Geological Society of America Reviews in Engineering Geology, Volume VII 1987 Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event in the southern Appalachian Mountains D. G. Neary Southeastern Forest Experiment Station School of Forest Resources and Conservation University of Florida Gainesville, Florida 32611 L. W. Swift, Jr. Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory Otto, North Carolina 28763 ABSTRACT In early November 1977, a storm system that formed in the Gulf of Mexico moved northeastward into the Appalachian Mountains. It produced intense (as much as 102 mm/hr) and heavy (200-300 mm) rainfall that set off debris avalanching in steep terrain of the Pisgah National Forest, North Carolina. Antecedent rainfall during September and October was 177 percent of normal and the wettest on record for these 2 months. The storm began on 2 November, and rainfall was relatively continuous and even (20-50 mm/day) for the next 3 days. The long-duration rainfall was capped by intense convective downpours the night of 5-6 November when debris avalanching occurred. Peak intensities measured at 15 gauges near Asheville, North Carolina, ranged from 21 to 102 mm/hr, with nearly half exceeding 75 mm/hr. Return intervals for peak intensity rainfall in the range of 75 to 102 mm/hr are 50 to 200+ yr. Total storm rainfall for these gauges ranged from 35 to 250 mm, with peak 24-hr rainfalls of 30 to 180 mm. Rainfall intensities for 1-, 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hr periods at a gauge near one avalanching site were 69,137,159,164, and 180 mm, respectively. Development of the storm was monitored by GOES infrared satellite imagery in real time, and flash flood warnings were issued. Debris avalanching and high stormflow produced peak stream flows with return periods ranging from 20 to 100+ yr. The largest debris avalanches occurred on steep slopes (70% +), started at high elevations (900-1,100 m) in shallow residual soils (less than 1 m deep), had tracks commonly greater than 700 m, and carried a volume of material averaging 2,500 m3 per avalanche. INTRODUCTION A number of recent studies have improved understanding of Campbell, 1975; Hollingsworth and Kovacs, 1981; Istok and the climatic and geomorphic processes that trigger debris ava- Harward, 1983). Failures usually begin with sufficient rainfall to lanches. These studies have investigated the physical properties of bring the entire soil mantle to field capacity. Then rainfall with an failed slopes, the effects of slope angle and pore water pressure, intensity exceeding percolation and interflow rates saturates the the mechanism of debris avalanche movement, and the properties soil above some slowly permeable stratum. As the piezometric of the resulting deposits (Fisher, 1971; Hutchinson and Bhandari, head in this stratum increases, the frictional component of the 1971; Scott, 1972; Williams and Guy, 1973; Swanston, 1974; shear forces holding the soil on-slope decreases. This, combined 81 82 Neary and Swift with decreased cohesion due to water displacing air in soil interstices, reduces the shear resistance force enough to produce slope failure. Conditions that aggravate this process include a thin soil mantle, steep slopes, concentrated drainage, shallow-rooted vegetation, and high clay content in the soil mantle. Prior and current land use, such as roads, logging, farming, and construction, can aggravate slope instability (Megahan and Kidd, 1972; Greswell and others, 1979; Swanston, 1979; Swanson and others, 1981). Eschner and Patric (1982), in their report on known cases of debris avalanching in forested regions of the eastern United States, noted some common characteristics of these slope failures. Within forests of this region, debris avalanches occur irrespective of vegetative cover. In contrast, logging aggravates slope failures in Pacific coast mountains (O'Loughlin, 1974; Swanson and others, 1981). Scott (1972) mentioned clear-cutting in his study of 1,700 debris avalanches in the Appalachian Mountains, but did not report evidence that clear-cutting was a major factor contributing to eastern debris avalanching. The storm events triggering debris avalanching in the East appear to have a threshold of 125 mm in 24 hr and occur from May through November (Fig. 1; after Eschner and Patric, 1982). These are the months when high-intensity, convection, and cyclonic storms are most abundant in the East. Eschner and Patric (1982) estimated a general return period of 100 yr for storms producing debris avalanching. However, few studies of historic debris avalanching episodes in the eastern United States have had sufficient data to analyze in detail the rainfall conditions that trigger slope failure. We have elaborated a November 1977 debris avalanching event in western North Carolina, also reported by Eschner and Patric (1982). Some of the information on this event, particularly the characteristics of the storm that triggered the slope failures, is among the most complete for an event of this type. This chapter describes the antecedent moisture conditions, storm development, and rainfall intensities and amounts that contributed to the most recent episode'of slope failure in the southern Appalachian Mountains. CLIMATOLOGICAL BACKGROUND The southern Appalachian region has one of the highest annual rainfalls east of the Cascade Mountains of Oregon and Washington. This wet climate and its effects on the hydrology of forest watersheds has been studied for 50 yr at the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service's Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory (Swift and others, 1987). Mean annual rainfall of the southern Appalachian Mountains ranges from 1,000 to 2,700 mm, but can reach 3,800 mm in wet years. Snowfall usually accounts for less than 5 percent of total precipitation. The characteristics of the November 1977 storm contrast markedly with typical duration, size, and intensity characteristics for the southern Appalachian storms. In general, the majority of storms in this region last less than 6 hr, and only 5 percent exceed 24 hr (Fig. 2a). Thus, the storm described here is unique in that its Highly probable 250 375 500 625 750 Rainfall in mm/day A' Storms approaching threshold B> Most likely to start debris flows C« Very rare storms (After Eschner and Patric, 1982) Figure 1. Risk of debris avalanching in southern Appalachian Mountains: A indicates storms approaching threshold of 125 mm/day; B indicates storms most likely to start debris avalanches and flows with rainfall of 125 to 250 mm/day; C indicates very rare storms, definitely producing debris avalanches, with rainfall of more than 250 mm/day (after Eschner and Patric, 1982). duration was 96 to 120 hr. Of the 133 storms that, on the average, occur yearly in the southern Appalachians, only 6 percent exceed 50 mm (Fig. 2b), although they account for 34 percent of the annual precipitation (Fig. 2c). Most of the storm periods have low-intensity rainfall because rates surpass 10 mm/hr only 4 percent of the time (Fig. 2d). Rain in excess of 10 mm/hr produces 31 percent of the average total annual precipitation, whereas only 5 percent of the precipitation comes from rainfall greater than 50 mm/hr. The storm of November 1977 had peak intensities double the latter rate. Antecedent conditions prior to the 1977 debris avalanche storm were conducive to slope failure conditions. Rainfall in western North Carolina during September and October was 177 percent of normal. Including November, this was the wettest fall period on record (Tennessee Valley Authority, 1977). Debris avalanches were triggered by one intense storm that comprised 70 to 80 percent of November 1977 precipitation on soils that had two previous months of record-high moisture inputs. METEOROLOGICAL SITUATION The storm of 3-7 November 1977 was produced by a lowpressure system that pulled moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. Precipitation accompanied a slow-moving cold front on 2-3 November. A low-pressure center reformed on 4 November over the Florida Gulf Coast along the then-stationary cold front. It moved Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event Q Storm duration 83 Storm size D 24 hr 12 hr. 20 mm 2mm 10 mm 6hr. 3hr. •5mm % of 133 storms per year d Storm size 5mm IOO mm 10 mm Precipitation intensity lOmm/hr. 5 mm/hr/ 2Omm 2 mm/hr: 50mm % of total annual precipitation 6 % of time Precipitation intensity 50 mm/hr. 2O mm/hr. 10 mm/hr- 2mm/hr. ^ V»mm/hr. % of total precipitation Figure 2. Long-term rainfall patterns at recording gauge 6, Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory, Otto, North Carolina, based on 40-yr record. A, storm duration; b, storm size as percentage of average of 133 storms/yr; c, storm size as percentage of total annual precipitation; d, precipitation intensity as percentage of time; e, precipitation intensity as percentage of total precipitation. 84 Neary and Swift 11i31 P 11/5 3:30 A 11/6 Figure 3. GOES infrared satellite imagery of southeastern United States during night of 5-6 November 1977. A, 8:30 p.m. EST; b, 9:30 p.m. EST; c, 11:31 p.m. EST; d, 12:30 p.m. EST; e, 1:30 a.m. EST; f, 3:30 a.m. EST (highest convective cells in black). Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event 85 Tennessee No° North Carolina Figure 4. Map of Asheville-Statesville, North Carolina, area showing precipitation (in millimeters) that caused flood of November 1977. [Map adapted from National Weather Service (Stewart and others, 1978).] slightly westward on 5 November and then tracked north- convective cells moved slightly to the northeast by 2331 (Fig. 3c) northeast over Georgia, Tennessee, and Kentucky on 6-7 No- and intensified further by 0030 EST (12:30 a.m.) on 6 November vember. Rainfall began in western North Carolina in the early (Fig. 3d). Later satellite images showed increased area coverage morning of 2 November. Precipitation was generally continual at 0130 EST and continued drift to the northeast (Fig. 3e). By and even (20 to 50 mm/day) from 2-5 November, by which 0330 EST, the main convective cells were still over western time cumulating rainfall generally exceeded 60 mm. North Carolina but were beginning a gradual dissipation as The long-duration rainfall before 5 November was capped another cell intensified farther east over the Atlantic coastline. by intense downpours that initiated the debris avalanching. The The general isohyetal map prepared by the National heavy rainfall on the night of 5-6 November was produced by Weather Service (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric convective activity in association with orographic lifting over the Administration, 1977) for this storm shows the distribution patsouthern Appalachian Mountains. Development of the convec- tern of the rainfall (Fig. 4). Four isohyetal peaks ranging from tive cells was simultaneously observed in near real time on GOES 200 to 320 mm occurred in a southwest-northeast line along the infrared satellite imagery. Forecasts of flash flooding were issued Appalachian Mountains. The largest peak occurred in the Mt. for the area involved using a (then) newly developed forecasting Mitchell area. This discussion focuses on the most southwestern of the isohyetal peaks, specifically, the vicinity of Hominy Creek procedure (Scofield and Oliver, 1977; Heidelberger, 1977). Intensive convective cells formed within the storm cloud and Bent Creek watersheds, southwest of Asheville (Fig. 5). On around 2030 EST (8:30 p.m.) on 5 November (dark patches in these watersheds, exceptionally complete rainfall and debris avaFig. 3a). These cells centered over western North Carolina, inten- lanching data were collected. Both streams originate in the Pisgah sified, and grew in area coverage by 2130 EST (Fig. 3b). The National Forest and flow into the French Broad River. They are 86 Neary and Swift PRECIPITATION (mm) NOVEMBERS-?, 1977 / 7 /"^ ) A STORM CAUSING f FLOODING AND SLIDES X IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA Figure 5. Total precipitation (in millimeters) in vicinity of Asheville, North Carolina, for 3-7 November 1977 storm. separated by a forested ridgeline which exceeds 1,100 m in elevation. Total precipitation in the Asheville, North Carolina, area during the 3-7 November 1977 storm ranged from 53 to 320 mm (Fig. 5). Rainfall in the Hominy Creek drainage was generally in the range of 190 to 216 mm, based on a survey of unofficial gauges and exposed containers made immediately after the storm (NOAA, 1977). Across the ridge to the east in the Bent Creek basin, two USDA Forest Service gauges overtopped at 188 mm sometime during the storm. Both of these basins had previously received total storm rainfalls in excess of 200 mm without occurrence of debris avalanching. However, antecedent moisture conditions predisposed the slopes to failure with sufficient rainfall loading (TVA, 1977). The unique feature of the November 1977 storm was the particularly intense burst of rainfall that culminated an otherwise normal, long-duration event. This is precisely the type of situation that Campbell (1975) described as providing the climatic conditions for slope failure. The U.S. Geological Survey estimated return intervals for peak flows of streams in the storm area to range from 25 to more than 100 yr (Fig. 6) (U.S. Geological Survey, 1977; Stewart and others, 1978). A record flood occurred on Hominy Creek northwest of Bent Creek (Fig. 5). The stream gauge at Candler was destroyed, but high-water marks established the crest at 7.37 m, nearly 2 m above the previous record set in 1940 (TVA, 1977). Although the flow on ungauged Bent Creek is unknown, the Highway 191 bridge across the creek was washed out. An indication of the storm sequence over the Bent Creek and Hominy Creek basins can be illustrated from the Tennessee Valley Authority recording rain gauges near Mt. Pisgah, Cedar Mountain, Roan High Knob, and Little Switzerland. Figure 7a shows that 120 mm of rain had fallen at Mt. Pisgah during the 90 hr prior to the intense rainfall the night of 5-6 November. Then, during a 6-hr period, an additional 55 mm of rain fell. Peak rainfall intensities calculated from Tennessee Valley Authority gauges around Asheville showed a range from 21 to 102 mm/hr (Table 1). At the Mt. Pisgah gauge, peak intensity was only 21 mm/hr despite its high total storm rainfall (180 mm) and high 87 Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event Western North Carolina Area of most severe flooding November 6-7, 1977 (Flood recurrence interval - years) A B C WS Asheville Boone Charlotte Winston Salem ./ v x""^ _ ^-- Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory Figure 6. Flooding return period in areas of western North Carolina affected by severe flooding, 6-7 . November 1977. b. a. E 2SOl E 250- Mount Pisgah, NC TVA Gage 254 c 200 o c '6 '" 200O ISO- 1 '5 +j 50- "3 3 E 3 E u 0 o I5 °" 100 100- « _> o Roan High Knob, NC TVA Gage 231 I M 2 M 3 M 4 M 5 M 6 M 7 M e 50- o fl M M November 1977 November 1977 d. C. E 250 Cedar Mountain, NC TVA Gage 283 E 250 "| Llttle Switzerland, NC ; Overtopped TVA Gage 235 200- 200- ISO 150- 100 100- o *c '5 a 50 ^ O 3 E o 50- 3 E 0. 3 0- u I November 1977 MO ™3 f" 4 * S * fi November 1977 Figure 7. Recording rain gauge analog traces from Tennessee Valley Authority. Recording rain gauges 1-8 November 1977: a, Mt. Pisgah TVA gauge 254; b, Roan High Knob TVA gauge 231; c, Cedar Mountain TVA gauge 283; d, Little Switzerland TVA gauge 235. * Neary and Swift 88 TABLE 1. PRECIPITATION AMOUNT AND INTENSITY FOR 3-7 NOVEMBER 1977 STORM AT SEVERAL TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY GAUGES NEAR ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA Peak intensity (mm) JjXCVa u lOll Gauge Site* 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. (m) 1463 Cataloochee Ranch Waynesvllle Watershed Parker Branch Sassafras Mountain Laurel Mountain Gloucester Gap Coxcombe Mountain Haywood Gap Roan High Knob North Fork Mount Pisgah Blueridge P.O. Mills River Cedar Mountain Little Switzerland 789 658 1048 1244 951 1274 1646 1865 756 1573 Ct-nrm &m/1lint (mm) 53 53 79 >87 125 145 154 155 173 >178 823 180 193 195 202 1085 250 689 610 1 hr 15 22 24 hr 91 34 41 77 71 51 70 67 80 140 176 87 144 69 96 102 180 141 >163 25 91 34 76 24 86 38 46 21 *A11 gauge charts show intense rain between 2000 and 2400 EST on 5 November 1977. Storm of 3-7 November 1977 100 1_ I 80 E I 60-r 50 a. 100 150 200 Storm Amount - mm 250 - Storm of 3-7 November 1977 100 80 l a> 60- 40 201 b. 500 1000 1500 Gage Elevation - M 2000 Figure 8. Rainfall at 15 TVA gauges near Asheville, North Carolina, 3-7 November 1977. a, Total storm rainfall in relation to peak hourly intensity, b, Peak hourly intensity in relation to gauge elevation. elevation (1,573 m). At Roan High Knob (Fig. 7b), the total rainfall (173 mm) was similar to that at Mt. Pisgah, but most of it came during the night of 5-6 November. Consequently, the peak hourly intensity at Roan High Knob was 181 percent higher and the 24-hr peak intensity was 60 percent greater than at Mt. Pisgah (Table 1). At Cedar Mountain (Fig. 7c), the peak 24-hr intensity was similar to that at Roan High Knob, but the peak 1-hr intensity of 96 mm/hr was 4.5 times that at Mt. Pisgah (Table 1). The rain gauge at Little Switzerland (Fig. 7d) had the highest 1-hr intensity (102 mm/hr) and second highest 24-hr intensity (163+ mm). The Little Switzerland gauge was overtopped toward the end of the storm so the actual peak 24-hr intensity is unknown. It could have been 10 to 20 mm higher, or in the range of the Mills River gauge, which had the highest measured 24-hr rainfall intensity of the sites listed in Table 1. Some of the gauges listed in Table 1 are outside the area shown in Figure 5. Thus, peak hourly intensities varied considerably from point to point, and intensities high enough to initiate slope failures can only be inferred. Storm totals in the Bent and Hominy Creek areas were similar to the four highest totals in Table 1 (Blue Ridge P.O., Mills River, Cedar Mountain, and Little Switzerland). If rainfall intensities were also similar, then intensities of 90 to 100 mm/hr probably set off the debris avalanching. At Mills River, 13 km southeast of Bent Creek, the rainfall intensities during the night of 5-6 November were 69,137,159,164, and 180 mm for periods of 1,3,6,12, and 24 hr, respectively. The peak hourly intensities, given in Table 1, were weakly related to storm total rainfall (Fig. 8a) and were not related to altitude (Fig. 8b). Gauges entirely within the French Broad River Basin had total storm rainfalls of less than 81 mm and 173 to 180 mm and had maximum intensities less than 60 mm/hr. Gauges with middle (81 to 155 mm) and upper total rainfall ranges (greater than 191 mm) recorded the most intense rainfall. These 89 Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event 400 STORM INTENSITY RETURN PERIODS Gage 6, Coweeta Hydrologic Lab High 300- GAGE6 250- 300- 3-7 November 1977 Storm Data [•] /24-hr 200175- 12-hr E E = 200 o •g 150- M- c '5 cc £ 125- Low Q 100- 100 7550- 25- 30 - mln 15 - min 5 - mln Ihr 0- 2 5 10 2550100150200250 Return Period (years) Figure 9. Storm intensity return periods for Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory gauge 6 with storm data from 3-7 November 1977 storm (dots). gauges were all located along the ridges that form the southeastern boundary of the French Broad River watershed. This ridgeline is the divide for the Mississippi and Atlantic continental watersheds and also the main topographic structure for producing orographic lifting of air masses coming from the south. Forty percent of the peak hourly rainfall intensities listed in Table 1 exceeded 75 mm/hr. Based on long-term data from the Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory located 96 km southwest of Asheville, rainfalls greater than 75 mm/hr have return periods in excess of 50 yr (Fig. 9). Peak intensities greater than 86 mm/hr in Table 1 (Sassafras Mountain, Blue Ridge P.O., Haywood Gap, and Cedar Mountain) compare to return periods of 100 to ISO yr. The peak hourly intensity at Little Switzerland (102 mm/hr) may have been a 175 to 200-yr event. However, none of the 24-hr rainfalls were exceptional, with 24-hr precipita- 3hr 6hr 12 hr Time period 24 hr Annual maxima I94I-I984[»—•] Nov. 1977 storm Intensity range |t 1 Figure 10. Tennessee River Basin rainfall intensity range with annual maxima for 1-, 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hr intensities, 1941-1984, and November 1977 rainfall intensities for Mills River TV A gauge. High and low ranges represent highest and lowest annual maximum rainfall intensities for indicated time periods and length of record. tion less than 150 mm, approximating a 1- to 10-yr return period. The remainder (155 to 180 mm in 24 hr) were 10- to 25-yr return period rainfalls. Thus, the exceptional characteristic of this November 1977 storm was the high 1-hr peak intensities. Total storm and 24-hr rainfalls were not unusual for the area. Indeed, in comparison to the historical range of rainfall intensities for the entire Tennessee Valley network, the maximum intensities at Mills River for the November 1977 storm fall in the middle to low range (Fig. 10). Although much higher intensity rainfalls have occurred within the Tennessee River Basin, the combination of very wet antecedent conditions on steep slopes with high-intensity, short-duration rainfalls created conditions especially favorable for slope failures in the southern Appalachians. Recorded intensities at several sites exceeded the 125 mm in 24-hr threshold suggested by Eschner and Patric (1982). Neary and Swift 90 Rain gauge**? Hominy Creekj Bent Creek w a t e r 1 shed d i v i d e J Rain gauge Rain gauge*3 \ \ Bent Creek Experimental Forest Buncombe County .North Carolina Figure 11. Debris avalanche tracks, Bent Creek Experimental Forest, USDA Forest Service Southeastern Forest Experiment Station, for 3-7 November 1977 storm (asterisks indicate short avalanches associated with roads). 1/2 I mile 2km DEBRIS AVALANCHING The most extensive debris avalanching triggered by the 3-7 November 1977 storm occurred near Hominy Creek and Mt. Mitchell. However, the best information on the debris avalanching came from Bent Creek where a survey was conducted after the storm (Fig. 11). This basin is an experimental forest managed by the USDA Forest Service, Southeastern Forest Experiment Station. Except for one debris avalanche, all the major slope failures occurred along the ridge between Bent and Hominy Creek. Seven major avalanches were identified. A large number of smaller slope failures occurred, some of these associated with roads (asterisks in Fig. 11). Most of the avalanches originated on undisturbed forest slopes. The heads of the seven largest slope failures were located between elevations of 945 and 1,100 m on slopes of 70 percent and greater (Table 2). Four of these debris avalanches had multiple scarps. Exact runout lengths were difficult to establish because debris avalanche material merged into existing stream bottom colluvium, alluvium, and other debris. Most of the easily identifiable debris avalanche tracks were estimated to be from 655 to more than 810 m long. Some of the avalanches entrained a considerable amount of woody material. Most of this debris was deposited on lower gradient slopes, old debris fans, or terraces formed by roads. Measurements of debris avalanche volumes were not conducted at Bent Creek. A report by the National Forest in North Carolina indicated that 24 major debris avalanches occurred on federal land in the Bent Creek basin and the Beaverdam drainage of Hominy Creek (USDA Forest Service, 1979). These avalanches covered a total area of 12 ha. If an average failure depth of 0.5 m in the source area is assumed (based on visual and photographic review of most avalanches), then a conservative estimate of the average volume per debris avalanche was about 2,500 m3. This value is in the middle of the range of slope failure volumes reported by Swanson and others (1981). Deep scouring 91 Rainfall thresholds for triggering a debris avalanching event TABLE 2. CHARACTERISTICS OF SEVEN MAJOR DEBRIS AVALANCHES, BENT CREEK EXPERIMENTAL FOREST, BUNCOMBE COUNTY, NORTH CAROLINA, STORM 3-7 NOVEMBER 1977 ' Debris Avalanche Head Debris Avalanche Character Runout Length (m) Elevation (m) Slope 1 1055 80 Multiple 1235+* N 2 1035 80 Multiple 700+ NE 3 1100 120 Single 655+ SE 4 990 80 Multiple 810+ SE 5 1035 60 Single 700+ SE 6 975 60 Multiple < 700+ SE 7 945 80 Single 760 SE Aspect ^Minimum track length; actual length is impossible to determine because of track coincidence with major stream channels. of some stream channels suggests that even larger amounts of tive events obscure the perception of their importance as an eromaterial were moved. More details on the debris avalanching can sional process. Peak hourly rainfall intensities of 90 to be obtained from Neary and others (1986). 100 mm/hr approached the suggested 24-hr threshold for initiating debris avalanches in mountainous regions of the humid CONCLUSIONS East. These high hourly intensities were the key to triggering slope failure in well-drained and highly permeable forest soils of This study examines the conditions that produced an epi- the southern Appalachians. sode of debris avalanching in forests of the southern Appalachian Mountains. All the classical conditions of antecedent moisture ACKNOWLEDGMENTS (177 percent above normal), heavy rainfall (more than 125 mm over 3 days), intense downpours (as much as 102 mm/hr), steep We acknowledge assistance of the staff of the National slopes (35 to 80 percent), and shallow soils (depth to bedrock less than 2 m) were present. Although slope stability is not recognized Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration. Particular as a general problem in mountainous areas of the East, debris thanks are due Grant Goodge of the National Climatic Center avalanching is a major contributor to long-term erosion rates and and to the staff of the USDA Forest Service National Forests in influences formation of some of the more productive forest soils. North Carolina for assistance in assembling information and Long-return periods of 100 to more than 200 yr for these destruc- illustrations. REFERENCES CITED Campbell, R. H., 1975, Soil slips, debris flows, and rainstorms in the Santa Monica Mountains and vicinity, southern California: U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 8S1, 51 p. Eschner, A. R., and Patric, J. H., 1982, Debris avalanches in eastern upland forests: Journal of Forestry, v. 80,343-347. Fisher, R. V., 1971, Features of coarse-grained, high concentrations fluids and their deposits: Journal of Sedimentary Petrology, v. 41, p. 916-927. Greswell, S., Heller, D., and Swanston, D. N., 1979, Mass movement response to forest management in the central Oregon Coast Range: U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-84, Pacific Northwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, Portland, Oregon, 26 p. Heidelberger, E. D., 1977, Value of GOES data in recent floods: Eastern Region Technical Attachment No. 77-24, National Weather Service, Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C., 4 p. Hollingsworth, R., and Kovacs, G. S., 1981, Soil slumps and debris flows; Prediction and protection: Bulletin of the Association of Engineering Geologists, v. 18, p. 17-28. Hutchinson, J. N., and Bhandari, R. K., 1971, Undrained loading; A fundamental mechanism of mudflows and other mass movements: Geotechnique, v. 21, p. 353-358. Istok, J. O., and Harward, M. E., 1983, Clay mineralogy in relation to landscape instability in the Coast Range of Oregon: Soil Science Society of America Journal, v. 46, p. 1326-1331. Megahan, W. F., and Kidd, W. J., 1972, Effect of logging and logging roads on erosion and sediment deposition from steep terrain: Journal of Forestry, v. 70, p. 136-141. 92 Neary and Swift Neary, D. G., Swift, L. W., Jr., Manning, D., and Burns, R. G., 1986, Debris avalanching in the Southern Appalachians; An influence on forest soil formation: Soil Science Society of American Journal, v. SO, p. 465-471. National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 1977, Climatological data, November 1977, North Carolina: Asheville, North Carolina, NOAA Environmental Data Service, National Climatic Center, 19 p. O'Loughlin, C. L., 1974, The effect of timber removal on the stability of forest soils: Journal of Hydrology, v. 13, p. 121-134. Scofield, R. A., and Oliver, W. J., 1977, A scheme for estimating convective rainfall from satellite imagery: Washington, D.C., National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration Technical Memorandum, National Environmental Satellite Service, v. 86,41 p. Scott, R. C., 1972, The geomorphic significance of debris avalanching in the Appalachian Blue Ridge Mountains [Ph.D. thesis]: Athens, University of Georgia, 124 p. Stewart, J. M., Heath, R. C., and Morris, J. N., 1978, Hoods in western North Carolina, November 1977: Chapel Hill, Water Resources Research Institute, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 24 p. Swanson, F. J., Swanson, M. M., and Woods, C., 1981, Analysis of debrisavalanche erosion in steep forest lands, in Davies, T.R.H., and Pearce, A. J., eds., Erosion and sediment transport in Pacific Rim Steeplands: Christchurch, New Zealand, International Association Hydrological Sciences Publication no. 132, p. 67-94. Swanston, D. N., 1974, Slope stability problems associated with timber harvesting in mountainous regionsof the western United States: U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-21, Portland, Oregon, 14 p. , 1979, Effect of geology on soil mass movement activity in the Pacific Northwest, in Forest soils and land use, Proceedings, 5th North American Forest Soils Conference: Fort Collins, Colorado State University, p. 89-116. Swift, L. W., Jr., Cunningham, G. B., and Douglass, J. E., 1987, Climatology and hydrology at Coweeta, in Swank, W. T., and Crossley, D. A., eds., Forest hydrology and ecology at Coweeta: Berlin, Springer-Verlag (in press). Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), 1977, Precipitation in the Tennessee River Basin—November 1977: Knoxville, TVA, Division of Water Management, 10 p. U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Southern Region, 1979, Final report on emergency flood repair: Asheville, North Carolina, National Forests in North Carolina, 12 p. (unpublished). U.S. Geological Survey, 1977, Water resource conditions in North CarolinaNovember 1977: U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources Division and North Carolina Department of Natural Resources and Community Development, Raleigh, North Carolina, 2 p. Williams, G. P., and Guy, H. P., 1973, Erosional and depositional aspects of Hurricane Camille in Virginia, 1969: U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 804,80 p. MANUSCRIPT ACCEPTED BY THE SOCIETY DECEMBER 29,1986 Printed in U.S.A. REVIEWS IN ENGINEERING GEOLOGY VOLUME VII DEBRIS FLOWS/AVALANCHES: PROCESS, RECOGNITION, AND MITIGATION Ed/fed by JOHN E. COSTA AND GERALD F. WIECZOREK The Geological Society of America 3300 Penrose Place, P.O. Box 9140 Boulder, Colorado 80301 1987 © 1987 The Geological Society of America, Inc. All rights reserved. Copyright is not claimed on any material prepared by government employees within the scope of their employment. All material subject to this copyright and included in this volume may be photocopied for the noncommercial purpose of scientific or educational advancement. Published by The Geological Society of America, Inc. 3300 Penrose Place, P.O. Box 9140, Boulder, Colorado 80301 Printed in U.S.A. GSA Science Editor Campbell Craddock Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Debris flows/avalanches. (Reviews in engineering geology; v. 7) Papers from a symposium co-sponsored by the Engineering Geology and Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology Divisions of the Geological Society of America, at the annual meeting in Reno, Nev. on Nov. 5,1984. Includes bibliographies. Includes index. 1. Mass-wasting—Congresses. 2. Avalanches— Congresses. I. Costa, John E. II. Wieczorek, Gerald F. III. Geological Society of America. Division of Engineering Geology. IV. Geological Society of America. Quaternary Geology and Geomorphology Division. V. Series. TA705.R4 vol.7[QE598] 624.1*51 s [551.3] 87-19657 ISBN 0-81374107-6