ENERGY WORKING FOR BRITAIN Wylfa Newydd Project Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Executive Summary ES.1 Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited (Horizon) intends to submit an application for a development consent order (DCO) for a proposed new nuclear power station at Wylfa on Anglesey in North Wales ('Wylfa Newydd Project' or 'Project'). ES.2 Horizon has committed to undertake a Health Impact Assessment (HIA) for the Wylfa Newydd Project, and has commissioned Ben Cave Associates to undertake that work. Ultimately the HIA will form one of a number of documents that Horizon will submit to accompany its application for a DCO. ES.3 This document is the HIA Scoping Report. It establishes the matters that Horizon considers are relevant for further assessment in the HIA and Horizon's approach to undertaking the HIA. Horizon is seeking comments and feedback about this proposed scoping report and in particular the assessment approach from key stakeholders before the HIA is carried out. ES.4 The HIA will assess the potential effects of the Wylfa Newydd Project on health, wellbeing and inequalities, having regard to the characteristics of local communities and the workforce during construction and operation. The HIA will propose mitigation measures that Horizon may integrate into the Wylfa Newydd Project to enhance positive impacts and mitigate negative effects. ES.5 The indicative timescale for each phase of the Wylfa Newydd Project is summarised in Table ES.1. Table ES.1 Indicative Project Activity Sequence Notes: Graded shading represents indicative start and end dates. The arrows are coloured and represent different stages in the project: blue refers to the Main Consultation Stage activities and purple refers to Associated Development. Orange denotes full operation of the power station. Conversion to Legacy Benefits refers to the point at which construction activity is sufficiently complete that Associated Development and the Wylfa Gateway Complex can be converted to long term permanent use. This does not apply to the A5025 highway improvements as these will deliver benefit immediately. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page iii Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report ES.6 The potential health issues which Horizon has identified for further consideration in the HIA are set out in Table ES.2. Table ES.2 Potential Health Issues To Be Considered Further In The HIA Potential Health Issues Construction Opportunities to promote physical activity Increase in risk-taking activity (including communicable diseases) Change in community identity, social networks and culture Change in housing demand and supply Changes to local air quality (including dust emissions) Changes in noise exposure Change in employment, income and economic development Change in demand for medical and healthcare services Changes in transport, including type and volume of vehicles Change in opportunities for education and training Operation Change in employment, income and economic development Change in opportunities for education and training Energy generation to meet demand and maintain affordability Energy generation through low carbon technology Understanding of radiological risks (including unplanned events) ES.7 The study areas for each of these potential health issues are influenced by the geographic extent of the potential health effect being assessed. The study areas will be different for different types of effect and will range from those that occur near or on the power station site to those that occur at an international level. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page iv Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report ES.8 A Steering Group has been established to guide the HIA and to ensure that local stakeholders have wider participation in, and a greater sense of ownership of, the process. The Steering Group includes members representing the interests of local communities and is chaired by the Executive Director of Public Health for Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board. ES.9 This Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report is being consulted upon with key stakeholders at the same time as the first stage of formal pre-application consultation (taking place between 29 September and 8 December) for the Wylfa Newydd Project. ES.10 This HIA Scoping Report is being circulated to key stakeholders. Recipients are invited to submit their comments and details on how to provide feedback are set out in Section 5 of this HIA Scoping Report. ES.11 The indicative timescales for preparing the HIA are set out in Table ES.3. Table ES.3 Indicative Timescales For Preparing The HIA Activities relevant to the HIA Application stage Timescale Stage One pre-application consultation late 2014 Engagement on HIA Scoping Report Stage Two assessment late 2014 / early 2015 Stakeholder Engagement and Assessment Stage Two documents mid 2015 Preparation of Initial HIA Report Stage Two pre-application consultation late 2015 Engagement on Initial HIA Report Prepare application for Development Consent Order early / mid 2016 Preparation of Final HIA Report Submit application for Development Consent Order early 2017 Final HIA Report is submitted © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page v Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page vi Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 1 Introduction Overview 1.1 Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited (Horizon) intends to submit an application for a development consent order (DCO) for a proposed new nuclear power station at Wylfa, Anglesey (the 'Wylfa Newydd Project or ‘Project’). 1.2 The Wylfa Newydd Project Health Impact Assessment (HIA), commissioned by Horizon will be prepared by an independent company, Ben Cave Associates, in accordance with the National Policy Statement for Nuclear Power Generation (EN6) (1) and the Infrastructure Planning Commission’s Scoping Opinion1 (Scoping Opinion). 1.3 This Wylfa Newydd HIA Scoping Report uses a number of technical terms which are capitalised and are explained in the glossary provided in Appendix A. Purpose Of The HIA Scoping Report 1.4 This HIA Scoping Report sets out the matters that have been identified as relevant for consideration in this Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report and provides transparency about the proposed approach to undertaking the HIA. This HIA Scoping Report is being circulated to key stakeholders. Recipients are invited to submit their comments and information about how to provide feedback is set out in Section 5 of this HIA Scoping Report. 1.5 The subsequent sections of this HIA Scoping Report provide an explanation of the HIA process, the intended scope of the HIA and the next steps in undertaking the HIA. 1 Under the Infrastructure Planning (Environmental Impact Assessment) Regulations 2009 Horizon submitted an Environmental Scoping Report to the Infrastructure Planning Commission (IPC) (Now known as the Planning Inspectorate) in November 2009. The IPC issued a formal Scoping Opinion on the information to be provided in an environmental statement in April 2010. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 1 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 2 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 2 Project Overview 2.1 The project is to construct a new nuclear power station on a site that has been identified in UK Government policy as potentially suitable for nuclear generation. 2.2 The proposed power station would include two nuclear reactors, each forming part of a generating unit, with a combined electrical output of at least 2,700 megawatts. This is enough low carbon electricity to satisfy the needs of around five million homes. 2.3 The majority of the permanent power station buildings, plant and structures would be situated within the Power Station Site, which is shown in Figure 2.1. The main operational plant and structures of the power station, which are also indicated in Figure 2.1, include: 2.4 2.5 Two UK advanced boiling water reactors (UK ABWRs) to be supplied by Hitachi-GE Nuclear Energy, Ltd., and associated plant and structures (forming two Nuclear Islands); Steam turbines, electrical generators and associated structures (forming two Conventional Islands); Plant, systems and associated structures that serve both generating units, including the cooling water system (Balance of Plant); and Buildings and other structures that are necessary to support the construction, operation and management of the power station (Ancillary Structures). Horizon will also develop a small number of emergency and other facilities that would form part of the power station but be situated Off-Site. An alternate emergency control centre providing back-up command and communications facilities to manage any incidents remotely; A survey laboratory to manage radiological surveys in the local area; and A specialist vehicle store. These facilities would form part of the operational power station. Sites have not yet been identified, but would need to be outside any defined emergency zone around the power station Site, as well as being in easy reach of key access routes. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 3 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Figure 2.1 Indicative Distribution Of Project Components – Power Station Site And Surroundings © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 4 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 2.6 The Project would necessarily give rise to radioactive wastes. Specially designed facilities would be constructed to store Spent Fuel and other types of radioactive waste, as required. All necessary safety, environmental and security arrangements for the power station would be put in place in accordance with the UK regulatory regime. 2.7 Water for the cooling water system, which is used in the non-nuclear circuits to condense steam, would be taken from and returned to the Irish Sea via intake and outfall structures. A cooling water intake/pumphouse is proposed to be located at Porth-y-pistyll. To protect the cooling water intake/pumphouse structures from storm damage and to prevent air getting into the cooling water system, a breakwater structure is planned to the north-west of Porth-y-pistyll, with a second and smaller breakwater to the north-east. The cooling water outfall is proposed to be constructed to the south-west of Wylfa Head. 2.8 In order to provide some visual and noise screening of the power station for neighbouring communities, mounds would be formed and landscaped, helping to create an appropriate setting for the power station. To achieve this, material excavated during construction would be used and, as such, the appearance of the land within the Wylfa Newydd Development Area, which is the indicative area of land that would be used for the construction and operation of the power station (see Figure 2.2), would change as construction progresses, leading to the completion of the final landscaped power station. 2.9 An appropriate landscape setting would be secured by a Landscape and Biodiversity Masterplan. The Landscape and Biodiversity Masterplan would be developed to take into account a number of factors such as environmental effects and mitigation proposals, ecology and recreational and agricultural use, and the earthworks taking place on the Wylfa Newydd Development Area. 2.10 A number of public footpaths, including the Wales Coast Path, would be affected by the construction activities, necessitating the creation of diversions and some closures. The existing Cemlyn Road, which is part of the Copper Trail cycle route, would also need to be closed. Nanner Road provides an alternative access to Cemlyn Bay from the A5025 and highway improvements would be undertaken to enhance this route. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 5 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Figure 2.2 Wylfa Newydd Development Area – Indicative Area © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 6 2.11 Notes: Graded shading represents indicative start and end dates. The arrows are coloured and represent different stages in the project: blue refers to the Main Consultation Stage activities and purple refers to Associated Development. Orange denotes full operation of the power station. Conversion to Legacy Benefits refers to the point at which construction activity is sufficiently complete that Associated Development and the Wylfa Gateway Complex can be converted to long term permanent use. This does not apply to the A5025 highway improvements as these will deliver benefit immediately Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report In terms of construction activities, in the first instance there would be a need for enabling works to prepare the Wylfa Newydd Development Area for the Main Construction stage. The enabling works would include site clearance and site levelling works. These enabling works are anticipated to last approximately five years, with some activities overlapping with the main construction stage (refer to Figure 2.3 for further information). Figure 2.3 Indicative Project Activity Sequence © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 7 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 2.12 The Main Construction Stage would include further levelling works and deep excavations to form working platforms for the construction of the main foundations of the power station. In addition, the power station construction requirements are likely to include temporary fabrication and laydown areas, construction office and welfare facilities, car parking, cranes and temporary storage. A marine off-loading facility (MOLF), which would include two purpose built quays to allow delivery of construction components and other materials by sea, would be constructed at Porth-y-pistyll, taking advantage of the shelter that would be provided by the proposed breakwaters. The Main Construction stage would last approximately nine years. 2.13 The construction workforce for the Project would be around 4,000 for the majority of the time and could reach 8,500 during peak periods. Once operational the power station would employ up to 1,000 workers, with approximately 1,000 additional workers during planned outages for maintenance. Job roles would range from entry level positions, through supervisory and managerial positions to technical and specialised jobs. Horizon intends to develop a local and regional operational workforce through coordinated approaches to defining jobs and skills, linked to supporting appropriate training opportunities. Horizon also promotes the development and use of local supply chains for the Project. 2.14 Horizon would need to develop facilities away from the Wylfa Newydd Development Area, particularly for the proportion of construction workers who are not local. These facilities largely comprise Associated Development such as Off-Site Temporary Worker Accommodation and Park and Ride facilities. 2.15 In order to ensure that there is a route suitable for use by heavy goods vehicles (HGVs), various highway improvement works, especially on the A5025 between Valley and Wylfa, would be needed. In addition, Horizon would construct at least one Logistics Centre to allow the delivery of freight to the Wylfa Newydd Development Area to be appropriately controlled. 2.16 Utilities such as water and sewerage would be needed to support both construction and operation of the power station and Horizon is working with statutory undertakers to ensure appropriate utilities provision. 2.17 Horizon is keen to ensure appropriate community facilities would be developed as part of the Project to cater for the construction workforce and to mitigate against the loss of existing facilities (such as the existing Wylfa Visitor Centre and Wylfa Sports and Social Club). Horizon is exploring measures for the provision of these community facilities. These, as well as other parts of the Project (such as the road improvements) would be designed to ensure a positive legacy benefit, particularly for the communities of Anglesey and North Wales. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 8 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 2.18 It is expected that the Existing power station will be decommissioned during the same time period as the construction of the power station at Wylfa. Therefore the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA will have regard to the likely effects associated with the decommissioning stage of the Existing power station, especially if the decommissioning is likely to lead to a temporary increase in workers on the Existing Power Station site. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 9 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 10 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 3 Health Impact Assessment Overview 3.1 HIA provides a systematic framework for considering the potential health effects associated with policies, plans or projects and consists of five stages (as set out at paragraph 3.8). The first stage is 'screening' to identify whether an HIA is needed. Once it has been decided that an HIA should be prepared for a project, the second stage is to identify the appropriate focus of the HIA; this is referred to as setting the scope and doing so is the purpose of this Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report. 3.2 Setting the scope, and engaging on the intended scope through this Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report, seeks to ensure that the subsequent stages of the HIA concentrate on those issues that are most important for the health and wellbeing of people living, visiting and working on Anglesey, and where appropriate, in North Wales. Objectives Of HIA 3.3 The application of HIA can provide benefits to stakeholders, developers and decision makers. The objectives of the HIA are to identify: Potentially positive and negative significant health effects of the development of the Project; Opportunities for improving health and reducing health inequalities; and, Mitigation opportunities. 3.4 The objective of this HIA Scoping Report is to identify the most important health effects of the Wylfa Newydd Project for further assessment thus establishing the terms of reference for the HIA. 3.5 The World Health Organization's (WHO) (the directing and coordinating authority for health within the United Nations) definition of health has been adopted for the purposes of the HIA. This is a comprehensive definition that considers a range of aspects of health and social wellbeing including physical and mental health. Health Health Impact Assessment ... a state of complete physical, mental and social wellbeing and not merely the absence of disease or infirmity (2). ... a combination of procedures, methods and tools that systematically judges the potential, and sometimes unintended, effects of a policy, plan, programme or project on both the health of a population and the distribution of those effects within the population. HIA identifies appropriate actions to manage those effects (3). © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 11 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 3.6 Figure 3.1 shows how human health is affected by factors ranging from individual concerns such as age, sex and hereditary factors to those which cover increasingly large populations, such as the local economy, built environment and the natural environment. These are called determinants of health and wellbeing. These include determinants that can improve and protect health as well as determinants that might harm health. Figure 3.1 Determinants Of Health And Wellbeing Source: Based on the Whitehead and Dahlgren diagram (4) as amended by Barton and Grant (5) 3.7 Examining the ways in which the Project influences these determinants and the likely effects on the health of communities and individuals is a key role of HIA. As noted above these effects might be on physical health or on mental health. The effects of the Project might be experienced differently by different population groups: population groups can be identified by factors including (but not limited to) age, gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, place of residence or by dint of preexisting health status. The HIA will look also at possible effects on, and ways to reduce, health inequality and inequity which is defined as avoidable differences in health (6;7). © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 12 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Methodology 3.8 3.9 The methodology for the HIA is based on guidance produced by Wales Health Impact Assessment Support Unit (WHIASU) Health Impact Assessment: A practical guide (8). The methodology will incorporate aspects of the Mental Well-Being Impact Assessment Toolkit so as to ensure that relevant mental health issues are identified and addressed in the HIA process (9). The WHIASU guidance document identifies five steps in undertaking HIA: Step one: Screening – deciding whether to undertake a HIA; Step two: Scoping – deciding the focus, methods and work plan; Step three: Appraisal of Evidence – identifying the health impacts; Step four: Reporting and Recommendations; and Step five: Monitoring and Evaluation. The HIA will reflect a number of key principles that are noted in the WHIASU guidance including: Open to stakeholders and a transparent process; Democratic in supporting participation; Robust in its methods and ethical use of evidence; Equitable by seeking to reduce health inequalities; and Sustainable in considering short and long term impacts. 3.10 The HIA examines the potential health and wellbeing (including mental wellbeing) impacts that are expected to occur as a result of the Project. It will identify health issues that should be the subject of management or monitoring should the Project receive requisite approvals. With reference to monitoring and evaluating the predicted changes in health (Step five in the WHIASU guidance) the HIA will identify any areas where monitoring of predicted effects is required. 3.11 The HIA assessment process will use quantitative, qualitative and participatory techniques to identify the potential effects on health, wellbeing and health inequities – both beneficial and adverse – of the Project. 3.12 The HIA will examine peer-reviewed literature and other reports on the potential health effects of large construction projects and of nuclear facilities. Particular interest will be paid to the potential effects on island and coastal communities. This will not involve conducting original research from primary data although the HIA will draw upon the results from stakeholder engagement activities to understand the potential effects of the Project. 3.13 In addition, the outputs from assessments prepared as part of other studies, notably the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), will be used as inputs to the HIA (see © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 13 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report paragraphs 4.28 to 4.31). Table 3.1 sets out the main activities that form the methodology at each step of the HIA process. Table 3.1 HIA Steps, Activities And Outputs Step HIA activities HIA outputs Screening • Consider the potential effects on determinants of health • Identify population groups that may be affected • Record the decision Record of Screening (see Appendix A) Scoping • • • • HIA Scoping Report (this document) Appraisal of Evidence • • • • Review evidence on potential health effects Profile the affected population Stakeholder engagement Undertake assessment to identify the significant risks to health • Identify measures to mitigate negative effects • Identify measures to enhance positive effects Incorporated into initial HIA Report Reporting • Prepare documentation to communicate the results of the assessment initial HIA Report final HIA Report 3.14 Describe the Project and timescales Identify the most important health effects Define the area of study Provide an overview of future work Paragraph 5.2 and Table 5.1 provides estimates of timescales for the outputs of the HIA process. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 14 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Governance 3.15 A Steering Group has been established to guide the Project HIA and to ensure that local stakeholders have wider participation in, and a greater sense of ownership of, the process. The Steering Group is chaired by the Executive Director of Public Health for Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board. The Steering Group is comprised of representatives from: Public Health Wales; Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board; Welsh Government; WHIASU; IACC; Anglesey Energy Island; The Project Liaison Group; and Horizon. 3.16 Natural Resources Wales, the Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards (CRCE) (part of Public Health England),2 and the Office for Nuclear Regulation are observers at the Steering Group meetings. The Chair of the Project Liaison Group3 represents local community interests in the Steering Group. 3.17 The scope of the HIA for the Project has been informed by the views of the Steering Group. In addition to issues discussed at meetings, a formal scoping exercise was undertaken by a sub working group of the Steering Group with the following objectives: 3.18 2 3 Ensure that where possible all the potential determinants of health had been taken into account during the screening stage; Provide a strong base for the scoping stage; Identify the likely key issues for focus in the HIA; and Identify possible mitigation and enhancement measures. A record of the outputs of the exercise undertaken by the sub working group is presented in Appendix B. Specialist radiation protection information and advisory services are provided in Wales by Public Health England’s Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards (CRCE). Whilst Public Health Wales does not provide any specific radiation protection services over those provided through the CRCE, it has responsibility to manage and coordinate the public health response to radiation related issues, incidents and events. The group formed by Horizon in 2010 to enable representatives of community groups and organisations to receive updates from Horizon on plans for the Wylfa Newydd Project. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 15 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 16 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 4 Scope Of The Health Impact Assessment Overview 4.1 This chapter sets out the purpose of HIA scoping and presents the potential health issues for further consideration. Purpose 4.2 Scoping is the second step in the HIA methodology. The objective of scoping is to determine the appropriate subject focus of the HIA so the potential health and wellbeing effects of the Project, and scope for mitigation, are identified (see Table 4.1). 4.3 This Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report also provides signposting to other studies that are being undertaken by Horizon on related issues, for example detailed studies on the environment, socio-economic and cultural determinants of health, to ensure that potential issues are being assessed and managed (see paragraph 4.28 to 4.31). Table 4.1 Items To Be Considered In Determining The Scope Of The HIA HIA scope Description Description of the Project The components of the Project Project stages timescales The timescales for each of the stages of the Project Other studies An overview of the other studies that have been commissioned, relevant to the HIA Potential health effects Identification of the potential health effects that form the focus of the HIA Area of study Description of the geographical area over which potential health effects will be considered The community and the workforce The population groups that are expected to experience resultant health effects Approach To HIA 4.4 The HIA will examine the potential impacts on health, wellbeing and health inequalities from the Project, having regard to the characteristics of the local population and workforce during construction and operation and taking into account relevant guidance. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 17 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 4.5 The HIA will focus on the health impacts associated with the Main Construction and Full Operation components of the Project as described above. The HIA will be submitted as part of the application for a DCO. 4.6 Where applications for enabling works and Associated Development are brought forward by Horizon (in advance of the application for a DCO) these will be subject to a "Rapid HIA", which is described by WHIASU: “A Rapid HIA can take days or weeks and usually includes the establishment of a small steering group and often uses the approach of a participatory stakeholder workshop – it typically involves a brief investigation of health impacts, including a short literature review of quantitative and qualitative evidence and the gathering of knowledge and further evidence from a number of local stakeholders.” [WHIASU]. This approach will enable specific and / or local health issues relevant to the Enabling Works and Associated Development to be taken into account by decision makers for the relevant applications. The Project HIA will consider the health effects of all the components of the Project together as a whole - including enabling works and Associated Development. 4.7 For decommissioning, the long timescales (i.e. approximately 70 years in the future) and the uncertainties surrounding the nature of the proposals and the future profile and health of the local population means that the decommissioning stage will only be assessed in brief and qualitative terms in the HIA. 4.8 Where the health effects predicted in the HIA could be influenced by other planned developments in the study area , it will be made clear where these have influenced the assessment. The cumulative impacts of the decommissioning of the Existing power station and the Project will be assessed as part of the HIA, further information on cumulative effects is provided in paragraph 4.32 and Table 5.1. Potential Health Effects 4.9 The objective of this HIA Scoping Report is to identify the most important health effects for further assessment thus establishing the terms of reference for the HIA. The complex nature of the Project, the all-encompassing definition of health, and the interaction of factors that influence the health of communities means that there is a wide range of potential health and wellbeing impacts associated with the Project. The sections below describe how the scope of the assessment has been determined to date. 4.10 To identify potential health effects, the HIA team has used guidance documents, such as those developed by WHIASU (8) and the IACC HIA tool (10). The WHIASU and IACC guidance documents enable a systematic consideration of how the Project could affect each of the determinants of health. 4.11 Information from other relevant HIAs and studies (for example Hinkley Point C Nuclear power station) has also helped to identify potentially relevant health effects. 4.12 The characteristics of the identified potential health effects are shown in Table 4.2. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 18 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Table 4.2 Characterisation Of Potential Health Effects Characteristic Definition Project stage The stage of the Project where the health effect would occur (e.g. Main Construction / Full Operation). A description of the change that would result from the Project and give rise to a health effect. A measurable or observable change in health. The health determinant (e.g. lifestyles, social and community factors, living and environmental conditions, economic conditions, access and quality of services, wider sustainability issues) which would be associated with a change in health outcome. The likely nature of the health effect (e.g. positive / negative / uncertain). The geographical distribution of the health effect (e.g. from local to international). See Table 4.4. The timescale over which the health effect would occur (e.g. from a few months to irreversible changes). The likely number of people that would experience the health effect. The groups of the population that would experience the health effect and whether any of those groups or communities are considered vulnerable. Whether mitigation measures to address the potential health issue have been identified and adopted already or whether a regulatory regime is in place to manage the potential health issue. Potential health issue Health effect (outcome) Health determinant Direction of change Distribution Duration Number of people affected Population groups Mitigation / Regulation 4.13 For each of the potential health issues identified in Table 4.3, the HIA will examine the health effects that are likely to result. These issues are expected to be of importance to both physical and mental health. This will be based on reviews of published literature and the views of stakeholders. Appendix B includes a summary of the determinants of health that are not proposed to be included in the Project HIA. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 19 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Table 4.3 Potential Health Issues For Further Consideration In The HIA Potential Health Issues Health pathway / determinant Positive or negative Distribution of Effects Lifestyle Lifestyle Positive Negative Local Local Social and Community factors Living and environmental conditions Living and environmental conditions Living and environmental conditions Economic conditions Uncertain Local Uncertain Local / Regional Negative Local / Regional Negative Site / Local Positive Regional Access and quality of services Access and quality of services Access and quality of services Uncertain Local / Regional Negative Local / Regional Positive Local / Regional Economic conditions Positive Local / Regional Access and quality of services Sustainability Positive Local / Regional Positive Sustainability Positive Sustainability Uncertain National / International National / International Site / Local / Regional / International Main Construction Opportunities to promote physical activity Increase in risk-taking activity (including communicable diseases) Change in community identity, social networks and culture Change in housing demand and supply Changes to local air quality (including dust) Changes in noise exposure Change in employment, income and economic development Change in demand for medical and healthcare services Changes in transport; type and volume of vehicles Increased opportunities for education and training Full Operation Change in employment, income and economic development Changes in opportunities for education and training Energy generation to meet demand and maintain affordability Energy generation through low carbon technology Understanding of radiological risks (including unplanned events) © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 20 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Area Of Study 4.14 The study areas for the Project HIA (the spatial scope) are influenced by the geographic extent of the potential health effects being assessed. The study areas will be different for different types of effect. For example, any effects related to noise are likely to be experienced close to the source, whereas those related to transport would be expected to be experienced over a much larger area. 4.15 Table 4.4 defines the geographic areas by which the effects identified in Table 4.3 might be distributed. Table 4.4 Geographic Area Of Distribution Of Effect Distribution Geographic area Site At or in the vicinity of the Power Station Site Local Within or across Anglesey Regional North Wales4 National Wales International Outside UK The Community and the Workforce 4.16 An important part of the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA is to develop an understanding of the people who will potentially going to be affected by the Project. The number of people, their demography and their vulnerability are characteristics that influence the scale and impact of potential health effects. The community and the workforce are two of the population groups relevant to the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA. Community 4.17 The Wylfa Newydd Project HIA will include information on the existing population, referred to as a 'community profile'. This community profile will help to identify how many people would be likely to experience changes in their health and to identify vulnerable sections of the population. A short overview of the population and health of Anglesey is set out below based on information from Public Health Wales (11). 4.18 The population of Anglesey is approximately 70,000. Population density is lower than the average for Wales. A high proportion of the population speak Welsh (57% compared to an average of 19% in Wales). Around 9.6% of the population are over 75 years of age. This is above the average for North Wales and also for Wales (9.3% and 8.6% respectively). The highest proportion of older people is resident in the east of Anglesey. 4 North Wales is the County Council Areas of Anglesey, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd and Wrexham. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 21 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 4.19 A number of indicators provide an overview of the health of the community. For life expectancy at birth, rates for both males and females on Anglesey are above the average for Wales. Mortality rates5 in Anglesey are the lowest in North Wales and are significantly lower than the national average. Morbidity status (ill health) can be measured by statistics on limiting long term illness (which includes problems due to old age); the Anglesey rate of 27% is the same as rates for Wales as a whole. 4.20 Measures of deprivation can provide indicators of relative inequalities in health across geographical areas (see Figure 4.1). The Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation records that deprivation levels on Anglesey are approximately the same as those of North Wales.6 4.21 The potential health effects set out in Table 4.2 will be distributed across different geographical areas. The potential health effects will also be distributed across the population in different ways; some effects will be felt by the whole population, or subsections of the population, such as younger people or people with existing health conditions. The HIA will identify the population groups likely to experience predicted changes in health and whether there are any groups that would be more susceptible or vulnerable to changes. Figure 4.1 Overall Welsh Index Of Multiple Deprivation 2011 Source: Welsh Government, 2011, adapted Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board, March 2013 5 6 All causes of death under 75 per 100,000 of the population. Measured as the number of Lower Super Output Areas in the most deprived fifth in Wales. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 22 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Workforce 4.22 As well as understanding the communities in North Wales, it is also important to try to understand, as far as possible, the characteristics of the workforce that would be employed in construction and operation of the Project. These people would also be likely to experience some of the predicted changes in health effects identified in Table 4.2. 4.23 The construction workforce for the Wylfa Newydd Project would be around 4,000 for the majority of the time and could reach 8,500 during peak periods. Horizon expects that a significant part of its workforce would be drawn from the population of Anglesey and North-West Wales, with the remainder coming from the wider labour market, particularly where specialist skills are required that are not available in the region. 4.24 Once operational, the power station would employ up to 1,000 workers, with approximately 1,000 additional workers required during planned outages for maintenance. Job roles would range from entry level opportunities, through supervisory and managerial positions to technical and specialised jobs associated with the operation of the power station. It is expected that Horizon apprentices and other trainees would also be a part of the power station workforce. 4.25 The Project will also create a substantial number of jobs as part of the delivery of the Associated Development required to support the construction of the power station. These cannot yet be quantified as proposals are not yet finalised; however, the A5025 highway improvements, Park and Ride facilities, Logistics Centre and Temporary Worker Accommodation would each form sizeable developments in their own right. Once operational, the Park and Ride facilities, Logistics Centre and Temporary Worker Accommodation facilities would each generate further job opportunities, for example in facilities management, cleaning and transport roles. 4.26 Horizon is working to maximise the opportunities for the local labour force to benefit from new jobs. The HIA will identify measures that help local people, including the long-term unemployed, to access employment opportunities. 4.27 The operational workforce will be exposed to potential health effects that will differ from those that the construction workforce will be exposed to. Occupational health risks are managed by health and safety agencies and include the additional requirements specific to the nuclear industry. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 23 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Other Studies 4.28 A number of other studies commissioned by Horizon for the Project and relevant to the HIA are the: EIA; Welsh Language Impact Assessment (LIA); and Sustainability Assessment (SA). 4.29 The EIA for the Project will include assessments of relevance to the HIA including: air quality, noise and vibration, traffic and transport, socio-economic impacts (including on employment, the local economy, housing and education), landscape and visual amenity, and public access and recreation. The LIA assesses the likely impact of the Project on the Welsh language against five key aspects of community life: population; quality of life; the economy; infrastructure (e.g. healthcare) and the social and cultural life of the community. Relevant issues from the Sustainability Assessment will inform the HIA. 4.30 The HIA will incorporate relevant information from these other assessments - such as information relating to issues which are determinants of health - as relevant. 4.31 In addition to making an application for a DCO, Horizon must apply for a number of other consents, licences and permits which are required for the construction and operation of the power station. These include: A nuclear site licence from the Office of Nuclear Regulation, under the Nuclear Installations Act 1965; Environmental permits from NRW under the Environmental Permitting (England and Wales) Regulations 2010, covering water discharges, combustion activities and the management of radioactive waste and both non-radioactive and radioactive emissions to the sea and to the atmosphere; Approval under Article 37 of the 1957 European Atomic Energy Community (EURATOM) Treaty; and An approved site security plan, under the Nuclear Industries Security Regulations 2003. Cumulative Effects 4.32 Other projects or developments are likely to occur within the same geographical area at the same time as the Project. The Project HIA will therefore consider the cumulative impacts of other major development and Wylfa Newyd Project enabling works and associated development. Current identified cumulative projects are listed in Table 4.5 below. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 24 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Table 4.5 Development Projects To Be Taken Into Account In Relation To Cumulative Effects List of Other Development Projects Magnox Electric Plc – Decommissioning consent for decommissioning of the Existing power station at Wylfa. Lateral Power Ltd – Planning application granted for a biomass fuelled power station (299MW) and eco park at Penrhos works, Holyhead, Anglesey. Eco Pellets Ltd – Planning application granted for a biomass combined heat and power plant 30MW at Bryn Cefni Industrial Estate, Llangefni, Anglesey. Sea Generation (Wales) Ltd planning application granted to construct and operate a 10MW rated capacity demonstration array of tidal stream turbines – situated 850m off the north coast of Anglesey in a tidal array known as “The Skerries”. Amlwch LNG – Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Plant, Great Lakes, Amlwch, Anglesey, planning application submitted to renew a planning consent that was granted in 2008 but never implemented. Land and Lakes (Anglesey) Ltd – hybrid planning application submitted to develop: a leisure village at Penrhos Coastal Park; a leisure village at Cae Glas, Parc Cybi; and a residential development of up to 320 new houses at Kingsland (used initially to provide accommodation for construction workers). National Grid anticipates a need to connect new energy generation to the electricity network in North Wales. Potential new generation includes the proposed power station at Wylfa as well as a number of renewable energy projects. TPG Wind Ltd – Planning application to repower Rhyd-y-Groes wind farm. Conygar Stenaline Ltd – Holyhead Waterfront Redevelopment – planning permission secured for a comprehensive mixed use development on 1.2km of Holyhead waterfront at Newry Beach and Porth y Felin. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 25 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 26 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 5 The Next Steps Overview 5.1 This chapter describes the next steps for the HIA. This includes timescales for preparing HIA documentation and how information, data and evidence – including the views of stakeholders – will inform the HIA. The Pre-Application Consultation Process 5.2 This Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report is being consulted upon with key stakeholders at the same time as the first stage of formal pre-application consultation (taking place between 29 September and 8 December) for the Wylfa Newydd Project. Following consultation with key stakeholders, Horizon will be reviewing all the feedback received and using it where possible to shape the methodology for the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA. Horizon currently envisages undertaking a second stage of consultation on its Project proposals towards the end of 2015. The Stage Two pre-application consultation will provide more detailed proposals, which will reflect feedback from the Stage One pre-application consultation and any further consultation and engagement undertaken. The second stage of formal pre-application consultation Horizon will also contain an update on the progress of the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA. The final Wylfa Newydd Project LIA will be submitted with the application for Development Consent Order. Table 5.1 Indicative Timescales For Preparing The HIA HIA Step Timescale HIA Activities Stage One pre-application consultation Appraisal of Evidence late 2014 Engagement with statutory and non-statutory consultees on Wylfa Newydd HIA Scoping Report Stakeholder Engagement and Assessment Reporting to inform Stage Two pre-application consultation Stage Two pre-application consultation Reporting to inform application for a Development Consent Order Submit application for a Development Consent Order late 2014 / early 2015 mid 2015 Preparation of initial HIA Report late 2015 Engagement on initial HIA Report early / mid 2016 early 2017 Preparation of final HIA Report final HIA Report is submitted with the application for a Development Consent Order © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 27 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Collecting Information For The HIA 5.3 5.4 The assessment of potential health effects will be based upon the best available evidence at the time the documents are prepared. The HIA team will seek three types of evidence, namely: Data about the health of the local population: these will be reports specific to Anglesey and to North Wales; Published literature on health effects: this will mainly be peer-reviewed literature; and The views of local people: these are important to place the academic studies in context and to anchor the assessment to the Project. The types of evidence are considered briefly below. The HIA team has started to discuss potential sources of data and published literature with the Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board. Data On Health Of The Local Population 5.5 Public Health Wales has prepared a profile of health in North Wales (11). This will provide invaluable information regarding the health and wellbeing of the local population. This profile adheres to the same model of health that is used in the HIA. The HIA team will work with the Steering Group and with Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board to identify any reports that have been issued recently. 5.6 The HIA team will work with Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board to identify any research that has been conducted with people on Anglesey about risk perception and attitudes towards both the Existing power station, and the Project. Published Literature On Health Effects 5.7 The HIA team will examine peer-reviewed literature for the issues identified in Table 4.3. The evidence linking each of these changes in determinants of health, wellbeing and inequalities in health will be presented in a succinct summary. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 28 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 5.8 The HIA will also consider potential health effects arising from the construction and operation of nuclear reactors. The Project will be required to comply, and to demonstrate its compliance, with regulations and safeguards (see paragraph 4.31): thus, the risk posed by ionising radiation7 will be examined in a separate radiological assessment; the risks posed by unplanned releases of radioactivity will be assessed in the Nuclear Safety Case and Article 37 assessments. 5.9 8 The HIA will provide a commentary on these technical analyses. It will seek to identify the potential health effects of the ways in which risk is understood by people living and working within the study area (see paragraphs 4.16 to 4.27). While public understanding of risk takes account of the technical analysis described above it is also based on a wider range of issues (general examples of which are shown in Figure 5.1). The HIA will seek to consider these issues. This will involve dialogue and stakeholder engagement as well as review of recent studies on this topic from the UK and US (11, 12, 13). Figure 5.1 Risk And Public Understanding The list below gives ‘fright factors’ associated with an intervention or a scenario. They are numbered for ease of reference and do not imply any order of importance. Risks are generally more worrying (and less acceptable) if they are understood: i. to be involuntary (e.g. exposure to pollution) rather than voluntary (e.g. dangerous sports or smoking); ii. as inequitably distributed (some benefit while others suffer the consequences); iii. as inescapable by taking personal precautions; iv. to arise from an unfamiliar or novel source; v. to result from man-made, rather than natural sources; vi. to cause hidden and irreversible damage, e.g. through onset of illness many years after exposure; vii. to pose some particular danger to small children or pregnant women or more generally to future generations; viii. to threaten a form of death (or illness/injury) arousing particular dread; ix. to damage identifiable rather than anonymous victims; x. to be poorly understood by science; and xi. as subject to contradictory statements from responsible sources (or, even worse, from the same source). From Department of Health (12, p5) 7 8 Ionising radiation is radiation with enough energy so that during an interaction with an atom, it can remove tightly bound electrons from the orbit of an atom, causing the atom to become charged or ionised. Ionising radiations occurs as either electromagnetic rays (such as X-rays and gamma rays) or particles (such as alpha and beta particles). It occurs naturally (e.g. from the radioactive decay of natural radioactive substances such as radon gas and its decay products) but can also be produced artificially. Appendix C presents a preliminary summary of published literature on radiation in the environment. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 29 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report The Views Of Local People And Organisations 5.10 In addition to using academic evidence and scientific reports, the HIA team will discuss the potential effects on health arising from the Project with organisations and members of the public. The HIA team will capture the views of local stakeholders through a range of activities: Participation in, and representation on, the Steering Group (see paragraph 3.15 for organisations represented); Responses submitted by consultees and stakeholders during the Stage One pre-application consultation, A number of interviews to be conducted by the HIA team with representatives of specific public bodies and organisations relevant to the scope of the HIA; Attendance of HIA team at exhibitions and meetings as part of Horizon’s Stage One pre-application consultation on the Project; and Workshops facilitated by the HIA team inviting local people to give their views on the potential health effects of the Project. How To Provide Feedback On The HIA Scoping Report 5.11 This Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report presents the approach to the Wylfa Newydd Project HIA and the scope of the assessment of the likely health effects associated with the Project. As part of the scoping process all of the statutory bodies and key stakeholders originally consulted by the Infrastructure Planning Commission as part of the EIA scoping process will receive a copy of this document to obtain their comments on the content of this Wylfa Newydd Project HIA Scoping Report. 5.12 Feedback on the Wylfa Newydd HIA Scoping Report should be marked “WYLFA NEWYDD PROJECT HIA SCOPING REPORT FEEDBACK” and for the attention of “HORIZON’S EIA MANAGER”: Via email at wylfaenquiries@horizonnuclearpower.com and ymholiadauwylfa@horizonnuclearpower.com In writing to the freepost address FREEPOST HORIZON NUCLEAR POWER CONSULTATION. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 30 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. Department of Energy and Climate Change. National Policy Statement for Nuclear Power Generation (EN-6). 2011 The Stationery Office. London. Available at http://bit.ly/SjDgv8 World Health Organization. Preamble to the Constitution of the World Health Organization; signed on 22 July 1946 by the representatives of 61 States and entered into force on 7 April 1948. Official Records of the World Health Organization, no. 2, p.100. 1948 New York. Available at http://bit.ly/1cgnJ3S Quigley, R. et al. Health Impact Assessment. International best practice principles. Special publication series No. 5. 2006 International Association for Impact Assessment. Available at http://bit.ly/X2iOxM Dahlgren, G. and Whitehead, M. Policies and strategies to promote social equity in health. 1991. Stockholm, Institute for Future Studies. Barton H, Grant M. A health map for the local human habitat. The Journal of the Royal Society for the Promotion of Health 2006;126(6):252-3. Commission on the Social Determinants of Health. Closing the gap in a generation. Health equity through action on the social determinants of health. 2008 World Health Organization. Available at http://bit.ly/WGOh97 Marmot, M. et al. Fair society, healthy lives. Strategic review of health inequalities in England post 2010 (Marmot Review). 2010. Available at http://bit.ly/1iK9VjN WHIASU. Health Impact Assessment: a practical guide. 2012 Ed. Chadderton, C., Elliott, E., Green, L., Lester, J., and Williams, G. Wales Health Impact Assessment Support Unit. Cardiff, Wales. Available at http://bit.ly/WH8g9F Cooke, A. et al. Mental well-being impact assessment: a toolkit for well-being. 2011 Members of the National MWIA Collaborative (England). Available at http://bit.ly/1k7DLTR Isle of Anglesey. Isle of Anglesey Health Impact Assessment Tool. 2010. Available at http://bit.ly/LSB0kb Jones, C., Atenstaedt, Rob, and et al. Profile of North Wales. Working draft. 2013 Public Health Wales. Available at http://bit.ly/1oR4fd3 Department of Health. Communicating about risks to public health: pointers to good practice. 1997 Ed. Bennett, P. London, England. Available at http://bit.ly/TZNqT1 Statutory Instrument 2009 No. 2264 The Infrastructure Planning (Applications: Prescribed Forms and Procedure) Regulations 2009. 2009. Available at http://bit.ly/1nKdWKy © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 31 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 32 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Appendix A Glossary Acronym Full Title Description - Project or Wylfa Newydd Project Associated Development - Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board COMARE Committee on Medical Aspects of Radiation in the Environment The Power Station and Associated Development. Development to support delivery of the Power Station, for example highway improvements along the A5025, Park and Ride facilities for construction workers, at least one Logistics Centre and Off-Site Temporary Worker Accommodation. The entity which provides a full range of primary, community, mental health and acute hospital services for a population of around 676,000 people across the six counties of North Wales (Anglesey, Gwynedd, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire and Wrexham) as well as some parts of mid Wales, Cheshire and Shropshire. An independent expert advisory committee with members chosen for their medical and scientific expertise and recruited from Universities, Research and Medical Institutes. - Cooling Water System The once-through water cooling system that removes the proportion of heat energy produced by the nuclear reactors, which cannot be converted to electricity, and for this Project includes the intakes, pumphouses, seal pits and outfall structures as well as connecting pipelines and tunnels, for each unit. - Copper Trail - Conventional Island DCO Development Consent Order EIA Environmental Impact Assessment - Enabling works - Existing Power Station The northern section of national route 566. forming part of the sustrans national cycle network. The steam turbine, electrical generator and associated structures, which form part of the Power Station. The consent for a Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project required under the Planning Act 2008. The process in which the likely significant effects of a development on the environment are identified and assessed. The works required to clear and excavate the construction sites of existing services, utilities and other features and structures, in order to allow the Main Construction stage works to commence. This work would also include the installation of any new services or utilities required to support the Main Construction works. The existing Magnox nuclear power station at Wylfa. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 33 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Acronym Full Title Description HIA Green Audit Health Impact Assessment HPA Health Protection Agency IACC Isle of Anglesey County Council Environmental consultancy and research organisation. A combination of procedures, methods and tools that systematically judges the potential, and sometimes unintended, effects of a policy, plan, programme or project on both the health of a population and the distribution of those effects within the population, and which identifies appropriate actions to manage those effects. The Health Protection Agency’s role was to provide an integrated approach to protecting UK public healh through the provision of support and advice to the NHS, local authorities, emergency services, other Arms Length Bodies, the Department of Health and the others. The HPA became part of Public Health England in 2013. Specialist radiation protection information and advisory services are provided in Wales by Public Health England’s Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards (CRCE). Whilst Public Health Wales does not provide any specific radiation protection services over those provided through the CRCE, it has responsibility to manage and coordinate the public health response to radiation related issues, incidents and events. The local authority governing the area within which the Power Station is intended to be constructed. IACC has a number of functions including as Local Planning Authority. - Landscape and Biodiversity Masterplan A fully coordinated environmental landscape design covering the Wylfa Newydd Development Area, including the formation of mounds, habitat and woodland creation, targeted biodiversity mitigation and enhancement measures, temporary and permanent public footpath diversions, management of watercourses and surface water drainage and other relevant environmental considerations. - Logistics Centre MOLF Marine Off-Loading Facility - National Policy Statement An Off-Site facility at which deliveries can be consolidated into fewer loads and the timing of traffic movements to the Wylfa Newydd Development Area can be controlled during both the Enabling Works and Main Construction stages. A facility comprising two purpose built quays to allow delivery of freight such as AILs and construction materials by sea. Statements prepared and designated by the Secretary of © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 34 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Acronym Full Title - Natural Resources Wales NPS EN-1 EN-1 Overaching National Policy Statement for Energy NPS EN-6 EN-6 National Policy Statement for Nuclear Power Generation NSIP Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project - Office for Nuclear Regulation - Planning Inspectorate - Power Station - Public Health Wales Description State under the Planning Act 2008 which establish national policy for Nationally Significant Infrastructure Projects, including energy, transport and water, waste water and waste and against which applications for development consent orders are assessed. The public body whose stated purpose is to ensure that the natural resources of Wales are sustainably maintained, enhanced and used, now and in the future. It absorbed the regulatory and advisory duties of the Environment Agency, Countryside Council for Wales and the Forestry Commission in Wales. It is the regulatory authority in Wales for a wide range of environmental legislation including environmental permitting (under the Environmental Permitting (England and Wales) Regulations 2010 and as a statutory consultee for development consent orders. The National Policy Statement designated by the DECC Secretary of State in July 2011, which sets out national policy for major energy infrastructure projects. The National Policy Statement designated by the DECC Secretary of State in July 2011, which sets out national policy on new nuclear power stations and against which an application for a development consent order for a nuclear power station is assessed, A Type of project listed in the Planning Act 2008, and which must be consented by a development consent order. The construction of a generating station is an Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project. The public corporation, which is responsible for (among other things) the regulation of nuclear safety, nuclear security, safeguards at nuclear licensed sites in the UK. The body which accepts and examines applications for development consent orders and makes recommendations to the Secretary of State in support of determining whether to grant consent. The proposed new nuclear power station, including two UK ABWRs, associated plant and ancillary structures and features, to be constructed and operated at Wylfa, Anglesey. Public Health Wales is an NHS organisation providing professionally independent publica health advice to protect and improve the health and wellbeing of the proportion of Wales. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 35 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Acronym Full Title Description - Nuclear Island PLG Wylfa New Build Project Liaison Group - Power Station Site UK ABWR Spent Fuel UK Advanced Boiling Water Reactor Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit Each nuclear reactor and its associated plant and structures, which form part of the Power Station. The group formed by Horizon in 2010 to enable representatives of community groups and organisations to receive updates from Horizon on plans for the Wylfa Newydd Project. The indicative area of land and sea within which the majority of the permanent Power Station buildings, plant and structures would be situated. Fuel that has been used in a nuclear reactor. The reactor to be supplied by Hitachi-GE Nuclear Energy, Ltd. as part of the Power Station. The National Cancer Registry for Wales and its primary role is to record, store and report on all incidence of cancer for the resident population of Wales wherever they are treated. An 870 mile network of public footpaths and other routes around the coastline of Wales, which incorporates the Isle of Anglesey Coastal Footpath. Part of Public Health Wales and supports the development and use of HIA in Wales, providing information, advice, research and access to evidence. - - Wales Coast Path WHIASU Wales Health Impact Assessment Support Unit © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 36 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Appendix B IACC HIA Tool B.1 B.2 This appendix contains: Table B.1: Summary of application of the IACC HIA Tool Table B.2: Possible mitigation measures identified through HIA scoping process Table B.3: Issues that are being assessed in other studies Table B.4: Summary of scoping of determinants of health for further focus in the HIA Table B.1 summarises the application of the IACC HIA Tool (‘the tool’) which was used by a sub group of the Wylfa HIA Steering Group (in a session on the 17th August 2011). The tool was applied to: ensure that all the potential determinants of health had been taken into account during the screening stage; provide a strong base for the scoping stage identify the likely key issues for focus in the HIA ; and identify possible mitigation measures. Table B.1 Summary Of Application Of The IACC HIA Tool Title of programme, policy or project including key aims and objectives: Proposed new nuclear power station at Wylfa, Anglesey, North Wales What contribution does the activity make to: Key: ++ (significant positive), + (moderate positive), Neutral (no clear effect), - (moderate negative), -(significant negative), N/A (not applicable) © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 37 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 1. Vulnerable Groups? ++ Age related, income related, who may suffer discrimination or other social disadvantage, geographical areas 2. Individual lifestyles? Family organisation & roles, social support networks, local pride, social isolation, cultural ethos, racism Neutral - -- N/A X ++ Diet, physical activity, use of alcohol / tobacco / other nonprescription drugs, sexual activity, other risk-taking activity 3. Social and community influences on health? + + Younger people are expected to benefit from training and education. Prospect of jobs for young people and people of working age may reduce out-migration. Employment opportunities and increase in income would benefit families and could help tackle unemployment. Older people could be more vulnerable to changes. Unmitigated demand on healthcare services could impact on those that have existing demand for these services. Local infrastructure improvements (especially transport) are expected to have benefits for the island). May be particular impacts that have effects on specific (socially disadvantaged) groups. Neutral X ++ + Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: - -- N/A X Neutral X © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 38 - X Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: Evidence to suggest indirect positive and negative effects on diet. Opportunities to improve physical activity through improving existing assets or providing new assets. Amount of time in employment influences availability of opportunities for consuming, and ability to afford, alcohol. Influx of new people likely to increase sexual activity and increase the risk of sexual infections. Young men in the workforce could participate in risk-taking activity, e.g. dangerous driving or anti-social behaviour -- N/A Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: Job opportunities can have effects on family; outward migration a particular issue for Anglesey. Opportunities exist for people to participate in the planning process, including the Wylfa Planning Liaison Group (PLG) containing community representation. Possible community divisions may emerge with influx of non-local construction workforce. A range of solutions for accommodating construction workers should help to dilute potential negative effects. Future prosperity of Anglesey is closely linked to provision of jobs; generates community identity and social inclusion. Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 4. Living and environmental conditions affecting health? ++ + Neutral Housing, neighbourhood design, noise & air quality, community safety, road hazards, waste, attractiveness of area -- N/A X 5. Economic conditions affecting health? ++ Unemployment, income, economic inactivity, type of employment, workplace conditions X 6. Access and quality of services? ++ Medical and other caring services, careers advice, transport, education and training, shops, information technology - + Neutral - Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: New power station likely to have a visual impact including light pollution (to be assessed in the EIA). Likely to increase demand for housing, which could have impacts on housing availability, affordability and quality. Workers accommodation could provide a positive legacy. Potential for noise and air quality effects mostly associated with road improvements. Water availability, quality and wastewater to be assessed by EIA). Waste disposal is regulated and licences required. Perception of community safety risks. Potential for road hazards associated with an increase in traffic. -- N/A Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: Generation of employment in construction and operation phases. Induced economic development. Role of increased income leading to better health. Range of different employment opportunities (skills, duration, etc). Benefits to local suppliers. Opportunities to maximise the positive effects. + X Neutral - X -- N/A Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: Likely to be extra demand on healthcare services from construction workforce, incl. blue light emergency services, GPs, hospitals and dentists. Demand for childcare facilities may increase too. Positive opportunities exist to up-skill, educate and train local people. Increase in population expected to generate benefits for shops, local businesses, public amenities and viability of public transport routes. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 39 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 7. Macro-economic, environmental & sustainability factors ++ Government policies, gross domestic product, economic development, biological diversity, climate B.3 + Neutral - -- N/A X Supporting Evidence / Effect on Inequality: Strong positive contribution to UK, Wales and local government policies (including Energy Island objectives) including reduction of carbon emissions (climate benefits). Investment and employment likely to generate positive impacts on Gross Domestic Product and economic development. EIA will look at biological diversity. Potential issues associated with perception of radiological impacts (a) ongoing exposure; (b) a major incident. Community and workers are used to living/working in proximity to nuclear reactor. Expect that addressing community perceptions of managing risks of a major incident occurring will be critical. Table B.2 sets out some of the possible mitigation measures that were identified applying the IACC HIA Tool. Table B.2 Possible Mitigation Measures Identified Through HIA Scoping Process Mitigation Area Recommended mitigations Corporate Health Scheme Formal adoption of a Corporate Health Scheme Dietary awareness (eating patterns around shift work) Responsible drinking Smoking Sexual health advice Safer driving courses Induction to cover cultural issues Workforce behaviour rules Planning and strategy Up-front work to plan and agree strategy for accommodating construction workers with IACC and Horizon Horizon to develop approved private accommodation lists Improve road safety and divert traffic onto safer routes Park and ride strategy and promotion of ‘green travel’ ‘Meet the buyer’ events to help local businesses engage with the supply chain Provide on-site facilities for healthcare Provide facilities for workforce leisure and recreation Provide bypass path around the site for Anglesey Coastal Footpath Communications Education and training Raise awareness of how local people can participate in the HIA process (to Horizon directly, to PLG representatives, to IACC and to [IPC/MIPU)] Consider strategies for providing assurance on preparedness and emergency response plans Equipping young people to be ready for new jobs (temporary and permanent) Up-skilling and apprentice schemes to enable local people (including long term unemployed) to compete for jobs © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 40 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report B.4 Table B.3 identifies some of the issues that have been identified as potentially influencing determinants of health. These issues are primarily being assessed in other studies that have been commissioned. The HIA will review the outputs of these studies and report where significant effects that could influence health have been identified. These studies will provide inputs to the HIA. Table B.3 Issues That Are Being Assessed In Other Studies Study Issues that will be assessed include Environmental Impact Assessment Disruption to the Wales Coast path Visual effects of new power station structures Visual effects associated with lighting and glare Availability, affordability and quality of housing Noise effects associated with the power station, e.g. tonality Noise effects associated with construction of the Power Station Noise effects associated with construction of the Marine Off Loading Facility Air quality effects, including dust particles, during construction Air quality effects associated with vehicle emissions Water supply, consumption and water quality (including discharge of contaminants into water courses) Sewerage and wastewater disposal and treatment Disposal of waste from construction Disposal of waste during operation (including reference to site licence and regulation) Biological and ecological diversity Employment (direct and induced), economic development, gross domestic product Training and careers Availability of education facilities Changes in traffic flows, types and volumes Welsh Language Impact Assessment Effects on proportion of Welsh speakers Bilingualism Any effects on Welsh culture Radiological Assessment Radiological exposure during operation Radiological exposure during unplanned events B.5 Table A.4 summarises the determinants of health that are being considered further in the HIA (scope in) and those that are not being progressed any further. This decision is informed by the factors that are set out in B.6 (and in paragraph 4.13 of the HIA Scoping Report). The factors include those issues which can be addressed and assessed through the mitigation measures and other studies set out in Tables B.2 and B.3. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 41 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report B.6 These effects will be prioritised with reference to the following factors: the severity of the potential health effect is high; acting on a determinant of health that causes direct health effects; the duration of the potential health effect is long or irreversible; the potential health effect would have an impact on a large number of people; the potential health effect may affect a particularly vulnerable group or community; the potential health effect is not being considered in depth by other studies; mitigation measures to manage the potential health effect have not been identified at this stage; and the potential health effect is not controlled by an existing regulatory / licensing regime (it is assumed that existing/equivalent regulatory regimes remain in place and would be effective and that the proposals would not result in any breach of the law). Table B.4 Summary Of Scoping Of Determinants Of Health For Further Focus In The HIA Determinant of Health 10 Scope In () Scope Out (x) Potential health issues to be considered in the HIA To be identified for each impact and geographical area Diet n/a 2b Physical Activity10 Promoting physical activity 2c Use of alcohol / tobacco / other non-prescription drugs Potential for increase in risk-taking activity (including communicable diseases) 2d Sexual activity Potential for increase in risk-taking activity (including communicable diseases) 2e Other risk-taking activity Potential for increase in risk-taking activity (including communicable diseases) 3 Social and community influences 1 Vulnerable Groups 2 Individual Lifestyles 2a Item 2b Physical Activity was initially scoped out of the assessment, but after further consideration of the potential effects of road improvements and the role of HIA in promoting health improvements, this determinant of health was scoped in to the HIA. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 42 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Determinant of Health Scope In () Scope Out (x) Potential health issues to be considered in the HIA 3a Family organisation and roles Potential change in community identity and social networks 3b Citizen power and influence Potential change in community identity and social networks 3c Wider social support (i) social networks and (ii) neighbourliness Potential change in community identity and social networks 3d Community identity and sense of belonging Potential change in community identity and social networks 3e Divisions in community and peer pressure Potential change in community identity and social networks 3f Social isolation Potential change in community identity and social networks 3g Cultural and spiritual ethos Potential change in community identity and social networks 3h Racism Potential change in community identity and social networks 3i Other social exclusion Potential change in community identity and social networks 3j Anti-social behaviour and the fear of crime Potential change in community identity and social networks 4 Living and environmental conditions 4a Built environment x n/a 4b Housing Change in housing demand and supply 4c Noise / odour /x Changes in noise exposure (odour is not included) 4d Air quality / water quality /x Changes to local air quality (water quality is not included) 4e Attractiveness of area x n/a 4f Community safety Potential changes in exposure to radiation 4g Waste disposal x n/a © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 43 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Determinant of Health Scope In () Scope Out (x) Potential health issues to be considered in the HIA 4h Road hazards Changes in transport; type and volume of vehicles 4i Injury hazards Changes in transport; type and volume of vehicles 4j Quality and safety of play areas x n/a 5 Economic conditions 5a Unemployment / economic inactivity Change in employment, income and economic development 5b Income Change in employment, income and economic development 5c Type of employment Change in employment, income and economic development 5d Workplace conditions x n/a 5e Procurement x n/a 6 Access and quality of services 6a Medical and healthcare services Potential change in demand for medical and healthcare services 6b Other caring services x n/a 6c Careers advice Potential for education and training 6d Shops and commercial services x n/a 6e Public amenities x n/a 6f Transport Changes in transport; type and volume of vehicles 6g Education and training Potential for education and training 6h Information technology x n/a 7 Sustainability, macro-economic and environmental factors 7a Government policies Energy generation to meet demand and maintain affordability © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 44 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Determinant of Health Scope In () Scope Out (x) Potential health issues to be considered in the HIA 7b Gross Domestic Product Change in employment, income and economic development 7c Economic development Change in employment, income and economic development 7d Social Justice and Equality issues x n/a 7e Biological diversity x n/a 7f Climate Energy generation through low carbon technology 7g Bilingualism and Welsh culture x n/a 7h Radiological impacts Understanding of radiological risks B.7 The workshop was attended by representatives from Public Health Wales, WHIASU, IACC, the Wylfa Planning Liaison Group and Horizon. © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 45 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Appendix B References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. COMARE. COMARE Statement on Childhood Cancers in North Wales. 2005. Available at http://bit.ly/RKeHXI COMARE, (personal communication). Response letter from COMARE Chairman to Dr C Busby (18.8.06). 2006. Available at http://bit.ly/1preFm3 Busby, C. and Bramhall, R. Is there an excess of childhood cancer in North Wales on the Menai Strait, Gwynedd? Concerns about the accuracy of analyses carried out by the Wales Cancer Intelligence Unit and those using its data. Occasional Paper 2005/3. 2005 Green Audit. Aberystwyth, Wales. Available at http://bit.ly/1preFm3 Busby, C., (personal communication). Letter from Dr C Busby (Green Audit) to the COMARE Secretariat (9.11.05). 2005. Available at http://bit.ly/1preFm3 Busby, C. and Parry, L. Nuclear pollution, childhood leukaemia, retinoblastoma and brain tumours in Gwynedd and Anglesey wards near the Menai Straits, North Wales 2000-2003. Report 04/1B. 2004 Green Audit. Aberystwyth, Wales. Available at http://bit.ly/1wyHWgN Jones, A. Childhood Cancer Incidence - Gwynedd & Anglesey, North Wales. Version:9. 2005 National Public Health Service for Wales. Available at http://bit.ly/1k7BMQA COMARE. The incidence of childhood cancer around nuclear installations in Great Britain. Tenth report. 2005 Ed. Bridges, B. A. Produced by the Health Protection Agency on behalf of the Committee on Medical Aspects of Radiation in the Environment (COMARE). Available at http://bit.ly/1ktLNqF Mobbs, S. F. et al. An introduction to the estimation of risks arising from exposure to low doses of ionising radiation. HPA-RPD-055. 2009 Health Protection Agency. Didcot, Oxfordshire, England. Available at http://bit.ly/1wyJwz0 Mobbs, S. F., Muirhead, C. R., and Harrison, J. D. Risks from ionising radiation. HPD-RPD-066. 2010 Health Protection Agency. Didcot, Oxfordshire, England. Available at http://bit.ly/1royGvm Collier, D. Perspectives on the health risks from low levels of ionising radiation. SAFEGROUNDS debate paper. CIRIA W39. 2011 CIRIA. London. Available at http://bit.ly/1ttOlFt Dorfman, P. Radiation health effects. 2010. Available at http://bit.ly/1nAamFl Bramhall, R. Position paper on radiation risk prepared by LLRC for SAFEGROUNDS. 2010. Available at http://bit.ly/1nAazs1 Spix C et al. Case-control study on childhood cancer in the vicinity of nuclear power plants in Germany 1980-2003. Eur.J.Cancer 2008;44(2):275-84. Available at PM:18082395 COMARE. Further consideration of the incidence of childhood leukaemia around nuclear power plants in Great Britain. Fourteenth report. 2011 Ed. Elliott, A. Produced by the Health Protection Agency for the Committee on Medical Aspects of Radiation in the Environment. Available at http://bit.ly/1kZRJZ7 © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 46 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Department of Energy and Climate Change. National Policy Statement for Nuclear Power Generation (EN-6). 2011 The Stationery Office. London. Available at http://bit.ly/SjDgv8 Kinlen L. Childhood leukaemia, nuclear sites, and population mixing. Br.J.Cancer 2011;104(1):12-8. Available at PM:21063418 Greaves M. Infection, immune responses and the aetiology of childhood leukaemia. Nat.Rev.Cancer 2006;6(3):193-203. Available at PM:16467884 Richard W. What to believe and what not to believe. Journal of Radiological Protection 2008;28(1):5-7. Available at http://bit.ly/1kQGalY Steward JA, White C, Reynolds S. Leukaemia incidence in Welsh children linked with low level radiation - making sense of some erroneous results published in the media. Journal of Radiological Protection 2008;28(1):33-43. Available at http://bit.ly/1koO958 Steward J, John G. An ecological investigation of the incidence of cancer in Welsh children for the period 1985-1994 in relation to residence near the coastline. Journal of the Royal Statistical.Society.Series.A (Statistics.in Society) 2001;164(1):29-43. Available at http://www.jstor.org/stable/2680531 © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 47 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 48 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report Appendix C COMARE C.1 There has been dialogue concerning the incidence of childhood cancer in North Wales between the Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit, the Green Audit and the Committee on Medical Aspects of Radiation in the Environment (COMARE) (1-5): the Green Audit published a report in which they showed a sea-coast effect in cancer and leukaemia in children and also in adults (5). WICSU disputed these findings (6). COMARE reviewed the evidence (1) and supported WICSU, although noting problems associated with small numbers of cases and supporting further investigation of levels of childhood cancer in the area. Additional work was subsequently conducted by the National Public Health Service for Wales and found no evidence of increased incidence of childhood leukaemia, nor for brain (and spinal) tumours and retinoblastoma in North Wales (6). C.2 The HIA team notes that the Health Protection Agency (HPA) concur with COMARE (7) and find no increased risk of cancers from nuclear power plants (8-10). Although contested by some (11-13) the conclusion that there is no evidence to support an increased risk of cancers in the vicinity of nuclear power stations is repeated by COMARE (14) and the National Policy Statement for Nuclear Power Generation (15). In the HIA this debate will be reviewed with a view to examining the understanding that people living and working on Anglesey have of the risks associated with a nuclear facility. C.3 Anglesey has a remote island population; the proposed new nuclear power station at Wylfa will be responsible for an influx of construction workers. Anglesey also has a seasonal influx of tourists. This suggests that Betsi Cadwaladr University Health Board and the HIA will need to address sensitively the infection/immune system based hypothesis for childhood leukaemia and to identify its importance for Anglesey. The infection/immune system based hypotheses for childhood leukaemia states that childhood leukaemia is either a rare response to a specific common infection (16) or a rare response to general exposure to infectious agents that is enhanced by delayed exposure (17). C.4 The dialogue concerning childhood cancer in North Wales has been reported in peer-reviewed journals (18-20). © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 49 Health Impact Assessment Scoping Report THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY BLANK © Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Limited Page 50 CONTACT US: If you have any questions or feedback regarding the Wylfa Newydd Project you can contact us on our dedicated Wylfa Newydd freephone hotline and email address, by calling on 0800 954 9516 or emailing wylfaenquiries@horizonnuclearpower.com Horizon Nuclear Power 5210 Valiant Court Gloucester Business Park Delta Way, Gloucester, GL3 4FE T +44 (0) 845 300 6816 www.horizonnuclearpower.com All material in this document is, unless specified otherwise, copyright of Horizon Nuclear Power Wylfa Ltd and may not be reproduced without prior permission. Any unauthorised use or copying of the material may violate trademark, copyright and other proprietary rights and civil and criminal statutes. 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