Household economics Eliana La Ferrara May 11, 2016 Outline How do families decide? Intra-hh allocation 1. Unitary model of the household 2. Intra-household bargaining 3. Testing the unitary model 4. Pareto e¢ ciency 1. Unitary model (neoclassical) Household w/ N members m goods HH maximizes HH welfare s.t. budget constraint: maxX W (u1 (X ) ; :::; uN (X )) f s:t: pX = N X yi (1) i=1 where X is m N matrix, with Xmi =cons. of mth good by ith member, f is a m X 1 vector of total cons. of good, yi is income of member i (exogenous). E.g. if individual i only cares about his own consumption, weight assigned to Xmj , j 6= i is zero in ui (X ). Solution to (1) gives HH demand for each good Assumption: * all members have exactly the same preferences or a dictator makes all the decisions (weight to other ui’s in W is 0) HH acts as if it is one entity which pools all income: 0 Xm = g @p; Key result: ...................... N X i=1 1 yiA (2) Key result: income pooling – Note: In order to represent aggregate choices of individuals in HH as if they were made by a single agent, pref’s must be characterized by b 1; :::; u b N ) s.t. transferable utility: if (u1; :::; uN ) is feasible, then (u P P b i also feasible ui = u ) HH aggregate demand not in‡uenced by distribution of utility in HH. Ex: members have identical homothetic pref’s [x y) x y ]. 2. Intra-HH bargaining Manser-Brown (1980); McElroy - Horney (1981) Assumption: Nash Bargaining among HH members. Individuals bargain: either they agree on an allocation and they remain part of the HH, or they disagree, the HH splits and each gets outside option. Let Di (:) be disagreement outcome that i would have outside HH. Nash solution has a simple characterization =) maximization of product of utilities: max [uM (XM ) DM (yM )] [uF (XF ) s:t: XM + XF = yM + yF Demand functions XM = g (yM ; yF ) XM = g (yM ; yF ) Key result: ................................................... DF (yF )] Key result: not only aggregate income, but source of income matters! 3. Empirics: tests of unitary model Think of estimating the following equation: Xm = + M YM + F YF + 0 Z + " m where Xm = consumption of good m What does the unitary model imply in terms of the coe¢ cients in (3)? (3) 3.1 YM ;YF = labor income Problems in interpreting M ; F ? Problem: labor supply (leisure) jointly determined w/consumption of other goods! E.g.: if women work less in families that place high value on child health: ) corr(YW ; child health) < 0 even though HH is unitary! 3.2 YM ;YF = NONLABOR income Thomas (1990) no individual-level data on consumption of goods, except – leisure (labor force participation) – health & nutrition Brazilian HH survey 1974-1975: 25; 000 HH’s contains data on non-wage income (pensions, social sec., assets income, gifts...) Husband: 76% total HH income Wife: 13% 6 "consumption" goods, or resource allocation outcomes: – HH level nutrient intakes: calories – HH level nutrient intakes: proteins – Wife’s fertility – Wife’s children’s survival rate – Children 0-8 yrs: weight for height (short run) height for age (long run) ) % of US median * e¤ect on wife > e¤ect on husband ( 4 to 7 times more) * Nutrients: signi…cant di¤erence: proteins: linear calories: quadratic Survival rate: women’s income e¤ect > men’s (20 times) Anthropometric measures: Holds w/ asset income * mother =) weight mother, father =) height Gender e¤ects Do parents have 6= preferences on boys & girls? mother > father for boys and girls di¤erence b/w mother & father greater for girls (weight: 5 times) ...any critique to this approach? Critiques to Thomas (1990) Correlation b/w asset ownership & child health can occur even in unitary model if due to "third" factors Ex: more traditional HH’s ( do not allow women to own assets have less healthy children Can be solved by looking at assets’income at the time HH was formed. Endog. HH formation may be the cause for corr (Yw ; child health) > 0 Ex: assume men’s child rearing ability " with YH . Then: assortative matching: " YW )" YH " YH )" child health ) " YW )" child health 3.3 Short term variation in non-labor income Considering unexpected changes in Y should solve the above problems, i.e. use transitory variation in share of YW & YH )but optimal HH consumption should not change w/ temporary Y ‡uctuations! 3.4 Permanent exogenous change in non-labor income Du‡o (2003) Consider a permanent shock to non-labor income of a HH member that was not expected at the time of HH formation. * Unitary model: a¤ects cons. allocation only through HH income Bargaining model: a¤ects cons. allocation also through bargaining power Then: use gov’t transfer program as "quasi-natural" experiment Ex: Lundberg, Pollak, Wales (1996) !child bene…ts in UK & cons. of clothes. Program: South African Old Age Pensions Initially was for whites End of Apartheid (1989): move towards parity in pensions Fully operative at beginning of ’93 Universal & non-contributory Payments to * women >60 men >65 subject to means test on couple income: couple resources divided by 2 income of other members not counted ) no incentives to partition or stop work Focus on comparison by eligibility status, b/c getting the pension (conditional on eligibility) is endogenous: in‡uenced by current & past decisions on labor supply, etc. 2 strategies: 1. E¤ect on weight for height (‡ow/short term) + w Ew + hEh + 0Z + "if EW = 1 if 9 eligible woman in HH Xif = Controls include dummies for presence of old (not eligible) membes: e.g. women 56-60, men 61-65, etc. )Identi…cation assumption: no systematic di¤erence b/w eligible & non eligible HH’s who have an old member at home. col. 6: Ew = 1 )" weight by 0:6 std. dev. Eh = 1 ) not signi…cant col. 7:It could be that husbands are eligible but don’t claim pension b/c they have worked & have private pensions. )use P EN Sw = 1 if receives pension & instrument w/eligibility dummies. Result: P EN Sw = 1 )"weight by 1:19 std. dev., P EN Sh = 1 )not signi…cant. 1. Caveats: 1. presence of old member may be sign of healthy HH (survived!) pension program may have changed HH composition 2 E¤ects on height for age (stock, long term) )Identi…cation strategy: compare di¤erence b/w children in eligible vs. noneligible HH’s exposed to program for fraction of life vs. all life. )Interpretation: even if HH’s eligible have worse characteristics, within these HH’s children who are younger have been well nourished longer. Non-parametric regression of height on age: Compare children who live w/ eligible women and w/ no eligible member. The former are Xif = ( shorter when old taller when young (born after ’91) + w (young Ew )+ h (young Eh)+ w Ew + hEh + 0Z + "if where young = 1 if child born from Jan ’92 on (full expansion of program) Interaction term insigni…cant for boys, signi…cant for girls young Ew = 1 )"height by 0:71 std.dev. (young P EN Sw ) and (young P EN Sh) instrumented w/ young Conclusion: both strategies 1: and 2: lead to the same result! Ej