LEADING THE ENERGY TRANSITION HYDROGEN-BASED CONVERSION SOLUTIONS More than storage: system flexibility SBC Energy Institute 20th World Hydrogen Energy Conference 2014 19h June 2014 – Gwangju Korea 1 The SBC Energy Institute The SBC Energy Institute is an non-profit expert energy research group that promotes understanding of the current and future energy technologies INSTITUTE IDENTITY TECHNOLOGIES ADDRESSED Focused on crossover technologies related to the energy space Founded in 2011 Registered in the Netherlands as a non-profit organization Governed by its own Board Members, including external people: Claude Mandil, Former Executive Director of the International Energy Agency; Dr. Adnan Shihab-Eldin, Former OPEC Acting Secretary General; 2012-2014 focus on hydrogen-based conversion technologies 2 ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute Making the case Integrating intermittent sources of energy requires additional flexibility resources and results in a new momentum for electricity-storage solutions WIND & SOLAR GENERATION VS. DEMAND IN NORTHERN GERMANY MW, December 2012 on the 50Hertz Operated Grid 14,000 Intermittency1 generates surplus & deficit 12,000 12,000 10,000 10,000 8,000 8,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 4,000 0 0h 6h 12h 18h 24h 2,000 Focus on 27th December 0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Solar PV Note: Source: Wind Demand 1(1) Output is variable on multiple timescales, depending on daily or seasonal patterns and on weather conditions. (2) This variability makes long-term forecasting difficult and certainly less predictable than output from conventional technologies. (3) Wind and solar output are subject to ramp events SBC Energy Institute Analysis based on 50Hertz data archive (Wind and Solar Actual In Feed 2012, Control Load 2012). 3 ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute Making the case The value of hydrogen solutions lies predominantly in their ability to convert renewable power into green chemical energy carriers SIMPLIFIED VALUE CHAIN OF HYDROGEN-BASED ENERGY CONVERSION POWER GRID SURPLUS Refueling stations POWER-TO-POWER Water Oxygen Wind turbine Solar PV Electrolysis Optional Hydrogen storage POWER-TO-MOBILITY Electric vehicle Upgraded & synthetic fuels Fuel cell electric vehicle Refineries Fuel cells Internal combustion engine vehicle Blended gas Combustion turbines Natural gas vehicle POWER-TO-GAS Carbon capture CO2 Chemical plants Methanation Injection of hydrogen in the natural gas grid POWER-TO-CHEMICAL Petroleum products Ammonia GAS GRID Note: Source: Simplified value chain. End uses are non-exhaustive. Note that the power and gas grids are the main supplier to the residential and commercial end-uses (lighting, heating and cooling, cooking…) SBC Energy Institute analysis ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 4 Water electrolysis At present, electricity price spreads are too small to enable significant hydrogen production cost reductions through price arbitrage LEVELIZED COSTS OF HYDROGEN FOR A GRID-CONNECTED ELECTROLYSIS PLANT $/MWhch, 320 Assumed electricity price distribution ($/MWhe) Reference plant with price arbitrage strategy 200 300 CAPEX - 20% with price arbitrage strategy Efficiency + 10% with price arbitrage stragegy 160 280 Reference plant buying electricity at annual spot mean 120 260 80 240 40 220 0 Annual spot mean: $77/MWhe -40 200 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 180 Hours of the year (in % of the year) -12% Hourly prices ranked in chronologic order 160 Hourly prices ranked in ascending order 140 Cumulated average of the hourly prices ranked in ascending order 0 10% 20% Production excess monetization Note: Source: 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Plant load factor / utilization rate (operational hours in % the year) 80% 90% 100% Baseload Illustrative example based on 8.5MW ch electrolysis (5 alkaline stacks of 1.7MW ch each), with total installed system CAPEX: $765/MWhch, Efficiency: 79%HHV, Project lifetime: 30 years and real discount rate after tax:10%. SBC Simulation based on US DoE H2A Model ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 5 Power-to-gas Injection of hydrogen into gas networks can provide in some countries a large end-market in the short to mid term for electrolytic hydrogen LIMIT OF HYDROGEN BLENDING ALONG THE NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE1 H2 concentration (vol.%) H2-blending uncritical Adjustment & modification needed Further research needed 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Note: Source: 2Aquifer 1DVGW MEASURING & CONTROL DISTRIBUTION CHP stations Gas stoves Stirling-motor Fuel cells Condensing boilers Fan burners Gas burners Engines House installations Valves Gas flow detectors Connections Seals Plastic pipelines Steel pipelines Odorization Pressure regulation Gas-phase chromatographs Quantity transformers Diagrpahm meters Turbine meters Ultrasonic meters Storage installations Tanks Pore storages STORAGES Compressed-natural gas tanks TRANSPORT Cavern storages Compression stations Gas turbines 0% Pipelines 10% APPLIANCES or depleted oil and gas reservoirs. (2013). ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 6 Power-to-gas Synthesis of methane is promising but constrained by affordable CO2 sources SIMPLIFIED MASS FLOW CHART OF HYROGEN-ENRICHED BIOMETHANE PLANT kg/h Waste Heat (230kWth) Electrolysis Electricity (1MWe) Oxygen 156 kg/h O2 19.5 kg/h H2 87.2 kg/h of H2O 110 ha. of land 140 dry kg/h of biomass 106.7 kg/h of CO2 Methanation Biogas unit 38.8 kg/h of CH4 60 kg/h water 77.7 kg/h of CH4 ~ x2 54.5 dry kg/h of biomass residues4 Recycled heat for the biogas reaction Biogas generates an excess of CO2 mixed with methane… Note: Source: …Enriching biogas with methane doubles the output while increasing the efficiency and mutualizing the injection costs 1Biomass feedstock is a maize silage of 5kWhch/kg of dry matter, cultivated with a land yield of 0.63MW ch per km².; 2The anaerobic digestion of maize silage requires heat and has an total efficiency of 68.7%; 3Thermochemical methanation at 300°C and 77.7% hydrogen-to-methane efficiency SBC Energy Institute analysis. 7 ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute Power-to-liquid fuels Fuel synthesis from water, electricity and carbon, extends the market potential for electrolysis POWER-TO-SYNFUELS1 PATHWAYS FOR H-C-O SYNFUELS PRODUCTION CO2 HYDROGENATION OXYGENATED SYNFUELS Formic acid synthesis Formic acid (HCOOH) DME2 (CH3OCH3) ELECTROLYSIS CO2 Dehydration H2 H2O electrolysis Electricity Water (H2O) CO2 + H2O co-electrolysis CO O2 Biomass CO Gasification H2 Coal CO2 + H2 Methanol synthesis Reverse Water Gas Shift CO2 Methanation CO + H2 (syngas) CO Methanation Methanol CH3OH Methanol-togasoline (MtG) Methane CH4 FischerTropsch (FT) (CH2)n liquid hydrocarbon Alcohols synthesis HYDROCARBON SYNFUELS CO HYDROGENATION synfuels plants where electricity and electrolyzers are used to produce hydrogen that will help to produce synfuels. Note: 1Power-to-synfuels plant are 2DME for Dimethyl ether. Source: SBC Energy Institute analysis. ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 8 Power-to-mobility Hydrogen’s role for mobility is likely to increase for all technologies THE ROLE OF HYDROGEN IN MOBILITY Present Future? FOSSIL FUELS Diesel and gasoline Increase hydrogen / carbon [H/C] ratio of heavy oil fractions; Desulfurization (more stringent regulation). Natural gas vehicles [NGV] Reduce local pollution and increase performance with hydrogen blending (hydrogen compressed natural gas fuel). Note: Source: SYNTHETIC FUELS Biofuels Enrich biofuel plant with hydrogen to maximize biomass yield and thereby land use; H-C-O synfuels Fix hydrogen with CO2 to synthesize methane, methanol, dimethyl ether, gasoline…; PURE HYDROGEN FUEL1 Pure hydrogen carrier Use hydrogen to produce electricity in fuel cell electric vehicles [FCEV]; Use hydrogen fuel cell in battery electric vehicles [BEV] as a range extender. Ammonia fuels Fix hydrogen with nitrogen and use ammonia as a fuel. 1Hydrogen internal Combustion engine [H2ICE] that uses a traditional ICE, modified to burn hydrogen instead of conventional gasoline, has lost momentum compared with FCEV and is not mentioned in this slide. SBC Energy Institute analysis. ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 9 Outlooks Many individual, hydrogen-related technologies are technologically mature, but flexible electrolysis and power-to-gas are in the “valley of death” Capital requirement x technology risk THE ROLE OF HYDROGEN IN MOBILITY Legend Fuel cells (high temperature, large-scale, stationary)6 Water electrolysis (PEM) Methane and methanol synthesis from CO2 HENG fed into natural gas Hydrogen production Hydrogen handling Fuel cells (low temp. for mobility or stationary)7 Water electrolysis (alkaline) Solid storage Hydrogen conversion network4 Geological storage (depleted oil & gas fields or aquifers) Gas turbines for H2 rich fuels Liquefaction plant & cryogenic tank Geological storage in salt caverns Compressors, H2 refueling pumps & compressed tanks Steam water electrolysis (HT PEM) H2 production from solar radiation2 H2 production from heat1 Various use of H2 in refineries5 Ammonia synthesis H2 pipelines Road transport of H2 tanks (compressed or cryogenic) Valley of death Lab work Research Note: Source: Bench scale Development Pilot-scale Demonstration Commercial-scale process proved, with optimization work in progress Deployment Commercial scale, proved, widely deployed, with limited optimization potential Mature technology 1Nuclear or solar thermochemical water splitting; 2Photolysis, photo-electrolysis or photo-biological water-splitting; 3By thermochemical processes, principally: methane reforming, the cracking of petroleum fractions, and coal or biomass gasification; 4HENG: Hydrogen-enriched natural gas; 5Includes the upgrading of heavy/sour oil and the synthesis of synfuels from syngas (methanol, DME, MtG etc); 6Includes SOFC, PAFC and MCFC; 7Includes PEMFC and AFC. SBC Energy Institute analysis. ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 10 Outlooks Hydrogen is an essential energy carrier to facilitate the energy transition Hydrogen is an enabler for high intermittent renewable penetration: Balance deficit (directly or combined with gas); Ensure security of supply with massive storage; Monetize intermittent surplus. Hydrogen facilitates the decreased carbon intensity of fossil-fuel based energy systems: Hydrogenate fossil fuels and maximize land use for biofuel / biogas production; Recycle carbon captured from CCS; Leverage current infrastructure. Hydrogen business cases are not yet profitable in the absence of supports for low-carbon solutions except for a few early markets: A few early markets can provide short-term business cases (e.g. back-up for telcom towers); Costs reduction on electrolysis side are a pre-requisite (learning curve, manufacturing…); Mobility is likely to be the key driver of hydrogen in the mid- to long-term. Source: SBC Energy Institute analysis. ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute 11 Thank you very much! Hydrogen-based energy conversion solutions FactBooks, Abstract & Presentations are available for download: http://www.sbc.slb.com/SBCInstitute.aspx For more information: Benoit Decourt BDecourt@slb.com +33 (0)6 77 01 04 82 12 ©2014 SBC Energy Institute. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute copies of this work for personal or nonprofit educational purposes. Any copy or extract has to refer to the copyright of SBC Energy Institute