Media Sponsors Supported by National Society of Hispanic MBAs Approaches to Integrating NASA Technologies into the Automotive Sector SME Technology Interchange February 19, 2014 2/20/2014 Lotus – Not Just Sports Cars New Cutting Edge Technology Engineering Solutions Returning to Motorsports Variations on Lightweight Engineering 3 SME Technology Interchange Agenda 1. Industry Challenges 2. Supporting Technologies for Meeting Pending Regulations 3. Material Selection 4. Total Vehicle Mass Reduction Study – Interior Example 5. Lightweight Body Design 6. Cost Analyses 7. Potential NASA Technologies for Volume Automotive Production 8. Summary Remarks 4 lotuscars.com/engineering Industry Challenges 2/20/2014 Pending Fuel Economy and CO2 Emissions Implications • • • • 54.5 mpg for cars and light-duty trucks by Model Year 2025 CO2 = Carbon (fuel) Combusted *0.99*(44/12) CO2 = CO2 emissions in lbs. Fuel = weight of fuel in lbs. Fleet average equivalent of 54.5 mpg translates to an EPA "window sticker" combined city/highway average of about 39 - 40 mpg Projected consumer savings of more than $1.7 trillion at the gas pump 0.99 = oxidation factor (1% un-oxidized) 44 = molecular weight of CO2 12 = molecular weight of Carbon 16 = molecular weight of Oxygen 1 gallon of gasoline creates approx. 20 lbs CO2 1 gallon of diesel fuel creates approx. 22 lbs CO2 Estimated reduction in U.S. oil consumption of 12 billion barrels http://www.greencarreports.com/image/100357923_54-5-mpg-cafe-standard-for-2025 • Emissions reduced by 6 billion metric tons over the life of the program http://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/faq-new-corporate-average-fuel-economy-standards.html http://www.greencarreports.com/image/100357923_54-5-mpg-cafe-standard-for-2025 http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2012/08/28/obama-administration-finalizes-historic-545-mpg-fuel-efficiency-standard http://www.insideline.com/car-news/historic-545-mpg-still-goal-in-final-2025-cafe-rules.html 6 lotuscars.com/engineering NHTSA Fuel Economy Requirements Through 2022 • > 60% fuel economy improvement typically required for 2025 vs. current models <40 ft 2 footprint) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:CAFE_Fuel_Economy_vs_Model_Year_and_Footprint_with_20172022_Proposals.png 7 lotuscars.com/engineering NHTSA Fuel Economy Requirements: 2017 Through 2025 • > 60% fuel economy improvement typically required for 2025 vs. current models <40 ft 2 footprint) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:CAFE_Fuel_Economy_vs_Model_Year_and_Footprint_with_20172022_Proposals.png 8 lotuscars.com/engineering CAFÉ vs. EPA Fuel Economy Through 2025 • 2025 EPA FE number = CAFÉ/1.3 to 1.4 (approximate– footprint & category dependent) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_Average_Fuel_Economy 9 lotuscars.com/engineering Achieving CAFÉ Compliance – Hybrid Vehicles – C Class 50 MPG Combined EPA FE 48 MPG EPA Highway • 2104 Toyota Prius 51/48/50 MPG – EPA (1.8L 4 cylinder 134 HP/105 ft-lbs; Electric motor: 80 HP/153 ft-lbs) • Exceeds 2025 CAFÉ MPG Requirement (44.8 ft2 footprint) http://www.greencarreports.com/image/100376997_2012-toyota-ns4-plug-in-hybrid-concept http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/bymodel/2012_Toyota_Prius.shtml http://www.toyota.com/priusv/ebrochure/ 10 lotuscars.com/engineering Achieving CAFÉ Compliance – Hybrid Vehicles – D Class 47 MPG Combined EPA FE 47 MPG EPA Highway • 2104 Ford Fusion Hybrid eCVT 2.0L Atk. 4 cylinder 141 HP/129 ft-lbs + 88 kW AC motor + 1.4 kWh Li-Ion battery pack • Complies with 2025 CAFÉ Requirements (48.4 ft2 footprint) http://www.vw.com/en/models/passat/trims-specs.s9_trimlevel_detail.suffix.html/2014-passat~2Ftdi-clean-dieselse.html#/tab=806a0bd23b081fee2df7f6140f4c74e4 11 lotuscars.com/engineering Achieving CAFÉ Compliance – Gas Engine Vehicles – B Class 37 MPG Combined EPA FE 45 MPG EPA Highway • 2104 Ford Fiesta SFE (manual) 1.0L TDI 3 cylinder 128 HP/148 ft-lbs @ overboost • Meets 2021 CAFÉ MPG Requirement (39.0 ft2 footprint) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_Average_Fuel_Economy 12 lotuscars.com/engineering Achieving CAFÉ Compliance – Gas Engine Vehicles – C Class 33 MPG – Combined EPA FE 42 MPG – EPA Highway • 2104 Chevrolet Cruze Eco (manual) 1.4L TEFI 4 cylinder 138 HP/148 ft-lbs • Meets 2020 CAFÉ MPG Requirement (44.8 ft2 footprint) http://www.chevrolet.com/cruze-compact-car.html 13 lotuscars.com/engineering Achieving CAFÉ Compliance – Diesel Engine Vehicles – D Class 35 MPG Combined EPA FE 43 EPA Highway • 2104 Volkswagen Passat SE (manual) 2.0L TDI 4cylinder 140 HP/236 ft-lbs • Complies with 2023 CAFÉ Requirements (47.2 ft2 footprint) http://www.vw.com/en/models/passat/trims-specs.s9_trimlevel_detail.suffix.html/2014-passat~2Ftdi-clean-dieselse.html#/tab=806a0bd23b081fee2df7f6140f4c74e4 14 lotuscars.com/engineering Alternative Approach to Meeting 2025 NHTSA Fuel Economy Requirements 46.2 ft2 = 55 MPG 51.0 ft2 = 50 MPG • 10% larger footprint reduces fuel Economy requirement by 5 MPG (10%) between 41 ft 2 and 55 ft2 • 5 MPG (NHTSA/CAFE) = approximately 3.6 to 3.8 MPG (EPA Sticker) • Every 1% larger footprint equates to a reduction of approximately 0.5 MPG (NHTSA/CAFÉ) or 0.36 to 0.38 MPG 15 lotuscars.com/engineering Industry Environment: OEM Timing to Meet 2025 Proposed FE Legislation • Latest complete redesigns for popular nameplates with a 30 year continuous history • Chevrolet Impala – 8 years; 9th gen = 2006, 10th gen = 2014 • Honda Accord – 7 years; 8th gen = 2008, 9th gen = 2015 • Toyota Camry – 5 years; XV40 = 2006; XV50 = 2011 • Based on these typical redesign cycles OEM’s have a maximum of about two new vehicle iterations to meet the 2025 standards • Each redesign cycle must effectively increase fuel economy by about 30% • 9th gen Impala EPA combined FE (48.2 ft2 footprint): • 2.4L I4 with eAssist: 29 MPG • Base 2.4L I4: 25 MPG • 3.6L V6: 21 to 22 MPG • 10th gen Impala (5 year design cycle – 2019) must average 29 MPG EPA Combined • 11th gen Impala (6 year design cycle – 2025) must average 38 MPG EPA Combined • Fuel economy increases of 52% (base I4) and 72% required (V6) required for 2025 vs. current models • Fuel economy increase of 31% required for 2025 vs. most efficient 2014 model http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2014-chevrolet-impala-first-drive-review http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_Camry#XV40_.282006.E2.80.932011.29 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honda_Accord_(North_America_eighth_generation) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chevrolet_Impala 16 lotuscars.com/engineering Supporting Technologies for Meeting Pending Regulations 2/20/2014 Projected Powertrain Effect on Fuel Economy Through 2025 Powertrain Evolution – Three Phases of Change Required to Meet CAFE +2 to +3% FE increase +5% to +12% FE increase > +12% FE increase through 2025 18 lotuscars.com/engineering Mass Reduction Affect • • Direct: • Every 10% reduction in vehicle mass improves fuel economy by about 6-7% • Reducing vehicle mass by 30% results in an 18% to 21% MPG increase • Reduced fuel consumption reduces CO2 emissions Indirect: • Mass de-compounding • Vehicle performance http://www.epa.gov/otaq/cert/mpg/fetrends/2012/420r12001.pdf 19 lotuscars.com/engineering Other Key Factors Impacting Fuel Economy • Aerodynamics • Vehicle frontal area • • • Nissan Versa Ford Fiesta SFE Chevy Cruze Eco Toyota Scion Iq 2345 lbs. 2537 lbs. 3,018 lbs. 2127 lbs. 27 MPG 37 MPG (manual) 33 MPG (manual) 37 MPG (VVT) Tire/Wheel size/weight/friction Engine efficiency Transmission efficiency MPG Delta: +37% +22% +37% Weight Delta +8.2% +28.7% -9.3% HProad=((1/2) ρ Cd Af v2 + TC*W)*v where: ρ = air density [lbs/ft3] Cd = the coefficient of aerodynamic resistance [dimensionless] • Af = the car frontal area [ft2] Gearing v = car speed [ft/s] TC = tire friction coefficient [dimensionless] W = vehicle weight [lbs.] Weight source: http://www.iseecars.com/cars/lightest-cars Fuel economy source: http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/noframes/31647.shtml Tire Rolling Resistance Vehicle Weight Aerodynamic force Driving Force Reaction Force 20 lotuscars.com/engineering Ancillary Conditions Affecting Fuel Economy • Driving habits • Extra cargo • 100 lbs. = approx. 0.7 MPG drop on a 3000 lb, 30 MPG car • Tire pressures • Steering Alignment • Etc. http://www.epa.gov/otaq/cert/mpg/fetrends/2012/420r12001.pdf 21 lotuscars.com/engineering Light Weight Effect on Performance • • Reduced Fuel Consumption Improved braking with reduced width tires • Improved handling with reduced section tires • Decreased acceleration times with less horsepower • Lower center of gravity • Exige S V6 Porsche 911 Turbo • 345 HP 3.5L S V6 500 HP 3.8L T B6 • 2,380 lbs 3,461 lbs • 6.90 lbs/HP 6.92 lbs/HP • 3.8s 0-60 3.5s 0-60 • 170 MPH 194 MPH • $75,000 $137,500 http://www.epa.gov/otaq/cert/mpg/fetrends/2012/420r12001.pdf 22 lotuscars.com/engineering Trends in Automotive Materials Utilization 2/20/2014 Material Selection • Process driven by material properties and cost • Maximize the part performance through the design process • Minimize part weight and cost through component integration, optimized part geometry, lower material densities, increased use of recycled material, reduced forming time, and the use of smaller presses http://www-materials.eng.cam.ac.uk/mpsite/physics/introduction/default.html http://www.sae.org/servlets/dlymags/dailymag/articleImage.jsp?imgsrc=/dlymagazineimages /11502_15025_ACT.jpg&alttxt=Top Materials in 5 years.jpg Trends in Automotive Materials Usage • Lightweight metals, composites and plastics are rated as the key materials to meeting future mass reduction objectives for automobiles Top Lightweighting Technologies • Increased pressure on life cycle energy consumption • Mandates for using and recovering vehicle materials Top Lightweighting Materials for Next 5 Years Most Beneficial Materials in Next Ten Years http://www.americanchemistry.com/Media/PressReleasesTranscripts/ACC-newsreleases/Plastics-Hold-Key-to-Helping-Cars-Meet-Mileage-and-Emissions-Goals.html http://www.sae.org/servlets/dlymags/dailymag/articleImage.jsp?imgsrc=/dlymagazineimages /11502_15025_ACT.jpg&alttxt=Top Materials in 5 years.jpg Plastic Price Trends • “The amount of plastics and composites used in vehicles increased 25 percent between MY1995 and 2007 and continues to climb.” • Plastic prices tend to track oil costs • Recycled plastics prices trend with oil prices • Approximately 0.4 gallons of crude oil are required to make one pound of plastic • 8% of world’s oil supply is used to make plastic http://www.accuval.net/insights/industryinsights/detail.php?ID=115 http://www.livescience.com/5449-chemistry-life-plastic-cars.html http://www.accuval.net/insights/industryinsights/detail.php?ID=140 http://sarahmosko.wordpress.com/category/waste/ Plastics Consumption/Recovery Example Each year, an estimated 500 billion to 1 trillion plastic bags are consumed worldwide. That's over one million plastic bags used per minute. planetgreen.discovery.com/home-garden/plastic-bag-facts.html Americans use and dispose of 100 billion plastic shopping bags each year and at least 12 million barrels of oil are used per year in the manufacture of those plastic grocery bags. The Wall Street Journal Less than 5 percent of plastic grocery bags are recycled in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Plastic bags can take up to 1,000 years to break down http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5565 The amount of petroleum used to make a plastic bag would drive a car about 115 metres. It would take only 14 plastic bags to drive one mile! www.sprep.org/factsheets/pdfs/plasticbags.pdf In 2007 in the U.S., about 31 million tons, or 12.1 percent of total municipal waste, was plastic. www.thegreenguide.com/home-garden/energy-saving/greenwashing/2 31 million tons of plastic waste were generated in 2010, representing 12.4 percent of total MSW. http://www.epa.gov/osw/conserve/materials/plastics.htm#recycle Only 8 percent of the total plastic waste generated in 2010 was recovered for recycling. http://www.epa.gov/osw/conserve/materials/plastics.htm#recycle 27 lotuscars.com/engineering Engineering Parameters: Materials, Manufacturing and Joining 2/20/2014 Materials Selection • • Use a holistic design approach to select materials which best support the total vehicle mass, cost, performance and infrastructure constraints • Choose materials based on performance, cost and mass for each specific area • Incorporate recycled materials into design • Utilize proven software • Consider all materials • • • • • • • • • Steel Aluminum Magnesium Plastics Wood Carbon fiber Titanium Ductile cast iron Etc. 29 Use of Lightweight Materials Doesn’t Guarantee a Low Mass Vehicle • The Lamborghini Aventador body incorporates a carbon fiber center section with aluminum front and rear substructures • The Ford Mustang Shelby GT500 has a steel body and is >200 lbs. lighter MSRP Curb Weight - lbs. Length - inches Width - inches Height - inches Adj'd Veh. Volume1 - ft3 Specific Density - lb./ft3 Engine HP Lbs/HP 0-60 MPH - seconds Lateral g's Braking 70 - 0 MPH - feet Top speed - MPH 2013 Aventador 2013 Shelby GT500 Delta $394,000 4,085 188.2 79.9 44.7 292 14.0 691 5.9 3.0 0.95 146 217 $54,000 3,852 189.4 73.9 55.9 317 12.2 662 5.8 3.5 1.00 155 189 $340,000 233 -1.2 6.0 -11.2 -25 1.8 29 0.1 -0.5 -0.05 -9 28 1 L x W x H; Shape Factors: 0.75 - Aventador; 0.70 – Shelby GT500 Vehicle data source: manufactuers web sites 30 lotuscars.com/engineering Manufacturing Process Selection • • Manufacturing process chosen based on cycle time, running costs, utilization factor, and investment All processes considered • Stamping • Casting • Low pressure • Die cast • Investment cast • Ablation cast • High pressure • Thixomolding • Extrusion • Impact • Cold forming • High pressure forming • Molding • Ultra high speed forming • EMP • Other • Tooling investment is a key consideration • Castings provide high level of component integration which reduces the part & tool count • Extrusion tools are typically < $20,000 vs. six figure stamping dies • Single sided tools offer longer term potential • Processes chosen to meet cycle time requirements and part cost contribution targets while minimizing material scrap rates • Extrusions and castings reduce tool costs and lower scrap rate vs. stampings 31 Joining Process Selection • Processes chosen based on strength, fatigue/durability, cost and mass for each specific attachment • Process selected to contribute to overall system performance, cost & mass targets • 100% continuous joint contributes to an increase in body stiffness • Increase in body stiffness allows reduction in material thickness which contributes to mass savings • Minimize parent material property degradation (HAZ) • Minimizing flange width contributes to mass and cost reduction • RSW flange is approximately 30% - 40% wider than a friction spot joint flange • All processes considered • RSW • Clinching • Mechanical fastening • Laser welding • Continuous resistance welding • Friction stir welding • Friction spot joining • Bonding (structural adhesives) • Other • Galvanic & Corrosion protection are key considerations • Material coatings chosen to meet long term durability requirements • Coatings selected to be compatible with joined materials and joining processes • Cost is a major consideration • Processes chosen to meet cycle time requirements 32 Total Vehicle Mass Reduction Interior Example 2/20/2014 Lotus Phase 1 Total Vehicle Mass Optimization 34 lotuscars.com/engineering Phase 1 Example: Interior System • The interior systems consists of the instrument panel, seats, soft and hard trim, carpeting, climate control hardware, audio, navigation and communication electronics, vehicle control elements, and restraint systems 35 Interior System • • • • • High level of component integration Modular systems Electronic interfaces replace mechanical controls, i.e., transmission, parking brake HVA/C module part of console 36 Low Mass Interior Summary BOM • Mass reduction total: 97.8 kg (39%) • Projected cost: 4% savings vs. baseline System Sub-System Venza Baseline mass % of Interior High Development Mass High Development Cost Interior Seats Instrument Panel|Console|Insulation Hard Trim Controls Safety HVA/C and Ducting Closure Trim Total 97.9 43.4 41.4 22.9 17.9 13.7 13.3 kg kg kg kg kg kg kg 250.6 kg 39% 17% 17% 9% 7% 5% 5% 55.2 25.8 24.3 16.0 17.9 11.3 2.4 kg kg kg kg kg kg kg 152.8 kg 94% 105% 105% 108% 100% 81% 75% 96% 37 lotuscars.com/engineering The estimated mass was 38.4% less than the baseline vehicle with a projected piece cost factor of 103%. Mass and Cost Analysis The charts below are from the 2010 Lotus mass reduction study published by ICCT (link: http://www.theicct.org/pubs/Mass_reduction_final_2010.pdf) that developed design approaches that reduced cost and mass in non-body systems to partially offset the added cost for the low mass BIW. Mass and Cost Summary Body Closures/Fenders Bumpers Thermal Electrical Interior Lighting Suspension/Chassis Glazing Misc. Totals: Base CUV Powertrain Mass Base CUV Total Mass Baseline CUV 382.50 143.02 17.95 9.25 23.60 250.60 9.90 378.90 43.71 30.10 1289.53 410.16 1699.69 Low Mass Mass 221.06 83.98 17.95 9.25 15.01 153.00 5 9.90 217.00 43.71 22.90 793.76 Mass 61.6% Low Mass Cost Factor 1.35 0.76 1.03 1.00 0.96 0.96 1.00 0.95 1.00 0.99 Wtd. Cost 103.0% 1 The above Phase 1 masses were utilized for the Phase 2 Impact Analyses 38 lotuscars.com/engineering Lightweight Multi-Material Body in White Design 2/20/2014 Design Methodology Overview • Use a total vehicle, holistic approach to mass reduction • Utilize a multi-material approach to selectively use the best material for each specific area • Incorporate a high level of component integration • Design for low cost tooling • Minimize scrap material by process selection • Maximize structural attributes through continuous joining techniques • Steel rear structure Evora Riv-Bonded Chassis Evora Extruded and Press Bent Rocker Panel Evora Extrusion Geometries Utilize electronics/electrical systems to replace mechanical hardware In-Car Active Acoustic Tailoring 40 lotuscars.com/engineering Lotus Phase 2 Multi-Material Body Structure – Exploded View 100% bonded using structural adhesive Color Chart: Aluminum: Silver Magnesium: Purple Steel: Red Section 1 Composite: Blue Section 2 Assembly Methodology -Structural adhesive bonding (Henkel) -Friction spot joining (Kawasaki) -Rivets (Rivtec®) -Fasteners -Galvanic protection (Henkel) Section 1 – Rivet: SPR (shown), Rivtek® Section 3 Section 3 – Mechanical Fastener (nylon washer shown) Section 2 – Friction Spot Joint 41 lotuscars.com/engineering Phase 2 vs. Phase BIWBody Material Utilization Comparison Multi-Material Low 1Mass In White Assembly Considerations Assembly Methodology -Structural adhesive bonding (Henkel) -Friction spot joining (Kawasaki) -Rivets (Rivtec®) -Fasteners -Galvanic protection (Henkel) 6.1. Quality Management Concept BIW Plant <$53,000,000 Assembly Line Team Machine Operator • Responsible for quality control of parts from specific stations • Follow working instructions • Stop production in case of quality defects Documentation • Carry out working instructions • Team leader = QM foreman • Problem localization by measuring methods • Internal communication • Assign responsibilities • Failure modes • Root cause analysis • Downtimes • Frequency of breakdowns/ priorities • Analysis of Continuous Improvement Processes QM Team Corporate Philosophy • Define QM • Uniform measuring methods • Analysis of quality assurance • Analysis • Statistics • Training ( Job ) • Measuring • Assign priorities • Transparency of disturbing influences • Quality controlling of the end product • Documentation Quality Driven Assembly Process 42 lotuscars.com/engineering BIW Flooring Selection Process • Criteria • • • Weight Structural Properties Cost • Material Selected: • Recycled PET “Sandwich”: GR PET outer panels, PET foam inner • Using recycled PET (the plastic used in water bottles) as the basis for a laminated floor with a PET foam inner and PET outer layers with directional glass fiber provided a lightweight, strong, reduced cost and electrically inert solution relative to other materials Americans spent $15 billion on 8 billion gallons of bottled water in 2006. www.articlearchives.com/chemicals/plastics-rubber-industry-plastics/220746-1.html Only 14% of plastic water bottles are recycled. www.inhabitat.com/2009/09/21/watershed-recycled-bottle-art-debuts-at/ 43 lotuscars.com/engineering Phase 2 BIW Torsional Stiffness Model Phase 2 BIW Torsional Stiffness Target: 27,000 Nm/deg (BMW X5) Phase 2 BIW Torsional Stiffness (V26): 32,900 Nm/deg 44 lotuscars.com/engineering Phase 2 Impact Modeling Loadcases Front Impact: FMVSS208 35mph Flat Barrier 0° FMVSS208 25mph Flat Barrier 30° FMVSS208 25mph 40% Offset Deformable Barrier IIHS 6mph Centerline Bumper IIHS 3mph 15% Offset Bumper Side Impact: FMVSS214 33.5mph 27° Moving Deformable Barrier FMVSS214 20mph 75° Pole Impact (seat @ 5th %ile Female) FMVSS214 20mph 75° Pole Impact (seat @ 50th %ile Male) Rear Impact: FMVSS301 50mph 70% Offset Moving Deformable Barrier IIHS 6mph Centerline Bumper IIHS 3mph 15% Offset Bumper Roof Crush: FMVSS216 Quasi Static Crush Other: FMVSS210 Quasi Static Seat Belt Pull FMVSS213 Child Restraints Systems 45 lotuscars.com/engineering Cost Analyses 2/20/2014 Low Mass Body In White Mass Cost Overview – Generic Example Low Mass CUV Body Status • Material Cost = 4x base material • Body weight = ½ weight of the base structure • Carryover manufacturing process = $0 savings • Carryover parts count = $0 savings • Carryover joining process = $0 savings Total cost = 2x base cost Note: Existing infrastructure, engineering experience and production volumes play a significant role in selecting manufacturing and joining processes 47 lotuscars.com/engineering Lotus ARB LowBody MassStatus Body In White Cost Overview Low Mass CUV Piece Cost: +60% (+$723/unit) - Aluminum (75%), magnesium (12%), composites (5%) & steel (8%) vs. 100% steel - Parts count reduced by 35% - 530 lbs. Part tooling: -60% (-$233/unit) - Castings and extrusions provide high level of component integration - Extensive use of castings and extrusions contributed to reduced tooling costs by a factor 3 Assembly: -37% (-$251/unit) - Lower cost joining technologies - Friction spot joining, structural adhesive bonding - Contributes to reduced material thickness - 35% fewer parts to assemble Cost offset: $484 67% of piece cost offset by using lower cost tools, parts integration (reduces parts count and the number of tools) and joining processes 48 lotuscars.com/engineering Lotus ARB Low Mass Body In White Amortization Cost Analysis Low Mass CUV Body Status New body assembly plant cost: $53,000,000 ($0 for baseline – existing plant) BIW Cost with costs1 amortized over 3 years (60,000/yr.): $3,469 (+118% vs. $2,940 baseline) Estimated Cost delta: $529 Assembled BIW with costs2 fully amortized (60,000/yr.): $3,098 (108% vs. $2,869 baseline) Cost delta: $229 1 Tooling and plant costs for Lotus ARB BIW, tooling only cost for baseline 2 Tooling and plant costs fully amortized for both Lotus ARB BIW and baseline 49 lotuscars.com/engineering BIW Cost Offset Sensitivity Analysis 37% mass reduced BIW (Phase 2 study) +118%/108% BIW cost factors (w/without BIW plant cost) 40% mass reduced non-BIW systems (Phase 1 study) Cost parity for all non-body systems less powertrain Cost Factor Cost Weighting Factor Complete body 118.00% 18.00% 21.24% Non-body 100.00% 82.00% 100.00% Totals Cost Differential Weighted Cost Factor Cost Factor Cost Weighting Factor Complete body 108.00% 18.00% 19.44% 82.00% Non-body 100.00% 82.00% 82.00% 103.24% Totals 100.00% 101.44% 3.24% Includes BIW Assembly Plant Cost Amortization (3 years) Cost Differential Weighted Cost Factor 1.44% BIW Assembly Plant Cost Fully Amortized 50 lotuscars.com/engineering Estimated Costs (ROM) For a Current Production Vehicle Using Lightweight Materials 2/20/2014 Cost and System Comparison: 2014 vs. 2013 Corvette Low Mass CUV Body Status 2014 Corvette 2013 Corvette Engine 455 HP 6.2L LT1 (New) 430 HP 6.2L LS3 (c/o) Transmission 7 speed (manual - New) 6 speed (manual – c/o) Fuel Economy 17/29 MPG (30 MPG in Eco mode) 16/26 MPG Interior All New c/o Body/Chassis All New (aluminum chassis, CF roof & hood) c/o MSRP $51,000* (+2.8%) $49,600 *assumes amortizing $52,000,000 new chassis assembly plant cost http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews/2014-chevrolet-corvette-stingray-z51-road-test-review http://www.chevrolet.com/new-2014-corvette/ http://www.chevrolet.com/corvette-sports-car.html http 52 lotuscars.com/engineering 2014 Chassis 2013 Corvette Chassis LowCorvette Mass CUV Bodyvs.Status 2014 Corvette Aluminum Chassis Material Mass: Stiffness (torsion): Stampings Extrusions Castings Hydroform 2014 Corvette (Base) 2013 Corvette (Base) Aluminum 374 lbs. (-99 lbs., -21%) +57% 76 38 10 3 Steel 473 lbs. base http://gmauthority.com/blog/2013/01/deep-dive-the-light-yet-stiff-frame-of-the-2014-chevy-corvette-stingray/ http://www.web-cars.com/corvette/2014-5.php 53 lotuscars.com/engineering Estimated System Cost Increase Analysis - ROM Low Mass2014 CUVCorvette Body Status Invoice1 $47,405 Invoice Cost Delta vs. 2013 Model $1,301 (($47,405/$51,000)* $1,400) Estimated OEM Cost Increase $868 ($1,301/1.52) Estimated Powertrain Contribution Estimated Interior Contribution Estimated Chassis Contribution Estimated Closures Contribution Remaining System Contributions $200 $191 $156 $87 $234 Total $868 (100%) (23%) (22%) (18%) (10%) (27%) 1 http://www.kbb.com/chevrolet/corvette/2014-chevrolet-corvette/stingray/?vehicleid=390308&intent=buy-new 2 Rogozhin et al, 2009 – RPE study Phase 1 ICCT Study 54 lotuscars.com/engineering Affect of Vehicle Weight Reduction on Cost Per Pound of Vehicle Weight Cost - MSRP - $ Curb Weight - lbs. Cost/lb. Relative Cost/lb. vs. Baseline Baseline Vehicle Lightweight Vehicle 30,000 4,000 7.5 100% 30,000 3,000 10 133% Added Budget per lb. - % 33% Assumes lighweight vehicle is identical dimensionally and volumetrically to baseline • Making a vehicle lighter can allow a higher $/lb cost for materials without impacting the MSRP • A lighter weight vehicle can have a higher $/lb cost and still be competitive 55 lotuscars.com/engineering Key Technologies Needed to Assist Automotive Manufacturers to Meet Pending CAFÉ Fuel Economy Regulations 2/20/2014 Opportunity Areas for NASA Technologies • Mass reduction - Structure • • • Material selection Joining processes Manufacturing processes • Aerodynamics • Tire/Wheel size/weight/friction • Engine efficiency • Engine weight • Transmission efficiency • Gears • Lubrication Weight source: http://www.iseecars.com/cars/lightest-cars Fuel economy source: http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/noframes/31647.shtml 57 lotuscars.com/engineering NASA Technologies with Potential Automotive Applications 2/20/2014 NASA Developed Materials/Composites 33’ Diameter Heavy Lift Launch Vehicle Components Fiber Reinforced Foam Core (FRF)Structure FRF Sandwich vs. Honeycomb Sandwich: • Payload shroud 14 % lighter • Interstage 7.7% lighter • Beamless core intertank 14% lighter Courtesy of NASA Glenn 59 Sizing Capability for FRF Sandwich Panels Developed by NASA • Fiber Reinforced Foam (FRF) structural concept • Composite facesheets • Foam core with composite webs • Choice of elastic foundation stiffness (K) enables desired amount of conservatism vs. FEA analysis for local buckling 1/16 th Section of 33’ Barrel • Concept is out-of-autoclave – significant cost savings • New sizing capability developed and implemented into the HyperSizer Structural Sizing Software • Sizes facesheet materials/layups/thicknesses, web material/layup/thickness, foam material, web spacing, and panel height • Considers composite strength, foam shear strength, core crushing, core shear crimping, panel buckling, facesheet wrinkling, and web/facesheet local buckling failure modes • Local buckling most challenging and most important failure mode – foam supports facesheets and webs against local buckling • Developed buckling with elastic foundation method shown to be conservative vs. FEM, validated vs. experiment: • New capability used in ACT project sizing of 33’ diameter heavy lift vehicle shroud, interstage, and intertank Courtesy of NASA Glenn Polymer Matrix Nanocomposites • Investigating effects of a variety of nanoscale fillers on properties of polymers – Organically modified clays – Functionalized graphene sheets – Carbon nanotubes – Carbon nanofibers • Potential applications: – Cryotanks – reduced permeability – Fan containment – improved toughness – High temperature engine structures – improved thermal & mechanical properties Lebron-Colon, Miller, Gintert Collaborations with: U of Akron, Princeton, Northwestern, MSU, Clark Atlanta U Courtesy of NASA Glenn 61 Cross-linked Polyimide Aerogels • 100% organic backbone • 2 to 5 times stronger than polymer reinforced aerogels at similar density 2D Graph 1 • Same low thermal conductivity Polyimide 0.24 g/cm3 30 • • Stress, MPa Can be manufactured in a flexible form with excellent tensile properties Epoxy reinforced 0.23 g/cm3 20 10 Good heat resistance up to 400oC 2D Graph 2 0 0 20 40 100 300 400 500 Weight retained % 95 90 85 300oC 80 400oC 75 70 0 200 400 35 5,000,000 30 4,500,000 20 15 BAX 760 torr BAX 0.01 torr ODA 760 torr ODA 0.01 torr 10 5 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 20 600 o 800 1000 80 4,000,000 25 0 500oC 65 60 Strain, % True Stress (Pa) Thermal Conductivity, mW/m-K 40 60 100 140 180 220 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 True strain (mm/mm) o Test temperature, C Temperature ( C) Guo, Meador, et al, ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces, 2011, 3 (2), pp 546–552 Courtesy of NASA Glenn 62 Possible Automotive Applications of Polyimide and Polymer Reinforced Aerogels • Light weight sandwich structures • • Thermal insulation • • • Aerogel core material with density from 0.1 to 0.3 g/cm3 can significantly reduce weight Aerogels out-perform polymer foam and other conventional insulation by a factor of 2-5 Lower thermal conductivity means less thickness of insulation required Acoustic and vibration damping Preliminary results indicate that aerogels absorb vibration Tailored pore sizes and high porosity may provide acoustic damping Courtesy of NASA Glenn 63 NASA Manufacturing Support 2/20/2014 Additive Manufacturing Experience • AM, e.g., fused deposition modeling (FDM), stereolithography (SLA) and direct metal laser sintering (DMLS) are processes being used to make aerospace and medical parts • NASA’s Juno satellite uses functional AM parts, titanium alloy waveguide support brackets, supplied by Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Corp • AM production has helped aerospace manufacturers reduce part counts and the weight of components, e.g., GE Aviation’s AM fuel nozzle for the LEAP jet engine reduced parts count from 18 to 1 • Jet engine manufacturer Pratt & Whitney, East Hartford, Conn., recently announced that AM parts are in use on the PurePower turbine engines that power some of the new C series jets built by Bombardier Inc. • Aerojet Rocketdyne makes a rocket engine fuel injector nozzle via AM, and verified its capabilities through a series of tests at NASA’s Glenn Research Center. Above information from SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2013 | MICROmanufacturing (article courtesy of NASA) 65 NASA Aerodynamics Expertise 2/20/2014 NASA + Aerodynamics NACA duct (U.S. National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics) • Developed in 1945 and still used today in racing and high performance cars NASA has more wind tunnels than any other group, including OEMs “Outside the Box” Thinking • NASA Ames Dryden-1 (AD-1) oblique wing pivoted 60 degrees • Reduced drag • Reduced fuel consumption Decades of sub-sonic experience http://www.nasa.gov/aero/thinking_obliquely.html http://www.nasa.gov/audience/forstudents/k-4/stories/what-are-wind-tunnels-k4.html 67 lotuscars.com/engineering NASA Software/Controls Expertise 2/20/2014 Utilizing NASA Software to Improve Passenger Car Fuel Economy • Chevrolet Cruze Eco (manual) rated at 42 MPG hwy averaged 64 MPG for 9,500 miles • Achieved by a skilled team experienced in optimizing fuel economy • High MPG record accomplished by using predictive driving techniques based on road grades • NASA developed topology mapping software for low altitude/mountainous terrain flights • Combining NASA mapping software with unique Lotus algorithms to directly/indirectly control vehicle speed based on road conditions can potentially improve fuel economy (details are confidential) 69 lotuscars.com/engineering Utilize NASA Software/Hardware for Proximity Sensing Accident Avoidance Technologies: • • • • • • Smart Cruise Control Lane Departure Warning Active Braking Systems Active Steering System Active Throttle Control Autonomous Control NASA Existing Software: • Rapid I/O data handling, sensing and assessing the dynamic environment and providing feedback to control systems • 354,000,0000 miles in 8.5 months (approx. 57,000 MPH average) • 1.7 x 10-8 % (0.000000017%) error for Curiosity Mars landing • 13,200 MPH entering Mars atmosphere to 0 MPH in 81 miles http://www.space.com/16503-photos-mars-science-laboratory-curiosity-landing-guide.html http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/11/26/nasa-mars-curiosity-launc_n_1113995.html 70 lotuscars.com/engineering Other Automotive Areas with Potential To Utilize NASA Technologies Power Transmission Technologies • Gearsets • Lubrication • Coatings Solar Efficient Energy Collection • Run fan to exhaust hot air from cabin to reduce interior temperature • Reduced fuel consumption during cool down due to reduced compressor load 71 lotuscars.com/engineering Potential Powertrain Application for NASA Technology • Automotive Turbochargers • 248,000 RPM • Temperature extremes: -40 F to 1,400+ F • Unique impeller designs for: • • Hot gas side Ambient air side • Sophisitcated metalurgy • Demanding bearing requirements: • • Lubrication Cooling • • Continental turbocharger for Ford 1.0L 3 cylinder gas engine • 123 HP • 148 lb. ft.. (peak) Other major turbocharger suppliers include BorgWarner and Honeywell http://wardsauto.com/suppliers/continental-charging-after-turbochargers 72 lotuscars.com/engineering NASA Software with Potential Automotive Applications 2/20/2014 Improve Reliability Trade Performance/Cost Reduce Engineering Costs Increase Competitiveness Plug and Play Composite Analysis ImMAC Suite Fiber Interface Matrix Analyze and Visualize Failure Where it Actually Occurs Legacy Commercial FEA Models Turbo charge your FE Analysis With Aerospace-Grade ImMAC Composite Toolset 74 MAC/GMC is an Evolving Anisotropic Thermoelastic Inelastic and Damage Constitutive Model Macro-level Constitutive Equations Micro-level Field Equations (subcell) MAC/GMC Analysis Spans Multiple Scales MAC/GMC stand-alone Hyper-MAC called from within HyperSizer FEAMAC called from within ABAQUS (MAC/GMC v4.0) MAC/GMC: Core Analysis Engine for the ImMAC Suite MAC/GMC Version 4.Z (5/2013) Capabilities/Features • Library of applied loading options • Library of composite repeating unit cells Applications: MMCs, PMCs, CMCs, Smart Materials Dec, 2012 – Continuous, discontinuous, & user-definable architectures • Library of constitutive models – Elastic & inelastic (isotropic and anisotropic) – User-definable • Library of fiber and matrix material properties • Library of failure, damage, and lifing capabilities − − − − − − Elastic allowables; static failure analysis Weak interface modeling Fiber breakage (Curtin model) Fatigue damage lifing Progressive failure/damage (crack band models) Stochastic (CARES) • Mesh Objective Handshaking • Automatic yield/damage/failure surface generation • Laminate analysis (symmetric and non-symmetric) − Utilizes GMC to model nonlinear ply behavior > 130 Customers: 50 Universities; 70 industrial companies, 11 Gov’t labs have signed software use agreements since 1995. With an additional fifteen foreign requests • Smart material analysis: composite & laminate − SMA, piezo-electro-magnetic materials • Ultra-efficient standard GMC micromechanics model • State of the art High-Fidelity GMC micromechanics models • Multiscale Generalized Method of Cells micromechanics Availability: Free to U.S. Citizens Web page address: www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/LPB/mac Summary Remarks • By using an holistic, total vehicle approach to mass reduction there is potential to utilize more expensive, ultra high performance materials and constructions in volume production automobiles and trucks • There is potential to utilize high performance NASA developed materials in a cost effective manner on future volume production automobiles • There is potential to use NASA developed software to assist automobile manufacturers in improving vehicle fuel economy and active vehicle control systems • There is potential to use NASA developed software to predict advanced composite material behavior to assist the automotive industry in introducing new materials into automotive production • Plastics recycling technology may be an opportunity area for NASA to assist in reducing material cost 78 lotuscars.com/engineering Thank You Please reply to: Job title: Telephone: Email: Website: Gregory E. 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