SCRA (2003) 8 Research on Additional Costs of Teaching in NHS Scotland Report for Standing Committee on Resource Allocation Act Sub-Group Final Report October 2003 Martin Spollen Paul Dixon Giles Hindle Alasdair Munro Uzma Khan Peter Wallace Secta Consulting Services Analytical Division Scottish Executive Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD CONTENTS 1) INTRODUCTION 2) METHODS OF ANALYSIS AND EVIDENCE OF COST DIFFERENCES FROM THE LITERATURE 3) AN OVERVIEW OF THE PROJECT METHODOLOGY 4) MODELLING DIRECT COSTS 5) THE METHODS FOR ESTIMATING OVERALL COST DIFFERENCES AND DIFFERENCES IN INDIRECT COSTS 6) STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF ADDITIONAL AND INDIRECT COSTS 7) CONCLUSIONS REFERENCES Annex 1 Annex 2 2 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 1: INTRODUCTION AND CONTEXT 1.1 Introduction This report sets out the findings of a research project commissioned to inform the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland on the quantum of funding required by NHS Boards to support the costs of providing undergraduate medical teaching (and the medical teaching of dental students) undertaken in NHSScotland. The research has involved two parallel research strands. Firstly, a detailed costing exercise has been undertaken in conjunction with the four medical schools to capture those costs directly identifiable with teaching delivery by NHSScotland. A parallel research strand has tested the hypothesis that teaching hospitals in Scotland also incur costs that are an indirect consequence of teaching. Both studies are intended to inform a new mechanism to distribute revenue support for teaching across Scotland’s teaching NHS Boards on a transparent and equitable basis. If accepted, the new mechanism would replace the current ‘Additional Costs of Teaching’ (ACT) revenue adjustment system currently in use. 1.2 Terms of Reference The research has examined: ♦ the factors that influence the relative costs of teaching and non-teaching hospitals. The aim of this aspect of the research has been to identify the range of factors that effect these costs, and to establish an evidence base to support an assessment of: (a) the relative level of these costs; (b) the extent to which cost differences reflect teaching responsibilities as distinct from other factors related to the specialist role of teaching hospitals; (c) the impact of these costs on the overall cost structure of different Health Boards; and (d) the key drivers that influence these costs (e.g. the number of medical students and other factors). ♦ the influence of changing patterns of medical training on the additional cost of teaching medical students. ♦ an analysis of the merits of alternative methods of distributing resources for the additional costs of teaching. 3 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 1.3 Teaching context 1.3.1 Medical Schools The research has focussed on NHSScotland’s input to teaching the undergraduates in Scotland’s four Medical Schools – at the universities of Glasgow (252 students per year), Edinburgh (244 students per year), Dundee (162 students per year) and Aberdeen (184 students per year). There is a fifth Medical School in Scotland at St. Andrew’s University, which has not historically been involved in ACT funding because its students transfer to England for the practical NHS-based elements of their training. A medical degree is a five-year course, with an optional 6th year (normally squeezed between the 3rd and 4t h years) which concentrates on scientific research training. Students spend the early years of their programme based at the university, but increasingly move into hospital, primary care and community settings as their programme progresses. Medical Schools use a variety of methods for the delivery of their programmes. These include traditional lectures and seminars, as well as clinical skills sessions and problem based learning (facilitated problem solving in small groups of around 10 students). Students also spend considerable amounts of time “on site” in hospitals, GP practices and community settings. Special Study Modules (SSMs) allow students to pursue particular areas of interest – some non-medical. 1.3.2 Tomorrow’s Doctors The curricula at Scotland’s four major Medical Schools have been significantly redesigned in the past 7 years based upon a report by the General Medical Council entitled “Tomorrow’s Doctors”. First published in 1993, the report signalled a significant change in the form of guidance from the GMC. The emphasis for medical education moved from gaining knowledge to a learning process that includes the ability to evaluate data as well as to develop skills to interact with patients and colleagues. Key aspects of this new approach to medical education include: ! Competence in key clinical skills and procedures; ! Competence in patient examination and decision making; ! Competence at managing a patient’s healthcare needs; ! Competence at communicating with patients and colleagues; ! Competence at retrieving and processing information; ! Appreciating the behavioural, ethical and legal aspects of healthcare; ! Appreciation of the role of the doctor within the health care system; ! A move away from memorising facts. 4 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 1.3.3 New Curricula All four of the Medical Schools have responded to this report, although in different ways. All curricula still concentrate on university based teaching in the early years of the degree programme and move to clinical attachment approaches in the later years, but a range of extra teaching styles and subjects have been introduced. Glasgow, for example, have made a significant move to problem based learning and significantly reduced the amount of lecture style delivery, thus freeing up a significant amount of self-study time for students. All schools have developed a combination of clinical skills, professional development, vocational studies and various GP-led activities. All schools now have SSMs to give students the opportunity to specialise and OSCEs (Objective Structured Clinical Exams) which examine the practice of being an effective doctor through simulated patient examination. 1.3.4 NHS Input The Medical Schools are closely linked with the NHS, especially the teaching NHS trusts. NHS staff are involved in the delivery of medical undergraduate degrees in a range of ways – from delivering classes, both on-site and at the university, to being involved in student recruitment, course administration and development and student examination. NHS trusts (both “teaching” and “non-teaching”) also provide the facilities and staff for clinical attachment weeks, which form the dominant element of the later years of the curricula. Students on clinical attachment will spend the whole week on-site – at hospitals, GP practices and possibly community settings. During these periods students will receive some formal education sessions, but will also spend time observing and being shown the practice of being a doctor. 1.4 Curricula at the Four Medical Schools This section will give a brief overview of the curricula at the four Medical Schools: 1.4.1 Glasgow University The Glasgow curriculum is split into 3 sections. The first section (years 1 and 2) is university based and consists of (a) university lectures (few compared to other curricula) and problem based learning (PBL) sessions, (b) vocational study activities and visits (GP led), (c) clinical skills training, (d) Fixed Resource Sessions (lab-based activity), and 1 SSM. The second section (year 3) is similar to years 1 and 2, but introduces NHS-based delivery. PBLs are delivered on-site and Clinical Practice modules are delivered at both hospital and GP practices. There are 2 SSMs. The third section (years 4 and 5) concentrates on clinical attachment on-site at hospital, with 5 weeks at a GP practice. There is also a period of intensive lectures in year 5 and 4 SSMs. 5 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 1.4.2 Edinburgh University The Edinburgh curriculum is split into 2 sections. Section 1 covers years 1 and 2 and is university-based. It involves lectures, various types of tutorials and practicals (including case-based learning (CBL)) and Clinical Skills and Personal Professional Development (CSPPD). Section 2 covers years 3 to 5 and concentrates on clinical attachment on-site. There are some lectures, tutorials and CSPPD sessions in years 3 and 4, and one of the 8 week modules in year 5 may be outside the UK. There is only 1 SSM. 1.4.3 Dundee University The Dundee curriculum is split into 3 sections. Section 1 covers the first year and centres around lectures and practical anatomy / physiology sessions delivered at the university. There are also GP led sessions / visits, clinical demonstrations, emergency care, behavioural sciences and 1 SSM. The second section covers years 2 and 3 and delivery is based on-site. There are lectures, PBLs, labs, clinical skills and ward teaching. There are also GP led sessions and visits, and 2 SSMs. The final section covers years 4 and 5 and is predominantly clinical attachment, especially year 4. Year 5 concentrates on preparation for a Junior House Officer (JHO) post (shadowing and a short course) and 5 of the 6 SSMs for this section occur in the 5th year. 1.4.4 Aberdeen University The Aberdeen curriculum is split into 4 sections. The first section covers year 1 and is university based. Lectures take most of the time, although there are also a GP led Community Course, Practical Anatomy sessions, Communication Skills and 1 SSM. The second section runs up to Easter in year 3 and is similar to the first section, but includes more site-based activities – for example ward based teaching (WBT) and an Introduction to Clinical Skills course. There are 2 SSMs. The third section covers the end of year 3 and year 4 and is site-based – 9 five-week rotations including 5 weeks in a GP practice. There is 1 SSM. The final section covers year 5 and takes place in a range of locations including clinical, GP or Mental Health, medical and non-medical electives. [NOTE: All curricula include at least 3 OSCEs] 6 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 1.5 Costs associated with undergraduate teaching in NHS settings 1.5.1 What are the main cost drivers Undergraduate medical students are placed in a variety of NHS contexts including the community and general hospitals as well as the more traditional setting of teaching hospitals. Supervising and accommodating students will incur costs in all these settings and an increasing body of research is examining both the scale of these costs and the types of resources needed to support student placements. In the most widely researched of settings, the major teaching hospital, the following three sets of factors (not all associated with teaching) are thought to contribute to increased costs of care. There are some aspects of teaching hospitals, such as the ability to benefit from economies of scale, that may enable some forms of care to be delivered more cheaply. (1) Cost drivers directly associated with teaching, including • • • • • • • • • staff time with students (contributing to increased staff to patient ratios) staff time spent on preparation and curriculum development a greater level of laboratory tests and facilities associated with demonstrating tests more medical illustrations and teaching aids larger offices and dedicated teaching space wider corridors and generally larger public spaces additional library facilities increased portering and security additional hotel facilities for students, catering, accommodation etc. The focus in much of the literature, and this project, is on revenue funding, so capital costs and depreciation tend to be excluded. However, they will include maintenance and utilities costs associated with the extra space used for students and teaching. Most of these costs will be related to student numbers, but the relation may not be simple. The OR modelling that forms part of this project can be used to explore the nature of the relationship between these direct costs and student numbers. (2) Factors that may be closely linked to undergraduate medical training, including • • • • • • funded research; personal research; tendency to develop and use innovative treatments higher staff skill mix, from nursing grades to prestigious consultant appointments training of nurses; and training of other staff - such as technical occupations and paramedics. 7 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD (3) Factors that are less obviously linked to teaching, but which frequently, if not inevitably characterise teaching hospitals. • • • • • • • higher staff, buildings and maintenance costs due to metropolitan locations more complex case mix due to their role as centres for tertiary referrals higher than average morbidity in their catchment areas (due to inner city deprivation) resulting in greater and more complex demand for general hospital services and A&E maintaining expensive specialties that are not often found outside teaching centres a wider range of patient support services above average quality of care superior grade accommodation A literature review circulated earlier in this project summarises estimates of the relative costs of these different factors, though the evidence is very incomplete and difficult to synthesise. However it is possible to say that some of the non-teaching influences can have a major impact of costs and that it is important to control for their effects if one is to establish what additional costs are due to teaching. 1.5.2 Direct versus indirect costs For the purposes of this project we have drawn a distinction between those costs of placements that can be directly observed and recorded, such as staff time and obvious use of physical resources and those that may be integral to a teaching environment but not so easily or directly measurable, such as personal research. We have labelled the costs associated with the former set of factors the direct costs of teaching and those associated with the latter the indirect costs. Separate strands of the project address each of these costs. It is worth noting that in our analysis of the indirect costs we try to exclude other types of costs such as those due to case-mix or metropolitan location that are often present in teaching hospitals but are arguably not an inevitable consequence of their teaching status. 8 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 2: METHODS OF ANALYSIS AND EVIDENCE OF COST DIFFERENCES FROM THE LITERATURE 2.1 Cost differences reported in the literature There is a limited literature on the costs of both undergraduate and postgraduate training of doctors in hospitals and how these contribute to the revenue costs of teaching hospitals. As a review of this material was presented earlier in the project only key points that bear directly on the analyses are presented here. Most empirical studies of the cost of medical training provide some estimate of the overall difference in gross cost per case between teaching and non-teaching hospitals - and in a few cases (summarised in Linna et al - 1998) also compare these differences with the funds made available for teaching. Table 1 presents a representative selection of estimates of overall cost differences. Most of these report excess costs per case of between 5 and 25% in teaching and compared to non-teaching hospitals. When interpreting these results it is important to remember that the systems for funding medical training can very greatly between the countries studied, and that variations in methods of measurement and analysis may also influence the results. Table 1 Estimates of additional costs in teaching hospitals (Adapted and expanded from Linna et al - 1998) Country USA USA USA USA Spain Additional cost 10-25% 8-15% 0-15% 1.4% 3-11 Spain 3.1% Spain 11.1% Finland England England 15% 15% 4-43% Source Sloan et al 1983 Zuckerman et al 1994 Granneman et al 1986 Gaynor M and Anderson GF (1995) Lopez-Casanovas and Wagstaff (1996) Gonzalez-Lopez Valcarcel B and Barber P (1996) Wagstaff A and Lopez-Casasnovas (1996 Linnakko and Linna (1995) Culyer et al Foote et al (1988) Relatively few studies provide similar estimates for the additional costs of individual departments or services. The lack of available data and the difficulty of controlling for confounders are largely to blame for the limited evidence at this level. Results from a small numbers of studies are shown in Table 2, covering many of the services and departments that are generally reckoned to cost more in teaching settings. The range amongst even this small set of results suggests there is little consensus on how much extra each of these costs. 9 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Table 2 Estimates of additional costs in teaching hospitals Staff costs Medical pay 7% higher in teaching institutions Cost of nursing higher Nursing costs 9.5% specific departments and services in (Culyer et al 1978) - Busby et al 1972 (Culyer et al 1978) Pathology/Lab tests 8% increase in dept cost Culyer et al 1978 Twice as high Busby et al 1972 Increased tests account for 56% of Scroeder & O’Leray differences in costs Operating theatre 11% (unit cost) 25%? (Culyer et al 1978) AUC (1965) X-ray/Radiology Twice as high 5% (dept cost) 5% Busby et al 1972 (Culyer et al 1978) AUC (1965) Medical records (dept cost- proportion unspecified) 25% (Culyer et al 1978) AUC (1965) Library 50-70% AUC (1965) Catering 12% (dept cost) (Culyer et al 1978) Cleaning 4.5% increase in “domestic” service costs (Culyer et al 1978) 10 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 2.3. Approaches to estimating costs and cost differences Studies to estimate cost differences and their causes fall into two broad groups. Bottom-up approaches that study the processes of teaching and the resources required and top-down studies that focus on the differences in the costs of patient care between teaching and non-teaching institutions. 2.3.1 Bottom-up approaches Bottom-up approaches are so described because they aim to build-up a picture of the activities and costs associated with teaching. This can be done in two rather different ways, by observing the processes and collecting data on activities by other means, or by simulation. Observational methods for estimating the inputs to teaching In this group of studies the main aim is to study the actual processes of teaching and record factors such as the amount of staff time involved and the use of facilities. Research may be based on observation, but also use other methods such as surveys and activity diaries. Examples of the latter include surveying students on the their contact time with clinicians in various teaching settings (e.g. Sheldon, 1990, 1991a and 1991b; and Weinberg et al 1994). Examples of studies that observe the activity patterns of both medical and non-medical staff in teaching institutions to establish proportions of time spent on tasks directly or indirectly related to teaching include Snijders et al. (1987). Other examples of these approaches include Institute of Medicine (1974); Perrin (1987); Perrin and Magee (1982), and Rayner (1985). Although there are relatively few examples of this type of work, its potential strength is in supplying everyday detail on the process of teaching in hospitals; hence it should help measure the relative effort spent on teaching and other activities. It has three main weaknesses. First, detailed observation in hospitals is very costly. Secondly, there is the problem of deciding what activities, or more often, what part of an activity, should be associated with undergraduate teaching. This is a particular problem in teaching hospitals. When one considers the range of functions that are typically carried out in such hospitals it is clear that any single task could be contributing to several if not all of the following: • • • • • • • • providing health care directly supporting other institutions providing health care undergraduate medical education; postgraduate studies and training; funded research; personal research; training of nurses; and training of other staff - such as technical occupations and paramedics. 11 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Although it is theoretically possible to apportion parts of each activity to different functions, the practical difficulties are obvious and results would be open to question. For these reasons, some authors (e.g. Perrin 1987) have doubted whether an observational approach can ever arrive at accurate estimates of teaching costs. A third and related problem, is that observation may overlook some activities because they do not appear to be directly contributing to teaching when, in fact, they are indirectly supporting teaching or more generally contributing to the culture of a teaching hospital. Simulation modelling Simulation modelling provides a cheaper and quicker alternative to observation for estimating the costs directly involved in teaching. As adopted in this project, the method considers what activities and resource are necessary to deliver that part of undergraduate medical training that takes place in the NHS. It uses a combination of syllabus information, student and medical sub-dean reports, and accounts from others involved in undergraduate teaching to construct an operational model of the inputs to the training. Both national and local sources are then used to attach costs to these inputs. The resulting model can estimate the costs of providing the existing syllabi to current numbers of students, or it can be used to explore the cost consequences of varying, syllabus, training methods and student numbers. The model can be used to predict costs at different levels, such as medical school, trust and hospital, provided there is sufficient detail to populate the model at each of these levels. The main advantages of this approach, as for much simulation, is that it relatively cheap and can be used to explore hypothetical scenarios. However, there are several disadvantages. There will be costs associated with data collection, as the model needs to be grounded in the details of how teaching is carried-out and the costs of its various components. It is potentially open to the main criticism of observational methods, that it may not adequately address the problem of multi-functional activities. It will also be very limited in its coverage indirect cost drivers. 2.3.2 Top-down approaches A second class of methods for investigating teaching costs has a very different starting point. It examines the differences in costs between teaching and non-teaching institutions using data on the costs of care and hospital services. Again, such studies can be crudely grouped into two types: those that simply compare the costs of teaching and other hospitals, albeit with so controls for confounders such as case mix and those that try to model costs at all types of hospitals with teaching status or teaching load as one of the independent variables. 12 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Cost comparisons The principle of comparing the costs per case in a teaching hospital with a nonteaching hospital is straightforward., but the practice is more complicated as studies need to control for confounding factors such as case mix. The methodological issues associated with these comparisons include those listed below. They are discussed in more detail in relation to the present exercise in Section . What are teaching hospitals - can they be easily distinguished from other hospitals by, say, teaching load • • • • • How to control for case-mix - both at the level of specialty and HRG within specialty How to control for economies of scale How to control for market forces factors. How to control for other external factors that may influence costs How to find suitable data and deal with high levels of variation between small numbers of hospitals Regression modelling of hospital costs Simple (OLS) multiple regression techniques are still used to identify the excess costs of teaching. Typically, such modelling attempts to predict the overall cost per case by using variables associated with teaching and those associated with case-mix and environmental factors. There is an increasing interest in replacing simple OLS with more sophisticated methodologies, but all these approaches share the common problem of how to obtain adequate data on costs and more especially on potential cost drivers. The problem is compounded by the relatively small number of institutions available for analyses and over-time variations in costs and organisation of teaching. That most existing studies are cross-sectional (i.e. based on a single point in time) has prompted some criticism (e.g. . Foster, 1987). Other well-known difficulties are how to control for supply side effects and deal with extensive collinearity amongst the cost drivers. The problem of the potential endogeneity of supply factors has led to the use of two stage least squares methods - as for example by Milne et al (1989). The problem of having relatively few teaching institutions to include in the analysis is compounded by the tendency of some authors to include large numbers of variables in their model - drastically reducing the degrees of freedom. The resulting models, especially when packed with supply and activity variables, have very high values for r-squared (typically in excess of 97% as in Milne et al), but it is arguable whether they help us understand the sources of variation between hospitals. In the English context this has been of particular interest because critics such as Bevan (1999) and Sheldon (1999) have argued that, in particular, the facilities component of SIFT may be supporting historical inefficiencies in teaching hospitals. Hence the related concern that regression analyses will not be able to identify 13 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD inefficiency and that other methods should be used. Two current contenders include data envelope analysis (recommended by Bevan 1999 and applied by, amongst others, Morey et al 1995) and a modification of OLS - frontier cost functions as used again, amongst others, by Linna et al (1998). 14 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 3 AN OVERVIEW OF THE PROJECT METHODOLOGY 3.1 Overview of main methods used The approach finally adopted by this study has two main components Operational research models of the costs of delivering the syllabi of the four Scottish Medical Schools. These models provide an estimate of what we describe as the "Direct Costs of teaching undergraduate in NHS settings". They are designed to compute estimates for each of the medical schools, but with suitable data can provide cost estimates at health board, trust of even hospital levels. Comparisons of the costs of care at teaching and non-teaching hospitals in Scotland The first stage of these comparisons involves estimating the overall difference in cost between the two types of hospitals having controlled for potential confounders such as case-mix and economies of scale. The direct costs of teaching (as estimated by the OR models) are then subtracted from the cost differences to provide estimates of what we describe as the "indirect costs of teaching". These estimates are both computed for Scotland as a whole and for each of the major teaching hospitals. The next stage of the work tries to account for these indirect costs in two ways. Firstly, by comparing them with the sources of income that are largely limited to teaching hospitals, such as research funding. Secondly, we examine whether the costs ratios between teaching and other hospitals in respect of staff, nursing, theatre and other identifiable budget heads are similar to the overall cost ratios between the two types of institution, or whether certain of these activities seem to account for a disproportionate amount of the cost differences. Finally, we use the results from the above and information on relative teaching loads to investigate the differences between the cost bases of the major teaching hospitals. 15 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Schematically the main components of the methods are as follows ♦ Construct OR models of the DIRECT costs of delivering the medical schools syllabi ♦ Compare the overall costs of care at Major teaching Hospitals (MTH) with those at other hospitals ♦ Control for potential confounders (incl case-nix, economies of scale and MFF) ♦ Produce corrected estimates of the gross cost differences ♦ Subtract the estimates from the direct cost modelling to give an estimate on indirect costs ♦ Try to identify the main contributors to these indirect costs (e.g. staff costs, research etc) ♦ Try to explain the differences between Teaching Hospitals in these indirect costs 16 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 4 THE DIRECT COST MODELS 4.1 Introduction This chapter describes the direct cost modelling of input by NHSScotland to the curricula at the four main Medical Schools in Scotland – Glasgow, Edinburgh, Dundee and Aberdeen. An Excel-based model has been developed to capture direct costs of teaching support for each Medical School, which gives a cost quantum for each academic year (including the optional science year and the medical education of dental students). The models have been populated using a Delphi approach involving documentary evidence, interviews with stakeholders, a workshop and direct input by the Medical Schools over a three-month period. The term ‘direct costs’ refers to those costs incurred by NHSScotland that can be directly attributed to the curriculum of a particular medical school. This has generally been reflected in the direct cost models by activities undertaken by students – for example, lectures, seminars, clinical / vocational skills sessions, clinical attachments (both in primary and secondary care), evaluation, recruitment, etc. However, a number of overheads have been included – for example, administration, hospital subdeans. 4.2. The Direct Cost Model 4.2.1 Overview of the Modelling Process The direct costing uses a cost model for each medical school, which has been populated using a Delphi type approach, vis: 1. Examine the curriculum at each of the four Medical Schools in order to identify the types and volume of teaching activity that comprises each academic year. For example, “1 hour university lecture” would be one such activity type. Information required would be the number of lectures delivered per year and the size of the lecture delivery group. An important part of this process is to apportion costs between the NHS and the Medical School, as the model will ultimately only count NHS incurred costs. For example, a university lecture delivered at the Medical School by an NHS member of staff would incur costs to both the Medical School and the NHS; 2 . For each activity type, quantify the amount of resources used to deliver an instance of each activity. Types of resources might be staffing, facilities, travel, etc. Resources are costed at Scotland-wide unit costs (Blue Book). Initially, this information was generated from documentary evidence of curricula and meetings with ACT officers and Medical School administrators; 3. In order to validate user input at (2), above, engage in a Delphi process by direct liaison and interviews with key informants, and a workshop for stakeholders (9th 17 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD of May 2003). Final population of the models has been co-ordinated by ACT Officers and Medical Schools over the summer of 2003. All four medical schools have confirmed significant progress has been made populating the models, however, it is clear that work will continue to increase the accuracy and transparency of the models; 4. Finally, record the output of each Board’s model and thus determine an overall Scotland direct cost quantum, which could, in principle, be distributed between the four Boards. 4.2.2 Structure of the Direct Cost Model There are four cost models, one for each of the Medical Schools at Glasgow, Edinburgh, Dundee and Aberdeen. The models essentially link the curricula at a particular Medical School to Scotland-wide unit costs (see figure below). DCM - shape of the model * Model feeds explicitly from resources to activities to curriculum Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 Year 1 Curriculum Activity 1 Resource 1 Activity 2 Resource 2 Activity 3 Resource 3 Resource 4 The models are based in Microsoft Excel and each have 48 worksheets. The structure of the worksheets is as follows: ! ! ! ! ! ! Sheet 1 – Title Page Sheet 2 – Cost Summary Page – total direct cost of teaching for NHS Sheets 3-8 – Summary Pages for each academic year (the curricula) Sheet 9 – Administration Costs (overhead costs) Sheets 10-43 – Definition of Activity Types (A1 to A33) Sheets 44-48 – Resource Unit Costs (staffing, facilities, etc.) Each academic year has a well-defined curriculum. The sheets 3-8 record the activity types and quantum for each of the five compulsory years of the degree, plus the optional science year (labelled Year 6 in the model). These sheets are linked to the sheets A1 to A33 which give a cost for each instance of a particular activity type (by 18 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD year). For example, the cost of a lecture delivered at the Medical School by an NHS consultant might be £300. The worksheet relating to university lectures will outline how this £300 is made up – for example, 3 hours time (preparation, delivery, travel) and 30 miles travelling. The activity sheets are linked to Scotland-wide unit costs for staffing, facilities, consumables, etc. Because the model is linked, any input can be changed at any time and the model will automatically update. For example, if the amount of time needed to prepare a lecture changes from 1hr to 2hrs, the activity sheet can be updated and the cost totals will be adjusted automatically. Similarly, if the hourly rate for an NHS consultant changes, this can be altered on the staffing resource sheet and the cost totals will be adjusted automatically. 4.2.3 Populating the Model – Delphi Approach The curricula for each academic year at each Medical School is complex, but generally well understood, and therefore can be regarded as an objective input to the model. Similarly, the Scotland-wide resource unit costs are taken from the Scottish Blue Book, although consensus estimations of has also been used. However, definitions of each activity type in terms of the resources used in a particular instance of the activity – i.e. the resources used to deliver a university lecture, or the resources used on a typical clinical attachment week – required careful estimations by key stakeholders. In order to populate the models with these activity definitions, a Delphi process was implemented. A Delphi process enables a document – in this case an Excel Model – to be developed by a group of stakeholders until it has reached an agree final state. The first stage in this process involved a series of meetings (with ACT Officers, Medical School staff, General Practitioners, trusts, finance staff, the BMA, NES) to generate an initial population for each of the models. The second stage involved a mail shot and a workshop (9th May 2003) where key stakeholders were allowed to evaluate the initial assumptions of the models, suggest alternative (or additional) activity definitions and interact “live” with the four models. This enabled the initial estimations to be developed and the costings fine-tuned. The final stage of the Delphi process involved the Medical Schools taking ownership of the models – co-ordinated by the ACT officers – to reach an agree final costing (August 2003). To date the medical schools have confirmed significant progress has been made towards a final costing, although it is clearly an ongoing process. 19 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 4.3 Results of the Direct Cost Model There is a direct cost model for each of the Medical Schools for Glasgow, Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Dundee. Each model gives the total direct costs of the NHS input to the Medical School curricula. The results reveal that the aggregate direct cost quantum for the four medical schools is £57.6 million, based on work to date. The breakdown of this total between the schools is shown in the table below. Total Cost of NHS Input to Medical School Curricula by year Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Total Glasgow (£000s) 564 763 3,802 6,953 7,346 276 19,704 Edinburgh (£000s) 578 757 5,196 4,802 6,136 61 17,530 Dundee (£000s) 258 669 4,557 2,505 2,096 0 10,084 Aberdeen (£000s) 216 423 2,823 3,811 3,005 6 10,285 4.4 Current ACT Allocations The table below gives the allocation of ACT funding between the four NHS Boards for 2001/2002. The total figure was £86.2 million. It can be seen that the funding split between the four NHS Boards is roughly proportional to student numbers, although two Boards receive proportionally more money (Glasgow and Tayside) and two receive proportionally less (Lothian and Grampian). Comparison of ACT shares in 2001-02 to proportion of student body in each School Board Allocation (01/02) % of ACT total % of total student (£ millions) body Glasgow 27.2 31.6 29.9 Lothian 24.3 28.2 29.0 Tayside 17.4 20.2 19.2 Grampian 17.3 20.0 21.9 Total 86.2 100.0 100 20 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 4.5 Options for using results for resource allocation There are four basic methods available, which are discussed below. Option 1: Make allocations to Boards on the basis of the number of students supported in the local NHS at a single Scotland-wide average cost per student across all years 1. Derive a Scotland-wide average cost per student (for all activities together) based on the aggregated DC Model returns from each of the four Schools. 2. Collect information for the medical Schools on the number of student weeks placed per Board (or allocate to the Medical School’s host Board for onward distribution). 3. Total up each Board’s allocation from the no. of student supported. 4. Top-slice the DC quantum (sum of 3 across the four Schools) – and allocate per relative shares determined at 3, above. Option 2: Similar to option 1 – except that a different Scotland-wide cost is applicable to students in each year of the curriculum. 1. As per Option 1, except the calculation would be undertaken for each year individually to reflect differential cost of support by year of study. Option 3: Delivery Unit costing 1. Derive a Scotland-wide average cost per student for each activity type 2. Collect information from the Medical Schools on the volume of teaching activity delivered by each institution (teaching and non-teaching hospital) including that delivered in primary care settings 3. Apply the average unit from 1, to determine a ‘budget’ for each institution 4. Aggregate across institutions in each Board to arrive at a Board level total. Either teaching Boards or the Medical Schools could run the models to make such cost estimates. Option 4: Allocations by student week 1. Use the direct cost models to derive the cost of a student week – differentiating settings where difference teaching activities are typically carried out (e.g. Primary Care, Major Teaching Hospitals, Non-Teaching Hospitals); 2. Allocate funding to all NHS Boards where teaching is being delivered – based on the number of weeks supported in each setting; 3. Funds to be allocated through a central body – such as NHS Education for Scotland. All options require top-slicing of the aggregate quantum of funding identified. 21 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD All options envisage a separate compensation mechanism for the indirect cost consequences of having a teaching status. 4.6 Example of Allocation using Direct Cost Model Results This section shows the outworking of Option 1, and compares funding shares between the four Schools with that to host NHS Boards under ACT in 2001/02. It can be seen that, using this approach to allocation, two Boards would receive proportionally more money (Grampian and Lothian) and two boards would receive proportionally less (Glasgow and Tayside). Allocation of Direct Cost Model Total between Boards by Number of Students Board Allocation % of total DCM % of change (01/02) Allocation total (%) (£ millions) (£ millions) Glasgow 27.2 31.6 17.2 29.9 -1.7 Lothian 24.3 28.2 16.7 29.0 +0.8 Tayside 17.4 20.2 11.1 19.2 -1.0 Grampian 17.3 20.0 12.6 21.9 +1.9 Total 86.2 100 57.6 100 Although the quantum of funding has significantly reduced, the share of resources under the proposed mechanism is, for each teaching Board, within 2% points of the ACT shares. Final comment The direct costing exercise has collated together – for the first time – a vast database of comparable information on activities and costs across all four Medical Schools. This is a significant achievement given the complexity of the curricula and the variety in delivery between Schools. This information now makes possible much more detailed analysis of individual cost structures, NHS inputs and overhead recharges that has hereto been possible. However, further work should aim to refine the final estimate of direct costs – noting that this was part of the agreed process with Trusts, Boards and the Medical Schools in order to engage them in the process in the available timescale. In particular, such work should focus on the comparability of Costing Models completed and returned by each School - issues of comprehensiveness, costing bases in relation to capital charges, and recharging non-activity related ‘administration’ costs. Analytical Services Division (SEHD) are now taking forward the final development of proposals for a suitable formula based on the above options and information from the direct costing exercise completed in this work. 22 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 5 THE METHODS FOR ESTIMATING OVERALL COST DIFFERENCES AND DIFFERENCES IN INDIRECT COSTS 5.1 Alternative methods and sets of analyses This section of the report describes the methods used to estimate overall cost differences and indirect costs, but before describing the main approach in more detail, it is worth noting that it was chosen after other methods had been tried. Three alternatives were explored. Previous project reports have described some of this work and further details will be given in appendices to the final report. • Predicting the indirect costs of Scottish teaching hospitals using cost data on English specialties (3.2.1). • Predicting gross Scottish TH costs using Scottish specialty level costs. (3.2.2) • Investigating the impact of teaching load on cost (3.3.3) 5.1.1. Predicting the indirect costs of Scottish teaching hospitals using cost data on English specialties The first set of analyses conducted for the project used cost data on English specialties to predict the additional (indirect) cost of Scottish teaching hospitals. For our purposes, the English Reference Costs Database has three advantages over the Scottish Cost Book: 1) It is based on a larger sample of teaching hospitals (28) and should therefore provide more robust estimates of specialty costs 2) Case-mix controls can be more rigorous because the English Reference Cost data are directly compatible with the English specialties 3) The English Reference Costs specifically exclude any direct costs of teaching that can be specifically identified set off against SIFT income. These are netted out by trust and hospital accountants prior to computing the HRG costs. So cost differences based on these figures should only reflect indirect costs; and using these figures eliminates the need for separate estimates of direct costs. The main steps in these analyses were as follows: • • The costs are obtained by trust, HRG and specialty. These are aggregated to produce mean values for each specialty across all acute teaching trusts and across all other acute trusts - a group of trusts that are designated as intermediate teaching are excluded. 23 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD • • • • Figures are computed for three sets of episodes: elective and non-elective inpatients and day-cases. Two sets of cost ratios are computed. One for unstandardised costs per specialty, the other is case-mix standardised, by HRG within specialty. Standardisation is quite rigorous: the average costs per HRG are applied to the same national average bundle of HRGs per specialty in each institution. Two further sets are computed, both standardised and unstandardised, to include the cost of I/P episodes that exceed the HRG trim points. Figures are computed that both do and do not take account of market forces factors – predominately based on labour market variations. This approach proved to have both practical and theoretical limitations, several of which are described here. It included some unjustifiable assumptions, such as settings specialty cost weights to 1.0 for specialties that were on average cheaper in THs. (Though this might have been corrected by an economy of scale adjustment) Applying English cost ratios to Scottish hospitals was complicated by definitional and organisational differences between English and Scottish specialties. Moreover, the organisation of teaching and the infrastructure of Scottish THs may be different from their English counterparts. In all, though this work was of considerable interest and produced estimates for the costs of teaching were broadly similar to present levels of ACT, it would be hard to justify using these results for resource allocation in Scotland. 5.1.2 Predicting gross Scottish TH costs using Scottish specialty level costs. Quite extensive analyses were carried out on the differences in specialty case costs between major teaching hospitals (MTHs) and other hospitals in Scotland. This approach has several merits, not least that it provides a starting point for examining the differential impact of teaching on specialties, a potentially important issue as undergraduates tend to be placed in a limited number of specialties. The difficulties with this approach almost all arise from the small number of cases available for specialty level comparisons. That there are only eight MTHs in Scotland some specialties only occur in these eight limits the potential (and robustness) of direct comparisons and is the principal reason why we chose to adopt an alternative method using hospital wide comparisons combined with indirect standardisation. 24 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 5.1.3 The impact of teaching load on cost A substantial proportion of the literature on the costs of medical teaching attempts to establish a relation between some measure of teaching load and cost. We have found statistically significant positive correlations between teaching load (measured as student weeks per in-patient admission) and cost across both the hospitals associated with three English medical schools and the hospitals (other than MTHS in Scotland) Further work on these correlations was abandoned. The English analyses could not be extended due to difficulties of getting information on student placements. The Scottish analyses were discontinued as the project changed emphasis and focussed on the MTHs rather than the teaching loads in other hospitals. By grouping hospitals into MTHS and others, the comparisons presented in the body of this report treat teaching status as a binary rather than a continuous variable. The argument for this approach is that MTHs have infrastructual features (giving rise to indirect costs) that make them qualitatively different from other hospitals. However it reduces the opportunities for exploring the impact of different levels of teaching. 5.2 The methods of the cost comparison in more detail. The cost comparisons that form the basis of much of the rest of this report are quite straightforward and the methodology should be obvious from the presentation of results in Sections. However, it may be worth making a few preliminary points on some definitional questions and on the methods used to control for confounders in the comparisons. 5.2.1 What is a major teaching hospital (MTH)? A basic difficulty in trying to estimate the indirect costs of teaching is the lack of a clear distinction between teaching and non-teaching hospitals. The data in Annex 3 of the earlier draft report on indirect costs indicate that almost every district general hospital in Scotland has a significant levels of teaching responsibility as measured by the number of student weeks. Indeed, relatively small hospitals such as Borders General and Roodlands have a ratio of student weeks to patient activity, which is higher than is found in some of the ‘major’ teaching hospitals. Non-teaching hospitals are now confined to very small hospitals that, for various reasons, may not provide a reasonable baseline for assessing the costs of providing treatment at major hospitals Edinburgh Royal Infirmary in the absence of teaching. Given the limitations of the available data, it is not easy to identify an alternative approach to classifying hospitals. One possibility might be to focus the analysis on the additional indirect costs of providing services in those hospitals that are generally recognised as major teaching hospitals. Teaching responsibilities now appear to be widely spread across different hospitals. According to the data in Annex 3 every NHS 25 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Board in Scotland with the exception of the 3 island Boards now has hospitals that provide a significant number of student placements. Since our interest is in the relative effect of teaching status on costs, it may be reasonable to focus on those hospitals where teaching responsibilities are more heavily concentrated and where the effects on indirect costs are likely to be more significant. These include: • • • • • • Edinburgh Royal Infirmary Western General Glasgow Royal Infirmary Western/Gartnavel Ninewells Aberdeen Royal Infirmary Two hospitals which are sometimes regarded as major teaching hospitals because of the scale of teaching carried out are: • • Southern General Raigmore Specialist hospitals which are regarded as having major teaching status include the following maternity and children’s hospitals: • • • • • • • Aberdeen Maternity Queen Mother’s, Yorkhill Princess Royal Maternity Hospital Simpsons RHSC, Yorkhill RHSC, Edinburgh Royal Aberdeen Children’s For the moment we will assume that the eight hospitals listed above can be used as the teaching wing of the comparison (these are the MTHs in this report), but a case could easily be made for reducing or increasing this sub-set. The number of student placements and the ratio of placements to caseload at these institutions are shown in Table XX. 26 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Table 1 : Hospitals regarded as "teaching hospitals" for the purposes of preliminary cost comparisons Trust South Glasgow University Hospitals NHS Trus Highland Acute Hospitals NHS Trust North Glasgow University Hospitals NHS Trus North Glasgow University Hospitals NHS Trus Lothian University Hospitals NHS Trust Grampian University Hospitals NHS Trust Tayside University Hospitals NHS Trust Lothian University Hospitals NHS Trust Hospital Southern General (SGH) Raigmore, Inverness Western / Gartnavel Glasgow Royal Infirmary Western General, Edinburgh Aberdeen Royal Infirmary Ninewells Edinburgh Royal Infirmary A B C D E 3711 183 2.2 3 9 6 4.96 815 3071 227 3.9 5 0 1 7.39 580 4902 285 3.2 1 4 4 5.82 882 4114 403 5.5 1 4 3 9.81 729 2640 484 7.6 18.3 1 6 0 6 637 5641 537 5.7 7 2 0 9.52 942 5131 690 8.3 13.4 4 7 1 6 832 4391 702 9.3 15.9 749 0 0 8 9 A: nos. of beds B:nos. of I/P discharges C: nos. of student week placements; D:nos. of students weeks per bed; e:100 times the no. of students week per patient discharged 5.2.2 Controlling for case-mix There are two principal reasons why major teaching hospitals are likely to have a more complicated and costly case-mix than other hospitals. Firstly, they function as tertiary referral centres and, secondly, their metropolitan and urban locations may result in their acting as general hospitals to a relatively deprived population with above average levels of ill-health. Moreover, some of the most costly specialties involving high staffing and equipment levels are more likely to be found in THs that elsewhere. For these reasons, any cost comparison needs to control for both the combination of specialties and the case mix within specialties. The Scottish Hospital Cost Book provides figures for average cost per case by specialty (or rather, by budget line). The figures are separated into inpatients outpatients and day cases. They can be used to compute the relative costs of each specialty that can be used as controls in cost comparisons. Controlling for case-mix within specialties is rather more difficult as the Scottish Hospital Cost data does not provide figures for the costs of HRGs. These have to be obtained from the English Reference Costs database and combined with Scottish hospital activity data to compute a case-mix weighting for each specialty in each of the Scottish hospitals. Weightings were computed for inpatients and day cases in most 27 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD specialties, but the English Reference Cost data is too limited in its coverage of outpatients to include them in the analyses. Although this method of case-mix control is widely accepted (the English weights are also used in compiling performance summaries for Scottish hospitals) it is sometimes argued that HRG based weights inadequately represent the additional cost and complexity of cases seen by tertiary centres. There is little direct evidence to confirm or dispute this assertion, but the English cost data shows that the proportion of cases out with the standard HRG trim points is, on average, higher in non-teaching than teaching hospitals. This suggests that teaching hospitals do not have to admit people for longer because they may be at the more complex or severe end of an HRG. 5.2.3 Controlling for economies of scale Of the eight Scottish hospitals with the highest caseload, only one (The Royal Alexandria) is not a MTH. If economy of scale effects can be demonstrated amongst the Scottish hospitals, then the observed cost differences between the MTHs and other hospitals may understate the full cost differences due to teaching and related effects. The method used to control for economies of scale are widely reported in later Sections of this report so only the key features are described here. • • • • • • • MTHS are excluded from the analysis as their cost /volume relationship is confounded by the costs associated with teaching (Hence) the analyses are based on data from 22 Medium to large hospitals with wide case-mix The Scottish average cost per specialty is combined with the specialty case mix of these 22 hospitals to compute an expected average cost per case. The ratio of actual to expected cost id plotted against caseload. A logarithmic curve is fitted to the plot and extrapolated to the higher caseloads found in the MTHs. The ratios in the extrapolated part of the plot are used to estimate the economies of scale in the MTHs and adjust the cost differences between MTHs and other hospitals. The analyses are repeated with a control for HRG case-mix as well as specialty. 28 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 5.2.4 Controlling for market forces factors. The metropolitan locations of many MTHS may have implications for wage costs. This is certainly an issue in England and especially in London. The research tests whether wage costs have a significant influence on the costs of Scottish MTHs. The wage cost figures used by the study are those computed by The University of Warwick Institute for Employment Research for the DoH (NHS Labour Market Forces for Great Britain, 2002 Update) They are used in English resource allocation. The figures are smoothed estimates from the New Earnings Survey Panel Data Set and for the first time in 2002 there are estimates for each of the 21 NES areas in Scotland. They report a 19% difference between the highest are lowest wage areas of Scotland. 5.3 Data availability and reliability The cost comparisons are mostly based on information from the Scottish Hospitals Cost Book, Scottish Hospital Activity Data and The English NHS Reference Costs Database. As has been previously mentioned in the discussion of case-mix adjustment, the English Reference Costs are not just used for the purposes of comparison, but also because Scottish hospital cost data does not provide costings for HRGs. Several problems arise is merging these data sets. Principal of which are the differences between the English and Scottish specialties and the differences between both sets of specialties and the budget lines used in the Scottish cost analyses. ISD has provided conversion tables to assist in the merging, but some inaccuracies and some loss of detail will result from the definitional differences. The reliability of hospital cost data is an issue, especially for small specialities with high variation in case-cost. The project has carried out several sensitivity tests including a repeat analysis on a second year's data and noting the effect of removing individual and groups of hospitals from the analyses. The main problem of data availability (apart from the lack of costed HRGs in Scotland) lies in the difficulties of obtaining indicators or good proxies for the various factors that are cited as contributing to the extra cost of teaching hospitals, such as research and innovation. The difficulties have been widely noted elsewhere and they pose severe limits on the practicality of multivariate modelling. Even where measures can be found, there is the problem that they may refer to characteristics that are often barely present outside MTHs and, in effect, function as a dummy variable that simply distinguishes MTHs from other hospitals. The small number of MTHs in Scotland means that it is difficult to do any modelling of the differences between teaching hospitals, especially as there is such a wide variation in their cost bases. The small numbers also impinge on the comparisons as 29 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD there are wide confidence intervals around any MTH averages and models are very sensitive to the exclusion of individual cases. We have already noted that between hospital variations become even more extreme when analyses are conducted at the specialty level and the sample size problem is exaggerated because only a relatively small subset of specialties are common to most Scottish hospitals and a considerable minority of specialities are largely confined to the MTHs. The larger number of hospitals in England meant that the original SIFT analyses could be based on specialty costs, but that work has been criticised (see e.g. Bevan) for its attempts to use average or other summary measures for cost ratios that exhibit very high levels of variation. 30 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD SECTION 6 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: COSTS MEASURING ADDITIONAL This section of the report details the findings from the statistical analysis to estimate the extent of additional costs in major teaching hospitals. The analysis has been carried out at hospital level, but concentrates mainly on the results from the ‘major teaching hospitals’ (MTHs). While it is recognised that most hospitals undertake significant amounts of teaching activity, the purpose of this study is primarily to determine whether the traditional teaching centres have cost structures that make them inherently more expensive than others. The definition of major teaching hospitals, therefore, includes only the 8 main teaching centres as defined in Section 5.2.1. Note that, the Sick Childrens Hospitals have been excluded here primarily because the nature of the activity in these hospitals makes it difficult to compare their costs structures against those of other hospitals. The analysis begins with measuring overall cost differences between the MTHs and the District General Hospitals (DGHs). Given that indirect costs are not tangible, the method used is a ‘top-down’ approach. Once overall cost differences have been calculated, the measurable elements can then be deducted – this includes an adjustment for direct costs, and research costs. Any remaining unexplained cost can then be attributed to the indirect costs of the major teaching hospitals. 6.1 Finding a suitable control for measuring overall costs The Economies of Scale Effect: The starting point for calculating additional costs for the major teaching hospitals is to find a suitable basis against which comparisons can be made. The size of the hospital is a critical factor in assessing costs – it is expected that as hospital size increases, the costs per unit will tend to fall (the economies of scale effect). The major teaching hospitals on the whole, have significantly higher patient volumes. This would suggest, therefore, that the cost ratios of these hospitals need to compared with the cost ratio of a non-teaching hospital of a similar size in order to make an accurate estimate of any additional costs that might incur as a result of teaching activities. Accounting for complexity of case-mix: A key feature of teaching hospitals is the complexity of case-mix that arises from the greater range of activities carried out in the larger hospitals. The effect of this will be to raise the relative costs of the teaching hospital. In determining additional costs, the impact of case-mix has to be netted out because it artificially increases the costs of a major teaching hospital when comparing it to a non-teaching hospital of a similar size. All the results in this analysis have been adjusted for case-mix. Chapter 6 highlight the value of the casemix adjustment. Speciality Standardisation: In order to carry out a fair comparison, the analysis requires adopting a method that allows hospital-wide comparisons to be made, by standardising for specialty. The analysis, therefore, excludes some of the more costly specialties that are specific to MTHs. In doing so, the cost comparisons are 31 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD effectively controlling for the combination of specialties, as well as the case-mix within them. Thus, in calculating overall additional costs for teaching hospitals, certain adjustments are made that take into account factors that might distort the figures. The results produced will show the extent to which costs are greater in MTHs compared to those expected from a hospital of a similar size, and with no significant teaching responsibilities. 6.2 Methodology used for measuring overall costs The primary data source for the analysis is the ‘Scottish Health Service Costs’ book, for the year 2001/02. The analysis was also carried out using data for the previous year to check for consistency in results. Step 1: Estimating cost ratios for District General Hospitals The sample size consisted of 19 DGHs. All hospitals with a caseload of patients (inpatients plus daycases) around 10,000 or below are excluded from the analysis due to concerns regarding the robustness of data for the smaller hospitals. The economies of scale effect which shows the extent of additional costs for MTHs is also very sensitive to the trend-line that is based on the DGHs. Smaller hospital outliers can significantly influence this trend-line and it is therefore, more appropriate to exclude these hospitals. Costs are computed across 22 specialties that are found to be common to all DGHs and MTHs (see Annex A for a detailed list of hospitals and specialties). Cost ratios are then obtained for each DGH, , where the cost ratio is defined by: Actual Hospital Cost Expected Hospital Cost Actual Cost = sum of total costs for each speciality Expected Cost* = sum of the total expected cost for each speciality *the expected costs are derived by calculating a weighted average cost for each activity across of all hospitals in the sample. In effect, this gives the ‘national average’ cost for each component The advantage of using the cost ratio method is that it allows comparisons to be made between hospitals by highlighting their relative differences in costs. 32 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Step 2: Plotting the results, and establishing the economies of scale effect The cost ratios for the DGHs were plotted against hospital size (measured by inpatients plus daycases). A trend-line, based only on the data points for the 19 DGHs, was added to the chart. Chart 1 below indicates that there is a negative relationship between cost ratios and caseload: that is, cost ratios are falling as hospital size increases. By projecting forward the trend-line to account for increasing hospital size beyond 55,000 patients, the result shows a further expected decline in cost ratios (albeit, at a decreasing rate). This is the economies of scale effect – theoretically, cost ratios for larger DGHs with no significant teaching commitments can be estimated using the trend-line. It is against these hospitals, that cost ratios for the Major Teaching Hospitals can be compared. Chart 1: Gross Cost Ratio of DGHs Actual:Expected Gross Cost Ratios, 2001/02 1.60 1.40 1.20 Perth RI Dr Grays A:E 1.00 Borders General Hairmyres The Ayr Victoria Kirkcaldy 0.80 Crosshouse Stobhill Falki8rk RI Wishaw Queen Margaret Stirling RI St John's D & G Royal Inverclyde Royal Monklands Royal Alexandra Victoria Infirmary y = -0.0234Ln(x) + 1.231 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 Caseload DGHs Log. (DGHs) Step 3: Calculating cost ratios for Major Teaching Hospitals MTHs were excluded from the above calculation of expected costs. Cost ratios are now calculated in a similar fashion, by using the national average expected costs and applying these to activity in the Major Teaching Hospitals. Chart 2 shows the plot of cost ratios for MTHs. 33 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Chart 2: Gross Cost Ratio for All Hospitals Actual:Expected Gross Cost Ratios, 2001/02 1.60 Western General 1.40 Edinburgh RI Ninewells 1.20 Glasgow RI Perth RI Dr Grays A:E 1.00 Borders General Hairmyres The Ayr Aberdeen RI Stobhill Falki8rk RI Raigmore Wishaw Queen Margaret Stirling RI St John's D & G Royal Inverclyde Royal Monklands Victoria Kirkcaldy 0.80 Crosshouse Western/Gartnavel Southern General Royal Alexandra Victoria Infirmary y = -0.0234Ln(x) + 1.231 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 Caseload DGHs Major Teaching Hospitals Log. (DGHs) The results show that the 8 Major Teaching Hospitals have higher cost ratios than all the DGHs. In addition, there is a significant gap (measured vertically) between cost ratio for each hospital and the point at which it touches the trend-line. This gap measures the additional cost of a MTH, compared to what would be expected for a DGH of a similar size. There appears to be some evidence of economies of scale within the group of major teaching hospitals - i.e. the ratio of actual to expected costs in major teaching hospitals falls as the size of the teaching hospital increases. The small sample size, however, makes it impossible to offer any solid conclusions without further investigation into what factors might determine relative costs. The tables below shows the additional costs incurred each of the Major Teaching Hospitals , and also the results by Health Board. At this stage, note that there has been no adjustment for case-mix. 34 90000 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Table 1: Additional Gross costs, by Major Teaching Hospital Major Teaching Hospital Aberdeen RI Edinburgh RI Glasgow RI Ninewells Raigmore Southern General Western/Gartnave l Western General TOTAL 6.3 mix Additional Cost £m 11.7 30.7 16.2 28.2 0.1 4.4 14.1 19.3 % difference 124.8 - 12% 36% 19% 31% 0% 6% 15% 46% The Additional Costs of MTHs: Results of the Gross Costs Analysis (caseadjusted) Chart 3 shows the plot of cost ratios for MTHs, after case-mix adjustments have been applied. The main points to note are: (i) the general relationship between cost ratios and hospital size stays the same (ii) overall cost ratios for the Major Teaching Hospitals are reduced when the effect of more complex cases are taken out. The difference between these ratios and those for unweighted gross costs indicate the extent to which MTH costs are higher due to these hospitals having a more complicated case-mix. 35 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Chart 3: Cost Ratios for Weighted Gross Costs, by Hospital Ratio of Actual:Expected Weighted Hospital Costs (2001-02) 1.40 Western General Forecast Edinburgh RI 1.20 Falkirk RI Perth RI Borders General Dr Gray's, Elgin 1.00 Stirling RI D & G RI Queen Margaret 0.80 Hairmyres St John's Stobhill The Inverclyde Ayr Victoria Kirkcaldy Ninewells Glasgow RI Crosshouse Wishaw Southern General Monklands Raigmor e Victoria Aberdeen RI Western/Gartnavel Royal Alexandra Infirmary y = -0.0141Ln(x) + 1.1284 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 Caseload DGH Major Teaching Hospitals Log. (DGH) Table 2 shows the change in additional costs after adjusting for case-mix. It indicates that case-mix adjustment reduces the additional costs of Major Teaching Hospitals by around £34.4 million. Table 2: Additional Costs of MTHs, adjusted for case-mix Major Teaching Hospital Aberdeen RI Edinburgh RI Glasgow RI Ninewells Raigmore Southern General Western/Gartnavel Western General TOTAL Additional Cost £m 6.4 21.8 10.8 22.6 -1.9 8.2 8.0 14.7 90.4 % difference 6% 25% 12% 24% -3% 12% 8% 34% - The results can also be aggregated to Health Board level as shown in Table 3. 36 90000 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Table 3: Summary of Gross Costs by NHS Health Board Health Board Grampian Greater Glasgow Lothian Tayside Total ACT Estimates of Additional Costs (£m) Current Allocation (£m) 6.4 26.8 36.6 22.6 6% 11% 29% 25% 92.3* - Does not sum to £90m as Raigmore has been excluded from the Health Board analysis. Give that it has overall negative additional costs, this would reduced the total figure here. 6.4 Limitations to the Analysis: Some caution should be exercised when interpreting the calculated ACT figure of £90m. The statistical analysis carried out only includes those specialties which are also present among the DGHs. Other specialties that are limited in DGHs, or only exclusive to MTHs have been excluded. For example, neurosurgery is excluded because it is almost exclusively performed in the MTHs. The study recognises, however, that there are excess teaching costs associated with such specialties, which are not accounted for by this particular analysis. 6.5 Further Analysis: Additional Costs by Cost Category The differences in cost ratios for the major teaching hospitals can be explored further, by looking at the various direct cost components which make up the Gross costs figure that was used to compute the results in the above section. There are seven main categories: Dental & Medical, Nursing, Group Allocated, Theatre, PAMS, Laboratory and Other. Annex B details the contents of each of these groupings. The pie-chart below shows the relative proportions of each of these categories within total costs for MTHs. 37 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Chart 4 Direct Costs as a proportion of the Total Actual Costs for MTHs Other PAM 5% Medical & Dental 13% 6% Pharmacy 9% Laboratory 5% Group Allocated 30% Theatre 10% Nursing 22% Source: Scottish Health Service Costs, 2001/02 Each of the cost components were analysed separately. The purpose of this was to determine whether MTHs have uniformly higher costs that cannot be explained, or whether certain features of MTHs, such as the costs of medical and dental staff can account for the higher cost ratios found in the earlier results. The main findings for the individual cost components show that: Medical and Dental, Group Allocated and Nursing costs all display strong evidence of economies of scale. For each of these cost categories, cost ratios for the Major Teaching Hospitals lie at points that are significantly higher than expected for similar sized hospitals. By way of example, the chart below shows the plot for Medical and Dental cost ratios. These are adjusted for case-mix complexity. Tables 4 & 5 highlight the additional costs in monetary terms, by individual hospital and by Health Board. 38 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Chart 5: Cost Ratios for Weighted Medical Costs Ratio of Actual:Expected (Weighted) Medical Costs (2001-02) 1.60 Borders 1.40 Western General Perth RI Ninewells Glasgow RI Southern General Monklands 1.20 Aberdeen RI Dr Gray's Elgin Queen Margaret Cost Ratio 1.00 D&G RI Falkirk RI Edinburgh RI St John's Hairmyres Stobhill Victoria Kirkcaldy Inverclyde Stirling RI Western/Gartnaval Royal Alexandra Wishaw The Ayr Crosshouse Raigmore Victoria Infirmary 0.80 0.60 y = -0.3189Ln(x) + 4.3382 0.40 0.20 0.00 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Caseload DGHs Major Teaching Hospitals Table 4: Additional Medical Cost by Hospital Major Teaching Hospital Aberdeen RI Edinburgh RI Glasgow RI Ninewells Raigmore Southern General Western/Gartnave l Western General TOTAL Additional Cost £m 5.4 1.9 4.0 7.1 -1.3 2.7 3.5 2.3 % difference 25.6 - 41% 18% 41% 61% -17% 35% 29% 48% 39 Log. (DGHs) 70000 80000 90000 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Table 5: Summary of Additional Medical Costs by Health Board Health Board Grampian Greater Glasgow Lothian Tayside Total ACT Estimates of Additional Costs (£m) Current Allocation (£m) 5.4 10.2 4.2 7.1 41% 42% 31% 61% 26.9* (*Raigmore exl) - There appears to be little evidence of any relationship between hospital size and cost ratios for laboratory costs, theatre, pharmacy and PAM costs. However, with laboratory costs the cost ratios are still persistently greater than those classed as nonteaching hospitals. Also, within the Major Teaching Hospitals, the chart shows that cost ratios tend to fall as voume increases (Ninewells is an outlier, although it does not affect the downward trend apparent among MTHs). Chart 6: Cost Ratio Ratio of Actual: Expected (Weighted) Laboratory Costs (2001-02) 2.50 2.00 Edinburgh RI Raigmore Cost Ratio Western General Ninewells Southern General 1.50 D&G RI Borders Falkirk RI 1.00 Glasgow RI Stobhill Aberdeen RI Monklands Victoria Infirmary Gilbert Bain Victoria Kirkcaldy Wishaw Stirling RI Perth RI Queen Margaret St John's Inverclyde Dr Gray's Elgin Crosshouse The Ayr Western/Gartnaval Royal Alexandra Hairmyres 0.50 0.00 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 Caseload DGHs Major Teaching Hospitals In calculating the extent of additional costs, it is impossible to estimate what the cost ratio would be for a non-teaching hospital of a similar size, that can be compared to MTHs, given that no relationship exists on which to base the assumptions. 40 90000 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD The additional costs have therefore, been calculated on the difference in cost ratios compared to the national average. These are given for both hospital level and Health Board. Table 6 : Additional Laboratory Costs, by Hospital MTH Additional Costs (£m) Aberdeen RI 1.3 Edinburgh RI 2.6 Glasgow RI 1.2 Ninewells 2.3 Raigmore 1.6 Southern General 1.0 Western/Gartna -0.1 vel 1.4 Western General TOTAL 11.2 Table 7: Summary of Additional Lab Costs by Health Board Health Board Grampian Greater Glasgow Lothian Tayside Total ACT Estimates of Additional Costs (£m) Current Allocation (£m) 1.3 2.1 4 2.3 32% 23% 88% 76% 10* (excl. Raigmore) - 41 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Analysis Summary and Implications This section of the report has looked at estimating the extent of overall additional costs in Major Teaching Hospitals (MTHs). The purpose of this is to provide a starting point from which indirect costs can be calculated. The main findings indicate that: ♦ Overall, major teaching hospitals are shown to have costs that are greater than would be expected for hospitals of a similar size. Across the 8 MTHs, this is estimated to be around £124.8 million. ♦ Complexity of case-mix accounts for around £34 million of the additional costs. Adjusting for this results in an estimated additional cost of teaching hospitals at £90.4m. ♦ The additional costs are explained to some extent by medical and dental, group allocated and nursing costs where cost ratios are persistently higher than those found for District General Hospitals. Laboratory costs are also significantly higher than the national average. ♦ The general pattern of high cost ratios within MTHs does vary between cost category. For example, while Edinburgh Royal Infirmary has relatively lower cost ratios for Medical and Dental costs and Nursing, its costs are relatively greater than other MTHs for Laboratory and Theatre costs. The only exception is Ninewells, which appears to have consistently higher cost-ratios in every cost category. ♦ There is also considerable variation between the additional costs by Health Board and within Health Board. It is not clear why the cost ratios of MTHs that are of similar size should vary, nor why hospitals within the same Health Board should have significantly different cost ratios. 42 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 7. CONCLUSIONS 7.1. Direct cost modelling The direct costing exercise has collated together – for the first time – a vast database of comparable information on activities and costs across all four Medical Schools. This is a significant achievement given the complexity of the curricula and the variety in delivery between Schools. This information now makes possible much more detailed analysis of individual cost structures, NHS inputs and overhead recharges that has hereto been possible. Section 4.5 of this report has described several (out of many) ways in which the results from the direct cost modelling might be used in resource allocation. It posits four options all of which require top-slicing of the aggregate quantum of funding identified. Option 1: Make allocations to Boards on the basis of the number of students supported in the local NHS at a single Scotland-wide average cost per student across all years Option 2: A similar approach to option1 – except that a different Scotland-wide cost is applicable to students in each year of the curriculum. Option 3: Delivery Unit costing In which information is collected from the Medical Schools on the volume of teaching activity delivered by each institution (teaching and non-teaching hospital) including that delivered in primary care settings. Scottish wide costs are then applied to each activity to determine a ‘budget’ for each institution, which are then summed to give a Board level total. Option 4: Allocations by student week In which Scottish average costs are derived for a student week in different teaching settings as the basis of a compensation mechanism to all Boards providing undergraduate teaching. All four models are described in detail in Section 4.5, which also includes a set of specimen calculations using the first option. With this option, although the quantum of funding has significantly reduced, the share of resources under the proposed mechanism is, for each teaching Board, within 2% points of the ACT shares. Options for direct cost compensation are currently under further development by Analytical Services Division, Scottish Executive Health Department. 43 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD 7.2 Estimating overall cost differences and indirect costs The most innovative feature of this project has been the separation of costs associated with teaching into direct and indirect components – a division that might be carried into procedures for resource allocation. This approach differs from the most obvious comparison case, the SIFT (Service Increment for Teaching) mechanism for allocating funds for undergraduate medical placements to English teaching hospitals. The derivation of SIFT concentrated on the overall cost differences between teaching and other hospitals and analysed these differences by specialty. In so doing, it found great variability in the case costs of specialties at teaching hospitals and there have been criticisms in the way that these diverse costs were “averaged” in the development of a funding mechanism. A similar approach was explored by this project, using specialty case costs for both Scottish and English hospitals. We found that the average differences in specialty case costs (after adjusting for case-mix) between teaching and non-teaching hospitals in England, when applied to Scottish teaching hospitals, predicted an overall cost of teaching that is similar to present levels of ACT minus estimated direct costs. This result supports the assumption that Scottish and English teaching hospitals have a similar cost base because the English cost differences are based on figures that should already exclude most direct teaching costs. Building on these results, the specialty level analyses were applied directly to the Scottish hospital cost data, albeit with the English HRG costs used to control for casemix. The recurring difficulties with such work, as has been noted by commentators on SIFT, is the high variability in specialty level data, the small number of teaching hospitals available for analysis and the absence of comparable data for those specialties that tend to be concentrated in teaching hospitals. Despite these difficulties, a few regression analyses were applied to the various components of specialty costs presented in the Scottish hospital data. However, the problems of high unexplained variability and small numbers of cases led to this line of investigation being abandoned. Subsequently, ASD has taken the lead in analysing overall cost differences at the hospital level, leading to the results presented in Section 5 of this report. Parallel analyses of the Scottish hospital costs, conducted by MSA-Ferndale, have produced very similar results. Moreover, further analyses of the English cost data have identified close parallels to the Scottish results, notably very similar economy of scale effects to those found for the non-teaching hospitals in Scotland. The shift in the level and methods of analyses was accompanied by something of a shift in objectives. These became: firstly, to establish the overall difference in cost between the two groups of hospitals; secondly, to remove identifiable elements such as direct costs and research income from these differences and, thirdly, to explore the causes of the differences between the MTHs. 44 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Results relating to the first of these objectives have been reported in Section 5 of this report. The main findings are that: ♦ Overall, major teaching hospitals are shown to have costs that are greater than would be expected for hospitals of a similar size. Across the 8 MTHs, this is estimated to be around £124.8 million. ♦ Complexity of case-mix accounts for around £34 million of the additional costs. Adjusting for this results in an estimated additional cost of teaching hospitals at £90.4m. These additional costs of £90M include components that can be separately estimated, such as the direct costs of teaching and some forms of research funding. A separate paper will be presented to the ACT Sub-Group by ASD discussing the implications of subtracting the costs of these components from the £90M and approaches to explaining the remaining additional cost. In relation to resource allocation, the outstanding problems are how to fund these additional costs and whether it is possible to develop any sort of formula for hospital level allocations. Several mechanisms have been suggested for using the results from the direct costs model as the basis for allocating resources to cover direct costs (see above and Section 4.5). Although these differ in detail, their common feature is that cost estimates will be more or less proportional to numbers and lengths of placements. The relation between indirect costs and teaching load is far less clear. On the one hand, it can be argued that these costs relate to infrastructure, services and other activities that are relatively independent of student numbers. On the other hand, there is some evidence that additional (indirect) costs are correlated with the numbers of student placements amongst the 8 MTHs as well as in the other Scottish hospitals that host student placements. The relationship is statistically significant, but is not sufficiently robust to use as the sole, or possibly even a major, basis for resource allocation. ASD have been examining other factors that might explain the cost differences between the 8MTHs, but many of these are more obviously related to the type and quality of care than the needs of undergraduate teaching. Whether it is more appropriate to fund them via mechanisms other than ACT is one of the issues raised in the separate ASD paper to the Group. 45 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD References Anderson. (1987) Teaching hospitals in the USA: institutions under stress. Financial Accountability and Management 1987:3 117-128 Australian Universities Commission AUC (1965). Second Report of the Committee on teaching Costs of Medical Hospitals. Bevan G (1999) The medical service increment for SIFT: a £400 anachronism for the English NHS? BMJ 1999:319:90811 (Oct 2nd) Bevan G (1987) SIFT - an exposition and critique Financial Accountability and Management 1987:3 147-160 Bevan G and Rutter (1987) Organisation and functions of teaching hospitals in different countries. 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An alternative approach to regression aprroaches Medical Care 1995; 33:531-47 NHS Executive (1995) Health Service Guidelines HSG(95)59 Service Increment for Teaching: Operational Guidance NHS Executive (1995) Health Service Guidelines HSG(95)60 Guidance to NHS Trusts on Costing for SIFT Contracts Palmer G Aisbett C Fetter R et al (1991) Estimates of costs by DRG in Sydney teaching hospitals: an application of the Yale cost model. Australian Health Review 14(2) 127-136 Perrin (1987) Financial Accountability and Management 1987:3 209-230 Perrin and Magee (1982) The Cost, Joint Products and Funding of English Teaching Hospitals WPIBA No8 CRIBA Univ of Warwick Schroeder S.A. O’Leary D.S. (1977) Differences in laboratory use and length of stay between university and community hospitals. Jou Medical Education 52.5 May 418-420 Sloan, F., Feldnam,R. Steinwald,A. (1983) Effects of Teaching on Hospital Cost. 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Management in Medicine 1991 5 617 Sheldon TA (1999) letter to BMJ Snijders EHM Sol JCA Schepers J Stevens FCJ Groot LMJ (1987) The Allocation of Costs of University Hospitals: an overview of the methods used in the NEtherlands Financial Accountability and Management 1987:3 Thorpe K (1988) The Use of Regression Analysis to Determine Hospitals Payment: the case of Medicare’s indirect teaching adjustment. Inquiry 1988; 25: 219-31 Wagstaff A and Lopez-Casasnovas (1996) Hospital costs in Catalonia: a stochastic frontier analysis Applied economic Letters 3:471-4 Weinberg E. O'Sullivan P. Boll AG. Nelson TR (1994) The cost of third-year clerkships at large non-university teaching hospitals. JAMA 272(9):669-73 Welsch W (1987) Do all teaching hospitals deserve an add-on payment under the prospective payment system? Inquiry 1987 24: 221-32 Zuckerman S Hadley J and Iezzoni L (1994) Measuring hospital efficiency with frontier cost functions Jou Health Economics 13:255-80 Zuidema GD. (1980) 'Problem of Cost Containment in Teaching Hospitals - John Hopkins Experience' Surgery, 1980, Volume 1, pp41-45. 49 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Annex 1 (a) Hospitals used in study MTHs Aberdeen Royal Infirmary Edinburgh Royal Infirmary Glasgow Royal Infirmary Ninewells Raigmore Southern General Western/Gartnavel Western General, Edinburgh DGHs Borders General Crosshouse Hospital D & G Royal Infirmary Dr Grays, Elgin Falkirk Royal Infirmary Hairmyres, East Kilbride Inverclyde Royal Hospital Monklands Perth Royal Infirmary Queen Margaret Hospital Royal Alexandra Hospital St John’s Stirling Royal Infirmary Stobhill The Ayr Hospital Victoria Infirmary Victoria Kirkcaldy Wishaw 50 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD (b) Specialties used in study A&E Coronary Care Unit Dermatology Ear, Nose & Throat General Surgery Geriatric Assessment Gynaecology Haematology Medical Medical Paediatrics Nephrology Obstetrics Specialist Ophthalmology Oral Surgery & Medicine Orthopaedics Pain Relief Plastic Surgery & Burns Rehabilitation Medicine Respiratory Medicine Rheumatology Special Care Baby Unit Urology (c) Specialties excluded from study (i) Those specialties which are performed in Major Teaching Hospitals, but in very few/no DGHs. These are cardiothoracic surgery, communicable diseases, neurosurgery, surgical paediatrics and spinal paralysis. (ii) Those specialties which are carried out in District General Hospitals, but not in MTHs. These are acute other and general practice. (iii) Those specialties which have significant numbers of outpatients, but a very limited number of inpatients. These are radiotherapy, neurology and dental. 51 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Annex 2 Costs are analysed between Direct Costs and Allocated Costs with, in some cases, a sub-analysis of Direct Costs. Details of the contents of each are shown below. Medical and Dental Medical and Dental staff Nursing Nursing staff Pharmacy Pharmacy staff and direct supplies, i.e. drugs, dressings, instruments and sundries, TSSU and CSSD. PAM PAM staff directly involved in patient care and direct supplies, i.e. radiography, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, industrial therapy, chiropody and any other P & T departments, paramedical equipment purchase, rental and repair. Other Direct Care appliances, rental and repair. Other direct care staff and supplies, i.e. surgical medical/surgical equipment purchase, Theatre Theatre staff and theatre supplies Laboratories account staff and supplies and costs, heat, light and Laboratory costs are likely to emanate from a trading which will include the costs of direct allocated costs such as premises depreciation. Allocated costs All other costs not included as direct costs, i.e. Administration Nurse teaching Catering – patients and staff Bedding and Linen Patients Clothing Uniforms Laundry Portering Residences Waste Disposal Transport and Travel Property maintenance Cleaning Heating Rent and Rates 52 Research on the Additional Costs of undergraduate medical Teaching in NHSScotland A Joint Report for the Standing Committee of Resource Allocation in NHSScotland by Secta Consulting & Analytical Services Division, SEHD Furniture and other equipment purchase, rental and repairs Depreciation Notional interest Miscellaneous 53