Presented at Gifu, Japan, 22nd July 2013. Current Status of Solar Photovoltaic Market and Investment in Thailand Professor Dr. Dusit Kruangam Chairman Thai Photovoltaic Industries Association www.tpva2012.com p dusit@tpva2012.com Managing Director Thai Solar Future Co., Ltd. , www.thaisolarfuture.com dusit@thaisolarfuture.com @ Office: +66‐2‐953‐9163 Thailand is the leadingg countryy for investment and construction of solar farms and solar rooftops in South East Asia Countries (ASEAN). Contents of Lecture 1. General Electricity Situation of Thailand 2. Crisis in 2011, 2013 in Thailand 3. Renewable Energy Policy of Thailand 4. Solar Electricity Promotion Programs of Thailand 5. (Examples of Some )MEGA Solar Farm Projects in Thailand 6. Solar Roof Promotion Programs of Thailand 7. Comparison of Electricity Situations Between Japan and Thailand 8. International Cooperation on Solar Between Japan and Thailand 9. Opportunity of Expansion of Business on Solar in f f l Thailand Natural Gas Natural Gas Coal Oil RE Hydro Geo Nuclear Coal Oil RE Hydro World ASEAN THAILAND Comparison of Source of Energy for Power Generation Volume of Use and Source of Natural Gas in Thailand Million Cubic Foot/day Thailand Import Reserve of Natural Gas in Thailand (to be completed in 2030) Crisis in 2011, 2013 in Thailand In 2011, Big Flooding from North to Bangkok Don Muang International Airport Honda Car Factory (2011) Natural Gas Station in Mynmar y April 2013: Shutdown for Maintenance 2 weeks 20% of Electricity of Thailand disappeared. May 2013: Black Out at night 3 hours. 14 Cities south of Thailand. 44 MWp, Bangchak Solar Co., Ltd. , Ayudthaya. (COD 2012) 44 MWp, Bangchak Solar Co., Ltd. , Ayudthaya. (COD 2012) History of Subsidiary Program for Solar in Thailand in Thailand Year Program Name Price of Buy Back Years of Contract Target Until Year 2020 2006 Adder Adder 8 Baht/kWh Adder 8 Baht/kWh +Variable Basic Tariff 3.5 Baht/kWh 10 Years 10 Years 500 MW 500 MW 2010 Adder Adder Adder 6.50 Baht/kWh Adder 6 50 Baht/kWh +Variable Basic Tariff 4 Baht/kWh 10 Years 10 Years 2010 Stop Applications 2012 Revised Target 2013 Feed In Tariff 2,000 MW Fixed 6.16‐6.96 Baht/kWh 25 Years 3,000 MW Bah ht/kW Wh Adder System for Solar Farms, Roofs in Thailand (Announced in 2006) (Announced in 2006) Total 11.50 Baht Total 13 Baht ? Adder 8 Baht Adder 8 Baht Basic Tariff 3.5 Baht B i T iff 5 50 ? B ht Basic Tariff 5.50 ? Baht 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 … Year Bah ht/kW Wh 25 Years Feed In Tariff System of Solar Roof in Thailand (Announced in July 2013. Thailand (Announced in July 2013. Total 6.96 Baht (House <10 kWp) ( p) Total 6.55 Baht (Bldg. 10‐250 kWp) Total 6.16 Baht (Bldg. 250‐1,000 kWp) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 .. Year Target of Renewable Energy for Electricity in Thailand. (Until 2020) Renewable Energy Original Target (MW) Announced in 2012 New Target (MW) Announced in 2013 July. 1. Wind Energy 1,200 1,800 2. Solar Energy 2,000 3,000 3. Minihydro 1,608 324 4. Biomass 3,630 4,800 5. Biogas 600 3,600 6 Waste to Energy 6. Waste to Energy 160 400 3 3 9,201 , 13,927 , 7. Others Total Remarks 1,000 MWp New National Programs of Solar PV Announced by the National Energy Policy Committee and Ministry of Energy on 16th July 2013. Market Volume: 80,000 MB Size: 200 MWp Size: 25 MWp Size: 800 MWp Year: Y 2013 Program: Feed In Tariff Type: Solar Roof Investors: Private Place: Private Source: Bill Year: Y Program: Type: Investor: Place: Source: Year: Year Program: Type: Investor: Place: Source: <10 kWp <10 kWp 6.96 B/kWh (23 Yen) 6 96 B/kWh (23 Yen) 10‐250 kWp 6.55 B/kWh (21 Yen) 250‐1,000 kWp 6.16 B/kWh (20Yen) Market Volume: 16,000 MB 2013‐2014 2013 2014 Self‐Consumption Solar Roof Government Government Bldg. Energy Conservation Promotion Fund) Promotion Fund) 2013‐2014 2013 2014 Solar Community Solar Farm to be selected Local Gov. Bill Year 1‐3: 9.75 B/kWh (32 Y) Year 4‐10: 6.50 B/kWh (21 ) Year 11‐25: 4.50 B/kWh (15) Market Volume: 2,000 MB Market Volume: 64,000 MB Cumulative SSolar PVV Installlation inn Thailaand (MW Wp) 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Forecast of PV Installation in Thailand Government Target 3,000 MWp 3,000 MWp Solar Commun it ity (FIT) Solar Solar Roofs (FIT) Solar Farms (Adder) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Price of Investment in Solar in Thailand Year Solar Roof (2‐10 kWp) MEGA Solar Farm (1‐10 MWp) 2010 150,000‐200,000 Baht/kWp 120‐150 MB/MWp 2011 120,000‐150,000 Baht/kWp 100‐120 MB/MWp 2012 100,000‐120,000 100,000 120,000 Baht/kWp Baht/kWp 80‐100 80 100 MB/MWp MB/MWp 2013 90,000‐100,000 Baht/kWp 70‐80 MB/MWp 2014 70,000‐90,000 Baht/kWp 60‐70 MB/MWp Electricity Flows in Thailand EGAT (Electricity Generating Authority) (State Own) EGAT (El t i it G ti A th it ) (St t O ) IPP (Independent Power Producer) > 90 MW SPP (Small Power Producer) 10‐90 MW MEA (Metropolitan Electricity Authority) (State Own) Bangkok+2 Provinces g VSPP (Very Small Power Producer) <10 MW Consumers in Bangkok + 2 Provinces PEA (Provincial Electricity Authority) (State Own) Bangkok+2 Provinces VSPP (Very Small Power VSPP (Very Small Power Producer) <10 MW Consumers in 73 Provinces Concept of Solar Farms PEA Line, AC 22 kV, 3 phase AC 22 kV, 3 phase VSPP kWh Meter Bangkok Office AC 22 kV, 3 phase Transformers Solar Farm AC 400 V, 3 phase AC Panels AC 400 V, 3 phase Inverters MW DC PV Modules MWp Monitoring & Display System 6 MWp 1.65 MWp 5.6 MWp p 360 MWp completed 360 MWp 73 MWp 0.24 MWp 0.33 MWp 3 .2 kWp 0.63 MWp, Ekarat Engineering PCL., Pracheenburi. (COD 2010) 0.63 MW Ekarat Solar Farm 630 kW Monocrystalline Si Modules 630 kW Inverter 400 V/22 kV Transformer 630 kW Solar Farm, Pracheenburi. 22 kV Lines 1.65 MWp, Solar Park Co., Ltd., Lopburi (COD October 2011) 5.5 MW Solar Farm (Saraburi) 0.55 MWp x 10 = 5.5 MWp, Thai Solar Plant Group, Saraburi (COD June 2012) (COD, J 2012) 5.7 MWp, Thai Solar Plant Group, Saraburi 5 7 MWp Thai Solar Plant Group Saraburi (COD June 2012) 44 MWp, Bangchak Solar Co., Ltd. , Ayudthaya. (COD 2012) 73+11 MWp, Natural Energy Development Co., Ltd. , Lopburi. (COD 2012) 73+11 MWp, Natural Energy Development Co., Ltd. , Lopburi. (COD 2012) 73+11 MWp, Natural Energy Development Co., Ltd. , Lopburi. (COD 2012) 8 MWp, L Solar 1 Co., Ltd. , Kanchanaburi. (COD 2012) Total > 10 MWp, Bangkok Solar Power Co., Ltd. (COD 2009‐2010‐2011‐2012‐‐‐‐) Solar Roof on Residential Buildings 2.0 kWp, Dr. Dusit Kruangam, Bangkok. (2009) 2.0 kWp, Dr. Pirom, Bangkok. (2010) 3.2 kWp, Ms. Wanna Siriwong, Hadyai. (2010) 3.6 kWp, Khunying Sompong Wanissorn, Bangkok. (2010) (Adder) 1.2 kWp, Ms. Sirima Nilrat, Hadyai. (2010) 3.6 kWp, Ms. Marisa Soratja, Ladawan Rangsit, Pathumthanee. (2010) 3.6 kWp, Mr. Danaithorn, Songkhla. (2010) 3.6 kWp, Mr. Montri Uwanno, Hadyai. (2010) Solar Roof on Commercial Buildings 330 kWp, Energy Complex, Bangkok. (2009) Solar Roof on Commercial Buildings 130 kWp, Central World Plaza, Bangkok. (2011) Solar Roof on Commercial Building 240 kWp, IKEA Store, Mega Bangna, Bangkok. (2011) 330 kWp, TESCO LOTUS, Talad 330 kWp TESCO LOTUS Talad Bangphra, Sriracha, Cholburi. Bangphra Sriracha Cholburi (Construction Period Sep‐Dec 2011) Solar Carport 25.8 kWp, Ekarat Solar, Amata City, Rayong. (2009) 24 kWp, Thammasart University, Pathumthani. (2010) 10 kWp, Petchaboon Innovation Co., Ltd., (2010) 7.5 kWp, Sabic Innovative Plastics Co., Ltd., Rayong (2012) Solar Carport 11 kWp, Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL., Samutprakarn. (2011) Book How to Invest and Construct SOLAR FARMS, SOLAR ROOFS in Thailand Author: Size: Pages: Sell: Dr. Dusit Kruangam A5 250 pages 2013 Book Directory Solar Photovoltaic Systems in Thailand h l d Editor: Dr Dusit Kruangam Editor: Dr. Dusit Kruangam Size: A4 Pages: 350 pages Sell: 2013 5.6 5 6 M Wp Comparison Between Japan and Thailand Japan Thailand Population Million 126 60 El Electricity Energy i i E TWh 1 070 1,070 150 Electricity Power GW 282 28 Electricity Consumption per person Electricity Consumption per person kWh/person 8 459 8,459 2 500 2,500 Nuclear Power Plant Plant 53 0 Electricity price Yen/kWh 30 13 Cumulative Solar PV Installation GW 7.4 0.50 Feed In Tariff for Solar Electricity Yen/kWh 42 Yen/kWh (20 Years) 23 Yen/kWh (25 Years) การติดตั้งระบบโซลารเซลล รวมในประเทศญี่ปุนจนถึง ค.ศ. 2012 = 7,000 MW (เฉพา คค.ศ. (เฉพาะ ศ 2012 ตดตง ติดตั้ง 2,000 2 000 MW) ตัวอยางการใหการสนับสนุนจากภาครัฐของประเทศญี่ปุน เพื่อสงเสริมใหประชาชนติดตั้งโซลารรฟ เพอสงเสรมใหประชาชนตดตงโซลารรู (ติดตั้งแลว จํานวนมากกวา 1 ลานหลัง) 1.1 การผลตไฟฟาจากโซลารรู ิ ไฟฟ โ ฟฟใในบาน 1.1 รัฐบาลกลางรับซื้อไฟฟาสวนเกิน (Net Metering) หนวยละ 42 เยน (13 บาท) ระยะเวลา 10 ป 1.2 สนับสนุุนการลงทุุนจากจังหวัด สัดสวน 20%-50% ขึ้นกับนโยบาย ของแตละจังหวัด 2. ใหเงนไมเกน ใหเงินไมเกิน 100,000 เยน (33,000 บาท) ตอโครงการสาหรบการตดตง ตอโครงการสําหรับการติดตั้ง ระบบบริหารจัดการการใชไฟฟา (House Energy Management S t HEMS) System: 3. ใหเงินสนับสนุนลงทุนระบบประหยัดการใชไฟฟา 4. ให ใ เ งินลงทุนติดตั้งแบตเตอรี่ชนิด Li Ion รถยนตไฟฟา ไไมเกิน 1 ลา นเยน ตอโครงการ Wind Solar Greeny Gifu, 1) International International Cooperation between Japan Cooperation between Japan and Thailand on PV during 1974‐2012 1) Thailand‐Japan Joint Workshop on PV Support by JSPS Y Year J Japan Th il d Thailand 1990 Hamakawa, Chaya, Konagai Somsak, Dusit ?1996 Hamakawa, Chaya, Konagai Somsak, Dusit 2004 Konagai 2012 Konagai Dec 7‐ 8 P i Province P j t Project Bangkok, Srakeow 1st Joint Workshop, Field Trip Bangkok, Phuket, Chiangmai 2nd Joint Workshop, Field Trip 3rd Joint p, Workshop, Field trip Porponth Kobsak, Dusit Bangkok, Lopburi p 4th Joint Workshop Workshop, Field Trip Ph t Photo 2) Dr. Students from Japan Universities Year Universityy Laboratoryy Place of Work in Thailand Name of Thai Dr. 1974 Osaka Inuishi, Shirafuji Chulalongkorn Dr. Somsak 1987 Osaka Shirafuji Kasetsrat Dr. Korakot 1987 TIT Konagai NSTDA, TIT Dr. Porponth 1988 Osaka Hamakawa, Chulalongkorn, Okamoto Thai Solar F t Future Dr. Dusit 1990‐ 2012 TIT Konagai NECTEC, NSTDA Dr. Kobsak, Dr. Amornrat Dr. Jarun, Dr. Thaweewat, Dr. Suttirat, D S Dr. Sorapong, Dr. Assawin Total About 12 Dr. Ritsumeikan Photo 3) New Energy Development Organization (NEDO) Projects Year Japan Thailand Province Type kWp 1980 NEDO PEA Tak Stand Alone, Grid 120 2000 NEDO DEDE Libon Island Ranong Minigrid 100 2008 NEDO Naresuan University Pissanulok Grid 120 Photo 4) Machinery for Production of PV Modules Y Year J Japan Th il d Thailand P i Province M hi Machine 2003 NPC Solartron Nakornractchas ima Module 15 Assemblying 2004 NPC Ekarat Solar Chasengsao 2005 Sharp Sharp Nakornpathom Module Assenblying MW MWp 10 Module 7 Assemblying Ph t Photo 5) R&D Projects on Fabrication of PV Year Japan p Thailand Province Machine kWp p 1986 Donated from JICA Chulalongkorn University Bangkok Electron Beam Evaporator R&D 1987 Donated from Hitachi Foundation Chulalongkorn University Bangkok Solar Simulator R&D 1988 Donated Donated from Osaka University Chulalongkorn University Bangkok Glow Discharge Glow Discharge Plasma CVD for amorphous silicon R&D 2002 Donated from JICA Chulalongkorn University Bangkok MBE for III‐V Compounds R&D Photo 5) R&D Projects on Fabrication of PV (continued 2) Year Japan Thailand Province Machine kWp 1990 TIT Technology Solar Energy Research L b Laboratory Bangkok Plasma CVD for amorphous silicon solar ili l cells Pilot Production Li Line Photo 6) Demonstration Projects of Grid‐Connected Systems Y Year J Japan 2000 P i Province P j t Project kW kWp Mitsubishi, EGAT Kaneka, others Several 10 Solar Roofs on Residential 2.5 x 10 2002 Mitsubishi, EGAT Kaneka, others Several 50 Solar Roofs on Residential 2.5 x 50 2003 Mitsubishi, EGAT Kaneka, others 5 x 10 Several Provincial Office Building Several Factories 10 x 6 2004 Th il d Thailand Mitsubishi, Federation of Thai Kaneka, I d Industries i others Ph t Photo 7) Thailand‐Japan Joint R&D on PV Y Year J Japan Th il d Thailand P i Province P j t Project Gifu NECTEC, University TPVA (Prof (Prof. Nonomura, Prof. Kobayashi) y ) Bangkok Forecast of Climate and PV Generation AIST (Dr. Kondo) Bangkok Monitoring of PV Generation Generation from Different Modules NECTEC KMUTT NEDO, JICA, Naresuan, Institute for Development p of Economy and Commuynity Power kW kWp 5 x 5 Ph t Photo Examples of Brands of PV Modules Installed in Thailand Thailand Japan China Germany Ekarat Solar (c) Solartron (C) Thai Agency E i Engineering (C) i (C) Bangkok Solar (TF) Kyocera (c) Kyocera (c) Sharp (C) Mitsubishi (C) Panasonic (C) Panasonic (C) Solar Frontier (TF) Mitsubishi (TF) Sharp (TF) Sharp (TF) Kaneka (TF) Suntech (C) (C) Chint Solar (C Chint Solar (TF) Chaori (C) SUNGEN (TF) DuPont Apollo (TF) GS Solar (TF) GS Solar (TF) Q.Cells Q Cells Hanhwa(C) Conergy (C) Solar World (C) Schott Solar (C) Schott Solar (C) REC Solar (C) First Solar (TF) Schott Solar (TF) Schott Solar (TF) USA Taiwan UNI‐SOLAR (TF) DelSolar Power Com (C) ( ) Green Energy Technology (TF) NexPower (TF) Examples of Brands of Inverters Installed in Thailand Thailand Japan China Germany Leonics Delta Sanyo Denki Sanyo Denki Sharp (Hitachi) (Fuji Electric) (Fuji Electric) Chint Power Sun Grow ?? SMA Oelmaier Schneider ABB Conergy Austria Korea Taiwan USA Fronius Soleaf (Dasstech) Delta Power One ??? Thailand is in the center of 600 Million Population “ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)” (to Start from the Year 2015) ** **Center and Bridge of Investment of Solar Photovoltaic Projects*** d d f f l h l *** Thai Photovoltaic Industries Association (TPVA) Establishment Acting Chairman WWW E‐Mail: Tel: June 2012 June 2012 Prof. Dr. Dusit Kruangam www.TPVA2012.com dusit@tpva2012.com dusit@thaisolarfuture.com 085‐918‐3691 085 918 3691 Appendix pp Solar Modules Inverters DC AC AC Cabinet (AC Surge Protectors) AC Electricity Selling kWh Meter AC <10 kWp 6.96 Baht/kWh (23 Y) 25 Years Y Electricity Buying kWh Meter Consumer Unit AC AC Case of Low Voltage House Solar Roof System with Feed In Tariff Program AC MEA, PPEA, Low Vooltage Liness House Solar Modules Inverters DC AC AC Cabinet (AC Surge Protectors) AC Electricity Selling kWh Meter AC 10-250 kWp 6.55 Baht/kWkh 21 Y 25 Years Electricity Buying kWh Meter MDB or Consumer Unit AC AC Case of Low Voltage House Solar Roof System with Feed In Tariff Program AC MEA, PPEA, Low Vooltage Liness Enterprise Building SME Solar Modules Inverters AC DC AC Cabinet (AC Surge Protectors) AC Electricity Selling kWh Meter AC Transformer 22-33 kV/ 380-400 V AC Enterprise Building SME AC MDB or Consumer Unit Transformer 22-33 kV/ 380 400 V 380-400 Electricity Buying kWh Meter AC AC Case of Medium Voltage Customer Solar Roof System with Feed In Tariff Program AC MEA, PEAA, Medium VVoltage Linees (22-33 kVV) 10-250 kWp 6.55 Baht/kWh 21 Y 25 Years Solar Modules Inverters AC DC AC Cabinet (AC Surge Protectors) AC Electricity Selling kWh Meter AC Transformer 22-33 kV/ 380-400 V AC Enterprise Building AC MDB or Consumer Unit Transformer 22-33 kV/ 380 400 V 380-400 Electricity Buying kWh Meter AC AC Case of Medium Voltage Customer Solar Roof System with Feed In Tariff Program AC MEA, PEAA, Medium VVoltage Linees (22-33 kVV) >250 kWp 6.19 Baht/kWh 20 Y 25 Years Normal Electricity Prices in Thailand Normal Electricity Prices in Thailand Residence Normal Meter 3‐4 Baht/kWh 3 4 B ht/kWh (10‐13 Y) 1 Baht = 3.3 Yen TOU Meter Before VAT B f VAT On Peak: 09:00‐22:00 hrs 5.72 Baht/kWh (18 Y) (18 Y) Off Peak: 22:00‐09:00 hrs. 2.80 Baht/kWh (9 Y) (9 Y) Commercial TOU Meter Before VAT B f VAT On Peak: 09:00‐22:00 hrs 4.00‐4.50 Baht/kWh Off Peak: 22:00 09:00 hrs Off Peak: 22:00‐09:00 hrs. 2.80‐3.00 Baht/kWh + Demand Peak: 132‐196 Baht/kW MWp PV Grid Connection (Operating in March 2013) 99 % Solar Farm (Adder) l ( dd ) 486 MWp 486 MWp <1% S l R ft Solar Rooftops 2 MWp p Adder 10% Selfuse 90% Size: Year: Program: g Type: Investors: Place: Source: 200 MWp p 2013 Feed In Tariff Solar Roof Private Private Ft <10 kWp 10‐250 kWp 250‐1,000 kWp 6.96 B/kWh (23 Y) 6.55 B/kWh (21 Y) 6.16 B/kWh (20) Market Volume: 16,000 MB Market of PV in Thailand On Grid Solar Systems Solar Roofs Off Grid Solar Systems Solar Farms Size •1‐10 kWp: Residential •10‐250 kWp: Commercial Bldg. •250—1 250 1,000 kWp: Commercial Bldg., 000 kWp: Commercial Bldg Non‐Electrified Area Size •VSPP: 0.5‐10 MWp •SPP: 10‐90 MWp Size •0.1‐50 kWp (with Batteries) Customers Private Projects Government Projects Module Manufacturers in Thailand Company Product Solartron Plc. Cryst. Si Modules Bangkok Solar A Si Cells/Modules A-Si A-Si Cells/Modules A-Si Cells/Modules C t Si M Cryst. Modules d l Cryst. Si Modules A-Si Modules Cryst. Si Modules Cryst. Si Cells Sharp (Thailand) Sh (Th il d) Thai Agencies Ekarat Solar Total Capacity Location (MW) 75Nakornraschasrima 5Chaseongsao 10Chaseongsao 15Chaseongsao 7N k 7Nakornpathom th 5Ayodthaya 5Ayodthaya 15Chaseongsao 25Rayong 162 กราฟแสดงสัดสวนของปริมาณการติดตั้งโซลารรูฟ ตอ โซลารฟารม ในตางประเทศ (2011) กรณี กรณ ประเทศญปุ่ปน โซลารรู ประเทศญี โซลารรฟ (MW) ตอ ตอ โซลารฟารม โซลารฟารม (MW) = 98% ตอ ตอ 2% ประเทศเยอรมนี โซลารรูฟ (MW) ตอ โซลารฟารม (MW) = 90% ตอ 10% New RE Plan in EU (2020) ในประเทศเยอรมนี ระบบโซลารเซลลและลม สามารถผลิตไฟฟาปอนเขาระบบ เพื่อ Cut Peak วนท เพอ วันที่ 8 พฤษภา 2011 ไดมากถง ไดมากถึง 50% ของความ ตองการพลังงานไฟฟา ราคา FIT ทรฐบาลญปุ ที่รฐั บาลญี่ปนรัรบซอไฟฟาจากระบบโซลารเซลล บซื้อไฟฟาจากระบบโซลารเซลล