different farms, located in three zones: Suchitepéquez, Izabal, and Alta Verapaz. PICA S.A. as the project proponent, does not own any of those farms by itself. All the farms belong to different Sociedades Anónimas (LLC), where PICA has the explicit rights to manage and sell the carbon credits. Land ownership is defined in Table 1 on p.4 of the PDD. This table includes the Number of the Registered Legal Title, however, the actual titles, or copies of titles are not included in the annexed documents. The VCS 2007.1 standard, section 5.7 requires: “The VCS PD shall be accompanied by Proof of Title, which shall contain one of the following: • a legislative right; • a right under local common law; • ownership of the plant, equipment and/or process generating the reductions/ removals; or • a contractual arrangement with the owner of the plant, equipment or process that grants all reductions/removals to the proponent.” During the field visit, land tenure documents for project areas were provided by project proponents. A sub-sample of these documents was thoroughly reviewed by auditors. Additionally, PICA has entered into contractual agreements with farm owners, declaring the ownership of the GHG rights through the year 2022, a 13 year period. It should be noted that clear ownership of the GHG rights for the entire 20 year project crediting period is not established by these contracts. The VCS requires only one of these types of documents (see excerpt from the VCS 2007.1 standard above), and the contractual arrangement with land owners was presented as supplementary evidence in addition to the proof of ownership documents for each farm, hence the documents are in conformance with the standard. However, these documents were not included in the annexed documents with the PDD, as required by the VCS. (CAR 02/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 02/10: PICA shall include documented evidence in the PDD or supporting documents that CAR/OBS demonstrates proof of ownership of the project area lands or clear ownership of the GHG removals associated with project activities. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 A file named Annex G Contracts of Assignment of Rights was reviewed. This Annex consists of old contracts where it is stated that both parties (project proponent and the owner of the land) agree to work together sharing duties and Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 29 responsibilities during the following 13 years. The file also consists of all the new contracts which are in summary, an amendment of the previous contracts. There was only one basic modification, from 13 years to 20 years starting on May 2007. According to this new contracts, ownership of the land and ownership of the GHG removals are clear. This closes CAR 02/10. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 02/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.1.7 Double counting and whether the project participated in another emission trading programme Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 1.13 of the PDD states: “The project is not seeking to generate any other environmental credits other than carbon credits associated with the VCS. FSC certification for project activities will not generate environmental credits.” This is in conformance with the requirements of the VCS standard described in section 5.7 of the VCS 2007.1 standard. This was validated through interviews with PICA staff during the field audit. Conversations with PICA staff revealed that the project proponent does intend to possibly transfer the project to the CDM, following validation to the VCS. As this is not definite, and is based on favourable markets, this was described as a possibility, and the consequences of the transfer (e.g. loss of VCUs contributed to the Buffer) were acknowledge by the Project Proponent, in addition to the VCS double counting rules. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.8 Project applicability to the VCS for projects rejected under other GHG programme (if applicable) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 1.14 of the PDD states that this is not applicable for this project. This was confirmed by PICA staff during the field audit. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS Not Applicable 4.1.9 Whether the project is eligible under the VCS Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 1.16 of the PDD describes the project eligibility. The project conforms to the eligibility requirements of the VCS. The project uses an approved CDM methodology (AR-ACM0001 v03). Additionally, the project utilizes multiple CDM tools to determine project eligibility. The project applied “Procedures to demonstrate the eligibility of lands for afforestation and reforestation CDM project activities” with an adaptation to accommodate updated criteria in the VCS 2007.1 standard (all areas have not been forested for at least ten years prior to the proposed VCS project start date). A combination of aerial photographs, orthophotos, multispectral Landsat images, and forest cover maps, were used to determine historic land use practices. Annex H includes project area maps, which show the results of the forest cover eligibility analysis performed. The DNA of Guatemala definition of a forest was used to perform the analysis (see p. 19 of the PDD). The analysis was performed for a 20 year period to ensure conformance with VCS, CDM, and FSC eligibility rules for afforestation activities. During the field audit, Geotecnologica demonstrated the methodology and techniques used to conduct the land use eligibility assessment (see 4.1.3 above). The auditors noted that the VCS requires only a 10 year eligibility assessment, and expanded to a 20 year assessment of land use practices may be too great, as it may not capture potential reforestation and subsequent clearing (e.g. short rotation forestry) within the 20 year eligibility assessment period. In some of the project areas (e.g. Los Patos) the abandoned pasture was reforested in 2007 and 2008, so onsite validation of land-use practices was not possible. In order to obtain evidence that intensive short term rotational forestry was not practiced on project lands during the 20 year period within the eligibility assessment, neighbours of the farms were contacted by phone, by the audit team. All of the neighbours interviewed (six) mentioned that prior to establish the rubber plantations, the land was used for agricultural Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 30 projects such as sugar cane, pasture land or cattle. No forestry plantations existed in the project area during 1997-2007. Some parts of natural forest still exist in the farms, but as riparian forests and according to maps, those areas are not considered within the project area. PICA and Geotecnológica submitted additional remotely sensed data from 1996 to 2000 for each of the farms included in the project area. The additional maps submitted for review confirm that the project areas were not forested within the 20 year period included in the original eligibility analysis. On this topic, people interviewed mentioned that it is a common practice to stratify the land according to the potential of the land, so the owner can decide whether the area should be planted with sugar cane, or be used for another agricultural use. In this case, the project area for VCS purposes includes all the lands that had no potential for predominant use in the zone (pasture or sugar cane), so no intensive short term rotational forestry existed prior or during 1997-2007. Finally, according to Forest National Institute (INAB) representatives it is not a common practice either, to plant trees and replace it with another one that promises better financial incomes in short terms. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.1.10 Chronological plan for project initiation and monitoring Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 7 of the PDD outlines a clear schedule for project activities. However, this schedule appears to be based on the forest management activities and not on the VCS project activities. The end date for the project is listed as 2037, representing a 30 year project length. This is not in conformance with the proposed 20 year crediting period for this project (see section 1.6 of the PDD). It is unclear if the scheduled presented in section 7 reflects the carbon project activities, or the proposed forest management plan for the plantation. Additionally, the schedule presented in section 7 shows that monitoring activities will begin in 2009. This contradicts what is written in section 3.4.1.2 of the PDD where it states: “The following monitoring activities shall be conducted in the first three years of plantation establishment...” It is not clear how “plantation establishment” is defined. It is assumed that this period of time represents the period from the initial site preparation (which began in 2007 at some sites) to the first tapping of trees (which is described as approximately 6 - 7 years after planting). According to the schedule presented in section 7, no monitoring is preformed during the first two years of the project crediting period, which does not follow the guidance presented in the monitoring section. (CAR 03/10) VCS 2007.1 (section 5.7) states that are VCS PD must contain, "chronological plan for the date of initiating project activities, date of terminating the project, frequency of monitoring and reporting and the project period, including relevant project activities in each step of the GHG project cycle.” (p.15) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 03/10: PICA shall clearly present the project schedule in section 7 of the PDD, in conformance with CAR/OBS the timelines outlined in section 1.6 and 3.4.1.2 of the PDD. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 PICA has revised Table 7 in section 7 of the PDD. This table now clearly illustrates the project schedule throughout the 42 year crediting period, as well as indicating the variation between staggered planting crediting periods. The revised table is now in conformance with the VCS Standard. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 03/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.1.11 Roles and responsibilities Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 1.15 of the PDD defines the roles and responsibilities of the 5 major proponents of this project. Included in this Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 31 section is a table that lists the primary contact for the primary project proponent (PICA) as well as contacts for the four different land owners. It is not clear why the primary contact person for the four land owners has the same address as PICA. In section 1.2 of the PDD, it states that four different land owners own the 7 different farms included in this project. It is not clear from the table in section 1.15 if the landowners of Agropalmeras, S.A., and Inversiones Agrícolas Palafox, S.A., are employees of PICA, or if they are being represented by employees. During the field audit, the ownership structure of the Grupo Agroindustrial Occidente, which is the parent company to PICA, was explained in great detail to the audit team. This ownership structure is not well articulated within the PDD, which creates some confusion for readers. However, explanations during the field audit clarified the ownership structure described in the PDD. The PDD does not clearly explain who is responsible for each phase of the project (e.g. site preparation, planting, GHG calculations, monitoring, etc.). The table in section 1.15 includes a list of entities involved, a description of the entity, and the function; however, the responsibility of each participant as well as the relationship between entities is unclear. (CAR 04/10). Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 04/10: PICA shall clearly explain the roles and responsibilities of project participants. CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 The revised PDD submitted to RA includes a new table in section 1.16 “Roles and responsibilities”. This table includes detailed descriptions of relevant project activities, and identifies the person(s) responsible for implementing identified tasks. With the addition of the table in the new section 1.16, the PDD is now in conformance with the VCS and Methodological requirements regarding the description of project roles and responsibilities. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 04/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.1.12 Observation of local laws and regulations Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 1.10 of the PDD describes the relevant Guatemalan laws, and the demonstration of compliance by the project proponent. Included in the annexed documents (see annex C), are Environmental Impact Assessments for each of the farms where EIAs are required, and the diagnostic reports for those farms where EIAs are not required. The project appears to be in compliance with all applicable Guatemalan laws. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.2 Baseline The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007.1, Section 5.7 PDD requirements): Conditions prior to project initiation The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.2): Correct application and justification of selected baseline methodology, Approval of the baseline methodology, Application of methodology deviations or revisions (if applicable), Conformance with methodology applicability conditions (added by Rainforest Alliance to aid reporting clarity) Appropriate setting of baseline scenario, and Assessment and demonstration of additionality should be summarised in this section. 4.2.1 Conditions prior to project initiation Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Step 3 of section 2.4 describes the pre-existing conditions and the baseline strata. The baseline conditions were identified through the use of land use cover maps, satellite and aerial imagery, literature reviews of site information (see 4.1.3 above), Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 32 as well as field observations and measurements. Furthermore, management plans exist for several of the farms; however, management plans were not available during the field audit for all farms. In Step 3 of section 2.4 of the PDD implies that management plans exist for all farms; however, evidence to support this was not available at the time of the field audit. (OBS 01/10) The baseline report included in Annex I (see Doc #36) further described the initial baseline conditions. Visits to project sites were not able to validate conditions prior to project initiation in all cases, as most of the project areas have already been planted, and hence baseline conditions no longer exist. However, in the case of Rio Frio, where planting has not yet begun, baseline conditions and measurements were able to be validated by the audit team. Common practice within the region was validated by the audit team. Degraded pastureland and sugar cane production were the dominant land uses other than other rubber tree plantations. For example, at Los Patos, adjacent lands to project areas were recently cleared and burned to begin sugar cane production, and similar land use practices were witnessed in other adjacent lands during the field audit. Conformance Yes No N/A OBS 01/10: PICA should include management plans for all farms within the annexed documents. CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 The findings from the 30th June 2010 report are still relevant in the revised PDD. Conformance Yes No N/A OBS 01/10 CAR/OBS 4.2.2 Approval of the baseline methodology Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The project uses an approved CDM methodology (AR-ACM0001 V03) “Afforestation and reforestation of degraded land”. As this is an approved CDM methodology, it is accepted by the VCS. The PDD states in section 2.1 on p.20: “The project is fully applicable to methodology AR-ACM0001 V03.” The project follows the approved methodology. It should be noted that the most current version of the methodology (version 4) was not used for the project design, as this version was released following the initiation of project activities. During the field audit, discussions with PICA staff clarified that v. 3 of AR-ACM0001 was used, as v. 4 was not yet released at the time of the project development initiation. It should be noted that version 3 of the methodology was valid from 08 April 2009 to 08 April 2010, however the CDM accepts requests for registration with version 3 of AR-ACM001 until 08 December 2010 (see http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/DB/X4VOLW3Y7IJCH9WXSBXBC2Q0JKG9UZ/view.html), and as such the use of this version is acceptable following the VCS guidance on methodology element revisions. Additionally, in Step 2 of section 2.4 of the PDD the methodology is described as AR-ACM001 V01, rather than V03 (OBS 02/10). Conformance Yes No N/A OBS 02/10: PICA should correctly label the version of the AR-ACM0001 methodology in Step 2 of Section CAR/OBS 2.4 of the PDD. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 The revised PDD now consistently and correctly labels the AR-ACM0001 v3 methodology used for project activities. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised 4.2.3 Application of methodology deviations or revisions (if applicable) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The PDD states in section 2.1 on p.20: Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 33 “The project is fully applicable to methodology AR-ACM0001 V03.” Neither the PDD nor the project proponent acknowledged any deviations or revisions to the methodology. During the field audit no significant deviations or revisions to the AR-ACM0001 methodology were identified. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS Not applicable. 4.2.4 Conformance with methodology applicability conditions Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Section 2.2 of the PDD describes the justification of the chosen methodology, and why it is applicable to the project activity. This section addresses the four key applicability criteria outlined in section 1.4 of AR-ACM0001 V04 (note that the most recent version of the methodology is quoted below). Applicability Condition Finding The A/R CDM project activity is implemented on degraded Although the field audit could not validate the pre-existing lands, which are expected to remain degraded or to continue conditions in all cases (as noted above most project areas to degrade in the absence of the project, and hence the land had already been planted at the time of the validation audit), cannot be expected to revert to a non-degraded state without the audit team was able to collect additional evidence to human intervention confirm that the project areas were in fact degraded pasturelands as identified in the remote sensing analysis. This evidence was collected through interviews with farm managers, farm workers, farm neighbours, and monitoring teams who conducted field measurements of project areas prior to planting activities. Furthermore, visual confirmation of surrounding land use, and qualitative assessment of common land use on adjacent properties confirmed that the project areas were likely to remain degraded or continue to degrade in the absence of the project activities. Encroachment of natural tree vegetation that leads to the Continued grazing of project activities, coupled with the establishment of forests according to the host country common practice in the area of burning pastureland to definition of forest for CDM purposes is not expected to occur prevent regeneration of forests, would likely continue to prohibit the encroachment of natural tree vegetation on project lands. Flooding irrigation is not applied in the project activity The PDD explicitly states: “No flooding irrigation will take place in the project activities”. No flooding irrigation was identified during field visits to farms. If at least a part of the project activity is implemented on The PDD explicitly states: “The project does not take place organic soils, drainage of these soils is not allowed and not on organic soils”. This was confirmed during the field visits more than 10% of their area may be disturbed as result of soil to project areas by the audit team. preparation for planting The establishment of project shall not decrease availability of The establishment of the project will not decrease the fuelwood availability of fuelwood, as no fuelwood is currently collected on project areas according to project proponents, and interviews with stakeholders during the field visit. On the contrary, interviews with rubber tappers and plantation managers in existing project proponent rubber plantations revealed that the collection of fuelwood from fallen trees and limbs in active rubber tree plantations is allowed, and consequently the establishment of rubber tree plantations will likely increase the availability of fuelwood to rubber tappers working in the plantations. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 No CAR or OBS raised. Page 34 4.2.5 Correct application and justification of selected baseline methodology Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The AR-ACM0001 v. 4 methodology requires that project proponents use the most recent version of the “Combined tool to identify the baseline scenario and demonstrate additionality in A/R CDM project activities”. This requirement was followed by the Project Proponent, and described in section 2.5 of the PDD. Furthermore, the PDD describes how it meets the two applicability criteria for the A/R Methodological tool (see section I. Applicability Conditions of the A/R Methodological Tool “Combined tool to identify the baseline scenario and demonstrate additionality in A/R CDM project activities”). Baseline Determination Step Findings Step 0 Preliminary screening based on the starting date of the The project starting date was identified as May 31, 2007, A/R project activities which is the date that the formal decision to commit financial resource to the development of a carbon project was signed by the board of directors of PICA; however, the crediting period start date is June 30th, 2007, as this is the date of the first project activity (site preparation) (see section 4.1.5 above). Both of these dates are well after 31 Dec 1999 as identified in number 7 of the A/R Methodological Tool. Furthermore the financial analysis included in Annex N (Doc #56-59) provides evidence of the intent for the sale of VCUs from the initiation of project activities. Step 1 Identification of alternative land use scenarios to the The baseline analysis identified 4 alternative land use proposed A/R CDM project activity scenarios: pastureland, cropland, FSC rubber plantation without carbon project, and reforestation with timber species. Not included in this list is the common practice on the farms where project activities are located in, rubber plantations without FSC certification and without carbon projects. This was raised during the field visit, as the audit team inquired why this land use was not considered, and the project proponent identified that this was not a possibility as a result of a statement of intent signed by PICA at the initiation of project activities, where it stated that new rubber plantations on project lands must be FSC certified. This was confirmed by the review of the statement of intent (Doc #65) by the audit team. Hence this land use would not be credible as outlined in #11 of sub-step 1a. However, it is not clear why this isn’t considered as an initial alternative land use, and then tested with the barrier analysis in step 2 and 3. The field audit confirmed that non-FSC certified rubber tree plantations are a likely land use practice in the southern stratum. Although this land use may not pass the barrier analyses as a result of the PICA statement of intent, it is not transparent to dismiss this likely land use.(CAR 05/10) Step 2 Barrier Analysis Barrier analyses for each alternative land uses were conducted by the project proponent and are outlined on p3133. This follows the A/R Methodological Tool. Step 3 Investment Analysis Investment analysis barriers were conducted for land use practices following the step identified by the A/R Methodological Tool. Investment ratings were confirmed by the audit team (see Doc #86). Step 4 Common practice analysis The common practice analysis is included on p. 39 of the PDD and is in conformance with the A/R Methodological Tool. Specifically the PDD notes that although rubber plantations do exist in the south, large-scale FSC certified rubber plantations are “not common practice”. Finally the PDD includes step 5 Impact of VCS registration, an Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 35 Conformance CAR/OBS additional step than those required by the A/R Methodological Tool. This step describes the financial analysis that shows the additional funding provided by the sale of VCUs allows the project to secure finance from private equity of the bundled project participants by reaching the required rate of return (RRR), which demonstrates the commitment of project funding. The financial argument was further reviewed during the field audit. All financial calculations were explained by PICA staff responsible for the financial calculations. Specifically, financial modelling (Doc #62-64) were reviewed by the audit team, and the derivation and source of literature values were validated by the audit team. As the financial analysis was founded under the overestimated number of VCUs (see CAR 09/10), it is not clear if once corrected the RRR threshold will be met. The additionality argument is founded on the basis of the sale of carbon credits allowing the project to meet the RRR. Yes No N/A CAR 05/10: PICA shall include the establishment of a non-FSC rubber tree plantation without the sale of carbon credits as an alternative land use. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 Section 2.5 of the revised PDD now includes: “Land use scenario d: Non FSC certified rubber cultivation without registration as a VCS project The traditional and common practice land use is crop production (see Land use scenario b), pasture lands (see land use scenario a) and small scale natural rubber tree plantations (Non FSC certified and without Registration as a VCS project). The project proponent was committed since 2007 to lead the creation of incentives to responsibly increase the rate of rubber plantation’s establishment. In order to do so, the need to create diversified sources of revenue that allows rubber plantations to compete, under a financial perspective, with traditional land use scenarios, was identified. In addition, the historical high fluctuation of rubber prices introduces uncertainty to financial models and expected future profits. This situation marks the need to diversify revenues from rubber plantations different from rubber production. This scenario in the south is prevented because the all PICA’s new model here explained is different from the traditional and common practice land use scenario, which is coincident with Land use scenario d. Although rubber production in the south exists, almost all rubber production in southern Guatemala is produced by smallholders with plantations of less than 50 ha in size. Only 5% of the plantations associated with the Rubber Producers Association of Guatemala (Gremial de Huleros de Guatemala) are greater than 200 ha in size. The size of each proposed project plantation in the South is at least double the most common size of rubber plantations in Guatemala (50 ha) up to seven or twelve times the size of typical rubber plantations. Therefore, the project will lead to an increased rate of reforestation in southern Guatemala that would not occur in the absence of the project activity and that this results from direct intervention by the project activity, and can be considered additional.” Sub-step 2a identifies the barriers that prevent Non FSC certified rubber cultivation without registration as a VCS project from being a likely baseline scenario. In this section, the Project Proponent outlines why barriers exist that prevent this scenario from likely happening. Included in these barriers are: ecological conditions creating barriers for agricultural production, investment barriers for FSC certified rubber cultivation without registration as a VCS project, and technological barriers (most notably with infrastructure) in the northern region of Guatemala where rubber production is not a common practice.. The identified barriers corroborate with the findings from the May 2010 field visit, outlined in section 4.2.5 of this report. The revised additionality argument is now in conformance with the VCS 2007.1 standard. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 05/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.2.6 Appropriate setting of baseline scenario Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 36 The baseline land use was established as the current land use practice, pastureland. This was selected through the use of the appropriate A/R Methodological tool, as required by the AR-ACM0001. However, it should be noted that not all likely land use scenarios were considered (see CAR 05/10). Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 05/10 CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.2.5 Conformance Yes CAR 05/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS No N/A 4.2.7 Assessment and demonstration of additionality should be summarised in this section. Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 In section 2.5 Step 1 of the PDD, PICA identifies the credible alternative land use scenarios to the proposed VCS project. Note that in the section, as well as in multiple sections prior to this, the PDD uses the term CDM where it appears to mean VCS, and also the term CERs appears to be used instead of VCUs (see Step 0). (OBS 03/10) In Step 1, the following alternative land use scenarios are identified: Continuation of the pre-project land use: pastureland Crop production FSC certified rubber cultivation without registration as a VCS project Reforestation through direct planting of timber species without registration as a VCS project Step 2 of section 2.5 identifies the barriers present for each land use type, in order to identify the most likely base line scenario. Step 2.c determined that pastureland (the current land use practice) is the most likely scenario. Step 3 utilized a financial benchmark analysis; where the investment rate of return for the project was compared with a required rate of return obtained from a benchmark done in Equity Funds for Timberland. The addition of revenue from the sale of carbon credits (proponents estimate price of carbon at USD $6 per ton CO2e) increases the rate of return from 11% to 12.6%, which allows the project to meet its required rate of return benchmark (identified as 12%). This is how the proponent presents that a financial barrier exists in the implementation of the project activities without the revenue from the sale of carbon credits. Additionally, Step 4 included an assessment of the common practice in the land; however, this was restricted to rubber plantations. The assessment did not include other reforestation activities that may be common in the area. The additionality argument of the proposed project hinges on the following two points: 1) Common practice in the southern stratum of non-FSC certified rubber tree plantations is not a credible alternative land-use scenario based on the Statement of Intent signed by PICA in 2007; and 2) The sale of VCUs from project activities provides the additional revenue to exceed the 12% required rate of return identified by project proponents (obtained from literature values, which were validated during the field audit (see Doc # 62, 71 and 87) As the initiation of rubber tree plantations without FSC certification is not included as a land use scenario, the selection of the most appropriate land use scenario is not transparent. During the field audit, the project proponent explained why this was not included (CAR 05/10); however, this is not transparent in the PDD, and leads to confusion as to why this scenario was not included. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 05/10 CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 37 OBS 03/10 Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.2.5 above regarding the closure of CAR 05/10. Conformance Yes No CAR 05/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.3 N/A Monitoring Plan The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.3): Approval of the monitoring methodology, Correct application and justification of selected monitoring methodology, and Whether the monitoring plan provides detailed information related to the collection and archiving of all relevant data needed to: Estimate or measure emissions occurring from GHG sources, sinks and reservoirs Determine the baseline emissions Estimate changes in emissions from the site should be summarised in this section. The conclusions regarding conformance with VCS specific criterion relating to monitoring (VCS 2007.1 section 5.11 and Tool for AFOLU Methodological Issues). 4.3.1 Approval of the monitoring methodology Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The project follows the AR-ACM0001 methodology, which is an approved afforestation and reforestation methodology under the CDM. The justification for this methodology is described in section 2.2 of the PDD. During the field audit, the PICA staff member responsible for monitoring activities demonstrated the monitoring methodology used by project activities. Additionally, 4 monitoring crew members were interviewed, and also participated in the demonstration of field measurements used in baseline inventory, as well as field measurement techniques used in monitoring plots. Furthermore, 10% of monitoring plots (which were all permanently monumented) were visited at los Patos and Palmeras farms. Additionally, monitoring plot field data sheets and measurements (see Doc #83) were verified through field measurements at 10% of the plots at Los Patos and Palmeras farms. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.3.2 Correct application and justification of selected monitoring methodology Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Annual monitoring will be conducted by a “professional team consisting of a coordinator, a field technician, and a data analyst. The coordinator will report directly to the project manager”. However the PDD does not specifically define who is responsible for organizing such a team, and who the field technicians will be (CAR 04/10). The VCS 2007.1 standard states in section 5.11: “Monitoring procedures should include the following: • purpose of monitoring; • types of data and information to be reported - including units of measurement; • origin of the data; • monitoring methodologies, including estimation, modelling, measurement or calculation approaches; • monitoring times and periods, considering the needs of intended users; • monitoring roles and responsibilities; • GHG information management systems, including the location and retention of stored data.” Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 38 The PDD references the PICA Monitoring Plan (see footnote 92 in section 3.2), however the VCS 2007.1 standard, as well as the AR-ACM0001 methodology require that monitoring methodologies (defined in AR-ACM0001 as SOPs) are included in the PDD. Conformance CAR/OBS Yes see CAR 04/10 Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.1.11 above Conformance Yes CAR 04/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS No N/A No N/A 4.3.3 Conformance with VCS specific criterion relating to monitoring (VCS 2007.1 section 5.11 and Tool for AFOLU Methodological Issues Step 6) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 In addition to the requirements of the selected methodology used for project activities, the VCS 2007.1 standard has additional requirements related to monitoring procedures. From VCS 2007.1 Section 5.11: The project proponent shall establish and maintain criteria and procedures for obtaining, recording, compiling and analysing data and information important for quantifying and reporting GHG emissions and/or removals relevant for the project and baseline scenario (i.e. GHG information system). Monitoring procedures should include the following: VCS Required Monitoring Procedures Findings Purpose of monitoring The purpose of the monitoring is described in the Monitoring Plan included in Annex M (see Doc #51). The purpose is described as monitoring current carbon stocks as well as increase in carbon stocks from growth of plantations. Additionally, the purpose of monitoring is described in section 3.2 of the PDD as: “The purpose of monitoring is to gather information on plantation growth and project activities that will allow the estimation of VERs at the end of an accreditation period.” Types of data and information to be reported - Section 3.3 of the PDD includes a table of all data and parameters that will including units of measurement be monitored. Monitoring methodologies, including estimation, Modelling methodologies are included in the Monitoring Plan Annex M (see modelling, measurement or calculation Doc #51). Monitoring methodologies were demonstrated during field visits approaches as described in section 4.3.1 above. Monitoring times and periods, considering the The monitoring frequency of each parameter to be monitored is included in needs of intended users the table in section 3.3 of the PDD. Generally, plots will be re-measured annually, following the guidance in the Monitoring Plan. As noted above (see CAR 04/10), neither the Monitoring Plan, nor the PDD Monitoring roles and responsibilities explicitly describe the roles and responsibilities related to monitoring project activities. GHG information management systems, The Monitoring Plan included in Annex M explains the methodological including the location and retention of stored procedures to be used during project activities; however, it does not clearly Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 39 data Conformance CAR/OBS define the management of monitoring data. Similarly this is not outlined in the PDD. During the site visit, it was apparent that PICA was responsible for the management of monitoring, including data retention and management; however, this was not specified in the project documents. (CAR 06/10) No N/A Yes CAR 04/10 CAR 06/10: PICA shall include specific guidance regarding the retention of monitoring data. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.1.11 above regarding the closure of CAR 04/10. In order to address CAR 04/10, the table in section 1.16 of the PDD was revised. This table now clearly identifies who is responsible for the maintenance of monitoring data. Furthermore, a revised English version of Doc #101 was submitted as evidence to close this CAR. The revised monitoring plan includes a description of the custody of monitoring data, and is found to be in conformance with the VCS standard. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 04/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS CAR 06/10 (Closed) 4.3.4 Whether the monitoring plan provides detailed information related to the collection and archiving of all relevant data Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The Monitoring Plan included in Annex M includes specific guidance regarding methodological procedures to be employed by monitoring teams (see 4.3.3 above). However, as mentioned in 4.3.3 above, the plan does not include guidance as to the retention and archiving of monitoring data. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 06/10 CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.3.3 above. Conformance Yes CAR 06/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.4 No N/A Calculation of GHG Emissions The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.4): The appropriateness of the source, sink and reservoir (pools), The correctness and transparency of formulas and factors used, The assumptions made for estimating GHG emission reductions, and Uncertainties should be summarised in this section. 4.4.1 The appropriateness of the source, sink and reservoir (pools) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 AR-ACM0001 Methodology requires the following sinks: Aboveground biomass Belowground biomass Additionally, the methodology requires that deadwood, litter, and soil organic carbon be included unless it is conservative to not include these pools. The PICA project includes aboveground and belowground biomass. Dead wood and litter are Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 40 omitted based on conservative assumptions. Soil organic carbon (SOC) is included in the south, and this pool is not included for those lands in the north. The justification for the inclusion or exclusion of SSRs appears to be in conformance with the AR-ACM0001 methodology. During the interviews with the field crews responsible for field measurements for both monitoring and baseline estimates, it was discovered that aboveground biomass in the baseline scenario was calculated from dead wood. This was due to the fact that baseline monitoring began after the existing shade trees and live fences on degraded pasturelands were removed to begin project activities. For this reason, all down dead wood was measured, and measurements were input into allometric equations to calculate the dead wood as aboveground live biomass. Following this method, dead wood was not included as it was all calculated as live wood. This is in conformance with the required pools within the methodology. Table 2 of the ARACM0001 methodology requires that CH4 is included for the burning of woody biomass. During the field visit, burn scars and charred wood from fires used during site preparation activities was apparent. Interviews with farm managers, farm workers, and PICA staff confirmed that the burning of pastureland is a common practice as part of site preparation activities and were used in site preparation activities at Los Patos. During the baseline calculations, baseline carbon stocks are conservatively considered to be instantaneously emitted; however, this is not clear within project documents (see section 4.4.3 below). However, it is not clear how CH4 associated with the burning of woody biomass is accounted for as required by the methodology. The methodology does allow for the omission of CH 4, provided project proponents have applied the most recent version of the “Tool for testing significance of GHG emissions in A/R CDM project activities”, and this leads to the conclusion that the emission source is insignificant. It is not clear that PICA applied this tool to test the significance of CH4 emissions from site preparation activities, in order to justify the omission of this emission (see also 4.4.4 below). (CAR 07/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 07/10: PICA shall apply the AR-ACM0001 guidance for justifying the omission of CH4 emissions from CAR/OBS site preparation activities. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 The revised PDD now reflects the site preparation burning of some biomass on Los Patos and Palmeras farms in section 2.3 of the PDD. As additional evidence of no use of fire as part of site preparation activities on other farms, signed statements from all farm managers involved in the project were submitted (see Docs # 102-105). These documents were reviewed and found to be sufficient evidence of the use of fire as site preparation activities. Furthermore, section 3.4.3.2 of the PDD describes the use of the CDM tool, “Estimation of emissions from clearing, burning and decay of existing vegetation due to implementation of an A/R CDM project activity” to estimate emissions from site preparation biomass burning on Los Patos and Palmeras farms. These emissions are quantified within Annex T Doc #90, in worksheet “ARACM1 exante Calcs” cell AC8. Recognizing that the emissions from site preparation burning are now accounted for as required by the AR-ACM00001 methodology, the project is now in conformance with the methodology, and hence the VCS standard. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 07/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.4.2 The correctness and transparency of formulas and factors used Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 It is not clear how the all of the identified carbon SSRs are incorporated into the baseline calculations of carbon stock changes. Specifically, Table 8 on p.46 includes the stratification of the project area, however it is unclear how the additional SOC carbon pool is incorporated into the ex ante baseline GHG estimation. Furthermore, it appears that the average live tree biomass levels for the north and south strata have been switched in Table 7, as this is opposite from the values presented in the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL Removals, Project Emissions, Net Removals, LK (Doc #88) presented to the audit team by Winrock International on May 10th, 2010. (OBS 04/10) The calculation of aboveground live biomass in the baseline scenario is calculated from field measurements of dead wood in project areas (see 4.4.1 above). The project conservatively assumes that all dead wood was live prior to the initiation of site preparation activities, but this assumption is not clearly explained in the PDD or in PICA - Baseline Report (Doc #36). This Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 41 assumption is not transparently described in project documents, although during the field audit the project proponents clearly demonstrated the measurement procedures that were used to calculate aboveground live biomass from current dead wood stocks on project areas. (CAR 08/10) Note: Table 15 in section 4.4, in the third column, no label of this column is included, leading to ambiguity within the table. (OBS 05/10) It is not clear how the GHG estimations account for the criteria outlined in Step 6 of the Guidance for AFOLU Projects, where it states: “In the case of ARR or IFM rotation forestry projects, the maximum number of carbon credits to be assigned to the project shall not exceed the project’s net carbon stock benefits (i.e., project minus baseline carbon stocks, including long-lived wood products) averaged across the current harvesting/rotation cycle adjusted for project emissions of CO2, N2O and CH4, and leakage. This is to prevent proponents from unrealistically inflating the project’s carbon benefits, and number of credits issued, by timing verification events to coincide with peak carbon stocks and not accounting for subsequent carbon losses from harvesting.” During the field audit this issue was raised to the Project Proponent’s attention, and the Project Proponent explained that since no harvesting or timber stand improvement (TSI) work is scheduled during the project crediting period then this rule is not applicable. Further clarification was sought by the audit team through multiple discussions with Naomi Swickard of the VCS. These conversations revealed that the VCS defines the project crediting period in the VCS 2007.1 standard as: “Project Crediting Period For non-AFOLU projects and ALM projects focusing exclusively on emissions reductions of N2O, CH4 and/or fossil-derived CO2, a maximum of 10 years which may be renewed at most two times. For AFOLU projects other than such ALM projects, a minimum of 20 years up to a maximum of 100 years.” This is further specified in the guidance for AFOLU projects as: “Project crediting period: This is the period of time for which the net GHG emissions reductions or removals will be verified, which under the VCS is equivalent to the project lifetime. The project must have a robust operating plan covering this period. The project crediting period for ALM projects focusing exclusively on emissions reductions of N2O, CH4 and/or fossil-derived CO2 shall not exceed 10 years, renewable at most two times19. The project crediting period for all other AFOLU projects shall be between 2020 and 100 years.” Discussions with Naomi Swickard of the VCS clarified that for projects that intend to practice rotational forestry, the project crediting period shall include the planned rotation as this is a part of the project lifetime. Recognizing that the proposed project activities intend to harvest the planted rubber trees following 30 years of growth, the proposed 20 year project crediting period does not represent the project lifetime as required by the VCS Guidance for AFOLU Projects (see also 4.1.5 above). As the final harvest is considered to be part of the project lifetime, as specified by the VCS, the VCS guidance for ARR and IFM rotational forestry projects applies. CAR 01/10 Recognizing that the project crediting period must reflect the project lifetime, as described above, when the crediting period is corrected to reflect the planned harvest (as noted in CAR 01/10), the VCS rule for ARR and IFM rotational forestry projects is required. The calculation of the maximum number of carbon credits to be assigned to the project (as defined above), exceeds the averaged carbon stock value across the proposed 30 year rotation period. This is not in conformance with the requirements outlined in Step 6 of the Guidance for AFOLU Projects.(CAR 09/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 01/10 CAR/OBS CAR 08/10: PICA shall clearly explain how aboveground live biomass was estimated in the baseline scenario. CAR 09/10: PICA shall calculate the maximum number of carbon credits to be assigned to the project following the VCS guidance for rotational forestry ARR projects (outlined in Step 6 of the VCS Guidance Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 42 for AFOLU Projects). OBS 04/10: PICA should correct the values presented in table 7 for average live tree biomass in the north and south strata. OBS 05/10: PICA should label all column headings in Table 15 on p.54 section 4.4 of the PDD. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 CAR 01/10: See findings above from 4.1.5 regarding the closure of CAR 01/10. CAR 08/10: Section 9 of the PDD was revised to accurately explain the baseline measurement process. The revised description reflects the findings from the field audit from interviews with baseline measurement team members. The revised section 9 of the PDD now clearly describes the assumptions founded in the baseline carbon stock estimates, and as such is in conformance with the VCS standard. CAR 09/10: In order to address CAR 09/10, the crediting period of the project has been increased to 42 years. Additionally, PICA submitted a revised version Doc 91, which includes the calculation of the maximum number of available credits to be earned by the project, following the guidance of the VCS, In cell AL54 of worksheet “ARACM1 exante Calcs” of Doc 91, the average carbon stock over the crediting period is calculated. The average carbon stock is based on the summed values from column AL which are derived in the Doc 90 in the worksheet titled “ARACM1 exante calcs”. Ex ante carbon stock estimates are based on biomass to DBH ratios obtained from the Morales 2000 thesis (see column C in the “ARACM1 exante calcs” sheet in Doc 90). In this column, the biomass equation from p.24 of the Morales 2000 thesis is applied to the estimated diameters of the trees based on the Marupa Growth Model and field studies. However, the use of the Morales biomass equations results in extremely high biomass values. At the culmination of the rubber tree plantation cycle, the total tree (as the Morales equation estimates total tree dry weight in kilograms and this is then converted to CO 2e for the entire project area) as 3,959,381 tCO2e. As there are 2,366.16 ha in the project area, this represents a total of 1,673.4 tCO2e per ha. This would then be 456.3 tC per ha, or approximately 912.6 t.d.m per ha (assuming 0.5 tC/t.d.m). When compared to other forest type values in the IPCC 2006 Guidelines for National GHG Inventories, Chapter 4 Forestry (see Table 4.7 on p.53), the biomass levels estimated for the proposed project activities are greater than any other forest type. It should be noted that the carbon stock values cannot be compared directly to those values in Table 4.7 of the IPCC report, as these values are for aboveground biomass (tonnes t.d.m. per ha); however, the comparison does serve as an indicator of the high estimated carbon stocks in this project relative to other forest types globally. Recognizing the high biomass estimates associated with the use of the Morales 2000, the ex ante estimates were validated against other known biomass stocks for rubber plantations. In order to validate the high ex ante estimates of carbon stocks within the project area, PICA produced the additional documentation numbers 110 – 120. Included in document 111 is a comparison from 5 different sources of additional studies of rubber plantations around the world. These studies found similar estimates of carbon stocks within rubber tree plantations. As additional evidence of validation of the use of the Morales equations, PICA compared the Morales allometric equations to 3 other known allometric equations (see Doc 110 and 111). This validation with the additional evidence found in similar rubber tree plantations around the world provides evidence to validate the high ex ante estimates within the PDD. OBS 04/10: PICA has corrected Table 7 in the revised PDD. OBS 05/10: PICA has labelled all table headings in Table 15 of the revised PDD. Conformance Yes No CAR 01/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 N/A Page 43 CAR 08/10 (Closed) CAR 09/10 (Closed) 4.4.3 Calculation of emissions in the baseline scenario (ex-ante estimate) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Baseline calculations were based on field inventory of the project sites conducted from December 2009 to January 2010. Field inventories were conducted by local workers and PICA employees, and field inventory data was reviewed by PICA employees or Winrock International (see Doc #37-42). The project area was stratified following the guidance in the AR-ACM0001 methodology (resulting in two strata (north and south) separated geographically, and representing distinct stratum). Sample plots represented complete management blocks (ranging from ~10 to 30 ha), where all trees within the block were measured. This data was then summarized and used to calculate average carbon stock values per hectare per stratum. Within sample plots, all remaining dead wood at the time of the baseline sampling was measured and calculated as aboveground live biomass (see CAR 07/10). During the field visit, the audit team confirmed that existing vegetated areas within sample plots, such as riparian areas, that were not cleared, were not included in baseline measurements. Baseline carbon stock estimates were then calculated on an area basis. As GHG estimates were calculated on a per area basis, the exclusion of vegetated areas within sample plots in baseline estimates is acceptable, as these areas were not included in ex ante or ex post estimates. However, these excluded areas are not articulated well within the PDD, or supporting documents. The project GHG emission estimates are based on the assumption that project area is calculated from planting density, rather than remotely sensed measurements or field based measurements. This is not clearly explained in the PDD or project documents. (CAR 10/10) During the field audit, PICA staff explained that project area was calculated based on actual planting densities of rubber trees at each farm. Following this method, areas that were not planted decrease the planting density on a per hectare density, and hence are excluded from the GHG emission estimates. Growth curves from the Marupa Growth Model were used to estimate carbon sequestration in the baseline scenario (see Table 6 in the PDD). Communications with Winrock International post-field audit confirmed that the data used to derive the Marupa Growth Model was sourced from the Recavarren P. 2007 Marupa plantation volume accumulation study in the Loreto Region. Winrock International informed the auditors that they obtained unpublished data from a study that was conducted for a previous project in Peru to estimate biomass accumulation in the baseline. The data used to model foregone growth in the baseline scenario was included in the Marupa Growth Model (Doc #53). Communications with Winrock International post-field audit confirmed that this data is unpublished, so validation of published data was not possible. During the field audit, PICA staff responsible for baseline scenario estimates, ex ante estimates, and ex post calculations demonstrated the calculation methodology used by the project to calculate GHG emissions associated with baseline and project activities. During these demonstrations, allometric equations obtained from Chave et al. (Doc #43) were confirmed. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 07/10 CAR/OBS CAR 10/10: PICA shall clearly explain how project area was calculated. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 See findings from 4.4.1 regarding the closure of CAR 07/10. The PDD has been revised to include section 4.3.2.4 Project area calculation and GHG emission estimates. This section states: “The planting areas listed in Table 4 Ex ante strata in the PD correspond to the project areas identified in the eligibility analysis. Areas were calculated using two different methods: • The first one was using GIS information specifically to establishing project boundary which corresponds to eligible area (see section 2.4, Step 1: Project boundary and eligibility of land, for detail explanation). • The area calculated by planting density was used in the whole ex ante GHG emissions estimations. This method was used given the available information from project’s plantations established during years 2007, 2008 and 2009, Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 44 which represent real values. The project area was calculated using this method with propose of calculating ex ante GHG sequestration estimates by rubber tree plantations. The use of this method allowed the exclusion of small vegetated areas within baseline boundaries, keeping conservative ex ante GHG sequestration estimates. During the field audit, discussions with the project proponent confirmed that planting density was used to calculate ex ante estimates, and GIS was used for baseline estimates. The differentiation between these two methods is also highlighted in section 1.4 of the revised PDD where it states: “The real or effective planted area corresponds to 2,252.23 hectares which is given by planting density of natural rubber plantations. This area excludes other vegetated areas within project boundary such as creeks, borders’ vegetation, and small spots of vegetation.” The methodology goes on to further clarify this point in section 1.17 where the use of GIS data for the delineation of the project boundary at the start of the project is further explained. Finally, section 2.4 of the revised PDD where the stratification of the project area is described. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 07/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS CAR 10/10 (Closed) 4.4.4 Calculation of emissions from project activities (ex-ante estimate) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 AR-ACM0001 requires that increased GHG emissions as a result of the implementation of the proposed project activity with the project boundary are calculated if determined to be significant (see section 5.2 of AR-ACM0001). In section 2.3 the PDD states: “Biomass burning will not occur as part of site preparation activities, therefore there is no need to account for CH 4 emissions in the project.” However, during the field visit interviews with farm managers, farm workers, project proponent, as well as visual inspection of the project areas confirmed that fire was used during site preparation activities (see also 4.4.1 above). Section 3.3.3.2 of the PDD also states: “Considering the limited combustible material in degraded lands, under the applicability condition of AR‐ACM0001 fire is not likely to be a major source of GHG emissions in the site preparation. Furthermore, as defined in the Management Plans, burning will not be applied as a part of site preparation activities, and non‐CO2 GHG emissions are assumed to be equal to zero.” This was repeated again on p. 51 of the PDD in section 4.3.2.3. Field visits to project sites, as well as interviews conducted during field visits confirmed that these statements regarding site preparation activities were inaccurate. Field visits to project areas confirmed that burning was utilized as part of project site-preparation at Lost Patos farm as well as at Palmeras. (CAR 11/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 11/10: PICA shall accurately describe site-preparation activities within the PDD. CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 As noted in 4.4.1 above, regarding the closure of CAR 07/10, the PDD now clearly describes the site-preparation activities. The PDD is now in conformance with this requirement. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 11/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS 4.4.5 Calculation of emissions reductions or avoided emissions due to the project (ex-ante estimate) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 During the field audit, PICA staff described the ex ante estimation methodology. Chronosequence sampling methods were used to develop a model to estimate DBH in project area plantations. Growth within the project area was estimated using the Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 45 Morales equations. PICA staff, led by Luis Alejandro Mejia Caniz sampled plots in plantations planted in 1999, 2001, 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2007. Plot data was extrapolated using linear regression to estimate incremental diameter growth for a 30 year period. Diameter estimates were then input into a carbon fixation equation developed in Guatemala for Hevea brasiliensis. This equation came from Morales 2000 (Doc #45), and was confirmed by the audit team during the field visit. The Morales equation was then used to calculate biomass, based on estimated average diameters (estimated from sample plots in project owned plantations in the region). Biomass was converted to carbon dioxide equivalent in the PDD Final Estimation document included in Annex N (Doc #56). Within the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL Removals Project Emissions Net Removals LK.xlsx (Doc #55), ∆Ct is calculated in column G of worksheet “Net GHG anthro.removals”. These values are calculated from the sum of column H in worksheet “Change SOC pool” and column C in worksheet “Sum changes in project”. Column C in worksheet “Sum changes in project” is calculated in column I in worksheet “Ex ante project removals” or spreadsheet PDD Final Estimation (Doc #56). However, the worksheet “Ex ante project removals” does not appear to separate the project area into strata, as defined in the PDD. Equation 14 of AR-ACM0001 requires that ∆Ct is calculated by summing the individual pools in each stratum, see equation 14 below: It is not clear how the two strata are summed in the ex ante calculations to estimate ex ante changes in carbon stocks. (CAR 12/10) Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 12/10: PICA shall follow AR-ACM0001 guidance for the calculation of ex ante carbon stock changes. CAR/OBS Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 As part of the evidence submitted to RA to close the open CARs, all annexes were included. The Project Proponent included revised Doc #90, which presents a clear estimation of ex ante carbon stock changes (though please note those findings relevant to CAR 09/10). Furthermore, Doc 88 has been revised to correctly estimate the change in soil carbon in column H of the worksheet “change SOC pool”. However, many documents have not been revised to reflect the changed crediting period. For example, worksheet “schedule” in Doc 88 outlines a 30 year schedule, which is consistent with the 42 year crediting period. It is clear that many of the annexes have been revised at multiple states, which has resulted in a great deal of inconsistencies between the annexes. As such, a great deal of confusion is created by the many varying values, and varying temporal lengths of calculation spreadsheets. (OBS 08/10) The submission of multiple spreadsheets used to calculate the carbon emissions with varying timelines and final carbon stock change estimates is very confusing. As noted above, Doc #90 presents a calculation method where identified carbon pools are summed to estimate ex ante carbon sequestration, and as such the project is in conformance with the methodology. (OBS 08/10) PICA should assure that all annexes are consistent, and follow the same project crediting period. documents included in Annex N should be updated prior to Verification to avoid potential confusion. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 12/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS OBS 08/10 Specifically, those 4.4.6 Calculation of emissions from leakage (ex-ante estimate) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 As cattle grazing activities were identified in the PDD as the dominant land use, the restriction of the leakage analysis to grazing activities is appropriate. The PDD assumes that there are not leakage activities resulting from the displacement of cattle from project activities, as a majority of the cattle were slaughtered (see cattle sales receipts from Concepcion and Palmeras farms included in Annex D). The PICA leakage assessment provides a detailed description of the leakage calculation, and describes a stakeholder interview that was used to verify the sale of cattle to slaughter (see footnote 2 on p.1 of the PICA leakage assessment). Landowner statements confirming the sale/receipt of cattle were included in annexed documents. The PICA leakage assessment concluded: Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 46 “As shown in Table 2, in no farm does the area required to sustain the grazing activities exceed the area of the receiving parcel. The methodology allows the assumption that the displacement of grazing animals to these parcels is zero.” Grazing activities were calculated following the Version 02 of the A/R Methodological tool 09 “Estimation of GHG emissions related to displacement of grazing activities in A/R CDM project activity”. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised 4.4.7 Calculation of net VCUs to be issued (ex-ante estimate) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Table 15 of section 4.4 of the PDD shows the net calculation of estimated cumulative anthropogenic GHG removals. As mentioned in the PDD, it is assumed that emissions from the baseline carbon pools are instantaneously released into the atmosphere. This is reflected in the first 7 rows of table 15 where the estimate baseline removals are accounted for. It should be noted that table 15 comes from the spreadsheet Calculation of BSL removals, Project Emissions, Net Removal (Doc #55) in Annex N. In this spreadsheet the total baseline removals are estimated in column AH as a sum of carbon stocks in the two project strata. In column AH these values are labelled as a total baseline GHG removal; however, these values are labelled as “net GHG removals” in Table 15. It is not clear how these values are net values, and if in fact they do represent net values, it is not clear why net values are used instead of total baseline values. (OBS 06/10) Conformance Yes No N/A OBS 06/10: PICA should clarify why net values for baseline removals are included in table 15 of section 4.4 CAR/OBS of the PDD. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 Carbon calculation spread sheets and corresponding tables have been revised within the additional documented submitted following the issuance of the Draft Validation Report. Furthermore, the revised documentation now clearly articulates how the average carbon stock is calculated to estimate the maximum number of VCUs to be issued corresponding proposed project activities. As noted in 4.4.2, the project documents now account for rotational forestry carbon stock losses through the averaging of carbon stocks across the rotation period. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.4.8 The assumptions made for estimating GHG emission reductions Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The PDD explains assumptions used for estimating GHG emissions. The two primary assumptions are those incorporated in the financial assessment as part of the additionality argument, and those incorporated in the leakage assessment. Section 4.3 of the PDD states: “In none of the farms receiving grazing animals does the area required to sustain grazing activities exceed the total area of the receiving parcel. Therefore, the methodology allows the assumption that displacement of animals to these parcels does not result in leakage. Leakage due to grazing will be monitored ex post according to the monitoring plan.” Additionally, the project assumes that emissions related to site preparation result in an instantaneous release of baseline carbon stocks. Section 4.3.2.3 of the PDD states: “The simplified default approach to estimation of emissions due to site preparation is applied. Under this approach, all existing vegetation is considered to be instantaneously oxidized at the time of site preparation. Under the instant oxidation assumption, the CO2 emissions for each stratum are given by: ” This assumption is conservative, however it is not clear if the omission of CH4 related to site preparation activities is appropriate Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 47 based on field audit observations (see 4.4.4 above). Conformance Yes No CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised N/A 4.4.9 Uncertainties Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The project uses multiple measures to address uncertainty associated with project activities and GHG calculations. Specifically for GHG calculations, PICA employs a stratification technique following the guidance of AR-ACM0001. In order to address future financial uncertainties, PICA recognizes that carbon is only one of multiple sources of revenue associated with project activities. The dominant source of revenue will be in the sale of rubber, as well as timber following the reduction in rubber production. The sale of carbon credits helps ensure that the project meets the 12% benchmark rate of return established by investors (benchmark based on literature values confirmed during the field audit). By diversifying the financial sources of revenue for the project activities, PICA helps ensure project stability, and the likelihood that the project will not fail during the proposed 20 year VCS crediting period, as well as the proposed 30 project lifetime. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.5 Environmental Impact The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.5): Requirements for and approval of an Environmental Impact Assessment (if applicable) The sufficient documentation of environmental impact should be summarised in this section. 4.5.1 Requirements for and approval of an Environmental Impact Assessment (if applicable) Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 During the field visit, audit team interviewed the National Protected Areas Council (CONAP) representatives in both north and south sites. They mentioned that according to the National Law, it is necessary to submit an environmental impact assessment document to the Environmental Ministry (MARN) and CONAP if the project area is within a protected area. In this case, only Río Frío Farm is located near, but not within, two National Parks: Parque Nacional Río Dulce, and Reserva de Manantiales Cerro San Gil, both in Izabal, Guatemala (north site). National regulations (Government Accord 431-2007) states that PICA had to submit the correspondent environmental instrument depending on the kind of project, in this case an Environmental Impact Assessment for the new rubber plantations, and an Environmental Diagnostic for the older ones. The objective of both is to establish the impacts and a plan to mitigate those. In the Annex C Environmental Impact Assessment, PICA shows all the environmental instruments used to meet the VCS requirement. All EIAs were written in the official template design by MARN (low environmental impact template). All the projects of PICA are considered by MARN as Code 0111 according to an internal list (agricultural and silvicultural activities). In this document, PICA considers all the potential impacts to biodiversity, soil, water, and humans for example waste management and generation, transportation, noise, energy, pesticides, cultural values, others. A plan was written to mitigate these impacts. Representatives of MARN in both sites mentioned that PICA has submitted all the documents, some of them are still under revision since certain minor details are missing. All of the environmental instruments of south projects are now approved. It is expected that the documents of north site will be approved soon. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.5.2 Comments by stakeholders The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007 Validation Template, Section 3.6): Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 48 As part of the planning process for the project, PICA hosted various stakeholder consultations in December of 2009, with communities adjacent to the project areas. These meetings include the sharing of information about the projects, as well as offered stakeholders the opportunity to provide feedback on the project activities. These meetings were recorded and reviewed by facilitators to create the Stakeholder Communication Strategy document. During the field audit, photographs and video of these meetings was provided to the auditors by PICA. Additional interviews with PICA staff during the field audit confirmed the stakeholder consultation process described in the PDD. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR/OBS No CAR or OBS raised. 4.5.3 Negative environmental and socio-economic impacts of the project. The conclusions regarding (as required by VCS 2007.1 section 3.4): AFOLU projects potential negative environmental and socio-economic impacts and mitigation steps prior to generating Voluntary Carbon Units (VCUs). Findings from Audit on 30 JUNE 2010 The PDD does not acknowledge any negative environmental or socio-economic impacts. On the contrary the PDD notes that the project is expected to have a net positive impact on the environment and surrounding population. The PDD does not expand on what these positive impacts will be. (OBS 07/10). During the field audit, discussions with farm managers and farm employees identified that increased jobs as a result of project activities are likely, and rubber tapper positions are a skilled trade that provide adequate salaries and stable positions. In addition, PICA is currently in the process of certifying the project area under the FSC certification. Conformance Yes No N/A OBS 07/10: PICA should describe the “net positive impact on the environment and on the surrounding CAR/OBS population” described in section 5 of the PDD. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 The PDD has revised section 5 to now state: “The project is expected to have a net positive impact on the environment given the change of 2,366.16 from pasture to natural rubber tree plantations; this also implies recovery of degraded soil. Also the project area will function as a buffer zone to rivers and natural reserve; and have a positive impact on the surrounding population, mainly when providing a long-term job, legal benefits, training, education, and health benefits. The specific positive impacts identified are: o Geology: The geology of the site will not be affected, because the activity has no direct action in their construction and operation activities of the movement of land masses. However, it notes that the activity will have a positive impact, since reforestation of the area to some extent mitigates the negative impacts of flooding in the area. o Soils: It is expected that the revegetation of the site allows an enrichment of the soil, and mitigates the effects of erosion by wind and water. o Air: This project ensures the fixation of carbon dioxide, which is an activity contributing to mitigation of climate change. o Land Use: The project changes the current land use of pasture which has resulted in degradation of the project area to reforestation which will result in rehabilitation of the area o Hydrology: Forest cover is to ensure water recharge areas, so that will be a positive impact. o Noise: The project activities do not produce sounds outside the 60 decibel (speaking volume). o Landscape: The project will have a high positive impact on the landscape as vegetation is recovered” The PDD now clearly outlines the net positive impacts anticipated from project activities. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 49 Conformance CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Yes No CAR or OBS raised. No N/A Page 50 5 VCS Risk Assessment 5.1 Risk factors applicable to all project types Self Assessment Risk Rating Note: Risk factors are determined through a qualitative analysis conducted, following the guidance of the VCS Tool for Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination, combined with the 13 April 2010 VCS Program Update. Evidence supporting the qualitative assessment must be provided by the project proponent. Risk Factor Risk of unclear land tenure and Low potential for disputes Risk of financial failure Low Risk of technical failure Low Risk of management failure Low Risk of rising land opp. costs Low causing reversal of sequestration/protection Risk of political instability Low Risk of social instability Medium Risk of devastating fire Low Risk of attacks pest and Doc. No. C-56 May2010 disease Low Findings from 30 June 2010 OBS/CAR The farms are privately owned, or are leased by PICA under long-term 50 year contracts. Additionally, a 13 year GHG agreements exist with land owners. However these contracts do not exist for the full length of the project crediting period. PICA is the largest processor and exporter of rubber and latex in Guatemala, and has extensive experience managing finances. Furthermore, PICA has performed financial analysis on project activity over the project crediting period that show stability within the project. PICA is working with contracted professionals, and has a strong foundational knowledge of rubber plantation production in the region. PICA has extensive experience in rubber production and has a management plans for several of the farms within the project area. The PDD describes the alternative landuse of pastureland is unlikely to compete financially with the returns from the sale of rubber. Additionally, the substantial upfront investment in rubber plantations binds land owners to maintain plantations in order to pay off establishment costs. The PDD cites multiple studies indicating increased stability within Guatemala relative to other Latin America countries. Guatemala has significant security problems, and comparative rankings to other countries show that Guatemala has a high social instability risk. PICA recognizes these risks and proposes an increased medium risk level to reflect these findings. Fire is an infrequent disturbance in the region, and the PDD includes fire prevention tactics. Plantation forestry increases the risk of pest and disease attacks due to decreased biological diversity and subsequent resiliency. However, common pests and fungi in rubber tree plantations in the area are well known, and preventative actions to mitigate these CAR 13/10 Page 51 No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised Risk of extreme weather Medium events (e.g. floods, drought, winds) Geological risk (e.g. volcanoes, Low earthquakes, landslides) risks are under way. Additionally, as the loss of trees represents an additional financial loss to project proponents (from loss of rubber production), it is likely that preventative measures discussed in the PDD will be applied. PICA recognizes that hurricanes pose a potential risk to rubber tree plantations, and has reflected this through the increased risk rating associated with risk of extreme weather. The justification of low geologic risk in the PDD focuses on earthquakes, which may be a low risk in the region. However, volcanic eruptions and landslides on steep slopes during heavy rains are potential risks to project areas. No CAR or OBS raised CAR 14/10 Summary of findings and assessment of risk rating Generally the risk ratings provided by PICA were accurate, with the exception of those self risk ratings for Risk of unclear land tenure, and the Geologic risks. CAR/OBS: CAR 13/10: PICA shall increase the risk of unclear land tenure to medium to account for the lack of a GHG agreement for the full length of the project crediting period. CAR 14/10: PICA shall reflect the increased risk in the region from volcanic eruptions and landslides, or provide evidence to justify the low risk rating. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 Since there are now new contracts between parties (project proponent and owner of the land) where it is stated that they agree duties and responsibilities regarding GHG removals and ownership of the land, CAR 13/10 is no longer applicable. Additionally, PICA demonstrated through maps that the risk of landslides and volcano activity is low. These maps are part of two independent technical studies performed by IARNA (Environmental and Natural Resources Institute) and MAGA (Agricultural Ministry). According to the methodology of these studies, only in a part of one of the farms (north of Asunción) there is a medium threat of occurrence of landslides, so project proponents consider that there is a low risk. Audit team agrees with this risk rating. This closes CAR 14/10. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 13/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS CAR 14/10 (Closed) Risk factors applicable to ARR projects Risk Factor Project longevity/ Commitment period Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Self Assessment Risk Rating 5.2 Medium Findings from 30 June 2010 OBS/CAR The VCS Tool for AFOLU NonPermanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination defines a long term commitment period as “projects with rotation periods of more than 25 years and a commitment to replant, and those with primarily a forest rotation and habitat emphasis”. Similarly, the tool describes CAR 15/10: If PICA does not account for harvesting in carbon calculations, PICA shall raise the risk rating associated with project longevity to high to reflect the definitions of commitment periods in the VCS Tool for AFOLU NonPermanence Risk Analysis and Page 52 Low Ownership type and user rights Low Technical capability Low Financial capacity Medium Management capacity project developer Doc. No. C-56 May2010 of medium-term commitment periods as “projects with rotation periods of more than 25 years, but no commitment to replant”. This project has a 30 year rotation period with a commitment to replant, however forest restoration and habitat emphasis are not the primary focus of project activities. The primary focus of the afforestation project is the production of rubber. Recognizing the medium risk rating associated with project longevity does not accurately reflect the impermanemce of the credits issued related to project activities. The current version of the PDD does not accurately reflect the project lifetime (see CAR 01/10) in the project crediting period. Recognizing that the current project crediting period does not include the planned harvest at year 30 (see CAR 09/10), the current version of the PDD describes a significant commitment period risk, as the effects of the planned timber harvest are not included within the carbon calculations (see CAR 09/10). (CAR 15/10) The land is privately owned, however during field visits to Los Patos, auditors learned that PICA leased the land from Ingenio Magdalena S.A. The VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination states that “rented or tenant-operated land” must use a medium risk rating. As not all project areas are owned by the project proponent, the low risk rating does not reflect the VCS defined risk definitions. (CAR 16/10) During the field audit PICA demonstrated their technical capacity to conduct project activities as outlined in the PDD. PICA has performed a financial analysis to identify financial risks, and demonstrate financial capacity to conduct project activities. The risk rating associated with management capacity is unclear. The PDD states “Substantial previous project experience (<5 projects) with on-site management team”. This is not one of the categories defined in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. It is unclear if this is meant to be “Substantial previous project experience (≥5 projects) with onsite management team” in which case the risk rating would be low; or if this is meant Page 53 Buffer Determination. CAR 16/10 No CAR or OBS raised No CAR or OBS raised CAR 17/10 to be “Limited project experience (<5 projects) with on site management team”, in which case the risk rating would be medium. (CAR 17/10) Low The financial analysis conducted by PICA No CAR or OBS raised demonstrates the future income associated with the sale of carbon credits as well as the sale of latex and rubber Future income from the plantations. Low Section 2.4 of the PDD describes the No CAR or OBS raised likelihood of alternative land uses becoming more financially attractive than the project activities. It is unlikely that other land uses will become more Future/current opportunity financially viable following the costs establishment of rubber plantations. Low PICA outlined in the statement of intent its No CAR or OBS raised endorsement of the carbon project, and the promotion of sustainable rubber Endorsement of project production. Summary of findings and assessment of risk rating See findings specific to risk ratings above. CAR/OBS: CAR 15/10: If PICA does not account for harvesting in carbon calculations, PICA shall raise the risk rating associated with project longevity to high to reflect the definitions of commitment periods in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. CAR 16/10: PICA shall increase the risk rating associated with ownership type to medium to reflect the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination definition for rented lands. CAR 17/10: PICA shall amend the risk rating associated with management capacity of project developer to reflect the definitions used in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 CAR 15/10: As the crediting period has been increased to 42 years, including a 36 year rotation within the rubber tree plantations, as well as a commitment to replant, this CAR is no longer applicable. CAR 16/10: PICA increased the risk to medium since Los Patos and Asunción are leased to Ingenio Magdalena S.A. The audit team agrees with the increased risk assessment, and as such this CAR is closed. CAR 17/10: The revised PDD now states: “Substantial previous project experience (≥ 5 projects) with on-site management team” This now reflects the categories defined in the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination. Furthermore, PICA has included additional evidence of the management experience with carbon measurement and quantification in Docs #106-109. With the clarified text in the PDD and additional evidence as proof of the teams carbon quantification skills, combined with the evidence of PICA’s management experience reviewed during the field audit, the audit team has obtained enough evidence to assure that PICA is in conformance with this requirement, and “low” is an appropriate risk rating for this category. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 15/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 54 CAR 16/10 (Closed) CAR 17/10 (Closed) 5.2.1 Default buffer withholding percentages for ARR projects Rating/Amount Findings from 30 June 2010 Self Assessment Risk Class Low (note this The 13April2010 VCS Program Update included the following changes to has been raised the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer to medium in Determination: the final report, see findings “When determining the overall non-permanence risk rating for the project, from 22 verifiers shall weigh all the risk factors together. However, certain risks may September be significant enough that their individual rating determines the project’s 2010 below) overall risk rating, no matter what the project scored on other risk dimensions.” Was changed to; “When determining the overall non-permanence risk classification, the risk factor with the highest rating determines the project’s overall risk class and shall be used to determine the required buffer withholding percentage.” Self Assessment Buffer 20% Withholding Percentage As written, the PDD uses a generalized average self risk rating of “low” which is no longer appropriate following the changes in the 13April2010 Program Update (CAR 18/10). Recognizing the 13April2010 Program Update, and CAR 15/10 from this report, the appropriate risk rating category for this project is “high”. The 13April2010 VCS Program Update includes the following changes to the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination: “Table [x] below provides the default buffer withholding ranges for [x] projects associated with low, medium and high non-permanence risk classes. Verifiers must use their expert judgment to determine the appropriate withholding percentage within each range based on whether the project is deemed to be at the low, medium or high end of a given risk class. Was changed to; Table [x] below provides the default buffer percentage ranges for [x] projects associated with low, medium and high non-permanence risk classes. The required buffer withholding percentage shall be the maximum percentage in the buffer range for the determined risk class, unless justification for a lower withholding percentage can be demonstrated.” Currently the PDD does not include specific justification for a lower buffer determination as noted in the last sentence in the revised language following the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. Without the justification for a lower buffer determination, the updated VCS standard states that the maximum percentage in the buffer range shall be used. Following CAR 15/10, a change to high risk rating would mandate a 60% buffer determination if no justification for a decreased buffer determination is provided. However, if evidence to justify a lower buffer contribution is provided the buffer contribution can be reduced to a minimum of 40% following the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. (CAR 19/10) CAR/OBS: CAR 15/10 Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 55 CAR 18/10: PICA shall determine the self risk rating following the guidance of the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. CAR 19/10: PICA shall determine the buffer contribution following the guidance of the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. Findings from Audit on 22 September 2010 CAR 15/10: See findings from 5.2 above regarding the closure of CAR 15/10 CAR 18/10: The revised PDD now states in Section 1.11 on p.9: “Based on both the general risk and the project specific risk analyses performed below, the project falls into the “medium” risk category. In the case of ARR projects under the VCS, the buffer requirement for a project with a “medium” risk category rating is 20-40% of issued credits. In terms of project specific risks, the majority of the risk factors have a “low” risk rating. This is also true for “general” risks that apply to all AFOLU projects. For these reasons, a 20% buffer is applied to the project.” As the highest identified risk within the self assessment is identified as medium, this is now in conformance with the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. CAR 19/10: As noted in the evidence submitted to close CAR 18/10, the PDD has been revised to conform to the 13April2010 VCS Program Update. In the revised PDD self risk assessment in section 1.11, 4 out of 19 self assessment risk categories are identified as medium. PICA has identified efforts to help mitigate these risks, and reduce the chance of their effect on the project. For example, on p.12, the reduced buffer contribution associated with the medium risk classification for risk of extreme weather events is justified based on the return intervals of Class 5 hurricanes (the most likely extreme natural disturbance) in relation to the project crediting period. Furthermore, the reduced buffer contribution associated with the medium risk rating for risk of social instability is justified through the projects commitment to FSC certification and rural location. The medium risk associated with long-term commitment to harvesting is mitigated through a clear dedication to replant project areas following the final harvest. The clear dedication to replant was supported by findings during the field audit where interviews with farm managers found that all farms intended to replant following the harvest of rubber trees. This was further supported by a logical argument presented by the Project Proponents, who highlighted that once the infrastructure and capacity was established within the farms to produce rubber, it was not financially prudent to not replant, as the significant investment in building infrastructure and capacity would be lost. This was further supported with interviews with farm workers who described the training required to gain the necessary skills to tap rubber trees, representing a significant investment (multiple years) in training workers as part of capacity building required to establish new rubber plantations. The risk associated with private land is mitigated through demonstrated long-term leases with land owners, as well as contracts for the clear ownership of GHG rights. Recognizing this, a self assessment risk of 20% is justified, and is appropriate given the level of risk and mitigation effort identified. Conformance Yes No N/A CAR 15/10 (Closed) CAR/OBS CAR 18/10 (Closed) CAR 19/10 (Closed) Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 56 6 Validation Conclusion Summary from Final Report The revised documents submitted to Rainforest Alliance for review have resulted in the closure of 17 of the 19 open CARs from the Draft Report. Two CARs remained open. One of these CARs was regarding the extremely high biomass estimates used to set the maximum number of credits issued, as this project is a rotational forestry ARR project, and as such is subject to the VCS IFM and ARR rotational forestry requirements. Biomass equations from Morales 2000 were used in combination with local diameter growth studies to estimate expected biomass accumulation. During the review of the project documents, the audit team found that ex ante biomass estimates were extremely high relative to other global forest types. As such, the audit team requested that the Project Proponent provide additional evidence to justify the biomass estimates used to set the maximum amount of allowable credits (see Doc 90 and 91). In order to provide evidence to support the use of the Morales equations, PICA provided the audit team with Documents 110 – 120. Review of these documents showed that the use of the ex ante carbon stock estimates are within the range of known carbon stock estimates for rubber tree plantations globally. Furthermore, PICA also provided validation of the use of the Morales equations and estimate diameter growth predictions. In addition to the documentation supporting the biomass and carbon stock estimates, PICA also submitted a revised PDD with added clarification on the delineation of the project area. The audit team found the additional documentation submitted sufficient to close all open CARs. The audit team would like to note that as numerous revisions have been made to the PDD and supporting documents, multiple minor inconsistencies exist within the revised documents. These inconsistencies make tracking changes through the supporting documents difficult. The Project Proponent should be aware of this issue, and ensure that all documents reflect the updates made to the revised PDD prior to project verification (see OBS 08/10). Summary from Draft Report The PICA project presents an approach to utilize the sale of carbon credits to fund sustainable management of rubber tree plantations in Guatemala. Currently the PDD and supporting documents are not in conformance with the VCS 2007.1 standard. Most notably, the carbon calculations within the project do not account for the effects of planned harvests at the end of the 30 year project lifetime. As noted in the findings above, the project crediting period must reflect the project lifetime (see CAR 01/10). This leads to compounding issues within the project documents, as the project crediting period is assumed to be restricted to the 20 year crediting period which does not include the planned harvest of rubber trees at year 30. Conversations with the VCS confirmed that this is not in conformance with the VCS requirements for ARR rotational forestry projects. The failure to follow VCS guidance results in an over-estimation of the number of carbon credits anticipated to be earned from project activities. This is then further compounded in the additionality argument. The additionality argument of the “Promoting Sustainable Development through Natural Rubber Tree Plantations in Guatemala” is founded on the calculations within the financial analysis spreadsheets. The financial calculations show that the sale of estimated number of carbon credits from project activities results in an increase in the investment return from project activities. This increase makes the project profitable enough to exceed the required rate of return for project investors. Hence, without the sale of carbon credits, the project would not meet the required rate of return for investment, and hence would not be funded. However, as the number of carbon credits that this argument is based on is over-estimated, the financial analysis will need to be re-calculated with an adjusted number of carbon credits estimated following the requirements of the VCS 2007.1 standard. The validation report describes numerous material discrepancies where the project is not in conformance with the VCS 2007.1 standard. The proposed project cannot be validated until the identified corrective action requests (CARs) within this report have been addressed. Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 57 Appendix A: Company Details 6.1 Contacts Primary Contact for Coordination with SmartWood Primary Contact, Position: Ing. Glenda Lee, Coordinadora de Econegocios Address: 7a. Avenida 7-33 Zona 9, Guatemala City, Guatemala Tel/Fax/Email: (502) 2279-9000/ glee@occidente.corp.gt Billing Contact Contact, Position: Same as above Address: Same as above Tel/Fax/Email: Same as above 6.2 On-line Certification Contact Note: upon Validation, the SmartWood web site posts and maintains Customer Fact Sheets for companies with the information in the table below at http://www.rainforest-alliance.org/climate.cfm?id=international_standards Field Text for Customer Fact Sheet Has this Info Changed? Contact, Title: Ing. Glenda Lee, Coordinadora de Econegocios Yes No Address: 7a. Avenida 7-33 Zona 9, Guatemala City, Guatemala Yes No Tel/Fax/Email/Website: (502) 2279-9000/ glee@occidente.corp.gt Yes No Products/Descriptions: N/A Yes No --End-- Doc. No. C-56 May2010 Page 58