CONCENTRATED POVERTY IN NEW YORK CITY AN ANALYSIS OF THE CHANGING GEOGRAPHIC PATTERNS OF POVERTY CITIZENS’ COMMITTEE FOR CHILDREN APRIL 2012 The most recent recession has had a devastating impact on some of New York City’s most vulnerable populations. According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau, since 2008 the number of people living below the federal poverty level in New York City grew by more than 120,000, to over 1.6 million in 2010. Also in 2010, one in three of the City’s children lived in poverty up from one in four just two years prior. For many of New York City’s poor, the daily struggle to meet their basic needs is compounded by living in overwhelmingly poor neighborhoods. In these neighborhoods of concentrated poverty, communal resources are scarce and residents often face other significant obstacles to prosperity, such as a dearth of employment and educational opportunities, high crime rates, and poor housing quality. To better understand the scale and impact of this issue, Citizens’ Committee for Children of New York, Inc. (CCC) conducted an analysis of New York City neighborhood-level poverty data. Our findings, detailed below, suggest that despite a decline in the number of extreme-poverty neighborhoods and the share of people who live in them, concentrated poverty continues to be a serious problem for many communities. 1 It is well-documented that for the residents of very poor neighborhoods, the burdens of individual poverty are amplified. The obstacles they face may include high crime rates, poor health outcomes, reduced private investments, limited educational and job opportunities, and poor housing conditions. 2 CCC recognizes the cumulative effect of such risk factors on the lives of children in the “community risk rankings” found in our Keeping Track of New York City’s Children publication. 3 DEFINITIONS Extreme-poverty neighborhoods are defined as neighborhoods with more than 40 percent of the population living below the federal poverty level and are measured geographically using the Census tract. Concentrated poverty refers to the prevalence of poor people 4 living in “extreme-poverty” neighborhoods. The concentrated poverty rate measures the share of poor people within a specified geographic area who live in these extreme-poverty neighborhoods. Citywide, concentrated poverty has declined in the past decade, but a large number of New Yorkers still lives in extreme poverty. The share of poor people living in extreme poverty neighborhoods in New York City declined from 25.9 percent in 2000 to 19.6 percent for the 2006 to 2010 period, a reduction of 24.1 percent. For children, gains were not quite as great; the share of poor children in concentrated poverty areas dropped 20.9 percent, from 31.9 percent to 25.2 percent during the same time period. These declines in the concentrated poverty rates may optimistically suggest that anti-poverty campaigns have had some successes in fighting poverty in the City’s most vulnerable neighborhoods, but this conclusion should be cautiously drawn as the problems of poverty and concentrated poverty do persist in New York City. Citywide, more than 298,000 poor people, including about 124,000 poor children, live in extreme poverty neighborhoods. Overall, one in every ten children in New York City lives in a neighborhood where the poverty rate exceeds 40 percent. 1 This analysis was modeled after a Brookings Institute policy brief: Elizabeth Kneebone, Carey Nadeau, and Alan Berube, The Re-Emergence of Concentrated Poverty: Metropolitan Trends in the 2000s, The Brookings Institute: November 2011. (https://www.brookings.edu/papers/2011/1103_poverty_kneebone_nadeau_berube.aspx) 2 See Kneebone et al, p. 2 for a fuller discussion of these and other obstacles related to concentrated poverty, as well as citations to scholarly literature. 3 See Citizens’ Committee for Children, Keeping Track of New York City’s Children, 2010, pp. 30-32 (or online at http://www.cccnewyork.org/aboutkt.html) for more on Community District risk rankings. 4 The term “poor people” refers to individuals with incomes below the federal poverty level (FPL), as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau. In 2010 the average FPL for a family of four was $22,314. See http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/methods/definitions.html for more information on Census poverty definitions and thresholds. CONCENTRATED POVERTY IN NEW YORK CITY Concentrated poverty continues to be a serious problem for many New York City neighborhoods. While the citywide concentrated poverty rate has declined, improvements have not been experienced consistently across the City’s neighborhoods. Indeed, in eight communities, the concentrated poverty rates rose between 2000 and the 2006-2010 period by at least two percentage points. (See Figure 1.) For example, in Bedford Stuyvesant, Brooklyn (labeled 303 on Figure 1), the concentrated poverty rate rose from 38.0 percent in 2000 to 43.2 percent in 2006-2010. According to the most recent data, nearly one-third (29.0 percent) of Bedford Stuyvesant’s total population lived in extreme poverty areas, where more than half of the residents earned less than the federal Citizens’ Committee for Children of New York 2 CONCENTRATED POVERTY IN NEW YORK CITY poverty level (about $22,000 for a family of four in 2010). More than half (54.1 percent) of poor children and 42.2 percent of all children lived in these extreme poverty areas within this community. Alternatively, for neighborhoods where the concentrated poverty rates have fallen, the most recent data are in many cases even more troubling. For example, in the South Bronx neighborhoods of Mott Haven and Hunts Point (labeled 201/202 on Figure 1), the concentrated poverty rate fell 4.4 percentage points between 2000 and 2006-2010, but that was from a starting point of 78.6 percent. Over two-thirds (67.3 percent) of all residents and almost three-quarters (72.5 percent) of all children in these communities lived in areas of extreme poverty in 2006-2010. In fact, while most communities in the Bronx saw their concentrated poverty rates decline between 2000 and 2006-2010, many still struggle with concentrated poverty rates of greater than 45 percent. (See Figure 2 and Appendix A for concentrated poverty rates for children and adults by neighborhood.) Nearly a quarter (24.1 percent) of the Bronx’s over 1.3 million residents lived in extreme poverty areas in 2006-2010; those 320,000 people represent over half of all City residents living in extreme poverty neighborhoods. Concentrated poverty disproportionately impacts Black and Latino communities. As is the case with poverty in New York City, concentrated poverty is more prevalent in communities with majority Black and Latino populations. Of the seven community districts with concentrated poverty rates of greater than 50 percent, all but one (Williamsburg/Greenpoint) have majority Black or Latino populations. One-third (33.0 percent) of all poor people living in extreme poverty neighborhoods are Black and about one half (49.9 percent) are Latino. Meanwhile, Blacks and Latinos make up just over one-fifth and just under one-third of the general population respectively. (See Figure 3.) Citizens’ Committee for Children of New York 3 CONCENTRATED POVERTY IN NEW YORK CITY The full impact of the most recent recession on the City’s concentrated poverty remains to be seen. Limitations in the data used for this analysis may result in understating the prevalence of concentrated poverty in New York City. The most recent data available at the Census tract level reports an average of five years (20062010) of survey responses about household income. This time period included years of both economic boon and recession. Since New York City’s poverty rate continued to decline through 2008, when it hit a low of 18.2 percent (26.5 percent for children) before rising again to near-2000 levels, it is likely that the five-year averages do not fully reflect the impact of the recession, particularly in neighborhoods that have been hardest hit, such as many in the South Bronx and Central Brooklyn. 5 This report was prepared by Courtney Wolf, Policy Associate for Research and Data Analysis. 5 For a detailed discussion of the limitations of the five-year data in this context, see Kneebone et al, p. 4. Citizens’ Committee for Children of New York 4 Appendix A: Poverty & Concentrated Poverty: New York City, by Borough, and by Community District Poverty Rate Poverty, 2010 # of Poor Child People Poverty Rate Concentrated Poverty Rates # of Poor Children 2000 2006‐2010 Children in Concentrated Poverty, 2006‐2010 All Children Poor Children # Share # Share New York City 20.1% 1,621,327 30.0% 522,955 25.9% 19.6% 208,570 11.9% 124,376 25.2% Manhattan 101/102 Battery Park/Tribeca/Greenwich Village 103 Lower East Side 104/105 Chelsea/Clinton/Midtown 106 Murray Hill/Stuyvesant 107 Upper West Side 108 Uepper East Side 109 Manhattanville 110 Central Harlem 111 East Harlem 112 Washington Heighhts 16.4% 9.9% 22.2% 11.7% 7.0% 10.4% 6.8% 28.7% 28.1% 30.8% 19.5% 254,289 14,107 34,766 15,338 10,049 20,430 14,637 35,636 35,192 34,595 39,539 22.1% 7.5% 30.9% 14.7% 7.1% 6.5% 2.4% 38.5% 35.8% 44.2% 26.5% 51,039 1,178 6,929 1,526 988 2,033 729 8,871 9,006 10,239 9,540 19.7% ‐ 16.2% 4.6% 5.0% ‐ ‐ 5.2% 41.6% 58.7% 12.1% 11.3% ‐ 15.2% 3.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ 12.8% 28.5% 24.9% 1.4% 16,157 ‐ 3,159 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,184 6,443 4,075 296 6.8% ‐ 13.8% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 10.5% 23.5% 14.1% 0.7% 9,610 ‐ 1,955 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 1,387 3,917 2,211 140 15.4% ‐ 23.4% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 17.3% 39.1% 18.0% 0.9% Bronx 201/202 203/206 204 205 207 208 209 210 211 212 Mott Haven/Hunts Point Morrisania/East Tremont Concourse/Highbridge University Heights Fordham Riverdale Unionport/Soundview Throgs Neck Pelham Parkway Williamsbridge 30.2% 41.1% 43.5% 35.0% 40.0% 32.7% 18.5% 25.4% 16.4% 21.1% 21.2% 408,584 58,624 67,963 50,740 53,621 39,950 19,264 46,261 17,557 25,553 29,051 43.0% 54.1% 58.6% 46.4% 52.5% 41.4% 28.5% 33.1% 37.4% 29.3% 31.0% 155,620 23,117 29,121 18,943 21,395 13,861 5,893 15,571 7,549 8,445 11,725 51.4% 78.6% 84.8% 67.0% 60.7% 26.6% 10.9% 40.3% ‐ 0.2% 14.5% 39.5% 74.2% 65.3% 45.8% 55.6% 28.1% ‐ 8.7% ‐ ‐ 0.2% 103,994 30,222 27,520 16,176 19,845 7,890 ‐ 2,323 ‐ ‐ 18 28.5% 68.6% 58.2% 40.9% 48.7% 22.8% ‐ 4.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ 61,663 17,845 16,650 9,451 11,871 4,298 ‐ 1,530 ‐ ‐ 18 42.0% 72.5% 66.2% 49.7% 57.7% 28.6% ‐ 9.7% ‐ ‐ 0.2% Brooklyn 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 Williamsburg/Greenpoint Fort Greene/Brooklyn Heights Bedford Stuyvesant Bushwick East New York Park Slope Sunset Park Crown Heights North Crown Heights South Bat Ridge Bensonhurst Borough Park Coney Island Flatbush/Midwood Sheepshead Bay Brownsville East Flatbush Canarsie 23.0% 26.5% 18.1% 30.7% 28.5% 36.0% 11.3% 26.7% 25.9% 25.6% 15.3% 14.0% 32.2% 28.0% 22.4% 13.7% 39.8% 15.4% 11.4% 571,936 38,744 22,024 40,795 39,782 52,475 13,398 36,862 30,383 27,015 21,051 22,838 54,099 28,735 36,246 18,319 44,756 21,316 23,098 34.0% 40.9% 22.8% 47.0% 42.0% 49.1% 13.3% 33.4% 42.5% 36.7% 22.6% 20.1% 44.7% 39.4% 31.8% 19.0% 53.4% 20.6% 16.1% 198,536 13,217 4,611 16,204 14,084 20,739 3,311 10,167 10,590 9,013 6,436 6,290 25,756 8,140 13,039 4,515 17,903 6,860 7,661 25.2% 56.8% 31.2% 38.0% 37.7% 26.5% 26.2% ‐ 21.0% ‐ ‐ ‐ 19.6% 43.0% ‐ 9.8% 67.6% ‐ 13.9% 20.5% 54.3% 16.5% 43.2% 16.7% 24.4% 30.6% 4.5% 13.4% 3.1% ‐ ‐ 19.0% 2.2% 3.0% 12.2% 54.1% ‐ 17.3% 82,918 19,919 2,164 15,721 4,518 7,266 2,539 1,279 3,104 ‐ ‐ ‐ 7,649 50 467 1,322 14,651 ‐ 2,269 14.1% 58.7% 11.2% 42.2% 13.1% 16.7% 12.3% 3.8% 11.3% ‐ ‐ ‐ 13.8% 0.3% 1.2% 4.8% 42.9% ‐ 4.5% 49,511 12,076 1,402 9,981 2,542 4,314 1,371 792 1,670 ‐ ‐ ‐ 4,415 50 239 741 8,569 ‐ 1,349 26.5% 74.8% 27.0% 54.1% 17.5% 25.2% 50.0% 7.2% 17.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ 20.4% 0.9% 2.1% 15.6% 53.5% ‐ 19.7% Appendix A: Poverty & Concentrated Poverty: New York City, by Borough, and by Community District (Cont'd) Poverty Rate Queens 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 Astoria/Long Island City Sunnyside/Woodside Jackson Heights Elmhurst/Corona Ridgewood/Glendale Rego Park/Forest Hills Flushing Fresh Meadows/Briarwood Woodhaven Howard Beach Bayside Jamaica/St. Albans Queens Village The Rockaways Staten Island 501 Willowbrook 502 South Beach 503 Tottenville Poverty, 2010 # of Poor Child People Poverty Rate Concentrated Poverty Rates # of Poor Children 2000 2006‐2010 Children in Concentrated Poverty, 2006‐2010 All Children Poor Children # Share # Share 15.0% 19.0% 12.2% 22.4% 19.2% 17.1% 9.7% 14.3% 13.7% 13.1% 11.6% 7.3% 18.8% 7.1% 22.4% 332,165 31,618 15,093 37,935 25,920 30,888 11,049 36,302 18,566 17,662 15,635 8,693 41,273 14,557 26,974 21.8% 30.2% 18.5% 34.1% 26.3% 26.5% 12.3% 14.5% 18.7% 19.7% 18.1% 8.2% 28.2% 8.8% 33.4% 99,291 8,477 3,775 12,581 7,175 11,054 2,607 6,337 5,271 5,787 4,975 1,941 14,342 3,679 11,290 3.7% 18.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 0.2% 2.0% ‐ 16.5% 2.5% 6.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ 2.6% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 20.3% 4,982 1,030 ‐ ‐ ‐ 331 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 3,621 1.1% 3.7% ‐ ‐ ‐ 0.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 12.1% 3,277 758 ‐ ‐ ‐ 187 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 2,332 4.0% 10.1% ‐ ‐ ‐ 2.9% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 27.6% 11.8% 17.9% 9.7% 7.0% 54,353 30,277 12,643 11,433 17.1% 26.2% 12.6% 10.2% 18,469 11,112 3,426 3,931 9.0% 15.5% 0.7% ‐ 1.7% 2.8% ‐ ‐ 519 519 ‐ ‐ 0.5% 1.2% ‐ ‐ 315 315 ‐ ‐ 2.0% 3.1% ‐ ‐ Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census Summary File 3, 2000; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5‐year Estimates, 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates, 2010; Citizens' Committee for Children analysis, 2012. 105 East 22nd Street New York, NY 10010 212-673-1800 www.cccnewyork.org Follow us on Facebook and Twitter @CCCNewYork.