UCL

cover image:
(c) iStockPhoto
The world faces an unprecedented set of interlinked challenges of energy decarbonisation to mitigate climate change, maintaining robust and secure energy provision, and ensuring equitable access to energy service demands. This energy transition trilemma is intrinsically multi-disciplinary and characterised by uncertainty and multiple levels of decision making. Solving it will be critical for future economic prosperity, environmental sustainability, and societal equity. It is the challenge of our time. the UK government on setting the fifth Carbon Budget, and a highly successful spinout company University
Maritime Advisory Services (UMAS) which led the landmark third IMO GHG study for the International
Maritime Organisation (pg 17).
Against this backdrop, the UCL Energy Institute (UCL-
Energy) was founded six years ago with a handful of pioneer researchers – its aim, to understand and accelerate the transition to a globally sustainable energy system through world-class energy research, education and policy support. Our twin focus has been on a demand-side perspective, complementing conventional supply-side research and an energy systems perspective to provide insights on path-dependent decision making.
We have grown exponentially and are now one of the leading UK academic institutions and a top tier global research player in these fields, with a current complement of 14 full time academic staff, 41 Research
Associates, and 55 PhD students, plus extensive MSc and MRes teaching programmes. Our size, combined with links to other UCL departments, gives us the critical mass to undertake truly interdisciplinary and innovative research.
We have a major investment in producing the researchers, energy analysts and decision makers of the future. Our large, vibrant and multidisciplinary PhD programme (pg 16) is anchored through the London-
Loughborough Centre for Doctoral Training in Energy
Demand. Our ground-breaking MSc in Economics and
Policy of Energy and the Environment (EPEE) (pg 12), which was launched in 2013 with over 80 students. Our alumni are joining key positions in leading universities,
UK government departments, global consulting houses and international bodies such as the International Energy
Agency.
We will continue to push the boundaries of interdisciplinary energy research, to give policy makers the hard truths they need to understand, and increase the human and technical capacity to solve these complex energy problems. The challenge of our age requires nothing less.
Our cutting-edge research drives our academic and real world impact. It is organised via four overlapping themes:
Buildings (building physics, socio-technical interactions and energy epidemiology, pg 5), Transport (with foci on urban and inter-urban transport, shipping and aviation, pg 6), Energy Systems (structured around core technoeconomic models, pg 7) and Energy, Space and Time
(physically-based models with high spatial and temporal resolution, pg 8).
Highlights of our research include the 2015 Deep
Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP) synthesis report (pg 24), a Lancet Commission report on Health and Climate Change (pg 24), underpinning analysis to
Bob Lowe
Director, UCL Energy Institute
Neil Strachan
Deputy Director, UCL Energy Institute
3

4
Research is the bedrock of the UCL Energy Institute. At present there are 52 active research projects at UCL-
Energy across four interacting themes: Buildings (pg 5);
Transport (pg 6); Energy Space Time (pg 8); and Energy
Systems (pg 9).
UCL-Energy also hosts two research centres, the whole systems energy modelling consortium (wholeSEM) (pg
10) and the Research Councils UK (RCUK) Centre for
Energy Epidemiology (CEE) (pg 11).
Across the 2014/15 academic year UCL-Energy submitted a further 53 research proposals, and while over 30 of these projects are still awaiting decisions, 11 have already been approved.
To put this into context, from 2008-2014, UCL-Energy submitted 151 research bids in total, so there has been a steep increase in the past year.
The 2014/15 academic year saw nine technical reports,
10 book chapters, 112 conference proceedings and 242 new journal articles produced by UCL-Energy staff and
PhD students. Read more about key publications on pages 24 and 25.
“UCL-Energy combines analytical rigour with a truly interdisciplinary focus. By applying cutting-edge techniques across subject domains we can generate of host of new insights on the key energy challenges to society.”
Professor Andreas Schafer,
Director of Research, UCL-Energy
UCL-Energy in the REF2014
UCL-Energy is proud to have contributed to The
Bartlett faculty and UCL’s excellent results in the
REF2014. The REF is the new system for assessing the quality of research in UK higher education institutions.
According to the REF results published in December,
2014 The Bartlett has the most world-leading research in its field in the UK.
As one of UCL’s ten faculties, The Bartlett’s performance directly contributed to the institution’s overall success and its confirmation as the top-rated university in the UK for research strength.
Of particular note, UCL scored 87.5% at 4* and
12.5% at 3* for environment, a measure of the research excellence across the whole institution, not just staff submitted to the REF.
Since 2009, the Buildings Research theme has built an international reputation. Led by David Shipworth and
Cliff Elwell, it is characterised by its interdisciplinary approach. It consists of eight permanent members of academic staff, five visiting/honorary staff, 12 research staff and 20 PhD students.
Impact
The buildings team has done much to help expand learning, research and evaluation across the UK.
The team works with the policy makers, research communities, industry, NGOs and the public across our activities to develop effective policy, stimulate reductions in carbon emissions and fuel poverty, and promote a wider understanding of energy and buildings research.
UCL-Energy building research addresses domestic and non-domestic buildings at scales from individual components through to the national stock. UCL-Energy researchers work with numerous stakeholders to study energy use, thermal comfort and costs for dwellings, schools, hospitals, retail and commercial buildings.
2014 - 2015 Projects
Analysis of data from Heat Pumps installed via the
Renewable Heat Premium Payment (RHPP) Scheme:
Funded by DECC’s Energy Entrepreuneurs Fund (EEF) and in collaboration with PassivSystems.
Work in building physics includes in situ monitoring combined with physically informed models and Bayesian analysis to provide insights into dynamic thermal performance. Much of the work applies a socio-technical systems perspective, which sees energy demand and performance as emerging from the complex interplay of the material and social at all stages of a building’s lifecycle. Work to date includes new build and deep retrofit, the culture of installers, the performance of technologies such as heat-pumps and district heating, and the impact of initiatives such as time of use tariffs.
Data-Driven Methods for a New National Household
Energy Survey: Developing home monitoring and analytical methods that leverage smart-metering infrastructure to support hierarchical monitoring designs in large field-trials and surveys. Funded under the RCUK
CEE working with centres call.
Smart Meter Data and the Public Interest: Determining how smart meter data can be harnessed to serve wider societal goals such as fuel poverty issues and reducing domestic carbon emissions.
The buildings team is undertaking work from understanding the ethical and public interest issues, to developing home monitoring and analytical methods that leverage such data, to proposing a Smart Meter
Research Portal to support the whole UK research community.
Improve Honeywell’s marketing of central heating controls to installers: This project, joint funded by
Honeywell Control Systems and EPSRC, aims to increase uptake of smart heating controls in homes.
SimStock: Currently being employed to undertake a peer review of the empirically based modelling of the nondomestic building stock for DECC.
The buildings team’s modelling work covers all scales from individual building elements, e.g. walls, up to the urban scale. The team has e.g. developed SimStock, an auto-generated whole building energy simulation model based on geometrical, age and occupancy data for all buildings in any given area. This approach is transforming the study of non-domestic buildings.
Business Energy Challenge Develops energy benchmarks for offices, general retails, large food stores and hotels in London through analysis of data provided under the Mayor of London’s Business Energy Challenge.
5

Led by Andreas Schäfer and Tristan Smith, UCL-
Energy’s Transportation theme covers all major modes of transport, spanning all geographic scales, from local sale urban and inter-urban transport to global networks of marine transportation and aviation .
During the 2014/15 academic year UCL-Energy’s transport team worked on over 30 projects, including grant and consultancy work. The team consists of two academic members and seven research staff. and actors the Urban and Interurban Transport group explores the complex relations between transport systems, activity patterns, demographic and economic processes.
The group’s areas of research include discrete choice and demand modeling techniques, activity-based models, freight transport modelling, residential location choices, spatial econometrics, and data collection methods for behavioural modelling.
includes all surface modes of transport for passengers and freight across space and time. The research areas focus on planning, design, and operation of low carbon transport systems, low carbon transport technologies, new mobility services and business models, and big data.
Understanding and predicting the dynamics of mobility and transport begins and ends with data. By collecting and combining data from different mobility systems
The activities, approaches and aims of the group synergise with the low carbon and smart cities vision.
The group also works closely with other universities and institutes, such as the UK Department for Transport (DfT),
UCL CASA (Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis), MIT
ITS Lab (Intelligent Transportation Systems), Singapore–
MIT Alliance for Research and Technology (SMART)
Centre, University of the Aegean - TransDeM Lab, and
University of Naples – Transport division.
research is based upon models of the shipping system (GloTraM), shipping big data, including satellite Automatic Identification System data, and qualitative and social science analysis of the policy and commercial structure of the shipping system.
Shipping research activity is centred on developing and applying knowledge to help shipping transition to a low carbon future.
The shipping group’s diverse team of individuals are the largest university-based research group in Europe focussing on greenhouse gasses and energy matters related to shipping. Over the last five years, the team has been involved in projects with a total budget in excess of £12m. This has made it possible to bring together a diverse and interdisciplinary team of researchers.
A highlight of the group’s work includes work on the
Third IMO Greenhouse Gas Study 2014: a major
6 publication for the industry, which will be used as a reference for CO
2
emission regulatory discussions for the next five years.
The team’s expertise is deployed in research, policy work and consultancy. In addition to being awarded the UCL Consultant of the Year award in 2015, the team recently established University Maritime Advisory
Services (UMAS) to further scale the exploitation and dissemination of its research (see more on page 17).
During this year, transport research has been deployed to create impact in a variety of fora. At the international level, these include the UN, both UNFCCC preparations of the Paris Climate Agreement and at the International
Maritime Organisation, the EU, and in the development of international standards (ISO). At national level, researchers have worked closely with a number of institutions including the Airports Commission, DfT and the Committee on Climate Change (CCC).
Core academic collaborations in the past academic year include with a number of UK universities as well as NHH
Bergen, Fraunhofer ISI, University of the South Pacific,
University of Delaware and Universidade Federal Rio de
Janeiro.
2014 - 2015 Projects
Airport Capacity Consequences Leveraging Aviation
Integrated Modelling (ACCLAIM): Quantifying the various impacts of airport capacity expansion policies.
Redefining Urban Transport Mobility: Design of the
‘Mobility as a Service’ concept for London.
research at UCL-Energy combines analytical rigour with a truly interdisciplinary focus. By applying cutting-edge techniques across subject domains we can generate of host of new insights on the key energy challenges to society. Aviation research is concerned with the demand characteristics for passenger and freight movements, technological change of aircraft and their enabling infrastructure, airport capacities and flight delays, and aircraft movements. Jointly, these air transportation system components determine aviation sector fuel use and emissions of pollutants and noise.
Well-To-Motion study of LNG vs oil: An investigation into whether a switch to LNG as a marine fuel, produces an overall benefit from a pollutant and GHG perspective.
Shipping in Changing Climates: Understanding supply and demand side changes and their interaction over the period 2010-2050.
The integrating mechanism of the building blocks composing the air transportation system is a unique integrated assessment model comprising traffic between more than 1,000 airport pairs worldwide
(www.AIMproject.aero). The aviation research group collaborates with a number of research institutions, including MIT, MIT Lincoln Lab, Georgia Tech, UC Santa
Cruz, Ecole Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, Imperial
College London, and University of Southampton.
Currently, research is directed at the understanding the costs for reducing aircraft fuel burn and CO
2
emissions and an analysis of the range of implications associated with airport capacity expansions.
7

The Energy Space Time group at UCL-Energy was set up by Mark Barrett and Catalina Spataru in April 2015 to carry out research into the design and application of sustainable energy systems, and the problems of whole system integration in space and time. In addition to the two academic staff members, the group currently consists of one research associate and nine PhD students.
Designing efficient, low-carbon systems is about optimising the configuration of renewable and conventional energy sources, transmission and storage, and developing strategies for the control of these systems. To do this, there needs to be an understanding of how energy systems operate, and how different vectors, such as electricity and gas supply systems, interact.
To that end, much of Energy Space Time research concerns the modelling of energy demands and supply flows, costs and emissions over space and time, based on different social, economic and meteorological factors. These models are then applied at city, national and international scales, allowing, among other things mapping of hotspots of energy demand, geographically and over time. Some of these models are commercialised and licenced to users, including National
Grid and Western Power Distribution.
Impact
The Energy Space Time research group works closely with industry, government and the third sector.
Examples include contribution to worldwide reports such as: ‘World Energy Council’, ‘World Energy Scenarios
Composing energy futures to 2050’, and EU- Future and
Emerging Technologies consultation process:
Contribution to the Global Systems Science Orientation
Paper.
2014 - 2015 Projects
National Grid EDAM2: Electricity System Modelling at
DNO/Grid Supply Level in collaboration with EST and
National Grid. Development of a dynamic model (DEAM) for exploring scenarios and constructed databases of two Grid Supply Points.
City Energy Demand Simulation (CEDS): Funded by Innovative/TSB. Aims to engage with stakeholders and create scenario plans for energy projects so that approved schemes best meet each city’s unique visions and objectives.
Energy Solutions for Ukraine and partnership solutions with EU and Russia: An international collaboration to design and create a roadmap of solutions for reliability and energy security within Europe with main focus on the route Russia-Ukraine-EU.
Energy Modelling and Data Analysis at Distribution
Network Operators: Level part of Low Carbon Network
Fund (LCNF) FALCON project – in collaboration with EST and Western Power Distribution Network Operator.
People, Energy and Buildings: Distribution, Diversity and Dynamics (PEB D3): A UK and French research initiative to develop and integrate different systems components to analyse the impact of people, energy and buildings within the whole energy system approach.
Blackouts prevention through multi-disciplinary techniques (B-PAS): A multi-disciplinary consortium to review research methods from medicine, biology, economics and power engineering.
Common Road to 2050: Energy Networks and
Policy design (ENP2050): Analyses the main barriers to plan and implement a long-term strategy for use of different resources so that to achieve environmental commitments, as well as energy security.
8
The Energy Systems theme at UCL-Energy, led by
Neil Strachan, is the UK’s largest academic energy systems research group and is a globally leading centre of excellence in E4 (energy-economic-engineeringenvironment) modelling. The highly interdisciplinary team consists of four academic staff members and 12 research staff members.
2014 - 2015 Projects
Energy Systems research is conducted through a set of major interdisciplinary research projects with UK and EU funding bodies. wholeSEM : A large UK research initiative to develop, integrate and apply state-of-the-art energy models. Find out more about wholeSEM on page 10.
A cornerstone of energy systems research is large scale systems and technology models. These energy system models are technology-rich cost-optimising models that are used for long term energy technology assessment and decarbonisation pathway studies.
ADVANCE : An international consortium develop a new generation of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) for the analysis of climate change mitigation policies.
Impact
The energy system group works closely with government, industry and the third sector. Their modelling work quantifies and contributes to a host of
UK policy initiatives including via the UK Government
(DECC), the Committee on Climate Change (CCC), industry via the Energy Technologies Institute (ETI), and the energy sector regulator (Ofgem).
UKERC Phase III : The UK’s largest energy policy and research consortium. The UCL team focuses on the current and future roles of different resources and energy vectors in the UK energy system.
INSIGHT_E : A think tank for European Commission that provides unbiased policy advice and insights on policy options and assessing potential impact.
Energy systems optimisation models developed at UCL have underpinned every major UK government energy policy document on long-term decarbonisation over the last decade.
Realising Transition Pathways : A novel project to undertake historically-informed, forward-looking analysis of energy system transitions, bringing together quantitative and qualitative research methods.
As the UK’s preeminent energy systems modelling group, there is a very strong international presence. Examples include working with international modelling teams as the UK representative in the International Energy
Agency’s ETSAP network, and serving as a lead author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5th
Assessment Report.
MECON : An international collaboration to design and implement energy efficiency policy in South East Asian countries, looking at the opportunities and barriers from technological, socio-economic and institutional perspectives.
HYVE : The Hydrogen’s Value in the Energy System
(HYVE) project aims to find out how hydrogen might contribute to a transition to a low carbon economy.
A specific contribution to the international climate-energy debate was as UK country chapter author of the UN’s
Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (pg 24).
9

www.wholesem.ac.uk
@wholeSEM
The whole systems energy modelling consortium
(wholeSEM) is a ground breaking multi-institution initiative to develop, integrate and apply state-of-the-art energy models.
The consortium, which formed in 2013, is led by
University College London and consists of Imperial
College London, the University of Cambridge and the
University of Surrey. The consortium is funded by EPSRC with UCL-Energy Deputy Director Neil Strachan as its
Principal Investigator.
Over the past academic year the four consortium members have undertaken state-of-the-art research in the following areas: with key stakeholders within the energy modelling community. wholeSEM technical workshops focus on key modelling issues, stakeholder workshops to inform the conceptualisation and ongoing development of core modelling tools, and an Annual Conference to bring together the UK and international energy modelling community.
Some event highlights included:
2015 Annual Conference: Hybrid Energy Modelling-
Linkages and Interdisciplinarity The conference brought together experts from the energy modelling community to explore the linkages between different areas that have traditionally been analysed with separate methodologies.
The conference report is now available.
• UCL are building a new energy systems model
(UKTM) and are extending this to include endogenous technological change, non-price behaviour, temporal and spatial factors, and macro-economic linkages
• University of Surrey are collecting data on social energy practices and the uptake of new technologies to develop an agent based model of household energy demand.
International BE4 Workshop: Including Behaviour in
Energy/Engineering/Economy/Environment models.
UCL-Energy’s Hannah Daly ran this highly successful international workshop whose funding was raised jointly through wholeSEM and the IEA’s ETSAP network.
• University of Cambridge are building a resource simulation model (UK Foreseer) and adding land, water and critical materials flows to understand trade-offs and constraints
• Imperial College London are incorporating spatial and temporal detail, linking with flexible storage options, and combining with infrastructure decision making within a whole energy system context
Throughout the 2014/2015 academic year wholeSEM ran an extensive range of meetings and events to engage
10 www.energy-epidemiology.info
Energy Epidemiology Research Centre – studying energy demand from transport and the built environment, developing a new path for energy demand research. data-driven insights into the factors that produce end-use energy demand, and the impacts of measures to reduce it.
UCL Energy Institute was awarded one of six Centres of Excellence in End-Use Energy Demand by the
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
(EPSRC) in 2013.
The Research Councils UK (RCUK) Centre for Energy
Epidemiology (CEE) focuses on providing an evidence base for government and industry to support end use energy reduction across buildings and transport, helping to deliver the UK’s commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 80% of 1990 levels by 2050.
CEE uses an epidemiological approach derived from the approach that has been used in the study of health and disease since the 19th Century, to provide empirical,
Over the past academic year CEE staff research has been involved with:
Developing novel algorithms to link at individual building level datasets from the Ordnance Survey, the
Valuation Office, and Meter Point data; allowing it to collate information on buildings, premises, businesses, activities, and energy consumption, with over 90% success rate in a test area of Camden, London.
Analysis of representative English temperature and building data, used to develop an empirical relationship between internal temperature and efficiency. This is now being integrated into the National Household Model as part of a DECC project costing health benefits of energy efficiency.
Publication of a Bayesian analytic method for heatflux data helping to establish that uninsulated solid walls
(¼ of the English stock) lose 40% less heat than thought, in part explaining why old homes appear to use less energy than modellers had expected and policy makers had assumed.
Continued work on Longitudinal UK Energy Survey
(LUKES). CEE was a key partner in undertaking the initial feasibility study and also undertaking development work separately funded by DECC for a Computer Assisted
Personal Interview.
Smart analysis of smart meters: Analysing whether smart meter data can generate occupant independent empirical energy labels.
11

In the 2014/15 academic year 78 students took the
Masters in Economics and Policy of Energy and the
Environment (MSc in EPEE) . Launched in September
2013, the aim of the MSc in EPEE is to give its students the essential knowledge that they need to understand, analyse and manage environment-resource-economy interactions.
This is now a global agenda of increasing importance to business, policy makers and civil society in all countries.
This course will equip its graduates to become leaders and entrepreneurs in their chosen area of specialisation, whether in terms of policy making, the business management of sustainability issues, energy system modelling or their understanding and application of the innovation system.
“The MSc is an exciting and
interdisciplinary that provides students with the
Graduates in energy related subjects are currently in high demand. The aim of the Master of Research in
Energy Demand Studies (MRes EDS) , which was launched in 2010, is to provide a superb grounding in
fudamentals careers as energy and
environmental
professionals. the required skills and knowledge to pursue a career in industry or academia. Technical work is highly topical, focusing on energy demand in the built environment, and is complemented by the development of research and the
2014/2015 academic year, the second year of the course, we built on the success of the first year by offering new modules in econometrics and advanced environmental economics. transferable skills.
The programme focusses on skills and knowledge required to undertake research in energy demand reduction in the built environment.
The MSc continues to grow and go from strength to strength, and it’s hugely satisfying to see our alumni from our first years go off into careers in business, government and NGOs, with many also pursuing PhDs in the field.”
In addition to being offered as a fulltime or part-time stand-alone masters course, the MRes EDS can form the first year of a four year PhD programme offered by
UCL-Energy, via the London-Loughborough Centre for
Doctoral Research in Energy Demand (pg 16).
Will McDowall, Course Director, MSC EPEE
12
“MRES EDS is a programme where students can learn the fundamentals of energy research in the built environment from an economic, scientific and social perspective. This knowledge will combine with the different analysis tools to provide the technical background required to undertake research in this challenging multidisciplinary area. Becoming a good researcher is about much more than learning techniques and facts. The transferable skills courses teach key aspects of research; the fundamentals of being a researcher and research communication.”
Catalina Spataru, Course Director, MRes EDS
“I had a great time studying as a research student at UCL Energy Institute.
Many of my academic research and writing skills have been cultivated here and as it was a relatively small group, I always had many opportunities to discuss my thoughts and issues with people. The particular world-leading ideas of in-situ experiment design will absolutely benefit my future energy related research activities even in my home country.”
Weili Sheng, student representative for the MRes EDS 2014/15
“It’s a platform. The MSc EPEE offers opportunity to take individual pursuit to whatever height one can conceive. It’s a programme you can optimise to achieve career transition, like myself, owing to its interdisciplinary edge; develop knowledge further on sustainable energy systems; or use as a stepping stone into a specialised research field along its various components:
3E modelling, Economy-Energy-Environment, economics(-etrics), or climate change resilience and policy design.”
Zilper Abong’o, student representative for the MSc EPEE 2014/2015
“The MSc EPEE was a really good starting point for my PhD in Modelling
Natural Gas Resources, combining a wide mixture of policy, economics and energy-modelling. Having spoken to friends from the MSc EPEE course who are now working, they also agree it is a great platform to continue on, whether into employment or continued research with a university.”
Daniel Welsby, UCL-Energy PhD student
13

Omotola Adeoye: Reliability of supergrid wide area electricity networks connecting Europe with North Africa and the Middle East
Lucy Aldous: Energy mapping and optimisation on cruise vessels
Pablo Esteban Carvajal Sarzosa:
Future energy pathways for Ecuador:
A portfolio-based approach for investment decisions in the power sector
Elsa Barazza: The low-carbon transition of the European electricity sector: Understanding investment costs and actors’ strategic investment decisions in renewable energy generation assets through an agentbased approach
Jonathan Chambers: Generating a physically based, smart meter data driven model to support efficiency decision making in individual homes
Benoit Decourt: Valuing the benefits of power-to-synthetic fuel conversion
Carolyn Behar: A sociotechnical perspective of ventilation practice;
Design, everyday life and change
Domagoj Baresic : Barriers facing the diffusion of low carbon thinking into the mainstream of the maritime transport industry regime-A dialectic perspective
Andreas Economou: Investigating the relationship between the real oil
George Bennett: How are the dynamic behaviours of building heating systems represented in the National Calculation methods for EPCs and does this representation lead to inconsistent calculation of space heating and temperatures? Or “Everything you always wanted to know about SAP” price and its drivers across oil market regimes
Femi Eludoyin:
Pamela Fennell: Energy performance contracting. Current title: Factors affecting the success of energy performance contracting projects in UK schools
Rural electrification in developing countries: Policy agenda for sustainability
Michael Fell: Taking charge: Perceived control and acceptability of domestic demand-side response
Kim Bouwer: Building disappointment:
The potential and limitations of liability in tort for problems in domestic buildings with high energy performance
Sinan Kalaz: Investigation of an integrated ship-board algae harvesting system
Ivan Garcia Kerdan: An exergy-based modelling tool for retrofit analysis in non-domestic buildings Priscila Carvalho Lapa Villas Boas:
Integrating the institutional and policy dimensions of water-energy nexus in
Brazil for a sustaimable future
14
Stephanie Gauthier: Mapping thermal discomfort responses in residential environments
Christopher Grainger: The causal relationship between climate policy and technological change: What can be learnt from machine learning and big data?
Virginia Gori: A novel method for the estimation of thermophysical properties of walls from short, seasonalindependent in-situ surveys
Joel Guilbaud: The economic potential of hybrid renewable power systems for the mining industry
Melanie Hermann: Intuitive user toolbox for data manipulation and visualisation
Lisa Iszatt: Investigating heat and moisture transfer through solid brick walls and the impact of internal wall insulation
Badria Jaffar: An examination of the residential building stock in Kuwait to inform energy efficiency policy
Owain Jones: The deployment of micro-CHP in the UK and its role in a future low carbon energy system.
Philip Krammer: Explores the various impacts (economic, technological, environmental, and operational) of an emissions trading regime applied to both the international aviation and maritime transport sector simultaneously
Maragatham Kumar: Future energy pathways for Malaysia: An analysis of near-optimal investment strategies and technical feasibility in the power sector
Moira Nicolson: Can we use behavioural economics to boost consumer switching rates to smart electricity tariffs? Evidence from randomised control trials
Weibo Li: The model of an integrated car sharing and bike sharing system: A case study of Taiyuan, China
Ukadike Nwaobi: The economic appraisal of unconventional gas resources of the United Kingdom
Stephen Lochran: Implications of unconventional gas in EU energy supply systems and energy security under climate constraint
Sofie Pelsmakers: Pre-1919 suspended timber ground floors in the UK: measuring the in-situ thermal performance and heat-loss reduction potential of interventions Eleni Oikonomou: The energy and environmental impacts of heat pumps for cooling and heating in the UK residential stock
Vishnu Prakash: Emissions, efficiency, and shipping markets
Eoin O’Keeffe: Modelling operations and technologies to deliver low carbon shipping
Melinda Matyas: multimodal sustainable urban transport:
Demand analysis of a ‘mobility as a service’ concept for London
Paula Morgenstern: Understanding hospital electricity use: an end-use(r) perspective
Charlie Morris-Marsham: Visualising home energy use: can the provision of thermal images affect householders’ mental models of home energy use and influence levels of consumption?
Philip Munzinger: low-carbon technology transfer and innovation: Analysis of case studies in
Indonesia
Thomas Neeld:
Reinventing
Framework for
Acoustic identification of events in gas fired boilers
Samuel Stamp: Assessing uncertainty in co-heating tests: Calibrating a while building steady state heat loss measurement
Dina Subkhankulova: renewable energy system: A path to
Energy Security
Trevor Sweetnam:
Benefits for domestic consumers
Bernard Tembo:
Full profiles of all UCL-Energy
PhD students are available on the
UCL-Energy website, in addition to supervisor lists and academic staff profiles.
Energy efficiency in
Zambia’s copper industry
Will Usher: The value of learning about critical energy System Uncertainties
David Veitch:
Efficient
Demand response:
Developing improved methods for measurement of ventilation rates in occupied dwellings
Dayang Ratnasari Abu Bakar:
Integrated decision support framework for the assessment of bioenergy for greenhouse gas mitigation: Malaysia-
TIMES energy model
Faye Wade: An ethnography of installation: Exploring the role of heating engineers in shaping the energy consumed through domestic central heating systems
Carlo Raucci: The potential of hydrogen fuel in shipping.
Xuebing Wang: The Impacts to the international aviation Industry by including it to the EU-ETS
Tobias Reinauer: Improving the representation of technological change in energy systems models
Peter Warren: Demand-side management policy: Mechanisms for success and failure
Zareen Sethna: Energy efficiency in the
UK private rented sector: government policy and landlords’ practices
Eleni Zafeiratou: Transforming the
Greek islands to renewable energy hubs
Ed Sharp: Spatiotemporal disaggregation of GB scenarios depicting increased wind capacity and electrified heat demand in dwellings
Senami Zamba: Energy Access:
Key factors to sustainability of energy access projects for inclusive development
15

UCL-Energy’s MPhil/PhD Energy programme was established in 2009 as UCL’s response to the global challenges of mitigating climate change and providing energy security in the 21st century.
UCL-Energy students work alongside experienced researchers in a dynamic, multi-disciplinary environment.
During the 2014/2015 academic year 42 doctoral researchers were part of UCL-Energy. They are integrated into the core research activities and contributed to a wide range of ongoing research and consultancy projects, including being named authors in nearly 50% of the 158 publications produced by UCL-
Energy in the 2014/2015 academic year.
UCL-Energy doctoral researchers at the
London - Loughborough EPSRC Centre for Doctoral
Research in Energy Demand (LoLo) also experienced great success in the past academic year. Four students joined the LoLo PhD program and three LoLo PhDs successfully passed their vivas during the 2014/2015 academic year. Three vivas are scheduled to take place in the first term of the 2015/2016 academic year.
In November 2014 it was announced that the LoLo
CDT was successful in its submission for the renewal of funding. The Centre will deliver up to 60 additional studentships over the next eight years. Topics will address new challenges within five themes: technology and systems, energy epidemiology, urban scale energy demand, building performance and process and unintended consequences.
UCL-Energy alumni have gone on to obtain competitive positions as lecturers and postdoctoral researchers within UCL-Energy, other UCL Bartlett departments, and other academic institutions. Others have entered professional positions at organisations such as the
International Energy Agency in Paris, The Department of
Energy and Climate Change (DECC) and Element Energy strategic energy consultancy.
LoLo doctoral researcher Sofie Pelsmakers was named a RIBA Role Model for Equality, Diversity &
Inclusion in Architecture campaign in June 2014
The RIBA Role Model campaign highlighted the need for architecture to be an inclusive profession and featured Sofie’s personal story about how she forged her career in architecture and the barriers she encountered.
Sofie is the co-founder of Architecture for Change, a not-for-profit environmental building organisation. Her current doctoral research in building energy demand reduction investigates how best to reduce the heatloss of pre-1919 un-insulated suspended timber ground floors.
16
Image (c) Pari Naderi for RIBA Role Model ProjectMedia
UCL-Energy makes a direct, real-world impact in the advisory role it has with government and industry, bringing its knowledge and expertise in energy demand to bear on the policy and decision-making process.
launched. UMAS draws upon the world leading research of the UCL-Energy Shipping Team combined with the advisory and management system expertise of
MATRANS to provide high value consultancy services
This is done by focusing on data quality and building rigorous, robust models of energy use at regional, national and international level, taking into account factors such as economic growth, carbon emissions and climate change, and societal trends.
Over the past academic year, UCL-Energy signed 36 new consultancy proposals with a total value of over
£1 million continuing to expand our already impressive portfolio.
Throughout the 2014/15 year UCL-Energy academics and researchers continued to develop new and interesting methods of engaging with consultancy clients. For example, in June 2015 the new sector focused commercial advisory service UMAS was
In the past year UCL-Energy’s consultancy clients included:
Baringa
British Board of
Agrement
Buro Happold
CCC
DECC
DNV GL
E4tech
EBRD (European Bank of Reconstruction and
Development)
EdF
Energy Savings Trust
Energy Technologies
Institute
IMO
Ricardo-AEA
The TUC
Verco
UCL-Energy’s Dr Tristan Smith wins UCL Consultant of the Year Award 2015
In June 2015, Dr Smith was awarded the UCL
Consultants Award for the projects he has led within the
International Maritime Organisation and the European
Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
Over the past five years Dr Smith and his colleagues have undertaken a variety of applied research and consultancy contracts from a number of stakeholders in the maritime industry. The projects range from policy analysis to scenario modelling and technical support.
All the projects have been associated in some way to the energy efficiency and emissions from international shipping – the focus of the UCL-Energy Shipping
Group’s research and mission.
Image (c) UCL Enterprise
17

UCL-Energy’s relationships with external organisations often begin as specific research on consultancy projects and, in many cases, continue and grow to become longterm strategic partnerships in which clients’ research agendas coincide closely with that of UCL-Energy.
For the partners, the benefits of working with UCL-
Energy include access to leading academics and forthcoming research, and the chance to incorporate the Institute’s research findings into their own strategic direction, policy, products, services and processes.
They are able to plug into a unique, multidisciplinary institution, in which physicists, economists, social scientists, engineers, architects and data modellers work side-by-side on the same questions and challenges.
Current partnerships include:
Consultancy projects – Providing consultancy support to government and industry clients on specific questions, issues and projects, in the form of access to expertise, knowledge and data. UCL-Energy collaborates with clients when its reputation for expertise in energy demand can be a decisive factor in project proposals.
Support for major initiatives – Securing support from external partners for major projects such as the
RCUK Centre for Energy Epidemiology (pg 11), either as research funding, or in-kind support in the form of advice, guidance, or through the provision of data.
PhD research projects – Through the LoLo Centre for
Doctoral Training (CDT) (pg 16), co-developing highimpact, cutting-edge research topics with partners and establishing four-year PhD research programmes in which 70% of the costs are met by the CDT. Partners have included Bouygues UK, Crest Nicholson, EDF,
Skanska, Willmott Dixon, PassivSystems and British
Board of Agrément (BBA).
Strategic partnerships – Developing with a partner a shared research agenda that can be pursued over a number of years through various forms of engagement such as knowledge transfer partnerships, joint research projects and staff and partner involvement in teaching modules. UCL-Energy has major strategic partnerships with EDF, Cisco and Intel.
UCL-Energy partners with UK Power Networks,
British Gas and others to assess the impact of smart meters on fuel-poor and vulnerable customers
Launched in 2015, the energywise LCNF Project is assessing the impact of smart meters and time of use tariffs on fuel poor and vulnerable customers.
UCL-Energy is the academic partner on all phases of the project from research design, through participant recruitment, to being the project ‘data controller’ - managing data protection, security and analysis of smart meter, network and temperature data for all participants. The participant recruitment phase has finished and achieved a recruitment rate of 40%, setting a new benchmark for participant recruitment in this area.
In addition, UCL-Energy is gathering data on the fuel poor’s ‘energy social capital’ to map who they turn to for information and guidance on saving and shifting energy in their homes in order to maximise participation and engagement of the fuel poor and vulnerable with smart metering.
Other partners in this project include: CAG
Consultants, Element Energy, National Energy Action,
Institute for Sustainability, Tower Hamlets Homes,
Poplar HARCA and the Bromley by Bow Community
Centre.
18
During the 2014/2015 academic year, UCL-Energy continued to expand its communication and outreach activities to engage UCL staff, students and the public.
The academic year saw an incredibly successful public seminar series, with over 600 attendees across the events, and the biggest expansion of its online presence to date. employment opportunities in energy-related sectors.
Each year this event gives students the opportunity to meet and network with experts from a range of resource organisations, as well as find information on relevant graduate training schemes and employment opportunities. Industry participants included E4Tech,
Element Energy, National Grid, Ramboll, Sustainable
Engineering Collective (SEC), Willmott Dixon Energy
Services Limited, Zero Carbon Hub and DECC.
The 2014/2015 UCL-Energy seminar series was a fantastic programme of invited speakers from industry, academia and elsewhere, who spoke on a wide range of topics (pg 26). The seminar series offers both academics and members of the public the chance to engage critically and constructively with current research from staff members, industry speakers and visiting researchers.
Online public engagement with UCL-Energy increased during 2014/2015. The UCL-Energy YouTube channel hosts the seminar recording, alumni videos and videos about ongoing projects. In the past academic year subscribers increased by 48% with over 23,000 video views and viewers watching from over 15 different countries including India, Australia, Japan and the United
States. UCL-Energy also hosted activities exclusively for UCL students. In February 2015, UCL-Energy held another successful annual careers forum. Over 130 UCL students attended this event designed to cater for undergraduate and graduate students across UCL with an interest in
The UCL-Energy Twitter account, @UCL_Energy, has over 4,500 unique followers. During the 2014/2015 year
UCL-Energy gained 2,000 new followers on Twitter, over an 80% increase over the last year.
The 2014/2015 academic year was the busiest year for the UCL-Energy blog since the first post in February
2013. The UCL-Energy Blog had 27 posts submitted by academics, researchers and students. The posts were on a variety of topics concerning ongoing research work, current events and personal opinions. In March
2015, UCL-Energy participated in British Science Week
2015 by posting a series of blogs in the area of science communication, energy, sustainable heritage, technology and climate change.
UCL-Energy already has several events scheduled for the upcoming 2015/2016 academic year (pg 21) and with over 3,000 subscribers to the newsletter and event announcements, UCL-Energy looks forward to continuing to expand its engagement and outreach.
19

UCL-Energy’s global presence continued to expand in the past academic year. With over a dozen nationalities making up the UCL-Energy staff, researchers and students, UCL-Energy cultivates an international perspective both within the Institute and in its global outreach.
INSIGHT_E, a project run by the UCL-Energy energy systems research group, is a think tank for the European
Commission that provides unbiased policy advice and insights on policy options and assessing potential impact. During the past year, the think tank provided rapid response energy briefs as well as a report on how the EU defines the issue of energy poverty (pg 22).
In September 2015 the UCL-Energy project Modern
Energy CONsumers in the Greater Mekong Sub-region
(MECON) organised the International Dissemination workshop in Bangkok, Thailand. UCL-Energy’s Gabrial
Anandarajah and Julia Tomei attended this workshop as key members of the MECON project. This event discussed how to implement research results and initiated fruitful discussions among policy makers, energy experts, and relevant stakeholders from the partner countries, Thailand, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar,
Vietnam, and UK.
International events
In November 2014, the UCL-Energy led project
Supporting African Municipalities in Sustainable
Energy Transitions (SEMSET) held the first continuing professional development course at the University of
Cape Town entitled: ‘Energy for Sustainable Urban
Development.’
This event was attended by over 40 representatives from
South Africa, Ugandan and Ghana, and over the course of five days covered the spectrum of issues including sustainable urban development, transport systems and renewable energy use. UCL research associates and SEMEST lead researchers Daniel Kerr and Xavier
Lemaire attended.
The President of Mexico visited the UK in March 2015 and UCL-Energy research associate Baltazar Solano
Rodriguez took part in the President’s high level round table on the opportunities of building a sustainable energy economy in the UK and in Mexico. The event debated areas of future international cooperation, to help each nation meet future carbon reductions targets.
Baltazar’s blog about his involvement is on the UCL-
Energy website.
20
According to UCL-Energy’s Google analytics, during the 2014/2015 academic year the UCL-Energy website had nearly 78,000 visitors from over 150 countries.
Over 45% of traffic to the UCL-Energy website came from international locations with the top ten countries outside the UK being the United States, India,
Greece, France, Italy, Mexico, Germany, China and
Nigeria.
In December 2015, the 2015 Paris Climate Conference,
COP21, will, for the first time in over 20 years of UN negotiations, aim to achieve a legally binding and universal agreement on climate, with the aim of keeping global warming below 2°C.
UCL-Energy academics have made significant contributions to the vital research needed to help understand the effects of climate change. UCL-
Energy Deputy Director, Professor Neil Strachan was the lead author on the Energy Systems chapter of
Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change produced by the IPCC Working Group III . This report is a comprehensive, objective and policy neutral assessment of the current scientific knowledge on mitigating climate change, It is publications such as this which will help inform the ground breaking policy aimed for at COP21. analysis internationally. Read more about UCL-Energy’s contribution to the DDPP reports on page 24.
The first in a series of three events organised jointly by UCL-Energy and the French Embassy, under the auspices of the long-established relationship between the French Embassy’s Science and Technology
Department and UCL’s Grand Challenges programme will be held in October 2015. This event, titled ‘Global
Energy, Global Climate’ is to launch the book Global
Energy. Internationally recognised speakers from
UKERC, UCL’s Institute for Sustainable Resources (UCL
ISR), chaired by UCL-Energy Director Bob Lowe, Imperial
College and CIRED will review the options, and discuss the energy and climate solutions, in the context of the evidence laid out in the book.
At COP21, UCL-Energy academic Dr Tristan Smith, will be organising the only side-event on shipping. This will be done in collaboration with the Danish Government,
Transport and Environment and Nature and Biodiversity
Conservation Union (NABU) and is one of the only events focusing on transport.
In the weeks leading up to COP21, UCL-Energy will be promoting topical work from staff and students in the form of blogs, academic articles, ongoing project information and outputs, policy briefs and on the
@UCL_Energy Twitter feed.
Through the 2015/16 academic year, UCL-Energy will explore the outcomes of this historic conference by organising series of high profile public events, focusing on the important and topical subjects of decarbonisation and climate change.
In October 2015, UCL-Energy is hosting a seminar on
The Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP). In this seminar Dr Henri Waisman, Coordinator of the DDPP, will present the key findings from this ground breaking initiative. Dr Waisman will focus on what the analysis tells us about what can be achieved, and how, and what this means for the COP21 process. He will also reflect on the benefits and challenges of this country-led initiative, and the need for expanding Deep Decarbonization Pathways
21

Report published by INSIGHT_E focuses on how EU defines issues of energy poverty The report: ‘ Energy poverty and vulnerable consumers in the energy sector across the EU: analysis of policies and measures’ was published by the INSIGHT_E consortium in June 2015. It includes UCL-Energy research and focuses on how EU
Member States define the issues of energy poverty and vulnerable consumers, and the measures that have been implemented to address these issues. Lead author Steve
Pye’s blog about the report is available on the UCL-
Energy website.
UCL-Energy joins International Energy Agency project simulating behaviour in buildings The project held the first meeting of its working phase at the
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, USA, at the end of March 2015. The project seeks to design, develop, and integrate occupant behaviour into the leading building simulation models such as EnergyPlus, ESP-r and DesignBuilder, and will run until 2017.
UCL-Energy Celebrates its First LoLo PhD Success
In December 2014, Jenny Love successfully passed her In December 2014, Jenny Love, first LoLo PhD, successfully passed her viva. Since then she has been followed by Peter Warren and Stephanie Gauthier with three more vivas scheduled for the first term in the
2015/2016 academic year.
UCL-Energy attends Parliament launch for time of use tariff report A UCL-Energy report on consumer demand for time of use electricity tariffs was launched on
10 March 2015 in Parliament at an event chaired by Dan
Byles MP, member of the Energy and Climate Chance
Select Committee. In the report, ‘ Is it time? Consumer attitudes to time of use tariffs’ , the UCL-Energy researchers found that almost a third of people in Great
Britain feel favourably towards switching to a time of use tariff which charges more for electricity during peak periods on weekday evenings but less overnight and at weekends. Such tariffs can help reduce peaks in demand which pose problems for electricity network costs and security.
UCL-Energy researchers inform Welsh Government’s
‘Smarter Living’ plan Researchers from UCL-Energy’s new People, Energy and Buildings Research Group were invited to speak at two Welsh Government events in February 2015 aimed at informing their
‘Smarter Living’ initiative. The project looks at how the Welsh Government could support the growth and commercialisation of ‘smart’ innovations – usually involving the connecting up of services such as energy and water with information and communications technology.
UCL-Energy researchers work with Energy Savings
Trust to develop model for National Grid In November
2014, Mark Barrett and Catalina Spataru of UCL-Energy worked with the Energy Saving Trust to develop a half hourly model, with the physical model core based on
DEAM. National Grid will use the model to help them to assess the implications for their system of heat electrification, electric vehicles, solar PV and wind as they operate at different times and in different weather conditions.
22
EPSRC visits the UCL Energy Institute EPSRC visited
UCL-Energy on 28 November 2014 to host a workshop discussing future directions for energy research funding.
Around 50 delegates from across UCL attended the day which included seminars, interactive workshops and plenty of time for lively discussion and debate. Energy research accounts for 23% of the EPSRCs funding portfolio, and is the largest industrial sector directly supported by EPSRC.
UCL-Energy PhD student awarded travel award by the LoLo CDT to visit people and places of relevance to her work Carrie Behar, UCL-Energy PhD student, chose to visit the Venice Architecture Biennale in September 2014. The exhibition was dedicated to showcasing the most avant-garde architecture from around the world. The curator was Rem Koolhaas, an eminent architect, founder of OMA and Professor in
Practice of Architecture and Urban Design at Harvard.
UCL researchers provide evidence for report on potential benefits that energy efficiency has on health
In September 2014 an IEA report ‘Capturing the Multiple
Benefits of Energy Efficiency’ gathered together evidence on the multiple benefits of undertaking actions to improve energy efficiency. Ian Hamilton, Lecturer at UCL-
Energy, working with colleagues, provided evidence for the report on the potential benefits that energy efficiency have on health.
UCL-Energy in the media 2014/2015
‘Europe needs gas and Russia needs cash, so expect an energy-fuelled reconciliation’, The Conversation
Dr Catalina Spataru, Lecturer in Energy Systems and
Networks, wrote this article regarding Europe and Russia’s energy relationship following the Ukraine crisis published on 15 October 2014.
‘Super-sized ships arrive in Britain: How big can they get?’
The Independent
Dr Tristan Smith, Senior Research Associate, comments on the possible risk of commissioning super-sized ships in this article published 22 October 2014.
‘Nuclear plants closure bill to reach $100bn’
Financial Times
Dr Paul Dorfman, Honorary Senior Research Associate, comments on the cost of closing down and cleaning up the world’s ageing nuclear reactors in this article published on 12 November 2014.
‘Power grids must become integrated and interoperable, say experts’ Sunday Telegraph Business Reporter
Dr Catalina Spataru Lecturer in Energy Systems and
Networks features in this article exploring the challenges in implementing the smart grid published on 19 February
2015.
‘Why a submerged island is the perfect spot for the world’s biggest wind farm?’, The Conversation
Dr Xavier Lemaire, Senior Research Associate, wrote this article following granted planning permission for what could become the world’s largest offshore wind farm on the Dogger Bank, off England’s east coast. Published on 6
March 2015.
‘Where will nuclear power plants of the future be built?’
The Conversation
Dr Paul Dorfman, Honorary Senior Research Associate, wrote this article as part of The Conversation’s worldwide series on the Future of Nuclear on 18 May 2015.
A full list of UCL-Energy staff’s media articles and appearances are available on the UCL-Energy website.
23

The 2015 UCL-Lancet Commission on Health and Climate Change was formed to map out a comprehensive response to climate change, in order to ensure the highest attainable standards of health for populations worldwide. The Commission is multidisciplinary and international in nature, with strong collaboration between academic centres in
Europe and China.
In July 2015 a study led by UCL-Energy staff was published as part of the Deep Decarbonization Pathway Project
(DDPP). The DDPP is coordinated by the Institute for
Sustainable Development and International Relations
(IDDRI) and the Sustainable Development Solutions
Network (SDSN) set by the United Nations Secretary
General.
UCL-Energy researchers including Prof Bob Lowe,
Prof Tadj Oreszczyn, Paolo Agnolucci, Ian Hamilton, and Steve Pye contributed to a number of work packages as part of the commission including the transition to a low-carbon energy infrastructure, financial and economic action and delivering a healthy low-carbon future.
According to the study, to meet climate targets set for
2050, policies need to ensure strong action is taken now, while preparing for fundamental changes in how energy is provided and used in the long term. It analysed possible pathways the UK could take to decarbonise its energy system with the aim of limiting global warming to the internationally agreed 2° Celsius target by 2050.
The commission concluded that the effects of climate change are already being felt today, that they pose a potentially catastrophic risk to human health, and have probably been underestimated.
Furthermore it found that the technologies and finance required to address the problem can be made available, but the political will to connect them is lacking, and that whilst such action on climate change could be the greatest global health opportunity of the
21st Century, actions to reduce climate change are also good for health here and now.
Report lead author, Steve Pye of UCL-Energy, said:
“Without a sustained and strong policy push that increases year on year in ambition, the delivery of low carbon technologies at the necessary scale will not be achieved.
Carbon emissions need to halve by 2030 to 4 tCO
2
/capita, and reduce to less than 1 tCO
2
/capita by 2050. For this, the UK needs policies now that realise the full low cost energy efficiency potential in buildings, ensure the rapid deployment of low carbon generation technologies such as
CCS, and prepare for the roll-out of low emissions vehicles in the transport sector and alternative, non-gas based heating systems for homes.”
The commission also made policy recommendations to governments to help drive a transition to a lowcarbon economy over the next five years.
The findings will feed into the final DDPP report which includes research from 16 countries that account for 75% of global greenhouse gas emissions and is scheduled for publication in October 2015.
24
Spataru, C., Drummond, P., Zafeiratou, E., Barrett, M.(2015). Longterm scenarios for reaching climate targets and energy security in UK.
Sustainable Cities and Society. Volume 17, p. 95–109
Morgenstern, P., Raslan, R., & Huebner, G. (2015). Applicability, potential and limitations of staff-centred energy conservation initiatives in English hospitals. Energy Efficiency. doi:10.1007/s12053-015-9346-2
Tomei, J. and Gent, D. (Eds.) (2015). Equity and the energy trilemma: delivering sustainable energy access in low-income communities.
International Institute for Environment and Development, London.
Available from: http://pubs.iied.org/16046IIED.html
Fell, Michael J., Moira Nicolson, Gesche M. Huebner, and David
Shipworth. “Is It Time? Consumers and Time of Use Tariffs.” Report to
Smart Energy GB. London, UK: UCL Energy Institute, March 10, 2015. http://bit.ly/1lq6LtR
Biddulph P., Gori V., Elwell C.A., Scott C., Rye C., Lowe R., Oreszczyn
T. 2014. Inferring the thermal resistance and effective thermal mass of a wall using frequent temperature and heat flux measurements. Energy and Buildings, Vol. 78 (August 2014), pp.10-16.
Li F.G.N., Smith A.Z.P. , Biddulph P., Hamilton I.G., Lowe R.,
Mavrogianni A., Oikonomou E., Raslan R., Stamp S., Stone A.,
Summerfield A.J., Veitch D., Gori V., Oreszczyn T. 2015. Solidwall U-values: heat flux measurements compared with standard assumptions. Building Research & Information, Vol.43(2), pp. 238-252.
Daly, H. E., K. Scott, N. Strachan and J. R. Barrett (2015). “Indirect
CO2 emission implications of energy system pathways: Linking IO and
TIMES models for the UK.” Environmental Science & Technology. DOI:
10.1021/acs.est.5b01020
Daly, H. E., Chiodi, A., Gargiulo, M., Gallacho ir, B. O., Ramea, K.,
& Yeh, S. (2014). Incorporating travel behaviour and travel time into TIMES energy system models. Applied Energy, 135, 429-439. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.051
Hamilton I, Milner J, Chalabi Z, Das P, Jones B, Shrubsole C, Davies
M, Wilkinson P. (2015). Health effects of home energy efficiency interventions in England: a modelling study. BMJ OPEN, 5 (4), ARTN e007298. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007298
Dodds P, Staffell I, Hawke A, Li F, Grünewald F, McDowall W, Ekins
P (2015). Hydrogen and fuel cell technologies for heating: A review.
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 40 (5), 2065-2083. doi:10.1016/j.ijhydene.2014.11.059
McDowall, W. (2014). Exploring possible transition pathways for hydrogen energy: A hybrid approach using socio-technical scenarios and energy system modelling. Futures, 63, 1-14. doi:10.1016/j.
futures.2014.07.004
Thanos, S., Abigail L Bristow, & Mark Wardman. (2015). Residential
Sorting and Environmental Externalities: the Case of Non-linearities and
Stigma in Aviation Noise Values. Journal of Regional Science, 55 (3),
468-490. doi:10.1111/jors.12162
Huebner, G. M., McMichael, M., Shipworth, D., Shipworth, M.,
Summerfield, A. J., & Durand-Daubin, M. (2015). The shape of warmth: Temperature profiles in living rooms. Building Research and
Information, 43 (2), 185-196. doi:10.1080/09613218.2014.922339
Sharp, E., Dodds, P., Barrett, M., & Spataru, C. (2015). Evaluating the accuracy of CFSR reanalysis hourly wind speed forecasts for the UK, using in situ measurements and geographical information. Renewable
Energy, 77, 527-538. doi:10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.025
Trutnevyte, E., Strachan, N., Dodds, P. E., Pudjianto, D., & Strbac, G.
(2015). Synergies and trade-offs between governance and costs in electricity system transition. Energy Policy, 85, 170-181. doi:10.1016/j.
enpol.2015.06.003
Dodds, P.E., Keppo, I. & Strachan, N., 2015. Characterising the
Evolution of Energy System Models Using Model Archaeology.
Environmental Modeling & Assessment. 20 (2), 83-102
Pye, S., Sabio, N., & Strachan, N. (2014). An integrated systematic analysis of uncertainties in UK energy transition pathways. Energy
Policy. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.031
Summerfield A.J., Oreszczyn T., Hamilton I.G., Shipworth D., Huebner
G.M., Lowe R.J., Ruyssevelt P. (2015) Empirical variation in 24-hour profiles of delivered power for a sample of UK dwellings: implications for evaluating energy savings. Energy and Buildings 88, 193
Schäfer A., Kyle P., Pietzcker R., “Evaluating Energy/Economy/
Environment Models with Dynamic Linear Panel Data Models—An
Application for the Transportation Sector”, Climatic Change, in press.
Kamargianni, M., Ben-Akiva, M., & Polydoropoulou, A. (2014).
Incorporating social interaction into hybrid choice models.
Transportation, 41 (6), 1263-1285. doi:10.1007/s11116-014-9550-5
Fell, M., Shipworth, D., Huebner, G., & Elwell, C. (2014). Exploring perceived control in domestic electricity demand side. Technology
Analysis & Strategic Management. 26(10), 1118-1130.
25

23 September 2014 seminar: Dr Anthony Evans, Lecturer in
Energy and Air Transport, UCL-Energy
‘Mitigating the Climate Impact of Aviation – Is Technology
Enough?’
14 October 2014 seminar: Dr Cliff Elwell and Dr Phill Biddulph,
Senior Research Associates, UCL-Energy
‘Physics, Bayes, Bricks and Boilers: Energy in Buildings’
28 October 2014 seminar: Dr Henri Waisman, the DDPP project manager from IDDRI, and Steve Pye, Senior Research
Associate UCL-Energy
‘The Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP):
Investigating transparent national-scale pathways consistent with the 2°C target’
11 November 2014 seminar: Dr Craig Robertson, Allford Hall
Monaghan Morris Architects
‘Influencing design through building performance feedback: from energy to sustainability’
25 November 2014 Joint UCL-Energy & UCL ISR seminar:
Professor Jim Watson, Research Director, UKERC
‘The UK’s low carbon energy pathway to 2030: key uncertainties and implications for decision-making’
24 February 2015 seminar: Professor Harriet Bulkeley,
University Department of Geography, Durham
‘Exploring the Social Life of Smart Grids: Insights from the
CLNR Project’
10 March 2015 seminar: Professor Janet Barlow, University of
Reading
‘Measuring and modelling urban microclimate’
24 March 2015 seminar: Mark Bayley, CEO of The Green Deal
Finance Company and Petter Allison, Commercial Director
‘Financing Home Energy Efficiency: Lessons from the Green
Deal and Needs for the Future’
28 April 2015 seminar: Professor Harold Wilhite, University of
Oslo’s Centre for Development and Environment
‘New frontiers in applying social and material perspectives to research on energy consumption and savings’
12 May 2015 seminar: Professor Yacob Mulugetta, Department of Science, Technology, Engineering & Public Policy (STEaPP),
UCL
‘Deliberating on low carbon energy opportunities across Africa and some of the dilemmas’
09 December 2014 seminar: Professor Jim Hall, Director,
Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University
‘Future strategies for the UK’s national infrastructure systems: accounting for interdependence’
27 January 2015 seminar: Professor Keith Bell, Scottish Power
Professor of Smart Grids, University of Strathclyde
‘How come the lights don’t go out more often?’
26 May 2015 seminar: Radoslav Dimitrov, European Union delegate to the United Nations negotiations on climate change
‘The Hidden Hand of Climate Diplomacy’
09 June 2015 joint UCL-Energy, UCL ISR and UKERC Seminar:
Professor Jim Skea, Professor of Sustainable Energy at
Imperial College
‘Can innovation reconcile energy and climate change aspirations?’
10 February 2015 seminar: Dr Paul Dodds, Lecturer, UCL-
Energy
‘A journey through 300 years of gas in the UK: learning from the past and planning for the future’
23 June 2015 joint UCL-Energy and UCL-IEDE Seminar:
Aleksandra Njagulj, Head of Sustainability, BOUYGUES UK
‘Designing and Delivering Sustainable Buildings’
10 February 2015: Careers in Energy Forum 2015
29 June 2015 seminar: Jean-Marc Jancovici, founding partner of Carbone 4 and founding president of The Shift Project
‘Shifting to a low carbon economy: a piece of cake?’
26
All UCL-Energy seminars are recorded and made publically available on the UCL-Energy YouTube channel
Prof Bob Lowe
Director
Professor of Energy & Building
Science
Centre Director (LoLo CDT)
Prof Neil Strachan
Deputy Director
Professor of Energy Economics &
Modelling
Principal Investigator wholeSEM
Anna Martinez
Institute Administrator
Gabrial Anandarajah
Paolo Agnolucci
Tashweka Anderson
Mark Barrett
Phill Biddulph
Lai Fong Chiu
Hannah Daly
Olivier Dessens
Paul Dodds
Paul Ekins
Simon Elam
Cliff Elwell
Tony Evans
Birgit Fais
Stephanie Gauthier
Jake Hacker
Solmaz Haji Hosseinloo
Ian Hamilton
Philip Haves
Gesche Huebner
Daniel Kerr
Maria Kamargianni
Ilkka Keppo
Nicholas Lazarou
Xavier Lemaire
Francis Li
Rob Liddiard
Bob Lowe
Neil May
Megan McMichael
Will McDowall
Eleni Oikonomou
Tadj Oreszczyn
Sophie Parker
James Price
Steve Pye
Gary Raw
Nishat Rehmatulla
Paul Ruyssevelt
Nagore Sabio
Andreas Schafer
Julia Schaumeier
David Shipworth
Michelle Shipworth
Andrew Smith
Tristan Smith
Baltazar Solano
Catalina Spataru
Phil Steadman
Andy Stone
Neil Strachan
Alex Summerfield
Sotirios Thanos
Julia Tomei
Matthew Winning
Marianne Zeyringer

www.bartlett.ucl.ac.uk/energy energy@ucl.ac.uk
Follow us on Twitter @UCL_Energy
Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place
London, WC1H 0NN
(c) UCL-Energy
This report is printed on 100% recycled paper