2008 1 MESSAGE FROM THE MBIPV PROJECT TEAM In a few short years, the PV industry has exploded, from an industry surviving off the table scraps of the integrated circuit industry to one that dominates the world usage of silicon. Such growth is not without risks and set-backs. PV cell and module manufacturers added new capacity to their production lines, buying what ever supply was available to spot market prices often 5 to 8 times higher than the market prices in 2005. New companies entered the PV business to benefit from the high profit with PV products but found themselves within a few months with idling equipment or even bankruptcy. Competency in the respective manufacturing, good international network and an excellent understanding of the worldwide PV market are a MUST before entering the PV business. PV companies which started pre-millennium were mostly very small with less than ten employees. But today, their market values are in billions with hundreds of staff all over the world. Still, their future prospects are as bright as the SUN. For the past seven years, the growth has exceeded 35%, outpacing any other energy production technology. This fantastic growth will continue thanks to sustainable PV programs in Europe, Japan, South Korea and the USA. Recognising the opportunity, the YAB Prime Minister of Malaysia launched the Third Industrial Master Plan (20062020) on 18th August 2006, with solar PV identified as one of the technology to focus on. Through the Malaysia Building Integrated Photovoltaics (MBIPV) Project, Malaysia is pedantically building the right infrastructure to create a sustainable PV market, and a strong local PV industry. The emphasis towards local industry is to enhance the service quality and establish successful PV manufacturers. To achieve these goals, the MBIPV Project is currently working with many local stakeholders to develop new business opportunities and enhance manufacturing capabilities. We invite all local stakeholders to participate in our capacity building events and industry missions, and also invite international and local PV companies to collaborate and work with private local end-users in the ‘SURIA 1000’ and property developers through the ‘SURIA for Developer’ programme. Furthermore, we are working closely with Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA) to encourage international PV manufacturers to select Malaysia as the preferred location for their manufacturing facilities. Malaysia, with its welleducated university graduates and skilled employees from the semi-conductor and electronic industry, offers an almost perfect ground for new human capital and this will play an important and decisive role in attracting global PV players to manufacture locally. We look forward to seeing you at one of our PV events, and support and help you to explore new business opportunities or to diversify your existing business. This handbook on PV technology and market will provide you with much needed information to answer many questions. Please feel free to contact us at any time should you require more information and guidance. Sincerely, The MBIPV Project Team 2 3 LIST OF CONTENT 4 About Us 5 Introduction to PV Technology and Functionality 10 Value Chain and Manufacturing Process 14 Global Photovoltaics (PV) Business and PV in Malaysia 19 Manufacturing Opportunities in Malaysia and Worldwide 22 The PV Industry and Market Development – An International Snapshot 25 Sunny Outlook so far… 28 MBIPV NewsBite 30 Global PV Industry Development in the past 15 Years 33 Industry Outlook 36 MPIA Directory 38 Presentation Facts & Figures for PV Business 4 ABOUT US The Malaysia Building Integrated Photovoltaics (MBIPV) Project is a national initiative by the Government of Malaysia with co-financing from the Global Environment Facility (GEF) whose fund is disbursed through the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). MBIPV Project is implemented under the 9th Malaysia Plan (9MP) to promote widespread and sustainable use of PV in buildings. The Project was officially launched on 25th July 2005 and will last for five years. The MBIPV Project’s objective is to reduce the long term cost of BIPV technology in Malaysia. This is achieved through the widespread implementation of BIPV applications and creation of environmental and industrial policy in Malaysia. The project will establish the desired environment for a long-term market development and set a target for a follow-up BIPV programme in the 10th Malaysia Plan. The project aims to achieve its objectives by: - Developing and implementing strong financing mechanisms, solid institutional and policy frameworks. - Extensive education and capacity building campaigns to generate awareness and improve local competency. - Introduction of standards and guidelines, developing and enhancing the market. - Upgrading the local industry towards local manufacturing. The MBIPV Project will induce an increase of BIPV applications by about 330% with a cost reduction of 20% by the year 2010. Subsequently, its success can be replicated in neighboring countries and thus have a significant input on the overall reduction of GHG emissions. For information on the MBIPV Project, please visit www.ptm.org.my/bipv. The MBIPV Project is implemented by Pusat Tenaga Malaysia (PTM), a not for profit company administered by the Ministry of Energy, Water and Communications Malaysia. PTM functions as a one-stop centre and implementing agency on national energy related matters. Contact Pusat Tenaga Malaysia (462237-T) No.2, Jalan 9/10, Persiaran Usahawan, Seksyen 9 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia GL: +603 8921 0800 Fax: +603 8921 0802 Website: www.ptm.org.my/bipv Date of print March 2008 MBIPV (2005 - 2010) Objective: To reduce GHG emissions by reducing long term cost of BIPV technology Project cost ≈ US$25 Million (Co-financiers: GoM, GEF, Industry, Public) Component 1: BIPV information services, awareness and capacity building programme Component 2: BIPV market enhancement and infrastructure development programme Component 3: BIPV policies and financing mechanism programme Post MBIPV: Sustainable & widespread BIPV applications, National BIPV programme with 30% annual BIPV growth Component 4: Industry development and technology localization programme 5 INTRODUCTION TO PV TECHNOLOGY AND FUNCTIONALITY cheaper to produce than mono crystalline ones, due to the simpler manufacturing process. However, they tend to be slightly less efficient, with average efficiencies of around 14%. Photovoltaic modules generate electricity when they are exposed to sunlight. The actual creation of usable electrical current in a solar cell takes place at the atomic level. Solar cells are made from solar grade silicon that is treated with negatively and positively charged semi-conductors, Phosphorous and Boron; this process is called “doping”. When light energy (photons) strikes the face of the cell, it excites the electrons within the cell. This flow of electrons (current) from the negative semi-conductor (Phosphorous) to the positive semi-conductor (Boron) is what we call the PV effect. Current Electrical load Figure 1: Electricity from PV cell. SOLAR CELLS Solar cells can be according to their crystalline structure separated into four categories. Following are short descriptions and some features of each type. Mono (or single) crystalline silicon cells are made from very pure mono crystalline silicon and have a single and continuous crystal lattice structure with almost no defects or impurities. The principle Figure 2: sc-Si cell advantage is their high efficiencies, typically around 17%, although the manufacturing process required to produce mono crystalline silicon is complicated, resulting in higher costs than other technologies. Different manufacturing methods are used, one depending largely upon the Czochralski method of growing, or pulling a perfect crystal, another is based on the string ribbon technique; two high temperature strings are pulled vertically through a shallow silicon melt and the molten silicon spans and freezes between the strings. Another technique is the so called EFG-Edge defined Film fed Growth, were the cells are cut from an octagon. Figure 3: mc-Si cell Multicrystalline cells are produced using numerous grains of mono crystalline silicon. In the manufacturing process, molten polycrystalline silicon is cast into ingots, which are square or rectangular in shape. These ingots are then cut into very thin wafers and assembled into complete cells. Multi crystalline cells are Amorphous silicon cells are composed of silicon atoms in a thin homogenous layer rather than a crystal structure. Amorphous silicon absorbs light more effectively than crystalline silicon, so the cells can be thinner. For this reason, Figure 4: a-Si cell amorphous silicon is also known as a "thin film" PV technology. Amorphous silicon can be deposited on a wide range of substrates, both rigid and flexible. Amorphous cells have typical efficiencies of around 6%, are cheaper to produce and have lower temperature behaviour under hot conditions as the crystalline silicon cells. High temperatures will reduce operating voltage and therefore photovoltaic performance. A-Si modules and also other thin film types are most suiting for application in hot climate and diffuse irradiance conditions. A number of other promising materials such as copper indium diselenide (CIS) - figure 5 - and cadmium telluride (CdTe) are now being used for PV modules. The attraction of these technologies is that they can be Figure 5: CIS manufactured by relatively inexpensive industrial processes, certainly in comparison to crystalline silicon technologies, yet they typically offer higher module efficiencies than amorphous silicon. The table 1 below compares the typical efficiencies on the market today and looks in to the future, what can be achieved in the laboratory. Mono crystalline Multi crystalline Amorphous silicon Cadmium telluride CIS - Copper indium diselenide Typical efficiencies Maximum recorded 12- 17% 11- 14% 6- 8% 7- 10% 22.7% 15.3% 10.2% 13% Maximum recorded laboratory efficiency 24% 18.6% 12.7% 16% 8- 12% 13% 18.8% Table 1: Comparison of solar cell efficiencies PV ARRAY The solar cell is the basic unit in a PV system. An individual solar cell can vary in size from about 4 inch to about 8 inch across and typically produces between 1 and 4 watts, hardly enough power for the great majority of applications. But we can increase the power by connecting cells together 6 to form larger units called modules. The cells are welded in serial to a string of several solar cells, for standard applications up to 36 or 72 solar cells are in series connected. Thin-film materials like amorphous silicon, CIS and cadmium telluride can be made directly into modules through PECVD process or other sputtering methods. The cell material is being sputtered on a substrate, either glass, polyamide or stainless steel or interconnected to a module by a laser. provided by the normal electricity network. In effect, the grid is acting as an energy storage system, which means the PV system does not need to include battery storage. Modules, then, can be connected in series to strings and in parallel to even larger units known as PV array. The number of modules in the individual strings determines the system voltage and the number of parallel strings determines the total current. A string is dependent on the voltage input window of the inverter. Electrical basics also state that the current determines resistance losses in a wire. PV systems should be designed as higher voltage and lower current to minimize the cable losses. PV Array DC side isolation switch Inverter AC side isolation switch Load AC mains supply Meter Cell Main fusebox Figure 7: Grid-connected PV system Grid-connected PV systems are often integrated into buildings or are ground-based. PV technology is providing pollution and noise-free electricity with many impressive examples already in operation. Module String Light DC/AC inverter Computer Television Array Video Figure 6: From cell to module Controller Light Television PV SYSTEM APPLICATIONS The main application (status 2007: 75-80%) for PV systems is grid-connection to the local electricity network. This means that during the day, the electricity generated by the PV system can be used immediately or can be sold to one of the electricity supply companies (which are more common for domestic systems where the occupier may be out during the day). In the evening, when the solar system is unable to provide the electricity required, power is Radio Storage battery Telephone Figure 8: Off-grid PV system An off-grid PV system, sometimes called a stand-alone system, is designed to provide electricity to a home or business without drawing on supplemental power from the 7 electrical utility. A basic off-grid PV system consists of solar modules, a battery bank, a charge controller that manages battery charging, an inverter/charger that is the intelligent centre of the system, and a generator as an optional energy source as backup. When the sun is up, the solar modules generate power to charge batteries and provide electricity. At night, the inverter/charger automatically runs the electrical equipment from the battery bank. The generator provides additional back-up battery charging capability for extended periods of cloudy weather. The inverter/charger can automatically start the generator and initiate a recharge cycle when the battery bank is depleted, or a load is too large for the batteries to support independently. The photovoltaic array is exposed to the elements. Depending on design, the interconnecting wires may also be exposed. All exposed wiring must therefore meet electrical codes for outdoor application, notably exposure to UV radiation. The electrical power produced by the photovoltaic array has some unique characteristics which require special attention. It is direct current and the source is limited by current. Some installers may not be familiar with direct current and the system will require special components for switching and isolation. In some jurisdictions, electrical codes require the photovoltaic array be capable of being isolated from the inverter through a DC isolation switch. The decision on where to locate this switch should therefore be a balance between proximity to the array and accessibility for the operator. BALANCE OF SYSTEM COMPONENTS Modules or arrays, by themselves, do not constitute a complete PV system. We must also have mechanical structures on which to put them and orientate them towards the sun, and components that take the direct-current (DC) electricity produced by array and condition the electricity so it can be used in the specific application. These structures and components are referred to as the balance of system (BOS). Those elements account for approx. 30% of the total investment cost for a PV installation. As light and temperature change throughout the day, the inverter adjusts the array current and voltage levels to maximize the efficiency of the photovoltaic array. Finally as the sun sets in the evening it disconnects the array from the utility system. This may be described as the power tracking function of the inverter. The second function of the inverter is to change the direct current from the photovoltaic array to alternating current with a frequency and voltage matching the supply from the local utility. Thirdly, the inverter functions as a safety component. An inverter must not feed power back to any utility distribution system experiencing a power outage, and during periods of normal operation, power fed to the utility must meet standards for voltage, frequency and harmonic content. Safety and power quality issues are the main concern of utilities. The inverter will require periodic inspection and maintenance. Often the inverter incorporates a display panel indicating power production or fault conditions. It should therefore be installed in an accessible location and, unless designed for outdoor exposure, it should be located in a dry and temperate environment. Some inverters are known to generate some background noise. The sound can be irritating when the high frequency switching coincides with certain psychologically annoying frequencies. Noise may therefore be a factor in selecting the location of the power condition. For a grid-connected PV system, inverters send the power from PV modules direct to the grid. They do not use a battery bank and therefore they do not give you any power back up in the event of a grid power failure. The advanced gridinteractive inverters perform the same function as grid-feed inverters; however they allow power to flow 'both ways'. They also incorporate a battery bank and have an automatic built in charger. This type of system gives you back up power in the event that the grid fails or goes out of tolerance in terms of its voltage and frequency. The overall efficiency of the system depends on the efficiency of the sunlight-into-DC and the DC-into-AC conversion efficiency of the inverter. The first one varies up to 3% over a year. The second one, instead, shows a much greater variability. The efficiency of the inverter varies with the load level. Although this relation is different for each inverter, a conventional model has a load/efficiency curve similar to Figure 9. Therefore, a key consideration in the design and operation of inverters is how to achieve high efficiency with varying power output. 100 90 INVERTER Efficiency [%] The heart of grid-connected PV systems, a power converter that 'inverts' the DC power from the modules into AC power. The characteristics of the output signal should match the voltage, frequency and power quality limits in the supply network. It is the link to the outside world and basically performs three functions. First the inverter controls the operation of the photovoltaic array. As the sun rises in the morning, it connects the photovoltaic array to the utility system. 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Output Power Relative to Rated Power [%] Figure 9: Typical inverter efficiency curve 100 8 It is necessary to maintain the inverter at or near full load in order to operate in the high-efficiency region. However, this is not possible, as some installations would never reach their rated power due to deficient tilt, orientation or irradiation in the region. Nowadays, there are several concepts on the market available and it is very dynamic, which is the preferred and optimised concept. Following a short description of the two mainly applied concepts and some advantages: PV - Modules Central inverter Grid If applying string inverters, normally no junction box is needed. Thus resulting in cost reduction due to material savings and faster installation can be achieved. The individual strings are often directly connected to the inverter. String inverters are in the size available from 0.7 kW to 8 kW. The converted AC power is collected and often feed to the grid on a single phase. String inverters need a better and detailed monitoring concept than central inverters, as a larger number of inverters have to be properly monitored. KWh Consumer Figure 10: Concept central inverter Figure 13: String inverter Following a comparing matrix of the two inverter concepts and the advantages and features: Inverter Cost concept Dimension Efficiency Weight Installation Reliability Central Approx. 0.6 US$/WAC Large and heavy 93%-95% Junction box, High more wiring, more effort String Approx. 0.8 US$/WAC A3 size, approx. 10 kg 94%-97% Very easy and fast Moderate Table 2: Inverter concepts overview Figure 11: Central inverter One of the main concepts for an inverter is the central conversion – approx. 50% of all applications. The PV modules are connected in strings and in parallel on a junction box, which collects the DC power and feeds single line the central inverter. The inverter is connected to the grid either single or three phase, depending on the PV capacity. One of the main advantages is a higher efficiency for a central large inverter compared to smaller units. Common sizes are from 20 kW up to 1000 kW. Grid KWh String inverter Figure 12: Concept string inverter Table 2 summarises roughly the important points from each inverter concept. In general a central inverter costs less then the same capacity of string inverters, but shows higher cost in the installation, due to the involved components like wiring and junction box. Whereas string inverters need a better monitoring concept compared to a central inverter. In overall the cost balance is slightly favouring the string inverter concept. ELECTRICAL COMPONENTS Fuses, breakers and switches normally function as required and are likely to function according to specifications for the life of the photovoltaic systems. Their reliability may reflect their passive role as well as the maturity of the electrical industry. Array string blocking diodes have failed in some systems due to lack of heat dissipation. AC breakers, along with the PV DC array switch, serve to isolate the inverter for 9 servicing. Photovoltaic modules produce electricity whenever the sun shines and if they perform well for the first year, they are likely to continue to perform for a very long time. While perhaps not a reliability issue, one reason for reported poor system performance has been the overrating of module power by the manufacturers. And if there is a future problem, it is likely to occur in the module junction box. This box is very exposed to the elements and mounted on the back of the module, it experiences temperature higher than ambient values. Evidence of corrosion in the module or in the junction box terminal may show after ten to fifteen years of operation. As each string is controlled by a DC rated fuse, the DC combiner box shall be accessible, if needed. Overvoltage elements (SPDs) and the DC isolating device are included too. The PV-DC isolating device is needed to separate the PV array at any time from the inverter. It is very important to note that this device is operating under DC condition and the operating current will vary at any time. Some devices are filled with sand, while others will eliminate electronically the resulting arcing when disconnecting. The device must be suitable rated for the PV array short current and the open DC voltage. MONITORING Monitoring of the PV installation is recommended, as the inverter is an electronic component and can have failures. If a central inverter is not properly monitored and breaks down, the produced solar energy is not being converted and the PV owner loses money and the grid structure may fail the planned operation philosophy. Figure 14: Junction box 45678 Energy Meter The wiring on the DC side is recommend to be double insulated, UV stable cables, either 2.5 or 4 mm2. If a longer distance for the wiring is needed or high current modules are applied one should apply 4 mm2 cables, and less wiring loss is expected. The cables must further resist temperature up to 60°C and should come in two different colours for (–) and (+) connection. All strings shall be connected in a DC combiner box, which is preferably located very close to the PV array and not in direct contact with the outdoor conditions. A DC combiner box must have identical features like a cable, UV resistant, suitable for high temperature and has to be watertight, e.g. IP 65. Figure 15: DC combiner box web’log Alarm Inverter Operation Local Alarm Archiving Figure 16: Concept for monitoring Nowadays most inverters offer the possibility to download the data via modem and even access over internet to control the system performance. With a suitable PC program the user can check the performance of the inverters or receives automatically an error message in case of a failure. If this is not available the inverter may be checked visually and indicators at the inverter can show the operating status. As the design approach shifts towards several inverter per installation, e.g. string inverters, the monitoring should be automatically done on a daily basis and in case of a failure, an automatically generated error message should be sent. This will safeguard the PV owner its interest and helps to improve the performance of a PV installation. The recorded data should be analyzed daily and will give the opportunity to react if strings are disconnected or another failure occurs. 10 VALUE CHAIN AND MANUFACTURING PROCESS Trichlorosilane is produced from metallic silicon and purified by distillation refining. Reduction is performed with hydrogen at temperatures near 1,100°C, depositing a 99.999…% (in CRYSTALLINE PV VALUE CHAIN The crystalline PV value chain has six essential components which constitute the value chain, each dependent on each other. Some companies concentrate on specific segments of the value chain others address all segments as integrated solar PV companies. These components are: Figure 19: Polysilicon rods Figure 20: Polysilicon chunks Figure 17: Crystalline PV value chain SILICON Silicon is the second most plentiful element in the Earth’s crust, found in both quartz and sand. Silicon (Si) exists usually as an oxide, being an element among about 100 different elements. Silicon is found near the earth's surface, in abundance second only to oxygen, and is considered to be limitless in supply. Despite its abundance, silicon is complex and therefore expensive to process. To change silicon into polycrystalline silicon, metallurgical silicon is manufactured from quartz with a purity of 99% through a carbon thermal process (see figure 18). eleven 9s) pure polycrystalline silicon in rod form. High purity silicon ("Polysilicon") is the key feedstock for almost all solar cells and modules produced today. Silicon-based PV cells and modules accounted for 94% of all PV production in 2007. While there is no fundamental limitation on the availability of unpurified silicon material, the standard "Siemens" purification process requires several costly steps, including the processing of volatile chemicals (Trichlorosilane) at 1,100 degrees Celsius. The solar industry has historically relied on top-and-tails and other off-cuts from the semiconductor industry, a combination of the semiconductor industry’s recovery and the solar Mine Silica stone Metallic silica Refining Trichlorosilane Deposition Polycrystalline sillicon Figure 18: Metallic silica Figure 21: Polysilicon manufacturing process 11 industry’s growth is putting pressure on the availability of supply. As a result, silicon manufacturers are currently in a strong position in the overall PV value chain. The solar PV industry and semiconductor manufacturers are the two main consumers of polysilicon. In 2000 the solar industry consumed only 10% of the world's silicon supply. In 2006 the PV industry consumed more than 50% of the world's available supply of polysilicon for the first time ever. This historic shift illustrates the growing size and importance of the solar PV industry, and polysilicon manufacturers are expanding production capacity dramatically to meet the growth in the PV industry. However, the time lag between planning new polysilicon capacity and the actual production of polysilicon is typically 1.5 to 2.5 years, thereby contributing to the current shortage of silicon supply. The impact of this shortfall is evident in the sharp rise in polysilicon prices since 2004. From polysilicon one can create either electronic grade (EG) - 99.999…% (in nine 9s) - or solar grade (SoG) silicon 99.9999% (in six 9s). The former requires a greater level of purification than the latter. Six manufactures of electronic grade silicon also produce photovoltaic grade silicon which they sell to the solar industry. These manufacturers have 4 plants in the USA, 3 in Japan, 1 in Germany and 1 in Italy. The three leaders are Hemlock (USA), Wacker (Germany) and Tokuyama (Japan) and each of these companies has indicated that it will continue to dedicate part of its production to photovoltaic grade silicon for the solar PV industry. Both Wacker and Tokuyama have launched initiatives to develop granular silicon. Wacker uses fluidised bed reactor technology while Tokuyama uses a vapour to liquid reactor. However commercialization of these methods is unlikely before 2009. Semiconductor production also supplies some silicon feedstock as a byproduct but that source is diminishing. Several groups are conducting R&D, such as Elkem of Norway, to develop photovoltaic grade silicon from other sources, such as metallurgical purification. This may offer lower production costs in the near future. INGOT Silicon consumers in the solar PV industry must convert silicon feedstock into silicon ingots to enable further processing into wafers, cells and modules. Silicon-based solar modules fall into two categories: monocrystalline and multicrystalline. In each category, the polysilicon must be converted into a crystalline structure. A monocrystalline ingot is comprised of one large crystal structure, which yields a uniform color and texture throughout the ingot. A multicrystalline ingot contains numerous smaller silicon crystals and often has a mottled or flecked appearance. Figure 22: Polycrystalline Figure 23: Monocrystalline ingot ingot Monocrystalline technology is used because this solution produces solar cells and modules with a higher efficiency conversion rate of sunlight to electricity. The most common technology used in the production of ingots for monocrystalline solar cells is based on a technique called the Czochralski Process. Figure 24: Czochralski process In this process a silicon seed crystal at the end of a metal rod is lowered into a quartz crucible of molten silicon liquid. As the rod and seed crystal are slowly pulled out of the crucible, a single cylindrical silicon crystal forms on the seed crystal. The production of monocrystalline ingot requires precise specifications and careful monitoring to ensure uniform crystal growth and contaminant-free ingots. Completing a single cylindrical silicon crystal ingot takes between 36 and 40 hours and yields an ingot of approximately 2 meters long and 6 to 8 inches in diameter. For the simpler production of polycrystalline ingots, the silicon is melted in the crucible and then directionally solidified in a carefully controlled thermal environment. Once the ingot has been produced, the silicon is sawed into blocks and then into wafers using specialised wire saws. Such a process can waste up to half of the material in saw 12 Producing thinner wafers and reducing silicon waste is a major area of focus in the solar industry's campaign to lower the cost of module production and ensure more efficient use of silicon. Figure 25: Ingot puller slurry. Key to cutting costs is the development of thinner wafers, while maintaining structural strength. A large source of lost silicon is "kerf", the silicon dust produced during the sawing process. "Kerf loss" refers to the silicon removed from the ingot in the sawing process used to produce the wafers. Because the sawed grooves are approximately the same width as the produced wafers, kerf loss can approach 50% of the total silicon in the ingot. Wire sawing is the standard technique used to slice ingots into wafers. The raw ingot is first cooled and then the top and tail of the ingot are cut off and can later be reused in the ingot production process as reclaimable silicon. Next, the ingots are cut into 400-500 cm long sections and the cylindrical shape is 'squared' into four equal sides, so as to be mounted safely in the wire saw machine. But it is unlikely that wafers manufacturers experience the same rate of long-term growth as the overall solar industry, wafers remain a high value added part of the solar value chain. WAFER Wafer sawing is the process of cutting the monocrystalline ingot into thin slices to enable the processing of silicon into solar cells. Figure 27: Wire saw machine In the sawing process a single strand of stainless steel wire hundreds of kilometers in length and 160 to 200 microns thick is pulled over the ingot by grooved rollers. To complete this process, usually a mixture made up of oil and normally an abrasive material known as slurry is pumped over the wires to provide the friction needed for the cutting action. CELL Manufacturing solar cells requires several steps, including cleaning and texturing the wafer, applying anti-reflective coating and printing conductive metal grids to capture the electricity generated in the silicon wafer by the PV effect. Figure 26: Wafers Crystalline silicon solar cells make up 94% of the PV solar production in 2007 and can be divided into monocrystalline and multicrystalline categories. Monocrystalline cells normally achieve higher efficiencies (16-18% efficiency) than multicrystalline cells (14-16% efficiency). 13 The power output of a module depends on the size and number of cells in the module as well as the efficiency of each cell. Recent trends have favoured the production of higher power modules through a combination of larger, more efficient cells and the inclusion of more cells per module. It is important to ensure that the modules comply with international standards, such as IEC 61215, IEC 6146, TUV safety class II and CE certification. Figure 28: Worker with solar cell MODULE A PV module is a finished product consisting of the assembly of PV solar cells that have been electrically connected and laminated in a highly durable, weatherproof frame. Solar modules are the basic end-use product of the solar industry and may be produced in various sizes and shapes depending on intended usage. Modules are installed on residential and commercial roofs, groundmounted in large-scale solar parks, and almost anywhere else where solar power can be used. Module assembly involves electrically connecting strings of cells, laminating the strings in a durable, clear polymer material with special properties called EVA, and protecting the cells from physical stress by enclosing the laminate in an aluminium frame with a glass front and normally with a backing material known as TPT, a combination of Tedlar and Polyester. A junction box and a set of connection cables on the back of a module allow the easy connection of one module to another at the site of installation. SYSTEM Systems installation covers a broad range of possible PV applications, from utility-scale PV, to commercial and residential rooftops, to building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV), to off-grid industrial and residential systems in rural areas. Each category presents its own unique challenges for costeffectively deploying PV solar modules. Figure 30: BIPV system Figure 31: Off-grid PV system Figure 29: PV module 14 GLOBAL PHOTOVOLTAICS BUSINESS AND PV IN MALAYSIA By Daniel Ruoss, IC MBIPV and Lalchand Gulabrai, TA MBIPV, February 2008 15 GWp (source: Photon International) or 7 GWp (source: EPIA) annual PV market by 2010? Growth rate exceeding 50% until 2010 (source: Bank Sarasin) or solar sector heading for a shakeout (source: Greentech Media)? 175,000 tons of solar grade silicon available by 2010 (source: Photon Consulting) or 80,000 to 100,000 tons ‘only’ (source: EPIA). Correct values are of great importance and provide the industry verifiable means of benchmarking and planning of the production. Market size matters – the industry and other stakeholders have to know the status quo of the market to plan for the mid and long-term. Presently one has to use the published data with care and compare with one or two other sources closely. Furthermore, one should compare statistics for installed PV with the annual PV production. Production will follow demand and in 2008 production should meet demand, whereas in the last few years the demand was exceeding production, due to bottleneck in silicon supply. The fact is that the PV market is growing rapidly! The figures stated below are based on research and comparing data from REN21, Photon International, IEA-PVPS, Greenpeace, Paul Maycock, and others. In the last seven years the overall PV market was growing between 35% to 42%, and gridconnected PV exceeded 40% growth in the last five years. The grid-connected PV market accounts for approximately 77% (~7.0 GWp as at end of 2007) of the overall installed PV capacity and is the fastest growing RE market worldwide. 23% (~2.1 GWp as at end of 2007) are off-grid PV systems and few installations (~5%) are already economically viable without the need for subsidies. The rest (~18%) receives financial support from NGOs, donor countries through aid program, from donor agencies, such as United Nations Programmes (e.g. Development or Educational), Global Environment Facility (GEF) or World Bank. By End of 2007 the cumulative installed PV capacity was approximately 9.1 GWp resulting in total annual revenues in 2007 of US$ 1517 billion in 2007. But we have to keep in mind that the grid-connected PV market, although booming like mushrooms, is completely driven by sustainable policies implemented by Governments in various countries, such as Germany, Spain, USA, Italy, France, South Korea, Greece, and others. In fact, it is not the industry that is driving the market but politicians with Figure 32: Governor Schwarzenegger – a committed PV champion with muscles to implement a sustainable PV programme in California commitment and a long-term perspective for a sustainable future (figure 32). Policy driven programmes helped the global PV industry to expand quickly and position itself stronger against conventional energies. As at end of 2007, the PV industry has created more than 300,000 new jobs worldwide (source: Greenpeace), whereas in Germany alone approximately 50,000 jobs were created (source: Bundesverband Solarwirtschaft BVS). It is estimated that in Germany by 2020, jobs created in RE manufacturing will exceed those in machinery and in vehicle manufacturing! PV and RE in general, is a job spinner and brings great benefits to the country. But we need to ‘fuel’ this spinner, and the ‘fuel’ today is a well designed, economically viable feed-in-tariff (FiT) policy. Today more than 40 countries have a FiT policy introduced. Some country programmes offer an economically viable FiT, e.g. Germany, Spain, South Korea, Italy, France, Greece, and many more. Other countries have a FiT but either the timeframe of FiT is too short (e.g. Thailand - 7 years only), or the cap on the maximum cumulative installed PV capacity is set too low (e.g. Switzerland, Portugal, Luxembourg), or the available tariff is too low to make the PV system economically recoverable within the 15 to 20 years (e.g. Norway, Sweden, Turkey, and other countries). 15 But a well designed feed-in tariff scheme is a policy to change the world. FiT reduces CO2 emission significantly, create jobs, ensures energy supply, guarantees investment security and grows the local PV industry, drives technological innovation and provides fair market conditions for REs. The question is “Do the benefits for the country implementing a FiT scheme outweigh the cost resulting from the FiT policy?” Where do the billions invested go to? Take Germany as an example, Germany has a well designed FiT programme, including wind, biomass, PV, hydro and geothermal. The programme started in 2000, and in a recent review it was presented that the benefit so far outweighs the cost (source: Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit, report on EEG experience, June 2007). Cost (estimate in US$ billion) Cost for FiT = 4.4 Benefit (estimated in US$ billion) Reduction of tariff = 6.87 for VL consumers (Merit order effect) Increased cost for = 0.14 Savings from = 1.237 stand-by charges energy import Transaction cost = 0.0027 Socio-economic = 4.672 benefits Total = 4.54 Total = 12.8 PV application, such as ‘Schoolnet’, or island electrification with hybrid systems (e.g. Pulau Kapas), or projects for rural electrification in Sabah and Sarawak, initiated mainly by Government agencies and others. Today grid-connected BIPV applications are under the supervision of MBIPV Project and concentrating mainly in the Klang Valley due to better appreciation of the technology by the urbanities. In SURIA1000 and also the ‘SURIA for Developer’ programmes, BIPV applications can be installed in East and West Malaysia and can receive, if successful in bidding, attractive financial incentives for the investment where the BIPV systems are allowed to be net-metered with TNB and later on, with SESCO and SESB. At the End of 2007; the grid-connected cumulative installed BIPV capacity in Malaysia surpassed the 700 kWp level and the off-grid market is estimated to be 5-6 MWp cumulative installed PV capacity. Table 3: Cost vs. benefits of EEG in Germany (source: BMU, June 2007) And what is the status of PV policy in Malaysia? As per February 2008 grid-connected PV in Malaysia enjoys the following benefits: - - - Permission to connect such power generating equipment to the TNB’s low voltage distribution supply network (240/415 volts 1 phase / 3 phase). Net Metering for TNB “purchase” of the PV generated electricity, where the interconnection may be at the point of TNB supply connection (“Direct Feed”) or at the user’s internal distribution board (“Indirect Feed”). Under these conditions the PV generated electricity sale equates to TNB valuing the PV generated electricity at the same rate it sells the electricity to its customers. Investment in renewable energy for own use can benefit from Capital Allowance (CA) and Investment Tax Allowance (ITA) with 26% (2008) and 25% (2009). In the pipeline; MBIPV project through Pusat Tenaga Malaysia (PTM) has proposed to the Ministry of Energy, Water and Communication, for PV incentives to be enhanced through the National Budget, to make it more attractive for Malaysians to invest in PV systems. Over the last two years the annual installed PV capacity in Malaysia was in average 1 MWp to 1.5 MWp, including offgrid PV applications, which represent approximately 70% of the total installed PV capacity. Several initiatives in off-grid Figure 33: 10.5 kWp semi-transparent BIPV application at PTM-ZEO Besides the proposed changes to the various Government agencies on procedures to facilitate RE growth, the MBIPV Project is working towards a sustainable environment for the widespread use of grid-connected PV in Malaysia. The realistic target until 2020 is to install 20 MWp cumulative installed grid-connected PV capacity, however the technical potential for grid-connected PV in the built environment was estimated to be at least 7,500 MWp (in 2007). It is important when developing the market and its stakeholders, to follow a realistic learning curve and to address the current industry capabilities in the design of a policy. The scenario for post MBIPV Project (2010 onwards) proposes that the Malaysian PV industry (service providers and manufacturers) should become competitive before a followup high-impact (e.g. feed-in tariff) PV programme is introduced. 16 Otherwise, Malaysia will not benefit from the investment into PV and justification for the PV program to benefit the local stakeholder is very difficult. The PV industry has two to five years (2010 to 2012/2015) to build capacity and become competitive in the local and international market. This follows a realistic scenario similar to lessons learned from Germany, US and Japan. The market in Malaysia will develop in due course, although it may not be as fast as in Europe but hopefully more stable than in other Asean countries, e.g. Thailand, Indonesia. Offgrid PV will be the majority of PV applications and may exceed 2 MWp annual installed PV capacity by 2010 onwards due to increasing support from Government on rural electrification, but will dwindle as Malaysia becomes a developed nation by 2020 (Wawasan 2020). Off-grid applications are an important and still growing sector of PV business, but very dependant on Government support, whereas some cases are already economically viable without any Government subsidy. For example in Indonesia, the PV market has been revitalized for the past two years, thanks to strong demand of PV hybrid solution for telecommunication application on hundreds of islands. And just few years ago, a Government sponsored solarhome systems programme in Indonesia failed because no ownership was created (100 percent subsidized) and very poor maintenance was provided. In an economical viable market such as telecommunications, the growth and demand for PV becomes self-driving and this makes PV business a profitable venture. The entry barrier for PV business varies, depending which part of the value chain one targets, where the investment can be up to several hundreds million dollars. Becoming a PV system integrator or proving service in design, consulting, and other activities is with the least barrier path to PV business. As such, companies can easily fly by night and may be gone the next day to the next attractive PV market with cash. Similarly, module manufacturing, which requires minimal investment - for a 10 MW production facility US$1.1-1.7 million – and can be set-up and operated quickly, but can be also dismantled and relocated fast. The scene is different if one targets front end manufacturing, such as polysilicon production, ingot and wafer fabrication or cell manufacturing; this can incur investment cost between US$70-125 million for a 100 MW production facility. Graph 1 presents investment trends for different PV products in the value chain. Please note, this graph should not be used for any design of business plans as it presents trends only. On a normalized scale (100%), polysilicon and ingots/wafer manufacturing tend to achieve the highest profit followed by solar cell manufacturing. Module manufacturing tends to result in less profit than the upstream manufacturers but profit still exceeds those in BOS manufacturing or services sector (installation and consultation). 6% 3% 5% 10% 38% 24% 14% Status 5 Nov 2007 Normalized on 100% Silicon Wafer Modules Ingots Cells BOS & structure Installation & M&E Graph 2: Profit trends (normalized on 100%) for manufacturing along the PV value chain Yes, the future is promising for the PV business. Established PV companies are expanding their production capacity significantly and numerous new companies are entering the PV business worldwide. In some business, e.g. inverter and RM million High investment 500 450 400 350 300 Medium investment 250 200 150 100 50 Low investment 0 Silicon per1,000 t Ingots and wafers for 100MW Solar cells Solar modules for 100MW for 100MW System components Graph 1: Investment trends for manufacturing along the PV value chain Installation and services 17 module, competition is aggressive and almost every month, new market entrants are trying to get a share of the booming PV market. But before one rushes heedlessly into the PV business, one has to understand and consider some important (but not limited) requirements: - Company should understand the PV value chain and the market drivers and have a regional or international network for procurement and sale of products. - Establish strong collaborations with experienced partners, e.g. JV, technical collaboration (MoA), and others. - Succeed in long-term supply contracts of your raw material. - Have reliable power supply, low electricity tariff and good access to talented manpower. - Reduce dependence on export market only. Create a sustainable local home market. production cost should decrease as the cost reduction in silicon manufacturing is passed on through the PV value chain. Photon International Consulting estimated production cost of high-quality crystalline PV modules in 2009/2010 in the range of US$1.50/Wp. Cost reduction in end products will open new PV markets and add to the increasingly attractive business environment. This leaves plenty of room for future growing profit and new companies entering the PV business. Here, an increasing number of companies are targeting the fast public listing to attract quick cash and achieve their aggressive and ambitious growth targets, e.g. Chinese companies. Other companies are attracting venture capital or private equity to fund their business strategy and a few PV companies are closed for outside investment and still perform very well. There are different approaches; each with its benefits, to diversify into PV business, either way the question for new market entrants is often “where to enter the PV business”. It is crucial to do an extensive due diligence on market and close competitors. Furthermore, one has to assess one’s own financial capabilities, preferred location, infrastructure, accessibility to ports, etc. and come up with a sound SWOT analysis leading to decisions before venturing into a PV business. Support on above analysis can be obtained from several international and local consulting companies. Please feel free to contact MBIPV team of PTM, if you are interested to enter or diversify to the PV business and if your company has the resources to invest in PV (see graph 1). Looking ahead, for front-end products (e.g. solar cells, wafers), profit tends to be high and for PV module manufacturing profit tends to decrease slightly, because any cost reduction is used to maximize to a certain level the profit for the front-end manufacturers first. In 2007, FOB (free on board) sales price for high quality crystalline PV modules from China ranges from US$3.20-3.80/Wp for an order of around one to five 40ft containers (100 to 500 kWp). Production cost is estimated at US$2.60-2.80/Wp, which result in profits of 20-35% for module manufacturing. In a few years, due to decreasing silicon prices the module Installation / System integration Module Solar cells Wafers Ingots Sillicon Increasing scale of production Increasing investment cost per MW Increasing market players Figure 34: Characteristics of the PV value chain / Source: Pegasus Sdn Bhd As presented in figure 34, in back-end manufacturing (PV modules, BOS) and system integration, an increasing numbers of players are established and the investment is low, whereas in silicon manufacturing only few companies dominate the market, but investment is very high. Wafer and PV cells production requires a high investment but less than silicon, but competition is getting stronger as more companies are being established in this sector of the value chain. But there is plenty of business available considering a BAU (business-as-usual) scenario (35% growth rate) for the development of the global market – see graph 3. Annual installed PV capacity (MWp) – Grid-connected & off-grid 140000 MPR in 2020 = ~US$380 billion 120000 MWp 100000 80000 MPR in 2015 = ~US$150 billion 60000 Market potential revenues (MPR) in 2010 = ~US$40 billion 40000 Annual sales in 2006 = US$12 billion 20000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Graph 3: Investment trends for manufacturing along the PV value chain 2017 2018 2019 2020 18 The annual revenues in 2010 are estimated to exceed US$40 billion and could reach US$380 billion in 2020 estimating an annual market of 120-140 GWp – replacing over hundred to hundred fifty big size nuclear reactors installations per year. For reference and to provide a perspective on the potential market size of PV; in 2007 thirty three nuclear reactors were under construction totalling 27 GW vs. annual installed PV capacity of 2.3 MWp. How are we going to get there? By economies of scale and new developments – upscaling and commercializing new technologies are keys to price reduction and further market growth. In the next few years the spotlight will be on the European and US market, and demand will be high thanks to Governments which understood the benefits of an RE policy (including PV) and hence, coming up with a long-term perspective to achieve a sustainable national energy policy. In the next two to three years, the industry should try to consolidate, as today the market is overheated, and this will help companies to improve their strategies over the next ten years. These will be more IPO’s, new partnerships between established PV enterprises and newcomers to tap into the network and experience from a strong industry partner, some bankruptcies may be possible, several companies may have idling production, and few mergers & acquisitions. Today the hype for PV technology and business is at its peak, and the PV industry should be mindful to use the momentum and carry the positive support from the public and Government into a long term sustainable business. Once grid-parity is achieved i.e. PV electricity price is competitive to conventional electricity price, the PV market will sky-rocket and open avenues for new technologies and innovative manufacturing concepts to further upscale. The industry has to drive the market in the short to mid term and not policy makers, who today have strong muscles (commitment) to support PV, but as we all know muscles tend to weaken over time. 19 MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN PHOTOVOLTAICS IN MALAYSIA AND WORLDWIDE By Daniel Ruoss, IC MBIPV, August 2007 MIDA (Malaysian Industrial Development Authority) is Malaysia’s one-stop centre for investment in local manufacturing. With focus on PV business, MIDA is supported by Mr. Daniel Ruoss (Swiss International Consultant) and Mr. Mohd Nazri Mohd Nawi from the MBIPV Project team to facilitate international and local business contacts and provide updates on latest technologies and companies’ news. The MBIPV Project team is very experienced in the PV business throughout the value chain and familiar with local and international PV stakeholders. To facilitate the growing interest from local companies, MBIPV team have designed a business development program, including free consultation and business plan. To upgrade the local industry and support their business interest, we have designed our programme in six key thrusts: T1: To understand the needs and requirements of the local industry; T2: To improve the image of the local PV industry and PV in Malaysia; T3: To stimulate interest and identify interested local companies to shift towards PV; T4: To design tailored programmes to enhance the local industry; T5: To explore Government support and collaborate with relevant agencies on design for new incentives for industry development; and T6: To guide and facilitate collaboration between industries (local and foreign). Together with MIDA, MBIPV is working towards local manufacturing of PV products serving the global market and establishing strong local service providers competent to operate business in the ASEAN region. Please feel free to contact the MBIPV Project team any time. Contact: Mr. Nazri (nazri@ptm.org.my) The role of MIDA can be presented as follows: The Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA), incorporated as a statutory body under the Federal Industrial Development Authority Act, in 1965, is the Government’s principal agency for the promotion and coordination of industrial development in Malaysia. MIDA is the first point of contact for investors who intend to set up projects in the manufacturing and its related services sectors in Malaysia. Foreign investors can also contact MIDA for assistance in planning their fact-finding trip to Malaysia. Headquartered in Malaysia’s capital city of Kuala Lumpur, MIDA has established a global network of 16 overseas offices covering North America, Europe and the Asia Pacific to assist investors interested in locating manufacturing operation. MIDA will be opening 10 new offices in Guangzhou, Dalian, Bangalore, Ho Chi Minh City, Jakarta, Dubai, Johannesburg, Munich, Bangkok and Houston, by the end of 2008. Within Malaysia, MIDA has 10 branch offices in 10 states, including two offices in Sabah and Sarawak. The main functions of MIDA are to: - Undertake planning and coordination of industrial development in Malaysia; - Promote foreign and domestic investments in the manufacturing and services sectors; - Recommend policies and strategies on industrial development to the Government; - Evaluate applications for manufacturing licences and expatriate posts; tax incentives for manufacturing activities, tourism, R&D, training institutions and software development; and duty exemption on raw materials, components and machinery; - Assist companies in the implementation and operation of their projects, and offer assistance through direct consultations and cooperation with the relevant authorities at both the federal and state levels and; - Facilitate cross border investments and assisting Malaysian companies to identify markets and investment abroad; - Facilitate the exchange of information and coordination among institutions engaged in or connected with industrial development. As a measure to further enhance MIDA’s role in assisting foreign and domestic investors, senior representatives from key agencies are stationed at MIDA’s headquarters in Kuala Lumpur. These officials are from the Immigration Department, Royal Customs Malaysia and Tenaga Nasional Berhad. Other Government representatives from relevant ministries such as the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Human Resources, Department of Environment and Department of Occupational Safety and Health, are also assigned to MIDA to assist in expediting various approvals. MIDA has successfully implemented the ISO 9002 Quality Management System and has been awarded for the promotion of foreign and domestic investments in Malaysia’s manufacturing sector. For further enquiries, please contact us at: Malaysian Industrial Development Authority Block 4, Plaza Sentral Jalan Stesen Sentral 5, Kuala Lumpur Sentral 50470, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Tel: (603) 2267 3633 Fax: (603) 2274 7970 E-mail: promotion@mida.gov.my 20 MIDA with support from the MBIPV Project is enhancing and attracting international PV companies to establish manufacturing in Malaysia and enjoy the numerous benefits and advantages. First success story of local PV manufacturing exceeding 10 MW is First Solar, a leading US company in thin film module production. First Solar is establishing a 704 MW production facility in Kulim High-Tech Park, Malaysia. Currently the production facilities are under construction and production should be operational by mid 2008. Other local manufacturers in PV products cover the production of garden lamps (up to 50,000 pieces per month) and street safety products for Middle East countries. Malaysia has many opportunities for local manufacturing and such opportunities have yet to be explored and understood by global PV companies. Today semi-conductor companies are well established, e.g. in Penang, Shah Alam and Kulim, and have benefited from the conducive and profitable business and manufacturing environment in Malaysia. PV companies with interest towards front-end manufacturing have the potential of strong earnings from the existing skilled labour and established manufacturing environment for silicon, wafer and cell production. Similar to the clustering of semi-con companies in Malaysia, a growing number of PV companies is establishing manufacturing in Eastern Germany, e.g. Thuringen, Berlin and Saxony. Today Eastern Germany has attracted significant number of companies for local manufacturing, thanks to generous incentives from the European Union and State Government for production facility and manpower. Value chain Company Location Silicon Wafers Cells Modules Thin-Films Capacity 2006/7 Figure 36: Map of leading PV players in Eastern Germany Employees 1 Wacker AG Freiberg - 600 2 Deutsche Solar AG Freiberg 240 MWp 8001) 3 PV Crystalox Solar AG Erfurt 4 EverQ GmbH Thalheim n.a. 160 90 MWp 150 5 ASI industries GmbH Arnstadt 45 MWp - 2) 6 Q-Cells AG Thalheim 420 MWp 900 7 ErSol Solar Energy AG Erfurt 240 MWp 3802) 8 Deutsche Cell GmbH Freiberg 160 MWp - 1) 9 Sunways AG Arnstadt 30 MWp 60 10 Solarwatt AG Dresden 100 MWp 320 11 Solar Factory GmbH Freiberg 100 MWP - 1) 12 Solon AG Berlin/Greifswald 90 MWp 300 13 Aleo Solar AG Prenzlau 90 MWp 250 14 Heckert Solar GmbH Chemnitz 20 MWp 40 15 GSS Solar GmbH Gera 15 MWp 20 16 Solara Wismar GmbH Wismar 10 MWp 80 17 ASS Solar GmbH Erfurt 10 MWp 20 18 Conergy AG Frankfurt (Oder) 19 CSG Solar AG 20 21 Under construction - Thalheim 25 MWp 150 Antec Solar GmbH Arnstadt 20 MWp 50 Sulfurcell GmbH Berlin 10 MWp 50 22 Solarion GmbH Leipzig Pilot 20 23 Odersun AG Frankfurt (Oder) Under construction - 24 Schott Solar GmbH Jena Under construction - 25 First Solar GmbH Frankfurt (Oder) Under construction - 26 ErSol Thin Film GmbH Erfurt Under construction - 2) 27 Johanna Solar GmbH Brandenburg Under construction - 28 Calyxo GmbH Thalheim Under construction - 29 Brilliant 234. GmbH Thalheim Under construction - Figure 35: List of leading PV players in Eastern Germany The cluster in Eastern Germany has already been renamed as Solar Valley and since 1996 the Solar Valley has created more than 25,000 jobs in tooling business (related to PV) and along the PV value chain. In 2008 alone, 10 new solar fabs will be built, creating up to 5,000 new jobs. Another cluster location for growing PV manufacturing is Oregon, USA, with focus on silicon and cell manufacturing because of low-cost hydro power, very stable power supply and highly skilled labour from existing semi-conductor industry. Start-ups with focus on 2nd and 3rd generation PV cells are concentrated in the Silicon Valley in California. The Silicon Valley is attracting the highest venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) investment and investors have renamed the Silicon Valley to ‘PV Valley’. A recent report by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) concludes that in 2006, US$4.9 billion (RM17.6 billion) VC and PE investment were poured into new clean energy companies and renewable energy (RE) projects in the USA. The US is the largest single destination globally for venture capital and private equity investment where investment in PV (21%) is the second largest after Biofuels with (34%). 21 Considering these facts and estimating that around 60% of the VC and PE money goes into California and around 30% into the ‘PV Valley’, it is anticipated that more than US$180 million (RM648 million) of VC and PE investment went into new companies and new technologies in the ‘PV Valley’ in 2006 alone. PV is a BIG business! Today many Industrial Development Agencies responsible for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) are participating in exhibitions and are collaborating with respective country chambers of commerce to woo international PV parties to the country. And exhibitions with focus on industry and products are mushrooming. Soon we will have a section or special days dedicated for investors to inform about local PV manufacturing in respective countries. For now, this is not addressed but may become an important platform in the future. The race is on – everyone has recognized the huge potential of PV and revenues, especially the manufacturing of PV products and exporting the final products to the booming markets. Countries not known on the PV map so far, but known for abundant solar sources, such as Singapore, United Arab Emirates (with Sharjah, Fujairah) and Mexico (Baja California) are wooing international PV companies and attracting an increasing number of them with attractive packages, including up to 50 years tax holiday (UAE), equity participation (Singapore) and low-cost labour (Mexico). But for investors, it is becoming increasingly difficult to differentiate between all the offers, all of them appear to be an eye-catching bouquet of flowers but start to wither after few days. Adding to the difficulties are ‘consultants’, who act as middle-men trying to make their cut and use the opportunity to ride the ‘PV business wave’. For the past two years and possibly inclusive of 2008, the industry has been and is still talking about the silicon Figure 37: Infineon at Kulim High Tech Park, Malaysia bottleneck, which hindered the rapid expansion of the PV industry. The problem seems to be properly addressed and more than 120,000 tonnes of annual silicon production capacities will be on-line from 2009 onwards, able to supply a demand of at least 10 GWp annually. The industry is positive that the issue has been addressed and solutions are in place to resolve this bottleneck, and forecasts that the growth rate of PV will resume the escalation rate as before. But what’s next? Bottleneck on human capital? Yes, this is most likely! But some say, let’s harvest today – the future is now and is definitely PV. But we have to be cautious and should reconsider our main objectives ‘to bring the cost down’ and ‘serve the global market, including also undeveloped countries’. The focus shifted in the last 5 years towards the high-profit markets in Europe and the USA and the off-grid market is given less attention. Profit is high in grid-connected markets with a feed-in-tariff (FiT) programme and every industry player likes to profit as fast and as much as possible. What if policies change and markets become less attractive? Hopefully there will be new FiT markets, but we have to keep our objectives focused to achieve PV system cost of less than US$3/Wp (RM10.8/Wp) from 2010 onwards, as once promoted to our politicians. The industry needs to cut back their high profit and reduce system cost to sustain a long-term development of the PV market in order to achieve grid-parity, and also to be able to supply the off-grid market in rural areas again. The industry has to balance the market development with the socioeconomic impacts; which is somewhat a delicate balance between serving ‘the havenot’, e.g. undeveloped countries and ‘the investors’ interest’, e.g. FiT markets. 22 THE PV INDUSTRY AND MARKET DEVELOPMENT – AN INTERNATIONAL SNAPSHOT countries and also at the global level. The total global PV market for 2007 is estimated to be about 2,300 MWp (source: EPIA), up from 1,900 MWp in 2006, or an increase of 21%. By IEA PVPS Task 1 & EPIA Report (edited in February 2008) Four countries mainly contributed to the global photovoltaic market in 2007: established countries such as Germany, Japan and the US; but also Spain, which made a large contribution by tripling its annual installations this year. Germany remains clearly in first position with a 50% global market share. Japan’s market is estimated to stagnate in 2007, while Spain’s market should reach 300 MWp. The US should register a 260 MWp market by the end of 2007. Other new European markets have confirmed the effectiveness of their feed-in tariff schemes: Italy registered 50 MWp of installed capacity in 2007, while France is following with an estimated 40 MWp. South Korea is also becoming a significant market player with 50 MWp of newly installed systems in 2007. The PV industry may be subdivided into the following groups representing different steps in the PV value chain: producers of upstream materials, ie feedstock, ingots, blocks/ bricks and wafers; producers of semi-finished and finished PV products, ie PV cells and modules; producers of balanceof-system components for PV systems, ie charge regulators, inverters, batteries, mounting structures and appliances. The total value of business in 2007 amongst the International Energy Agency PV Power Systems Programme countries was approximately US$14 billion (in 2006 approx. US$10 billion), along the length of the value chain from feedstocks to PV system deployment. In parallel with the business value of PV production and markets, the economic value in these countries can be characterized by the total direct employment of about 100,000 people across research, manufacturing, development and installation. To make single crystal silicon ingots, multicrystalline silicon ingots or multicrystalline silicon ribbons, the basic input material is highly purified silicon. The process is the same as for producing semiconductor grade silicon. However, the producers have simplified some steps in their processes for supplies to the PV industry. There are many attempts to replace the current expensive purification process based on chemical gaseous purification by cheaper alternatives; however these are not likely before 2009 at the earliest. In 2007 there continued to be four major producers of solar grade silicon: Wacker in Germany, REC Solar Grade Silicon and Hemlock Semiconductor Corporation in the USA, and Tokuyama in Japan. Between them, they produced about 60% of the feedstock required by the PV industry in 2007. The USA is a large exporter at this level of the PV industry value chain. It is reported that the selling price of solar grade silicon increased by about 20% from 2006 to 2007. Ingots are of two types: single crystal and multicrystal. Ingot producers are in many cases also producers of wafers. European and Japanese companies feature most prominently in this section of the industry value chain. Some companies are vertically integrated, controlling the process from ingots to cells and modules. The companies having their own feedstock or having secured long term contracts are those best able to grow. An interesting trend is the decrease of wafer thickness, probably strongly motivated by the rising price of silicon feedstock, and an ongoing focus on improving manufacturing efficiency. 2007 provided some interesting cell and module growth stories in individual USA 6.8% China 15.1% Europe 8.2% India 1.4% Germany 20.0% Japan 36.4% Middle East 0.3% Australia 1.3% Rest of Asia 3.7% Taiwan 6.7% Graph 4: Cell production shares per region (in 2006) / Source: Photon International Japan was the leading producer of cells (920 MWp) and modules (645 MWp) during 2006 (graph 4). Production of cells in Japan accounted for 36.4% of global production, with Germany in second place with 20% of production respectively. The relative German market share in 2006 increased at the expense of the Japanese market share. Non-IEA-PVPS countries (particularly China, Taiwan, India, and the Philippines) account in 2006 for 26% of global cell production and over 30% of global module production. 2007 figures were in February 2008 not available yet. 2007 figures were at the time of printing not available yet. The Japanese producer Sharp maintained its lead, with the German producer Q-Cells in second position, followed by Kyocera, Suntech and Sanyo Electric (graph 5). These five companies accounted for about 46.6% of total cells produced in 2006. In the United States, the third largest producing country, production of cells increased, while module production remained stagnant. However, US output of thin-film technologies saw another dramatic production increase compared to the previous year. 23 Sharp 17.1% Rest 23.5% Q-Cells 10% BP Solar 3.4% Solar World 3.5% emerging powerhouse for PV cell and module production internationally and exporting more than 80% of the manufactured products to EU and USA. 100 90 80 70 Kyocera 7.1% 60 50 Schott Solar 3.8% Suntech 6.3% Motech 4.0% Sanyo 6.1% Mitshubishi Electric 4.4% 40 30 20 10 0 2006 Graph 5: Top 10 cell producer shares (in 2006) / Source: Photon International 2010 2020 2030 year Thin Film New Concepts c-Si Graph 7: Relative share of technology over time / Source: EPIA EPIA believes that up to 10 GWp of crystalline silicon, the main raw material used in PV production, could be produced in 2010 based on an 80,000 tons annual supply. More capacity will be built for companies active lower down the value chain, enabling a production capacity of 14 to 16 GWp for crystalline-silicon based modules. Thin-film producers are expected to up-scale production capacities up to 4 GWp, enabling a production of 2 GWp in 2010, representing over 20% of the total. The real production capacity of the sector should reach 10 to 12 GWp within the next 3 years. CIS 0.2% ribbon-sheet c-Si 2.6% a-Si 4.7% CdTe 2.7% mono c-Si 43.4% For the next 10-15 years crystalline technology will dominate the market, losing shares to thin-film and new concepts, which are expected to emerge in the next decade (graph 7). In 2007, the global photovoltaic market is estimated to reach 2.3 GWp and the global cumulative installed capacity has reached 9 GWp. EPIA estimates that under a policy driven scenario, in 2010 the annual PV market could reach up to 7 GWp, enabling an average market growth in excess of 40% (capital annual growth rate - CAGR) in the next 3 years. If support programmes in countries, where the majority of PV installation are take place in the next 3 years, are not further enforced, EPIA estimates that the market in 2010 would reach 4.7 GWp (pessimistic scenario). 18 multi c-Si 46.5% 17 16 15 14 Graph 6: Technology shares (in 2006) / Source: Photon International 13 12 11 10 In 2006 module production in Europe clearly surpassed that of Japan for the first time. Crystalline silicon technologies maintained their dominance, accounting for 92.5% of the market (graph 6). However, this percentage has slipped three percentage points from 2005. 9 8 7 6 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 year efficiency % Some consistent themes emerged during 2007 and still in 2008: silicon supply bottleneck and therefore cell supply problems are creating dire circumstances for many smaller and disaggregated module producers. East Asia is the 2007 silicon usage g/Wp Graph 8: Module efficiency and silicon consumption / Source: EPIA 24 Until 2010 we’ll experience a continuous improvement of the cell efficiency and lower silicon consumption in terms of grams per watts (graph 8). This will lead to the targeted cost reduction and towards the ‘holy grail’ of grid-parity. With increasing electricity prices and progress in cost reduction, solar photovoltaic electricity is already competitive in some US states; it is expected to be so in Southern European countries by 2015 and by 2020 for most of Europe. The future of the German market will depend on the revision of the Renewable Energy Law which should come into effect in 2009. EPIA believes that in the best case scenario installations could reach up to 2 GWp in 2010. The Spanish market for the coming years remains uncertain: if the current decree and objectives are not properly revised soon, market actors fear a break in 2009 which could lead to a strong slow down of installations in 2010. The US, thanks to the dynamism of several states in particular California, is expected to become the second largest market behind Germany from 2009, and could reach up to 1.4 GWp in 2010. Since the suppression of its support programmes, Japan is dropping down, in an optimistic scenario it could install a maximum of 500 MWp in 2010. South Korea, given its current favourable political programme, is expected to multiply by ten its current market size over the same period. Italy, if administrative barriers are reduced and support is maintained, could register a market growth of up to 400 MWp in 2010, followed by France with 300 MWp. Photovoltaic market in 2010 (MWp): Countries Pessimistic Germany 1500 Japan 200 US 1000 Spain 400 Italy 200 Greece 100 France 200 30 Portugal China 50 S Korea 400 India 300 Rest 300 TOTAL 4680 Policy-Driven 2000 500 1400 600 400 200 300 50 100 500 400 500 6950 Source: EPIA (2007) The opinions of the global PV industry and market players have been taken into account, along with a cross-checking of multiple sources in order to elaborate an accurate and realistic market and production scenario. EPIA has developed two scenarios: a policy driven scenario that takes as its hypothesis that favourable policy frameworks are maintained, reinforced or introduced according to available information on potential new developments; a pessimistic scenario that is closer to a ‘business as usual’ forecasts without the enforcement of favourable policies. Providing that PV can retain the political favour it currently enjoys in a number of key markets for the next 5-10 years, continuous high market growth rate of 30% per annum seems possible. This presents a very attractive proposition for investors of all kinds, as the increasing spate of public listings for PV companies attests. The steady march of the main manufacturing centres towards countries with lower production costs – notably Middle East and South East Asia, and also central Europe - seems inevitable. This will accelerate PV’s convergence with the price of conventional electricity supplies, provided quality control is not compromised. But future development of markets will depend strongly on political support until 2015-2020. 25 SUNNY OUTLOOK SO FAR… 180 155 160 148 140 By Wei-nee Chen kWp 120 80 60 The National SURIA 1000 is the anchor programme of the MBIPV Project. SURIA 1000 is a capital-based financial incentive programme designed following Germany’s and Japan’s famous pioneering solar photovoltaic (PV) Rooftop and Sunshine programs. The SURIA 1000 is unique as it is based on a bidding process; the process awards the bidding to those who request for the least financial support from the Government. SURIA 1000 is divided into seven calls in which each call is floated every six months. The total target capacity for the SURIA 1000 programme is 1,200 kWp. The programme sounds simple but how is it faring? 40 Analysis on the first two calls of SURIA 1000 showed three significant results (graph 9-11): i) A total of 152 kWp in PV capacity was achieved against a target of 100 kWp 60 58 40 20 0 Planned Received 1st Call Successful 2nd Call 2,000 500 761,194 522,000 1,000 300,000 1,500 1,264,198 1,703,990 2,500 2,015,479 Graph 9: Analysis on PV Capacity RM’000 RESULT OF THE FIRST TWO CALLS 94 100 0 Planned 1st Call Received Successful 2nd Call Graph 10: Analysis on Willingness to Pay 26 ii) Willingness to pay from bidders is 2.5 times higher than the set target iii) Overall 13% drop in price of grid-connected PV systems from the initial estimated price of RM30,000 per kWp 31,000 30,000 30,000 29,000 29,000 28,793 28,006 28,000 27,165 27.000 According to Ir Ahmad Hadri Haris, MBIPV Project National Project Leader, “for the first two calls, the bidders’ willingness to pay were more than what was expected. This in turn translated to a much higher PV capacity being awarded for the same amount of financial allocation available from the Government”. Ir Hadri added that bidders’ contributions were not the only factor for the success of SURIA 1000 so far; the competitive nature of the bidding programme saw the grid-connected PV systems price falling from first call to the second. The first call saw a drop of 6.7% in PV systems price while the second saw a further decline of 10.3% from the estimated price. 26,029 26,000 25,000 24,000 Planned Received 1st Call Successful 2nd Call Graph 11: Analysis on PV Systems Pricing SURIA 1000 homes and BIPV showcase D'Heron, Precinct 16: Photo courtesy of Dr Philip Tan, Mr. Harry Boswell and Putrajaya Perdana Berhad Call for Bidding 1st Dec ‘06 – 1st Apr ‘07 1st Jun ‘07 – 1st Oct ‘07 3rd Dec ‘07 – 1st Apr ‘08 2nd Jun ‘08 – 1st Oct ‘08 1st Dec ‘08 – 1st Apr ‘09 1st Jun ‘09 – 1st Oct ‘09 1st Dec ‘09 – 1st Apr ‘10 Bidding Schedule for SURIA 1000 Target Capacity for Bidding (kWp) Actual Capacity Awarded (kWp) 40 60 80 120 140 160 180 58 94 Maximum Capital Incentive Available (%) 75 70 60 55 50 45 40 Actual Capital Incentive Awarded (%) 53 48 27 PROFILE ANALYSIS OF RECIPIENTS 10 Of the 30 recipients from the first two calls for SURIA 1000, most of the recipients are either running their own businesses or employees (graph 12). Most recipients are above 40 years of age and 90% of them are male recipients (graph 13). 67% of the recipients reside in central Peninsular Malaysia and 80% of the homes are bungalows. 60% of the recipients have electricity bills exceeding RM400 per month. In the first call, only two out of 14 recipients applied for building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) systems, by the second call, the number of BIPV systems increased to 12 out of 16. 8 6 4 2 0 Employee Business 1st Call Retired 2nd Call Graph 12: Analysis on Profession 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 30 - 39 Harry and Stephanie Boswell, happy owners of a PV system 40 - 49 1st Call 50 - 59 over 60 2nd Call Graph 13: Analysis on Age Harry and Stephanie Boswell, one of the successful SURIA 1000 recipients, an English retired couple who have taken up the Malaysia My Second Home Programme in Malacca. Both have committed to promote a greener Malaysia and have walked the talk by building an energy efficient home with electricity generated from PV. THE CORPORATE ADVANTAGE “While it may be too early to preempt the success of the entire SURIA 1000 programme, the results so far have been encouraging,” said Ir Hadri. The first two calls for SURIA 1000 were for residentials only, from the third call onwards, commercials are invited to participate in the bid. Under the Budget 2008, companies will receive double tax relief (via Investment Tax and Capital Allowances) for installing solar PV systems for their own use. Solar PV which also functions as building material is an excellent outward expression of corporate responsibility. With fiscal incentive available from Budget 2008 and the SURIA 1000 programme, companies will be leading by example to implement solar BIPV in their offices with the reduced investment cost. LIFE AFTER SURIA 1000 Perhaps the million dollar question is “what is going to happen at the end of SURIA 1000”. In countries where gridconnected solar PV has flourished (e.g. Germany, Japan), the countries national PV programmes were implemented over 10-15 years. MBIPV Project spans over a period of five years (2006 – 2010) with target capacity of 1,500 kWp during the project’s tenure. Is SURIA 1000 the start of a sustainable developing PV market in Malaysia? “A five-year capital-based incentive is certainly too short of a time frame to ensure the sustainability of our local PV market in the long run,” said Ir Hadri. “While capital-based incentive certainly has its merits, as the reduced capital investment from the people will help to overcome cost barrier in solar PV deployment. However, in the long run, it has been proven that performance-based incentive via enhanced feed-in tariff is the way to go”. Will solar PV continue to have a sunny outlook in Malaysia? With the country fast losing reserves on fossil fuel, will the Government of Malaysia adopt the proven and successful enhanced feed-in tariff? While Malaysia debates over the sustainability strategy of solar PV in the country, other countries such as Spain, Italy, South Korea, Greece and France have already jumped on board the feed-in tariff express rail to an explosive PV market. Feedback your comments to weinee@ptm.org.my. For more information on SURIA 1000, please visit http://www.ptm. org.my/bipv/suria.htm or email any enquiries to suria1000@ ptm.org.my. 28 MBIPV NEWSBITE By Wei-nee Chen APPROVED PHOTOVOLTAIC SERVICE PROVIDERS (APVSP) SCHEME TRAINING ON DESIGN AND INSTALLATION OF GRID-CONNECTED PV SYSTEMS Pusat Tenaga Malaysia (PTM) in partnership with the Malaysian Photovoltaic Industry Association (MPIA) is providing training on designing and installing a gridconnected PV system. The 10-day course is structured with compliance to the requirements of the Institute for Sustainable Power (ISP) where the training will constitute both theoretical and practical sessions ending with a competency examination. PTM is also the first centre in ASEAN to apply for the world-renown ISP accreditation for its grid-connected PV training. The course covers: • Design of grid-connected PV systems that include PV modules, inverter and associated equipment. • Installation of the grid-connected PV systems up to the inverter. (Note: the electrical wiring of the system can only be undertaken by licensed electricians). The training will be held at Pusat Tenaga Malaysia. Training schedule, course content and application forms can be obtained from http://www.ptm.org.my/bipv/C1TRN.html. For any other enquiries on the training, please call course coordinator Pn Nor Radhiha (03) 8921 0871, or email to radhiha@ptm.org.my. To help develop a quality based PV industry, the MBIPV Project together with Malaysian PV Industry Association (MPIA) has introduced an Approved PV Service Provider (APVSP) scheme. Only APVSPs will be eligible to design and install grid connected BIPV systems for the MBIPV funded projects. The objectives of the APVSP scheme are: • To ensure Malaysia has a pool of quality local PV service providers; • To ensure quality design and installation of grid-connected PV systems; • To ensure customer satisfaction of grid-connected PV systems; and • To facilitate the use of pre-approved quality PV products and components. The conditions for APVSP are as follows: • Only companies can apply, (individuals are not eligible to be an APVSP). • The company must be a member of MPIA. At least one member or staff must be certified with an approved PVSP and has attended ISP accredited “Design and Installation of Grid-connected PV Training”. • The company must have prior experience in the design, supply and installation of BIPV power systems. If not, the company will have to work under a provisional approval valid for a calendar year. During this period, the company is required to engage the services of a Consultant from the panel approved by MPIA to audit the design and installation of the company’s first gridconnected PV project. • The company shall be financially sound. • The company shall have workers’ insurances and public liability insurance. • The company shall agree to follow the APVSP Industry Best Practice Guidelines. • The company shall agree to abide by the APVSP Code of Conduct. The APVSP will be effective from 1st June 2008 and APVSP will be administered by MPIA. APVSP is valid for one-year, the fee for new application is RM100 and renewal fee is RM50 per company. For more information on APVSP, please contact administrator for APVSP, Ms Aznura Annuar at (03) 7880 9499, or email to aznura@bestium.com.my. 29 QUALITY ASSURANCE SCHEME (QAS) The QAS is an initiative to complement the services of the Approved PV Service Provider scheme. The QAS provides a channel for customers or complainants to file any complaints irresolvable with their approved PV service providers on installations of their PV systems funded by the MBIPV Project. the complaint is found to be against the approved PV service provider, MPIA, the administrator of the APVSP scheme will be notified. If the approved PV service provider fails to provide satisfactory remedial action to the PV installation, then the approved PV service provider will have their APVSP license revoked. The investigation fee for the first complaint is born by MBIPV Project; the complainants are expected to cover investigation fees for subsequent complaints. The QAS will be effective from 1st June 2008. The coordinator for QAS is En. Mohd Nazri Mohd Nawi, (03) 8921 0872 or email to nazri@ptm.org.my. NATIONAL PV CONFERENCE The complainant is required to write in to MBIPV Project to request an investigation to his/her complaint. Upon receiving the complaint the MBIPV Project will then write to the approved PV service provider notifying them that a complaint has been received. Subject to the nature of the complaint, the MBIPV Project will initiate an investigation on the complainant’s system and conclude upon a solution. If MBIPV Project will be organizing a National PV Conference in August 2008. International and local PV experts from the industry, university will be invited to share their knowledge on solar PV technology, market and industry development. The event will cover PV exhibition and poster sessions will be provided for companies to showcase their PV products and services. The National PV Conference will provide the platform for the exchange of PV knowledge and business networking. Information on the event will be posted at the MBIPV Project website www.ptm.org.my/bipv by Q2 2008. Please check the website for an update on the conference. 30 GLOBAL PV INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT IN THE PAST 15 YEARS By Daniel Ruoss, IC MBIPV, August 2007 1992: Bill Clinton is elected as the 42nd president of the USA - Former Czechoslovakia voted to split the country into the Czech Republic and Slovakia - Pope John Paul II issued an apology, and lifted the edict of the Inquisition against Galileo Galilei - And the Photovoltaic industry was cracking 100 MWp cumulative installed power capacity. In 1992, the annual revenue from doing business in the PV sector was between US$0.2-0.3 billion. The United States of America was dominating the global market in terms of cumulative installed PV capacity (~45 MWp) and product manufacturing, e.g. Siemens (formerly ARCO Solar), Mobil Solar and AMOCO/ENRON Solar (with Solarex as business unit). In 1992, the PV module price dropped for the first time to below US$5/Wp and system prices were around US$1215/Wp. Figure 38: Sputnik 30 kWp PV inverter installed in 1992 Products installed in the first markets (USA, Switzerland, Japan and Germany) are performing as manufacturers had forecasted, guaranteed and in turn, provided important feedback that crystalline PV technology is well understood and mature. The photos (figure 38 and 39) were taken in 2004 and both PV components are still operational today. These first market implementations were critical as their successes lead to increased confidence for the policy stakeholders to design and implement sustainable PV programmes to widespread PV technology. 2007: The PV market has finally taken off and is booming. Driven by committed and long term policy programmes Figure 39: Siemens M55 PV module from 1992 implemented in Germany, Spain, USA, Italy, France and Korea the market revenues end of 2007 will exceed US$14 billion, resulting in a growth factor of 50 to 60-fold compared to 1992. The biggest annual market – for the fourth time in a row – will be Germany with an annual installed PV capacity exceeding 1.1 GWp (End of 2007). The United States of America secured their once top spot in the PV ranking (annual installed capacity) and become the No.3 market worldwide behind the Japanese (End of 2007). In Japan the policy changed a few years ago and Government subsidy programme for residential PV application had concluded. This resulted in PV becoming less attractive due to the still higher cost of generating electricity for PV compared to conventional electricity. But in Japan this price gap is closing rapidly and PV is already competitive in peak power pricing. In a few years grid-parity will be achieved in urban centres of Japan and also in some parts of the USA. Grid parity is when the cost for electricity generated by a PV system matches the conventional electricity cost, which can be achieved when the cost for PV system declines and conventional electricity prices reflect true cost. Compared to 1992 the global market experienced module cost reduction of 30% (1992: US$5/Wp / 2007: US$3.4/W) and an increase of efficiency of 150% (1992: 12% / 2007: 18%) for mono-crystalline PV cells. The industry is developing fast to achieve module prices of less than US$1/Wp. From time to time the industry experienced some hiccups but they have reacted fast towards increasing production capacities and cost reduction. In 1988-1990 and then again 31 2005-2007, supply shortages of crystalline silicon wafer led to briefly higher prices of PV modules. After 2008-2009, it is predicted that prices will decrease, owing to additional solar-grade silicon capacity coming on-line and new technologies to use metal-grade silicon feedstock for acceptable cell efficiencies. But prices for modules will not resume back to normal price reduction trend, because today’s policies implemented support higher sales prices for modules and benefiting high profit and growth along the value chain. But what can be said about long-term forecasts? When will production cost for PV modules dip below the US$1/Wp mark? Today the race is on to be the first company to promote products which will achieve grid parity. The estimated PV system cost (for 2007) should be around US$3/Wp – with module prices below US$1/Wp – to achieve grid parity in markets such as Japan, USA, and partly Europe. There is enormous potential for further PV cost reduction through technological innovation and economies of scale. This situation is depicted in the ‘PV learning curve’ shown in graph 14, which presents the module production cost estimated in 1994. For crystalline technology the PV learning curve is well on track and according to predictions. Thin-film technologies are expected to achieve faster cost reduction but due to a demand outstripping the supply, the prices are kept high and modules are sold only slightly below (around US$0.4-0.8/Wp) the prices for crystalline modules. Thin-film is expected to be the first to achieve production cost for US$1/Wp when market reaches 10 GW; some companies claim to have achieved the benchmark already. But the crystalline technologies still has room for improvements and will continue to dominate the market in the next five to ten years. Today, c-Si technology has a market share of 94% and achieves cell efficiency of 18% to 20%, and this is two to three times the efficiency of thin-film. Improvements can be made by increasing manufacturing speed or higher efficiency or increasing the production yield, e.g. towards Gigawatt production facility. 100 Crystalline Si prediction (1994) 50 In 1992, the No.1 PV module manufacturer (Siemens, USA) had an annual production output of ~10 MW/year. 15 years later, the No. 1 PV module manufacturer (Sharp, Japan) has an annual output of close to 600 MW/year; 60 times higher than 15 years ago, which means the production output doubles approximately every 2.5 years. Following this manufacturing upscaling process, we can expect to see the first 1,000 MW (1 Gigawatt) production facilities from 2010 onwards or even earlier. This is certainly one of the approaches to bring the cost down – via economics of scale – another is to have innovative manufacturing techniques, e.g high-efficiency back-contact cell by Sunpower (figure 40) or PV modules where the strings of the cells are interconnected by folding over the back of the cells and soldered with a simple machine onto a flexible circuit. The circuit substrate has special contacts for attachment to the junction box and also serves to insulate the strings from the cells. Figure 40: Sunpower c-Si solar cell An identical impressive growth was experienced for other PV products and manufacturing equipment. In 1992; the annual market was only 20 MWp per year and equipment manufacturer did not consider the market at all. In 2007; any major company from the tooling business promotes his product range and the possibility of easily modifying PV manufacturing and is competing aggressively to get a market share. Even a 1% market share will result in revenues of approximately US$ 140 million in 2007. Many companies worldwide have recognized the huge and fast growing business in Photovoltaics and have considered diversifying their businesses to PV. 20 10 5 2 Thin film actual (2007) 1 0.5 Thin film prediction (1994) 0.2 0.1 0.1 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 Graph 14: Learning curve for production cost of PV modules / Source: United Nation University Press, modification Daniel Ruoss 100,000 In the balance of systems (BOS), the development of inverters is worth commenting. In 1992; the drive was towards string inverters and the first design of transformerless inverters were presented at international conferences. The reaction was strong; transformerless inverters were labelled as a ‘danger for human safety’ and ‘deadly piece of electronic chunk’. In 2007 the market share (in MW) of transformerless inverters is at least 30% and increasing. 32 The advantages of transformerless inverters have been fully recognized and the products comply with international safety standards and do not pose any harm to the installer and end-user. Development on inverters has reached a peak and a new product is introduced to the market almost every four weeks. Existing inverter manufacturers are aggressively defending their market share or increasing their market share. New multinational enterprises are entering this business to secure part of the PV cake or at least the icing. Competition is fierce but end-users are all smiles as they get the cost reduction passed on. Inverter cost reduced around 60% from 1992 to 2007 (1992: US$2/WAC and 2007: US$0.7/WAC) and further cost reductions are expected. Photovoltaic in 2007 has certainly caught the eye of the industry and also the finance sector. The market in 2005 to 2007 is in upheaval and does not follow the PV value chain as it used to do. Today investors deal with engineers and go from silicon manufacturing to module manufacturers to get a fast profit. Long-term planning becomes difficult and quality is often of lesser priority. their production output fast to reduce production cost of solar modules. But as depicted in graph 14, thin film production cost was expected to achieve the US$1/Wp level with a market of around 7 GWp cumulative PV capacity installed but so far has not achieve the target. Even as several hundred Megawatts of new production is announced and thin film technologies being the darling of investors and new start-up companies, we have to consider the time and the difficulties, especially with large area glass substrates, to upscale the production process into full operation (e.g. up to 100 MW). And the focus is already shifting towards third generation solar cells, such as of organic or nanostructure or even biodegradable substance. All these activities will finally drive the cost down and contribute to the widespread use of PV in everyday life. 15 years into the future; i.e. 2007 to 2022, PV will reach gridparity in most of Europe, Japan and the United States of America and become a mainstream product for power production and as a building element. Major power utilities have invested over the last 10 years (2010 onwards) into power production by PV to meet their exponential growing energy demand. The power structure is finally shifting from the more than 100 year old centralized grid structure towards decentralized and the market is internationally liberalized to allow IPPs to negotiate their feed-in tariff independently. Market growth is finally not depending on policy programmes anymore but only on the industry to sustain and growth factor is substantial resulting again to almost 60-fold, as it did the last 15 years from 1992 to 2007. Figure 41: Latest successful IPO by Sunergy In the last 15 years, we saw more than 50 IPOs from PV companies only; generating a market capitalization of > US$50 billion and venture capital (VC) investment in startups and innovative approaches exceeded US$ 280 million in the last 4 years. Companies in the USA attracted the largest share of risk capital, and Chinese companies lead the business by number of IPOs and market capitalization. In fact one could almost conclude in order to have a successful IPO, the company must be vertically integrated or front end manufacturing and from China. As highlighted, the first generation PV cell, crystalline technology, will dominate the market for the next ten years, but the second generation, thin film technology, is upscaling Figure 42: Organic solar cell by Plextronics 33 INDUSTRY OUTLOOK Is the future for solar energy really so bright? It is hard to imagine a healthier backdrop for alternative energy companies than that provided by today's nervous times. The oil price has recently reached USD100, politicians are engaged in a greener-than-thou race to the environmental high ground and energy security is right at the top of policymakers' agendas as geopolitical tensions continue to simmer. It is hardly surprising then that a new report from Swiss private bank Sarasin should present such a bullish view of the outlook for growth in the global solar energy industry. Photovoltaic cell production rose 44% last year, Sarasin says, and it forecasts 50% a year growth for the rest of this decade and then a further 22% a year until 2020. Put that on a chart and the numbers for annual installations start to head pretty steeply up the page. The power of compounding means the size of the industry quickly becomes serious. The performance of the solar industry's publicly quoted companies - the main index of solar stocks has doubled so far this year - looks understandable, if dizzying. Matthias Fawer, the author of Solar Energy 2007 - The Industry Continues to Boom -, believes growth in the industry might be close to a tipping point. Dramatic reductions in costs, he says, will make solar power competitive with conventional forms of electricity or heat within 10 years. The industry is currently fuelled almost wholly by government subsidies, but once the big power generators see "grid parity", solar bulls argue, the economics change completely. Currently, solar is two to three times too expensive to be competitive, compared with a few percentage points for rival technologies like wind. But developments in areas such as thin-film technology are rapidly bringing costs down. Solar's time may really have come. Fawer is the first to admit that all this breathless talk about the future sounds reminiscent of the internet bubble eight years ago. But he says there is one key difference: "There are some really strong companies here that are actually producing something. They are really making money." He even thinks some of the racy multiples in the sector are justified because they are matched by equally optimistic growth forecasts. Although price-to-earnings ratios are in many cases way above market averages - from 25 to as high as 60 or more - so is expected growth. PEG ratios, which compare a stock's price-to-earnings ratio with its estimated growth rate, are in many cases around one. The ratings are justified by excellent prospects, he believes. Among alternative energies, solar energy is a child starlet: alluringly clean, endlessly promising, yet petulantly expensive and hard to manage. For investors, solar energy stocks have been an astonishing story in 2007: The aggregate market value of a group of 28 solar companies now tops $118 billion – as of Aug 2007. 34 Company/Country Market Capitalization ($U.S. bil) REC/Norway ORKLA/Norway MEMC/US WACKER/Germany Q-CELLS/Germany FIRST SOLAR/US SUNPOWER/US SUNTECH/China SOLARWORLD/Germany LDK/China TOKUYAMA/Japan DC CHEMICAL/South Korea CONERGY/Germany YINGLI/China MOTECH/Taiwan JA/China TRINA/China ECD/US ERSOL/Germany EVERGREEN/US RENESOLA/China E-TON/Taiwan SOLON/Germany SOLARFUN/China TOTAL $17.40 16.7 12.4 9.9 9.5 7.3 6 5.8 5.5 4.5 4 3 2.6 2 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 118.1 its cost drops by 20%. Governments in Germany and Japan have consequently offered generous subsidies to local consumers and companies who invest in building solar power. Those subsidies have sparked booms. The race is on to find a way to make solar grow up so that it can compete, dollar-per-watt, against any fuel on the planet. According to Sarasin, global solar cell production jumped from 1.7 gigawatts to 2.5 gigawatts in 2006 as a bottleneck in the manufacture of solar-grade silicon cleared. That's good news for consumers and policy-makers but less exciting for the producers of silicon, wafers, cells and modules - which is almost every quoted solar company. Fat margins, which together with growth expectations have fuelled nose-bleed share prices, look set to tumble. Another area of concern is the flood of Chinese companies into the sector. Fawer says there has been a rush to market in China by companies such as Suntech, Yingli Green Energy and LDK Solar, eager to raise cash for expansion while the boom continued. The biggest concern for investors in the solar sector is its reliance - for the next few years at least - on government incentives such as feed-in tariffs and subsidies. Michael McNamara, a solar expert at US investment bank Jefferies, warns: "2008 will be critical for the solar industry. The key issues will be the evolution of solar incentive programs and what medium and long-term impact they will have on demand." Sources: Bloomberg Financial Markets, Reuters and US Department of Energy (as of August 2007) But some experts are not so convinced and believe trouble is on the horizon in the form of oversupply. "Pricing is very strong and there will be reductions," they say. "There's been a shortage of silicon and as that is relieved there will be huge competition. There's no shortage of sand." Solar power is still more expensive than fossil fuel generated electricity. But the gap is closing. The rule of thumb in the solar business: Every time the volume of solar cells doubles, The meteoric rise in the German solar industry, for example, has been almost wholly due to its government's staunchly pro-solar incentives. Growth from 44 megawatts in 2000 to 959 megawatts in 2006 (graph 15) was not a reflection of Germany's sunny climate. There is, of course, nothing wrong with investors taking advantage of the way the political wind is blowing. But they need to understand that the gusts can change direction or blow themselves out completely. 3000 1200 100.000 roofs programme 1000 2500 EEG 2000 800 1500 Yearly installed capacity [MWp/a] 600 Total installed capacity [MWp/a] 1000 400 500 200 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year Graph 15: Market development in Germany 2004 2005 2006 Total installed capacity [MWp/a] Yearly installed capacity [MWp/a] 1400 36 MPIA DIRECTORY Malaysian Photovoltaic Industry Association ABDULLAH & ZAINUDIN 31st Floor, Menara Tun Razak Jalan Raja Laut 50350 Kuala Lumpur www.mpia.org.my Antah Melco Sales & Services Sdn Bhd (11098-W) 6 Jalan 13/6 P O Box 1036 46860 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-79552088 http://global.mitsubishielectric.com Australian Solar Voltaic Sdn Bhd (682097-A) 6 Jalan 3/152 Taman Perindustrian Oug 58200 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03-77820668 Bestium Technologies Sdn Bhd (737277-M) Lot 510 5th Floor Block A Kelana Business Centre No 97 Jalan SS7/2 Kelana Jaya 47301 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-78809499 www.bestium.com.my Eco Development Facilities Sdn Bhd No.21m, Jalan Hentian 6 Pusat Hentian Kajang Jalan Reko 43000 Kajang Selangor Tel: 03-87394924 www.actrail.com.my Eco Gallery Sdn Bhd (611933-V) No 14 & 16 Jalan Maju 1 Taman Perindustrial Cemerlang 81800 Ulu Tiram Johor Tel: 07-8677933 www.eco-gallery.com My Trends Sdn Bhd (719589-X) No 29-2 Jalan 10/116b Kuchai Entreprennurs’ Park Off Jalan Kuchai Lama 58200 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03-79828669 www.trends-group.com Nakuda Sdn Bhd (397199-V) No 234 Batu 2 Jalan Ipoh 51200 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03-40420311 www.solarnakuda.com P.J.Indah Sdn Bhd (141041-T) Wisma Pji No. 17 & 19 Jalan Astaka U8/83 Seks U8 Bukit Jelutong 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-78448888 www.pjindah.com.my Success Electronics & Transformer Manufacturers Sdn Bhd (200853-K) No 5 & 7 Jalan TSB 8 Taman Industri Sungai Buloh 47000 Sungai Buloh Selangor Tel: 03-61572788 www.success.com.my Utai Engineering & Electrical (Em) Sdn Bhd (758384-A) Lot 7042 Section 64 Ktld Jalan Sekama 93300 Kuching Sarawak Tel: 082-339177 Optimal Power Solution Sdn Bhd (488095-W) 116 & 118 Block A3 Leisure Commerce Square 9, Jalan PJS 8/9 46150 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-78769129 Usains Holding Sdn Bhd (473883-H) Kompleks Eureka, Universiti Sains Malaysia 11800, Penang Tel: 04-6583655 www.usainsgroup.com Euroforce Sdn Bhd (292198-H) 3-2 Jalan Usj1/1b Regalia Business Centre Taman Subang Mewah 47500 Subang Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-80235064 Borid Energy (M) Sdn Bhd No. 13, Jalan Jurutera U1/23 Seksyen U1, Hicom Glenmarie Industrial Park 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-55694618 www.boridenergy.com Kemuning Saintifik Sdn Bhd (657421-W) 29, 1st Floor Jalan Helang Desa Permai Indah Sungai Dua 11700 Pulau Pinang Tel: 04-6587009 Alps Electric (M) Sdn Bhd (181071-T) P.T.10643 Nilai Industrial Estate 71800 Nilai Negeri Sembilan Tel: 06-7991515 www.alps.com Laurenz Leistung Sdn Bhd (750060) Al:259 (Lot 2699 Ab) Kampung Baru Sungai Buloh 47000 Sungai Buloh Selangor Tel : 03-61576121 www.smartandcoolhomes.com KTI Teknikal Sdn Bhd (116631-K) Shoplot No.18 1st Floor Taman Luyang Phase 8 Specialist Centre Off Jalan Kolam 88100 Kota Kinabalu Sabah Tel: 088-239780 http://Kti.com.my Matrix Energy (M) Sdn Bhd (292256-U) No 89 Jalan Penerbit U1/43 Temasya Industrial Park 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-55692622 www.matrixenergysaver.com Mareqsue Sdn Bhd Tingkat 2a, No.13, Jalan U1/23 Hicom Glenmarie Industrial Park, Section U1 40000 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-55691011 37 Metta Engineering Sdn Bhd (489137-V) No 12-3 Jalan USJ21/4 47630 UEP Subang Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-80231787 Merit Saga Sdn Bhd (536264-D) 53 Jalan Bola Jaring 13/15 Section 13 40000 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-55128728 Omron Electronic Components Sdn Bhd (674129-P) 3a Lot 4 Bgn TH Uptown 3 Damansara Uptown No.3 Jln SS21/39 47400 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-76236300 http://ecb.omron.com.sg Phillatt Energy (M) Sdn Bhd (774004-A) A-10-8, Megan Avenue 1 189 Jalan Tun Razak 50400 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03-21612020 www.philatt.com Gading Kencana Sdn Bhd (270511-H) 24, Jalan Opera J U2/J Taman Ttdi Jaya 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-78452864 www.gadingkencana.com.my Green Age Solar Technology Sdn Bhd (431763-H) 14 Tingkat Perusahaan Utama 1 Bkt Tengku Ind.Park 14000 Bukit Mertajam Penang Tel: 04-5082331 www.ga2020.com IBC Solar Teknik Sdn Bhd (580907-K) A902, 9th Floor, Block A, Kelana Square No.17, Jalan SS7/26, Kelana Jaya 47301 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-74940441 www.ibc-solar.com.my Intelligent Power Systems (IPS) Sdn Bhd (380619-H) 809-B Kompleks Diamond Bangi Business Park 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi Selangor Tel: 03-82101147 www.ips.com.my Putrajaya Perdana Bhd (465327-P) 2nd & 3rd Floor No 5 Jalan P16 Precinct 16 62150 Putrajaya Tel: 03-88868888 www.p-perdana.com SFG Technology (M) Sdn Bhd (169114-H) 313, 3rd Floor Block B, Kelana Squre 17 Jalan SS7/26, Kelana Jaya 47301 Petaling Jaya Selangor Tel: 03-78809360 www.sfg.com.my Sharp Roxy Sales & Service Company Sdn Bhd (8394-W) No 1a Persiaran Kuala Langat Section 27 40400 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-51025228 www.sharp.com.my Solamas Sdn Bhd (659680-P) Lot 271 (No.18) Jalan Industri Pbp 9 Taman Industri Pusat Bandar Puchong 47100 Selangor Tel: 03-58911528 www.solamas.com Amlex Technology Sdn Bhd (671870-W) 5 & 7 Lorong Perindustrian Bukit Minyak 3 Kaw.Per.Bukit Minyak, Seberang Prai Tengah 14100 Bukit Mertajam Pulau Pinang Tel: 04-5013811 www.amlextech.com Atlas CSF Sdn Bhd (224390-X) 21 & 22 Jalan Damar Sd 15/1 52200 Bandar Sri Damansara Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03-62728840 www.atlas-csf.com Amalinsya Sdn Bhd (333898-X) 2-19 Pusat Perdagangan KLH, Menara KLH Bandar Puchong Jaya 47100 Puchong Selangor Tel: 03-80765057 www.amalinsya.com.my Huber & Suhner (M) Sdn Bhd (48900-X) 24 Jalan Pengacara U1/48 Temasya Industrial Park 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-76280202 www.hubersuhner.com Infrakomas Sdn Bhd (103521-T) No.2, Jalan Pengetua U1/32 Hicom Glenmarie Industrial Park 40150 Shah Alam Selangor Tel: 03-55693237 www.ifk.com.my Halfwing Blue Enterprise (Ip-0200627-A) 5a, Lengkok Jelapang Maju 5 Taman Perindustrian Jelapang Maju 30020 Ipoh Perak Tel: 05-5292378 Matrix Power Services Sdn Bhd (325864-T) Lot 9, Jalan P/7, Seksyen 13 Kawasan Perindustrian Bangi Bandar Baru Bangi Selangor Tel: 03-89264941 www.ingressmatrix.com.my SP Multitech Sdn Bhd (494148-M) 11, Jalan BPU 5 Bandar Puchong Utama 47100 Selangor Tel: 03-58825595 www.spmultitech.com 38 FACTS AND FIGURES 39 40 41 42 43 44 Facilitating Your Investments in the Manufacturing and Services Sectors MIDA is the first point of contact for investors who intend to set up projects in the manufacturing and services sectors in Malaysia. We undertake to: Promote foreign and domestic investments in the manufacturing and services sectors; Undertake planning for industrial development in Malaysia; Evaluate applications for manufacturing licences, expatriate posts, and tax incentives for various activities in the manufacturing and services sectors; Assist companies in the implementation and operation of their projects, and offer assistance through direct consultation with the relevant authorities at both the federal and state levels. MIDA State Offices KEDAH & PERLIS NEGERI SEMBILAN KELANTAN Level 4, East Wing No. 88, Menara Bina Darulaman Berhad Lebuhraya Darulaman, 05100 Alor Setar Kedah Darul Aman Tel: (604) 731 3978 Fax: (604) 731 2439 Email: midaas@po.jaring.my Suite 13.01 & 13.02, 13th Floor , Menara MAA 70200 Seremban , Negeri Sembilan Darul Khusus Tel: (606) 762 7921 (GL) (606) 762 7884 (DL) Fax: (606) 762 7879 E-mail: nsembilan@mida.gov.my 5th Floor, Bangunan PKINK. Jalan Tengku Maharani Puteri 15000 Kota Bharu, Kelantan Darul Naim Tel: (609) 748 3151 Fax: (609) 744 7294 E-mail: midakb@po.jaring.my MELAKA 5th Floor, Menara Yayasan Islam Terengganu Jalan Sultan Omar, 20300 Kuala Terengganu Terengganu Darul Iman Tel: (609) 622 7200 Fax: (609) 623 2260 E-mail: midakt@pd.jaring.my PULAU PINANG 4.03 4th Floor, Menara PSCI 39 Jalan Sultan Ahmad Shah, 10050 Pulau Pinang Tel: (604) 228 0575 Fax: (604) 228 0327 E-mail: midapg@po.jaring.my PERAK 4th Floor, Perak Techno Trade Centre (PTTC) Bandar Meru Raya, Off Jalan Jelapang 30720 Ipoh, Perak Darul Ridzuan Tel: (605) 5269 962 / 5269 961 Fax: (605) 5279 960 E-mail: midaprk@po.jaring.my SELANGOR 22nd Floor, Wisma MBSA , Persiaran Perbandaran 40000 Shah Alam , Selangor Darul Ehsan Tel: (603) 5518 4260 / 94525 Fax: (603) 5513 5392 E-mail: selangor@mida.gov.my TERENGGANU 3rd Floor, Menara MITC, Kompleks MITC Jalan Konvensyen, 75450 Ayer Keroh , Melaka Tel: (606) 232 2876/78 Fax: (606) 232 2875 E-mail: midamel@po.jaring.my JOHOR SABAH Unit No. 15.03, Level 15, Wisma LKN 49, Jalan Wong Ah Fook, 80000 Johor Bahru Johor Darul Takzim Tel: (607) 224 2550/ 5500 Fax: (607) 224 2360 E-mail: midajb@tm.net.my Lot D9.4 & D9.5, 9 Floor, Block D, Bangunan KWSP Karamunsing , 88100 Kota Kinabalu , Sabah Tel: (6088) 211 411 Fax: (6088) 211 412 Email: midasbh@tm.net.my PAHANG Room 404, 4th Floor, Bangunan Bank Negara No.147, Jalan Satok, P.O.Box 716 93714 Kuching, Sarawak Tel: (6082) 254 251/237 484 Fax: (6082) 252 375 E-mail: mida_kch@tm.net.m Suite 3, 11th Floor, Kompleks Teruntum, P.O.Box 178, 25720 Kuantan, Pahang Darul Makmur Tel: (609) 513 7334 Fax: (609) 513 7333 E-mail: midaphg@po.jaring.my SARAWAK Malaysian Industrial Development Authority Block 4, Plaza Sentral, Jalan Stesen Sentral 5, Kuala Lumpur Sentral, 50470 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Tel: (603) 2267 3633 Fax: (603) 2274 7970 Website: www.mida.gov.my E-mail: promotion@mida.gov.my Pusat Tenaga Malaysia No. 2, Jalan 9/10, Persiaran Usahawan, Sekysen 9 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia GL: +603 8921 0800 Fax: +603 8921 0802 www.ptm.org.my/bipv