International Journal of E-Business Development (IJED) Broadband Penetration in Countries Around the World Kevin Curran, Kyle Poland Intelligent Systems Research Centre Faculty of Computing and Engineering, University of Ulster, Northern Ireland, UK kj.curran@ulster.ac.uk Abstract-Broadband penetration in countries around the world varies immensely between different regions. More economically developed regions (MEDC’s) such as North America and Western Europe are the leaders of broadband penetration while less economically developed regions (LEDC’s) such as Asia and Africa are lagging behind the rest of the world. Delivering affordable, reliable broadband to less developed regions will help bridge the digital divide and help these regions to become stronger, more competitive and more prepared for continued growth in the years to come. This paper aims to show the differences in broadband penetration between the different regions around the world, the benefits brought to countries by the development of the broadband infrastructure and what strategies countries are undertaking to improve that infrastructure. Keywords-Broadband, mobile, Internet, economics I. INTRODUCTION Broadband can be defined in many ways, but it is generally understood to be a service that enables reliable, high-speed transfer of data, voice and video over the Internet. The connectivity provided by broadband is an essential ingredient in a larger effort to make ICT resources available, affordable and reliable for individuals and businesses worldwide. Governments around the world are increasingly viewing broadband as the “fourth utility” alongside water, heating and electricity [11]. A fast Internet connection is now seen by most of the public as an essential service, as indispensable as electricity, gas and water. Broadband Penetration around the world varies greatly between different regions, MEDC’s like North America have a connection rate of 174.9 million people compared to just 24.4 million for the entire continent of Africa and 42.4 million people connected for the Middle East region, Through different quantitative research and empirical analyses broadband has been proven to support GDP growth and many other economic benefits in both developed and developing economies. Realizing the importance of broadband and all the benefits it brings, countries from all regions are undertaking different strategies and are committing recourses to finding solutions to improve their level of connectivity and bring affordable and reliable broadband to even the remotest parts of their nations [2]. Broadband penetration into countries has accelerated with improved infrastructure and governmental policies nurturing broadband penetration and service quality. The total internet users grew from 360 million users in December 2000 to 1.966 billion June 2010 [4]. This represents a global broadband penetration of 28.7% of the human race. This growth is 34 444.8 % in 10 years. Broadband penetration in Asia as a whole is the largest user base with current statistics estimating at 825,094,396 users [4]. However North America has the highest broadband penetration per population percentage at 77.4% in comparison the lowest population percent penetration was Africa at 10.9% though it registered the highest growth from 2000 – 2010. According to World Stats [4], the total internet user percentage per region is Asia 43.0%, Europe 24.2%, North America 13.5%, Latin America/Caribbean 10.4%, Africa 5.6%, Middle East 3.2% and Oceania/Australia 1.1%. In some countries with high broadband penetration, we are seeing movement from different broadband bit-streams to other newer bit-streams for example in Finland traditional DSL home connections are down but mobile “3G” broadband has seen an increase showing different consumer needs affecting the type of adoption chosen by users [1]. II. GLOBAL BROADBAND PENETRATION The Asian market is expected to continue to grow. Growth in China however may be slower as the Chinese alphabet contains more than 6000 letters and is so far removed from all other western languages such as French and Spanish, that this would present a potential barrier to its adoption [3]. Europe is seeing rises in mobile broadband even in countries that have seen a decline in fixed connections (Finland) with sales of smart phones rising, the mobile broadband market will perhaps become an important area for user adoption of broadband [1]. High competition levels can lead to high penetration ratios and particularly only the competition in the access market could guarantee a long term growth of high quality broadband services [6]. In anticompetitive markets such as dominant in poorer countries, poor penetration levels are often the result. This is because there is a low number of service providers and competitive pricing does not occur. More than 1 billion broadband subscriptions now exist worldwide with that number expected to triple by 2013. However, a deep “digital divide” separates the developing world from developed regions such as Western Europe. According to the global technical standard-setting body for telecommunication services (ITU), the broadband penetration rate in developed economies is 23%, compared to a mere 4% in developing economies and just 25% if China is excluded. The gap is widest for mobile broadband penetration, which is nearly 39% in developed economies and only 3% in developing economies. Broadband penetration is increasing worldwide, but growth rates are in general much higher in developed economies. For example, Eastern Europe added 19.5 IJED Vol. 1 Iss. 1, PP. 34-37, Nov. 2011 c World Academic Publishing ○ International Journal of E-Business Development (IJED) million broadband subscribers between 2005 and 2008. During the same period, African countries added 2.4 million broadband subscribers, bringing market penetration up but only to 0.36% [1]. Region Africa China Rest of Asia Eastern Europe Latin America Middle East US & Canada Western Europe Total Fixed & Wireless Broadband Subscribers (million) 24 103 292 55 62 42 174 262 1014 Market Penetration Rate (per 100 population) 2.4 7.7 12.0 16.2 10.8 13.4 51.4 64.3 15.0 Figure 1: Broadband Subscribers and Penetration Rate The penetration rate and levels achieved by the top 30 countries from around the world and the correlation between connectivity and GDP (Gross Domestic Product) demonstrates that the global leader of broadband connectivity is now the Netherlands and Denmark with a penetration rate of 37.1 inhabitants out of 100 connected. In comparison to figure 1 which identified that Iceland was the global leader with a connection rate of 27 out of 100, this shows the progression and widespread availability of broadband as a service across the developed nations. In 4 years, the peak connection rate has increased by a full 10 points. Countries such as Ireland, Czech Republic, Hungry and Poland are still lagging behind the global average. In 4 years, this has now increased to 23 out of every 100 inhabitants. Ireland has a connection rate of 19 out of every 100 which is an increase on figure 1 in which Ireland had only 9 out of every 100 inhabitants connected. This trend continues with other nations as well with; The Czech Republic increasing its penetration rate from just 6 out of every 100 inhabitants from figure 1, to 12.9 out of every 100 inhabitants, this is a doubling of the connection rate in just 4 years. Poland’s connection rate in figure 1 was only 3 per 100 inhabitants but has more than quadrupled to just over 12 per 100 inhabitants connected. After 4 years, we can see that broadband penetration across all countries shown has increased. The average broadband connection is now 23 out of every 100 inhabitants where previously it had been only 12 out of every 100 inhabitants connected. There are no nations however from the African continent in the top 30 but there are 2 countries from south/Latin America; Mexico and Chile. Mexico and Chile are the only nations from south/Latin America to be in the top 30. This illustrates that in 4 years the progression of the LEDC’s in developing their broadband infrastructure and availability. However Japan and South Korea are the only nations from Asia in the top 30, which stipulates that although the developing nations are improving their broadband connectivity there is still a deep divide between MEDC’s and LEDC’s connections rates [4]. Broadband in the UK however is now available on nearly every copper telephone line in the UK however 14% of residential broadband connections are currently operating below the 2Mbit/s speed that government wishes to make IJED Vol. 1 Iss. 1, PP. 34-37, Nov. 2011 c World Academic Publishing ○ available to virtually all homes by 2015. OFCOM expect the number of sub-2Mbit/s connections to fall over the coming year as customers upgrade to new technologies and resolve inhome wiring issues that are affecting the speed of their connection [5]. Superfast broadband networks (offering speed of over 24Mbit/s) now pass 58% of UK premises and BT plans to reach two-thirds of UK premises by the end of 2015. On average, residential fixed broadband customers are using 17GB of data per month. This figure ranges from 10GB to 40GB between operators. Data from the London Internet Exchange shows that traffic over its network routers, which interconnect the UK's Internet Service Providers (ISPs), has increased seven fold in the past five years. Virgin Media, BT and others are already investing in new technologies to increase the capacity of broadband access networks; BT plans to introduce technology in 2012 that will deliver up to 80Mbit/s over copper lines and 300Mbit/s over fibre, Virgin has demonstrated 1Gbit/s speeds on its cable network. In mobile, Ofcom plans to auction radio spectrum in 2012 that will enable the deployment of 'Long Term Evolution' (LTE) next-generation wireless technologies which will help meet growing capacity demands. III. BENEFITS OF BROADBAND Quantitative research and empirical analyses studies of developed nations have again and again established that broadband networks and broadband connectivity drive economic growth and development, in addition to providing a platform for addressing social issues like health care and education [8, 9, 10]. In an investigation by the World Bank it was found that in less developed economies, every 10 percent increase in broadband penetration accelerates economic growth by approximately 1.38 percentage points which are more than the increase of 1.21 percentage points for more developed economies as shown in figure 2. Countries in the top tier of broadband penetration have displayed a 2 percent higher GDP growth than the countries in the bottom tier [7]. Alongside its direct and positive impact on GDP, quantitative research has continually shown that increased broadband penetration leads to significant job growth. Figure 2: Growth Impact of Telecommunications It is cautiously estimated that increasing broadband penetration in Latin America from 5.5 percent to 7.7 percent would generate 378,000 new jobs. Due to the fact that broadband penetration is more recent and by far less extensive in developing nations, fewer studies have been undertaken to document its social, economic and other benefits. Nevertheless, 35 International Journal of E-Business Development (IJED) early research indicates that broadband connectivity and diffusion creates a wide range of benefits in developing nations including supporting economic growth, in part by attracting international investors and improving global competitiveness. While such improvements are difficult to measure, a recent study found that developing countries with better ICT infrastructure attract significantly more business from foreign investment. In America, the ITU estimates that a stimulus package supporting $10 billion of investment in broadband networks would support nearly 500,000 new or retained jobs, For example, in November 2009, Google had a market capitalization of $168 billion and employed 19,000 people in 20 countries. China‘s leading Internet search engine, Baidu.com, has a market capitalization of more than $14 billion and over 6,000 employees, and in 2008 had revenues of $460 million. There is a growing body of people who believe that access to affordable, high-speed broadband is as important as access to a paved road, to a telephone line or to reliable electricity. IV. DEVELOPING BROADBAND INFRASTRUCTURES Next-generation broadband networks promise much faster transfer of information, services, and benefits throughout a national economy, promoting overall growth, productivity, and prosperity [12]. For that reason, governments and policymakers are seeking to stimulate or contribute significant investments to establish such networks. In second quarter 2010, the United States, Britain, Canada, Germany, Portugal and Finland all included measures to expand broadband access and to bolster connection speeds in their planned economic stimulus packages. Australia, France, Ireland, Japan, Singapore and South Korea have announced separate broadband plans. Broadband Initiatives in some of the aforementioned Countries include: Australia plans to deliver broadband at speeds of 100 megabits per second (Mbps) to 90 percent of Australian homes, schools and businesses through fibre-optic cables connected directly to buildings. The other 10 percent of people would get a wireless upgrade over an 8 year time scale beginning 2011. Canada plans to extend broadband coverage to all currently un-served communities. Finland plans to provide ultrafast broadband to every household in Finland, with download speeds of at least one megabit per second, with a ramp-up to 100 megabits by 2016. Including households in rural areas. France plans to provide ultra broadband networks and 4 million households through FTTH access by 2012. Moreover, 400 cyber bases will be created in schools over the next five years and schools which already have access will be modernized. Provision of universal access to broadband Internet at affordable prices is to be made available throughout France. Germany’s plans have 2 phases. The first phase of the strategy is for all homes in Germany to have broadband access at 1 Mbps by 2011. The second phase is to bring 36 broadband access at 50 Mbps or above to 75% of the households by 2014. Irelands plan is to provide broadband coverage and services to the remaining 33% of the country and 10% of the population who are un-served with minimum download speeds of 1.2 Mbps in next 12 months. Japan plans to have a Broadband infrastructure rollout plan for the rural areas, in order to address the digital divide. It plans to enable broadband access for use by cable TV, disaster prevention programs. Portugal plans for up to 1.5 million homes and businesses to be connected to the new fibre networks and improvements in high-speed internet, television and voice services. The Portuguese government had also set a goal of 50% home broadband penetration by end of 2011. This latest investment should allow the operators to significantly surpass the target. Singapore plans For homes and offices nationwide to be connected to Singapore‘s ultra high-speed and pervasive Next Generation National Broadband Network by 2013; and for 60 per cent of homes and offices to have access to this new, pervasive, all-fibre network in 2 years' time. South Korea plans for High-speed Internet services to be upgraded to 1 Gbps by 2012. Existing communications networks are to be enhanced to Internet Protocol (IP)-based systems and subscriber capacity on 3G broadband services e increased to 40 million. Spain plans to have greater reach of broadband in rural and isolated areas. This is done by focusing on centres with dispersed populations and extending the reach of trunk fibre-optics networks. United States plans to provide broadband service to unserved areas and improve service to underserved areas in 2 years time [3]. Country Date Announced Total Investment Investment Per Capita (US$ Millions) (US$) New Zealand 2009 840 205 Australia 2009 3,300 159 Singapore 2008 710 154 Portugal 2009 1,060 100 Greece 2008 1,030 92 Malaysia 2009 720 27 Ireland 2009 110 25 US 2009 7,200 24 South Korea 2009 890 18 Germany 2009 200 2 Figure 3: Government Commitments to Next-Generation National Broadband Networks What is clear is that while some of the plans have been in the works for months or years, others are only being started now, and the share of the broadband components in the total stimulus package varies significantly from country to country. It is no coincidence that so many of the stimulus packages have a focus on building broadband networks. What is shown in Figure 3 is the level of commitment that governments are putting into developing better and faster broadband, as well as IJED Vol. 1 Iss. 1, PP. 34-37, Nov. 2011 c World Academic Publishing ○ International Journal of E-Business Development (IJED) improving the availability to small harder to reach rural areas. It is seen from Figure 3 that the heaviest investor Per Capita in delivering better broadband is New Zealand, they announced a plan that is worth a total of $840 million, which is $205 per capita. This is much higher than any other nation. The united states plans to invest a total of $7,200 million representing a total of $24 Per Capita. V. CONCLUSIONS Broadband is an essential part of the global information society. Broadband fosters GDP growth, creates new jobs, spurs innovation and improves public services. Governments can lead the way to expand and progress the broadband penetration by working with partners to develop plans and programs that encourage the rapid and strategic expansion of broadband and ICT. This paper shows the “digital divide” between the different regions of the world. More economically well of regions like Western Europe and the North Americas lead the way in broadband penetration and connectivity while less economically developed regions seriously lag behind Africa is the worst connected region. We highlighted the relationship between a countries GDP and broadband connection levels. Delivering affordable, reliable and accessible broadband to more citizens will help Countries bridge the digital divide and it can help all countries become stronger, more competitive and more prepared for continued growth in the years and decades to come. 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