IAEA-CN-184/266 Enhancing and Optimizing Safeguards Implementation by Remote Safeguards Inspections J. Araujo, C. Charlier, D. Hatt, A. Lebrun, N. Muroya, P. Rance, I. Tsvetkov, R. Zarucki and M. Zendel International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria Abstract Remote safeguards inspections (RSIs) is one of the most important measures for the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to transform its field activities to be more selective and optimized/focused, while strengthening IAEA‟s analytical capacity, in transitioning to Information Driven Safeguards (IDS). RSIs employ inspection activities with limited physical presence of an IAEA inspector in the field utilizing unattended data collection systems for containment and surveillance (C/S), Non-Destructive Assay (NDA) instruments, operator plant key process parameters and making full use of State and Regional Systems of Accounting for and Control of nuclear material (S/RSAC). Enhanced cooperation between all parties while maintaining independent conclusions by the IAEA is vital for the successful safeguards implementation of RSIs. The level of cooperation and willingness of a State to implement RSI measures requested and properly justified by the IAEA will demonstrate its commitment to full transparency in its nuclear activities. The RSI approach does not target to eliminate the need for on-site inspections but rather to reduce the frequency of routine on-site inspections beyond present levels. RSIs will shift IAEA inspector resources from routine activities to non routine activities (e.g. complementary access (CA) activities, unannounced inspections, validation or authentication of operator‟s data, other activities in order to increase the assurance of the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities, and activities related to resolution of the specific safeguards concerns). The IAEA is actively investigating means to combine data provided by IAEA remotely operated instrumentation complemented by operator process data parameters with data and information reported from activities assigned to S/RSAC. The data collected from facilities, including operator‟s process parameter data/declarations, is transmitted via secure remote transmission technologies to remote centres (IAEA Headquarters in Vienna or IAEA Regional field offices), where all data is evaluated by inspectors supported by dedicated computer software programme who are able to draw safeguards conclusions and to provide feedback to the field (including instructions for follow-up action, if necessary). RSI will mainly be implemented in a State with an Additional Protocol (AP) in force and for which broader conclusion has been drawn and maintained as well as in cooperation with S/RSAC which met and has demonstrated the desired level of efficiency and effectiveness in their safeguards cooperation with the IAEA. Such desired level of cooperation for the S/RSAC would need to be evaluated against criteria on a regular basis in order to ensure that the desired level of effectiveness and efficiency of the S/RSAC is maintained. The paper describes field trials to assess practical implementation issues and cost benefits at various nuclear fuel cycle facilities such as a fuel fabrication plant, an on-load reactor and a plutonium storage. The respective facilities were selected in view of S/RSAC technical capabilities, availability of installed, remotely operated safeguards systems, process monitoring features and the level of expected savings. Preliminary results are presented together with considerations regarding the feasibility and practicality of deploying RSI as part of a State Level Integrated Safeguards Approach. Future R&D of equipment which might further enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of safeguards activities using RSI will be discussed. Introduction Globalisation and growing scale of available information, e.g. via Internet, has opened the path for the IAEA towards information driven safeguards (IDS). IDS applies enhanced analysis of all information available to the IAEA together with physical verification using upto-date equipment and methodologies, complemented with, to ensure that States have fully complied with their non-proliferation undertakings. It is designed to provide an uncompromised level of assurance of non diversion of declared nuclear material and the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in a State. Future safeguards challenges include to cope with the renewed interest in nuclear power production (“nuclear renaissance”) that will increase the number of facilities and nuclear material under safeguards worldwide and hence result in a need for additional resources for the IAEA. The IAEA is constantly looking for means to improve its efficiency and effectiveness to sustain its safeguards regime and need to balance its efforts to monitor “the known” and “search for the unknown”. The proposed concept of RSIs aims to join and extend existing remote monitoring applications with new opportunities for enhanced cooperation into coherent and optimized SG approaches. In a changing environment of nuclear renaissance, it is necessary for operators and S/RSAC to gain and maintain the confidence of the public. The public must be assured that nuclear power generation is safe and does not increase the risk of misuse of nuclear material for nuclear weapons. Therefore it should be in the utmost interest of S/RSAC and operators to receive a “clean” record from the IAEA regarding the peaceful use of nuclear materials and activities under their control. Multinational companies have already expressed their willingness to support the IAEA in safeguards implementation beyond legal obligations. Information Driven Safeguards and Remote Safeguards Inspections Information driven safeguards (IDS) has been identified as an approach to adapt the IAEA‟s safeguards verification activities to the changing environment. Inspection results in an IDS approach are being evaluated within the context of all other available information (e.g. open source, satellite imagery, complementary access activities etc.). Integrated Safeguards (IS) is a specific case of IDS whereby the IAEA has drawn and maintained a “broader conclusion” regarding the completeness and correctness of a State‟s peaceful nuclear programme. Under IS, on-site inspection effort is significantly reduced by applying a State-Level Approach (SLA) for facilities and LOFs within the State where nuclear fuel cycle is well developed. The SLA varies based on State-specific factors. The IS-SLA uses an extended timeliness goal for spent fuel verification from the present three-month to a twelve-month interval, a reduced random sample sizes for nuclear material verification and a coarser defect testing level. Thereby the inspection frequency is lowered with optimized on-site verification activities. Further savings for the IAEA are still needed to compensate expected additional inspection burden caused by the nuclear renaissance and other new safeguards commitments, e.g. SG implementation in India and possible involvement in nuclear disarmament activities. The concept of RSI is a promising path to further optimize and join future safeguards efforts while maintaining credible safeguards implementation. The RSI concept builds on current remote monitoring techniques and seeks to automate inspection activities to the extent feasible. Enhanced cooperation with S/RSACs and operators is the other important element in the RSI concept, whereby State inspectors and/or facility operators may carry out IAEA prescribed activities, e.g. operating attended and unattended inspection systems with remote and secure IAEA oversight. The level of cooperation and technical competence of the S/RSAC and operators will be crucial to the successful implementation of RSIs. The RSI safeguards approach (see Fig. 1) is based on inspection activities with reduced physical presence of IAEA inspectors in the field involving remote transmission of authenticated data/information from IAEA equipment system, the cooperation of the operator/SSAC/RSAC and the monitoring of process parameters & operator measurement systems remotely to the IAEA Headquarters or a Regional Office for safeguards evaluation. The RSI Safeguards Approach will be implemented at specific facilities and thus would automatically become part of a State-Level Approach. Any development effort for a RSI facility level safeguards approach should be consistent with the broader objectives of the State-level approach for the State in question. Fig. 1: RSI approach RSIs will be complemented by unannounced supporting. Such on-site supporting inspections will be guided by knowledge obtained from the collaborative analysis of all available information. They will add an appropriate level of unpredictability to the applied safeguards measures and could be used to independently verify S/RSAC/operator RSI activities as prescribed by the IAEA, to authenticate the RM systems, to detect any tampering of IAEA equipment systems and to resolve anomalies resulting from safeguards activities. In addition, activities required by the IAEA's State-level approach which cannot be covered by the transmission of data, e.g. follow-up actions at the site, re-verification of inventories, examination of containment, could be carried out as well during a supporting inspection. The continuous data collection mode provides a comprehensive record of activities which could justify a lower number of inspections compared to the number foreseen in current safeguards approaches. Complementary access activities and design information verification as part of the SLA could be performed in conjunction with the supporting inspection or carried out as a stand alone activity. The Safeguards Environment for RSI Safeguards data under RSI approach may originate from IAEA unattended monitoring and measurement systems (surveillance systems, seals, NDA instruments, sensors and radiation monitors), or from operator monitoring of plant /process parameters as well as S/RSAC measurement systems authentication measures. The IAEA is constantly expanding its remote monitoring capabilities and has accumulated excellent experience in using unattended monitoring systems (UMS) operated in remote monitoring mode. Such systems are operating in various facilities worldwide (such as reprocessing plants, power and research reactors and plutonium fabrication plants). In addition, the Agency also has experience in electronically receiving and reviewing State and operator books and records, and in selectively monitoring operators performing Agency functions such as application or removal of electronic seals. The acquired data, including results of S/RSAC/operator activities prescribed by the IAEA, is transmitted using secure remote transmission technologies to HQs (in Vienna or in Regional offices) for further analysis for the purpose of deriving safeguards conclusions and providing feedback to the field or instructions for follow-up action, where necessary. Remote inspection activities are especially important for facilities where processes are highly automated and access to nuclear material is virtually impossible. The time an inspector can stay in spent fuel handling areas is limited due to the high neutron and gamma radiation fields. RSIs could overcome these limitations and automate a large part of the routine verification effort in the field currently spent by inspectors. On-site inspections and visits by inspectors will remain essential, but their contribution to an overall safeguards approach can be optimized through the use of RSIs. The IAEA spends worldwide ~8000 person days of inspection (PDIs) effort per year which includes considerable savings by implementing remote monitoring and selected approaches based on randomized unannounced inspections such as to verify spent fuel transfer from an on-load reactor (OLR) to dry storage facilities. Further potential in savings could be mainly realized in bulk handling facilities (reprocessing, conversion, fuel fabrication and enrichment), on load reactors and LWR reactors with MOX fuel loading. The inspection effort for on-load reactors (mainly Candu) requires about five times the inspection effort of an off-load reactor. The number of LWRs with MOX fuel loading is steadily increasing and a typical inspection effort of ~ 200 PDIs is used per reactor as compared to about 10 PDIs for a „normal‟ LWR. Future reductions in inspection effort by RSI could be used to cope with an expected increase in nuclear power generation activities and safeguarded materials arising from the forecast „nuclear renaissance‟, the anticipated increase in safeguards verification activities in India as well as in some nuclear weapon States. A proportional increase in budgetary resources is unlikely to happen and a shift of routine activities in the field towards remote inspection activities could free up in-field inspectors for the increased inspection burden and the complex information evaluation process. Limitations of RSI based on experience to date with IAEA installed systems include security concerns of operators and State authorities. Goals of RSI The goals and objectives of RSI are maintaining credible safeguards implementation by optimizing IAEA inspection effort reducing the resources involved in on site verification of declared nuclear material and redirecting of routine inspection effort towards information driven safeguards activities. Such IDS activities could be assessing on-going activities at the facility, spending more time for context driven data evaluation (e.g. State evaluation reports) and design information verifications. Specific detailed goals include minimizing routine inspection activities to be carried out in the field, transferring routine inspection work in the field to Headquarters, making better use of inspector‟s time for activities such as to detect undeclared nuclear material and activities, delivering more timely safeguards data with decreased travel requirements for IAEA inspectors, providing quick feedback/instructions for follow-up action to the field inspectors, and minimizing DA sample loads by RM operated NDA. The distribution of “routine inspection work” to HQ/Field offices/experts aims to reduce the number of on-site inspectors otherwise necessary to perform the in field data evaluation and to gain more flexibility in the applied inspection effort. Speedy evaluation by an expert group at HQ or field offices enables the inspectorate to perform better follow-up and post analysis which could lead to a quicker feedback providing corresponding instructions for follow-up action, where necessary, to the field inspectors. The application of enhanced RM systems as part of the RSI scheme will strengthen the IAEA‟s virtual presence in the field, and provide stronger deterrence towards possible proliferators. Applying RSI activities in a coherent manner at facilities in a State could become part of a State-level approach. RSI Requirements A key condition for the IAEA to apply RSIs is a functioning infrastructure to allow secure remote transmission of data and remote access to RM systems for modification and maintenance. It is of utmost importance that the operator transmits his nuclear material declarations in a timely manner, meeting highest IAEA quality and security standards. Verification and monitoring data generated during RSIs need to satisfy IAEA‟s requirements regarding authenticity, completeness and correctness. Authenticity of data is a pre-requisite to ensure a valid interpretation of the collected data. Completeness, meaning no gaps in the data, provides assurance that all items are monitored while correctness of data is necessary for qualification and quantification of the verified and monitored nuclear items. However, an appropriate level of unpredictability by unannounced supporting inspections can validate “unauthenticated” continuously provided data. It is also essential for the IAEA to be able to draw its independent conclusions from the RSIs, meaning that a “quality control” on the information provided by the S/RASC and the operator should be established in order to validate their information. The full implementation of RSIs will require negotiating an agreement between IAEA and S/RSAC authority to define all operational conditions of the RSI approach. This includes the technical agreement with the operators to implement the RSI measures. The technical agreement would also address security concerns of operators and S/RSAC towards the remote transmission of process data beyond obligatory NMA declarations. Making use of operator or S/RSAC resources for IAEA inspection purposes will require a careful judgement to ensure that the IAEA retains its obligation to independently verify State declarations; however, State or operator provided information can be used to assist the IAEA in improving the effectiveness and efficiency of its inspections. A cost-benefit analysis on a case by case basis, considering all boundary conditions, State specific factors, capital costs and human resource requirements for implementation and maintenance, is needed before an optimized safeguards approach based on RSIs can be applied. Equipment for Remote Safeguards Inspections Unattended monitoring systems are the backbone of RSI and a variety of unattended monitoring systems have been developed and installed at numerous facilities worldwide in order to verify nuclear material flows and inventories, and to maintain continuity of knowledge (CoK) of nuclear material and activities. Instrumentation used for RSIs must be highly reliable and robust to minimize equipment system failures and technical visits by IAEA technicians. The equipment should not require extensive user training and must be compatible with other SG instrumentation providing common data formats for the subsequent evaluation. In order to minimize expensive equipment logistics such as maintenance and installations, a high level of standardization and modularity is needed. A full set of requirements is specified by IAEA technical experts to enable IAEA independent verification and monitoring capabilities. Equipment developers need to be fully aware of such requirements when providing for RSI instrumentation equipment intended for joint use by IAEA, S/RSAC and operators. RM data transmission can be either in real time or upon demand. Most of the systems are connected via the internet using secure VPN tunnels and the transmission of large quantities of data can be performed at very low cost. The Headquarters network has a security system with predetermined access rights so that individuals could see and retrieve only the information for which they had a clearance and a need to know basis. RM data transmission provides the capability of assessing the operational status of verification instrumentation and, in many cases, malfunctions can be repaired remotely without the need for technicians to visit a facility. A well planned preventive maintenance regime should be setup which could also involve equipment maintained by Operator or S/RSAC, if proper authentication is possible. This is technically feasible as demonstrated using the next generation of surveillance systems (XCAM) which has a secure modular design, whereby security sensitive modules are intrinsically tamper indicating. This allows handling of the modules for installation, service and preventive maintenance by third parties without the need for the physical presence of IAEA inspectors. The role of S/RSAC and Facility Operators under RSI approach Article 7 of the comprehensive safeguards agreement (CSA) stipulates that the IAEA, in its verification activities, shall take due account of the technical effectiveness of the State‟s system avoiding duplication of inspection efforts. Key issue is the independence of the IAEA in deriving its safeguards conclusions. The IAEA has put into practice this article by enhanced cooperation approaches between IAEA and S/RSAC, e.g. new partnership or joint use inspection arrangements. An effective, technically competent and independent S/RSAC is a valuable partner during joint inspections. In one case, the IAEA inspectorate decides on an unannounced, short notice and unpredictable basis to forego its participation in any single joint inspection. The respective S/RSAC inspectors carry out the inspection in accordance with defined procedures and provide their inspection data to the IAEA shortly after the inspection. Another option allows reducing the number of IAEA inspectors in a joint team, whereby the S/RSAC inspectors do most of the routine activities while the IAEA inspector(s) perform quality control (QC) checks on the work performed by S/RSAC inspectors. Such QC checks could involve re-measurement of randomly selected items in presence of the IAEA inspector to validate the result of the verified population. The RSI concept aims to increase such enhanced cooperation beyond present levels whereby the S/RSAC would provide its own inspection resources to carry out activities under the direction of the IAEA inspectorate. The national/regional inspectorate could be requested to act in a way prescribed by the IAEA, and observed via remote communication means while carrying out actual measurements on the IAEA‟s behalf. Additional devices could ensure authentication of the verification activity (e.g. time and location stamping). An S/RSAC could also initiate the remote transmission of inspection data collected from unattended systems upon IAEA demand, or could simply collect verification data from an unattended system and provide it to the IAEA inspectorate. Appropriate system configuration and other measures should ensure that the data is transmitted without compromising data authenticity and data sharing protocols. A process to evaluate and maintain the assurance of the efficiency and effectiveness of the S/RASC should be established with in the IAEA. Facility operators could also perform selected activities for RSIs, for instance, attaching electronic seals on nuclear material containers under surveillance (such as reactor vessels, spent fuel casks or UF6 cylinders). The attached seals including their routing of cables or wires would be subject to verification by an IAEA inspector at a later stage or location. The operator could initiate data transfers from a measurement system, provided that the system is appropriately configured to ensure that data is transmitted without compromising data authenticity and data sharing protocols. Trouble shouting and selected maintenance activities could be also attributed to the operator. Facility Operators could facilitate book audit activities providing declarations on nuclear materials and activities using mailbox systems. Face to face communication to discuss possible discrepancies with the facility operator could be readily established where necessary using video conferencing services. Video conferencing with S/RSAC inspector and operator at the end of an inspection could be an additional element to confirm that the inspection took place as scheduled and that all activities have been carried out according to agreed procedure. As part of the RSI, some key process parameters will also be transmitted directly to the IAEA HQ or a regional office. The signals could be taken from the operator plant/process monitoring system and selected in such a way that it will make it difficult for the operator to tamper with all the signals in order to cover a miss use of the facility or an attempt to divert nuclear material. In such a case, this information taken from the operator process equipment does not need to be authenticated. The technical capability, level of support and independence of S/RSAC are important parameters to assess the value for the IAEA of such S/RSAC provided assistance. Reduced IAEA in-field inspections activities would minimize the intrusiveness for facility operators requiring less frequent escorts and less operational interference. More importantly, RSI provides the opportunity for the S/RSAC and operators to demonstrate an exemplary level of collaboration and good will in Safeguards implementation to dissipate public concerns on misuse of nuclear material for nuclear weapons associated with the expansion of nuclear activities for power generation. Field Trials To further the concept of RSI, field trials at various facilities (MOX fuel fabrication plant, CANDU reactor, and Pu storage facility) have been recently initiated. The field trials should investigate feasibility and practicality of deploying RSI and their outcome could be used to develop a coherent model for RSI implementation. The RSI field trials are important to determine and test ways to improve the interaction between existing SG measures. Activities under the field trials should extend IAEA experience for enhanced cooperation and should identify feasible safeguards activities by third parties in support of IAEA safeguards implementation. Although, there are already established policies (e.g., Policy Paper 16 on Remote Monitoring and Policy Paper 20 on Joint Use of Equipment), the preparations for the field trials could identify where policy may need to be revised and the proposed changes could be tested using the field trials. The facilities were selected considering installed operational RM systems, potential of savings and level of expected collaboration with S/RSAC and operators. At each selected facility activities were identified currently used to verify the State/Regional Authority‟s declarations by unattended or remotely monitored systems including enhanced cooperation activities. All data that are presently gathered or could be collected in future were documented. Additional activities supported by S/RSAC/operator that IAEA could use, when properly validated/authenticated, to support drawing an independent safeguards conclusion, were considered. This included identifying conditions (unannounced access or equivalent), methods (e.g. use of sealed IAEA standards, additional equipment, comparison of results with those obtained from IAEA instruments, etc.) and requirements necessary for validation/authentication of data obtained from S/RSAC/operator. The acceptability to the operator/State was judged, e.g. for the transmittal of the electronic data and information to the IAEA Headquarters. The field trial will include mock-up support inspections to test the validity of conditions, methods and requirements for validation/authentication of data obtained from S/RSAC/ operator. A cost benefit analysis considering savings versus equipment acquisition and installation costs (including amortized replacement cost) will be prepared to judge whether the tested RSI approach can be applied reasonably. Based on the experience gained in the field trials, the RSI concept could be possibly extended beyond tested measures and future R&D needs could be identified which further enhance efficiency and effectiveness of the RSI approach. Future Considerations The IAEA envisions that inspectors in the future are able to make better use of their time in the field with the assistance of technology that would provide them with improved data gathering and enhanced analysis tools and that would connect them in near real-time with IAEA managers, safeguards experts, and IAEA databases. RSIs will play an increasingly important and versatile role to meet this vision. The following considerations are possible areas to expand and enhance future RSI activities: New measurement technologies will be incorporated into unattended systems to perform real-time process monitoring at declared facilities with very high reliability. Backpack detection systems combining spatial information with neutron and gamma detectors will be available that can communicate remotely with a data centre via wireless LAN. Such systems, encapsulated in tamper indicating enclosures will be used by S/RSAC inspectors in combination with live video recording to provide authentic attribute type measurements of nuclear material. Advanced containment and surveillance equipment will improve options for RSIs. Standardized and integrated platforms for NDA and C/S data collection will be designed to produce ‘intelligent’ safeguards data and to allow installation, service and preventive maintenance by third parties without the presence of IAEA personnel. Radio frequency identification tags (RFID) for identification and tracking of items are widely used in industry and could potentially be used for RSIs, provided that all associated safeguards vulnerabilities are mitigated. New NFC facilities that are planned to be built will be designed to facilitate Safeguards implementation (“Safeguards by Design”) and will have a large fraction of safeguards equipment integrated into the facility process for joint-use in remote mode. Enhanced information technology (IT) capabilities will further automate review/evaluation of remotely acquired data. Data acquisition, evaluation and archiving will be seamlessly managed and will form a global information system for the inspector in the field and at headquarters. Expert systems with smart evaluation algorithms including object and pattern recognition for safeguards relevant items and activities will facilitate the interpretation of safeguards monitoring activities by comparing all relevant signal sequences and will alert the inspectorate in the case of deviations, which then will investigate the flagged events. The opportunities for satellite imagery applications will be enlarged by satellite based remote sensing, e.g. different spectral ranges and radiation profiles. A remote network with various, multiple sensors will produce a verification/monitoring matrix for various processes which will be more difficult to defeat than stand-alone systems. Robotics will be advanced to develop a mobile inspection robot to carry out simple verification tasks (radiation, seals, weighing) measuring receipts of inputs and outputs or to keep continuity of knowledge (CoK) replacing “human surveillance” during transfers of nuclear material. Mobile robots could enter hazardous environments (high radiation, chemical contamination, high electric fields, high winds on roofs, etc.) where humans cannot go. Conclusions Remote safeguards inspections will become an increasingly important element of information driven safeguards. This approach requires the expanded deployment of UMS and surveillance systems for the remote collection and transmission of verification data. S/RSAC and facility operators could significantly contribute to the implementation of RSIs by enhanced cooperation whereby the existing security concerns of operators and State authorities regarding the use of remote monitoring need to be addressed in order to fully exploit the great potential of remote safeguards inspections. The evaluation of safeguards from RSI requires powerful IT tools for data evaluation to cope with the increased amount of data generated there from and to translate the savings of on-site inspections into real savings. The resulting savings in inspection effort could partly compensate safeguards inspection efforts arising from an expected increase in nuclear materials and activities from the forecast „nuclear renaissance‟, additional safeguards obligations and from a shift towards information evaluation. The RSI concept suggests a change in attitude from a passive tolerance of SG implementation by most S/RSAC and operators towards an active and enhanced support role, joining efforts with the IAEA to run a powerful safeguards regime to promote the peaceful use of nuclear energy.